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All 136 seats in the Senate All 331 seats in the Chamber of Deputies 69 S and 166 D seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next Romanian parliamentary election will take place on a Sunday before 30 November 2028. [2]
After the 2024 Romanian parliamentary election, a pro-European coalition was formed between the centre-left Social Democratic Party, the centre-right National Liberal Party, the Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania and ethnic minority parties. [3] The liberal reformist Save Romania Union party also initially signed an agreement to enter government, but subsequently went into opposition. [4] [5] Following the results of the first round of the presidential election in May 2025 in which government-endorsed Crin Antonescu failed to advance to the run-offs, Ciolacu announced that Social Democratic Party would leave the coalition and resigned from the position of prime minister; Ciolacu stated that after seeing how Romanians had voted, "the governing coalition has no legitimacy, at least in this component"; at the same time, PSD ministers remained in the government on the interim basis. [6] On 6 May 2025, interim President Ilie Bolojan appointed Cătălin Predoiu to serve as interim Prime Minister. [7] The presidential election was won by Bucharest Mayor Nicusor Dan, who appointed Ilie Bolojan as the next Prime Minister on 23 June, leading a grand coalition with the same parties and Save Romania Union.
Both the 331 members of the Chamber of Deputies as well as the 136 members of the Senate are elected in 43 multi-member constituencies based on Romania's 41 counties, the Municipality of Bucharest, as well as the Romanian diaspora using party-list proportional representation. Law no. 208/2015 outlines that each constituency is to be awarded one deputy every 73,000 people and one senator every 168,000 people in accordance with the population data collected on 1 January of the previous year by the National Institute of Statistics (INS). Constituencies cannot have less than 4 deputies and 2 senators. [8]
Parties must pass a threshold of 5% of the national vote or at least 20% of the vote in four constituencies. Electoral alliances must pass a higher threshold, namely 8% for those with two member-parties, 9% for three and 10% for alliances of more. Further seats (currently 19) can be added in the Chamber of Deputies for ethnic minority groups that compete in the elections and pass a lower threshold (5% of the votes needed to win a seat in the lower chamber, calculated by dividing the number of votes of parties, alliances and independent candidates that passed the threshold by the amount of seats that they won). [9]
Following the elections, seats are allocated to the candidates of successful parties and lists in several stages, starting with constituencies, where seats are distributed according to the Hare quota of the constituency. Unused votes are then transferred and congregated at the national level, where remaining seats are distributed using the D'Hondt method, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's national vote share and its share of parliamentary seats. These remaining seats are then allocated to party candidates within the constituencies, based on the party results in each constituencies. [10] [11]
Political polling in Romania has generally been associated with higher error rates compared to the European average. Among Romanian pollsters, INSCOP has recorded the lowest pre-election error rate at 14.0%, while CSPS (Centrul pentru Studii Politice și Sociologice) has been identified as having the highest, at 60.0%. Marius Lulea, the owner of CSPS, previously served as the first vice president of a political party. Several reports have also documented connections between certain pollsters and political actors. [12] [13]
Date | Poll source | Sample size | PSD | AUR | PNL | USR | SOS | POT | UDMR | PMP | FD | REPER | SENS | DREPT | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–23 Jul 2025 | INSOMAR | 1,012 | 17.0 | 36.5 | 14.4 | 13.2 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 0.7 | — | 0.5 | — | 0.7 | 7.7 | 19.5 |
10–12 Jul 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 20.0 |
4–10 Jul 2025 | CURS | 1,067 | 20 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 18 |
20–26 Jun 2025 | INSCOP | 1,150 | 13.7 | 40.5 | 17.3 | 13.1 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 5.2 | — | — | — | 2.4 | — | 1.9 | 23.2 |
26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 1,150 | 17.4 | 38.1 | 16.0 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.3 | — | 2.8 | 20.7 |
26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 1,287 | 24 | 35 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 |
26–28 May 2025 | Sociopol | 1,001 | 17 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 19 |
23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 1,300 | 20 | 32 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 12 |
24–26 Apr 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 19 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 7 |
3–5 Apr 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 18.5 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 17.0 | 8.5 |
24–28 Mar 2025 | Verifield | 1,100 | 21.2 | 31.7 | 15.0 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 7.0 | 5.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 10.5 |
14–16 Feb 2025 | FlashData | 7,500 | 21.2 | 27.9 | 12.3 | 19.0 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | — | — | 1.1 | 6.7 |
21–25 Jan 2025 | CURS | 1,100 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2 |
10–16 Jan 2025 | Avangarde | 1,354 | 22 | 29 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 7 |
1 Dec 2024 | 2024 Chamber election | — | 21.96 | 18.01 | 13.20 | 12.40 | 7.36 | 6.46 | 6.33 | 2.05 | 1.24 | 2.99 | 1.16 | 6.84 | 3.95 | |
2024 Senate election | — | 22.30 | 18.30 | 14.28 | 12.26 | 7.76 | 6.39 | 6.38 | 1.88 | 1.37 | 2.84 | 1.24 | 5 | 4 |
Date | Poll source | Sample size | Dan Ind. | Bolojan PNL | Georgescu Ind. | Grindeanu PSD | Simion AUR | Predoiu PNL | Fritz USR | Șoșoacă SOS | Kelemen UDMR | Gavrilă POT | Ponta Ind. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4–10 Jul 2025 | CURS | 1,067 | 38 | 32 | — | 26 | 38 | — | 22 | 19 | 24 | 16 | — |
26–30 May 2025 | INSCOP | 1,150 | 47.0 | 42.2 | — | 12.9 | 33.9 | — | 16.4 | — | 26.7 | — | 20.0 |
26–30 May 2025 | CURS | 1,287 | 57 | 42 | — | 36 | 42 | — | 27 | 22 | 25 | 9 | — |
23–28 May 2025 | Avangarde | 1,300 | 44 | 40 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 7 | — | — | — |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Is Romania going on a good path/direction? | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | Net | |||
Approval | Disapproval | |||||
FlashData | 10–12 Jul 2025 | 7,500 | 23.0 | 71.0 | 6.0 | −48.0 |
CURS | 4–10 Jul 2025 | 1,067 | 26.0 | 69.0 | 5.0 | −43.0 |
CURS | 26–30 May 2025 | 1,287 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 7.0 | −25.0 |
Avangarde | 23–28 May 2025 | 1,300 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 9.0 | −15.0 |