Opinion polling for the next Maltese general election

Last updated

In the run up to the next Maltese general election, expected by 2027, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.

Party polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.

It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.

Expressing a Preference

The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding.

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PL PN AD+PD OthersLeadNot
voting [nb 1]
Don't
know [nb 2]
No
reply [nb 3]
8 June 2024 2024 EP Election [nb 4] 45.342.01.211.23.327
28-29 MaySenior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal. [1] [2]
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 65047.343.19.64.230.2
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 63749.045.45.63.631.0
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60050.044.85.25.027.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 65743.845.810.42.031
9–16 Mar 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60051.642.95.58.727.4
29 FebCourt annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. [3] [4]
26 March 2022 2022 general election 45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Complete Data

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PL PN AD+PD OthersLeadNot
voting
Don't
know
No
reply [nb 5]
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 160034.935.34.94.60.415.94.4
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 74929.630.21.21.20.622.613.9
10–19 May 2023 MaltaToday 57433.128.70.40.74.420.814.7
3–10 Mar 2023 MaltaToday 57430.828.42.12.62.424.810.0
29 FebCourt annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. [5] [6]
24 Jan–1 Feb 2023 MaltaToday 64638.722.80.72.015.923.910.5
22 Nov–1 Dec 2022 MaltaToday 65036.424.22.30.812.222.213.2
13–30 Sep 2022 MaltaToday 64739.419.93.20.919.522.514.9
6–14 Jul 2022 MaltaToday 65642.025.82.00.916.214.514.1
16–25 May 2022 MaltaToday 65643.928.82.80.615.111.211.4
26 March 2022 2022 general election 45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Leader trust

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Robert Abela Bernard Grech Sandra Gauci NeitherLead [nb 6] Don't
know
7–21 Mar 2024 MaltaToday 65745.921.734.211.7
26 Jan–5 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 64741.116.742.21.1
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 65037.521.141.33.8
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 63738.023.638.040.4
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60045.736.98.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 65739.22040.91.7
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 16003627.17.829.16.9
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 7493626.833.35.90.7

See also

Notes

  1. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  2. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  3. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  4. Although it is important that EP Elections are treated differently to General Elections, this is still an important reference point.
  5. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  6. Lead over other leader or non-voters

Related Research Articles

In the run up to the 2017 German federal election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the run up to the Greek legislative election of January 2015, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

In the run up to the 2018 Turkish general election scheduled to take place on 24 June 2018, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 November 2015, to the present day.

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns well over 240 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

In the run up to the 2019 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the run up to the 2016 parliamentary elections in the Serbia, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Serbia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Several polling firms conducted opinion polls during the term of the 52nd New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2020 general election, which elects the 53rd Parliament. The 52nd Parliament was elected on 23 September 2017 and dissolved on 6 September 2020. The 2020 election was originally due to take place on Saturday 19 September 2020, but due to a second COVID-19 outbreak it was delayed until Saturday 17 October 2020.

In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.

In the run up to the 2017 Maltese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 European Parliament election in Slovenia</span> 2019 election of members of the European parliament for Slovenia

2019 European Parliament elections were held in Slovenia on 26 May 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 European Parliament election in Malta</span> 2024 election of members of the European parliament for Malta

The 2024 European Parliament election was held in Malta on 8 June 2024 in tandem with local elections. It was the fifth election to the European Parliament. Malta will elect 6 of the 720 Members of the European Parliament. EU citizens aged 16 and over were entitled to vote, provided they have registered to do so. Six different political parties had announced their participation, only 2 of these won seats in the last election those being the Labour Party and the Nationalist Party, with 4 and 2 seats respectively.

In the run up to the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Portuguese legislative election, held on 6 October, to the day the next election was held on 30 January.

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.

In the run-up to the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election, various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 July 2020, to the present day.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bernard Grech</span> Maltese politician and lawyer

Bernard Grech is a Maltese politician and lawyer who has been the leader of the Nationalist Party and the Leader of the Opposition since 2020.

In the run up to the 2023 Turkish presidential election, with its first round held on 14 May and a second round on 28 May, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 24 June 2018, to the present day.

In the run up to the 2007 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 12th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 7 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 16 September 2007.

In the run up to the next Portuguese legislative election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, held on 10 March, to the present day.

In the run up to the 2004 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 11th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 9 April 2000, to the day the next election was held, on 7 March 2004.

References

  1. Agius, Matthew. "Blow-by-blow: Joseph Muscat's first day in court". MaltaToday. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  2. Galea, Albert; Camilleri, Kyle Patrick; Caruana, Andrea. "How the second hospitals case ran an 11-hour marathon, before grinding to a halt". Malta Independent. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  3. "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  4. Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  5. "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  6. Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.