Opinion polling for the next Maltese general election

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In the run up to the next Maltese general election, expected by 2027, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.

Party polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.

It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.

Expressing a Preference

The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding.

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PL PN AD+PD OthersLeadNot
voting [nb 1]
Don't
know [nb 2]
No
reply [nb 3]
5–13 Nov 2024 MaltaToday 70745.346.34.14.21.029.4
11–19 Sep 2024 MaltaToday 71243.848.24.53.54.424.3
8 June 2024 2024 EP Election [nb 4] 45.342.01.211.23.327
28-29 MaySenior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal. [1] [2]
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 65047.343.19.64.230.2
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 63749.045.45.63.631.0
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60050.044.85.25.027.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 65743.845.810.42.031
9–16 Mar 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60051.642.95.58.727.4
29 FebCourt annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. [3] [4]
26 March 2022 2022 general election 45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Complete Data

Dates ConductedPolling firmSample
size
PL PN AD+PD OthersLeadNot
voting
Don't
know
No
reply [nb 5]
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 160034.935.34.94.60.415.94.4
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 74929.630.21.21.20.622.613.9
10–19 May 2023 MaltaToday 57433.128.70.40.74.420.814.7
3–10 Mar 2023 MaltaToday 57430.828.42.12.62.424.810.0
29 FebCourt annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. [5] [6]
24 Jan–1 Feb 2023 MaltaToday 64638.722.80.72.015.923.910.5
22 Nov–1 Dec 2022 MaltaToday 65036.424.22.30.812.222.213.2
13–30 Sep 2022 MaltaToday 64739.419.93.20.919.522.514.9
6–14 Jul 2022 MaltaToday 65642.025.82.00.916.214.514.1
16–25 May 2022 MaltaToday 65643.928.82.80.615.111.211.4
26 March 2022 2022 general election 45.834.71.31.311.114.4

Leader trust

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Robert Abela Bernard Grech Sandra Gauci NeitherLead [nb 6] Don't
know
7–21 Mar 2024 MaltaToday 65745.921.734.211.7
26 Jan–5 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 64741.116.742.21.1
28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 65037.521.141.33.8
1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 63738.023.638.040.4
14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 60045.736.98.8
25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 65739.22040.91.7
1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 16003627.17.829.16.9
10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 7493626.833.35.90.7

See also

Notes

  1. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  2. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  3. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  4. Although it is important that EP Elections are treated differently to General Elections, this is still an important reference point.
  5. Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  6. Lead over other leader or non-voters

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References

  1. Agius, Matthew. "Blow-by-blow: Joseph Muscat's first day in court". MaltaToday. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  2. Galea, Albert; Camilleri, Kyle Patrick; Caruana, Andrea. "How the second hospitals case ran an 11-hour marathon, before grinding to a halt". Malta Independent. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
  3. "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  4. Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  5. "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  6. Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.