Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 15 October 2023, to the day of the next election.

To be represented in parliament, electoral committees which are registered as political parties must reach an electoral threshold of 5%, and those registered as coalitions must reach 8%. ^[1]

Polling aggregations

The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations.

Vote share

Poll Aggregator/Link	Last Update	United Right	Civic Coalition	Poland 2050	Polish People's Party	The Left	Together	Confederation	Confederation of the Polish Crown	Lead
Politico	1 September	31	31			8	4	14		Tie
ewybory.eu	1 September	30.3	29.9	3.4	2.7	7.4	4.1	12.9	4.1	0.4
Europe Elects	30 August	30	32	3	4	8	4	15	3	2

Seat share

Poll Aggregator/Link	Last Update	United Right	Civic Coalition	Poland 2050	Polish People's Party	The Left	Together	Confederation	Confederation of the Polish Crown	Majority
ewybory.eu	1 September	188	175	0	0	20	0	77	0	Hung (PiS 43 short)

Pollster bias

The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:

Pollster	Alleged bias	Source
IBRiS	The company has overestimated Trzaskowski's support and underestimated both Nawrocki and Mentzen in the 2025 presidential election	[2]
Research Partner	The company has strong ties to the Law and Justice party, and has consistently overestimated its support in past elections above the standard deviation of polling.	[3] [4]
CBOS	The institute is under the supervision of the Prime Minister of Poland, and is partially funded from the state budget. As such, it has been accused of greatly underestimating parties belonging to the opposition at any given moment for about the past 20 years.	[5] [6]

Graphical summary

Parties

Coalitions ^[a]

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2025

For events during the year, see 2025 in Poland.

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	United Right	Civic Coalition	Poland 2050	Polish People's Party	The Left	Together	Confederation	Confederation of the Polish Crown	Others	Don't know	Lead
CBOS	1–3 Sep	1,000	30	28	3	2	5	6	11	4	0	11	2
Opinia24	1–3 Sep	1,003	28.6	28.6	2.9	1.5	5.6	3.9	15.0	6.7	0.2	7.0	Tie
Pollster / "SE.pl"	30 Aug – 1 Sep	1,000	31.6	32.6	3.45	1.48	7.3	≥5	12.55	≥5			1.0
United Surveys / WP.pl	28 Aug – 1 Sep	1,000	29.0	27.1	3.4	3.9	7.4	3.2	13.2	3.1		9.7	1.8
IBRiS / Rz	29–30 Aug	1,069	30.6	29.9	2.1	3.6	8.0	3.7	15.1	2.8		4.2	0.7
IBRiS / Onet	29–30 Aug	1,100	28.3	28.5	2.3	4.1	8.1	4.2	14.4	3.4			0.2
Research Partner	22–25 Aug	1,040	31.4	27.0	2.9	1.9	6.3	2.9	11.3	3.5	0.5	12.3	4.4
CBOS	18–21 Aug	1,000	30	30	2	1	7	5	12	3	0	9	Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl	13–16 Aug	1,000	27.4	28.1	2.6	3.6	5.5	3.1	17.3	3.1		9.3	0.7
OGB	6–13 Aug	1,000	30.59	33.37	3.55	3.44	5.03	3.30	15.38	5.34			2.78
Pollster / "SE.pl"	8–9 Aug	1,006	30.88	32.04	5.18	2.40	6.98	4.67	12.84	4.91	0.20		1.16
Opinia24	4–6 Aug	1,003	29.0	28.2	3.4	1.4	5.9	4.1	14.2	6.0	0.7	7.1	0.8
Pollster / "SE.pl"	25–28 Jul	1,047	31.94	32.14	4.90	3.18	6.20	4.35	11.98	4.79	0.52		0.20
United Surveys / WP.pl	25–27 Jul	1,000	28.3	25.8	4.1	3.7	6.7	3.6	17.4	5.4		5.1	2.5
IBRiS / Rz	25–26 Jul	1,067	28.7	30.1	2.8	3.6	7.1	3.1	14.6	4.6	1.1	4.3	1.4
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info	24–25 Jul	1,000	28	24	5	4	6	6	14	5	1	7	4
Research Partner	18–21 Jul	1,080	30.7	28.9	4.2	0.9	5.8	2.5	12.4	3.8	1.4 [b]	9.5	1.8
United Surveys / WP.pl	11–13 Jul	1,000	29.2	28.2	2.8	3.5	6.8	3.0	12.5	4.2		9.8	1.0
OGB	4–11 Jul	1,000	26.85	31.66	3.38	3.13	6.62	4.39	16.70	7.27			4.81
Pollster / "SE.pl"	8–9 Jul	1,085	33.55	31.17	3.78	1.58	7.25	4.95	12.83	4.79	0.10		2.38
CBOS	7–9 Jul	1,000	27	28	3	1	6	6	12	8		10	1
Opinia24	7–9 Jul	1,003	29.2	29.3	4.7	1.8	5.0	3.9	14.9	5.6	0.4	5.2	0.1
United Surveys / WP.pl	27–29 Jun	1,000	28.3	25.6	4.4	4.1	6.6	5.0	15.0	3.9		7.1	2.7
IBRiS / Rz	26–27 Jun	1,067	28.9	26.5	3.8	3.2	5.6	4.8	16.8	4.0		6.4	2.4
IBRiS / Onet	23–24 Jun	1,100	30.5	25.8	4.6	4.0	6.1	3.9	16.8	5.1		3.2	4.7
	17 June	The Third Way is dissolved as an electoral alliance. [7]
IBRiS / Polsat News	12–14 Jun	1,000	27.9	28.8	6.9		5.6	3.1	14.7	6.0		7.0	0.9
Opinia24	9–12 Jun	1,003	28.8	28.8	5.1		6.1	4.6	13.8	6.9	0.9	5.0	Tie
CBOS	9–10 Jun	1,000	25	30	4		8	6	14	1	1	10	5
United Surveys / WP.pl	6–8 Jun	1,000	30.0	33.0	5.5		6.0	5.2	16.0		0.1	4.2	3.0
IBRiS / Rz	6–7 Jun	1,069	28.3	32.3	5.1		6.3	3.1	20.7		0.2	4	4
Pollster / ,,Najwyższy czas"	5–6 Jun	1,029	33.3	30.5	5.1		5.1	5.5	13.5	6.9	0.1		2.8
Presidential election II round	1 June	20,844,163	50.89	49.11	Endorsed Civic Coalition			No endorsement		Endorsed Law and Justice			1.78
Social Changes / Radio Wnet	28–29 May	1,060	28	27	6		8	3	11	4	2	11	1
Research Partner	27–28 May	1,060	29.6	29.2	4.2		6.3	4.0	9.5	5.2	0.6	11.3	0.4
IBRiS / Onet	26–27 May	1,070	32.2	33.4	6.0		5.0	2.5	17.1		0.9	2.7	1.2
Opinia24 / RMF FM	25–27 May	1,000	27.2	31.1	4.1		5.9	5.5	16.0		2.5	7.7	3.9
Opinia24 / Radio ZET	23–26 May	1,021	30	32	6		6	4	16		1	5	2
Pollster / Super Express	25 May	1,011	33.61	32.04	6.68		6.01	4.43	16.43		0.80		1.57
Presidential election I round	18 May	19,603,784	29.54	31.36	4.99		4.23	4.86	14.81	6.34	3.87		1.82
Opinia24 / RMF FM	12–14 May	1,003	27.3	29.2	10.7		6.3	4.9	15.2		0.3	6.1	1.9
IBRiS / Onet	12–13 May	1,072	31.2	31.8	8.0		7.5	3.6	11.2			6.7	0.6
CBOS	12–13 May	1,001	28	29	5		6	6	16		2	7	1
Pollster / "SE.pl"	7–8 May	1,077	32.26	31.11	9.51		5.91	5.35	15.13		0.73		1.15
United Surveys / WP.pl	7 May	1,000	27.5	31.2	7.4		7.6	3.9	13.1		0.5	8.8	3.7
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24	6–7 May	1,012	28	33	7		8	4	15		1	2	5
Opinia24 / "Newsweek"	5–7 May	1,001	29	33	5		9	5	15				4
Pollster / "SE.pl"	28–29 Apr	1,007	31.05	31.28	9.60		5.90	4.91	16.66				0.23
United Surveys / WP.pl	28–29 Apr	1,000	27.3	30.4	8.8		6.8	3.9	14.4		1.0	7.4	3.1
OGB	23–25 Apr	1,000	33.80	33.31	7.96		5.42	2.89	16.62				0.49
Opinia 24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24	24 Apr	–	26	30	8		6	5	18		3	3	4
CBOS	22–24 Apr	1,001	32	32	6		5	4	15		0	7	Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl	17–19 Apr	1,000	29.6	28.6	8.1		7.9	3.5	13.9			8.4	1.0
Pollster / "SE.pl"	15–16 Apr	1,003	31.36	32.92	9.11		5.88	3.17	15.39		2.17		1.56
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info	14–16 Apr	1,000	26	28	8		5	4	17		2	10	2
Opinia24	14–16 Apr	1,002	27.3	34.0	8.2		6.9	3.8	13.8		0.2	5.8	6.7
OGB	9–14 Apr	1,001	31.46	33.95	6.72		2.90	2.43	21.74				2.49
Opinia24 / RMF FM	7–9 Apr	1,000	28.3	33.3	7.5		5.6	3.2	16.4		0.9	4.8	5.0
CBOS	7–9 Apr	1,000	26	33	5		6	4	16		2	9	7
United Surveys / WP.pl	4–6 Apr	1,000	28.8	34.9	6.9		5.0	0.5	16.4			7.5	6.1
Opinia24 / Radio ZET	2–6 Apr	1,000	28	30	8		7	4	17		1	5	2
Pollster / Republika	3–4 Apr	1,003	31	33	9		5		17				2
Pollster / "SE.pl"	31 Mar – 1 Apr	1,007	31.76	32.35	8.06		5.02	3.48	18.08		1.25		0.59
Research Partner	21–24 Mar	1,060	29.1	31.3	6.9		7.4		14.3		1.9	9.1	2.2
United Surveys / WP.pl	21–23 Mar	1,000	26.5	31.0	6.7		4.7	0.8	16.4			13.9	4.5
Opinia24	17–21 Mar	1,000	27.0	34.8	7.1		4.6	2.4	18.5		0.7	4.9	7.8
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info	11–13 Mar	1,000	28	31	8		6	3	16		0	7	3
Opinia24 / RMF FM	10–13 Mar	1,000	26.3	34.0	6.7		4.8	2.4	21.4		0.2	4.3	7.7
	10 Mar	Confederation of the Polish Crown MPs leave the Confederation parliamentary group. [8]
Pollster / "SE.pl"	7–9 Mar	1,015	31.82	33.02	9.25		5.72	1.65	17.17		1.37		1.20
United Surveys / WP.pl	7–9 Mar	1,000	28.6	31.1	5.8		4.9	1.1	17.2			11.3	2.5
IBRiS / Rz	7–8 Mar	1,068	27.5	31.1	5.8		4.5	1.9	17.1			12.1	3.6
CBOS	3–6 Mar	1,000	26	34	4		4	2	18		0	11	8
OGB	19–26 Feb	1,000	32.70	36.52	5.18		5.33	1.24	19.03				3.82
United Surveys / WP.pl	21–24 Feb	1,000	28.1	32.3	8.0		7.6	1.1	16.1		1.2	5.6	4.2
Research Partner	21–24 Feb	1,050	29.4	29.1	8.8		8.3		14.2		2.0	7.9	0.3
Ipsos / Liberté!	19–21 Feb	1,000	29	29	10		5	2	16		9		Tie
Opinia24	17–21 Feb	1,001	30.4	31.3	8.9		5.3	3.1	16.6		0.6	3.8	0.9
CBOS	17–20 Feb	1,002	29	34	4		6	2	17		0	8	5
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info	17–18 Feb	621	30	29	10		6	2	16		1	5	1
Opinia24 / RMF FM	10–13 Feb	1,002	27.9	31.8	8.0		5.5	2.9	18.7		0.7	4.6	3.9
Pollster / "SE.pl"	8–10 Feb	1,077	33.21	31.37	8.90		6.85	1.68	15.71		2.28		1.84
United Surveys / WP.pl	8–9 Feb	1,000	30.0	32.1	8.3		7.1	1.0	12.8			8.7	2.1
IBRiS / Rz	7–8 Feb	1,067	29.3	33.5	10.1		8.3	1.5	11.6		1.0	4.7	4.2
CBOS	3–5 Feb	1,000	30	30	6		6	2	13		1	13	Tie
IBRiS / Onet	31 Jan – 2 Feb	1,068	27.4	29.3	9.6		7.7	0.9	10.9		0.4	13.9	1.9
Opinia24 / Radio ZET	23–29 Jan	1,000	29	32	7		6	1	16		1	7	3
Research Partner	24–27 Jan	1,060	31.0	29.3	8.9		7.1		13.3		2.6	7.8	1.7
United Surveys / WP.pl	24–26 Jan	1,000	30.3	32.0	8.4		8.2	0.5	12.8			7.8	1.7
Opinia24	20–24 Jan	1,001	31.1	31.3	9.7		7.0	2.2	14.0		0.7	4.0	0.2
OGB	21–23 Jan	1,000	34.46	33.07	7.24		5.78	0.44	17.95		1.06		1.39
Pollster / "SE.pl"	17–18 Jan	1,004	33.63	31.63	8.65		6.05	1.59	14.24		4.21		2
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info	14–16 Jan	1,000	29	29	10		7	3	12		2	8	Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl	10–12 Jan	1,000	32.4	29.2	9.0		7.2	2.2	13.5		0.9	5.4	3.2
IBRiS / Rz	10–11 Jan	1,068	33.2	30.5	9.0		6.3	1.3	12.4		0.4	7.0	2.7
Opinia24 / RMF FM	7–9 Jan	1,000	30.7	31.9	8.6		5.6	2.0	13.5		0.5	7.3	1.2
CBOS	7–8 Jan	1,000	33	33	7		6	2	13		1	5	Tie
2023 parliamentary election [9]	15 Oct	21,596,674 [9] [c]	35.39	30.70	14.41		8.61		7.17		3.72 [d]		4.69

2024

For events during the year, see 2024 in Poland.

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	United Right	Civic Coalition	Third Way	The Left	Together	Confederation	There is One Poland	Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy	Others	Don't know	Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl	20–22 Dec	1,000	27.4	31.3	10.4	9.0	0.3	9.9			0.7	11.0	3.9
IPSOS / TVP Info	17–18 Dec	–	29	29	10	6	3	15			1	7	Tie
Opinia24 / RMF FM	10–12 Dec	1,000	28.9	31.9	9.5	5.9	0.7	14.2			1.3	7.5	3.0
Pollster / "SE.pl"	10–11 Dec	1,005	32.38	33.19	8.11	7.34	1.47	13.18			4.33		0.81
United Surveys / WP.pl	6–8 Dec	1,000	32.3	33.2	9.9	8.0		10.3			0.0	6.3	0.9
IBRiS / Rz	6–7 Dec	1,071	34.8	34.5	8.6	7.4	0.8	7.3				6.6	0.3
Opinia24	3–6 Dec	1,001	29.2	32.1	9.9	6.7	2.5	13.7			1.5	4.4	2.9
CBOS	2–4 Dec	1,000	30	33	8	6	2	11			2	8	3
Pollster / "SE.pl"	25–26 Nov	1,015	30.45	32.86	9.11	8.21	1.12	13.06	1.60	2.39	1.20		2.41
Opinia24 / TVN24	24 Nov	1,000	32	35	7	7		13			2	4	3
United Surveys / WP.pl	22–24 Nov	1,000	29.9	32.5	9.7	8.5		10.5			0.0	8.9	2.6
CBOS	18–20 Nov	1,000	31	32	7	6	2	13			1	9	1
Opinia24 / Radio ZET	15–18 Nov	1,000	32	33	8	10		13				4	1
Opinia24	12–15 Nov	1,001	30.0	34.0	7.8	8.2		13.0			1.4	5.6	4.0
Pollster / "SE.pl"	12–13 Nov	1,044	34.30	32.32	7.68	5.82	1.53	13.51	0.97	3.00	0.87		1.98
Research Partner	8–11 Nov	1,080	29.4	32.1	9.4	7.2		10.2			2.7	9.1	2.7
United Surveys / WP.pl	8–10 Nov	1,000	31.7	34.0	8.8	7.1		10.8			0.5	7.1	2.3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF	8–10 Nov	1,000	29.4	32.4	10.8 [e]	7.6	0.5	10.4				9.1	3.0
CBOS	4–6 Nov	1,000	25	34	5	7	3	12			1	14	9
	27 Oct	Left Together leaves The Left alliance and joins the opposition.
United Surveys / WP.pl	25–27 Oct	1,000	28.9	33.6	10.4	8.8		10.7				7.6	4.7
IBRiS / Rz	25–26 Oct	1,069	29.6	31.3	9.8	8.6		9.4			11.2		1.7
CBOS	21–24 Oct	1,000	29	33	8	7		11			1	11	4
Opinia24 / TVN24	15–18 Oct	1,001	32.4	33.3	7.9	8.8		12.2			0.4	5.0	0.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat	11–14 Oct	1,000	31.3	30.7	9.3	7.3		9.8				11.5	0.6
United Surveys / WP.pl	11–13 Oct	1,000	33.3	33.5	10.1	7.8		9.5			0.0	5.8	0.2
CBOS	7–10 Oct	1,000	28	29	8	8		13			1	14	1
Opinia24 / "GW"	7–9 Oct	1,000	33.5	35.3	7.1	5.9		12.5				3.7	1.8
Pollster / "SE.pl"	5–6 Oct	1,007	31.40	31.94	10.69	8.72		13.69			3.56		0.54
Pollster / "19:30"	29–30 Sep	1,047	31.90	33.99	10.51	9.92		12.44			1.24		2.09
United Surveys / WP.pl	27–29 Sep	1,000	29.5	34.1	11.1	8.7		10.5			0.6	5.5	4.6
IBRiS / Rz	27–28 Sep	1,067	32.9	33.1	10.1	7.4		9.1			1.0	6.4	0.2
United Surveys / WP.pl	20–21 Sep	1,000	31.0	34.2	10.5	8.7		8.4			0.0	7.2	3.2
Research Partner	13–16 Sep	1,040	30.0	30.0	9.1	8.8		10.7			2.6	8.8	Tie
CBOS	9–12 Sep	1,000	29	32	9	8		11			1	10	3
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat	9–10 Sep	1,000	32.1	32.9	10.8	8.4		9.3				6.5	0.8
Pollster / "SE.pl"	7–8 Sep	1,061	31.64	32.24	8.82	10.21		12.61			4.48		0.60
Pollster / "SE.pl"			25.65	30.86	8.59	10.13		11.65			13.12 [f]		5.21
Opinia24	3–5 Sep	1,000	30.8	31.3	10.5	9.1		12.3			0.7	5.3	0.5
Social Changes / wPolsce24	30 Aug – 2 Sep	1,190	33	34	11	9		11					1
United Surveys / WP.pl	30 Aug – 1 Sep	1,000	32.4	34.6	9.7	8.0		8.6			1.3	5.4	2.2
IBRiS / Rz	30–31 Aug	1,067	31.9	33.5	11.0	7.7		8.1				7.8	1.6
CBOS	26–29 Aug	1,000	28	32	6	9		16			1	9	4
Pollster / "SE.pl"	8 Aug	1,001	31.62	31.48	10.06	9.13		13.95			3.76		0.14
			30.41	31.16	10.47 [g]	9.03		14.43			4.50		0.75
Opinia24	5–8 Aug	1,000	27.8	33.9	11.4	8.2		12.4			1.4	4.9	6.1
United Surveys / WP.pl	26–28 Jul	1,100	28.3	33.0	10.9	9.9		9.6			1.9	6.4	4.7
IBRiS / Onet	24–25 Jul	1,100	29.0	32.1	10.5	8.7		11.9			0.4	7.4	3.1
Research Partner	19–22 Jul	1,040	28.9	30.7	8.6	8.3		12.0		2.5	1.2	7.8	1.8
CBOS	8–11 Jul	1,000	28	31	9	11		12			0	9	3
Opinia24	8–11 Jul	1,000	27.1	31.4	11.6	9.0		13.8			2.4	4.6	4.3
Pollster / "SE.pl"	8–9 Jul	1,028	33.31	35.06	9.21	9.0		13.30			0.21		1.75
United Surveys / WP.pl	5–8 Jul	1,000	27.2	31.2	9.0	7.7		11.0			0.0	13.9	4.0
CBOS	1–3 Jul	1,000	28	31	10	8		14			0	10	3
CBOS	24–27 Jun	1,000	30	32	11	9		11			1	6	2
United Surveys / WP.pl	21–23 Jun	1,000	33.7	34.4	10.8	6.2		11.9			0.5	2.5	0.7
IBRiS / Rz	21–22 Jun	1,067	32.7	34.0	9.2	6.3		10.8			0.4	6.6	1.3
IBRiS / Onet	18–19 Jun	1,100	32.1	33.8	8.7	6.9		9.0			0.3	9.2	1.7
Opinia24	10–11 Jun	1,001	28.8	33.2	7.6	8.1		11.5	0.6	3.5	0.7	6.2	4.4
European Parliament election	9 Jun	11,761,994	36.16	37.06	6.91	6.30		12.08		0.93	0.56		0.90
IBRiS	3 Jun	1,067	31.3	33.1	11.6	8.2		9.0			0.2	6.6	1.8
Opinia24	27–28 May	1,001	29.8	29.7	11.2	8.3		11.6	1.0	3.6	0.5	4.3	0.1
IBRiS / Rz	23–24 May	1,068	30.3	31.8	12.7	8.9		7.0			0	9.3	1.5
CBOS	20–23 May	1,000	30	30	9	9		9			1	13	Tie
Pollster / "SE.pl"	19 May	1,031	32.49	32.15	10.87	9.33		9.46		3.16	2.54		0.34
Opinia24	13–14 May	1,000	30.1	32.5	13.3	7.0		12.1			1.7	3.3	2.4
Research Partner	10–13 May	1,051	31.5	29.7	11.4	9.1		9.1		1.5	0.5	7.2	1.8
United Surveys / WP.pl	10–12 May	1,000	33.3	32.0	11.6	9.0		9.8			0.1	4.2	1.3
CBOS	22–26 Apr	1,000	26	28	11	7		14			2	12	2
United Surveys / WP.pl	19–21 Apr	1,000	32.1	32.6	12.1	8.6		7.6				7.0	0.5
IBRiS / Rz	19–20 Apr	1,071	31.4	28.9	13.5	8.8		8.2			3.7	5.7	2.5
Pollster / "SE.pl"	18–19 Apr	1,074	32.77	32.31	11.17	9.23		9.64	1.75	2.89	0.24		0.4
CBOS	8–11 Apr	1,000	23	35	10	5		14			2	11	12
Opinia24	8–9 Apr	1,000	26.4	33.8	11.8	6.6		8.5	2.0	4.5	0.6	5.8	7.4
Local elections	7 Apr	14,417,065	34.27	30.59	14.25	6.32		7.23		3.01	4.33		3.68
OGB	3–5 Apr	1,000	34.75	33.34	13.02	4.47		10.38	1.76	2.28			1.41
IBRiS / Onet	4 Apr	1,068	29.0	30.5	11.8	9.5		8.4			1.9	8.9	1.5
Opinia24	2–3 Apr	–	29.1	36.0	14.7	8.3		10.4			1.5		6.9
IBRiS / Rz	22–23 Mar	1,067	30.0	31.9	10.7	9.5		8.6				9.3	1.9
CBOS	18–22 Mar	1,000	24	29	9	8		13			1	17	5
Pollster / "SE.pl"	16–17 Mar	1,072	32.02	30.81	13.57	9.19		9.88	1.34	2.79	0.40		1.21
Research Partner	8–11 Mar	1,088	29.1	30.2	9.0	8.5		8.0			2.4	12.8	1.1
Opinia24	6–7 Mar	1,000	24.6	32.8	14.2	9.3		10.1	1.3	2.3	0.7	4.7	8.2
CBOS	4–7 Mar	1,000	23	29	12	9		11			2	13	6
CBM Indicator / DoRzeczy.pl	1–6 Mar	1,001	27	32	15	10		10			6 [h]		5
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM	22–26 Feb	1,000	30	29	13	6		12	2	3	1	4	1
United Surveys / WP.pl	23–25 Feb	1,000	28.2	32.6	15.2	8.5		9.1			1.1	5.3	4.4
IBRiS / Rz	23–24 Feb	1,071	30.1	32.6	14.7	8.7		7.6				6.3	2.5
CBOS	19–22 Feb	1,000	22	29	15	7		11			2	14	7
Pollster / TVP	15–16 Feb	1,034	30.85	31.17	17.07	8.20		8.06	2.23	1.74	0.68		0.32
IBSP / Stan Polityki	12–15 Feb	1,000	32.98	34.20	15.25	4.89		9.36	0.79	2.53			1.22
CBOS	12–15 Feb	1,000	24	29	11	8		11			2	15	5
Research Partner	9–12 Feb	1,081	30.1	29.8	13.6	9.3		6.8		1.6	1.1	7.7	0.3
Pollster / "SE.pl"	11 Feb	1,060	30.31	32.32	14.78	9.01		8.77	1.79	1.94	1.08		2.01
United Surveys / WP.pl	10–11 Feb	1,000	29.0	31.7	15.3	10.2		8.0			0.0	5.8	2.7
Opinia24	6–7 Feb	1,001	24.0	31.0	16.8	9.1		8.7	2.2	1.5	1.1	5.7	7.0
	31 Jan	President Andrzej Duda sends budget to the Constitutional Tribunal.
United Surveys / WP.pl	26–28 Jan	1,000	28.3	28.2	18.9	9.6		7.6			1.0	6.4	0.1
CBOS	22–26 Jan	1,000	24	29	14	9		11			5	9	5
Research Partner	19–22 Jan	1,119	30.3	30.1	13.5	10.1		6.7		2.2	1.1	6.0	0.2
Pollster / "SE.pl"	13–14 Jan	1,048	32.78	31.69	16.79	7.85		7.89	1.50	1.28	0.22		1.09
United Surveys / "WP.pl"	12–14 Jan	1,000	28.4	27.5	16.9	10.4		6.8			1.5	8.5	0.9
IBRiS / Rz	12–13 Jan	1,067	33.9	30.2	16.9	9.3		6.3			0.5	2.9	3.7
CBOS	8–12 Jan	1,000	29	29	10	7		10			4	12	Tie
Opinia24	8–9 Jan	1,002	26.3	24.3	17.3	9.4		10.9	0.9	1.7	0.3	8.9	2.0
IBRiS / Onet	5–8 Jan	1,000	34.2	32.0	14.1	8.8		5.0			0.9	5.0	2.2
2023 parliamentary election [9]	15 Oct	21,596,674 [9] [c]	35.39	30.70	14.41	8.61		7.17	1.63	1.86	0.23		4.69

2023

For events during the year, see 2023 in Poland.

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	United Right	Civic Coalition	Third Way	The Left	Confederation	Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy	There is One Poland	Others	Don't know	Lead
Pollster / “SE.pl”	17 Dec	1,033	33.15	31.28	16.95	8.37	6.73	1.46	1.74	0.32		1.87
United Surveys / WP.pl	15–17 Dec	1,000	33.0	28.4	19.1	8.7	7.7			0.8	2.3	4.6
	13 Dec	Third Cabinet of Donald Tusk takes office.
CBOS	2–8 Dec	1,000	30	25	13	9	9			3	12	5
IPSOS / More in Common Polska	1–8 Dec	1,507	31	26	15	10	7			3	5	5
Opinia24	5–6 Dec		29.2	24.7	17.3	8.0	8.0	1.7	1.2	0.3	9.6	4.5
United Surveys / WP.pl	1–3 Dec	1,000	35.2	28.8	16.0	10.0	7.7				2.3	6.4
IBRiS / Rz	1–2 Dec	1,071	31.5	27.0	17.6 [i]	9.3	9.0			1.8	3.8	4.5
CBOS	20–24 Nov	821	29	24	13	8	8			5	13	5
United Surveys / WP.pl	17–19 Nov	1,000	31.3	26.7	14.4	10.4	9.1			2.2	5.9	4.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl	10–13 Nov	1,081	33	32	14	9	9	2		1		1
Pollster / “SE.pl”	7–8 Nov	1,014	35.34	30.77	16.68	6.90	7.01	1.36	1.75	0.19		4.57
United Surveys / WP.pl	3–5 Nov	1,000	33.2	30.4	16.1	8.5	6.0			0.3	5.5	2.8
IBRiS / Rz	3–5 Nov	1,071	32.6	29.2	15.4 [j]	9.1	7.0			1.1	5.6	3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl	20–22 Oct	1,000	32.8	29.9	18.7	5.4	6.5			3.5	3.2	2.9
Parliamentary election [9]	15 Oct	21,596,674 [9] [c]	35.39	30.70	14.41	8.61	7.17	1.86	1.63	0.23		4.69

Seat projection

231 seats are needed for a Sejm majority, while 276 seats are needed for a three-fifths Sejm supermajority to override presidential vetoes. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.

Polling Firm/Link	Fieldwork Period	Sample Size	United Right	Civic Coalition	Poland 2050	Polish People's Party	The Left	Together	Confederation	Confederation of the Polish Crown	German Minority	Majority	KO+L+PSL+ PL2050
United Surveys / WP.pl	28 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	1,000	193	165	0	0	29	0	73	0	0	Hung	–36
IBRiS / Onet	29–30 Aug 2025	1,100	182	167	0	0	31	0	80	0	0	Hung	–32
Research Partner	22–25 Aug 2025	1,040	212	167	0	0	24	0	57	0	0	Hung	–39
United Surveys / WP.pl	13–16 Aug 2025	1,000	169	174	0	0	18	0	99	0	0	Hung	–38
OGB	6–13 Aug 2025	1,000	179	185	0	0	8	0	80	8	0	Hung	–37
United Surveys / WP.pl	25–27 Jul 2025	1,000	170	153	0	0	25	0	96	16	0	Hung	–52
United Surveys / WP.pl	11–13 Jul 2025	1,000	186	178	0	0	28	0	68	0	0	Hung	–24
OGB	4–11 Jul 2025	1,000	153	175	0	0	20	0	84	28	0	Hung	–35
United Surveys / WP.pl	27–29 Jun 2025	1,000	177	158	0	0	26	14	84	0	1	Hung	–46
IBRiS / Onet	23–24 Jun 2025	1,100	192	154	0	0	19	0	95	6	0	Hung	–57
United Surveys / WP.pl	6–8 Jun 2025	1,000	166	185	0		17	12	79		1	Hung	–28
IBRiS / Onet	26–27 May 2025	1,070	188	170	10		6	0	86		0	Hung	–44
Opinia24 / Radio ZET	23–26 May 2025	1,021	182	179	0		15	0	84		0	Hung	–36
IBRiS / Onet	12–13 May 2025	1,072	186	170	31		22	0	51		0	Hung	–7
United Surveys / WP.pl	7 May 2025	1,000	167	192	0		32	0	69		0	Hung	–6
United Surveys / WP.pl	28–29 Apr 2025	1,000	154	174	36		23	0	72		1	Hung	3
United Surveys / WP.pl	17–19 Apr 2025	1,000	168	162	31		30	0	68		1	Hung	–7
United Surveys / WP.pl	4–6 Apr 2025	1,000	163	202	0		11	0	84		0	Hung	–17
Pollster / Republika	3–4 Apr 2025	1,003	152	162	39		24		83		0	Hung	–5
Research Partner	21–24 Mar 2025	1,060	182	177	0		26		75		0	Hung	–27
United Surveys / WP.pl	21–23 Mar 2025	1,000	167	200	0		0	0	93		0	Hung	–30
United Surveys / WP.pl	21–24 Feb 2025	1,000	151	176	28		26	0	78		1	Hung	0
Research Partner	21–24 Feb 2025	1,050	174	156	34		29		67		0	Hung	–11
United Surveys / WP.pl	8–9 Feb 2025	1,000	166	179	31		24	0	59		0	Hung	4
Research Partner	24–27 Jan 2025	1,060	180	159	37		22		62		0	Hung	–12
United Surveys / WP.pl	24–26 Jan 2025	1,000	165	175	31		30	0	58		1	Hung	6
IBRiS / Rz	10–11 Jan 2025	1,068	184	167	35		18	0	57		0	Hung	–10
Research Partner	8–11 Nov 2024	1,080	177	174	42		22		45		0	Hung	8
United Surveys / WP.pl	8–10 Nov 2024	1,000	172	186	33		23		45		1	Hung	12
United Surveys / WP.pl	25–27 Oct 2024	1,000	155	184	43		33		44		1	Hung	30
Opinia24 / "GW"	7–9 Oct 2024	1,000	188	185	23		10		54		0	Hung	-12
Research Partner	13–16 Sep 2024	1,040	179	164	36		33		48		0	Hung	3
United Surveys / WP.pl	30 Aug – 1 Sep 2024	1,000	174	188	38		28		31		1	Hung	24
United Surveys / WP.pl	26–28 Jul 2024	1,000	153	183	46		40		38		0	Hung	39
IBRiS / Onet	24–25 Jul 2024	1,100	165	169	45		28		53		0	Hung	12
Research Partner	19–22 Jul 2024	1,040	174	168	34		28		56		0	Hung	0
IBRiS / Onet	18–19 Jun 2024	1,100	186	183	33		20		38		0	Hung	6
IBRiS	3 Jun 2024	1,067	179	174	48		25		34		0	Hung	17
Opinia24	13–14 May 2024	1,000	168	163	60		18		51		0	Hung	11
Research Partner	10–13 May 2024	1,051	180	156	51		33		39		1	Hung	10
United Surveys / WP.pl	19-21 Apr 2024	1,000	173	176	53		32		25		0	Hung	31
OGB	3–5 Apr 2024	1,000	189	175	53		0		42		1	Hung	–2
IBRiS / Onet	4 Apr 2024	1,068	165	175	52		38		30		0	Hung	35
Research Partner	8–11 Mar 2024	1,088	180	170	42		35		33		0	Hung	17
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM	22–26 Feb 2024	1,000	176	157	63		12		52		0	Hung	2
Pollster / TVP	15–16 Feb 2024	1,034	169	156	80		26		29		0	Hung	32
IBSP / Stan Polityki	12–15 Feb 2024	1,000	178	173	69		0		39		1	Hung	12
Research Partner	9–12 Feb 2024	1,081	176	159	66		40		19		1	Hung	35
IBRiS / Rz	12–13 Jan 2024	1,000	177	155	78		34		16		0	Hung	37
IBRiS / Onet	5–8 Jan 2024	1,000	194	166	67		29		4		0	Hung	32
Parliamentary election [9]	15 Oct 2023	21,596,674 [9] [c]	194	157	65		26		18		0	Hung	18

Senate seats projection

51 seats are needed for a Senate majority, while 374 seats are needed for a two-thirds National Assembly (Senate + Sejm) supermajority to impeach the president. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.

Polling Firm/Link	Fieldwork Period	Sample Size	Senate Pact					United Right	Confederation	Majority
			Civic Coalition	Polish Coalition	Poland 2050	The Left	SP Ind
Research Partner	19–22 Jul 2024	1,040	70					30	0	20
Research Partner	9–12 Feb 2024	1,081	74					26	0	24
Parliamentary election [9]	15 Oct 2023	21,402,998 [9] [k]	66					34	0	16

Government approval ratings

See also: Opinion polling on the Andrzej Duda presidency

President Karol Nawrocki

Main article: Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Approve	Disapprove	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
2–3 Sep 2025	SW Research / Onet	830	42.9	32.2		24.9	10.7
6–13 Aug 2025	OGB	1,000	41.7	32.7		25.6	9.0

Prime Minister Donald Tusk

Graphical summary of approval polls

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Approve	Disapprove	Neither	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
3–13 Jul 2025	CBOS	970	31	58		10	–27
27–28 Jun 2025	IBRiS / Radio ZET	1,067	29.9	57.3		12.8	–27.4
5–15 Jun 2025	CBOS	971	32	58		10	–26
5–8 May 2025	AtlasIntel	5,071	36.4	55.7		7.9	-19.3
3–13 Apr 2025	CBOS	1,030	37	51		12	–14
6–16 Mar 2025	CBOS	1,047	38	50		12	–12
6–16 Feb 2025	CBOS	965	37	51		12	–14
20–22 Dec 2024	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	47.1	48.7		4.2	–1.6
8–21 Nov 2024	CBOS	981	37	51		12	–14
11–12 Oct 2024	IBRiS / Onet	1,071	39.3	52.5		8.3	–13.2
27–28 Sep 2024	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	45.6	44.3		10.1	1.3
12–22 Sep 2024	CBOS	941	38	50		12	–12
14–25 Aug 2024	CBOS	939	35	53		13	–18
24–25 Jul 2024	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	42.9	42.4		14.6	0.5
7–9 Jun 2024	United Surveys / DGP, RMF	1,000	34.5	32.5	32.2	0.9	2.0
22–23 Apr 2024	IBRiS / Onet	–	45.0	49.0		5.7	–4.0
8–18 Apr 2024	CBOS	1,079	41	48		11	–7
22–23 Mar 2024	IBRiS / Onet	–	39.2	51.4		9.3	–12.2
7–17 Mar 2024	CBOS	1,089	44	43		13	1
8–18 Feb 2024	CBOS	994	46	41		13	5
23–24 Feb 2024	IBRiS / Onet	1,100	37.6	46.0		16.4	–8.4
30 Jan–5 Feb 2024	CBOS	994	43	47		10	–4

Government

Graphical summary of approval polls

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Approve	Disapprove	Neither	Don't know	Net approval	Notes
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025	CBOS	917	30	46	22	2	–16	Tusk's government
6–13 Aug 2025	OGB	1,000	23.5	55.6	20.9		–32.1	Tusk's government
3–13 Jul 2025	CBOS	970	32	48	17	3	–16	Tusk's government
4–11 Jul 2025	OGB	1,000	27.0	50.4	22.6		–23.4	Tusk's government
5–15 Jun 2025	CBOS	971	32	47	19	2	–15	Tusk's government
22–24 May 2025	OGB	800	33.18	46.76	20.06		–13.58	Tusk's government
5–14 May 2025	CBOS	1,080	32	44	20	4	–12	Tusk's government
5–8 May 2025	AtlasIntel	5,071	35.9	55.2		8.8	–19.3
3–13 Apr 2025	CBOS	1,030	34	40	22	4	–6	Tusk's government
6–16 Mar 2025	CBOS	1,047	36	38	23	3	–2	Tusk's government
17–21 Feb 2025	Opinia24 / RMF FM	972	31	57		12	–26	Tusk's government
6–16 Feb 2025	CBOS	965	36	39	21	3	–3	Tusk's government
9–19 Jan 2025	CBOS	972	31	43	23	3	–12	Tusk's government
6–8 Dec 2024	United Surveys / DGP, RMF	1,000	34.6	51.4		8.9	–16.8	Tusk's government
28 Nov–8 Dec 2024	CBOS	915	32	40	24	4	–8	Tusk's government
8–21 Nov 2024	CBOS	981	34	40	24	2	–6	Tusk's government
Oct 2024	United Surveys / DGP, RMF	–	38.1	32.5	27.6	1.8	5.6	Tusk's government
3–13 Oct 2024	CBOS	1,025	34	39	24	3	–5	Tusk's government
11–12 Oct 2024	IBRiS / Onet	1,071	42.8	53.4		3.8	–10.6
12–22 Sep 2024	CBOS	941	35	38	23	4	–3	Tusk's government
10–20 Sep 2024	IPSOS / More in Common Polska	1,504	27	39	34		–12	Government of KO, TD and The Left
14–25 Aug 2024	CBOS	939	32	40	25	3	–8	Tusk's government
4–14 Jul 2024	CBOS	1,076	33	40	24	3	–7	Tusk's government
10–20 Jun 2024	CBOS	1,055	36	36	26	3	0	Tusk's government
20 May–2 Jun 2024	CBOS	1,015	37	37	24	2	0	Tusk's government
10–12 May 2024	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	50.1	46.2		3.7	3.9	Tusk's government
8–18 Apr 2024	CBOS	1,079	35	37	25	3	–2	Tusk's government
7–17 Mar 2024	CBOS	1,089	37	38	22	3	–1	Tusk's government
8–18 Feb 2024	CBOS	994	41	34	22	3	7	Tusk's government
11–21 Jan 2024	CBOS	1,015	39	39	19	3	0	Tusk's government
12–14 Jan 2024	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	54.5	40.3		5.2	14.2	Tusk's government
12–13 Jan 2024	IBRiS / Rz	1,067	56.3	36.9		6.8	19.4	Tusk's government

Other opinion polling

Government actions regarding 2024 floods

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Question wording	Positively	Negatively	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
Dec 2024	Opinia24 / RMF FM	1,000	How [well] did the government deal with removing the effects of the floods and helping people affected?	38	49	13	–11
29–30 Sep 2024	Pollster / "19:30"	1,047	How do you assess the government's action during the floods?	48	40	12	8
Sep 2024	UCE Research / Onet	–	Is the government doing a good job of tackling the extreme flooding in southern Poland?	44.7	42.8	12.5	1.9
20–21 Sep 2024	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	How do you assess the government's actions regarding the flood and removing its effects?	53.3	38.2	8.5	15.1

Should Donald Tusk be replaced as Prime Minister?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Question wording	Remain	Replace	Don't know/Neutral	Net approval
25–27 Jul 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	Do you believe that Donald Tusk should resign and stop functioning as Prime Minister?	48.6	43.8	7.6	4.8
22–23 Jul 2025	SW Research / Rz	800	Would the coalition government function better if it was led by someone other than Donald Tusk?	30.8	37.9	31.3	-7.1
1–2 Jul 2025	SW Research / Rz	800	Do you believe that as part of the cabinet reconstruction the coalition shoud replace the Prime Minister?	32.3	45.4	22.4	-13.1
27–29 Jun 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	Do you believe Donald Tusk should... resign/remain as Prime Minister	41.2	41.5	17.3	-0.3
6–8 Jun 2025	United Surveys / WP.pl	1,000	Do you agree with the statement that Donald Tusk should resign as Prime Minister?	44.8	43.3	11.9	1.5

Who could replace Donald Tusk as Prime Minister?

Date(s) conducted	Polling firm/Link	Sample size	Question wording	Tusk (PO) remains	Czarzasty (NL)	Hołownia (PL2050)	Kosiniak-Kamysz (PSL)	Sikorski (PO)	Trzaskowski (PO)	Others	Nobody from the coalition	Don't know/Neutral
13–14 Aug 2025	IBRiS / Radio ZET	1,607	Would Radosław Sikorski be a better Prime Minister than Donald Tusk?	40.6	—	—	—	34.7	—	—	—	24.8
5–6 Aug 2025	SW Research / Rz	800	In your opinion, would Radosław Sikorski be a better Prime Minister than Donald Tusk?	15.5	—	—	—	26.8	—	—	—	57.7
25–28 Jul 2025	Pollster / "SE.pl"	1,047	Who should be the Prime Minister of the government?	38	2	11	11	17	13	8 [l]	—	—
8–9 Jul 2025	SW Research / Onet	816	Would Radosław Sikorski be a better Prime Minister than Donald Tusk?	31.4	—	—	—	33.3	—	—	—	35.3
1–2 Jul 2025	SW Research / Rz	800	If the ruling coalition decided to change the Prime Minister, who should replace Donald Tusk?	—	3.0	7.3	6.7	17.6	12.6	17.6 [m]	19.7	15.5

Notes

1.   Coalition
   • Civic Coalition
   • Poland 2050
   • Polish People's Party
   • New Left
     PiS and KWiN
   • Law and Justice
   • Confederation Liberty and Independence
      Razem
      Confederation of the Polish Crown
     Coalition and Razem
   • Civic Coalition
   • Poland 2050
   • Polish People's Party
   • New Left
   • Razem
     Right-wing opposition
   • Law and Justice
   • Confederation Liberty and Independence
   • Confederation of the Polish Crown
     Parliamentary opposition
   • Law and Justice
   • Confederation Liberty and Independence
   • Razem
   • Confederation of the Polish Crown
2. Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy – 0.5
3. Turnout: 74.38%
4. Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy: 1.86%
   There is One Poland: 1.63%
   German Minority Electoral Committee: 0.12%
   Prosperity and Peace Movement: 0.12%
   Normal Country: 0.02%
   Anti-party: 0.01%
   Repair Poland Movement: 0.003%
5. Poland 2050 – 6.7, Polish People's Party – 4.1
6. hypothetical party of Andrzej Duda – 9.20
7. Poland 2050 – 8.80, Polish People's Party – 1.67
8. Sovereign Poland – 4
9. Poland 2050 – 10.3, Polish People's Party – 7.3
10. Polish People's Party – 7.8, Poland 2050 – 7.6
11. Turnout: 74.31%
12. Krzysztof Gawkowski (NL) – 2
13. Magdalena Biejat (NL) – 5.4

References

1. "Sejm of the Republic of Poland". www.sejm.gov.pl. Retrieved 2023-10-25.
2. "Błędne sondaże przed wyborami! Fala komentarzy w sieci". wpolityce.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2025-05-20.
3. "Test".
4. "Test".
5. "Niepewne sondaże". niepewnesondaze.blogspot.com. Retrieved 2025-05-16.
6. "Test".
7. "Koniec Trzeciej Drogi. Szef PSL: miało być trochę inaczej". tvn24.pl (in Polish). 2025-06-17. Retrieved 2025-06-18.
8. "Dwóch posłów opuszcza klub parlamentarny Konfederacji. To ludzie Grzegorza Brauna". wp.pl (in Polish). 10 March 2025. Retrieved 29 May 2025.
9. "Wybory do Sejmu i Senatu Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2023 r." wybory.gov.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2023-10-25.

External links

• ewybory.eu - List of all polls
• wnp.pl - List of all polls