Graphical summary
In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 15 October 2023, to the day of the next election.
To be represented in parliament electoral committees which are registered as political parties must reach an electoral threshold of 5% and those registered as coalitions must reach 8%. [1]
The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations
| Poll Aggregator/Link | Last Update | United Right | Civic Coalition | Third Way | The Left | Confederation | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politico | 7 Dec | 32 | 35 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| ewybory.eu | 1 Dec | 31.5 | 33.2 | 8.9 | 6.8 | 10.6 | 1.3 |
The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:
| Pollster | Alleged bias | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Research Partner | The company has strong ties to the Law and Justice party, and has consistently overestimated its support in past elections above the standard deviation of polling. | [2] [3] |
| CBOS | The institute is under the supervision of the Prime Minister of Poland, and is partially funded from the state budget. As such, it has been accused of greatly underestimating parties belonging to the opposition at any given moment for about the past 20 years. | [4] [5] |
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | United Right | Civic Coalition | Third Way | The Left | Together | Confederation | There is One Poland | Nonpartisan Local Government Activists | Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinia24 / RMF FM | Dec | 1,000 | 28.9 | 31.9 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 14.2 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 3.0 | ||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 10–11 Dec | 1,005 | 32.38 | 33.19 | 8.11 | 7.34 | 1.47 | 13.18 | 4.33 | 0.81 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–8 Dec | 1,000 | 32.3 | 33.2 | 9.9 | 8.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 0.9 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 6–7 Dec | 1,071 | 34.8 | 34.5 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 6.6 | 0.3 | |||
| Opinia24 | 3–6 Dec | 1,001 | 29.2 | 32.1 | 9.9 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 13.7 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 2.9 | ||
| CBOS | 2–4 Dec | 1,000 | 30 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 3 | ||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 25–26 Nov | 1,015 | 30.45 | 32.86 | 9.11 | 8.21 | 1.12 | 13.06 | 1.60 | 2.39 | 1.20 | 2.41 | |
| Opinia24 / TVN24 | 24 Nov | 1,000 | 32 | 35 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 22–24 Nov | 1,000 | 29.9 | 32.5 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 2.6 | |||
| CBOS | 18–20 Nov | 1,000 | 31 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 1 | ||
| Opinia24 / ZET | 15–18 Nov | 1,000 | 32 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| Opinia24 | 12–15 Nov | 1,001 | 30.0 | 34.0 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 4.0 | |||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 12–13 Nov | 1,044 | 34.30 | 32.32 | 7.68 | 5.82 | 1.53 | 13.51 | 0.97 | 3.00 | 0.87 | 1.98 | |
| Research Partner | 8–11 Nov | 1,080 | 29.4 | 32.1 | 9.4 | 7.2 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 2.7 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 8–10 Nov | 1,000 | 31.7 | 34.0 | 8.8 | 7.1 | 10.8 | 0.5 | 7.1 | 2.3 | |||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 8–10 Nov | 1,000 | 29.4 | 32.4 | 10.8 [a] | 7.6 | 0.5 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 3.0 | |||
| CBOS | 4–6 Nov | 1,000 | 25 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 9 | ||
| 27 Oct | Left Together leaves The Left alliance and joins the opposition. | ||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct | 1,000 | 28.9 | 33.6 | 10.4 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 4.7 | ||||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 25–26 Oct | 1,069 | 29.6 | 31.3 | 9.8 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 11.2 | 1.7 | ||||
| CBOS | 21–24 Oct | 1,000 | 29 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 4 | |||
| Opinia24 / TVN24 | 15–18 Oct | 1,001 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 12.2 | 0.4 | 5.0 | 0.9 | |||
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 11–14 Oct | 1,000 | 31.3 | 30.7 | 9.3 | 7.3 | 9.8 | 11.5 | 0.6 | ||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 11–13 Oct | 1,000 | 33.3 | 33.5 | 10.1 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 0.2 | |||
| CBOS | 7–10 Oct | 1,000 | 28 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 1 | |||
| Opinia24 / "GW" | 7–9 Oct | 1,000 | 33.5 | 35.3 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 12.5 | 3.7 | 1.8 | ||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 5–6 Oct | 1,007 | 31.40 | 31.94 | 10.69 | 8.72 | 13.69 | 3.56 | 0.54 | ||||
| Pollster / "19:30" | 29–30 Sep | 1,047 | 31.90 | 33.99 | 10.51 | 9.92 | 12.44 | 1.24 | 2.09 | ||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 27–29 Sep | 1,000 | 29.5 | 34.1 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 10.5 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 4.6 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 27–28 Sep | 1,067 | 32.9 | 33.1 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 0.2 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 20–21 Sep | 1,000 | 31.0 | 34.2 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 3.2 | |||
| Research Partner | 13–16 Sep | 1,040 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 8.8 | Tie | |||
| CBOS | 9–12 Sep | 1,000 | 29 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 3 | |||
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 9–10 Sep | 1,000 | 32.1 | 32.9 | 10.8 | 8.4 | 9.3 | 6.5 | 0.8 | ||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 7–8 Sep | 1,061 | 31.64 | 32.24 | 8.82 | 10.21 | 12.61 | 4.48 | 0.60 | ||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 25.65 | 30.86 | 8.59 | 10.13 | 11.65 | 13.12 [b] | 5.21 | ||||||
| Opinia24 | 3–5 Sep | 1,000 | 30.8 | 31.3 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 12.3 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 0.5 | |||
| Social Changes / wPolsce24 | 30 Aug–2 Sep | 1,190 | 33 | 34 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 1 | |||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 30 Aug–1 Sep | 1,000 | 32.4 | 34.6 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 5.4 | 2.2 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 30–31 Aug | 1,067 | 31.9 | 33.5 | 11.0 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| CBOS | 26–29 Aug | 1,000 | 28 | 32 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 4 | |||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 8 Aug | 1,001 | 31.62 | 31.48 | 10.06 | 9.13 | 13.95 | 3.76 | 0.14 | ||||
| 30.41 | 31.16 | 10.47 [c] | 9.03 | 14.43 | 4.50 | 0.75 | |||||||
| Opinia24 | 5–8 Aug | 1,000 | 27.8 | 33.9 | 11.4 | 8.2 | 12.4 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 6.1 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jul | 1,100 | 28.3 | 33.0 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 4.7 | |||
| IBRiS / Onet | 24–25 Jul | 1,100 | 29.0 | 32.1 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 11.9 | 0.4 | 7.4 | 3.1 | |||
| Research Partner | 19–22 Jul | 1,040 | 28.9 | 30.7 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 1.8 | ||
| CBOS | 8–11 Jul | 1,000 | 28 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 3 | |||
| Opinia24 | 8–11 Jul | 1,000 | 27.1 | 31.4 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 4.3 | |||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 8–9 Jul | 1,028 | 33.31 | 35.06 | 9.21 | 9.0 | 13.30 | 0.21 | 1.75 | ||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 5–8 Jul | 1,000 | 27.2 | 31.2 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 13.9 | 4.0 | |||
| CBOS | 1–3 Jul | 1,000 | 28 | 31 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 3 | |||
| CBOS | 24–27 Jun | 1,000 | 30 | 32 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 2 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 21–23 Jun | 1,000 | 33.7 | 34.4 | 10.8 | 6.2 | 11.9 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 21–22 Jun | 1,067 | 32.7 | 34.0 | 9.2 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 1.3 | |||
| IBRiS / Onet | 18–19 Jun | 1,100 | 32.1 | 33.8 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 9.2 | 1.7 | |||
| Opinia24 | 10–11 Jun | 1,001 | 28.8 | 33.2 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 4.4 | |
| European Parliament election | 9 Jun | 11,761,994 | 36.16 | 37.06 | 6.91 | 6.30 | 12.08 | 0.93 | 0.56 | 0.90 | |||
| IBRiS | 3 Jun | 1,067 | 31.3 | 33.1 | 11.6 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 1.8 | |||
| Opinia24 | 27–28 May | 1,001 | 29.8 | 29.7 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 0.1 | |
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 23–24 May | 1,068 | 30.3 | 31.8 | 12.7 | 8.9 | 7.0 | 0 | 9.3 | 1.5 | |||
| CBOS | 20–23 May | 1,000 | 30 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 13 | Tie | |||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 19 May | 1,031 | 32.49 | 32.15 | 10.87 | 9.33 | 9.46 | 3.16 | 2.54 | 0.34 | |||
| Opinia24 | 13–14 May | 1,000 | 30.1 | 32.5 | 13.3 | 7.0 | 12.1 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 2.4 | |||
| Research Partner | 10–13 May | 1,051 | 31.5 | 29.7 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 1.8 | ||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–12 May | 1,000 | 33.3 | 32.0 | 11.6 | 9.0 | 9.8 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | |||
| CBOS | 22–26 Apr | 1,000 | 26 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 2 | |||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 19–21 Apr | 1,000 | 32.1 | 32.6 | 12.1 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 7.0 | 0.5 | ||||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 19–20 Apr | 1,071 | 31.4 | 28.9 | 13.5 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | |||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 18–19 Apr | 1,074 | 32.77 | 32.31 | 11.17 | 9.23 | 9.64 | 1.75 | 2.89 | 0.24 | 0.4 | ||
| CBOS | 8–11 Apr | 1,000 | 23 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Opinia24 | 8–9 Apr | 1,000 | 26.4 | 33.8 | 11.8 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 7.4 | |
| Local elections | 7 Apr | 14,417,065 | 34.27 | 30.59 | 14.25 | 6.32 | 7.23 | 3.01 | 4.33 | 3.68 | |||
| OGB | 3–5 Apr | 1,000 | 34.75 | 33.34 | 13.02 | 4.47 | 10.38 | 1.76 | 2.28 | 1.41 | |||
| IBRiS / Onet | 4 Apr | 1,068 | 29.0 | 30.5 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 8.9 | 1.5 | |||
| Opinia24 | 2-3 Apr | – | 29.1 | 36.0 | 14.7 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 1.5 | 6.9 | ||||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 22–23 Mar | 1,067 | 30.0 | 31.9 | 10.7 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| CBOS | 18–22 Mar | 1,000 | 24 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 5 | |||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 16–17 Mar | 1,072 | 32.02 | 30.81 | 13.57 | 9.19 | 9.88 | 1.34 | 2.79 | 0.40 | 1.21 | ||
| Research Partner | 8–11 Mar | 1,088 | 29.1 | 30.2 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 2.4 | 12.8 | 1.1 | |||
| Opinia24 | 6–7 Mar | 1,000 | 24.6 | 32.8 | 14.2 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 8.2 | |
| CBOS | 4–7 Mar | 1,000 | 23 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 6 | |||
| CBM Indicator / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–6 Mar | 1,001 | 27 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 6 [d] | 5 | ||||
| IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 22–26 Feb | 1,000 | 30 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 23–25 Feb | 1,000 | 28.2 | 32.6 | 15.2 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.4 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 23–24 Feb | 1,071 | 30.1 | 32.6 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 7.6 | 6.3 | 2.5 | ||||
| CBOS | 19–22 Feb | 1,000 | 22 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 7 | |||
| Pollster / TVP | 15–16 Feb | 1,034 | 30.85 | 31.17 | 17.07 | 8.20 | 8.06 | 2.23 | 1.74 | 0.68 | 0.32 | ||
| IBSP / Stan Polityki | 12–15 Feb | 1,000 | 32.98 | 34.20 | 15.25 | 4.89 | 9.36 | 0.79 | 2.53 | 1.22 | |||
| CBOS | 12–15 Feb | 1,000 | 24 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 5 | |||
| Research Partner | 9–12 Feb | 1,081 | 30.1 | 29.8 | 13.6 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7.7 | 0.3 | ||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 11 Feb | 1,060 | 30.31 | 32.32 | 14.78 | 9.01 | 8.77 | 1.79 | 1.94 | 1.08 | 2.01 | ||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–11 Feb | 1,000 | 29.0 | 31.7 | 15.3 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 2.7 | |||
| Opinia24 | 6–7 Feb | 1,001 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 16.8 | 9.1 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 7.0 | |
| President Andrzej Duda sends budget to the Constitutional Tribunal. | |||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jan | 1,000 | 28.3 | 28.2 | 18.9 | 9.6 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 0.1 | |||
| CBOS | 22–26 Jan | 1,000 | 24 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 5 | |||
| Research Partner | 19–22 Jan | 1,119 | 30.3 | 30.1 | 13.5 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 0.2 | ||
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 13–14 Jan | 1,048 | 32.78 | 31.69 | 16.79 | 7.85 | 7.89 | 1.50 | 1.28 | 0.22 | 1.09 | ||
| United Surveys / "WP.pl" | 12–14 Jan | 1,000 | 28.4 | 27.5 | 16.9 | 10.4 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 0.9 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 12–13 Jan | 1,067 | 33.9 | 30.2 | 16.9 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 3.7 | |||
| CBOS | 8–12 Jan | 1,000 | 29 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 12 | Tie | |||
| Opinia24 | 8–9 Jan | 1,002 | 26.3 | 24.3 | 17.3 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 8.9 | 2.0 | |
| IBRiS / Onet | 5–8 Jan | 1,000 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 2.2 | |||
| 2023 parliamentary election [6] | 15 Oct | 21,596,674 [6] [e] | 35.38 | 30.70 | 14.40 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 1.63 | 1.86 | 0.22 | 4.68 | ||
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | United Right | Civic Coalition | Third Way | The Left | Confederation | Nonpartisan Local Government Activists | There is One Poland | Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster / SE.pl | 17 Dec | 1,033 | 33.15 | 31.28 | 16.95 | 8.37 | 6.73 | 1.46 | 1.74 | 0.32 | 1.87 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 15–17 Dec | 1,000 | 33.0 | 28.4 | 19.1 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | ||
| CBOS | 2–8 Dec | 1,000 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 5 | ||
| IPSOS / More in Common Polska | 1–8 Dec | 1,507 | 31 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | ||
| Opinia24 | 5–6 Dec | 29.2 | 24.7 | 17.3 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 9.6 | 4.5 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 1–3 Dec | 1,000 | 35.2 | 28.8 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 6.4 | |||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 1–2 Dec | 1,071 | 31.5 | 27.0 | 17.6 [f] | 9.3 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 4.5 | ||
| CBOS | 20–24 Nov | 821 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | ||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 17–19 Nov | 1,000 | 31.3 | 26.7 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 4.6 | ||
| Social Changes / wPolityce.pl | 10–13 Nov | 1,081 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 7–8 Nov | 1,014 | 35.34 | 30.77 | 16.68 | 6.90 | 7.01 | 1.36 | 1.75 | 0.19 | 4.57 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 3–5 Nov | 1,000 | 33.2 | 30.4 | 16.1 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | ||
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 3–5 Nov | 1,071 | 32.6 | 29.2 | 15.4 [g] | 9.1 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 3.4 | ||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 20–22 Oct | 1,000 | 32.8 | 29.9 | 18.7 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | ||
| Parliamentary election [6] | 15 Oct | 21,596,674 [6] [e] | 35.38 | 30.70 | 14.40 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 1.86 | 1.63 | 0.22 | 4.68 | |
231 seats are needed for a Sejm majority, while 276 seats are needed for a three-fifths Sejm supermajority to override presidential vetoes. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.
| Polling Firm/Link | Fieldwork Period | Sample Size | United Right | Civic Coalition | Third Way | The Left | Confederation | German Minority | Majority | KO+TD | KO+L+TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Partner | 8–11 Nov 2024 | 1,080 | 177 | 174 | 42 | 22 | 45 | 0 | Hung | -14 | 8 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 8–10 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 172 | 186 | 33 | 23 | 45 | 1 | Hung | -11 | 12 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 155 | 184 | 43 | 33 | 44 | 1 | Hung | -3 | 30 |
| Opinia24 / "GW" | 7–9 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 188 | 185 | 23 | 10 | 54 | 0 | Hung | -22 | -12 |
| Research Partner | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 1,040 | 179 | 164 | 36 | 33 | 48 | 0 | Hung | -30 | 3 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 30 Aug–1 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | 174 | 188 | 38 | 28 | 31 | 1 | Hung | -4 | 24 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 153 | 183 | 46 | 40 | 38 | 0 | Hung | –1 | 39 |
| IBRiS / Onet | 24–25 Jul 2024 | 1,100 | 165 | 169 | 45 | 28 | 53 | 0 | Hung | –16 | 12 |
| Research Partner | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 1,040 | 174 | 168 | 34 | 28 | 56 | 0 | Hung | –28 | 0 |
| IBRiS / Onet | 18–19 Jun 2024 | 1,100 | 186 | 183 | 33 | 20 | 38 | 0 | Hung | –14 | 6 |
| IBRiS | 3 Jun 2024 | 1,067 | 179 | 174 | 48 | 25 | 34 | 0 | Hung | –8 | 17 |
| Opinia24 | 13–14 May | 1,000 | 168 | 163 | 60 | 18 | 51 | 0 | Hung | –7 | 11 |
| Research Partner | 10–13 May | 1,051 | 180 | 156 | 51 | 33 | 39 | 1 | Hung | –23 | 10 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 19-21 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 173 | 176 | 53 | 32 | 25 | 0 | Hung | –1 | 31 |
| OGB | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 189 | 175 | 53 | 0 | 42 | 1 | Hung | –2 | –2 |
| IBRiS / Onet | 4 Apr 2024 | 1,068 | 165 | 175 | 52 | 38 | 30 | 0 | Hung | –3 | 35 |
| Research Partner | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 1,088 | 180 | 170 | 42 | 35 | 33 | 0 | Hung | –18 | 17 |
| IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 176 | 157 | 63 | 12 | 52 | 0 | Hung | –10 | 2 |
| Pollster / TVP | 15–16 Feb 2024 | 1,034 | 169 | 156 | 80 | 26 | 29 | 0 | Hung | 6 | 32 |
| IBSP / Stan Polityki | 12–15 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 178 | 173 | 69 | 0 | 39 | 1 | Hung | 12 | 12 |
| Research Partner | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 176 | 159 | 66 | 40 | 19 | 1 | Hung | –5 | 35 |
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 12–13 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 177 | 155 | 78 | 34 | 16 | 0 | Hung | 3 | 37 |
| IBRiS / Onet | 5–8 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 194 | 166 | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | Hung | 3 | 32 |
| Parliamentary election [6] | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674 [6] [e] | 194 | 157 | 65 | 26 | 18 | 0 | Hung | –8 | 18 |
51 seats are needed for a Senate majority, while 374 seats are needed for a two-thirds National Assembly (Senate + Sejm) supermajority to impeach the president. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.
| Polling Firm/Link | Fieldwork Period | Sample Size | Senate Pact | United Right | Confederation | Majority | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civic Coalition | Polish Coalition | Poland 2050 | The Left | SP Ind | |||||||
| Research Partner | 19–22 Jul 2024 | 1,040 | 70 | 30 | 0 | 20 | |||||
| Research Partner | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 1,081 | 74 | 26 | 0 | 24 | |||||
| Parliamentary election [6] | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,402,998 [6] [h] | 66 | 34 | 0 | 16 | |||||
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov–8 Dec 2024 | CBOS | 915 | 48 | 45 | 7 | 3 |
| 3–13 Oct 2024 | CBOS | 1,025 | 43 | 46 | 11 | –3 |
| 27–28 Sep 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 44.1 | 39.3 | 16.6 | 4.8 |
| 12–22 Sep 2024 | CBOS | 941 | 44 | 47 | 9 | –3 |
| Aug 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 41.0 | 48.6 | 10.4 | –7.6 |
| 14–25 Aug 2024 | CBOS | 939 | 43 | 48 | 9 | –5 |
| 24–25 Jul 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 40.3 | 49.1 | 10.5 | –8.8 |
| 4–14 Jul 2024 | CBOS | 1,076 | 47 | 47 | 6 | Tie |
| 20 May–2 Jun 2024 | CBOS | 1,038 | 42 | 49 | 9 | –7 |
| 22–23 Apr 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | – | 44.5 | 45.3 | 9.8 | –0.8 |
| 8–18 Apr 2024 | CBOS | 1,079 | 44 | 49 | 7 | –5 |
| 22–23 Mar 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | – | 39.7 | 51.4 | 8.9 | –11.7 |
| 7–17 Mar 2024 | CBOS | 1,089 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 11 |
| 8–18 Feb 2024 | CBOS | 994 | 44 | 45 | 11 | –1 |
| 23–24 Feb 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 40.9 | 50.6 | 8.5 | –9.7 |
| 8–18 Feb 2024 | CBOS | 994 | 40 | 52 | –12 | |
| 11–21 Jan 2024 | CBOS | 1,015 | 46 | 42 | 4 | |
| 11–21 Jan 2024 | CBOS | 1,015 | 43 | 49 | 8 | –6 |
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Neither | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–21 Nov 2024 | CBOS | 981 | 37 | 51 | 12 | –14 | |
| 11–12 Oct 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,071 | 39.3 | 52.5 | 8.3 | –13.2 | |
| 27–28 Sep 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 45.6 | 44.3 | 10.1 | 1.3 | |
| 12–22 Sep 2024 | CBOS | 941 | 38 | 50 | 12 | –12 | |
| 14–25 Aug 2024 | CBOS | 939 | 35 | 53 | 13 | –18 | |
| 24–25 Jul 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 42.9 | 42.4 | 14.6 | 0.5 | |
| 7–9 Jun 2024 | United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 1,000 | 34.5 | 32.5 | 32.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| 22–23 Apr 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | – | 45.0 | 49.0 | 5.7 | –4.0 | |
| 8–18 Apr 2024 | CBOS | 1,079 | 41 | 48 | 11 | –7 | |
| 22–23 Mar 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | – | 39.2 | 51.4 | 9.3 | –12.2 | |
| 7–17 Mar 2024 | CBOS | 1,089 | 44 | 43 | 13 | 1 | |
| 8–18 Feb 2024 | CBOS | 994 | 46 | 41 | 13 | 5 | |
| 23–24 Feb 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,100 | 37.6 | 46.0 | 16.4 | –8.4 | |
| 30 Jan –5 Feb 2024 | CBOS | 994 | 43 | 47 | 10 | –4 | |
| Morning Consult | 52 | 38 | 14 |
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Neither | Don't know | Net approval | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6–8 Dec 2024 | United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 1,000 | 34.6 | 51.4 | 8.9 | –16.8 | Tusk's government | |
| 8–21 Nov 2024 | CBOS | 981 | 34 | 40 | 24 | 2 | –6 | |
| Oct 2024 | United Surveys / DGP, RMF | – | 38.1 | 32.5 | 27.6 | 1.8 | 5.6 | Tusk's government |
| 11–12 Oct 2024 | IBRiS / Onet | 1,071 | 42.8 | 53.4 | 3.8 | –10.6 | ||
| 12–22 Sep 2024 | CBOS | 941 | 35 | 38 | 23 | 4 | –3 | |
| 10–20 Sep 2024 | IPSOS / More in Common Polska | 1,504 | 27 | 39 | 34 | –12 | Government of KO, TD and The Left | |
| 14–25 Aug 2024 | CBOS | 939 | 32 | 40 | 25 | 3 | –8 | |
| 10–12 May 2024 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 50.1 | 46.2 | 3.7 | 3.9 | Tusk's government | |
| 8–18 Apr 2024 | CBOS | 1,079 | 35 | 37 | 25 | 3 | –2 | Tusk's government |
| 7–17 Mar 2024 | CBOS | 1,089 | 37 | 38 | 22 | 3 | –1 | Tusk's government |
| 8–18 Feb 2024 | CBOS | 994 | 41 | 34 | 22 | 3 | 7 | Tusk's government |
| 12–14 Jan 2024 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | 54.5 | 40.3 | 5.2 | 14.2 | Tusk's government | |
| 12–13 Jan 2024 | IBRIS / RZ | 1,067 | 56.3 | 36.9 | 6.8 | 19.4 | Tusk's government |
| Date(s) conducted | Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Question wording | Positively | Negatively | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29–30 Sep 2024 | Pollster / "19:30" | 1,047 | How do you assess the government's action during the floods? | 48 | 40 | 12 | 8 |
| Sep 2024 | UCE Research / Onet | – | Is the government doing a good job of tackling the extreme flooding in southern Poland? | 44.7 | 42.8 | 12.5 | 1.9 |
| 20–21 Sep 2024 | United Surveys / WP.pl | 1,000 | How do you assess the government's actions regarding the flood and removing its effects? | 53.3 | 38.2 | 8.5 | 15.1 |
Poland has a multi-party political system. On the national level, Poland elects the head of state – the president – and a legislature. There are also various local elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 23 September 2001. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The election concluded with an overwhelming victory for the centre-left Democratic Left Alliance – Labor Union, the electoral coalition between the Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) and the Labour Union (UP), which captured 41% of the vote in the crucial lower house Sejm. The 2001 election is recognized as marking the emergence of both Civic Platform (PO) and Law and Justice (PiS) as players in Polish politics, while also witnessing the outright collapse of the Solidarity Electoral Action (AWS) and its former coalition partner, the Freedom Union (UW).
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 19 September 1993. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The elections were won by the left-wing parties of the Democratic Left Alliance and the Polish People's Party, who formed a coalition government. The coalition was just four seats short of a supermajority.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 4 June 1989 to elect members of the Sejm and the recreated Senate, with a second round on 18 June. They were the first elections in the country since the communist government abandoned its monopoly of power in April 1989 and the first elections in the Eastern Bloc that resulted in the communist government losing power.
Presidential elections were held in Poland on 20 June 2010. As no candidate received a majority of votes in the first round, a second round was held on 4 July 2010. Bronisław Komorowski, the acting President of Poland and vice-chairman of the Civic Platform, defeated Jarosław Kaczyński, twin brother of recently deceased President Lech Kaczyński and chairman of Law and Justice (PiS). The global financial crisis, flooding in Poland and the Smolensk disaster were the main themes in the last months of the election campaign.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 21 October 2007. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The largest opposition group, Civic Platform (PO), which soundly defeated the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party and its allies. Throughout the campaign, polls showed conflicting results as to which of the two parties had the greater support, yet by the closing week the polls had swung in favour of Civic Platform. Three other political groups won election into the Sejm, the centre-left Left and Democrats coalition, the agrarian Polish People's Party, and the tiny German Minority group. Both of Law and Justice's former minor coalition partners, the League of Polish Families and the Self-Defense of the Republic of Poland suffered an enormous voter backlash, failing to cross the 5% electoral threshold in order to enter the Sejm. Consequently, both parties lost all of their seats.
Sejm Constituency no. 4 is a constituency of the Sejm in Kuyavian-Pomeranian Voivodeship electing twelve deputies. It consists of city county of Bydgoszcz and land counties of Bydgoszcz, Inowrocław, Mogilno, Nakło, Sępólno, Świecie, Tuchola and Żnin.
The 2009 European Parliament election in Poland was the election of the delegation from Poland to the European Parliament in 2009 which took place on 7 June 2009. On 13 February the Sejm accepted a proposal for an amendment to the electoral court act to allow voting for the European Parliament election of 2009 to take place over 2 days i.e. the 6 and 7 June 2009. However, on 5 March, the proposal was referred to the Constitutional Tribunal of the Republic of Poland by the Polish President, Lech Kaczyński. The Polish electorate elected 50 MEPs. In the 27 EU Member States, at total of 736 MEPs were elected from 4–7 June 2009.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 9 October 2011. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The ruling Civic Platform (PO) won a plurality of seats and Tusk became the first Polish prime minister to be appointed for a second consecutive term since the fall of communism. Both the Civic Platform and its junior partner, the Polish People's Party (PSL), agreed to continue their governing coalition after the election.
Sejm Constituency no. 25 is a constituency of the Sejm electing twelve deputies. It consists of city counties of Gdańsk and Sopot, and land counties of Gdańsk, Kwidzyn, Malbork, Nowy Dwór, Starogard, Sztum, Tczew. Constituency Electoral Commission's seat is the city of Gdańsk.
Sejm Constituency no. 2 is a constituency of the Sejm electing eight deputies. It is located within Lower Silesian Voivodeship covering area of Wałbrzych and land counties of Dzierżoniów, Kłodzko, Świdnica, Wałbrzych and Ząbkowice Śląskie. Constituency Electoral Commission's seat is the city of Wałbrzych.
The 1987 Spanish regional elections were held on Wednesday, 10 June 1987, to elect the regional parliaments of thirteen of the seventeen autonomous communities—Aragon, Asturias, the Balearic Islands, the Canary Islands, Cantabria, Castile and León, Castilla–La Mancha, Extremadura, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia, Navarre and the Valencian Community—, not including Andalusia, the Basque Country, Catalonia and Galicia, which had separate electoral cycles. 779 of 1,169 seats in the regional parliaments were up for election. The elections were held simultaneously with local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1987 European Parliament election.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 13 October 2019. All 460 members of the Sejm and 100 senators of the Senate were elected. The ruling right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) won re-election to a second term retaining its majority in the Sejm. However, it lost its majority in the Senate to the opposition. With 43.6% of the popular vote, Law and Justice received the highest vote share by any party since Poland returned to democracy in 1989. The turnout was the highest for a parliamentary election since the first free elections after the fall of communism in 1989. For the first time after 1989, the ruling party controlled one house, while the opposition controlled the other.
In the run up to the 2015 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
In the run up to the 2023 Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 13 October 2019, to the day of the election, held on 15 October 2023.
The Polish Coalition is a political alliance in Poland. It is led by the Polish People's Party.
Parliamentary elections were held in Poland on 15 October 2023 to elect members of the Sejm and Senate. A referendum containing four questions concerning economic and immigration policy of the government was held simultaneously.
Paulina Hennig-Kloska is a Polish politician and entrepreneur, a Member of Parliament (Sejm) for the 8th, 9th, and 10th terms, and the Minister of Climate and Environment in Donald Tusk's third cabinet.
Local elections were held in Poland on 7 April 2024 to elect members for all 16 regional assemblies, 314 county (powiat) councils, and 2477 municipal (gmina) councils, heads (wójt) of municipalities and mayors of cities, as well as 18 district councils of Warsaw. While Law and Justice remained the strongest party, the Civic Coalition and its partners saw some improvement, providing them with majorities in up to 11 of the 16 regional assemblies. The second round to elect heads of municipalities, mayors and city presidents was held on 21 April in places where no candidate obtained more than 50% of votes.
In the run up to the 2024 Polish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Polish parliamentary election, held on 15 October, to the day of the next local election.
