Next Tasmanian state election

Last updated

Next Tasmanian state election
Flag of Tasmania.svg
  2025 No later than mid-2029 [1] Next 

All 35 seats in the House of Assembly
18 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Jeremy-Rockliff b.jpg
Josh willie spirits photo headshot.jpg
Leader Jeremy Rockliff Josh Willie
Party Liberal Labor
Leader since8 April 2022 20 August 2025
Leader's seat Braddon Clark
Last election14 seats10 seats
Current seats1410

 
RosalieWoodruff.jpg
SFF
Leader Rosalie Woodruff Adrian Pickin [2] [3]
Party Greens Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
Leader since13 July 202319 July 2025
Leader's seat Franklin None
Last election5 seats1 seat
Current seats5 1

Incumbent Premier

Jeremy Rockliff
Liberal



The next Tasmanian state election is expected to be held sometime in 2029 to elect all 35 members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. [4]

Contents

The election follows the 2025 Tasmanian state election, which delivered a hung parliament in which no party had a legislative majority. 2025 Tasmanian government formation negotiations proved largely unsuccessful, with then-Labor leader Dean Winter unable to convince crossbenchers to support his bid for government. In the August 2025 no-confidence motion in Rockliff, the Greens, SFF and all independent crossbenchers supported the Liberal government, citing Labor unwillingness to negotiate. [5] Josh Willie took leadership of the Labor Party following the 2025 Tasmanian Labor party leadership election. [6]

Liberal premier Jeremy Rockliff is expected to contest the election in attempt to win a sixth consecutive election, with Josh Willie attempting to lead the Labor Party into government for the first time since 2014. [6] The Greens, SFF and other minor parties are also expected to contest.

Candidates

Parties registered with the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (TEC) are eligible to contest the election. [7] Seven parties were registered as at 22 August 2025:

Opinion polling

Voting intention

DateFirmSample
size
Margin
of error
Political parties
LIB ALP GRN SFF NAT IND OTH
25–28 Aug 2025EMRS [8] [9] 1,047±3.02%38%24%13%19%6%
20 Jul 2025 2025 election 39.9%25.9%14.4%2.9%1.6%15.3%

Leadership polling

Preferred premier

DateFirmSample
size
Margin
of error
Party leaders
Rockliff Willie Unsure
25–28 Aug 2025EMRS [8] [9] 1,047±3.02%50%24%23%

References

  1. "So when is the next federal election? A quick guide". Parliament of Australia. 22 August 2022. Archived from the original on 5 October 2024. Retrieved 5 October 2024. The Tasmanian House of Assembly continues for 4 years after the previous return of the writ
  2. "In response to the proposed aerial slaughter of wild fallow deer by Parks & Wildlife, Adrian Pickin, Leader of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party of Tasmania, issued the following statement". Facebook. Shooters Fishers & Farmers Party of Tasmania. 4 April 2024. Archived from the original on 27 August 2025. Retrieved 27 August 2025.
  3. "It's On! 19 July House of Assembly Election". Tasmanian Times. 11 June 2025. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 27 August 2025.
  4. Tasmania, Parliament of (21 July 2025). "Parliamentary Terms and Sessions". www.parliament.tas.gov.au. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  5. "Liberals retain power as no-confidence motion defeated — as it happened". ABC News. 19 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  6. 1 2 "Who is Josh Willie, new leader of Tasmanian Labor?". ABC News. 20 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  7. "TEC Party Register". www.tec.tas.gov.au. 28 January 2025. Archived from the original on 4 March 2025. Retrieved 11 June 2025.
  8. 1 2 "EMRS State Voting Intentions Poll – Report" (PDF). Enterprise Marketing and Research Services. 29 August 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 August 2025. Retrieved 29 August 2025.
  9. 1 2 "Willie with work to do" (PDF). Enterprise Marketing and Research Services. 29 August 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 August 2025. Retrieved 29 August 2025.