Next Tasmanian state election

Next Tasmanian state election

←  2025 No later than mid-2029 [1] Next →
←  outgoing members
All 35 seats in the House of Assembly 18 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader Jeremy Rockliff Josh Willie Party Liberal Labor Leader since 8 April 2022 20 August 2025 Leader's seat Braddon Clark Last election 14 seats 10 seats Current seats 14 10   SFF Leader Rosalie Woodruff Adrian Pickin [2] [3] Party Greens Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Leader since 13 July 2023 19 July 2025 Leader's seat Franklin None Last election 5 seats 1 seat Current seats 5 1
Incumbent Premier Jeremy Rockliff Liberal

The next Tasmanian state election is expected to be held sometime in 2029 to elect all 35 members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. ^[4]

The election follows the 2025 Tasmanian state election, which delivered a hung parliament in which no party had a legislative majority. 2025 Tasmanian government formation negotiations proved largely unsuccessful, with then-Labor leader Dean Winter unable to convince crossbenchers to support his bid for government. In the August 2025 no-confidence motion in Rockliff, the Greens, SFF and all independent crossbenchers supported the Liberal government, citing Labor unwillingness to negotiate. ^[5] Josh Willie took leadership of the Labor Party following the 2025 Tasmanian Labor party leadership election. ^[6]

Liberal premier Jeremy Rockliff is expected to contest the election in attempt to win a sixth consecutive election, with Josh Willie attempting to lead the Labor Party into government for the first time since 2014. ^[6] The Greens, SFF and other minor parties are also expected to contest.

Candidates

Further information: List of political parties in Australia § Tasmania

Parties registered with the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (TEC) are eligible to contest the election. ^[7] Seven parties were registered as at 22 August 2025:

• Animal Justice (did not endorse candidates in 2025)
• Labor
• Liberal
• Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
• Greens
• Jacqui Lambie Network (not endorsing candidates)
• The Nationals

Opinion polling

Voting intention

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Political parties
				LIB	ALP	GRN	SFF	NAT	IND	OTH
16–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU [8]	1,021	±4.4%	41%	24%	15%	2%	—	14%	4%
25–28 Aug 2025	EMRS [9] [10]	1,047	±3.02%	38%	24%	13%	—	—	19%	6%
20 Jul 2025	2025 election			39.9%	25.9%	14.4%	2.9%	1.6%	15.3%	—

Leadership approval

Preferred premier

Date	Firm	Sample size	Margin of error	Party leaders
				Rockliff	Willie	Unsure
16–27 Oct 2025	DemosAU [8]	1,021	±4.4%	46%	34%	20%
25–28 Aug 2025	EMRS [9] [10]	1,047	±3.02%	50%	24%	23%

References

1. "So when is the next federal election? A quick guide". Parliament of Australia. 22 August 2022. Archived from the original on 5 October 2024. Retrieved 5 October 2024. The Tasmanian House of Assembly continues for 4 years after the previous return of the writ
2. "In response to the proposed aerial slaughter of wild fallow deer by Parks & Wildlife, Adrian Pickin, Leader of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party of Tasmania, issued the following statement". Facebook. Shooters Fishers & Farmers Party of Tasmania. 4 April 2024. Archived from the original on 27 August 2025. Retrieved 27 August 2025.
3. "It's On! 19 July House of Assembly Election". Tasmanian Times. 11 June 2025. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 27 August 2025.
4. Tasmania, Parliament of (21 July 2025). "Parliamentary Terms and Sessions". www.parliament.tas.gov.au. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
5. "Liberals retain power as no-confidence motion defeated — as it happened". ABC News. 19 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
6. "Who is Josh Willie, new leader of Tasmanian Labor?". ABC News. 20 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
7. "TEC Party Register". www.tec.tas.gov.au. 28 January 2025. Archived from the original on 4 March 2025. Retrieved 11 June 2025.
8. "Jeremy Rockliff's popularity keeps Liberals ahead as Labor slips in new poll". Pulse Tasmania. 4 November 2025. Archived from the original on 4 November 2025. Retrieved 4 November 2025.
9. "EMRS State Voting Intentions Poll – Report" (PDF). Enterprise Marketing and Research Services. 29 August 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 August 2025. Retrieved 29 August 2025.
10. "Willie with work to do" (PDF). Enterprise Marketing and Research Services. 29 August 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 August 2025. Retrieved 29 August 2025.