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All 25 seats to the House of Assembly 13 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results of the election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2010 Tasmanian state election was held on 20 March 2010 to elect members to the Tasmanian House of Assembly. [1] The 12-year incumbent Labor government, led by Premier of Tasmania David Bartlett, won a fourth consecutive term against the Liberal opposition, led by Will Hodgman, after Labor formed a minority government with the support of the Greens.
The election was conducted by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission, an independent body answerable to Parliament. As in past Tasmanian state elections, the proportional Hare-Clark system was used to allocate the 25 seats in the House. The commission announced that there were 357,315 enrolled electors at the close of rolls. [2] A total of 89 candidates nominated for election. [3]
On 17 November 2008, David Bartlett announced his government's intention to pass legislation enacting fixed electoral terms for Tasmania, with the next election scheduled to be held on 20 March 2010. [4] It was noted by ABC election analyst Antony Green that the date was the same as the already-legislated South Australian election, and that this may have an effect on media coverage of both elections. [5] The draft legislation for the bill was referred to the Select Committee on the Working Arrangements of Parliament in October 2009, although Bartlett confirmed that the government was committed to the 20 March election date despite the fixed-term legislation not being enacted. [6]
On 12 February 2010, the Premier visited the Governor of Tasmania, Peter Underwood, to request that he dissolve the House of Assembly and issue the writs for the election. The Governor agreed to the following election dates: [7]
On 8 February, the Premier announced that Tasmania's first televised leaders' debate would be held on 14 March between himself and opposition leader Will Hodgman, and would be broadcast nationally by Sky News. [8] At the time of the announcement, Mr Hodgman was not aware of the debate and Greens leader Nick McKim was not invited. [9]
On 10 March, around 100 forest workers protested outside the Greens official campaign launch. [10]
On 12 March, two Liberal and two Labor ex-premiers—Paul Lennon, Michael Field, Robin Gray and Tony Rundle—issued a joint press release warning voters of the dangers of minority government with the Greens holding the balance of power. [11]
In the week before the election, the Labor party distributed leaflets alleging that the Greens had a plan to legalise heroin and give "violent criminals" the right to vote. [12] In addition, 20,000 automated phone calls (robocalls) were made to residents of Braddon repeating these claims about the Greens, although Labor ended the campaign after a public backlash. [13]
On 15 March, David Bartlett said he would resign if the Liberal party won more seats than Labor. [14]
Polling was conducted every three months by Enterprise Marketing and Research Services (EMRS). The sample size for each poll was 1,000 Tasmanian voters. [15]
Date | Political parties | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALP | Lib | Grn | Ind | Undecided | |||
Feb 2010 | 23% | 30% | 22% | 2% | 23% | ||
Nov 2009 | 26% | 37% | 17% | 2% | 19% | ||
Aug 2009 | 26% | 33% | 17% | 2% | 22% | ||
May 2009 | 33% | 27% | 13% | 3% | 24% | ||
Feb 2009 | 34% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 20% | ||
Nov 2008 | 30% | 26% | 18% | 1% | 23% | ||
Aug 2008 | 30% | 30% | 16% | 1% | 23% | ||
May 2008 | 25% | 31% | 18% | 2% | 22% | ||
Polling conducted by EMRS. |
Date | Labor Bartlett | Liberal Hodgman | Green McKim |
---|---|---|---|
Feb 2010 | 29% | 34% | 21% |
Nov 2009 | 28% | 40% | 19% |
Aug 2009 | 30% | 37% | 15% |
May 2009 | 39% | 31% | 13% |
Feb 2009 | 41% | 29% | 12% |
Polling conducted by EMRS. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" or "undecided" to any leader. |
Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | 124,933 | 38.99 | 7.17 | 10 | 3 | |
Labor | 118,168 | 36.88 | 12.39 | 10 | 4 | |
Greens | 69,233 | 21.61 | 4.97 | 5 | 1 | |
Socialist Alliance | 646 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0 | ||
Independents | 7,458 | 2.33 | 0.72 | 0 | ||
Total | 320,438 | 100.00 | – | 25 | – | |
Valid votes | 320,438 | 95.55 | ||||
Invalid/blank votes | 14,915 | 4.45 | 0.01 | |||
Total votes | 335,353 | 100.00 | – | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 357,315 | 93.85 | 1.03 | |||
Source: Tasmanian Electoral Commission |
Bass | Braddon | Denison | Franklin | Lyons | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labor Party | 34.52% | 40.24% | 36.30% | 30.49% | 42.76% |
Liberal Party | 42.64% | 45.19% | 29.79% | 41.17% | 36.10% |
Tasmanian Greens | 20.95% | 13.76% | 24.89% | 27.35% | 21.14% |
Other | 1.89% | 0.80% | 9.01% | 0.99% | 0.00% |
Labor lost four seats on a swing of 12.39 percentage points against it, whilst the Liberals gained three seats and the Greens one—the latter recording their highest ever statewide vote of 21.61%. This meant that both the Labor and Liberal Parties had 10 seats each, meaning neither could form majority government. It took over two weeks for the results to be formally declared, although the number of seats for each party was almost certain by the end of counting on the night of the election and the main question was which representatives of each party would win a seat, with the Hare-Clark and Robson rotation systems meaning that some incumbent members on both sides of parliament were defeated by newcomers from their own party. [16] The only inter-party battles for a seat during the counting process were between the Greens and Liberals for the final seat in Braddon (won by the Greens), and between independent Andrew Wilkie and the Liberals for the final seat in Denison (won by the Liberals).
Attention was then focussed on the positions of the parties. Greens leader Nick McKim declared he was willing to make a deal with either party, whilst incumbent Premier David Bartlett and opposition leader Will Hodgman insisted they would stick to promises made before the election not to make any deals. Bartlett had also pledged that whoever won the most seats or, in the event of a tie, the most votes would have the right to form a government. Since the Liberals had won the popular vote by a margin of 6,700 votes, both leaders now claimed this meant that Hodgman had the right to form a ministry. [16] On 1 April, the Labor caucus unanimously agreed to relinquish power, and Bartlett then advised the Governor, Peter Underwood, that Hodgman should be summoned to form a government. [17] Former federal Labor powerbroker Graham Richardson called Bartlett "silly" for not negotiating with the Greens. [18]
On 7 April the results were formally declared. Under the Constitution Act 1934 Underwood had seven days to commission a Government. Ultimately, after speaking to Bartlett and Hodgman, he recommissioned Bartlett on 9 April. He released detailed reasons for his decision, saying that Bartlett did not have the right to promise power to Hodgman, and that Hodgman was not in a position to form stable government. He regarded as irrelevant the position of the Greens, regarding it as a matter for the Assembly as a whole to test or maintain support for the ministry. [19] According to ABC News, Hodgman never held talks with the Greens, and Barrett had not promised a minimum period of support for a prospective Liberal minority government. Had Hodgman been named premier, it was possible that his government would have been defeated at its first sitting. Since longstanding convention in the Westminster system holds that an incumbent premier should have the first chance to form a government after an election, Underwood decided to recommission Bartlett and allow him to demonstrate that he had support on the floor of the Assembly. [20]
Hodgman accused Bartlett of breaking his promise to hand over power, noting that in a letter to the Governor, Bartlett had contradicted a public statement made on 1 April where he had said he would not move any vote of no confidence against a Liberal government. [21] However, Professor Richard Herr of the University of Tasmania had earlier argued that it was likely Bartlett would remain in office. He doubted that the House would reassemble in the week after the writs were returned, and precedent required Underwood to recommission Bartlett and allow Parliament to decide his fate. He added that part of a premier's duty as principal adviser to a governor is to give advice that a governor can legally accept. [22] Constitutional law expert Michael Stokes disagreed, saying too high a bar had been set for the Liberals and Labor had not proven it could deliver stable government in the new Assembly. [23]
On the day before the decision was finalised, the Greens indicated that as no party had shown a willingness to negotiate a deal with them, they would neither initiate nor support a vote of no confidence against the Labor government until a deal with either party could be arranged. [24]
On 13 April, to meet the deadline imposed by the Constitution Act 1934, Governor Underwood swore in an interim cabinet, consisting of David Bartlett as Premier, Lara Giddings as Deputy Premier and Attorney-General, and Michael Aird as Treasurer. [25]
On 19 April 2010, after a week of negotiations, Bartlett agreed to a coalition with the Greens. He named McKim as a minister in his cabinet and also named Cassy O'Connor, Greens member for Denison, as cabinet secretary. [26]
On 4 May, the Greens nominated Tim Morris for the position of Deputy Speaker—a surprise for Labor who had nominated Brenton Best. With the support of the Liberals, Morris was elected with 15 votes to Best's 8. [27] On 5 May, the first day of sitting for the new parliament, the Liberals moved a motion of no-confidence against the Bartlett government, which was defeated by Labor and the Greens. [28]
The Tasmanian Greens are a political party in Australia which developed from numerous environmental campaigns in Tasmania, including the flooding of Lake Pedder and the Franklin Dam campaign. They form a part of the Australian Greens.
Paul Anthony Lennon is a Labor Party politician. He was Premier of Tasmania from 21 March 2004 until his resignation on 26 May 2008. He was member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly for the seat of Franklin from 1990 until officially resigning on 27 May 2008. He left office abruptly after his preferred premier rating fell to 17%, largely as a result of perceptions of corruption in his government's fast-tracked approval of the Gunns Bell Bay Pulp Mill proposal, which had effectively bypassed normal planning procedure.
Michael Darrel Joseph Ferguson is an Australian politician who is currently the Deputy Premier of Tasmania since April 2022. He has been a Liberal Party member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly in the Division of Bass since the 2010 state election. Ferguson was appointed to cabinet after his party's victory in the 2014 state election and has served continuously as Minister in a range of portfolios including Finance, Health, Infrastructure, Transport, State Growth and Science and Technology.
Nicholas James McKim is an Australian politician, currently a member of the Australian Senate representing Tasmania. He was previously a Tasmanian Greens member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly elected at the 2002 election, representing the Franklin electorate from 2002 to 2015, and led the party from 2008 until 2014. On 21 April 2010, he became the first member of the Greens in any Australian ministry. From February 2020 until June 2022, he served as co-deputy leader of the Australian Greens.
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William Edward Felix Hodgman is an Australian diplomat and former politician who has been the High Commissioner of Australia to Singapore since February 2021. He was the 45th Premier of Tasmania and a member for the Division of Franklin in the Tasmanian House of Assembly from the 2002 state election until his resignation in January 2020. He became premier following the 2014 state election, having been Leader of the Opposition since 2006. He was re-elected to a second term in government following victory in the 2018 state election.
William Michael Hodgman AM QC was an Australian politician and lawyer. He was a member of the Liberal Party and served as Minister for the Capital Territory in the Fraser government from 1980 to 1983. He was active in both state and federal politics, serving in the Tasmanian Legislative Council (1966–1974), Australian House of Representatives (1975–1987), and Tasmanian House of Assembly. His son Will Hodgman was Premier of Tasmania for 6 years, until his resignation in January 2020.
David John Bartlett is an Australian former politician in the state of Tasmania, serving as the 43rd Premier of Tasmania from May 2008 until January 2011. He was a Labor Party member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly seat of Denison from 2004 to 2011 when he retired.
Peter George Underwood, was an Australian jurist and the Governor of Tasmania from 2008 until his death in 2014. He was the Chief Justice of Tasmania from 2004 to 2008, having been a judge of the Supreme Court of Tasmania from 1984.
Jeremy Page Rockliff is an Australian politician. He has served as premier of Tasmania since 2022, as state leader of the Liberal Party. He previously served as deputy premier from 2014 to 2022.
Cassandra Stanwell O'Connor is an Australian politician, who was a Tasmanian Greens member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly from 2008 to 2023, representing the electorate of Denison which was renamed to Clark in September 2018. Since the 2024 Tasmanian Legislative Council periodic election, she has represented the electorate of Hobart.
Peter Carl Gutwein is a former Australian politician who was the 46th premier of Tasmania from 2020 to 2022. He was a Liberal Party member of the Tasmanian House of Assembly from 2002 to 2022, representing the electorate of Bass. He succeeded Will Hodgman as leader of the Liberal Party and Tasmanian Premier on 20 January 2020.
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