In the run-up to the next Serbian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 3 April 2022, to the present day. [1]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition | SPS–JS | SPN | NADA | SDB | Narodna | Others | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSP | PSG | DS | Together | SRCE | NDB/ZLF | EU [lower-alpha 1] | NPS [lower-alpha 2] | NDSS | POKS | Dveri | SSZ | ||||||||
NSPM [2] | 22 October | 1,000 | 38.5 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 3.1 | – | 3.8 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 3.3 [lower-alpha 3] | 16.3 [lower-alpha 4] | 28.9 | |||
Faktor Plus [3] | 13 October | 1,200 | 44.5 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 1.7 | 3.5 [lower-alpha 5] | 34.5 | ||
Stata [4] | 13 October | 1,546 | 36.6 | 7.0 | 8.6 | – | – | – | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 7.7 | 3.1 | – | 3.9 | 3.4 | – | 18.1 [lower-alpha 6] | 28.0 |
NSPM [5] | 28 September | 1,000 | 37.3 | 9.5 | 4.2 | – | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.6 | – | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 21.9 [lower-alpha 7] | 27.7 |
Stata [6] | 19 September | 1,580 | 36.3 | 7.3 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 3.0 | – | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 18.8 [lower-alpha 8] | 26.5 |
Stata [7] [8] | 28 July | 1,558 | 37.8 | 8.0 | 9.6 | – | – | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | – | – | 3.6 | – | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 18.8 [lower-alpha 9] | 28.2 |
NSPM [9] | 23 July | 1,100 | 37.2 | 9.4 | 4.0 | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 3.4 | – | 4.2 | – | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 21.7 [lower-alpha 10] | 27.8 |
NSPM [10] | 2 June | 1,000 | 36.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | – | 2.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 4.3 | – | 4.6 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 21.3 [lower-alpha 11] | 27.8 |
NSPM [11] | 27 April | 1,000 | 38.0 | 9.4 | 4.2 | – | 2.8 | 1.4 | 3.9 | – | 3.8 | – | 4.4 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 20.5 [lower-alpha 12] | 28.6 |
Faktor Plus [12] | 11 April | ? | 45.5 | 10.7 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 11.0 [lower-alpha 13] | 34.8 | |
ŠSM [13] | 5 April | 1,329 | 42.8 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 3.2 | – | – | 5.2 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 13.0 [lower-alpha 14] | 31.9 |
ŠSM [14] | 22 February | ? | 44.5 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.3 | – | – | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 11.8 [lower-alpha 15] | 35.6 |
NSPM [15] | 14 February | 1,050 | 39.1 | 10.0 | 4.7 | – | 2.2 | – | 5.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | – | 5.4 | – | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 17.6 [lower-alpha 16] | 29.1 |
Faktor Plus [16] | 13 February | 1,100 | 46.0 | 10.8 | 7.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.3 | – | – | 4.7 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 10.3 [lower-alpha 17] | 35.2 |
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition | SSP | Narodna | DS | PSG | SPS–JS | NADA | NDB | Together | Dveri | SSZ | SRCE | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDSS | POKS | ||||||||||||||||
Faktor Plus [17] | 12 December | ? | 46.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 11.0 [lower-alpha 18] | 32.7 | |
NSPM [18] | 1 November | 1,050 | 42.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | – | 9.8 | 5.5 | – | 1.2 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 15.8 [lower-alpha 19] | 32.7 |
Faktor Plus [19] | 25 October | ? | 46.3 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 10.8 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.0 | – | 8.9 [lower-alpha 20] | 32.0 | |
NSPM [20] | 27 July | 1,000 | 42.6 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 6.1 | – | – | 4.8 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 14.3 [lower-alpha 21] | 33.2 |
Demostat [21] | 29 June | 1,203 | 48.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 9.0 | 6.0 | – | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | 13.0 | 38.0 | |
2022 election | 3 April | – | 44.2 | 14.0 | 11.7 | 5.5 [lower-alpha 22] | 4.8 | 3.9 [lower-alpha 23] | 3.8 | – | 11.7 | 30.2 |
In July 2023, Stata conducted a scenario opinion poll. It showed that a potential coalition of SNS, SPS, JS, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, and Movement of Socialists would win 44 percent of the popular vote, while a hypothetical alliance of those who organised the Serbia Against Violence protests, which includes SSP, Narodna, DS, PSG, ZLF, and Together, would win 41 percent of the popular vote. [25] Stata conducted another scenario polls in September and October 2023, this time with Narodna being in the "state-building opposition" bloc. [6] CRTA, however, only polled Dveri, SSZ, NDSS, and POKS as part of the "patriotic bloc". [26]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | SNS–led coalition | Serbia Against Violence | State-building opposition [lower-alpha 24] | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CRTA [26] | 16 October | 1,544 | 49.0 | 41.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 |
Stata [4] | 13 October | 1,546 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
Stata [6] | 19 September | 1,580 | 44.0 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
Stata [25] | 28 July | 1,558 | 44.0 | 41.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
Nova srpska politička misao (NSPM) conducted an opinion poll in October 2023 in which they polled 6 alliances of parties. [2]
Polling firm | Date of publishment | Sample size | PZS [lower-alpha 25] | Patriotic Bloc [lower-alpha 26] | DS–Together–SRCE | PE–ZLF | NPS–EU–NLS | NADA | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NSPM [2] | 22 October | 1,000 | 48.4 | 10.1 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 11.6 [lower-alpha 27] | 38.3 |
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