Next Polish parliamentary election

Last updated

Next Polish parliamentary election
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  2023 By 11 November 2027

All 460 seats in the Sejm
231 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
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Prime Minister Donald Tusk of Poland in the Oval Office in 2024 (cropped).jpg
Szymon Holownia Spotkanie wielkanocne dla osob samotnych - 18.04.2025.jpg
Leader Jarosław Kaczyński Donald Tusk Szymon Hołownia
(outgoing)
Party PiS KO PL2050
Leader since18 January 200313 December 2023 [a] 30 June 2020
Last election194 seats, 35.4%157 seats, 30.7%33 seats, 7.2% [b]

 
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Leader Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz Włodzimierz Czarzasty
Robert Biedroń
Sławomir Mentzen
Krzysztof Bosak
Party PSL NL Confederation [c]
Leader since7 November 20159 October 202115 October 2022
12 May 2023
Last election32 seats, 5.9% [b] 19 seats, 6.5% [d] 16 seats, 6.3% [e]

 
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Grzegorz Braun MEP (2024).jpg
Leader Adrian Zandberg
Aleksandra Owca
Grzegorz Braun
Party Razem KKP
Leader since27 November 2022
3 December 2024
7 September 2019
Last election7 seats, 2.1% [d] 2 seats, 0.9% [e]

Sejm RP okregi.svg

Incumbent Government

Third Tusk cabinet
KOPSLPL2050NL



Parliamentary elections will be held in Poland by 11 November 2027 at the latest to elect members of the Sejm and Senate, although they can be held sooner if a snap election is called. The last snap election was in 2007. The previous elections in 2023 saw the Law and Justice party win the most seats but fail to form a governing coalition, with a coalition government led by Civic Platform's Donald Tusk formed.

Contents

Electoral system

The Sejm is elected by party-list proportional representation with seats allocated via the D'Hondt method in multi-seat constituencies, [1] with a 5% threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions (requirements waived for national minorities).

The date of the election will be set by the President of Poland. If the election is not called early, it has to take place within 30 days before the expiration of the current term and fall on a non-working day. The possible dates are:

Political parties

The Civic Coalition is a coalition made up of Civic Coalition (merger of Civic Platform, Modern, and Polish Initiative) and the Greens. The PO had been Poland's second largest party in the Sejm since 2015, and earned the largest number of votes in the 2024 EP election. They were the leading party of government from 2007 to 2015 and were members of the European People's Party Group (EPP Group). In October 2025, PO and its minor partners within the Civic Coalition merged into a single party of the same name, while the Greens opted to remain separate.

Law and Justice is a right-wing populist party that governed Poland following its electoral list alone gaining a majority of seats between 2015 and 2023 and was also the leading party of a minority and later coalition government from 2005 to 2007. It is a member of the European Conservatives and Reformists Group.

Poland 2050 is a centre-right party led by Szymon Hołownia, who was a journalist and presenter before entering politics in 2020. It is a Christian democratic party with socially conservative, liberal-conservative and pro-European views. In the 2023 election, it ran together with the Polish People's Party in the Third Way alliance, which was dissolved in June 2025. It represents the conservative faction of the ruling coaliton. Szymon Hołownia announced that he won't run to continue as the leader of the party in January.

The Polish People's Party is the oldest still functioning party in Poland. Originally founded in 1895 as an agrarian peasant movement, its identity constantly shifted over time. From 1990 to late 2000s, it acted as a left-wing, agrarian socialist but socially conservative post-communist party; after forming a coaliton with the Civic Platform in 2007, it shifted towards the centre and embraced economic liberalism, and it subsequently became a right-wing party in the 2010s. It entered the government coalition in 2023 where it acted as a right-wing force, blocking socially liberal reforms.

The New Left is composed of social liberals and social democrats. The alliance's main predecessor, Democratic Left Alliance has been in government coalitions twice, in 19931997 and 20012005. NL is a member of the Socialists and Democrats (S&D) group.

Confederation is a de jure party but de facto coalition of New Hope and the National Movement. They hold a mixture of right-libertarian, right-wing populist and nationalist views. They are members of Europe of Sovereign Nations Group (New Hope) and Patriots for Europe (National Movement).

Razem is a social democratic party, [2] with democratic socialist and social liberal elements. [3] [4] It was elected as part of The Left alliance together with New Left and became a part of the ruling coalition, but it left the government and moved to opposition in October 2024 in protest of the ruling parties' austerity economic policy. [5] The party fielded its own candidate in the 2025 Polish presidential election, [6] and is considered likely to run independently in the next parliamentary election as well. [7]

Confederation of the Polish Crown is a Catholic fundamentalist and monarchist political party led by Grzegorz Braun. [8] It was part of the Confederation coalition until January 2025, when Braun was expelled from the alliance. [9] In the 2025 Polish presidential election, Braun won 6.34% of the popular vote, gaining fourth place, even though he was only seventh in the polls. [10] Following this unexpected success, Braun announced the creation of a "broad fire extinguisher front" to contest the next parliamentary election, which would represent "the right that is truly anti-systemic, not drifting towards the centre" and which is "truly national and Catholic". [11] In 2025, it formed an electoral alliance to the Senate with Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy, which received 1.86% of the vote to the Sejm and 4.91% to the Senate in 2023.

Free Republicans is a small right-wing political party led by Marek Jakubiak and Paweł Kukiz, [15] based on the previous party of Kukiz and Jakubiak, Kukiz'15. [14] Its 4 MPs were elected in the 2023 election from the electoral lists of Law and Justice and then formed its own independent parliamentary group. The party ran in the 2025 presidential election, where its leader Jakubiak won 0.77% of the popular vote in the first round, and subsequently endorsed Karol Nawrocki, the candidate of PiS, for the second. The party seeks to present a right-wing alternative based on uniting patriotic movements as well as those disappointed with the agricultural policies of PiS. [16] [17]

Parties in Parliament

Party/AllianceLeader(s)Ideology2023 resultCurrent seatsStatus
SejmSenateSejmSenate
Law and Justice
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
Jarosław Kaczyński National conservatism
194 / 460
34 / 100
188 / 460
34 / 100
Opposition
Civic Coalition
Koalicja Obywatelska
Donald Tusk Liberal conservatism
157 / 460
41 / 100
156 / 460
42 / 100
Governing coalition
Poland 2050
Polska 2050
Szymon Hołownia Christian democracy
65 / 460
11 / 100
31 / 460
5 / 100
Governing coalition
Polish People's Party
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz Christian democracy
32 / 460
7 / 100
Governing coalition
New Left
Nowa Lewica
Włodzimierz Czarzasty
Robert Biedroń
Social democracy
26 / 460
9 / 100
21 / 460
8 / 100
Governing coalition
Confederation Liberty and Independence
Konfederacja Wolność i Niepodległość
List
Sławomir Mentzen Right-wing populism
18 / 460
0 / 100
16 / 460
0 / 100
Opposition
Together Party
Partia Razem
Aleksandra Owca Social democracy Part of New Left
4 / 460
0 / 100
Opposition
(Government support 2023–2024)
Free Republicans
Wolni Republikanie
Marek Jakubiak Conservatism Part of Law and Justice
4 / 460
0 / 100
Opposition
Confederation of the Polish Crown
Konfederacja Korony Polskiej
Grzegorz Braun Enthronement Part of Confederation Liberty and Independence
3 / 460
0 / 100
Opposition
New Poland
Nowa Polska
Zygmunt Frankiewicz Conservative liberalism Part of Senate Pact 2023
0 / 460
3 / 100
Independents (government supporters)
0 / 460
5 / 100
3 / 460
1 / 100
Government support
Independents (government opponents)
0 / 460
2 / 460
Opposition

Campaign

Following a warming of relations between Law and Justice (PiS), led by Jarosław Kaczyński, and the far-right Confederation (KWiN), led by libertarian Sławomir Mentzen and nationalist Krzysztof Bosak, during the 2025 presidential election, PiS changed course to clash with the Confederation. The turn of relations began with PiS issuing and asking the Confederation to sign onto the "Polish Declaration" (Polish : Deklaracja Polska), which included points such as "housing as a right, not a commodity" that conflicted with KWiN's economically liberal policies, as well as promises to never form a coalition with the ruling Civic Coalition. [18] On 12 September 2025, Kaczyński condemned the inclusion of Mentzen in a possible coalition, comparing the worldview promoted by the Confederation to Pinochetism. [19]

PiS held a programmatic convention in Katowice on 24–25 October 2025 titled "Myśląc: Polska" (English: Thinking: Poland). [20] During the convention, chairman Kaczyński commented on the situation in the country, highlighting economic matters, healthcare and security as Poland's most important issues. He condemned European integration, describing it as German imperialism and erosion of Polish statehood. [21] The convention included 128 panels [22] discussing a wide range of topics and conceptual ideas such as an universal basic income of 500 PLN, a voucher for housebuying families or automatic tax payment by AI. [23]

Following the 2025 presidential election, the four coalition parties entered a season of internal leadership elections and reorganization, beginning with the Civic Coalition alliance uniting its three main member parties into a party of the same name at the Civic Coalition unification congress as a beginning step of their 2027 campaign, [24] followed by upcoming leadership elections in the New Left, Polish People's Party and Poland 2050 — the last being most prominent, with leader Szymon Hołownia retiring amongst poor performances of the party to enter a career in international politics, and its leadership election scheduled for January 2026. [25]

Opinion polls

Polish Opinion Polling for the 2027 Election.png
Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election by coalitions.svg

Notes

  1. as Prime Minister
  2. 1 2 As part of the Third Way coalition, which won 65 seats and 14.4% of the vote in total.
  3. Party list with the participation of NN and RN.
  4. 1 2 As part of The Left, which won 26 seats and 8.6% of the vote in total.
  5. 1 2 As part of Confederation, which won 18 seats and 7.2% of the vote in total.
  6.   Coalition
      PiS+KWiN
       Razem
      Coalition+Razem
      Right opposition
      Parliamentary opposition

References

  1. "Elections to the Polish Sejm, Part I". Election Resources. Retrieved 2014-08-03.
  2. Gospodarczyk, Marta (2024). "4. Polish Peasant in Poland: Peasants in the Narratives of Polish Nation-Building". In Marta Bucholc (ed.). Established-Outsiders Relations in Poland: Reconfiguring Elias and Scotson. Palgrave Studies on Norbert Elias. Palgrave Macmillan. p. 99. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-49523-6. ISBN   978-3-031-49523-6. ISSN   2662-3110. People's history of Poland is usually associated with the history of Polish peasants, which permeates the discourse of leftwing parties, especially the social-democratic party Razem (Together).
  3. Wondreys, Jakub; March, Luke [in Spanish]; Pytlas, Bartek (28 September 2024). "'My enemy's enemy is my friend'? European radical left parties' response to Russia's war in Ukraine". The British Journal of Politics and International Relations. 27 (3). Political Studies Association: 26. doi:10.1177/13691481241284204. Because the Left group's sole Eastern representative (KSČM) currently has no national parliamentary representation, we included Razem, a democratic socialist party with social democratic elements, that has national representation but no MEP.
  4. Amini, Babak (2016). The Radical Left in Europe in the Age of Austerity. Routledge. p. 155. ISBN   978-1-138-67356-4. However, it is difficult to judge its chances so far. It is doubtful if the model of the successful Greek Coalition of the radical left (SYRIZA) can be applied in post-communist states. A similar attempt occurred also in Poland with Razem [Together], established in 2015, in this case not taking an explicitly anti-capitalist position but rather advocating grassroots activism and Green social liberalism.
  5. Tilles, Daniel (28 October 2024). "Small left-wing party cuts ties with Poland's ruling coalition". Notes from Poland.
  6. Przybył, Sebastian (11 January 2025). "Partia Razem odsłoniła karty. Wskazała kandydata na prezydenta". Interia (in Polish).
  7. "Nowy sondaż partyjny. Tak zmieniło się poparcie od wyborów". Telewizja Polska (in Polish). 17 March 2025.
  8. Przemysław Witkowski; Jakub Woroncow; Dominik Puchała (2023). "The Polish Independence March as a Contact Hub and a Model for European Extremism January 2023" (PDF). Counter Extremism Project (CEP). p. 29.
  9. "Sąd partyjny Konfederacji zdecydował o skreśleniu Grzegorza Brauna z listy członków". TVN24 (in Polish). 17 January 2025.
  10. Burzec, Marcelina (22 May 2025). "Why did nationalist parties do so well in the first round of Poland's presidential election?". Euronews .
  11. ""Ujawnił się szeroki front gaśnicowy". Grzegorz Braun zapowiada walkę w kolejnych wyborach". Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). 18 May 2025.
  12. Krzysztoszek, Aleksandra (16 December 2024). "Polish ruling parties nominate different presidential candidates". Euractiv. Other candidates so far include the co-leader of the far-right Confederation (PfE/ESN), Sławomir Mentzen, and Marek Jakubiak of the small right-wing party, the Free Republicans.
  13. Kelman, Damian (16 October 2024). "Paweł Kukiz założył nowe koło poselskie. Wolni Republikanie zamiast Kukiz'15". Portal i.pl (in Polish).
  14. 1 2 "Marek JAKUBIAK "kandydat 0,17 procent"". Wszystko co najważniejsze (in Polish). 28 November 2024.
  15. [12] [13] [14]
  16. "Kukiz: spróbujemy stworzyć siłę, która odsunie kosmopolitów i złych ludzi od władzy" (in Polish). 17 October 2024.
  17. "Paweł Kukiz zaskoczył. Powołał nowe koło poselskie w Sejmie". Business Insider (in Polish). 17 October 2024.
  18. Psujek, Grzegorz (12 September 2025). "Koalicja PiS i Konfederacji. Jarosław Kaczyński mówi wprost". Business Insider . Retrieved 2025-09-12.
  19. "Ruszyła konwencja PiS. Kaczyński: kluczowe tematy to bezpieczeństwo, sprawy społeczne i gospodarka". Polish Press Agency. 24 October 2025. Retrieved 2025-11-14.
  20. Malinowski, Przemysław (24 October 2025). "Konwencja PiS. Jarosław Kaczyński ostrzega przed planami UE. "To kwestia być albo nie być Polski"". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-11-14.
  21. Gądek, Jacek; Długosz, Dominika (28 October 2025). "Gorąco na konwencji PiS. "Jarosław Kaczyński go wybatożył"". Onet . Retrieved 2025-11-14.
  22. Kolanko, Michał (26 October 2025). "PiS w Katowicach zaczął szyć swój program. Od AI Tax po bon mieszkaniowy". Rzeczpospolita . Retrieved 2025-11-14.
  23. Foksowicz, Justyna (20 October 2025). "Powstanie nowa partia Tuska. Kierwiński: "Będzie zmiana szyldu"". Tygodnik Solidarność . Retrieved 2025-10-20.
  24. Szpala, Iwona (10 November 2025). "Wybory w partiach koalicji. W PSL "wszyscy kochają Władka", w KO "szef jest jeden"". Gazeta Wyborcza . Retrieved 2025-11-10.