2010 Polish local elections

2010 Polish regional assembly election

←  2006 21 November 2010 (first round) 5 December 2010 (second round) 2014  →
561 seats to regional assemblies
Registered	30,608,506
Turnout	14,494,179 (47.35%) 1.44pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Donald Tusk Jarosław Kaczyński Waldemar Pawlak Party PO PiS PSL Leader since 1 June 2003 18 January 2003 29 January 2005 Last election 27.1%, 186 seats 25.0%, 170 seats 13.2%, 83 seats Seats won 222 141 93 Seat change 36 29 10 Popular vote 3,930,210 2,931,867 2,073,234 Percentage 30.9% 23.1% 16.3% Swing 3.8pp 1.9pp 3.1pp   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Grzegorz Napieralski Rafał Dutkiewicz Ryszard Galla Party SLD ODŚ MN Leader since 31 May 2008 26 January 2008 25 September 2005 Last election 14.2%, 66 seats Did not exist 0.4%, 7 seats Seats won 85 9 6 Seat change 19 Did not exist 1 Popular vote 1,933,913 208,867 53,670 Percentage 15.2% 1.6% 0.4% Swing 1.0pp Did not exist 0.0pp
Result of the voivodeship sejmik elections

The 2010 Polish local elections were held in two parts, with its first round on 21 November and the second on 5 December. The first round included elections of deputies to provincial voivodeship sejmiks, as well for gmina and powiat councilors. The second round of elections were marked for mayors, borough leaders, and other positions decided by runoff elections. The local elections were seen as a test to the ruling Civic Platform and Polish People's Party coalition government under Prime Minister Donald Tusk. ^[1]

Background

As the first polls since the July presidential elections, which saw Civic Platform candidate Bronisław Komorowski defeat Law and Justice MP and former Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński, the 2010 local elections were characterized as a test to the administration of Donald Tusk. In the weeks prior to the elections, polls conducted by the CBOS Institute showed the ruling Civic Platform party with a comfortable lead over its rivals. ^[2] The opposition Law and Justice electoral campaign faced multiple challenges prior to the elections. Polls published in the days leading up to the first round indicated low support for the party. ^[3] In a related addition, a severe internal party crisis regarding Kaczyński's leadership and the party's ideological direction, simmering among several of the party's more moderate MPs in the Sejm for several months prior, exploded into the open days before the election. The rebel MPs, led by expelled party member Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska, formed the Poland Comes First parliamentary group on 16 November. ^[4] The party split further undermined confidence to the government's opposition.

Due to mandates in Polish law, all electioneering, poll surveys, and campaigning ceased on 20 November, in the period known as the "election silence." ^[5]

A partisan municipal election poster in Zabrze.

Results

Analysis

Following the tabulated results of the election's first round, Civic Platform emerged with a victory, increasing its profile across provincial, county, and municipal councils. In voivodeship sejmiks, Civic Platform won control of 12 voivodeships, and tied for first place in another. ^[6] The party's national junior coalition partner, the Polish People's Party, won outright in Świętokrzyskie Voivodeship. Law and Justice received a majority in two voivodeships. Following the results, Prime Minister Tusk and Deputy Prime Minister Waldemar Pawlak agreed to extend their coalition into local administrations. ^[7] Civic Platform performed well in county powiat councils, and also significantly raised its electoral profile in municipal gmina councils.

The Polish People's Party also emerged as a winner following the elections, capturing a strong 16 percent of the vote, exceeding previous expectations from pre-election polling. In powiat councils, the party particularly increased its share thanks to its strong connections to local politics. ^[6] In gmina elections, the party expanded gains from the previous 2006 local elections. ^[8]

Law and Justice suffered defeats in all voivodeship, powiat and gmina council tiers of government. While the defeat did not signify a total collapse as survey polls previously suggested, the results pointed towards a general trend of decline for the rightist party, with critics pointing to the perceived aloofness of its party leader, Jarosław Kaczyński. ^[6]

The center-left Democratic Left Alliance also benefited during the elections. Although pushed to fourth place by the surprising gains of the Polish People's Party, the Democratic Left Alliance increased their numbers in provincial voivodeship sejmiks and powiat councils, though the party suffered losses in gmina council elections. ^[8]

While Civic Platform achieved considerable success in the outright reelection of Hanna Gronkiewicz-Waltz as Mayor of Warsaw without a second round, the electorate continued to lean for nonpartisan independent mayors. Independent candidates led in over half of the country's 18 largest cities against mainstream party candidates. ^[6] Civic Platform's attempts to unseat independent mayors in Kraków, Katowice, Poznań, Toruń and Wrocław all ended in defeat. ^[9]

In the county and municipal levels, independent candidates and local political committees captured the most votes, retaining 38 percent of all county councilor seats and over 71 percent of all municipal councilor seats.

Turnout

The turnout in the first round was 47.32%, and in the second round - 35.31%.

Provincial voivodeship sejmik results by party

Voivodeship councils

	Electoral committee	% of seats	Seats	/
	Civic Platform (PO)	39.57%	222	36
	Law and Justice (PiS)	25.13%	141	29
	Polish People's Party (PSL)	16.68%	93	10
	Democratic Left Alliance (SLD)	15.15%	85	9
	Citizens of Lower Silesia (ODŚ)	1.60%	9	3
	German Minority (MN)	0.89%	6	1
	Silesian Autonomy Movement (RAŚ)	0.53%	3	3
	Regional committees	0.36%	2	1
	Self-Defense of the Republic of Poland (SRP)	--	0	37
	League of Polish Families (LPR)	--	0	11
	Total	100.00%	561

Election turnout by county ( powiat ).

Party		Votes	%	Seats
	Civic Platform	3,930,210	30.89	222
	Law and Justice	2,931,867	23.05	141
	Polish People's Party	2,073,234	16.30	93
	Democratic Left Alliance	1,933,913	15.20	85
	National Party of Retirees and Pensioners	231,263	1.82	0
	Rafał Dutkiewicz's Electors' Electoral Committee	208,867	1.64	9
	Janusz Korwin-Mikke Electors' Electoral Committee	155,210	1.22	0
	Polish Labour Party - August	149,482	1.18	0
	Our Home Poland - Andrzej Lepper's Self-Defence	133,284	1.05	0
	Silesian Autonomy Movement	122,781	0.97	3
	Left-wing Electoral Committee [a]	91,196	0.72	0
	National Self-Governance Community  [ pl ]	90,650	0.71	1
	League of Polish Families	87,545	0.69	0
	Right Wing of the Republic	78,287	0.62	0
	Małopolska Community of Marek Nawara  [ pl ]	68,600	0.54	0
	Real Politics Union	56,347	0.44	0
	German Minority Electoral Committee	53,670	0.42	6
	Self-Governance Agreement  [ pl ]	47,303	0.37	1
	Electoral Platform	31,710	0.25	0
	National Revival of Poland	30,776	0.24	0
	Piast Faction	29,939	0.24	0
	Konstanty Dombrowicz Electoral Committee. City for the Generations	27,603	0.22	0
	Independent Platform of Social Initiatives-Now Wielkopolska	26,914	0.21	0
	Firemens' Electoral Committee	16,092	0.13	0
	Polish Direction  [ pl ]	15,432	0.12	0
	Alliance of the Polish Nation  [ pl ]	12,959	0.10	0
	Right-wing Self-Governance Community	11,304	0.09	0
	Youth as Gurantors of Change	9,642	0.08	0
	Justice in Kraków	8,796	0.07	0
	National Breakthrough Movement	8,044	0.06	0
	Śląsk Wrocław	7,127	0.06	0
	Patriotic Poland  [ pl ]	6,955	0.05	0
	Our Gmina Our Powiat - It's Us	5,864	0.05	0
	Slavic Union	5,707	0.04	0
	Civic Initiative of Powiat Tarnogórski	4,764	0.04	0
	Human Rights Defence Electoral Committee	3,972	0.03	0
	Solidary Gdańsk	2,952	0.02	0
	Ekopark	2,130	0.02	0
	Independent Social Movement Western Pomeranian	1,579	0.01	0
	Zdzisław Kaniewski Electors' Electoral Committee	1,243	0.01	0
	Thinking Differently	979	0.01	0
	Agreement of the Right in Głubczyce	866	0.01	0
	Center for Sustainable Development	844	0.01	0
	Care for Greenery	769	0.01	0
	Loża Szyderców Electors' Electoral Committee	767	0.01	0
	Social Movement	722	0.01	0
	Centro-Behaviorist-Socialist Agreement	680	0.01	0
	skuteczniedoprzodu.pl Electoral Committee	536	0.00	0
Total		12,721,376	100.00	561
Valid votes		12,721,376	87.77
Invalid/blank votes		1,772,803	12.23
Total votes		14,494,179	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		30,608,506	47.35
Source: National Electoral Commission [10]

County councils

	Electoral committee	% of seats	Seats	/
	Local committees	38.12%	2,398	249
	Civic Platform (PO)	20.91%	1,315	536
	Law and Justice (PiS)	17,25%	1,085	146
	Polish People's Party (PSL)	15,88%	999	132
	Democratic Left Alliance (SLD)	7.84%	493	25
	Total	100.00%	6,290

Municipal councils

	Electoral committee	% of seats	Seats	/
	Local committees	71.5%	28,480	246
	Polish People's Party (PSL)	11%	4,381	483
	Law and Justice (PiS)	7%	2,782	194
	Civic Platform (PO)	6.82%	2,719	1,122
	Democratic Left Alliance (SLD)	3.68%	1,466	130
	Total	100.00%	39,828

References

1. "Local elections in Poland test government's popularity". Deutsche Welle. 2010-11-21. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
2. "Campaign hots up before local elections". Polskie Radio. 2010-11-14. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
3. "Opposition face meltdown in local elections?". Polskie Radio. 2010-11-15. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
4. "Law and Justice breakaway politicians form new 'association'". Polskie Radio. 2010-11-16. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
5. "Local election silence descends on Poland". Polskie Radio. 2010-11-20. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
6. "Small change signals big shift". The Economist . 2010-11-25. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
7. "PM and deputy talk of 'local government coalitions'". Polskie Radio. 2010-11-26. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
8. "PiS wszędzie traci, PO zyskuje ponad 1,5 tys. radnych". Gazeta.pl. 2010-11-25. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
9. "Polish Ruling Party Wins Local Elections, but Cracks Show". The Wall Street Journal . 2010-11-22. Retrieved 2011-02-13.
10. "Samorząd 2010".

• National Electoral Commission

Notes

1. Polish Left, Social Democracy of Poland, Union of the Left of the Third Republic