Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election

Last updated

This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election .

Contents

Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.

Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Polling for Senate elections

Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews with respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark his or her choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."

Aside from publishing preferences per candidate, pollsters also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included in their preferences.

Calendar

Survey details

Date/s administeredPollster Sample size Margin of error Major issues when poll was administered
Jan 25–31, 2025 [1] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Jan 18–25, 2025 [2] Pulse Asia2,400±2.0%
Jan 17–20, 2025 [3] SWS1,800±2.31%
Dec 16–22, 2024 [4] RMN–Oculum1,200±3.0%
Dec 12–18, 2024 [5] SWS2,097±2.1%
Dec 7–9, 2024 [6] DZRH7,510±1.13%
Nov 29–Dec 3, 2024 [7] Publicus Asia1,500±3.0%
Nov 26–Dec 3, 2024 [8] Pulse Asia2,400±2.0%
Nov 25–Dec 1, 2024 [9] The Center1,200±3.0%
Nov 10–16, 2024 [10] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Oct 29–31, 2024 [11] Peers Agency1,800±2.5%
Oct 16–17, 2024 [12] Publicus Asia1,500–
Sep 14–23, 2024 [13] SWS1,500±2.5%
Sep 15–19, 2024 [14] Publicus Asia1,500–
Sep 6–13, 2024 [15] Pulse Asia––
Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024 [16] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024 [17] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Jun 17–24, 2024 [18] Pulse Asia––
Mar 14–19, 2024 [19] Publicus Asia1,500–
Mar 11–14, 2024 [20] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Mar 6–10, 2024 [21] Pulse Asia––
Feb 21–29, 2024 [22] Oculum3,000±2.0%
Dec 10–14, 2023 [23] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023 [24] OCTA1,200±3.0%
Jul 17–31, 2023 [25] Oculum1,200±3.0%
Apr 15–18, 2023 [26] SWS1,200±3.0%

Per candidate

By voter preferences

During campaign period

After COC filing

CandidatePartyOct 16–17, 2024
Publicus Asia [12] 		Oct 29–31, 2024
Peers Agency [11] 		Nov 10–16, 2024
OCTA [10] 		Nov 25–Dec 1, 2024
The Center [9] 		Nov 26–Dec 3, 2024
Pulse Asia [8] 		Nov 29–Dec 3, 2024
Publicus Asia [7] 		Dec 7–9, 2024
DZRH [6] 		Dec 12–18, 2024
SWS [5] 		Dec 16–22, 2024
RMN–Oculum [4] 		Jan 17–20, 2025
SWS [3] 		Jan 18–25, 2025
Pulse Asia [2] 		Jan 25–31, 2025
OCTA [1]
Benhur Abalos ABP (PFP)15%30.9%30%33.5%26.0%16%31.8%17%26.3%19%24.8%39%
Jerome Adonis Makabayan 2%3.2%––0.5%–2.0%1%–2%1.5%–
Wilson Amad Independent –2.6%––0.2%–1.4%––2%0.8%1%
Jocelyn Andamo Makabayan –2.2%––0.1%–1.3%1%–2%0.4%–
Bam Aquino KANP 27%27.6%19%18%28.2%27%28.9%17%19.6%20%27.4%22%
Ronnel Arambulo Makabayan 2%3.2%–7%0.4%–1.5%1%–2%0.2%–
Ernesto Arellano Katipunan –5.3%––1.5%–3.7%2%–3%0.8%1%
Roberto Ballon Independent –2.7%––0.4%–1.9%––2%1.2%1%
Abby Binay ABP (NPC)19%27.6%30%32%40.1%17%38.0%25%40.3%31%41.1%37%
Jimmy Bondoc PDP 8%8.4%1%9%2.4%–7.1%3%4.2%4%4.6%4%
Ramon Bong Revilla ABP (Lakas)17%31.6%49%43.5%43.5%15%42.4%33%49.2%29%46.0%49%
Bonifacio Bosita Independent 13%16.1%8%14%12.2%14%19.3%8%7.1%11%12.5%12%
Arlene Brosas Makabayan 4%4.8%1%7%0.8%–2.8%1%–2%1.5%1%
Roy Cabonegro DPP –1.2%––0.1%–1.1%1%–1%0.2%–
Allen Capuyan PPP 1%3.4%––0.9%–1.6%1%–1%1.0%1%
Teddy Casiño Makabayan 9%8.7%4%10%2.3%–5.1%2%–3%1.7%3%
France Castro Makabayan 5%8.0%3%9%2.2%–4.5%4%–5%1.9%3%
Pia Cayetano ABP (Nacionalista)33%45.4%49%44.75%46.5%32%44.7%32%46.9%33%46.1%46%
Angelo de Alban Independent –2.5%–6%0.1%–1.5%––2%0.4%1%
David D'AngeloBunyog–1.6%––0.2%–1.2%1%–2%0.5%–
Leody de Guzman PLM 7%6.1%2%10%1.8%–4.0%2%–3%2.5%2%
Bato dela Rosa PDP 26%31.2%26%36%36.9%30%37.4%21%43.8%30%41.2%36%
Mimi Doringo Makabayan 1%2.7%––0.2%–1.6%0.5%–1%0.5%–
Arnel EscobalMaharlika–3.3%––0.6%–2.2%1%–2%1.5%1%
Luke Espiritu PLM 7%3.9%2%–1.8%–3.5%1%–3%1.3%2%
Mody Floranda Makabayan 2%2.3%––0.1%–1.5%1%–1%0.6%–
Marc Gamboa Independent –4.6%2%–0.9%–3.0%––1%0.4%1%
Bong Go PDP 35%26.9%52%46.5%54.7%37%34.5%32%44.4%37%50.4%58%
Norberto Gonzales PDSP 5%5.4%1%2%1.5%–3.9%2%–2%1.6%1%
Jesus Hinlo Jr. PDP 2%5.2%1%8.5%0.2%–2.6%1%–1%1.2%1%
Gregorio Honasan Reform PH 20%30.4%27%29%28.6%18%25.3%15%28.1%19%25.2%26%
Relly Jose Jr. KBL –2.6%–5%0.4%–1.6%––2%0.5%–
Panfilo Lacson ABP (Independent)38%47.6%47%51.75%44.1%39%50.1%27%39.2%35%42.4%48%
Raul Lambino PDP 3%4.3%–3%0.8%–5.3%1%–2%1.4%1%
Lito Lapid ABP (NPC)18%28.9%36%29%39.2%17%46.2%23%31.1%37%37.7%43%
Wilbert Lee Aksyon 4%4.1%1%3%1.6%–3.9%1%–2%1.0%1%
Amirah Lidasan Makabayan 2%1.5%––0.7%–2.3%0.2%–3%0.7%–
Rodante Marcoleta Independent 16%13.4%8%23%10.3%18%12.9%6%14.0%7%12.5%11%
Francis Leo Marcos Independent ––––––––––––
Imee Marcos ABP (Nacionalista)30%28.1%41%37%37.5%26%34.6%21%33.3%28%43.3%44%
Norman Marquez Independent –2.7%–5%0.4%–2.3%––1%0.6%1%
Eric Martinez Independent –6.2%1%14.75%1.9%–2.0%2%–2%1.5%3%
Richard Mata Independent 6%4.9%–5%0.7%–2.7%––2%0.5%2%
Sonny Matula WPP 4%2.9%–8%0.8%–1.5%1%–2%0.8%1%
Liza Maza Makabayan 5%4.6%–10%1.0%–2.6%1%–2%1.2%2%
Heidi Mendoza Independent 4%3.5%1%7%1.0%–2.9%2%–3%1.7%1%
Jose Montemayor Jr. PPM3%2.3%––0.4%–2.2%––2%2.2%1%
Subair Mustapha WPP ––––––––––––
Jose Jessie Olivar Independent –2.3%––0.1%–1.6%––1%0.5%1%
Willie Ong Aksyon 41%39.0%22%33%20.6%39%26.6%14%22.5%20%20.2%24%
Manny Pacquiao ABP (PFP)32%33.6%38%44%45.0%29%46.5%26%46.3%33%40.6%45%
Kiko Pangilinan Liberal 30%28.6%25%30%33.1%28%29.6%20%23.3%29%29.1%28%
Ariel Querubin Nacionalista 8%7.3%8%20.75%6.6%–5.0%2%–3%3.7%3%
Apollo Quiboloy Independent 6%6.4%3%13%2.1%–4.8%2%–3%3.0%5%
Danilo Ramos Makabayan 2%6.2%1%–0.6%–2.2%2%–2%1.6%1%
Willie Revillame Independent 21%26.8%28%25%43.6%19%39.4%26%36.2%29%41.9%48%
Vic Rodriguez Independent 7%4.3%2%12%2.1%11%2.3%3%–4%3.6%4%
Nur-Ana Sahidulla Independent 2%2.4%2%–1.7%–1.8%1%–2%0.7%–
Phillip Salvador PDP 10%16.4%15%19%16.2%–16.9%10%12.8%13%18.4%18%
Chavit Singson Independent 16%18.4%10%22.75%11.5%14%17.0%9%11.3%10%11.4%–
Tito Sotto ABP (NPC)38%46.0%63%53.5%59.2%37%54.9%31%52.3%38%50.2%52%
Michael TapadoMaharlika–1.9%––0.4%–1.0%1%–1%1.5%–
Francis Tolentino ABP (PFP)23%20.4%32%43%20.2%28%20.2%14%16.3%13%19.3%38%
Ben Tulfo Independent 33%39.6%66%46.75%52.7%31%50.3%30%50.1%34%46.2%60%
Erwin Tulfo ABP (Lakas)40%55.7%73%58%62.2%41%64.7%45%70.8%45%62.8%70%
Mar Valbuena Jr. Independent –2.5%––0.5%–1.6%1%–2%0.7%–
Leandro Verceles Independent 1%1.7%1%–0.04%–1.0%1%–0.5%0.1%–
Camille Villar ABP (Nacionalista)17%31.9%29%38%36.5%16%40.7%21%37.5%26%38.4%36%
Undecided10%1.7%12%9%3.1%
Refused19%3.0%1.7%
None2.3%2.5%

Before COC filing

CandidatePartyApr 15–18, 2023
SWS [26] 		Jul 17–31, 2023
Oculum [25] 		Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023
OCTA [24] 		Dec 10–14, 2023
OCTA [23] 		Feb 21–29, 2024
Oculum [22] 		Mar 6–10, 2024
Pulse Asia [21] 		Mar 11–14, 2024
OCTA [20] 		Mar 14–19, 2024
Publicus Asia [19] 		Jun 17–24, 2024
Pulse Asia [18] 		Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024
OCTA [17] 		Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024
OCTA [16] 		Sep 6–13, 2024
Pulse Asia [15] 		Sep 15–19, 2024
Publicus Asia [14] 		Sep 14–23, 2024
SWS [13]

Benhur Abalos PFP 8%–15%18%6%12.9%21%–10.2%27%28%14.9%18%14%
Ernesto Abella Independent–––––0.6%––0.5%1%––––
Persida Acosta Independent––––7%8.9%––6.3%7%–4.4%––
Jerome Adonis Makabayan –––––––––––0.2%–1%
Pantaleon Alvarez Reporma 2%––––3.3%––2.0%–––––
Jocelyn Andamo Makabayan –––––––––––0.2%–1%
Bam Aquino KNP 7%–13%12%12%17.3%7.3%–12.5%10%14%19.0%23%14%
Ronnel Arambulo Makabayan –––––––––––0.2%–1%
Gloria Macapagal Arroyo Lakas ––––––––––––14%–
Lorraine Badoy-Partosa Independent–––––0.5%––0.3%––0.6%––
Teddy Baguilat Liberal 2%–––3%0.3%––––––––
Carl Balita Aksyon 0.5%––––2.5%2.6%–1.9%––1.4%––
Ace Barbers Nacionalista –––––––––2%4%–––
Herbert Bautista NPC 8%14%10%12%16%11.0%11.7%–13.2%12%–10.8%–7%
Greco Belgica PDDS 1%––––1.4%––0.8%1%–0.6%––
Abigail Binay NPC ––10%11%18%29.1%14.1%–18.9%23%22%37.5%15%20%
Jejomar Binay UNA 15%18%–25%––––––––––
Jimmy Bondoc Independent–––––0.8%––––––––
Arlene Brosas Gabriela –––––––––––––1%
Jose Calida Independent–––––0.7%––––––––
Teodoro Casiño Makabayan –––––––––––––1%
France Castro ACT Teachers ––––––––2.0%1%2%1.4%–3%
Pia Cayetano Nacionalista 23%38%36%30%35%37.7%26%23%42.7%39%35%41.3%27%26%
Neri Colmenares Makabayan 4%–6%8%6%4.4%5.4%–5.9%4%6%4.2%–2%
Dakila Cua PFP ––––––––0.3%––––
Dingdong Dantes Independent–––––10.4%––8.1%11%10%9.6%––
Rafaela David Akbayan ––––––––0.3%––0.7%––
Noli de Castro Aksyon 9%–19%12%––13.7%––12%––––
Leila de Lima Liberal 5%–6%7%10%9.3%8.6%––9%8%–––
Arthur Defensor Jr. PFP –––––––––3%––––
Lorenz Defensor NUP ––––––––5.5%–––––
Mike Defensor PFP ––14%7%–8.9%11.3%––9%––––
Ronald dela Rosa PDP 9%32%39%47%41%33.2%33%28%31.3%36%29%26.2%26%18%
Monsour del Rosario Reporma 2%–––7%–––––––––
Fernando Diaz PPP 1%–––––––0.6%–––––
Chel Diokno Akbayan 7%–12%7%9%11.2%7.3%––6%7%7.0%28%7%
Mimi Doringo Makabayan –––––––––––0.1%–1%
Franklin Drilon Liberal 8%–13%12%–16.1%14.5%–15.3%17%18%15.8%–12%
Paolo Duterte HNP ––13%14%–13.1%15.1%–13.8%15%20%16.3%18%–
Rodrigo Duterte PDP 25%39%––53%47.7%38%38%38.7%33%33%38.0%36%25%
Sebastian Duterte PDP –––––13.5%16.8%–14.9%18%22%19.1%18%–
Guillermo Eleazar Reporma 7%–8%–11%10.4%4.8%–9.8%4%–5.4%––
Luke Espiritu PLM 1%––––––––––0.4%––
Ted Failon Independent–––––14.6%––18.8%13%–12.2%23%–
Mody Floranda Makabayan –––––––––––0.4%–0.2%
Christina Frasco Lakas ––––––––2.8%2%–1.6%––
Duke Frasco NUP –––––1.4%––2.8%––1.0%––
Larry Gadon KBL 5%–4%–6%4.6%3.4%–3.5%1%–1.9%––
George Garcia Independent–––––0.9%––––––––
Gwendolyn Garcia One Cebu 4%–5%––5.2%5.9%––3%––––
Rex Gatchalian NPC 10%–––––––––––––
Bong Go PDP 20%20%49%53%40%44.2%50%32%36.6%45%49%40.3%33%18%
Ferdinand GolezIndependent–––––0.6%–––1%––––
Richard Gomez PFP 7%–14%11%–11.6%12.7%–9.9%8%9%9.5%––
Aurelio Gonzales Jr. Lakas ––––––––0.9%–––––
Dick Gordon Bagumbayan 6%12%16%14%13%14.8%17.6%–12.0%15%18%17.3%–10%
Samira Gutoc Aksyon 1%–––––2.1%––2%––––
Barry Gutierrez Akbayan ––––––––0.9%––1.5%––
Gregorio Honasan Reform PH 10%19%19%18%23%17.5%17.6%–18.6%17%23%21.5%–13%
Edwin Jubahib PFP 0.5%–––––––––––––
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon ––––––––3.4%––2.9%––
Panfilo Lacson Independent16%31%32%32%32%28.6%34%32%32.2%34%44%35.5%29%24%
Rey Langit PDP 1%––––1.3%1.7%––1%––––
Lito Lapid NPC 17%26%26%20%30%25.4%22%–21.4%28%33%24.7%16%20%
Wilbert Lee Aksyon –––––0.4%––1.4%–14%1.1%––
Ronald Llamas Akbayan ––––––––0.6%––0.1%––
Benjamin Magalong NPC ––––2%3.1%––2.1%––2.4%––
Hermilando Mandanas PDP ––2%––0.6%2.1%–1.2%––0.6%––
Rodante Marcoleta PDP 3%–8%–4%2.4%2.2%–4.3%3%6%3.3%15%–
Liza Araneta Marcos PFP ––––6%6.0%––––––––
Imee Marcos Nacionalista 18%20%39%42%35%32.1%29%27%33.8%28%33%29.8%29%25%
Eric Martinez PDP –––––0.8%––––––––
Richard Mata Independent–––––0.4%–––1%––––
Sonny Matula WPP 1%–––––––––––––
Liza Maza Gabriela –––––––––––0.1%–1%
Cesar Montano Independent–––––8.4%––7.1%6%7%5.2%––
Isko Moreno Aksyon 14%20%35%32%45%31.5%27%27%31.7%23%––––
Ariel NepomucenoIndependent–––––0.3%––––––––
Victor Neri Independent––3%––2.2%3.8%–2.9%2%3%2.3%––
Willie Ong Aksyon –26%21%17%35%24.6%21%41%18.3%20%28%19.8%––
Serge Osmeña Independent6%–––––––––––––
Manny Pacquiao PROMDI 19%24%26%28%43%33.7%32%–33.5%32%34%31.9%29%18%
Salvador Panelo PDP 2%–3%–4%0.8%2.5%–2.4%––2.5%––
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 8%18%19%15%–22.2%14.9%–19.2%17%17%20.5%30%15%
Prospero Pichay Jr. Lakas ––––––––0.9%––0.9%––
Kathryna Pimentel PDP ––4%––5.7%4.1%–––––––
Emmanuel Piñol NPC 2%––––3.5%––––––––
Ariel Querubin Nacionalista –––––1.0%––2.8%3%5%2.7%–3%
Apollo Quiboloy Independent–––––0.2%––0.6%––1.0%––
Danilo Ramos Makabayan –––––––––––0.6%–2%
Ralph Recto Nacionalista 7%–14%15%16%18.8%13.9%–15.8%14%–12.5%––
Jesus Crispin Remulla NUP 1%–––2%3.6%––––––––
Bong Revilla Lakas 13%22%32%35%32%29.6%30%–29.9%38%44%35.9%14%24%
Willie Revillame Independent–27%13%18%29%25.9%14.3%––15%19%–––
Leni Robredo Liberal 10%17%15%17%23%13.6%11.7%27%–––––8%
Rufus Rodriguez CDP –––––––––3%3%–––
Vic Rodriguez Independent–––––0.9%––0.4%1%2%1.0%––
Martin Romualdez Lakas 5%–––5%–––––––––
Yedda Marie Romualdez Lakas –––––1.5%––2.4%––4.0%––
Harry Roque PRP 4%11%8%7%10%5.0%5.8%–5.9%2%5%3.6%–4%
Mar Roxas Liberal 10%19%11%15%–13.6%11.7%–15.9%13%–9.8%––
Phillip Salvador PDP ––6%––3.9%3.6%–5.4%4%6%8.1%–7%
Korina Sanchez Independent––––––––11.5%––8.1%––
Vilma Santos Nacionalista 3%–––––––23.6%––12.1%––
Allen SingsonIndependent––––––––0.7%––0.6%––
Chavit Singson NPC ––––––––––6%6.1%–5%
Tito Sotto NPC 18%48%42%48%53%51.8%52%32%50.4%44%50%48.0%37%34%
Vico Sotto Independent18%28%––35%–––––––––
Anthony Taberna Independent––––––3.7%–––––––
Gilbert Teodoro PRP 5%–18%19%10%15.2%12.6%26%16.8%14%–12.7%–7%
Francis Tolentino Independent6%–28%33%8%16.7%22%–17.6%34%34%13.5%29%14%
Antonio Trillanes Aksyon 6%–10%11%15%13.0%10.2%––12%––––
Ben Tulfo Independent–––––30.5%43%–40.9%45%57%46.6%26%–
Erwin Tulfo Lakas 32%50%60%76%52%57.1%58%37%58.0%58%60%60.8%42%54%
Luis Raymund Villafuerte NUP ––2%––2.8%2.8%–––––––
Manny Villar Nacionalista –26%––––––––––––
Camille Villar Nacionalista 6%–––8%–––––17%21.0%13%21%
Don't know3%1%3.5%2.6%2.4%7%
Refused4%3%1.7%2.1%1.5%
None7%1.0%1.9%3.2%
Invalid votes (13 or more names)


Per party

Seats won

DatePollster
ACT-CIS
LP
NP
NPC
PDP
PFP
PRP
UNA
Ind
2024
Sep 14–23SWS [13] 1001033310101
Sep 6–13Pulse Asia [15] 1001023300102
Aug 28–Sep 2OCTA [16] 1101022310103
Jun 26–Jul 1OCTA [17] 1101023310103
Jun 17–24Pulse Asia [18] 1101021300102
Mar 14–19Publicus Asia [19] 1200121301101
Mar 11–14OCTA [20] 1201022310103
Mar 6–10Pulse Asia [21] 1201023300103
Feb 21–29Oculum [22] 1201122300103
2023
Dec 10–14OCTA [23] 1101022200112
Sep 30–Oct 4OCTA [24] 1201022200102
Jul 17–31Oculum [25] 1100022200103
Apr 15–18SWS [26] 1100022200112

Seats after the election

Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.

DatePollster
LP
NP
NPC
PDP
PFP
PRP
PMP
UNA
Ind
2024
Aug 28–Sep 2OCTA [16] 111010364101107
Jun 26–Jul 1OCTA [17] 111010374101107
Jun 17–24Pulse Asia [18] 111010354001106
Mar 14–19Publicus Asia [19] 112001354010105
Mar 11–14OCTA [20] 112010364101107
Mar 6–10Pulse Asia [21] 112010374001107
Feb 21–29Oculum [22] 112011364001107
2023
Dec 10–14OCTA [23] 111010363001116
Sep 30–Oct 4OCTA [24] 112010363001106
Jul 17–31Oculum [25] 111000363001107
Apr 15–18SWS [26] 111000363001116

References

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  2. 1 2 "January 2025 Nationwide Survey on the May 2025 Elections". Pulse Asia Research Inc. Retrieved February 10, 2025.
  3. 1 2 "SWS confirms January 2025 Survey item for Stratbase Consultancy on Voter Preference for Senators for the 2025 Elections". Social Weather Stations . January 30, 2025. Retrieved January 30, 2025.
  4. 1 2 "RMN Networks, Oculum release Q4 senatorial poll". Oculum Research and Analytics. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  5. 1 2 "SWS confirms December 2024 Survey item for Stratbase Consultancy on Voter Preference for Senators for the 2025 Elections". Social Weather Stations. December 26, 2024. Retrieved December 27, 2024.
  6. 1 2 Antalan, Mary (December 13, 2024). "DESISYON 2025: First wave of MBC-DZRH pre-election survey". DZRH. Retrieved December 13, 2024.
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