44th Quebec general election

44th Quebec general election

←  2022 On or before October 5, 2026 (2026-10-05)
←  outgoing members
125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec 63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Leader François Legault Pablo Rodriguez Ruba Ghazal [a] Party Coalition Avenir Québec Liberal Québec solidaire Leader since November 4, 2011 June 14, 2025 November 16, 2024 Leader's seat L'Assomption None Mercier Last election 90 seats, 40.98% 21 seats, 14.37% 11 seats, 15.43% Current seats 86 20 12 Seats needed 43 51   Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Éric Duhaime Party Parti Québécois Conservative Leader since October 9, 2020 April 17, 2021 Leader's seat Camille-Laurin None Last election 3 seats, 14.61% 0 seats, 12.91% Current seats 6 0 Seats needed 57 63
Incumbent Premier François Legault Coalition Avenir Québec

The 44th Quebec general election will elect the members of the 44th National Assembly of Quebec. The Election Act requires that the election be held October 5, 2026, but it may be called earlier.

Background

In the 2022 general election, the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois, remained the official opposition winning 21 seats. ^[2] The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat. ^[3] The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats. ^[4]

Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature", ^[5] setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the lieutenant governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2022 provincial election.

Name		Ideology	Position	Leader	2022 result		Current standing
					Votes (%)	Seats
	Coalition Avenir Québec	Quebec nationalism Quebec autonomism Conservatism	Centre-right	François Legault	40.98%	90 / 125	86 / 125
	Liberal	Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Liberalism	Centre to centre-right	Pablo Rodriguez	14.37%	21 / 125	20 / 125
	Québec solidaire	Quebec sovereigntism Democratic socialism Environmentalism	Left-wing	Ruba Ghazal	15.43%	11 / 125	12 / 125
	Parti Québécois	Quebec sovereigntism Quebec nationalism Social democracy Economic nationalism	Centre-left	Paul St-Pierre Plamondon	14.61%	3 / 125	6 / 125
	Conservative Party of Quebec	Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Conservatism	Right-wing	Éric Duhaime	12.91%	0 / 125	0 / 125
	Independents	N/A			0.05%	0 / 125	1 / 125
	Vacant	N/A					0 / 125

Constituency name changes

The following constituencies had their names changed in June 2025:

Old name	New name	Enabling legislation
Arthabaska	Arthabaska–L’Érable	An Act to replace the name of the electoral division of Arthabaska by the name “Arthabaska-L’Érable” , LQ 2025, c. 22
Laporte	Pierre-Laporte	An Act to replace the name of the electoral division of Laporte by the name “Pierre-Laporte” , LQ 2025, c. 19
Matane-Matapédia	Matane-Matapédia-Mitis	An Act to replace the name of the electoral division of Matane-Matapédia by Matane-Matapédia-Mitis , LQ 2025, c. 18
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata	Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques	An Act to replace the name of the electoral division of Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata by the name “Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques” , LQ 2025, c. 20
Vimont	Vimont-Auteuil	An Act to replace the name of the electoral division of Vimont by the name “Vimont-Auteuil” , LQ 2025, c. 21

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2022–2025)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Vaudreuil	October 27, 2022	Marie-Claude Nichols	█  Liberal	Expelled [6]			█  Independent
	May 2, 2025		█  Independent	Rejoined caucus [7]			█  Liberal
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne	December 1, 2022	Dominique Anglade	█  Liberal	Resignation as MNA [8]	March 13, 2023	Guillaume Cliche-Rivard [9]	█  QC solidaire
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice	March 7, 2023	Marie-Louise Tardif	█  CAQ	Left the caucus [10]			█  Independent
	March 28, 2023		█  Independent	Returned to caucus [11]			█  CAQ
Jean-Talon	July 31, 2023	Joëlle Boutin	█  CAQ	Resignation as MNA [12]	October 2, 2023	Pascal Paradis [13]	█  Parti Québécois
Marguerite-Bourgeoys	October 7, 2023	Frédéric Beauchemin	█  Liberal	Excluded from caucus [14]			█  Independent
	December 15, 2023		█  Independent	Readmitted to caucus [15]			█  Liberal
Arthabaska	April 16, 2024	Eric Lefebvre	█  CAQ	Resignation from party [16]			█  Independent
	March 18, 2025		█  Independent	Resignation as MNA [17]	August 11, 2025	Alex Boissonneault	█  Parti Québécois
Terrebonne	September 3, 2024	Pierre Fitzgibbon	█  CAQ	Resignation as MNA [18]	March 17, 2025	Catherine Gentilcore [19]	█  Parti Québécois
Saint-Jérôme	September 12, 2024	Youri Chassin	█  CAQ	Resignation from party [20]			█  Independent

By-elections

Analysis of by-elections by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2022)

Riding and winning party			Turnout				Vote share for winning candidate
			%	Change (pp)			%	Change (pp)
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne	█  Québec solidaire	Gain	31.10	-26.72			44.50	16.78
Jean-Talon	█  Parti Québécois	Gain	55.21	-18.64			44.06	25.37
Terrebonne	█  Parti Québécois	Gain	37.26	-33.91			52.74	33.86
Arthabaska	█  Parti Québécois	Gain	59.98	-14.12			46.37	36.36

2022

• October 3: The Coalition Avenir Québec led by François Legault wins a second majority government in the 43rd Quebec general election.
• November 7: Dominique Anglade resigns as the leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, triggering a leadership election to determine her successor. ^[8]
• November 10: LaFontaine MNA Marc Tanguay is named interim leader of the Quebec Liberal Party. ^[21]

2023

• May 16: Manon Massé announced that she will not seek re-election as female spokesperson at Québec Solidaire's next convention held from November 24 to 26, 2023, in Gatineau. ^{[22] [23]}
• November 26: Émilise Lessard-Therrien is elected as Québec Solidaire's female spokesperson. ^[24]

2024

• April 29: Lessard-Therrien resigns as Québec Solidaire's female spokesperson. ^[25]
• May 2: Sherbrooke MNA Christine Labrie becomes Québec Solidaire's interim female spokesperson. ^[26]
• November 16: Mercier MNA Ruba Ghazal is elected female spokesperson of Québec Solidaire. ^{[27] [28]}

2025

• March 20: Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois resigns as Québec Solidaire's male spokesperson.
• March 24: Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne MNA Guillaume Cliche-Rivard becomes Québec Solidaire's interim male spokesperson.
• June 14: Pablo Rodriguez wins the 2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election.
• November 8: The 2025 Québec solidaire co-spokesperson election will be held.

Candidates

Incumbents not running for re-election

Incumbent MNA		Electoral District	Date announced
	Marwah Rizqy [29]	Saint-Laurent	October 1, 2024
	Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois [30]	Gouin	March 20, 2025
	Christine Labrie [31]	Sherbrooke	June 7, 2025

Opinion polls

Opinion polling since the 2022 election

Polling organisation	Last date of polling	Source	Sample size	MoE	CAQ	QS	PQ	PLQ	PCQ	Other	Lead
Leger	August 18, 2025	HTML	977	±3.1%	17	9	35	26	10	2	9
PQ wins the by-election in Arthabaska on August 11, 2025.
Mainstreet Research	June 24, 2025	PDF	910	±3.2%	16	8	31	29	14	2	2
Leger	June 22, 2025	PDF	1,056	±3.0%	17	9	30	28	14	2	2
Pallas Data	June 16, 2025	HTML	1,085	±3.0%	15	12	31	26	14	2	5
Pablo Rodriguez is elected as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party on June 14, 2025.
Leger	May 11, 2025	HTML	1,051	±3.02%	20	10	33	21	13	2	12
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois resigns as co-spokesperson of Québec solidaire on March 20, 2025.
PQ wins the by-election in Terrebonne on March 17, 2025.
Leger	March 10, 2025	PDF	1,007	±3.09%	24	12	30	19	12	3	6
Pallas Data	March 1, 2025	PDF	1,120	±2.9%	19.5	10.1	31.6	21.6	15	2.2	10
Leger	February 2, 2025	PDF	1,017	±3.07%	21	10	30	21	14	3	9
Leger [b]	January 19, 2025	HTML	1,003	±3.09%	25	12	34	15	11	[c]	9
Leger	December 2, 2024	PDF	1,002	±3.1%	24	13	31	16	13	3	7
Pallas Data	November 26, 2024	PDF	1,093	±3.0%	20.4	11.9	35.0	18.3	12.8	1.6	14.6
Ruba Ghazal is elected co-spokesperson of Québec solidaire on November 16, 2024.
Leger	November 11, 2024	PDF	1,010	±3.08%	21	13	35	17	11	2	14
Leger	October 6, 2024	PDF	1,036	±3.04%	24	14	32	17	12	1	8
Pallas Data	September 26, 2024	PDF	1,111	±2.9%	21.6	11.7	33.9	17.6	14.0	1.2	12.3
Pallas Data [d]	September 3, 2024	HTML	1,191	±3.0%	23	13	31	17	14	—	8
Leger	August 25, 2024	PDF	1,041	±3.04%	24	15	29	16	13	3	5
Pallas Data [d]	June 22, 2024	PDF	1,445	±2.6%	21.7	13.2	35.0	16.7	12.2	1.2	13.3
Pallas Data	June 8, 2024	PDF	1,339	±2.7%	21.5	15.9	33.1	17.1	10.6	1.8	11.6
Leger	June 3, 2024	PDF	1,015	±3.08%	25	14	32	15	10	3	7
Leger	May 13, 2024	PDF	1,031	±3.05%	22	12	32	17	12	4	10
Émilise Lessard-Therrien resigns as co-spokesperson of Québec solidaire on April 29, 2024.
Leger	April 21, 2024	PDF	1,026	±3.06%	24	14	34	15	10	3	10
Pallas Data	April 21, 2024	PDF	1,256	±2.8%	19.5	12.9	32.9	22.8	10.7	1.2	10.1
Leger	March 18, 2024	PDF	1,033	±3.05%	22	18	34	14	10	2	12
Pallas Data	February 24, 2024	PDF	1,122	±2.9%	23.1	16.5	31.4	14.5	12.8	1.7	8.3
Leger	February 5, 2024	PDF	1,032	±3.05%	25	16	32	15	11	1	7
Pallas Data	January 24, 2024	PDF	1,175	±2.9%	21.1	17.0	31.7	15.4	11.5	3.2	10.6
Leger	December 4, 2023	PDF	1,040	±3.04%	25	17	31	14	11	2	6
Émilise Lessard-Therrien is elected as co-spokesperson of Québec solidaire on November 26, 2023, following the resignation of Manon Massé.
Pallas Data	November 18, 2023	PDF	1,178	±2.86%	24.1	16.1	30.4	15.5	11.3	2.7	6.3
Leger	October 30, 2023	PDF	1,026	±3.06%	30	15	26	15	12	3	4
PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023.
Pallas Data	September 27, 2023	PDF	1,095	±3.0%	34.5	15.4	19.0	14.7	14.6	1.9	15.5
Leger	September 25, 2023	PDF	1,028	±3.06%	34	17	22	14	12	1	12
Leger	August 21, 2023	PDF	1,036	±3.0%	37	15	22	12	11	3	15
Leger	June 12, 2023	PDF	1,042	±3.0%	37	16	23	13	9	2	14
Angus Reid	June 3, 2023	PDF	506	—	33	17	22	13	12	3 [e]	11
Leger	May 1, 2023	PDF	1,201	±3.0%	36	16	22	14	10	2	14
QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023.
Leger	February 26, 2023	PDF	1,044	±3.0%	40	17	18	14	9	2	22
Leger	December 10, 2022	PDF	1,002	±3.1%	41	14	18	14	10	3	23
Leger	November 6, 2022	PDF	1,028	±3.1%	36	19	18	14	11	3	17
2022 election	October 3, 2022		4,169,137		41.0	15.4	14.6	14.4	12.9	1.7	25.6

Voting intentions among French speakers

Voting intentions among non-French speakers

Hypothetical polling

Voting intention with Liberal successor candidates

Karl Blackburn as leader

Polling organisation	Last date of polling	Source	Sample size	MoE	CAQ	QS	PQ	PLQ	PCQ	Other	Lead
Leger	May 13, 2025	PDF	706		20	10	32	25	11	3	7
Leger	November 11, 2024	PDF	1,010	±3.08%	17	12	36	20	12	3	16
Leger	October 6, 2024	PDF	1,036	±3.04%	27	12	27	21	10	2	0
Leger	August 25, 2024	PDF	1,041	±3.04%	23	14	30	16	12	4	7
Leger	February 5, 2024	PDF	1,032	±3.05%	23	14	31	21	9	3	8

Charles Milliard as leader

Polling organisation	Last date of polling	Source	Sample size	MoE	CAQ	QS	PQ	PLQ	PCQ	Other	Lead
Leger	May 13, 2025	PDF	691		19	11	32	22	12	4	10
Leger	November 11, 2024	PDF	1,010	±3.08%	20	13	36	16	13	2	16
Leger	August 25, 2024	PDF	1,041	±3.04%	23	15	31	14	13	4	8

Pablo Rodriguez as leader

Polling organisation	Last date of polling	Source	Sample size	MoE	CAQ	QS	PQ	PLQ	PCQ	Other	Lead
Leger	May 13, 2025	PDF	733		16	8	30	31	11	3	1
Leger	November 11, 2024	PDF	1,010	±3.08%	15	11	33	26	12	1	7
Leger	October 6, 2024	PDF	1,036	±3.04%	25	11	26	28	9	2	2
Leger	August 25, 2024	PDF	1,041	±3.04%	23	13	30	19	11	3	7

Projections

Source	Seat ranking
	PQ	PLQ	PCQ	QS	CAQ	As of	Prediction
Qc125 [32]	75 (66-78)	39 (35-44)	7 (4-11)	5 (3-7)	0 (0-3)	August 22, 2025	PQ majority

Source	Popular vote ranking
	PQ	PLQ	CAQ	PCQ	QS	As of
Qc125 [32]	34% ± 4%	25% ± 3%	17% ± 2%	13% ± 2%	9% ± 1%	August 22, 2025

Source	Odds of winning
	PQ	PLQ	QS	As of
Qc125 [32]	>99%	<1%	<1%	August 22, 2025

Source	Odds of outcome
	PQ maj.	PQ min.	PLQ min.	PLQ maj.	As of
Qc125 [32]	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	August 22, 2025

Notes

1. Québec solidaire designates one female and one male as co-spokespeople. Ghazal is serving with interim co-spokesperson Guillaume Cliche-Rivard. The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Benjamin Gingras. ^[1]
2. Sponsored by the Bloc Québécois
3. Not specified in the Canadian Press article
4. Sponsored by the Conservative Party of Quebec
5. Including PVQ at 2%

References

1. "Party details – Québec solidaire". Élections Québec. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
2. "Le PLQ formera l'opposition officielle". TVA Nouvelles (in French). October 3, 2022. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
3. Lachance, Nicolas (October 3, 2022). "PSPP fait son entrée à l'Assemblée nationale". TVA Nouvelles (in French). Retrieved October 4, 2022.
4. Serebrin, Jacob (October 4, 2022). "Quebec opposition parties call for electoral reform after vote, seat results". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
5. An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections , L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
6. "Marie-Claude Nichols expelled from Que. Liberal caucus, will sit as independent". Montreal. October 27, 2022. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
7. Pagano, Pamela (May 2, 2025). "Marie-Claude Nichols back with Quebec Liberals, supporting Pablo Rodriguez in leadership race". CityNews Montreal. Retrieved June 21, 2025.
8. Bruemmer, René (November 7, 2022). "Yielding to critics, Anglade quits as Quebec Liberal leader and MNA". Montreal Gazette . Retrieved November 7, 2022.
9. "Québec Solidaire wins Montreal's Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne byelection". CBC News. March 10, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
10. Joe Lofaro (March 7, 2023). "MNA Marie-Louise Tardif temporarily withdraws from CAQ caucus amid police investigation". CTV News . Retrieved October 22, 2023.
11. QMI Agency (March 28, 2023). "Aucune accusation contre la députée: Marie-Louise Tardif réintègre le caucus de la CAQ". Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved October 22, 2023.
12. "La députée caquiste Joëlle Boutin démissionne". Radio-Canada (in French). July 19, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
13. "Results and statistics". May 17, 2021.
14. "Frédéric Beauchemin exclu du caucus libéral". Radio-Canada (in French). October 7, 2023. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
15. Karim Ouadia (December 15, 2023). "Parti libéral du Québec : le député Frédéric Beauchemin réintègre le caucus". Radio-Canada (in French). Retrieved December 18, 2023.
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17. Labbé, Jérôme (March 18, 2025). "Eric Lefebvre démissionne pour faire le saut au fédéral" [Eric Lefebvre resigns to jump to the federal level]. Radio-Canada (in French).
18. "Le « superministre » Pierre Fitzgibbon démissionne". Radio-Canada (in French). September 3, 2024. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
19. "A by-election will be held on March 17, 2025, in the electoral division of Terrebonne". Élections Québec. February 11, 2025. Retrieved March 15, 2025.
20. François Carabin (September 12, 2024). "Le député Youri Chassin claque la porte de la CAQ". Le Devoir (in French). Retrieved September 12, 2024.
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22. "Manon Massé quitte son rôle de co-porte-parole". La Presse (in French). May 16, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
23. Charles Lecavalier (October 13, 2023). "QS facture les médias couvrant son congrès et fait marche arrière". Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved November 28, 2023.
24. Charles Lecavalier (November 26, 2023). "Émilise Lessard-Therrien élue co-porte-parole". La Presse (in French). Retrieved November 27, 2023.
25. Radio-Canada. "Émilise Lessard-Therrien démissionne de son poste de co-porte-parole de Québec solidaire" [Émilise Lessard-Therrien resigns from her position as co-spokesperson for Québec solidaire]. CBC (in French). Retrieved April 30, 2024.
26. Nicolas Lachance (May 2, 2024). "Christine Labrie devient la co-porte-parole par intérim de Québec solidaire". Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved May 3, 2024.
27. Jérôme Labbé (November 16, 2024). "L'élection de Ghazal assombrie par l'« affaire Bouazzi »". Radio-Canada (in French). Retrieved November 17, 2024.
28. François Carabin (November 16, 2024). "Élue porte-parole, Ruba Ghazal plaide pour un «nationalisme ouvert»". Le Devoir (in French). Retrieved November 17, 2024.
29. Lachance, Nicolas (October 1, 2024). "«Je ne veux pas être une mère à temps partiel», affirme la libérale Marwah Rizqy, qui quittera la politique en 2026". Le Journal de Québec (in French). Retrieved October 1, 2024.
30. "Ex-student activist Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois, with Québec solidaire, to leave politics". INFOnews. Retrieved March 20, 2025.
31. "Québec solidaire: La députée de Sherbrooke, Christine Labrie, ne se représentera pas en 2026". La Presse (in Canadian French). La Presse Canadienne. June 7, 2025. Retrieved June 11, 2025.
32. "338Canada Quebec | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections". 338canada.com. Retrieved July 22, 2025.