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The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature", [3] setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the Lieutenant Governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.
In the 2022 general election, the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois, remained the official opposition winning 21 seats. [4] The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat. [5] The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats. [6]
The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the National Assembly after the 2022 provincial election.
Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | 2022 Result | Current standing | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
Coalition Avenir Québec | Quebec nationalism Quebec autonomism Conservatism | Centre-right | François Legault | 90 / 125 | 86 / 125 | ||
Liberal | Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Liberalism | Centre | Dominique Anglade | 21 / 125 | 19 / 125 | ||
Québec solidaire | Quebec sovereigntism Social democracy Environmentalism | Left-wing | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois | 11 / 125 | 12 / 125 | ||
Parti Québécois | Quebec sovereigntism Quebec nationalism Social democracy Economic nationalism | Centre-left | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 3 / 125 | 4 / 125 | ||
Conservative Party of Quebec | Quebec federalism Economic liberalism Conservatism | Right-wing | Éric Duhaime | 0 / 125 | 0 / 125 | ||
Independents | N/A | 0 / 125 | 3 / 125 | ||||
Vacant | N/A | 1 / 125 |
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Source | MoE | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | Other [lower-alpha 3] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
338Canada | September 2, 2024 | [lower-alpha 4] | 24.3 | 14.5 | 30.5 | 16.4 | 12.0 | 2.3 | 6.2 | |
Polling Canada | August 28, 2024 | — | 24.0 | 15.0 | 29.1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 2.9 | 5.1 | |
2022 election | October 3, 2022 | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 |
Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Sample size | MoE | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leger | August 25, 2024 | 1,041 | ±3.04% | 24 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | |
Pallas Data [lower-alpha 5] | June 22, 2024 | 1,445 | ±2.6% | 21.7 | 13.2 | 35.0 | 16.7 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 13.3 | |
Pallas Data | June 8, 2024 | 1,339 | ±2.7% | 21.5 | 15.9 | 33.1 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 11.6 | |
Leger | June 3, 2024 | 1,015 | ±3.08% | 25 | 14 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 7 | |
Leger | May 13, 2024 | 1,031 | ±3.05% | 22 | 12 | 32 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 10 | |
Leger | April 21, 2024 | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 24 | 14 | 34 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 10 | |
Pallas Data | April 21, 2024 | 1,256 | ±2.8% | 19.5 | 12.9 | 32.9 | 22.8 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 10.1 | |
Leger | March 18, 2024 | 1,033 | ±3.05% | 22 | 18 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
Pallas Data | February 24, 2024 | 1,122 | ±2.9% | 23.1 | 16.5 | 31.4 | 14.5 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 8.3 | |
Leger | February 5, 2024 | 1,032 | ±3.05% | 25 | 16 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 7 | |
Pallas Data | January 24, 2024 | 1,175 | ±2.9% | 21.1 | 17.0 | 31.7 | 15.4 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 10.6 | |
Leger | December 4, 2023 | 1,040 | ±3.04% | 25 | 17 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6 | |
Pallas Data | November 18, 2023 | 1,178 | ±2.86% | 24.1 | 16.1 | 30.4 | 15.5 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 6.3 | |
Leger | October 30, 2023 | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 30 | 15 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | |
PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023. | |||||||||||
Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | 1,095 | ±3.0% | 34.5 | 15.4 | 19.0 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 1.9 | 15.5 | |
Leger | September 25, 2023 | 1,028 | ±3.06% | 34 | 17 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 12 | |
Leger | August 21, 2023 | 1,036 | ±3.0% | 37 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 15 | |
Leger | June 12, 2023 | 1,042 | ±3.0% | 37 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 14 | |
Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | 506 | — | 33 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 3 [lower-alpha 6] | 11 | |
Leger | May 1, 2023 | 1,201 | ±3.0% | 36 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 14 | |
QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023. | |||||||||||
Leger | February 26, 2023 | 1,044 | ±3.0% | 40 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 22 | |
Leger | December 10, 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1% | 41 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 23 | |
Leger | November 6, 2022 | 1,028 | ±3.1% | 36 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 | |
2022 election | October 3, 2022 | 4,169,137 | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | 25.6 | ||
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