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All 40 seats in the Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before October 14, 2025, to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.
Affiliation | Leader | House members | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
2021 election results | Current standings | |||
Liberal | John Hogan | 22 | 19 | |
Progressive Conservative | Tony Wakeham | 13 | 14 | |
New Democratic | Jim Dinn | 2 | 1 | |
Independent | N/A | 3 | 2 | |
Vacant | N/A | 0 | 4 |
The following MHAs have announced that they are not running in the upcoming provincial election:
Party | MHA | Riding | Date announced | Ref. | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | Perry Trimper | Lake Melville | March 24, 2025 | [4] | |
Liberal | Siobhan Coady | St. John's West | July 7, 2025 | [5] | |
Liberal | Steve Crocker | Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde | July 14, 2025 | [6] | |
Liberal | Scott Reid | St. George's-Humber | July 14, 2025 | [7] | |
Liberal | John Haggie | Gander | July 14, 2025 | [6] | |
Liberal | Gerry Byrne | Corner Brook | July 17, 2025 | [8] |
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Torngat Mountains | October 25, 2021 | Lela Evans | █ PC | Resignation from PC caucus [11] | █ Independent | ||
March 7, 2022 | █ Independent | Joined the NDP caucus [12] | █ New Democratic | ||||
July 16, 2024 | █ New Democratic | Re-joined the PC caucus [26] | █ PC | ||||
Lake Melville | September 12, 2022 | Perry Trimper | █ Independent | Joined the Liberal caucus [14] | █ Liberal | ||
Conception Bay East-Bell Island | December 29, 2023 | David Brazil | █ PC | Resigned from House of Assembly [17] | January 30, 2024 | Fred Hutton | █ Liberal |
Fogo Island-Cape Freels | January 22, 2024 | Derrick Bragg | █ Liberal | Death of incumbent [18] | April 15, 2024 | Jim McKenna | █ PC |
Baie Verte-Green Bay | March 1, 2024 | Brian Warr | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly [22] | May 27, 2024 | Lin Paddock | █ PC |
Waterford Valley | July 5, 2024 | Tom Osborne | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly [25] | August 22, 2024 | Jamie Korab | █ Liberal |
Burgeo-LaPoile | May 1, 2025 | Andrew Parsons | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly [32] | █ Vacant | ||
Humber-Gros Morne | July 3, 2025 | Andrew Furey | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly [37] | █ Vacant | ||
Labrador West | August 1, 2025 | Jordan Brown | █ New Democratic | Resigned from House of Assembly [38] | █ Vacant | ||
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi | August 15, 2025 | John Abbott | █ Liberal | Resigned from House of Assembly [40] | █ Vacant |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | ||||||
Mount Scio | Sarah Stoodley [41] | Darrell Hynes [42] | Laurabel Mba [43] | Sarah Stoodley | ||||
St. John's Centre | Gemma Hickey [44] | Jim Dinn [45] | Jim Dinn | |||||
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi | John Whelan [46] | Sheilagh O'Leary [47] | Vacant [b] | |||||
St. John's West | Keith White [48] | Kristina Ennis [49] | Marius Normore [50] | Siobhan Coady† [5] | ||||
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville | Bernard Davis [51] | G. Patrick Condon [52] | Raj Sharan [53] | Bernard Davis | ||||
Waterford Valley | Jamie Korab [54] | David Thomlyn [55] | Nicole Boland [56] | Jamie Korab | ||||
Windsor Lake | John Hogan [57] | Deanne Stapleton [58] | John Hogan |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Independent | |||||||
Cape St. Francis | Kara Connors [59] | Joedy Wall [60] | Greg Rockwood [61] | Joedy Wall | ||||||
Conception Bay East–Bell Island | Fred Hutton [62] | Tina Neary [63] | Henry House [64] | Fred Hutton | ||||||
Conception Bay South | Ken McDonald [65] | Barry Petten [60] | Barry Petten | |||||||
Mount Pearl North | Lucy Stoyles [57] | Jim Lester [66] | Lucy Stoyles | |||||||
Mount Pearl-Southlands | Sarah Furlong [59] | Paul Lane [45] | Paul Lane | |||||||
Topsail-Paradise | (Nominations opens August 31) [67] | Paul Dinn [60] | Paul Dinn |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Independent | |||||||
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde | Danielle Doyle [68] | Riley Balsom [69] | Steve Crocker† [6] | |||||||
Ferryland | Cheryl O'Brien [65] | Loyola O'Driscoll [70] | Josh Meadus [71] | Loyola O'Driscoll | ||||||
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave | Pam Parsons [72] | Walter Yetman [58] | Darian Vincent [71] | Pam Parsons | ||||||
Harbour Main | Don Lewis [73] | Helen Conway-Ottenheimer [70] | Dion Hynes [74] | Helen Conway-Ottenheimer | ||||||
Placentia-St. Mary's | Sherry Gambin-Walsh [72] | Rhonda Power [58] | Philip Gardiner [75] | Sherry Gambin-Walsh |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | ||||||
Bonavista | Craig Pardy [70] | David Ellis [74] | Craig Pardy | |||||
Burin-Grand Bank | Paul Pike [76] | Jamie Engram [77] | Paul Pike | |||||
Placentia West-Bellevue | Brian Keating [48] | Jeff Dwyer [70] | Jasmine Paul [78] | Jeff Dwyer | ||||
Terra Nova | Greg French [79] | Lloyd Parrott [70] | Lloyd Parrott |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Independent | |||||||
Baie Verte-Green Bay | Lin Paddock [80] | Lin Paddock | ||||||||
Exploits | Fabian Power [81] | Pleaman Forsey [82] | Pleaman Forsey | |||||||
Fogo Island-Cape Freels | Dale Lewis [83] | Jim McKenna [84] | Garry Leyte [85] | Jim McKenna | ||||||
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune | Elvis Loveless [41] | Ada John [86] | Elvis Loveless | |||||||
Gander | Bettina Ford [68] | Tom Healey [55] | John Haggie† [6] | |||||||
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans | Barry Manuel [68] | Chris Tibbs [82] | Chris Tibbs | |||||||
Lewisporte-Twillingate | Derek Bennett [54] | Mark Butt [87] | Derek Bennett |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Independent | |||||||
Burgeo-La Poile | Michael King [83] | Vacant [c] | ||||||||
Corner Brook | Jim Parsons [88] | (Nominations opened August 30) [89] | [d] | Gerry Byrne† [8] | ||||||
Humber-Bay of Islands | Ethan Wheeler-Park [92] | Eddie Joyce [93] | Eddie Joyce | |||||||
Humber-Gros Morne | Helen Reid [81] | Mike Goosney [94] | Vacant [e] | |||||||
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows | Krista Howell [95] | Krista Howell | ||||||||
St. George's-Humber | Mark Lamswood [68] | Hal Cormier [96] | Scott Reid† [7] | |||||||
Stephenville-Port au Port | Jeff Young [97] | Tony Wakeham [82] | Tony Wakeham |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | ||||||
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair | Lisa Dempster [62] | Nina Rumbolt-Pye [98] | Lisa Dempster | |||||
Labrador West | Todd Seward [99] | Joseph Power [86] | Shazia Razi [100] | Vacant [f] | ||||
Lake Melville | Shaun Maclean [73] | Keith Russell [101] | Perry Trimper† [4] | |||||
Torngat Mountains | Lela Evans [82] | Lela Evans |
Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Hogan is elected Liberal leader. He is sworn-in as premier on May 9. | ||||||||||
Andrew Furey announces his resignation as premier and Liberal leader. | ||||||||||
Narrative Research | Nov 4–19, 2024 | [p 1] | 50% | 40% | 10% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
Narrative Research | Aug 6–16, 2024 | [p 2] | 43% | 35% | 19% | 2% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 8% |
Narrative Research | May 7–29, 2024 | [p 3] | 38% | 41% | 19% | 2% | ±6.8% | 208 | Telephone | 3% |
Narrative Research | Feb 7–18, 2024 | [p 4] | 43% | 33% | 23% | 1% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
Narrative Research | Nov 2–26, 2023 | [p 5] | 44% | 38% | 16% | 3% | ±5.0% | 388 | Telephone | 6% |
Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs. [102] | ||||||||||
Abacus Data | Sep 19–25, 2023 | [p 6] | 40% | 38% | 21% | 1% | ±4.5% | 341 | Online | 2% |
Narrative Research | Aug 1–11, 2023 | [p 7] | 40% | 37% | 23% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 3% |
Narrative Research | May 4–15, 2023 | [p 8] | 50% | 31% | 17% | 2% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 19% |
Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader. | ||||||||||
Narrative Research | Feb 17–21, 2023 | [p 9] | 46% | 36% | 17% | 0% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 10% |
Narrative Research | Nov 3–27, 2022 | [p 10] | 47% | 34% | 16% | 3% | ±4.2% | 535 | Telephone | 13% |
Narrative Research | Aug 3–23, 2022 | [p 11] | 40% | 42% | 16% | 1% | ±6.0% | 260 | Telephone | 2% |
Angus Reid | Jun 7–13, 2022 | [p 12] | 36% | 45% | 12% | 6% | ±7.0% | 201 | Online | 9% |
Narrative Research | May 5–24, 2022 | [p 13] | 48% | 32% | 17% | 3% | ±5.9% | 275 | Telephone | 16% |
Angus Reid | Mar 10–15, 2022 | [p 14] | 43% | 44% | 10% | 4% | ±7.0% | 196 | Online | 1% |
Narrative Research | Feb 8–21, 2022 | [p 15] | 49% | 32% | 15% | 3% | ±5.2% | 350 | Telephone | 17% |
Angus Reid | Jan 7–12, 2022 | [p 16] | 37% | 44% | 15% | 4% | ±8.0% | 155 | Online | 7% |
MQO Research | Nov 19 – Dec 5, 2021 | [p 17] | 47% | 31% | 18% | 4% | ±5.5% | 400 | Telephone | 16% |
Narrative Research | Nov 2–23, 2021 | [p 18] | 48% | 27% | 23% | 2% | ±3.5% | 800 | Telephone | 21% |
Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader. | ||||||||||
Angus Reid | Sep 29 – Oct 3, 2021 | [p 19] | 39% | 39% | 17% | 5% | N/A | 203 | Online | Tie |
Narrative Research | Aug 9–29, 2021 | [p 20] | 53% | 28% | 18% | 1% | ±4.9% | 400 | Telephone | 25% |
MQO Research | Jun 12 – Jul 10, 2021 | [p 21] | 56% | 26% | 15% | 2% | ±4.9% | 400 | Telephone | 30% |
Angus Reid | Jun 2–7, 2021 | [p 22] | 50% | 39% | 8% | 2% | ±2.0% | 153 | Online | 11% |
Narrative Research | May 11–26, 2021 | [p 23] | 54% | 30% | 14% | 2% | ±3.5% | 800 | Telephone | 24% |
Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in. [103] | ||||||||||
Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader. [104] | ||||||||||
2021 general election | Mar 25, 2021 | HTML | 48.24% | 38.80% | 8.02% | 4.93% | — | — | — | 9.44% |
Polling firm | Dates conducted | Link | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | |||
Liberal | PC | NDP |
Source | Popular vote ranking | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | PC | NDP | IND | As of | |
338Canada [105] | 40% ± 6% | 40% ± 6% | 16% ± 4% | 3% ± 1% | 27 May 2024 |
Source | Seat ranking | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | PC | NDP | IND | As of | Prediction | |
338Canada [105] | 18 (12-23) | 17 (12-23) | 3 (2-4) | 2 (2-2) | 27 May 2024 | Liberal minority |
Source | Odds of winning | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | PC | Tie | NDP | As of | |
338Canada [105] | 54% | 41% | 5% | <1% | 27 May 2024 |
Source | Odds of outcome | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB min. | PC min. | LIB maj. | PC maj. | Tie | As of | |
338Canada [105] | 36% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 27 May 2024 |
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