2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

Last updated

2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
Flag of Newfoundland and Labrador.svg
  2019 March 25, 2021 [lower-alpha 1] [1] Next  

All 40 seats in the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout51.4% [2] (Decrease2.svg 9.3 pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Premier Andrew Furey - 2020 (cropped 2).png Ches Crosbie in 2019.jpg Alison Coffin NDP.png
Leader Andrew Furey Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since August 3, 2020 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber-Gros Morne Windsor Lake (lost re-election) St. John's East-Quidi Vidi (lost re-election)
Last election20 seats, 43.9%15 seats, 42.6%3 seats, 6.3%
Seats before19153
Seats won22132
Seat changeIncrease2.svg3Decrease2.svg2Decrease2.svg1
Popular vote86,18069,31414,324
Percentage48.24%38.80%8.02%
SwingIncrease2.svg4.24pp Decrease2.svg3.76pp Increase2.svg1.71pp

Newfoundland & Labrador general election 2021 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Andrew Furey
Liberal

Premier after election

Andrew Furey
Liberal

The 2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on March 25, 2021, to elect members of the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. [3]

Contents

Under the province's fixed election date law, the vote was tentatively scheduled for October 10, 2023, but a caveat in the law mandates that an election must be held within one year of a new Premier assuming office. [4] Premier Furey assumed the role on August 19, 2020, and requested to Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to issue the writs of election on January 15, 2021. [3]

However, an unexpected COVID-19 surge in the week leading up to the election caused voting to be delayed on the Avalon Peninsula, [5] before all in-person voting was eventually cancelled, delaying the election for every district until March 1, 2021. [6] After several more delays, the final mail-in ballot deadline became March 25, 2021. [7] [8] [1] The election was the first mail-in-only election in Canada. [9] Preliminary results were released by noon on March 27, [10] which projected a majority government for Andrew Furey and the Liberal Party. [11]

Results

Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results[ citation needed ]
2021 Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
2019 Dissol. 2021Change
Liberal 86,18048.24+4.24201922+2
Progressive Conservative 69,31438.80-3.76151513-2
New Democratic 14,3248.02+1.71332-1
NL Alliance 5570.31-2.08000±0
Independents 8,2574.62-0.12233+1
Total178,632100.004040400

Historical results from 1993 onwards

Graph of NL general election results by share of votes, 1993–2021; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote.
Graph of NL general election results by seats won, 1993–2021; those of independent MHAs are omitted.

Synopsis of results

2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election - synopsis of riding results [a 1]
Riding [a 2] 2019 Winning partyTurnout
[a 3]
Votes
PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
Lib PC NDP NL All IndTotal
 
Baie Verte-Green Bay  Lib Lib2,15852.1%1714.2%42.1%2,1581,9874,145
Bonavista  PC PC2,11757.3%1,17331.7%40.5%9442,117705623,693
Burgeo-La Poile  Lib Lib1,99287.1%1,75776.8%33.5%1,992235602,287
Burin-Grand Bank  Lib Lib2,66659.6%1,02723.0%50.5%2,6661,6391694,474
Cape St. Francis  PC PC3,47662.5%1,90534.3%58.1%1,5713,476449655,561
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde  Lib Lib3,89267.5%2,29639.8%51.5%3,8921,596261145,763
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair  Lib Lib97395.2%92490.4%35.3%973491,022
Conception Bay East – Bell Island  PC PC3,21556.2%1,32223.1%50.1%1,8933,2156145,722
Conception Bay South  PC PC3,06357.1%1,12220.9%55.5%1,9413,0632251365,365
Corner Brook  Lib Lib2,59366.5%1,28933.0%38.4%2,5931,3043,897
Exploits  PC PC2,64154.8%4639.6%51.5%2,1782,6414,819
Ferryland  PC PC3,19752.3%5018.2%58.7%2,6963,1972166,109
Fogo Island-Cape Freels  Lib Lib2,51161.1%1,00424.5%40.7%2,5111,507954,113
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune  Lib Lib1,86868.2%1,08739.7%51.0%1,868781892,738
Gander  Lib Lib3,35870.9%2,13045.0%47.9%3,3581,2281484,734
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans  PC PC2,73559.2%95920.7%47.8%1,7762,7351064,617
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave  Lib Lib3,40471.1%2,23546.7%44.3%3,4041,1692154,788
Harbour Main  PC PC3,18054.5%75012.9%53.7%2,4303,1802285,838
Humber-Bay of Islands  Ind Ind2,98871.6%2,24753.8%41.0%7414442,9884,173
Humber-Gros Morne  Lib Lib2,83864.0%1,34630.4%44.8%2,8381,4921074,437
Labrador West  NDP NDP1,35950.0%57921.3%43.2%7805771,3592,716
Lake Melville [a 4]  Lib Ind1,14349.9%59626.0%46.8%3065472791,1602,292
Lewisporte-Twillingate  Lib Lib2,59362.4%1,03324.8%41.1%2,5931,5604,153
Mount Pearl North  PC Lib2,42846.7%1092.1%49.6%2,4282,3193371165,200
Mount Pearl-Southlands  Ind Ind3,44559.6%2,05935.6%54.6%1,3867971523,4455,780
Mount Scio  Lib Lib2,01146.6%85919.9%46.8%2,0111,1521,07460184,315
Placentia-St. Mary's  Lib Lib2,55250.8%2164.2%54.3%2,5522,3361315,019
Placentia West-Bellevue  PC PC2,96554.3%66112.1%56.8%2,3042,9651895,458
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows  Lib Lib2,37551.2%2164.7%51.3%2,3752,15938704,642
St. George's-Humber  Lib Lib2,42058.5%94622.8%43.7%2,4201,474191494,134
St. John's Centre  NDP NDP1,99152.4%71418.8%38.9%1,2775331,9913,801
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi  NDP Lib2,44743.0%531.0%50.8%2,4478562,3945,697
St. John's West  Lib Lib2,67957.8%1,19525.8%49.1%2,6791,4844704,633
Stephenville-Port au Port  PC PC2,48159.7%90721.8%43.4%1,5742,4811034,158
Terra Nova  PC PC2,83753.2%5149.6%53.2%2,3232,8371735,333
Topsail-Paradise  PC PC3,03650.6%5118.5%55.6%2,5253,0364406,001
Torngat Mountains  PC PC42088.8%38381.0%22.5%1642037473
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville  Lib Lib3,48159.6%2,25738.6%56.8%3,4811,2241,1355,840
Waterford Valley  Lib Lib3,59266.8%2,24441.7%52.8%3,5921,3484385,378
Windsor Lake  PC Lib2,68850.6%53410.1%56.7%2,6882,1544725,314
  1. "Official Election Results". 2021 Provincial General Election Report (PDF). Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. 2021. pp. 37–42.
  2. sorted as per results summary
  3. including rejected and declined ballots
  4. multiple independent candidates nominated
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbent changed allegiance
  = other incumbent renominated

Ridings changing hands

Four ridings changed their allegiance from 2019:

Liberal to Independent
PC to Liberal
NDP to Liberal
Resulting composition of the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
SourceParty
LibPCNDPIndTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned17122233
Open seats held213
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated33
Change in affiliation11
Total22132340

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2019–2021)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Humber-Gros Morne September 7, 2020 [15] Dwight Ball   Liberal ResignationOctober 6, 2020 [16] Andrew Furey   Liberal
Lake Melville November 10, 2020 [17] Perry Trimper   Liberal Resigned from caucus [lower-alpha 2]   Independent
  1. This is the finalized date for mail-in ballots to be received by Elections NL. The original election date, as decreed by the writ, was February 13, 2021.
  2. over his comments regarding Innu/Inuit in his district

2019

2020

2021

Campaign

Party platforms

At the start of the campaign, incumbent Liberal Premier Andrew Furey framed the election around the economy, by focusing on the provincial debt, the oil industry, and government spending. [3] There are $55M worth of expenses proposed. [44]

With a similar focus on the economy, PC leader Ches Crosbie emphasized the importance of creating jobs through infrastructure projects, eliminating regulations, and cutting taxes. [3] Meanwhile, NDP leader Alison Coffin centred her priorities on health care and affordable living. [3]

Initial election call and reaction

Prior to the election being called, the provincial government made a series of announcements involving new spending programs and reached agreements with several unions. [3] The timing of these announcements received disapproval from the PCs. [3] The Liberals were also criticized by the PCs and NDP for calling an election during the winter and the COVID-19 pandemic. [3] Both of the opposition parties suggested that the Liberals should have waited until recommendations were made by the premier's economic recovery team, which was scheduled to release an interim report at the end of February and a final report at the end of April. [3] Despite their criticism, the PCs and NDP indicated that they were prepared for the election. [3]

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Elections NL issued lengthy guidelines for candidates, with parties placing a larger emphasis on social media rather than door-to-door canvassing, large rallies or visits to seniors' homes. [3] In order to avoid crowds on election day, Elections NL focused efforts on voting by mail and scheduled the election on a Saturday for the first time in the province's history. [3] Additionally, the Liberals did not allow members of the media on the party's campaign bus, citing "COVID-19 protocols". [3]

Early voting has increased. [45]

Surge in COVID-19 cases during campaign

On February 8, the province confirmed its first case of community spread of COVID-19 since April 2020. Since the deadlines for voting early or by mail had already passed, it raised concerns about if the election should still go ahead as planned. Chief Electoral Officer Bruce Chaulk stated that no provisions existed that allowed people in isolation to vote, and that the election would proceed as intended. [46]

On February 9, PC candidate Damian Follett suspended in-person campaigning after his son tested positive for COVID-19. [47] On February 12, Follett announced that he had tested positive himself. [48] On the same day, PC candidate Rhonda Simms also suspended in-person campaigning after an individual who had visited her headquarters later tested presumptive positive. [49]

On February 10, Elections NL announced that there would be a 'drive-thru' voting option for the increasing number of people who were in self-isolation. [50] However, this option was later scrapped, as it went against a medical advisory which stated that those self-isolating should not leave their property. [51] On February 11, Chief Electoral Officer Bruce Chaulk issued a letter requesting that party leaders meet with Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to discuss delaying the election. [52] Chaulk announced later that day that in-person voting would be delayed to a later date on the Avalon Peninsula but would go ahead as planned elsewhere. [5] The following day, Chaulk announced that no in-person voting would take place soon after it was confirmed that the recent COVID-19 cases were the Variant of Concern 202012/01. [6]

Withdrawn candidates

In January 2021, the leader of the Newfoundland and Labrador Alliance Graydon Pelley withdrew his candidacy in Humber-Gros Morne following a medical emergency. [53]

Issues

There were claims that sexism and misogyny has affected women candidates on the campaign trail. [54]

Target seats

CBC News identified 5 "must-watch districts"; [55]

Opposition

SeatMHAPartyMargin in 2019Result
Labrador West Jordan Brown New Democrat0.1%New Democrat hold
Stephenville-Port au Port Tony Wakeham Progressive Conservative0.6%Progressive Conservative hold
Bonavista Craig Pardy Progressive Conservative0.8%Progressive Conservative hold
Terra Nova Lloyd Parrott Progressive Conservative4.7%Progressive Conservative hold
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans Chris Tibbs Progressive Conservative6.4%Progressive Conservative hold
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi Alison Coffin New Democrat10.1%Liberal gain
Windsor Lake Ches Crosbie Progressive Conservative10.2%Liberal gain
Placentia West-Bellevue Jeff Dwyer Progressive Conservative11.6%Progressive Conservative hold
Mount Pearl North Jim Lester Progressive Conservative12.0%Liberal gain
Mount Pearl-Southlands Paul Lane Independent15.4%Independent hold
St. John's Centre Jim Dinn New Democrat21.4%New Democrat hold
Harbour Main Helen Conway-Ottenheimer Progressive Conservative29.5%Progressive Conservative hold
Topsail-Paradise Paul Dinn Progressive Conservative32.1%Progressive Conservative hold
Conception Bay South Barry Petten Progressive Conservative39.7%Progressive Conservative hold
Conception Bay East – Bell Island David Brazil Progressive Conservative47.6%Progressive Conservative hold
Humber-Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce Independent50.0%Independent hold
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons Progressive Conservative54.5%Progressive Conservative hold

Liberal

SeatMHAPartyMargin in 2019Result
Burin-Grand Bank Carol Anne Haley Liberal1.2%
St. John's West Siobhan Coady Liberal3.5%
Mount Scio Sarah Stoodley Liberal4.5%
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Pam Parsons Liberal4.8%
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune Elvis Loveless Liberal6.8%
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derek Bennett Liberal8.0%
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Derrick Bragg Liberal8.6%
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis Liberal8.7%
Placentia-St. Mary's Sherry Gambin-Walsh Liberal8.9%
Lake Melville Perry Trimper Liberal9.9%
St. George's-Humber Scott Reid Liberal9.9%
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne Liberal15.1%
Gander John Haggie Liberal17.2%
Mount Pearl-Southlands Paul Lane Independent19.1%
St. John's Centre Jim Dinn New Democrat19.4%
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi Alison Coffin New Democrat20.4%
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde Steve Crocker Liberal26.3%
Humber-Gros Morne Dwight Ball Liberal39.8%
Humber-Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce Independent56.6%
Burgeo-La Poile Andrew Parsons Liberal67.0%

Opposition

SeatMHAPartyMargin in 2019Result
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis Liberal24.0%Liberal hold
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne Liberal34.1%Liberal hold
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne Liberal37.2%Liberal hold

Candidates by district

St. John's

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Mount Scio
46.80% turnout
Sarah Stoodley [56]
2,011
46.60%
Damian Follett [57] [58]
1,152
26.70%
Sheilagh O'Leary [59] [60]
1,074
24.89%
Andrea Newbury (NL Alliance) [61]
60
1.39%
Larry Borne (Independent) [62]
18
0.42%
Sarah Stoodley
St. John's Centre
38.92% turnout
Gemma Hickey [63] [64]
1,277
33.60%
Robyn LeGrow [65]
533
14.02%
Jim Dinn [66]
1,991
52.38%
Jim Dinn
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
50.76% turnout
John Abbott [67] [68]
2,447
42.95%
Vaughn Hammond [37]
856
15.03%
Alison Coffin [66]
2,394
42.02%
Alison Coffin
St. John's West
49.14% turnout
Siobhan Coady [69]
2,679
57.82%
Kristina Ennis [58]
1,484
32.03%
Brenda Walsh [70]
470
10.14%
Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville
56.83% turnout
Bernard Davis [69]
3,481
59.61%
Victor Lawlor [71]
1,224
20.96%
Jenn Deon [70]
1,135
19.43%
Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley
52.78% turnout
Tom Osborne [72]
3,592
66.79%
Michael Holden [73]
1,348
25.07%
Peter Young [74]
438
8.14%
Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake
56.68% turnout
John Hogan [75]
2,688
50.58%
Ches Crosbie [76]
2,154
40.53%
Tomás Shea [77]
472
8.88%
Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPAllianceOther
Cape St. Francis
58.12% turnout
Peter Whittle [78]
1,571
28.25%
Joedy Wall [79]
3,476
62.51%
Phyllis Fleming [74]
449
8.07%
Ryan Lane [80]
65
1.17%
Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East – Bell Island
50.12% turnout
Lynn Hammond [78]
1,893
33.08%
David Brazil [81]
3,215
56.18%
Gavin Will [82]
614
10.73%
David Brazil
Conception Bay South
55.54% turnout
Shelley Moores [83]
1,941
36.18%
Barry Petten [84]
3,063
57.09%
Andrew Lovell [74]
225
4.19%
Warrick Butler [85]
136
2.53%
Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North
49.64% turnout
Lucy Stoyles [78]
2,428
46.69%
Jim Lester [86]
2,319
44.60%
Jennifer McCreath [74]
337
6.48%
William Neville [87]
116
2.23%
Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands
54.61% turnout
Karla Hayward [78]
1,386
23.98%
Cindy Grant [74]
797
13.79%
Cara Winsor-Hehir [74]
152
2.63%
Paul Lane (Independent) [88]
3,445
59.60%
Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise
55.60% turnout
Ken Carter [89]
2,525
42.08%
Paul Dinn [90]
3,036
50.59%
Kathleen Burt [91]
440
7.33%
Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde
51.55% turnout
Steve Crocker [69]
3,892
67.53%
Frank Butt [92]
1,596
27.69%
Matthew Smith [74]
261
4.53%
Edward Thomas Cole (Independent) [62]
14
0.24%
Steve Crocker
Ferryland
58.69% turnout
Cheryl O’Brien [78]
2,696
44.13%
Loyola O'Driscoll [93]
3,197
52.33%
Paul Murphy [74]
216
3.54%
Loyola O'Driscoll
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave
44.35% turnout
Pam Parsons [94]
3,404
71.09%
Roy Sparkes [58]
1,169
24.42%
Dion Hynes [74]
215
4.79%
Pam Parsons
Harbour Main
53.70% turnout
George Murphy [78]
2,430
41.62%
Helen Conway-Ottenheimer [95]
3,180
54.47%
Anthony Chadwick [74]
228
3.91%
Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
Placentia-St. Mary's
54.29% turnout
Sherry Gambin-Walsh [96]
2,552
50.85%
Calvin Manning [97]
2,336
46.54%
Clem Whittle (NL Alliance) [98]
131
2.61%
Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Bonavista
40.48% turnout
Christine Gill [38]
944
25.56%
Craig Pardy [84]
2,117
57.32%
Timothy Whey [74]
70
1.90%
Neil King (Independent) [99]
562
15.22%
Craig Pardy
Burin-Grand Bank
50.54% turnout
Paul Pike [100]
2,666
59.59%
Fred Dodge [101]
1,639
36.63%
Alvin Banfield [74]
169
4.47%
Carol Anne Haley
Placentia West-Bellevue
56.84% turnout
Sam Synard [102]
2,304
42.21%
Jeff Dwyer [86]
2,965
54.32%
Carolyn Davis [74]
189
3.46%
Jeff Dwyer
Terra Nova
53.25% turnout
Steve Denty [103] [102]
2,323
43.56%
Lloyd Parrott [104]
2,837
53.20%
Anne Marie Anonsen [105]
173
3.24%
Lloyd Parrott

Central Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDP
Baie Verte-Green Bay
42.11% turnout
Brian Warr [102]
2,148
52.06%
Lin Paddock [74]
1,987
47.94%
Brian Warr
Exploits
51.50% turnout
Rodney Mercer [106]
2,178
45.20%
Pleaman Forsey [107]
2,641
54.80%
Pleaman Forsey
Fogo Island-Cape Freels
40.74% turnout
Derrick Bragg [108]
2,511
61.05%
Sue Collins [71]
1,507
36.64%
Jim Gill [74]
95
2.31%
Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune
50.99% turnout
Elvis Loveless [109]
1,868
68.22%
Charlene Walsh [74]
781
28.52%
Noel Joe [82]
89
3.25%
Elvis Loveless
Gander
47.85% turnout
John Haggie [110]
3,358
70.93%
Jamie Harnum [37]
1,228
25.94%
Dawn Lahey [74]
148
3.13%
John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans
47.75% turnout
Deborah Ball [89]
1,776
38.47%
Chris Tibbs [74]
2,735
59.24%
Holly Pike [74]
106
2.30%
Chris Tibbs
Lewisporte-Twillingate
41.06% turnout
Derek Bennett [94]
2,593
62.44%
Rhonda Simms [111]
1,560
37.56%
Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Burgeo-La Poile
33.54% turnout
Andrew Parsons [69]
1,992
87.10%
Ethan Wheeler-Park [112]
235
10.28%
Judy Vanta [74]
60
2.62%
Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook
38.44% turnout
Gerry Byrne [113]
2,593
66.54%
Tom Stewart [114]
1,304
33.46%
[lower-alpha 1] [115] Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne
44.83% turnout
Andrew Furey [116]
2,838
63.96%
Jim Goudie [117]
1,492
33.63%
Sheina Lerman [74]
107
2.41%
[lower-alpha 2] [39] Andrew Furey
Humber-Bay of Islands
41.00% turnout
Stelman Flynn [89]
741
17.76%
Robert Marche [118]
444
10.64%
Eddie Joyce (Independent) [74]
2,988
71.60%
Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows
51.30% turnout
Krista Howell [89]
2,365
51.17%
Sheila Fitzgerald [37]
2,159
46.47%
John McClusky [74]
38
0.82%
Ford Mitchelmore (Independent) [62]
70
1.51%
Chris Mitchelmore
St. George's-Humber
43.70% turnout
Scott Reid [94]
2,420
58.54%
Gary Bishop [119]
1,474
35.66%
Melissa Samms [120]
191
4.62%
Shane Snook (NL Alliance) [121]
49
1.19%
Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port
43.41% turnout
Kevin Aylward [122]
1,574
37.85%
Tony Wakeham [90]
2,481
59.67%
Jamie Ruby [74]
103
2.48%
Tony Wakeham

Labrador

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair
35.28% turnout
Lisa Dempster [69]
973
95.21%
Joshua Nolan [118]
49
4.79%
Lisa Dempster
Labrador West
43.23% turnout
Wayne Button [123]
780
28.72%
Nick McGrath [124]
577
21.24%
Jordan Brown [66]
1,359
50.04%
Jordan Brown
Lake Melville
36.39% turnout
Michelle Baikie [125]
306
13.35%
Shannon Tobin [126]
547
23.87%
Amy Norman [127]
279
12.17%
Perry Trimper (Independent) [17] [lower-alpha 3]
1,143
49.83%
Andrew Abbass (Independent) [128]
17
0.74%
Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains
22.46% turnout
Devon Ryan [129]
16
3.38%
Lela Evans [130]
420
88.79%
Patricia Johnson-Castle [74]
37
7.82%
Lela Evans

Notes

  1. Graham Downey-Sutton was originally the New Democratic candidate, but later withdrew from the race due to difficulties with Coffin's non-committal stance as to whether the Corner Brook Acute Care Hospital should receive a PET scanner.
  2. Graydon Pelley was originally the NL Alliance candidate, but later withdrew following an emergency surgery that left him in an extended recovery period.
  3. Perry Trimper was originally the Liberal candidate, but later withdrew following his comments about homeless Innu/Inuit in his district. He later ran as an independent.

Opinion polls

Voting Intentions in Newfoundland and Labrador since the 2019 election

NL 51st provincial election polling.svg

Polling firmFinal day of pollingLink Liberal PC NDP NLA
Election 2021March 25, 202148.238.88.00.3
Forum ResearchMarch 24, 2021 [131] 47.633.713.8
Mainstreet ResearchFebruary 23, 2021 [132] 533292
Mainstreet ResearchFebruary 10, 2021 [133] 5426172
Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 29, 2021 [134] 622691
MQO ResearchDecember 23, 2020 [135] 6522110
Narrative ResearchDecember 3, 2020 [136] 582613
Angus ReidNovember 30, 2020 [137] 50398
MQO ResearchSeptember 2, 2020 [138] 5333111
Narrative ResearchAugust 18, 2020 [139] 612115
Angus ReidJune 8, 2020 [140] 483512
Narrative ResearchMay 26, 2020 [141] 602613
Narrative ResearchFebruary 23, 2020 [142] 373526
Narrative ResearchNovember 22, 2019 [143] 423324
Narrative ResearchAugust 25, 2019 [144] 423224
MQO ResearchJuly 31, 2019 [145] 5034131
Election 2019 May 16, 201943.942.66.32.4

Results

The Liberals regained their parliamentary majority. [146] The PC and NDP leaders lost their seats in the legislature. [147] On March 31, 2021, Ches Crosbie resigned as PC leader. [148] [149]

NDP leader Coffin filed for a recount in her district. [150] On May 12, 2021, Supreme Court Justice Donald Burrage rejected Coffin's bid for a recount, arguing that there was not sufficient evidence. [151] On October 16, 2021, Coffin lost a leadership review by party members. [152] She later chose to resign on October 19 and was replaced by MHA Jim Dinn as interim leader. [153]

Defeated PC candidates Jim Lester and Sheila Fitzgerald also filed legal challenges to the results in their respective districts.

The election was noteworthy in the election of 3 independent candidates, the most of any past election.

Incumbent MHAs who were defeated

PartyNameConstituencyYear electedSeat held by party sinceDefeated byParty
NDP Alison Coffin St. John's East-Quidi Vidi 20192015 (1990) John Abbott Liberal
PC Ches Crosbie Windsor Lake 20182018 John Hogan Liberal
PC Jim Lester Mount Pearl North 20172007 Lucy Stoyles Liberal

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