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All 40 [1] seats in the 49th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 60.6% [2] (![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on May 16, 2019, to elect members of the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. [3]
Despite consistent Progressive Conservative leads in polling towards the end of the campaign, including a nine-point lead in the final poll released a day before the election, [4] the Liberal Party led by Dwight Ball won re-election, but nonetheless fell one seat short of retaining their majority after an unexpected loss to the New Democrats in Labrador West originally in the initial count by five votes. [5] This resulted in the Liberals winning 20 seats, exactly half of the House of Assembly. A subsequent recount shortened the margin of victory in Labrador West to just two votes. [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12]
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Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | |||||
2015 | Dissol. | 2019 | Change | ||||||
Liberal | 93,745 | 44.00 | -13.3 | 31 | 27 | 20 | -11 | ||
Progressive Conservative | 90,689 | 42.57 | +12.5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +8 | ||
New Democratic | 13,434 | 6.31 | -5.8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | ||
NL Alliance | 5,086 | 2.39 | New | New | New | 0 | New | ||
Independents | 10,096 | 4.74 | +4.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2 | ||
Total | 213,050 | 100.00 | – | 40 | 40 | 40 | 0 | ||
Valid votes | 213,050 | 99.18 | |||||||
Invalid/blank votes | 1,757 | 0.82 | |||||||
Total votes | 214,807 | 100.00 | |||||||
Registered voters/turnout | 354,136 | 60.66 |
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 |
Liberal | Progressive Conservative | NDP | Ind |
The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:
Independent
New Democratic Party
Progressive Conservative Party
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Mount Pearl-Southlands | May 19, 2016 [18] | Paul Lane | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus [a 1] | █ Independent | ||
Mount Pearl North | October 11, 2017 [19] | Steve Kent | █ PC | Resignation [a 2] | November 21, 2017 [20] | Jim Lester | █ PC |
Humber-Bay of Islands | April 26, 2018 [21] | Eddie Joyce | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus [a 3] | █ Independent | ||
Mount Scio | April 30, 2018 [22] | Dale Kirby | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus [a 3] | █ Independent | ||
Windsor Lake | August 21, 2018 [23] | Cathy Bennett | █ Liberal | Resignation | September 20, 2018 [24] | Ches Crosbie | █ PC |
Topsail-Paradise | November 1, 2018 [25] | Paul Davis | █ PC | Resignation | January 24, 2019 | Paul Dinn | █ PC |
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Polling Firm | Last Day of Polling | Link | Liberal | PC | NDP | NLA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | May 15, 2019 | 38 | 47 | 7 | ||
Mainstreet Research | May 14, 2019 | HTML | 41 | 45 | 8 | 3 |
Abacus Data | May 5, 2019 | HTML Archived 2019-07-19 at the Wayback Machine | 37 | 42 | 15 | |
Forum Research | May 4, 2019 | 40 | 42 | 13 | ||
MQO Research | May 4, 2019 | 48 | 36 | 11 | 2 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 24, 2019 | PDF Archived 2019-03-07 at the Wayback Machine | 45 | 38 | 16 | |
MQO Research | January 28, 2019 | 44 | 42 | 12 | ||
Mainstreet Research | January 14, 2019 | HTML | 42 | 43.3 | 11.5 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | November 24, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-12-16 at the Wayback Machine | 46 | 35 | 17 | |
Mainstreet Research | November 1, 2018 | HTML | 44.6 | 39.1 | 12.8 | |
MQO Research | October 26, 2018 | 47 | 35 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | August 30, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-09-06 at the Wayback Machine | 43 | 35 | 19 | |
MQO Research | August 2, 2018 | 44 | 38 | 16 | ||
Mainstreet Research | July 17, 2018 | HTML | 45.8 | 35.6 | 12.5 | |
Abacus Data | May 27, 2018 | HTML Archived 2018-06-03 at the Wayback Machine | 38 | 40 | 22 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | May 17, 2018 | PDF [ permanent dead link ] | 36 | 42 | 22 | |
MQO Research | May 13, 2018 | 44 | 36 | 16 | ||
Mainstreet Research | May 3, 2018 | HTML | 41.7 | 35.7 | 18.4 | |
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 28, 2018 | PDF Archived 2018-03-07 at the Wayback Machine | 41 | 33 | 24 | |
MQO Research | January 25, 2018 | 43 | 38 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | November 30, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-12-08 at the Wayback Machine | 44 | 33 | 19 | |
MQO Research | October 19, 2017 | 52 | 31 | 15 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | September 13, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-09-13 at the Wayback Machine | 40 | 33 | 24 | |
MQO Research | July 19, 2017 | 35 | 48 | 16 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | June 1, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 34 | 40 | 24 | |
MQO Research | April 26, 2017 | 37 | 39 | 23 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | February 28, 2017 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 33 | 39 | 26 | |
MQO Research | January 23, 2017 | 43 | 36 | 20 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | December 1, 2016 | PDF Archived 2016-12-20 at the Wayback Machine | 42 | 34 | 23 | |
Abacus Data | October 29, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 36 | 29 | 34 | |
MQO Research | October 22, 2016 | 40 | 31 | 27 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | August 31, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 34 | 33 | 32 | |
MQO Research | July 27, 2016 | 30 | 37 | 33 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | May 30, 2016 | PDF Archived 2016-06-24 at the Wayback Machine | 27 | 34 | 38 | |
MQO Research | April 21, 2016 | 37 | 30 | 31 | ||
Corporate Research Associates Inc. | March 9, 2016 | PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine | 66 | 23 | 11 | |
Election 2015 | November 30, 2015 | – | 57.2 | 30.1 | 12.1 |
Party Name | St. John's | Avalon/St. John's Metro | Central/Eastern | Western | Labrador | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parties winning seats in the legislature: | ||||||||
Liberal | Seats: | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
Popular Vote: | 15,989 | 24,884 | 29,040 | 19,344 | 4,489 | 93,746 | ||
Progressive Conservative | Seats: | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | |
Popular Vote: | 11,578 | 36,642 | 28,136 | 11,461 | 2,873 | 90,690 | ||
New Democratic | Seats: | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Popular Vote: | 9,704 | 1,321 | 0 | 1,043 | 1,364 | 13,432 | ||
Others | Seats: | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Popular Vote: | 406 | 6,703 | 2,482 | 4,988 | 603 | 15,182 | ||
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Alliance | |||||||
Mount Scio 54.51% turnout | Sarah Stoodley 1,981 41.68% | Lloyd Power 1,769 37.21% | Jason R. Mercer 597 12.56% | Graydon Pelley [56] 406 8.54% | Dale Kirby† | |||||
St. John's Centre 48.60% turnout | Seamus O'Keefe 1,207 25.54% | Jonathan Galgay 1,301 27.53% | Jim Dinn 2,218 46.93% | Gerry Rogers† | ||||||
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi 58.03% turnout | George Murphy 2,072 33.38% | David Porter 1,436 23.14% | Alison Coffin [57] 2,699 43.48% | Lorraine Michael† | ||||||
St. John's West 57.31% turnout | Siobhan Coady 2,393 45.69% | Shane Skinner [58] 2,211 42.22% | Brenda Walsh [59] 633 12.09% | Siobhan Coady | ||||||
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville 63.64% turnout | Bernard Davis 2,761 44.25% | Beth Crosbie [60] 2,217 35.53% | Jenn Deon [61] 1,262 20.22% | Bernard Davis | ||||||
Waterford Valley 52.54% turnout | Tom Osborne 3,487 68.56% | Matthew Cooper 1,599 31.44% | Tom Osborne | |||||||
Windsor Lake 59.65% turnout | Bob Osborne 2,088 38.47% | Ches Crosbie 2,644 48.71% | Tomás Shea 696 12.82% | Ches Crosbie |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Alliance | Other | ||||||||
Cape St. Francis 71.40% turnout | Michael Duffy 1,115 17.75% | Kevin Parsons 4,539 72.24% | Peter Beck 396 6.30% | Ryan Lane 233 3.71% | Kevin Parsons | |||||||
Conception Bay East – Bell Island 55.56% turnout | Cyril Hayden 1,551 26.22% | David Brazil [60] 4,365 73.78% | David Brazil | |||||||||
Conception Bay South 61.85% turnout | Kevin Baker 1,256 22.78% | Barry Petten 3,447 62.52% | Warrick Butler 810 14.69% | Barry Petten | ||||||||
Mount Pearl North 57.88% turnout | Nicole Kieley 2,196 37.20% | Jim Lester 2,907 49.24% | Carol Reade 358 6.06% | William Neville 443 7.50% | Jim Lester | |||||||
Mount Pearl-Southlands 65.71% turnout | Hasan Hai 1,826 28.30% | Gillian Pearson 1,590 24.64% | David Brake 214 3.32% | Paul Lane (Ind.) 2,823 43.75% | Paul Lane | |||||||
Topsail-Paradise 54.75% turnout | Patricia Hynes-Coates 1,650 28.95% | Paul Dinn 3,476 60.98% | Lori Best-Moore 574 10.07% | Paul Dinn |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde 66.57% turnout | Steve Crocker 4,292 60.28% | Jason Oliver 2,422 34.02% | Kathleen Burt 353 4.96% | Edward Thomas Cole (Ind.) 53 0.74% | Steve Crocker | |||||
Ferryland 69.27% turnout | Janice Ryan 2,350 34.95% | Loyola O'Driscoll 4,074 60.59% | Chris Molloy (Ind.) 300 4.46% | Keith Hutchings† | ||||||
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave 71.18% turnout | Pam Parsons 3,758 52.24% | Glenn Littlejohn 3,408 47.56% | Pam Parsons | |||||||
Harbour Main 69.85% turnout | Betty Parsley 2,126 30.64% | Helen Conway-Ottenheimer 4,169 60.08% | Mike Cooze (NL Alliance) 643 9.27% | Betty Parsley | ||||||
Placentia-St. Mary's 65.69% turnout | Sherry Gambin-Walsh 2,764 47.39% | Hilda Whelan 2,245 38.49% | Steve Thorne (Ind.) 824 14.13% | Sherry Gambin-Walsh |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | Alliance | ||||||
Bonavista 59.36% turnout | Neil King 2,566 49.57% | Craig Pardy [58] 2,611 50.43% | Neil King | |||||
Burin-Grand Bank 65.70% turnout | Carol Anne Haley 2,822 51.62% | Bill Matthews 2,645 48.38% | Carol Anne Haley | |||||
Placentia West-Bellevue 65.69% turnout | Mark Browne 2,667 44.23% | Jeff Dwyer 3,363 55.77% | Mark Browne | |||||
Terra Nova 64.25% turnout | Colin Holloway 2,595 43.47% | Lloyd Parrott 2,876 48.17% | Barry Moores 499 8.36% | Colin Holloway |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | Other | ||||||
Baie Verte-Green Bay 59.96% turnout | Brian Warr 2,809 49.73% | Neville Robinson 1,872 33.14% | Ben Callahan (NL Alliance) 968 17.14% | Brian Warr | ||||
Exploits 64.65% turnout | Jerry Dean 1,924 33.10% | Pleaman Forsey 2,874 49.44% | Gloria Cooper (Ind.) 1,015 17.46% | Jerry Dean | ||||
Fogo Island-Cape Freels 52.10% turnout | Derrick Bragg 2,811 54.31% | Sue Collins 2,365 45.69% | Derrick Bragg | |||||
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune 61.20% turnout | Elvis Loveless 1,759 53.38% | Charlene Walsh 1,536 46.62% | Tracey Perry† | |||||
Gander 61.60% turnout | John Haggie 3,311 58.57% | Ryan Wagg 2,342 41.43% | John Haggie | |||||
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans 60.75% turnout | Al Hawkins 2,586 46.84% | Chris Tibbs 2,935 53.16% | Al Hawkins | |||||
Lewisporte-Twillingate 60.69% turnout | Derek Bennett 3,190 54.00% | Krista Freake 2,717 46.00% | Derek Bennett |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Burgeo-La Poile 52.13% turnout | Andrew Parsons 2,947 83.46% | Deborah Ann Turner 584 16.54% | Andrew Parsons | |||||||
Corner Brook 49.87% turnout | Gerry Byrne 2,436 48.85% | Tom Stewart 1,682 33.73% | Mary B. Feltham 733 14.70% | Wayne Bennett (Ind.) 136 2.73% | Gerry Byrne | |||||
Humber-Gros Morne 68.11% turnout | Dwight Ball 4,247 69.94% | Greg Osmond 1,825 30.06% | Dwight Ball | |||||||
Humber-Bay of Islands 62.65% turnout | Brian Dicks 1,068 17.20% | Michael Patrick Holden 659 10.61% | Shawn A. Hodder 310 4.99% | Eddie Joyce (Ind.) 4,172 67.19% | Eddie Joyce | |||||
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows 64.85% turnout | Chris Mitchelmore 3,474 61.16% | Sheila Fitzgerald 2,036 35.85% | Ford Mitchelmore (Ind.) 170 2.99% | Chris Mitchelmore | ||||||
St. George's-Humber 60.23% turnout | Scott Reid 2,691 50.17% | Tom O’Brien 2,163 40.32% | Shane Snook (NL Alliance) 510 9.51% | Scott Reid | ||||||
Stephenville-Port au Port 55.06% turnout | John Finn 2,481 49.67% | Tony Wakeham 2,512 50.31% | John Finn |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | |||||||
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair 58.80% turnout | Lisa Dempster 1,132 67.22% | Michael Normore (Ind.) [62] [a] 552 32.78% | Lisa Dempster | |||||||
Labrador West 54.21% turnout | Graham Letto 1,362 42.07% | Derick Sharron 509 15.73% | Jordan Brown 1,364 42.16% | Graham Letto | ||||||
Lake Melville 55.62% turnout | Perry Trimper 1,517 45.84% | Shannon Tobin 1,189 35.93% | Jim Learning (Ind.) 603 18.22% | Perry Trimper | ||||||
Torngat Mountains 55.24% turnout | Randy Edmunds 478 43.42% | Lela Evans 623 55.58% | Randy Edmunds |
The Liberals lost their parliamentary majority.
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