2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

Last updated

2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
Flag of Newfoundland and Labrador.svg
  2015 May 16, 2019 2021  

All 40 [1] seats in the 49th House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Turnout60.6% [2] (Increase2.svg 5.4 pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
  DwightBall (brightened, cropped).jpg Ches Crosbie in 2019.jpg Alison Coffin NDP.png
Leader Dwight Ball Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since November 17, 2013 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber - Gros Morne Windsor Lake St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
Last election31 seats, 57.16%7 seats, 30.08%2 seats, 12.09%
Seats before2782
Seats won20153
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 7Increase2.svg 7Increase2.svg 1
Popular vote93,74690,69013,432
Percentage44.00%42.57%6.30%
SwingDecrease2.svg13.16pp Increase2.svg12.49pp Decrease2.svg5.79pp

Newfoundland & Labrador general election 2019 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.

Premier before election

Dwight Ball
Liberal

Premier after election

Dwight Ball
Liberal

The 2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on May 16, 2019, to elect members of the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador. [3]

Contents

Despite consistent Progressive Conservative leads in polling towards the end of the campaign, including a nine-point lead in the final poll released a day before the election, [4] the Liberal Party led by Dwight Ball won re-election, but nonetheless fell one seat short of retaining their majority after an unexpected loss to the New Democrats in Labrador West originally in the initial count by five votes. [5] This resulted in the Liberals winning 20 seats, exactly half of the House of Assembly. A subsequent recount shortened the margin of victory in Labrador West to just two votes. [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12]

Party standings

Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results
2019 NL House of Assembly.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
2015 Dissol. 2019Change
Liberal 93,74544.00-13.3312720-11
Progressive Conservative 90,68942.57+12.57815+8
New Democratic 13,4346.31-5.8223+1
NL Alliance 5,0862.39NewNewNew0New
Independents 10,0964.74+4.0032+2
Total213,050100.004040400
Valid votes213,05099.18
Invalid/blank votes1,7570.82
Total votes214,807100.00
Registered voters/turnout354,13660.66
201532
LiberalProgressive ConservativeNDPInd

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Independent

New Democratic Party

Progressive Conservative Party

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2015–2019)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Mount Pearl-Southlands May 19, 2016 [15] Paul Lane   Liberal Removed from caucus [a 1]   Independent
Mount Pearl North October 11, 2017 [16] Steve Kent   PC Resignation [a 2] November 21, 2017 [17] Jim Lester   PC
Humber-Bay of Islands April 26, 2018 [18] Eddie Joyce   Liberal Removed from caucus [a 3]   Independent
Mount Scio April 30, 2018 [19] Dale Kirby   Liberal Removed from caucus [a 3]   Independent
Windsor Lake August 21, 2018 [20] Cathy Bennett   Liberal ResignationSeptember 20, 2018 [21] Ches Crosbie   PC
Topsail-Paradise November 1, 2018 [22] Paul Davis   PC ResignationJanuary 24, 2019 Paul Dinn   PC
  1. as a result of Lane's disapproval of deficit reduction levy
  2. becoming Chief Administrative Officer for the City of Mount Pearl
  3. 1 2 amid allegations of harassment

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Opinion polls

NL 50th provincial election polling.png

Polling FirmLast Day of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP NLA
Forum Research May 15, 2019 PDF 38477
Mainstreet Research May 14, 2019 HTML 414583
Abacus Data May 5, 2019 HTML Archived 2019-07-19 at the Wayback Machine 374215
Forum Research May 4, 2019 PDF 404213
MQO ResearchMay 4, 2019 PDF 4836112
Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 24, 2019 PDF Archived 2019-03-07 at the Wayback Machine 453816
MQO ResearchJanuary 28, 2019 PDF 444212
Mainstreet Research January 14, 2019 HTML 4243.311.5
Corporate Research Associates Inc.November 24, 2018 PDF Archived 2018-12-16 at the Wayback Machine 463517
Mainstreet Research November 1, 2018 HTML 44.639.112.8
MQO ResearchOctober 26, 2018 PDF 473516
Corporate Research Associates Inc.August 30, 2018 PDF Archived 2018-09-06 at the Wayback Machine 433519
MQO ResearchAugust 2, 2018 PDF 443816
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 45.835.612.5
Abacus Data May 27, 2018 HTML Archived 2018-06-03 at the Wayback Machine 384022
Corporate Research Associates Inc.May 17, 2018 PDF [ permanent dead link ]364222
MQO ResearchMay 13, 2018 PDF 443616
Mainstreet Research May 3, 2018 HTML 41.735.718.4
Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 28, 2018 PDF Archived 2018-03-07 at the Wayback Machine 413324
MQO ResearchJanuary 25, 2018 PDF 433816
Corporate Research Associates Inc.November 30, 2017 PDF Archived 2017-12-08 at the Wayback Machine 443319
MQO ResearchOctober 19, 2017 PDF 523115
Corporate Research Associates Inc.September 13, 2017 PDF Archived 2017-09-13 at the Wayback Machine 403324
MQO ResearchJuly 19, 2017 PDF 354816
Corporate Research Associates Inc.June 1, 2017 PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine 344024
MQO ResearchApril 26, 2017 PDF 373923
Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 28, 2017 PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine 333926
MQO ResearchJanuary 23, 2017 PDF 433620
Corporate Research Associates Inc.December 1, 2016 PDF Archived 2016-12-20 at the Wayback Machine 423423
Abacus Data October 29, 2016 PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine 362934
MQO ResearchOctober 22, 2016 PDF 403127
Corporate Research Associates Inc.August 31, 2016 PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine 343332
MQO ResearchJuly 27, 2016 PDF 303733
Corporate Research Associates Inc.May 30, 2016 PDF Archived 2016-06-24 at the Wayback Machine 273438
MQO ResearchApril 21, 2016 PDF 373031
Corporate Research Associates Inc.March 9, 2016 PDF Archived 2017-07-30 at the Wayback Machine 662311
Election 2015 November 30, 201557.230.112.1

Results by region

Party Name St. John's Avalon/St. John's MetroCentral/EasternWestern Labrador Total
Parties winning seats in the legislature:
  Liberal Seats:4365220
 Popular Vote:15,98924,88429,04019,3444,48993,746
  Progressive Conservative Seats:1751115
 Popular Vote:11,57836,64228,13611,4612,87390,690
  New Democratic Seats:200013
 Popular Vote:9,7041,32101,0431,36413,432
  Others Seats:010102
 Popular Vote:4066,7032,4824,98860315,182

Candidates by district

St. John's

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPAlliance
Mount Scio
54.51% turnout
Sarah Stoodley
1,981
41.68%
Lloyd Power
1,769
37.21%
Jason R. Mercer
597
12.56%
Graydon Pelley [44]
406
8.54%
Dale Kirby
St. John's Centre
48.60% turnout
Seamus O'Keefe
1,207
25.54%
Jonathan Galgay
1,301
27.53%
Jim Dinn
2,218
46.93%
Gerry Rogers
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
58.03% turnout
George Murphy
2,072
33.38%
David Porter
1,436
23.14%
Alison Coffin [45]
2,699
43.48%
Lorraine Michael
St. John's West
57.31% turnout
Siobhan Coady
2,393
45.69%
Shane Skinner [46]
2,211
42.22%
Brenda Walsh [47]
633
12.09%
Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville
63.64% turnout
Bernard Davis
2,761
44.25%
Beth Crosbie [48]
2,217
35.53%
Jenn Deon [49]
1,262
20.22%
Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley
52.54% turnout
Tom Osborne
3,487
68.56%
Matthew Cooper
1,599
31.44%
Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake
59.65% turnout
Bob Osborne
2,088
38.47%
Ches Crosbie
2,644
48.71%
Tomás Shea
696
12.82%
Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPAllianceOther
Cape St. Francis
71.40% turnout
Michael Duffy
1,115
17.75%
Kevin Parsons
4,539
72.24%
Peter Beck
396
6.30%
Ryan Lane
233
3.71%
Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East – Bell Island
55.56% turnout
Cyril Hayden
1,551
26.22%
David Brazil [48]
4,365
73.78%
David Brazil
Conception Bay South
61.85% turnout
Kevin Baker
1,256
22.78%
Barry Petten
3,447
62.52%
Warrick Butler
810
14.69%
Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North
57.88% turnout
Nicole Kieley
2,196
37.20%
Jim Lester
2,907
49.24%
Carol Reade
358
6.06%
William Neville
443
7.50%
Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands
65.71% turnout
Hasan Hai
1,826
28.30%
Gillian Pearson
1,590
24.64%
David Brake
214
3.32%
Paul Lane (Ind.)
2,823
43.75%
Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise
54.75% turnout
Patricia Hynes-Coates
1,650
28.95%
Paul Dinn
3,476
60.98%
Lori Best-Moore
574
10.07%
Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde
66.57% turnout
Steve Crocker
4,292
60.28%
Jason Oliver
2,422
34.02%
Kathleen Burt
353
4.96%
Edward Thomas Cole (Ind.)
53
0.74%
Steve Crocker
Ferryland
69.27% turnout
Janice Ryan
2,350
34.95%
Loyola O'Driscoll
4,074
60.59%
Chris Molloy (Ind.)
300
4.46%
Keith Hutchings
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave
71.18% turnout
Pam Parsons
3,758
52.24%
Glenn Littlejohn
3,408
47.56%
Pam Parsons
Harbour Main
69.85% turnout
Betty Parsley
2,126
30.64%
Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
4,169
60.08%
Mike Cooze (NL Alliance)
643
9.27%
Betty Parsley
Placentia-St. Mary's
65.69% turnout
Sherry Gambin-Walsh
2,764
47.39%
Hilda Whelan
2,245
38.49%
Steve Thorne (Ind.)
824
14.13%
Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCAlliance
Bonavista
59.36% turnout
Neil King
2,566
49.57%
Craig Pardy [46]
2,611
50.43%
Neil King
Burin-Grand Bank
65.70% turnout
Carol Anne Haley
2,822
51.62%
Bill Matthews
2,645
48.38%
Carol Anne Haley
Placentia West-Bellevue
65.69% turnout
Mark Browne
2,667
44.23%
Jeff Dwyer
3,363
55.77%
Mark Browne
Terra Nova
64.25% turnout
Colin Holloway
2,595
43.47%
Lloyd Parrott
2,876
48.17%
Barry Moores
499
8.36%
Colin Holloway

Central Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCOther
Baie Verte-Green Bay
59.96% turnout
Brian Warr
2,809
49.73%
Neville Robinson
1,872
33.14%
Ben Callahan (NL Alliance)
968
17.14%
Brian Warr
Exploits
64.65% turnout
Jerry Dean
1,924
33.10%
Pleaman Forsey
2,874
49.44%
Gloria Cooper (Ind.)
1,015
17.46%
Jerry Dean
Fogo Island-Cape Freels
52.10% turnout
Derrick Bragg
2,811
54.31%
Sue Collins
2,365
45.69%
Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune
61.20% turnout
Elvis Loveless
1,759
53.38%
Charlene Walsh
1,536
46.62%
Tracey Perry
Gander
61.60% turnout
John Haggie
3,311
58.57%
Ryan Wagg
2,342
41.43%
John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans
60.75% turnout
Al Hawkins
2,586
46.84%
Chris Tibbs
2,935
53.16%
Al Hawkins
Lewisporte-Twillingate
60.69% turnout
Derek Bennett
3,190
54.00%
Krista Freake
2,717
46.00%
Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Burgeo-La Poile
52.13% turnout
Andrew Parsons
2,947
83.46%
Deborah Ann Turner
584
16.54%
Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook
49.87% turnout
Gerry Byrne
2,436
48.85%
Tom Stewart
1,682
33.73%
Mary B. Feltham
733
14.70%
Wayne Bennett (Ind.)
136
2.73%
Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne
68.11% turnout
Dwight Ball
4,247
69.94%
Greg Osmond
1,825
30.06%
Dwight Ball
Humber-Bay of Islands
62.65% turnout
Brian Dicks
1,068
17.20%
Michael Patrick Holden
659
10.61%
Shawn A. Hodder
310
4.99%
Eddie Joyce (Ind.)
4,172
67.19%
Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows
64.85% turnout
Chris Mitchelmore
3,474
61.16%
Sheila Fitzgerald
2,036
35.85%
Ford Mitchelmore (Ind.)
170
2.99%
Chris Mitchelmore
St. George's-Humber
60.23% turnout
Scott Reid
2,691
50.17%
Tom O’Brien
2,163
40.32%
Shane Snook (NL Alliance)
510
9.51%
Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port
55.06% turnout
John Finn
2,481
49.67%
Tony Wakeham
2,512
50.31%
John Finn

Labrador

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair
58.80% turnout
Lisa Dempster
1,132
67.22%
Michael Normore (Ind.) [50] [lower-alpha 1]
552
32.78%
Lisa Dempster
Labrador West
54.21% turnout
Graham Letto
1,362
42.07%
Derick Sharron
509
15.73%
Jordan Brown
1,364
42.16%
Graham Letto
Lake Melville
55.62% turnout
Perry Trimper
1,517
45.84%
Shannon Tobin
1,189
35.93%
Jim Learning (Ind.)
603
18.22%
Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains
55.24% turnout
Randy Edmunds
478
43.42%
Lela Evans
623
55.58%
Randy Edmunds

Results

The Liberals lost their parliamentary majority.

Incumbent MHAs who were defeated

PartyNameConstituencyYear electedSeat held by party sinceDefeated byParty
Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador Betty Parsley Harbour Main 2015 2015 Helen Conway-Ottenheimer Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Neil King Bonavista 2015 2015 Craig Pardy Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Mark Browne Placentia West-Bellevue 2015 2015 Jeff Dwyer Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Colin Holloway Terra Nova 2015 2015 Lloyd Parrott Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Jerry Dean Exploits 2015 2015 Pleaman Forsey Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Al Hawkins Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans 2015 2015 Chris Tibbs Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
John Finn Stephenville-Port au Port 2015 2015 Tony Wakeham Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador
Graham Letto Labrador West 2015 2015 Jordan Brown Newfoundland and Labrador New Democratic Party
Randy Edmunds Torngat Mountains 2011 2011 Lela Evans Progressive Conservative Party of Newfoundland and Labrador

Notes

  1. Although Normore was expelled from the party due to his stance against same-sex marriage and abortion, he remained on the ballot as a Progressive Conservative candidate.

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Further reading