2025 Canadian federal election in Newfoundland and Labrador

2025 Canadian federal election in Newfoundland and Labrador

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All 7 Newfoundland and Labrador seats in the House of Commons
Registered	422,202
Turnout	277,579 (65.75%) [1]
First party Second party Third party   Leader Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Party Liberal Conservative New Democratic Leader since March 9, 2025 September 10, 2022 October 1, 2017 Last election 6 seats, 47.7% 1 seat, 32.5% 0 seats, 17.4% Seats before 6 1 0 Seats won 4 3 0 Seat change 2 2 0 Popular vote 150,011 110,321 15,282 Percentage 54.0% 39.7% 5.5% Swing 6.3% 7.2% 11.9%
Prime Minister before election Mark Carney Liberal Elected Prime Minister TBD

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 7 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Newfoundland and Labrador (2.0% of all members). The Liberals won 4 seats and the Conservatives won 3. ^{[2] [3]}

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats, although Newfoundland and Labrador did not gain or lose any of their 7 seats. Under this redistribution, the average population per constituency in Newfoundland and Labrador is 72,935 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 34,913 fewer people per electoral district than the national average. ^[4]

Predictions

See also: Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [a]	Sample size [b]	Polling method [c]	Lead
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[5]	32	45	19	3	0	0	± 2.6 pp	350	Telephone	13
Abacus Data	September 25, 2023	[6]	33	42	23	—	1	1	± 4.5 pp	500	Online	9

Summary

Source	Ranking
	Lib	Con	As of
338Canada [7]	6	1	23 April 2025

Summary of results

Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Liberal	150,011	54.0%	6.3pp	4 / 7 (57%)	2
	Conservative	110,321	39.7%	7.2pp	3 / 7 (43%)	2
	New Democratic	15,282	5.5%	11.9pp	0 / 7 (0%)	0
	People's	535	0.2%	2.2pp	0 / 7 (0%)	0
	Green	299	0.1%	0.1pp	0 / 7 (0%)	0
	Independent	637	0.2%	0.2pp	0 / 7 (0%)	0
	Other	494	0.2%	0.2pp	0 / 7 (0%)	0
Total		277,579	100%	–	7 / 7 (100%)	–

Comparison with national results

Results by party

Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
		NL	Natl.	diff.
	Liberal	54.0	43.7	+10.3	4 / 169 (2%)
	Conservative	39.7	41.3	-1.6	3 / 144 (2%)
	New Democratic	5.5	6.3	-0.8	0 / 7 (0%)
	People's	0.2	0.7	-0.5	no caucus
	Green	0.1	1.2	-1.1	0 / 1 (0%)
	Total	–	–	–	7 / 343 (2%)

Synopsis by riding

Further information: Results of the 2025 Canadian federal election by riding § Newfoundland and Labrador

Results by riding in Newfoundland and Labrador - 2025 Canadian federal election
Riding	2021		Winning party						Turnout [a 1]	Votes [a 2]
			Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		Lib	Con	NDP	PPC	Green	Ind	Other	Total
Avalon		Lib
Cape Spear		Lib
Central Newfoundland		Con
Labrador		Lib
Long Range Mountains		Lib
St. John's East		Lib
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas		Lib

1. including spoilt ballots
2. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Student vote results

Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. ^[8]

Summary of the 2025 Canadian Student Vote in Newfoundland and Labrador

Party		Leader	Seats			Popular vote
			Elected	%	Δ	Votes	%	Δ (pp)
	Liberal	Mark Carney	4	57.14	0	7,318	38.39	2.75
	Conservative	Pierre Poilievre	3	42.86	2	7,911	41.50	16.26
	New Democratic	Jagmeet Singh	0	0	2	2,354	12.35	18.42
	Other		0	0	0	1,016	5.33	3.03
	Green	Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault	0	0	0	462	2.42	2.42
Total			7	100.00	0	19,061	100.00	–
Source: Student Vote Canada [9]

See also

• Canadian federal election results in Newfoundland and Labrador

Notes

1. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
3. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

References

1. "Election Night Results Provinces & Territories". Elections Canada . Retrieved 2025-05-27.
2. "Here's how the 2025 federal election played out in N.L." CBC News. April 28, 2025.
3. "NL Representation Near Evenly Split Between Liberals and Conservatives as House of Commons Reopens". VOCM . Retrieved 2025-05-27.
4. "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
5. https://narrativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/24-3-Federal-Voting-Intentions-FINAL.pdf ^{[ bare URL PDF ]}
6. "Federal Conservatives lead by 9 in Newfoundland and Labrador". September 28, 2023. Archived from the original on September 29, 2023. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
7. "Atlantic Canada". 338Canada. Retrieved 23 April 2025.
8. https://studentvote.ca/canada/
9. "Student Vote Canada 2025 — Results" . Retrieved April 29, 2025.