2025 Canadian federal election in Ontario

Last updated

2025 Canadian federal election in Ontario
Flag of Ontario.svg
  2021 April 28, 2025 (2025-04-28) 46th 

All 122 of Ontario's seats in the House of Commons
Registered10,965,118
Turnout7,576,590 (69.1%) [1]
 First partySecond party
 
Mark Carney portrait February 2020.jpg
Pierre Poilievre in 2023 (edited).jpg
Leader Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre
Party Liberal Conservative
Leader since March 9, 2025 September 10, 2022
Last election78 seats [a] , 39.3%37 seats, 34.9%
Seats before7438
Seats won7052
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 4Increase2.svg 14
Popular vote3,716,1663,315,575
Percentage49.0%43.8%
SwingIncrease2.svg 9.7pp Increase2.svg 8.9pp

Prime Minister before election

Mark Carney
Liberal

Elected Prime Minister

Mark Carney
Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 122 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Ontario (35.6% of all members).

Contents

Background

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons will increase from 338 seats to 343 seats, with Ontario gaining one seat in an increase from 121 to 122. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Ontario is 116,590 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 8,742 more people per electoral district than the national average. [2] Due to the redistribution, this will be the first Canadian federal election where the city of Toronto will have less seats than its surrounding suburban municipalities within the Greater Toronto Area. [3]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries
PartyMPs
2021 actual result2021 notional resultChange
Liberal 7877Decrease2.svg 1
Conservative 3740Increase2.svg 3
New Democratic 54Decrease2.svg 1
Green 11Steady2.svg
Total seats1211221Increase2.svg

Timeline

Changes in Ontario seats held (2021–2025)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Spadina—Fort York November 22, 2021 Kevin Vuong   Liberal Excluded from caucus  Independent
Mississauga—Lakeshore May 27, 2022 Sven Spengemann   Liberal Resigned seat December 22, 2022 Charles Sousa   Liberal
Oxford January 28, 2023 Dave MacKenzie   Conservative Resigned seat June 19, 2023 Arpan Khanna   Conservative
Don Valley North March 22, 2023 Han Dong   Liberal Resigned from caucus  Independent
Durham August 1, 2023 Erin O'Toole   Conservative Resigned seat March 4, 2024 Jamil Jivani   Conservative
Toronto—St. Paul's January 16, 2024 Carolyn Bennett   Liberal Resigned seat June 24, 2024 Don Stewart   Conservative
Eglinton—Lawrence March 13, 2025 Marco Mendicino   Liberal Resigned seatn/a [b]  Vacant

Opinion polling

Polling firmLast date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error [c]
Sample
size [d]
Polling method [e] Lead
Campaign Research (Ontario PC internal)March 26, 2025 [4] 4833114-41902online15
Mainstreet ResearchFebruary 17, 2025 [5] 413913222± 2.7 pp1,278 (1/3)online (rolling)2
February 16, 2025 [6] 423814221± 2.8 pp1,229 (1/3)4
February 15, 2025 [7] 413913222± 2.8 pp1,228 (1/3)2
February 14, 2025 [8] 433910231± 2.7 pp1,272 (1/3)4
February 13, 2025 [9] 43418322± 2.7 pp1,294 (1/3)2
February 12, 2025 [10] 434010222± 2.7 pp1,314 (1/3)3
February 11, 2025 [11] 433910222± 2.7 pp1,303 (1/3)4
February 10, 2025 [12] 453712212± 2.7 pp1,301 (1/3)8
February 9, 2025 [13] 43399522± 2.7 pp1,347 (1/3)4
February 8, 2025 [14] 423613422± 2.8 pp1,187 (1/3)6
February 7, 2025 [15] 443612422± 2.8 pp1,262 (1/3)8
February 6, 2025 [16] 423614322± 2.5 pp1,515 (1/4)6
February 5, 2025 [17] 423712422± 2.8 pp1,236 (1/3)5
February 4, 2025 [18] 423711422± 2.9 pp1,162 (1/3)5
February 3, 2025 [19] 43399422± 3.0 pp1,080 (1/3)4
February 2, 2025 [20] 423911322± 2.6 pp1,374 (1/3)3
February 1, 2025 [21] 414013322± 2.9 pp1,124 (1/3)1
January 31, 2025 [22] 393914312± 2.8 pp1,247 (1/3)0
January 30, 2025 [23] 403913522± 2.4 pp1,644 (1/3)1
January 26, 2025 [24] 403812422± 3.2 pp936online2
Abacus DataJune 25, 2024 [25] 27441955± 3.1 pp1,00017
May 15, 2024 [26] 29451745± 3.1 pp1,00016

Predictions

Summary

SourceRanking
LibConNDPGreenAs of
338Canada [27] 82372128 April 2025

Summary of results

PartyVotesVote %Vote +/-SeatsSeat +/-
Liberal 3,716,166
49.0%
Increase2.svg 9.7pp
70 / 122(57%)
Decrease2.svg 5
Conservative 3,315,575
43.8%
Increase2.svg 8.9pp
52 / 122(43%)
Increase2.svg 15
New Democratic 368,965
4.9%
Decrease2.svg 12.9pp
0 / 122(0%)
Decrease2.svg 5
Green 89,907
1.2%
Decrease2.svg 1.0pp
0 / 122(0%)
Decrease2.svg 1
People's 54,376
0.7%
Decrease2.svg 4.8pp
0 / 122(0%)
Steady2.svg
Independent 10,321
0.1%
Steady2.svg 0pp
0 / 122(0%)
Decrease2.svg 2
Other21,896
0.3%
Increase2.svg 0.1pp
0 / 122(0%)
Steady2.svg
Total7,576,590
100%
122 / 122(100%)
Increase2.svg 2 [f]

Comparison with national results

Results by party
PartyPopular vote %Seats in caucus
ONNatl.diff.
Liberal 49.043.7+5.3
70 / 169(41%)
Conservative 43.841.3+2.5
52 / 144(36%)
New Democratic 4.96.3-1.4
0 / 7(0%)
Green 1.21.2=
0 / 1(0%)
People's 0.70.7=no caucus
 Total
122 / 343(36%)

Results by riding

Ottawa

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Carleton
Details
Bruce Fanjoy
43,846
50.9%
Pierre Poilievre
39,333
45.7%
Beth Prokaska
1,221
1.4%
Mark Watson
561
0.7%
Karen Bourdeau (UP)
112 0.1%
Pierre Poilievre
Sébastien CoRhino (Rhino.)
31 0.0%
Danny Légaré (Mar.)
37 0.0%
Shawn MacEachern (CFP)
63 0.1%
LBC at bottom of table
Kanata Jenna Sudds
45,244
60.8%
Greg Kung
26,557
35.7%
Melissa Simon
1,702
2.3%
Jennifer Purdy
835
1.1%
Moinuddin Siddiqui (Cent.)
122
0.2%
Jenna Sudds
Kanata—Carleton
Nepean Mark Carney
46,073
63.8%
Barbara Bal
24,017
33.2%
Shyam Shukla
1,424
2.0%
Greg Hopkins
462
0.6%
Eric Fleury
261
0.4%
Chandra Arya ± [28]
Orléans Marie-France Lalonde
53,146
67.4%
Steve Mansour
22,072
28.0%
Oulai B. Goué
2,063
2.6%
Jaycob Jacques
652
0.8%
Tafiqul Abu Mohammad
331
0.4%
Arlo Arrowsmith (Libert.)
301 0.4%
Marie-France Lalonde
Mazhar Choudhry (Ind.)
162 0.2%
Arabella Vida (Ind.)
76 0.1%
Ottawa Centre Yasir Naqvi
51,026
62.7%
Paul D'Orsonnens
12,692
15.6%
Joel Harden
15,935
19.6%
Amanda Rosenstock
916
1.1%
Andrea Chabot (CFP)
268 0.3%
Yasir Naqvi
Zed Chebib (Ind.)
47 0.1%
Marie-Chantal Leriche (CHP)
234 0.3%
Cashton Perry (Comm.)
154 0.2%
Mike Salmon (Ind.)
66 0.1%
Ottawa South David McGuinty
43,388
65.2%
Blair Turner
18,010
27.1%
Hena Masjedee
4,017
6.0%
Nira Dookeran
642
1.0%
William Cooper (Rhino.)
155 0.2%
David McGuinty
Alex Perrier (CHP)
259 0.4%
John Redins (CFP)
93 0.1%
Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester Mona Fortier
45,934
67.4%
Dean Wythe
14,633
21.5%
Tristan Oliff
5,164
7.6%
Christian Proulx
1,345
2.0%
Marty Simms
349
0.5%
Elizabeth Benoit (Ind.)
238 0.3%
Mona Fortier
Ottawa—Vanier
Coreen Corcoran (Libert.)
338 0.5%
Christian Legeais (M-L)
182 0.3%
Ottawa West—Nepean Anita Vandenbeld
43,555
63.6%
Ryan Telford
18,517
27.1%
Josh Bizjak
4,847
7.1%
Prashanta Dhakal
780
1.1%
Glen Armstrong
514
0.8%
Sean Mulligan (CHP)
232
0.3%
Anita Vandenbeld

Longest Ballot Committee [g] All Independent unless noted: Sana Ahmad 41; Mélodie Anderson 16; Marthalee Aykroyd 9; Alex Banks 16; Tetia Bayoro 5; Sophie Bearden 14; Michael Bednarski 15; Line Bélanger 6; Jeani Boudreault (NA) 12; Alain Bourgault 8; John Boylan 17; Sarah Burke 27; Dante Camarena Jimenez 4; Jenny Cartwright 11; Jaël Champagne Gareau 4; David Cherniak 5; Charlie Currie 20; John Dale 20; Manon Marie Lili Desbiens (NA) 3; Gerrit Dogger 4; Ysack Dupont (NA) 0; Alexandra Engering 12; Scott Falkingham 45; Euan Fraser Tait 18; Maria Gabriel 10; Daniel Gagnon 8; Pierre Gauthier 38; Gregory Gillis 4; Jeffrey Goodman 11; Peter Gorman 7; Daniel Graham 2; Artem Gudkov 3; Zornitsa Halacheva 2; Anthony Hamel 2; Blake Hamilton 6; Robert Harris 8; Loren Hicks 6; Kerri Hildebrandt (NA) 3; Andrea Hollinger 8; Trevor Holsworth 3; Seyed Hosseini Lavasani 13; Ryan Huard 9; Demetrios Karavas 2; Laina Kohler (NA) 10; Kevin Krisa 5; Krzysztof Krzywinski (NA) 3; Dan Kyung 35; Samuel Lafontaine 3; Alain Lamontagne 5; Alexander Lein (NA) 6; Charles Lemieux 10; Connie Lukawski 8; Agnieszka Marszalek 6; Joseph Maw 1; Donald McKay 11; Mark Moutter 23; Christopher Navarro-Canseco (NA) 4; Winston Neutel 5; David Nguyen 15; Sheri Oberman 2; John Francis O'Flynn 8; Lény Painchaud 5; Lanna Palsson 4; Guillaume Paradis 37; Lajos Polya 12; Lorant Polya 57; Spencer Rocchi 4; Wallace Richard Rowat 2; Julian Selody 7; Hakim Sheriff 6; Roger Sherwood 3; Yogo Shimada 3; Michael Skirzynski 3; Julie St-Amand 3; Pascal St-Amand 2; Patrick Strzalkowski 4; Daniel Stuckless 11; Benjamin Teichman 2; Sarah Thompson 9; Darcy Vanderwater (NA) 12; Elliot Wand 5; Michal Wieczorek 7; David Zhu 21

Eastern Ontario

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenOther
Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke Cyndi Mills
25,338
37.8%
Cheryl Gallant
37,333
55.7%
Eileen Jones-Whyte
2,469
3.7%
Danilo Velasquez
618
0.9%
Randy Briand (UP)
909 1.4%
Cheryl Gallant
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
Stefan Klietsch (Ind.)
122 0.2%
Seth Malina (Ind.)
229 0.3%
Bay of Quinte Chris Malette
32,846
50.4%
Ryan Williams
29,130
44.7%
Kate Crothers
2,373
3.6%
Erica Charlton
833
1.3%
Ryan Williams
Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga Tracey Sweeney Schenk
26,745
40.4%
Shelby Kramp-Neuman
36,005
54.3%
Ava Duffy
2,351
3.5%
Michael Holbrook
803
1.2%
Zaid Yusufani (PPC)
377
0.6%
Shelby Kramp-Neuman
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
Kingston and the Islands Mark Gerretsen
48,682
63.2%
Bryan Paterson
23,592
30.6%
Daria Juüdi-Hope
3,648
4.7%
Fintan Hartnett
1,071
1.4%
Mark Gerretsen
Lanark—Frontenac Michelle Foxton
30,900
45.6%
Scott Reid
34,186
50.4%
Danielle Rae
1,986
2.9%
Jesse Pauley
741
1.1%
Scott Reid
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Lorna Jean Edmonds
29,656
44.4%
Michael Barrett
33,437
50.0%
Paul Lancione
2,341
3.5%
Randi Ramdeen
781
1.2%
Hailey Simpson (PPC)
596
0.9%
Michael Barrett
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes
Prescott—Russell—Cumberland Giovanna Mingarelli
39,110
54.8%
Julie Séguin
28,805
40.3%
Ryder Finlay
1,730
2.4%
Thaila Riden
787
1.1%
Deborah Perrier (PPC)
725 1.0%
Francis Drouin [29]
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
Jason St-Louis (Ind.)
236 0.3%
Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry Sarah Good
26,407
39.8%
Eric Duncan
37,399
56.3%
Mario Leclerc
1,653
2.5%
Gordon Kubanek
674
1.0%
Karl Ivan MacKinnon (Libert.)
274
0.4%
Eric Duncan
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry

Central Ontario

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Barrie South—Innisfil John Olthuis
25,557
38.0%
John Brassard
38,943
57.8%
Andrew Harrigan
2,130
3.2%
Mark Sampson
695
1.0%
John Brassard
Barrie—Innisfil
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Rose Zacharias
29,150
44.4%
Doug Shipley
33,949
51.7%
Gabriela Trujillo
1,559
2.4%
Greg Taylor
893
1.4%
Michael Speers (Comm.)
158
0.2%
Doug Shipley
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Anne Marie Watson
26,837
40.1%
Alex Ruff
35,484
53.0%
Christopher Neudorf
2,069
3.1%
Natasha Akiwenzie
1,447
2.2%
Pavel Smolko
520
0.8%
Ann Gillies (UP)
554
0.8%
Alex Ruff
Dufferin—Caledon Malalai Halimi
24,818
35.2%
Kyle Seeback
42,458
60.1%
Viktor Karklins
1,380
2.0%
Ifra Baig
927
1.3%
Dympna Carolan
752
1.1%
Jeffrey Halsall (Ind.)
260
0.4%
Kyle Seeback
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes Nell Thomas
29,223
38.7%
Jamie Schmale
42,701
56.6%
Alyea Teel
2,625
3.5%
Michael Penman
954
1.3%
Jamie Schmale
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock
New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury Mike Hanrahan
24,444
37.0%
Scot Davidson
39,247
59.4%
Nancy Morrison
1,226
1.9%
Callum McKinnon
712
1.1%
Paul Montague
496
0.8%
Scot Davidson
York—Simcoe
Northumberland—Clarke John Goheen
32,648
45.9%
Philip Lawrence
34,862
49.0%
Ava Becker
2,090
2.9%
Christina Marie Wilson
630
0.9%
Lisa Bradburn
521
0.7%
Jody Ledgerwood (Ind.)
270 0.4%
Philip Lawrence
Northumberland—Peterborough South
John Wesselius (CHP)
171 0.2%
Peterborough Emma Harrison
42,890
54.3%
Michelle Ferreri
32,446
41.0%
Heather Ray
2,406
3.0%
Jazmine Raine
655
0.8%
Jami-Leigh McMaster
272
0.3%
Matthew Grove (CHP)
168 0.2%
Michelle Ferreri
Peterborough—Kawartha
Chad Jewell (Ind.)
222 0.3%
Simcoe—Grey Bren Munro
29,455
43.4%
Terry Dowdall
35,364
52.1%
Jasleen Bains
1,574
2.3%
Allan Kuhn
991
1.5%
Giorgio Mammoliti
523
0.8%
Terry Dowdall
Simcoe North Ryan Rocca
29,767
44.7%
Adam Chambers
32,241
48.4%
Melissa Lloyd
2,508
3.8%
Ray Little
1,260
1.9%
Stephen Toivo Makk
638
1.0%
Russ Emo (CHP)
191
0.3%
Adam Chambers

Southern Durham

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenCentristOther
Ajax Jennifer McKelvie
36,975
56.3%
Greg Brady
25,658
39.1%
Kyle Forster
1,762
2.7%
Leigh Paulseth
612
0.9%
Faisal Ali
643
1.0%
Mark Holland $ [30]
Bowmanville—Oshawa North Bridget Girard
32,214
45.5%
Jamil Jivani
35,232
49.8%
Elenor Marano
2,032
2.9%
Julie Dietrich
546
0.8%
Ghuzna Imam
134
0.2%
Clint Cole (UP)
143 0.2%
Jamil Jivani
Durham
Pranay Gunti (Ind.)
264 0.4%
Adam Smith (Rhino.)
68 0.1%
Thomas Zekveld (CHP)
155 0.2%
Oshawa Isaac Ransom
28,653
43.0%
Rhonda Kirkland
32,131
48.2%
Sara Labelle
5,112
7.7%
Katherine Mathewson
804
1.2%
Colin Carrie [31]
Pickering—Brooklin Juanita Nathan
38,578
54.2%
Alicia Vianga
29,320
41.2%
Jamie Nye
1,838
2.6%
Andrea Wood
535
0.8%
Zainab Rana
322
0.5%
Lisa Robinson (PPC)
639
0.9%
Jennifer O'Connell $ [32]
Pickering—Uxbridge
Whitby Ryan Turnbull
35,624
52.7%
Steve Yamada
29,620
43.8%
Kevin Goswell
1,638
2.4%
Andrew Di Lullo
506
0.7%
Nouman Mian
206
0.3%
Ryan Turnbull

York Region

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Leah Taylor Roy
26,590
42.8%
Costas Menegakis
34,023
54.7%
Danielle Maniuk
835
1.3%
Tom Muench
465
0.7%
Igor Tvorogov
256
0.4%
Leah Taylor Roy
King—Vaughan Mubarak Ahmed
24,352
35.9%
Anna Roberts
41,682
61.5%
Samantha Sanchez
769
1.1%
Ann Raney
576
0.9%
Vageesh Sabharwal
368
0.5%
Anna Roberts
Markham—Stouffville Helena Jaczek
31,658
51.4%
Niran Jeyanesan
27,898
45.3%
Serena Cheung
1,121
1.8%
Myles O'Brien
433
0.7%
René de Vries
393
0.6%
Shahzad Ahmed (Cent.)
141
0.2%
Helena Jaczek¢
Markham—Thornhill Tim Hodgson
27,504
54.5%
Lionel Loganathan
21,003
41.6%
Aftab Qureshi
1,022
2.0%
Mimi Lee
747
1.5%
Haider Qureshi (Cent.)
153
0.3%
Mary Ng $ [33]
Markham—Unionville Peter Yuen
25,133
47.1%
Michael Ma
27,055
50.7%
Sameer Qureshi
723
1.4%
Elvin Kao
503
0.9%
Paul Chiang $ [34]
Newmarket—Aurora Jennifer McLachlan
29,299
47.0%
Sandra Cobena
31,540
50.6%
Anna Gollen
1,473
2.4%
Tony Van Bynen [35]
Richmond Hill South Majid Jowhari
26,009
44.4%
Vincent Ho
30,615
52.3%
Ebrahim Astaraki
1,054
1.8%
Alison Lam
495
0.8%
Joshua Sideris
244
0.4%
Yan Wang (Ind.)
124 0.2%
Majid Jowhari
Richmond Hill
Juni Yeung (CFP)
43 0.1%
Thornhill Liane Kotler
20,873
31.2%
Melissa Lantsman
44,419
66.4%
William McCarty
833
1.2%
Dominic Piotrowski
353
0.5%
Amir Hart
440
0.7%
Melissa Lantsman
Vaughan—Woodbridge Francesco Sorbara
25,617
38.0%
Michael Guglielmin
40,422
60.0%
Ali Bahman
891
1.3%
Roman Yevseyev
425
0.6%
Francesco Sorbara
York—Durham Robert Grossi
28,726
39.6%
Jacob Mantle
40,329
55.6%
Justin Graham
1,829
2.5%
Matt Pearce
797
1.1%
Patricia Conlin
901
1.2%
New District

Scarborough

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenOther
Scarborough—Agincourt Jean Yip
27,552
54.3%
Aris Movsessian
21,732
42.8%
Dan Lovell
1,449
2.9%
Jean Yip
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East Salma Zahid
27,557
57.3%
Belent Mathew
18,307
38.1%
Alyson Koa
1,565
3.3%
Peter Koubakis (PPC)
659
1.4%
Michael Coteau‡
Don Valley East
(Running in Scarborough—Woburn)
Merged District
Salma Zahid
Scarborough Centre
Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park Gary Anandasangaree
35,295
64.0%
Suchita Jalan
17,485
31.7%
Kingsley Kwok
1,772
3.2%
Troy Rife
633
1.1%
Gary Anandasangaree
Scarborough—Rouge Park
Scarborough North Shaun Chen
29,418
63.0%
Gurmit Sandhu
15,487
33.1%
Karishma Manji
1,827
3.9%
Shaun Chen
Scarborough Southwest Bill Blair
33,495
61.5%
Asm Tarun
16,652
30.6%
Fatima Shaban
2,730
5.0%
Amanda Cain
754
1.4%
Imran Khan (Cent.)
165 0.3%
Bill Blair
Christine Nugent (M-L)
113 0.2%
Michael Poulin (PPC)
567 1.0%
Scarborough—Woburn Michael Coteau
25,281
60.4%
Reddy Muttukuru
14,291
34.1%
George Wedge
1,466
3.5%
Gianne Broughton
499
1.2%
Amina Bhaiyat (Ind.)
181 0.4%
John McKay [36]
Scarborough—Guildwood
Ayub Sipra (Cent.)
150 0.4%

North York

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenOther
Don Valley North Maggie Chi
25,822
53.2%
Joe Tay
20,546
42.3%
Naila Saeed
1,191
2.5%
Andrew Armstrong
448
0.9%
Xiaohua Gong (NA)
260 0.5%
Han Dong [37]
Ivan Milivojevic (PPC)
260 0.5%
Don Valley West Rob Oliphant
36,744
62.6%
Robert Pierce
19,480
33.2%
Linnea Löfström-Abary
1,382
2.4%
Sheena Sharp
616
1.1%
Bahira Abdulsalam (Ind.)
442
0.8%
Rob Oliphant
Eglinton—Lawrence Vince Gasparro
29,949
49.3%
Karen Stintz
29,061
47.8%
Allison Tanzola
996
1.6%
Wayne Chechuevskiy
429
0.7%
Timothy Gleeson (PPC)
326
0.5%
Vacant [h]
Willowdale Ali Ehsassi
25,488
53.4%
James Lin
20,977
44.0%
Christy Kheirallah
1,224
2.6%
Ali Ehsassi
York Centre Ya'ara Saks
20,318
42.7%
Roman Baber
26,110
54.8%
Yusuf Ulukanligil
1,191
2.5%
Ya'ara Saks

Central Toronto and East York

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenMarxist-LeninistCommunistOther
Beaches—East York Nate Erskine-Smith
39,804
67.7%
Jocelyne Poirier
13,830
23.5%
Shannon Devine
4,027
6.9%
Jack Pennings
748
1.3%
Steve Rutchinski
39
0.1%
Elizabeth Rowley
146
0.2%
Diane Joseph (Ind.)
161
0.3%
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith¢
Davenport Julie Dzerowicz
35,364
57.8%
Francis Lavoie
14,189
23.2%
Sandra Sousa
10,452
17.1%
Lilian Barrera
782
1.3%
Dave McKee
387
0.6%
Julie Dzerowicz
Spadina—Harbourfront Chi Nguyen
31,832
60.1%
Diana Filipova
16,286
30.7%
Norm Di Pasquale
4,107
7.8%
Gordon Rand
448
0.8%
Nick Lin
85
0.2%
Gilbert Joseph Jubinville (PPC)
193 0.4%
Kevin Vuong [39]
Spadina—Fort York
Shrey Rao (Ind.)
39 0.1%
Taiaiako'n—Parkdale—High Park Karim Bardeesy
36,439
55.8%
Wladyslaw Lizon
12,662
19.4%
Bhutila Karpoche
15,003
23.0%
Anna Gorka
700
1.1%
Lorne Gershuny
92
0.1%
Rimmy Riarh
137
0.2%
Edward Fraser (APP)
184 0.3%
Arif Virani $ [33]
Parkdale—High Park
Terry Parker (Mar.)
96 0.1%
Toronto Centre Evan Solomon
37,907
64.3%
Luis Ibarra
12,321
20.9%
Samantha Green
7,358
12.5%
Olivia Iheme
664
1.1%
Philip Fernandez
170
0.3%
Simon Luisi (APP)
177 0.3%
Marci Ien $ [40]
Cleveland Marshall (Ind.)
90 0.2%
Nathen Mazri (PPC)
235 0.4%
Toronto—Danforth Julie Dabrusin
39,191
66.6%
Ashik Hussain
11,187
19.0%
Clare Hacksel
7,626
13.0%
Silvia Stardust
626
1.1%
Liz White (APP)
251
0.4%
Julie Dabrusin
Toronto—St. Paul's Leslie Church
44,313
61.9%
Don Stewart
23,700
33.1%
Bruce Levy
2,496
3.5%
Shane Philips
552
0.8%
David Gershuny
133
0.2%
Joseph Frasca (PPC)
329 0.5%
Don Stewart
Cynthia Valdron (CFP)
58 0.1%
University—Rosedale Chrystia Freeland
39,847
64.0%
Liz Grade
14,624
23.5%
Serena Purdy
6,168
9.9%
Ignacio Mongrell
1,066
1.7%
Barbara Biley
138
0.2%
Drew Garvie
304
0.5%
Adam Golding (Ind.)
118
0.2%
Chrystia Freeland

Etobicoke and York

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Etobicoke Centre Yvan Baker
36,186
53.6%
Ted Opitz
29,713
44.0%
Ji Won Jung
1,611
2.4%
Yvan Baker
Etobicoke—Lakeshore James Maloney
37,512
57.4%
Bernard Trottier
25,348
38.8%
Cory Wagar
1,665
2.5%
Thomas Fanjoy
616
0.9%
Janice Murray (M-L)
197
0.3%
James Maloney
Etobicoke North John Zerucelli
22,270
52.6%
Natalie Weed
17,359
41.0%
Benjamin Abis
1,354
3.2%
Sarun Balaranjan
394
0.9%
Andy D'Andrea
846
2.0%
Neil Simon (Ind.)
132
0.3%
Kirsty Duncan $ [41]
Humber River—Black Creek Judy Sgro
21,357
55.6%
Bijay Paudel
13,745
35.8%
Matias de Dovitiis
2,449
6.4%
Marek Jasinski
621
1.6%
Jeanne McGuire (Comm.)
226
0.6%
Judy Sgro
York South—Weston—Etobicoke Ahmed Hussen
24,663
55.3%
Nicolas Pham
17,746
39.8%
Louise James
2,190
4.9%
Ahmed Hussen
York South—Weston

Brampton

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCCentristIndependent
Brampton Centre Amandeep Sodhi
19,716
48.4%
Taran Chahal
19,105
46.9%
Anil Boodhai
1,085
2.7%
Ray Shaver
469
1.2%
Harsimran Kaur Hundal
288
0.7%
Taha Nazir
97
0.2%
Shafqat Ali‡
(Running in Brampton—Chinguacousy Park )
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Shafqat Ali
21,532
48.8%
Tim Iqbal
19,591
44.4%
Teresa Yeh
1,173
2.7%
Mike Dancy
521
1.2%
Jayesh Brahmbhatt
741
1.7%
Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad
194
0.4%
Avi Dhaliwal
328
0.7%
New District
Brampton East Maninder Sidhu
23,616
48.6%
Bob Dosanjh Singh
21,731
44.7%
Haramrit Singh
821
1.7%
Jeff Lal
2,305
4.7%
Abdus S Kissana
132
0.3%
Maninder Sidhu
Brampton North—Caledon Ruby Sahota
22,847
49.0%
Amandeep Judge
22,105
47.4%
Ruby Zaman
1,008
2.2%
Sat Anand
635
1.4%
Ruby Sahota
Brampton North
Brampton South Sonia Sidhu
22,001
49.3%
Sukhdeep Kang
21,193
47.5%
Rajni Sharma
777
1.7%
Vijay Kumar
358
0.8%
Manmohan Khroud
274
0.6%
Sonia Sidhu
Brampton West Kamal Khera
20,194
47.6%
Amarjeet Gill
21,112
49.8%
Zaigham Javed
708
1.7%
Sameera Khan
278
0.7%
Khawaja Amir Hassan
95
0.2%
Kamal Khera

Mississauga

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCIndependentMarxist-Leninist
Mississauga Centre Fares Al Soud
29,605
53.9%
Muhammad Ishaq
23,010
41.9%
Brandon Nguyen
1,502
2.7%
Gurdeep Wolosz
602
1.1%
Zulfiqar Ali
257
0.5%
Omar Alghabra [42]
Mississauga East—Cooksville Peter Fonseca
27,138
50.2%
Nita Kang
24,112
44.6%
Khawar Hussain
1,508
2.8%
Amit Gupta
964
1.8%
Winston Harding
221
0.4%
Dagmar Sullivan
113
0.2%
Peter Fonseca
Mississauga—Erin Mills Iqra Khalid
33,448
55.7%
Milad Mikael
24,000
40.0%
Ehab Mustapha
1,311
2.2%
Sulaiman Khan
367
0.6%
Michael Bayer
734
1.2%
Michael Matulewicz
179
0.3%
Iqra Khalid
Mississauga—Lakeshore Charles Sousa
34,971
52.4%
Tom Ellard
29,416
44.0%
Evelyn Butler
1,254
1.9%
Mary Kidnew
587
0.9%
Fahad Rao
334
0.5%
Carlton Darby
122
0.2%
Anna Di Carlo
113
0.2%
Charles Sousa
Mississauga—Malton Iqwinder Singh Gaheer
26,793
53.3%
Jaspreet Sandhu
21,202
42.2%
Inderjeetsingh Ailsinghani
1,290
2.6%
Nathan Quinlan
983
2.0%
Iqwinder Gaheer
Mississauga—Streetsville Rechie Valdez
31,297
51.5%
Sue McFadden
27,241
44.9%
Bushra Asghar
1,388
2.3%
Chris Hill
439
0.7%
Logan Araujo
366
0.6%
Rechie Valdez

Halton

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Burlington Karina Gould
43,593
55.8%
Emily Brown
31,686
40.6%
Michael Beauchemin
1,549
2.0%
Kyle Hutton
595
0.8%
Michael Bator
523
0.7%
Paul Harper (Rhino.)
75 0.1%
Karina Gould
Ocean Marshall (Libert.)
105 0.1%
Burlington North—Milton West Adam Van Koeverden
37,155
52.7%
Nadeem Akbar
31,172
44.3%
Naveed Ahmed
1,507
2.1%
Charles Zach
607
0.9%
Adam van Koeverden
Milton
Milton East—Halton Hills South
(judicially certified)
Kristina Tesser Derksen
32,178
48.3%
Parm Gill
32,157
48.2%
Muhammad Riaz Sahi
1,029
1.5%
Susan Doyle
672
1.0%
Walter J. Hofman
475
0.7%
Shahbaz Mahmood Khan (Ind.)
174
0.3%
New District
Oakville East Anita Anand
31,128
51.1%
Ron Chhinzer
27,301
44.8%
Hailey Ford
1,698
2.8%
Bruno Sousa
351
0.6%
Henry Karabela
335
0.6%
Alicia Bedford (UP)
59
0.1%
Anita Anand¢
Oakville
Oakville West Sima Acan
31,872
53.1%
Tim Crowder
26,668
44.4%
Diane Downey
831
1.4%
Chris Kowalchuk
363
0.6%
JD Meaney
254
0.4%
Martin Gegus (Ind.)
55
0.1%
Pam Damoff [43]
Oakville North—Burlington

Hamilton and Niagara

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North Chuck Phillips
28,915
43.2%
Dan Muys
35,246
52.7%
Peter Werhun
1,630
2.4%
Anita Payne
594
0.9%
Nikita Mahood
499
0.7%
Dan Muys
Flamborough—Glanbrook
Hamilton Centre Aslam Rana
21,388
37.6%
Hayden Lawrence
17,079
30.0%
Matthew Green
16,581
29.1%
Sandy Crawley
818
1.4%
David Speicher
591
1.0%
Cody Chenier (Rhino.)
190 0.3%
Matthew Green
Carla Green (NA)
215 0.4%
Michael Loomans (NA)
90 0.2%
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Chad Collins
31,378
46.5%
Ned Kuruc
32,857
48.7%
Nayla Mithani
2,471
3.7%
Jim Boutsikakis
762
1.1%
Chad Collins
Hamilton Mountain Lisa Hepfner
27,302
45.6%
Ken Hewitt
24,857
41.5%
Monique Taylor
7,044
11.8%
Bing Wong
497
0.8%
Rolf Gerstenberger (M-L)
193
0.3%
Lisa Hepfner
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas John-Paul Danko
38,970
56.1%
Erika Alexander
25,547
36.8%
Roberto Henriquez
3,648
5.3%
Georgia Beauchemin
829
1.2%
Ava Sharavi
307
0.4%
Jim Enos (CHP)
163
0.2%
Filomena Tassi $ [44]
Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Andrea Kaiser
27,199
44.9%
Tony Baldinelli
29,774
49.1%
Shannon Mitchell
2,335
3.9%
Celia Taylor
518
0.9%
Dinah Althorpe
481
0.8%
Yawar Anwar (Cent.)
128 0.2%
Tony Baldinelli
Niagara Falls
Daniel Shakhmundes (Libert.)
160 0.3%
Niagara South Vance Badawey
33,708
43.9%
Fred Davies
36,702
47.8%
Chantal McCollum
4,307
5.6%
Natashia Bergen
683
0.9%
Peter Taras
1,147
1.5%
David Vedova (CHP)
216
0.3%
Vance Badawey
Niagara Centre
Niagara West Jennifer Korstanje
30,424
43.2%
Dean Allison
36,418
51.7%
Justin Abando
2,262
3.2%
Ryan Anderson
582
0.8%
Dave Bylsma (CHP)
727
1.0%
Dean Allison
St. Catharines Chris Bittle
34,750
52.0%
Bas Sluijmers
27,013
40.4%
Karen Orlandi
4,021
6.0%
Dennis Wilson
522
0.8%
Taha Alexander Haj-Ahmad (Cent.)
198 0.3%
Chris Bittle
Christopher Reilly (Ind.)
306 0.5%

Midwestern Ontario

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations Joy O'Donnell
27,032
41.1%
Larry Brock
34,501
52.4%
Anne Gajerski-Cauley
2,410
3.7%
Karleigh Csordas
1,110
1.7%
Nicholas Xenos
392
0.6%
Leslie Bory (Ind.)
120 0.2%
Larry Brock
Brantford—Brant
Mike Clancy (Ind.)
148 0.2%
Clo Marie (Ind.)
80 0.1%
Cambridge Bryan May
30,309
46.3%
Connie Cody
31,766
48.6%
José de Lima
2,183
3.3%
Lux Burgess
1,052
1.6%
Manuel Couto (M-L)
109
0.2%
Bryan May
Guelph Dominique O'Rourke
36,406
54.7%
Gurvir Khaira
20,470
30.7%
Janice Folk-Dawson
2,129
3.2%
Anne-Marie Zajdlik
6,779
10.2%
Jeffrey Swackhammer
498
0.7%
Elaine Baetz (M-L)
132 0.2%
Lloyd Longfield [45]
Michael Wassilyn (Ind.)
117 0.2%
Yurii Yavorskyi (CFP)
62 0.1%
Haldimand—Norfolk Colin Walsh
26,040
36.4%
Leslyn Lewis
41,218
57.6%
Shannon Horner-Shepherd
2,412
3.4%
Nathan Hawkins
750
1.0%
Henry Geissler
657
0.9%
Lily Eggink (CHP)
529
0.7%
Leslyn Lewis
Huron—Bruce James Rice
28,936
41.5%
Ben Lobb
37,027
53.2%
Melanie Burrett
2,300
3.3%
Gregory J McLean
927
1.3%
Caesar salad Pella (Ind.)
194 0.3%
Ben Lobb
Justin L Smith (Ind.)
273 0.4%
Kitchener Centre Brian Adeba
17,292
29.3%
Kelly DeRidder
20,234
34.2%
Heather Zaleski
1,157
2.0%
Mike Morrice
19,859
33.6%
Wasai Rahimi
334
0.6%
Margaretha Dyck (UP)
97 0.2%
Mike Morrice
Ellen Papenburg (APP)
111 0.2%
Kitchener—Conestoga Tim Louis
30,001
48.3%
Doug Treleaven
29,479
47.5%
Maya Bozorgzad
1,821
2.9%
Kevin Dupuis
786
1.3%
Tim Louis
Kitchener South—Hespeler Valerie Bradford
27,945
46.2%
Matt Strauss
28,973
47.9%
Lorne Bruce
1,823
3.0%
Ethan Russell
1,208
2.0%
Randall Williams
386
0.6%
Kathleen Dueck (UP)
96
0.2%
Valerie Bradford
Oxford David Hilderley
27,311
38.2%
Arpan Khanna
38,191
53.4%
Matthew Chambers
3,046
4.3%
Cheryle Baker
897
1.3%
Steven Beausoleil
642
0.9%
Melanie Van Brugge (UP)
152 0.2%
Arpan Khanna
Akshay Varun Raj Vardhan (Ind.)
109 0.2%
Jacob Watson (CHP)
1,203 1.7%
Perth—Wellington David Mackey
26,142
40.8%
John Nater
33,972
53.0%
Kevin Kruchkywich
2,909
4.5%
Wayne Baker
1,069
1.7%
John Nater
Waterloo Bardish Chagger
37,579
59.5%
Waseem Botros
20,571
32.6%
Héline Chow
2,617
4.1%
Simon Guthrie
1,599
2.5%
Douglas Ross
348
0.6%
Santa Claus Chatham (Rhino.)
119 0.2%
Bardish Chagger
Jamie Hari (Ind.)
76 0.1%
Val Neekman (Ind.)
179 0.3%
Hans Roach (Ind.)
105 0.2%
Wellington—Halton Hills North Sean Carscadden
29,609
44.4%
Michael Chong
33,736
50.6%
Andrew Bascombe
1,346
2.0%
Liam Stiles
1,389
2.1%
Syl Carle
566
0.8%
Michael Chong
Wellington—Halton Hills

Southwestern Ontario

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Chatham-Kent—Leamington Keith Pickard
25,978
35.9%
Dave Epp
41,612
57.5%
Seamus McInnis Fleming
2,943
4.1%
James Plunkett
757
1.0%
Trevor Lee
1,061
1.5%
Dave Epp
Elgin—St. Thomas—London South David Goodwin
28,010
43.1%
Andrew Lawton
32,565
50.1%
Paul Pighin
3,118
4.8%
Stephen Campbell
1,256
1.9%
Karen Vecchio $ [46]
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Essex Chris Sutton
29,389
36.7%
Chris Lewis
46,123
57.5%
Lori Wightman
3,826
4.8%
Jason A. E. Henry
843
1.1%
Chris Lewis
London Centre Peter Fragiskatos
33,999
56.7%
Stephen Gallant
18,633
31.1%
Dirka Prout
5,790
9.7%
Mary Ann Hodge
878
1.5%
David Annis
523
0.9%
Bruce Lamb (CFP)
100
0.2%
Peter Fragiskatos
London North Centre
London—Fanshawe Najam Naqvi
17,863
30.5%
Kurt Holman
23,749
40.6%
Lindsay Mathyssen
16,135
27.6%
Daniel Buta
776
1.3%
Lindsay Mathyssen
London West Arielle Kayabaga
35,309
56.2%
Adam Benni
23,239
37.0%
Shinade Allder
3,463
5.5%
Jeff Vanderzwet
427
0.7%
Russell Benner (CFP)
185 0.3%
Arielle Kayabaga
Christine Oliver (UP)
185 0.3%
Middlesex—London Kent Keenan
29,400
42.1%
Lianne Rood
36,093
51.7%
Taylor McIntosh
2,888
4.1%
Jim Johnston
698
1.0%
Cynthia Workman
577
0.8%
Shawn Cartlidge (UP)
191
0.3%
Lianne Rood
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong George Vandenberg
28,940
37.9%
Marilyn Gladu
40,597
53.1%
Lo-Anne Chan
4,088
5.4%
Brian Everaert
1,136
1.5%
Jacques Y Boudreau (Libert.)
990 1.3%
Marilyn Gladu
Sarnia—Lambton
Mark Lamore (CHP)
437 0.6%
Tony Mitchell (Rhino.)
201 0.3%
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore
(judicially certified)
Irek Kusmierczyk
32,086
45.7%
Kathy Borrelli
32,090
45.8%
Alex Ilijoski
4,240
6.0%
Roxanne Tellier
468
0.7%
Nick Babic
828
1.2%
Helmi Charif (Cent.)
223 0.3%
Irek Kusmierczyk
Windsor—Tecumseh
Beth St Denis (CHP)
203 0.3%
Windsor West Richard Pollock
16,986
30.9%
Harb Gill
21,412
39.0%
Brian Masse
15,256
27.8%
Louay Ahmad
397
0.7%
Jacob Bezaire
553
1.0%
Joseph Markham (Comm.)
195 0.4%
Brian Masse
Margaret Villamizar (M-L)
89 0.2%

Northern Ontario

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenPPCOther
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk Steve Black
18,366
39.0%
Gaétan Malette
23,062
48.9%
Nicole Fortier Levesque
4,895
10.4%
Serge Lefebvre
814
1.7%
Charlie Angus [47]
Timmins—James Bay
Kenora—Kiiwetinoong Charles Fox
9,454
35.2%
Eric Melillo
13,109
48.7%
Tania Cameron
3,698
13.8%
Jon Hobbs
286
1.1%
Bryce Desjarlais
204
0.8%
Kelvin Boucher-Chicago (Ind.)
141
0.5%
Eric Melillo
Kenora
Nipissing—Timiskaming Pauline Rochefort
27,674
47.2%
Garry Keller
26,121
44.6%
Valerie Kennedy
3,548
6.1%
Louise Poitras
585
1.0%
John Janssen
648
1.1%
Anthony Rota [48]
Parry Sound—Muskoka Geordie Sabbagh
27,563
42.6%
Scott Aitchison
33,742
52.2%
Heather Hay
2,300
3.6%
Isabel Pereira
1,048
1.6%
Scott Aitchison
Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Terry Sheehan
30,936
47.4%
Hugh Stevenson
29,208
44.7%
Laura Mayer
4,327
6.6%
Robyn Kiki Eshkibok
541
0.8%
James Collins (CHP)
305
0.5%
Terry Sheehan
Sault Ste. Marie
Merged District
Carol Hughes [47]
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing
Sudbury Viviane Lapointe
31,551
51.9%
Ian Symington
23,835
39.2%
Nadia Verrelli
4,680
7.7%
Nicholas Bonderoff
773
1.3%
Viviane Lapointe
Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt Marc G. Serré
25,075
41.6%
Jim Belanger
29,156
48.3%
Andréane Chénier
4,822
8.0%
Himal Hossain
465
0.8%
Sharilynne St. Louis
489
0.8%
Justin Dean Newell Leroux (Libert.)
316
0.5%
Marc Serré
Nickel Belt
Thunder Bay—Rainy River Marcus Powlowski
21,125
48.5%
Brendan Hyatt
18,685
42.9%
Yuk-Sem Won
2,954
6.8%
Eric Arner
334
0.8%
Sabrina Ree
433
1.0%
Marcus Powlowski
Thunder Bay—Superior North Patty Hajdu
25,134
55.2%
Bob Herman
16,267
35.7%
Joy Wakefield
3,235
7.1%
John Malcolm Northey
417
0.9%
Amos Bradley
459
1.0%
Patty Hajdu

Student vote results

Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. [49]

Summary of the 2025 Canadian Student Vote in Ontario
PartyLeaderSeatsPopular vote
Elected%ΔVotes%Δ (pp)
Liberal Mark Carney 6049.18Increase2.svg 7107,48735.90Increase2.svg 6.67
Conservative Pierre Poilievre 5847.54Increase2.svg 27101,41533.87Increase2.svg 11.10
New Democratic Jagmeet Singh 32.46Decrease2.svg 3339,51913.20Decrease2.svg 14.67
Green Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault 10.82Steady2.svg 024,6848.24Decrease2.svg 1.86
Other00Steady2.svg 0 15,1505.06Increase2.svg 2.27
People's Maxime Bernier 00Steady2.svg 011,1933.74Decrease2.svg 3.27
Total122100.00Increase2.svg 1299,448100.00
Source: Student Vote Canada [50]

See also

Notes

  1. While formal results show the Liberals winning 78 seats in Ontario, those totals include Kevin Vuong, who was disavowed during the campaign by his party, and sat as an Independent in the House of Commons.
  2. By-elections are not scheduled to fill vancancies within 9 months of a fixed general election date.
  3. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  5. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
  6. Ontario gained 1 seat in the electoral redistribution. 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament.
  7. Longest Ballot Committee candidates have Tomas Szuchewycz as their official agent. Affiliated candidates from registered political parties are listed normally.
  8. There was no byelection because the riding became vacant within nine months of the scheduled date of a general election. [38]

References

  1. https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e
  2. "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
  3. Ibbitson, John & Bricker, Darrell (November 23, 2024). "With the Laurentian elite's power fading, a new and less stable Canada is emerging: Canadian unity is under greater threat than at any time since the last referendum". Globe and Mail . p. O2. the GTA outside Toronto is growing faster than in the city itself, in the most recent redistricting of the House of Commons, the GTA outside Toronto gained ridings, while Toronto lost one{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  4. "Doug Ford's internal polling paints grim election prospects for Pierre Poilievre in Ontario". Toronto Star . March 27, 2025. Retrieved March 28, 2025.
  5. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 20" (PDF). February 18, 2025. Retrieved February 18, 2025.
  6. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 19" (PDF). February 17, 2025. Retrieved February 17, 2025.
  7. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 18" (PDF). February 16, 2025. Retrieved February 17, 2025.
  8. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 17" (PDF). February 15, 2025. Retrieved February 17, 2025.
  9. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 16" (PDF). February 14, 2025. Retrieved February 17, 2025.
  10. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 15" (PDF). February 13, 2025. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
  11. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 14" (PDF). February 12, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
  12. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 13" (PDF). February 11, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
  13. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 12" (PDF). February 10, 2025. Retrieved February 10, 2025.
  14. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 11" (PDF). February 9, 2025. Retrieved February 10, 2025.
  15. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 10" (PDF). February 8, 2025. Retrieved February 8, 2025.
  16. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 9" (PDF). February 7, 2025. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
  17. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 8" (PDF). February 6, 2025. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
  18. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 7" (PDF). February 5, 2025. Retrieved February 5, 2025.
  19. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 6" (PDF). February 4, 2025. Retrieved February 4, 2025.
  20. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 5" (PDF). February 3, 2025. Retrieved February 3, 2025.
  21. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 4" (PDF). February 2, 2025. Retrieved February 3, 2025.
  22. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 3" (PDF). February 1, 2025. Retrieved February 1, 2025.
  23. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario, Day 2" (PDF). January 31, 2025. Retrieved February 1, 2025.
  24. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). January 26, 2025. Retrieved January 26, 2025.
  25. "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ford PCs lead by 16 despite increase in disapproval of the provincial government's performance". June 30, 2024. Retrieved June 30, 2024.
  26. "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ford PCs lead by 13 over Crombie Liberals". May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
  27. "Ontario". 338Canada. Retrieved 23 April 2025.
  28. "Liberals revoke Chandra Arya's nomination, after removing him from leadership race". CBC News . The Canadian Press. 2025-03-20. Archived from the original on 21 March 2025. Retrieved 2025-03-21.
  29. Martin, Laurence (25 July 2024). "Le député libéral Francis Drouin annonce qu'il ne se représente pas". Radio-Canada (in French). Archived from the original on 25 July 2024. Retrieved 25 July 2024.
  30. Previl, Sean (13 March 2025). "Health Minister Mark Holland won't seek re-election: 'Time to go home'". Global News . Retrieved 13 March 2025.
  31. Kelly, Tim (April 25, 2024). "'Now is the right time': Longtime Oshawa Conservative MP Colin Carrie not running in next federal election". DurhamRegion.com. Archived from the original on 15 May 2024. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  32. Calis, Kristen (2025-03-08). "Pickering-Uxbridge MP Jennifer O'Connell won't seek re-election, shares safety woes, highs and lows". DurhamRegion.com. Retrieved 2025-03-19.
  33. 1 2 Woods, Michael (10 February 2025). "2 more Trudeau cabinet ministers won't seek re-election". CBC News . Archived from the original on 11 February 2025. Retrieved 10 February 2025.
  34. Curry, Bill; Chase, Stephen (March 31, 2025). "Liberal candidate Paul Chiang resigns over Chinese bounty comments". The Globe and Mail . Winnipeg and Fredericton. Retrieved March 31, 2025.
  35. Quigley, Joseph (March 11, 2024). "'Person of great integrity:' Newmarket-Aurora MP won't run for re-election". NewmarketToday.ca. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  36. Ballingall, Alex (20 June 2024). "After nine election victories, a Toronto MP known for his straight talk and wit says he won't run again". Toronto Star . Archived from the original on 21 June 2024. Retrieved 21 June 2024.
  37. Steven, Benjamin Lopez (30 March 2025). "Independent MP Han Dong won't seek re-election in suburban Toronto riding". CBC News . Retrieved 30 March 2025.
  38. Section 31(1.1), "Parliament of Canada Act". Government of Canada. 18 March 2025. Retrieved 21 March 2025.
  39. Lavoie, Joanna (2025-03-26). "Spadina-Fort York independent MP Kevin Vuong not seeking re-election". CP24 . Archived from the original on 26 March 2025. Retrieved 2025-03-26.
  40. Leadley, Christina (March 12, 2025). "'Nothing is more important than health': Bloc MP Villemure has cancer". The Hill Times . Archived from the original on 14 March 2025. Retrieved March 14, 2025.
  41. Duncan, Kirsty [@KirstyDuncanMP] (March 21, 2025). "To the wonderful people of Etobicoke North [...]" (Tweet). Retrieved 2025-03-21 via Twitter.
  42. Omar Alghabra [@OmarAlghabra] (July 25, 2023). "I have news to share: after a lot of reflection, I decided to not run in the next election" (Tweet). Retrieved July 25, 2023 via Twitter.
  43. Ballingall, Alex (May 1, 2024). "Pam Damoff won't seek re-election, citing fears for her safety and disgust with toxicity in politics". Toronto Star . Archived from the original on 6 May 2024. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  44. "Hamilton Liberal MP Filomena Tassi won't run for re-election". CBC News . 17 October 2024. Retrieved 23 October 2024.
  45. Cassidy, Lianne (June 28, 2023). "News release". mplongfield.ca. Archived from the original on June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  46. McKenna, Kate (30 July 2024). "Conservative MP Karen Vecchio won't run again in next election". CBC News . Retrieved 3 August 2024.
  47. 1 2 Paas-Lang, Christian (April 4, 2024). "3 NDP MPs announce they're leaving politics". CBC News . Archived from the original on 6 May 2024. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  48. Dawson, Chris (October 23, 2023). "Rota not running for re-election". BayToday.ca. Archived from the original on 15 May 2024. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  49. https://studentvote.ca/canada/
  50. "Student Vote Canada 2025 — Results" . Retrieved April 29, 2025.