2025 Canadian federal election in Saskatchewan

2025 Canadian federal election in Saskatchewan

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All 14 Saskatchewanian seats in the House of Commons
Registered	825,621
Turnout	560,766 (67.92%) [1]
First party Second party Third party   Leader Pierre Poilievre Mark Carney Jagmeet Singh Party Conservative Liberal New Democratic Leader since September 10, 2022 March 9, 2025 October 1, 2017 Last election 14 seats, 59.0% 0 seats, 10.6% 0 seats, 21.1% Seats before 14 0 0 Seats won 13 1 0 Seat change 1 1 0 Popular vote 362,049 148,920 42,310 Percentage 64.6% 26.6% 7.6% Swing 5.6% 16.0% 13.5%
Prime minister before election Mark Carney Liberal Prime minister after election Mark Carney Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 14 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Saskatchewan (4.1% of all members).

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats. Saskatchewan's seat allocation stayed the same at 14 seats. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Saskatchewan is 80,893 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 26,955 less people per electoral district than the national average. ^[2]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries

Party		MPs
		2021 actual result	2021 notional result	Change
	Conservative	14	13	1
	Liberal	0	1	1
	New Democratic	0	0	0
Total seats		14	14	0

Timeline

See also: By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament

Predictions

See also: Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [a]	Sample size [b]	Polling method [c]	Lead
Rubicon Strategy	April 10, 2025	[3]	25	38	11	2.5	2.5	—	± 4 pp	747	Online	13

Results

Summary

Saskatchewanian summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal election

Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Conservative	362,049	64.6%	5.6pp	13 / 14 (93%)	1
	Liberal	148,920	26.6%	16.0pp	1 / 14 (7%)	1
	New Democratic	42,310	7.6%	13.5pp	0 / 14 (0%)	0
	Green	3,092	0.6%	0.5pp	0 / 14 (0%)	0
	People's	2,999	0.5%	6.1pp	0 / 14 (0%)	0
	Independents and minor parties	1,396	0.2%	1.4pp	0 / 14 (0%)	0
Total		560,766	100%	–	14 / 14 (100%)	0

^[4]

Comparison with national results

Results by party

Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
		SK	Natl.	diff.
	Conservative	64.6	41.3	+23.3	13 / 144 (9%)
	Liberal	26.6	43.7	-17.1	1 / 169 (0.6%)
	New Democratic	7.6	6.3	+1.3	0 / 7 (0%)
	Green	0.6	1.2	-0.6	0 / 1 (0%)
	People's	0.5	0.7	-0.2	no caucus
	Total	–	–	–	14 / 343 (4%)

Student vote results

Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. ^[5]

Summary of the 2025 Canadian Student Vote in Saskatchewan

Party		Leader	Seats			Popular vote
			Elected	%	Δ	Votes	%	Δ (pp)
	Conservative	Pierre Poilievre	13	92.86	3	12,836	48.15	9.41
	Liberal	Mark Carney	1	7.14	1	5,846	21.93	9.87
	New Democratic	Jagmeet Singh	0	0	4	4,432	16.62	12.46
	Green	Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault	0	0	0	2,097	7.87	2.17
	People's	Maxime Bernier	0	0	0	874	3.28	4.16
	Other		0	0	0	574	2.15	0.48
Total			14	100.00	0	26,659	100.00	–
Source: Student Vote Canada [6]

Notes

1. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
3. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

References

1. https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e
2. "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
3. "Poll of Sask. voters has Conservatives maintaining strong support, but Liberals gaining ground". CBC.ca. April 13, 2025. Retrieved April 13, 2025.
4. https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e
5. https://studentvote.ca/canada/
6. "Student Vote Canada 2025 — Results" . Retrieved April 29, 2025.