2025 Canadian federal election in Quebec

2025 Canadian federal election in Quebec

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All 78 Quebec seats in the House of Commons of Canada
Opinion polls
Registered	6,664,620 [1]
Turnout	4,457,743 (66.89%) 4.52% [2]
First party Second party   Leader Mark Carney Yves-François Blanchet Party Liberal Bloc Québécois Leader since March 9, 2025 January 17, 2019 Last election 35 seats, 33.6% 32 seats, 32.1% Seats before 33 33 Seats won 44 22 Seat change 11 11 Popular vote 1,897,526 1,236,349 Percentage 42.6% 27.7% Swing  9.0  pp  4.4  pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Party Conservative New Democratic Leader since September 10, 2022 October 1, 2017 Last election 10 seats, 18.6% 1 seats, 9.8% Seats before 9 1 Seats won 11 1 Seat change 2 Popular vote 1,038,315 200,393 Percentage 23.3% 4.5% Swing  4.7  pp  5.3  pp
Prime Minister before election Mark Carney Liberal Prime Minister after election Mark Carney Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, there were 78 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of Quebec, making up 22.7% of all members of the House.

Background

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats, with Quebec's number of seats remaining steady at 78. Originally the province was set to lose 1 seat, with 77 total. But with the passage of the Preserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons Act, the province will now always be guaranteed at least 78 seats. This made the average population per constituency in Quebec 108,998 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which was 1,150 more people per electoral district than the national average. ^[3]

2021 results transposed onto 2023 boundaries

Party		MPs
		2021 actual result	2021 notional result	Change
	Liberal	35	33	2
	Bloc Québécois	32	34	2
	Conservative	10	10	0
	New Democratic	1	1	0
Total seats		78	78	0

Timeline

See also: By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament

Changes in Quebec seats held (2021–2025)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Richmond—Arthabaska	September 13, 2022	Alain Rayes	█  Conservative	Left caucus			█  Independent
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount	March 8, 2023	Marc Garneau	█  Liberal	Retired	June 19, 2023	Anna Gainey	█  Liberal
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun	February 1, 2024	David Lametti	█  Liberal	Resigned to join law firm	September 16, 2024	Louis-Philippe Sauvé	█  Bloc Québécois
Honoré-Mercier	September 19, 2024	Pablo Rodriguez	█  Liberal	Left caucus			█  Independent
Honoré-Mercier	January 20, 2025	Pablo Rodriguez	█  Independent	Resigned to run for the leadership of the Quebec Liberal Party	Vacant until the 2025 election		█ Vacant

Opinion polling

Opinion polling During the election campaign

This section is transcluded from Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election. (edit | history)

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	BQ	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [a]	Sample size [b]	Polling method [c]	Lead
Leger	April 25, 2025	[4]	42	24	5	26	2	1	—		893	Online	16
Synopsis	April 11, 2025	[5]	42	21	7	27	1	2	—		1,000	Online	15
Leger	March 10, 2025	[6]	36	24	8	25	4	2	1	± 3.09pp	1,007	Online	11
Leger	February 2, 2025	[7]	29	24	12	29	3	3	1	± 3.07 pp	1,017	Online	0
Leger	January 19, 2025	[8]	21	26	7	37	4	2	1	± 3.09 pp	1,003	Online	11
Leger	December 2, 2024	[9]	22	22	15	35	4	1	2	± 3.1 pp	1,002	Online	13
Leger	November 11, 2024	[10]	22	24	13	35	3	3	0	± 3.08 pp	1,010	Online	11
Leger	October 6, 2024	[11]	27	22	11	35	3	1	0	± 3.04 pp	1,041	Online	8
Leger	August 25, 2024	[12]	27	23	14	29	5	3	0	± 3.04 pp	1,041	Online	2
Leger	June 3, 2024	[13]	26	26	11	31	4	1	1	± 3.08 pp	1,015	Online	5
Leger	April 21, 2024	[14]	26	24	10	35	2	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,026	Online	9
Pallas Data	April 8, 2024	[15]	25.3	26.2	9.9	28.6	0.7	2.2	0.6	± 2 pp	700	IVR	2.4
Leger	March 18, 2024	[16]	27	23	14	30	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,033	Online	3
Leger	February 6, 2024	[17]	28	24	14	29	3	2	1	± 3.05 pp	1,032	Online	1
Leger	December 4, 2023	[18]	28	25	10	31	2	2	2	± 3.04 pp	846	Online	3
Pallas Data	September 27, 2023	[19]	34	25	7	28	3	2	1	± 2.96 pp	1,095	IVR	6
Leger	September 25, 2023	[20]	29	23	13	29	2	1	—	± 3.0 pp	1,046	Online	0
Leger	February 26, 2023	[21]	33	15	13	31	4	2	—	± 3.0 pp	1,044	Online	2
Leger	November 6, 2022	[22]	34	18	12	30	2	2	—	± 3.1 pp	1,028	Online	4

Results

Quebec summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal election

Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Liberal	1,897,526	42.6%	9.0pp	44 / 78 (56%)	11
	Bloc Québécois	1,232,853	27.7%	4.4pp	22 / 78 (28%)	11
	Conservative	1,038,315	23.3%	4.7pp	11 / 78 (14%)	2
	New Democratic	200,393	4.5%	5.3pp	1 / 78 (1%)	0
	Green	40,909	0.9%	0.6pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0
	People's	35,237	0.8%	1.9pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0
	Independent	4,196	0.1%	0.1pp	0 / 78 (0%)	1
	Other	8,818	0.2%	1.2pp	0 / 78 (0%)	0
Total		4,457,743	100%	–	78 / 78 (100%)	1 [d]

Comparison with national results

Results by party

Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
		QC	Natl. avg.	diff.
	Liberal	42.6	43.8	-1.2	44 / 169 (26%)
	Bloc Québécois	27.7	6.3	+21.4	22 / 22 (100%)
	Conservative	23.3	41.3	-18.0	11 / 144 (8%)
	New Democratic	4.5	6.3	-1.8	1 / 7 (14%)
	Green	0.9	1.2	-0.3	0 / 1 (0%)
	People's	0.8	0.7	+0.1	no caucus
	Total	–	–	–	78 / 343 (23%)

Student vote results

Student votes are mock elections that run parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. ^[23]

Summary of the 2025 Canadian Student Vote in Quebec

Party		Leader	Seats			Popular vote
			Elected	%	Δ	Votes	%	Δ (pp)
	Liberal	Mark Carney	47	60.23	7	38,819	38.90	7.71
	Bloc Québécois	Yves-François Blanchet	18	23.08	3	20,298	20.34	1.25
	Conservative	Pierre Poilievre	11	14.10	2	19,738	19.78	6.68
	New Democratic	Jagmeet Singh	2	2.56	5	11,814	11.84	9.47
	Green	Elizabeth May & Jonathan Pedneault	0	0	1	4,147	4.16	2.84
	People's	Maxime Bernier	0	0	0	2,588	2.59	0.41
	Other		0	0	0	2,384	2.39	2.61
Total			78	100.00	0	99,788	100.00	–
Source: Student Vote Canada [24]

See also

• Terrebonne in the 2025 Canadian federal election
  

Notes

1. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
3. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
4. 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament.

References

1. "Election Night Results – National". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 30, 2025.
2. "UPDATED: The 45th Federal Election by the Numbers". Elections Canada . May 7, 2025. Retrieved May 12, 2025.
3. "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
4. "Élections fédérales 2025 – Sondage auprès de la population québécoise" (PDF). Leger. April 25, 2025. Retrieved April 27, 2025.
5. "The Liberal Party leads in Quebec: "15 points ahead, that's substantial"". Synopsis. April 14, 2025. Retrieved April 16, 2025.
6. "Politique au Québec et au Canada Mars 2025" (PDF). Leger. March 10, 2025. Retrieved March 13, 2025.
7. St-Pierre, Guillaume (February 6, 2025). Menaces de Donald Trump: un regain de vie pour le PLC . Retrieved February 6, 2025– via www.journaldemontreal.com.
8. "Intentions de vote et préférences politiques" (PDF). Leger. January 22, 2025. Retrieved January 26, 2025.
9. "Intentions de vote" (PDF). Leger. December 3, 2024. Retrieved December 28, 2024.
10. "Intentions de vote" (PDF). Leger. November 13, 2024. Retrieved November 13, 2024.
11. "Intentions de Vote et Préférences Politiques au Fédéral" (PDF). Leger. October 6, 2024. Retrieved October 8, 2024.
12. "Intentions de Vote" (PDF). Leger. August 28, 2024. Retrieved August 28, 2024.
13. "Intentions de Vote" (PDF). Leger. June 6, 2024. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
14. "Intentions de Vote et Referendum Sur L'Immigration" (PDF). Leger. April 21, 2024. Retrieved April 24, 2024.
15. "Canadians Think Liberals Would Do Better Without Trudeau, But Less Than One In Five Would Actually Change Their Vote: Pallas Poll". Pallas Data. April 18, 2024. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
16. "Intentions de vote et Préférences Politiques" (PDF). Leger. March 20, 2024. Retrieved March 20, 2024.
17. "Intentions de vote et Préférences Politiques" (PDF). Leger. February 7, 2024. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 7, 2024. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
18. "Intentions de Vote, Opinion Politique et Perception de la Souveraineté" (PDF). Leger. December 4, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 7, 2023. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
19. "Intentions de vote fédéral au Québec" (PDF). Pallas Data. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 12, 2023. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
20. "Le Parti libéral glisse et le Bloc Québécois dégringole au Québec face à la montée rapide du Parti conservateur". Leger. September 27, 2023. Archived from the original on October 31, 2023. Retrieved October 25, 2023.
21. "Intentions de Vote, Baromètre des Personnalités et Enjeux Actuels" (PDF). Leger. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 1, 2023. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
22. "Intentions de Vote et Chefferie de Parti Libéral du Québec" (PDF). Leger. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
23. "Student Vote". Student Vote Canada. Retrieved April 29, 2025.
24. https://studentvote.ca/results/provincial_results/59/2