2007 Quebec general election

Last updated

2007 Quebec general election
Flag of Quebec.svg
  2003 March 26, 2007 2008  

125 seats in the 38th National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Turnout71.23% (Increase2.svg0.81%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Jean Charest de face (Novembre 2010).png
MarioDumont.JPG
Andre Boisclair debating (cropped).jpg
Leader Jean Charest Mario Dumont André Boisclair
Party Liberal Action démocratique Parti Québécois
Leader since April 30, 1998 May 11, 1994 November 15, 2005
Leader's seat Sherbrooke Rivière-du-Loup Pointe-aux-Trembles
Last election76 seats, 45.99%4 seats, 18.18%45 seats, 33.24%
Seats won484136
Seat changeDecrease2.svg28Increase2.svg37Decrease2.svg9
Popular vote1,313,6641,224,4121,125,546
Percentage33.08%30.84%28.35%
SwingDecrease2.svg12.91%Increase2.svg12.63%Decrease2.svg4.91%

Quebec Provincial Election 2007 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Jean Charest
Liberal

Premier after election

Jean Charest
Liberal

Seating plan following the election. PLQ minoritaire.PNG
Seating plan following the election.

The 2007 Quebec general election was held in the Canadian province of Quebec on March 26, 2007 to elect members of the 38th National Assembly of Quebec. The Quebec Liberal Party led by Premier Jean Charest managed to win a plurality of seats, but were reduced to a minority government, Quebec's first in 129 years, since the 1878 general election. The Action démocratique du Québec, in a major breakthrough, became the official opposition. The Parti Québécois was relegated to third-party status for the first time since the 1973 election. The Liberals won their lowest share of the popular vote since Confederation, and the PQ with their 28.35% of the votes cast won their lowest share since 1973 and their second lowest ever (ahead of only the 23.06% attained in their initial election campaign in 1970). [1] Each of the three major parties won nearly one-third of the popular vote, the closest three-way split (in terms of popular vote) in Quebec electoral history until the 2012 election. This was however, the closest three-way race in terms of seat count. Voter turnout among those eligible was 71.23%, a marginal difference from the previous general election in 2003. [2] [3]

Contents

This was the first time since the 1970s that a government was not returned for its second term with a majority.

Overview

With just over a year left in the government's five year mandate, the Liberals called an election for March 26, 2007.

In August 2006, there were widespread rumours of an election to be held in the fall with speculation that Premier Jean Charest wanted to hold elections before a federal election would be held.

Benoît Pelletier, the minister responsible for electoral reform, had announced his plan to table two bills about election reform during the fall, possibly leading to a referendum on voting system reform to be held concurrently with the election. [4] However, by December 2006, the plan was put off indefinitely due to strong resistance to the idea of proportional representation from within the Liberal Party. [5]

Speculation grew that a provincial election would be held following the federal budget. It was thought that the federal Conservative government would present a budget that would address the perceived fiscal imbalance. This measure would help Charest argue that his government was more effective in getting concessions from the federal government than a PQ government would be. With polls showing Charest's Liberals ahead of the opposition for the first time in several years, speculation intensified that Charest would not wait until the federal budget to call a provincial election but call one in the winter to take advantage of both of these developments. Charest recalled the legislature early in order to table a provincial budget on February 20, 2007. On the same day, federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty announced that the federal budget would be tabled on March 19, clearing the way for Charest to set a provincial election for a week later in hopes of benefiting from Flaherty's budget. On February 21, Charest called the election for March 26.

Issues

Charest wants to negotiate a solution to the problem of the fiscal imbalance between the federal and provincial governments with Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

André Boisclair, leader of the Parti Québécois, had said he would hold a referendum (or "popular consultation", as in the party platform) on the issue of Quebec independence as soon as possible after an election win. [6]

Multiculturalism, secularism and the place of cultural and religious minorities in Quebec were issues in this election. There was a large scale debate over "reasonable accommodation" towards cultural minorities, and a few political leaders expressed their views on the question. Mario Dumont, leader of the Action démocratique, took a clearer position on the question than the others, calling on the majority to protect some elements of national identity and values such as gender equality, and suggesting that a Quebec Constitution be written, in which the privileges cultural minorities are to be given would be clarified. [7]

Timeline

Political parties

Major parties

Other parties

Additionally, several other parties were registered as well: Parti conscience universelle, [16] [17] Marxist–Leninist Party of Quebec, [16] Equality Party, [16] Bloc pot, [16] and Union des forces progressistes. [16]

Campaign slogans

Incumbent MNAs not running for re-election

Liberals

Péquistes

Independent

Results

The overall results were: [18]

Summary of the 26 March 2007 National Assembly of Quebec election results
PartyParty leaderCandi-
dates
SeatsPopular vote
2003 Dissol. 2007Change%#%Change
Liberal Jean Charest 125767248-2838.40%1,313,66433.08%-12.91%
Action démocratique Mario Dumont 1254541+3732.80%1,224,41230.84%+12.63%
Parti Québécois André Boisclair 125454536-928.80%1,125,54628.35%-4.91%
Green Scott McKay 108-----152,8853.85%+3.41%
Québec solidaire Régent Séguin 123-----144,4183.64%+2.58%
Marxist–Leninist Pierre Chénier24-----2,0910.05%-0.02%
Bloc Pot Hugô St-Onge 9-----1,5640.04%-0.56%
Christian Democracy Gilles Noël 12-----1,5480.04%-0.05%
  Independents and no affiliation 28-1---4,4900.11%-0.11%
 Vacant2 
Total679125125125-100%3,970,618 100% 
Source: (official)

Notes:

"Change" refers to change from previous election
Séguin is officially leader of Québec solidaire, but the main spokespersons for the party are Françoise David and Amir Khadir.
Results for Québec solidaire are compared to the 2003 results for the Union des forces progressistes.
Vote share
PLQ
33.08%
ADQ
30.84%
PQ
28.35%
Green
3.85%
QS
3.64%
Others
0.24%
Seats summary
Liberal
38.40%
ADQ
32.80%
PQ
28.80%

Results by region

Results by region and riding Quebec elections 2007.png
Results by region and riding
Party Name 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
  Liberal Seats:102152050001150160
 Popular Vote (%):32.6732.7028.0229.0334.0947.2045.4230.4121.6432.5241.6728.2539.3517.1323.4128.8626.67
  Action démocratique Seats:10741000000705583
 Popular Vote (%):36.8821.8541.5539.0328.0515.1621.4124.9525.0821.4814.9251.6928.4940.3336.2733.4140.42
  Parti Québécois Seats:25200803213001270
 Popular Vote (%):26.7941.0923.6328.7029.6324.0322.3639.2248.3541.4139.4216.3625.4036.1534.6530.9827.59
Parties below won no seats
Green Popular Vote (%):2.101.633.481.374.536.746.7802.4900.581.703.993.413.033.571.01
 QSPopular Vote (%):1.562.692.972.653.586.323.815.422.434.603.421.912.512.982.612.953.80
 M-LPQPopular Vote (%):000.02000.950.2200000.010.05000.010
Bloc Pot Popular Vote (%):000000.720000000000.090
 CDPQPopular Vote (%):000.180.0400.48000000.0500000
 IndependentPopular Vote (%):00.040.140.350.170.80000000.03000.040.130.50
Total seats:45115628532148568213

Results by place

Party SeatsSecondThirdFourthFifthSixthSeventhEighthNinthTotal
Liberal 483245000000125
Action démocratique 414632420000125
Parti Québécois 364244300000125
Green 03376260000108
  Québec solidaire 02142780000123
Marxist–Leninist 000001364124
Bloc Pot 0000081009
  Christian Democracy 00000930012
  Independents 000041842028

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2007 Quebec general election [19] [20] [21]
RidingWinning partyTurnout
[a 1]
Votes [a 2]
Name 2003 1st placeVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
2nd place3rd place PLQ PQ ADQ QS PVQ IndOtherTotal
 
Abitibi-Est PLQPQ8,26237.71%7173.27%PLQADQ67.78%7,5458,2625,0601,04221,909
Abitibi-Ouest PQPQ10,98348.38%5,45424.02%ADQPLQ70.75%5,37610,9835,52981422,702
Acadie PLQPLQ17,96260.09%12,99243.46%PQADQ62.03%17,9624,9704,3271,1351,50029,894
Anjou PLQPLQ13,28041.36%4,48513.97%PQADQ72.04%13,2808,7957,4091,1511,3769932,110
Argenteuil PLQPLQ10,02537.59%2,1197.95%ADQPQ68.52%10,0256,8917,9066001,24426,666
Arthabaska PLQADQ15,23141.87%4,13311.36%PLQPQ76.00%11,0987,89215,2311,1251,03036,376
Beauce-Nord ADQADQ19,12762.62%11,07136.25%PLQPQ77.92%8,0562,39219,1273615258330,544
Beauce-Sud PLQADQ19,36156.85%9,07826.66%PLQPQ74.09%10,2833,57819,36183434,056
Beauharnois PQPQ12,96741.08%3,70511.74%ADQPLQ74.09%7,67912,9679,2626001,06131,569
Bellechasse PLQADQ12,71548.51%3,71114.16%PLQPQ76.77%9,0043,52112,71546051226,212
Berthier PQADQ16,24242.24%2,8887.51%PQPLQ72.73%6,68713,35416,2421,0871,08438,454
Bertrand PQPQ13,67237.02%2,4846.73%ADQPLQ71.10%9,08213,67211,1881,2281,76636,936
Blainville PQADQ17,73141.84%3,5478.37%PQPLQ77.99%8,10914,18417,7318101,54942,383
Bonaventure PLQPLQ10,22152.88%4,51123.34%PQADQ67.80%10,2215,7102,3571,03919,327
Borduas PQPQ12,52938.76%2,4067.44%ADQPLQ79.58%7,01012,52910,1239441,45926232,327
Bourassa-Sauvé PLQPLQ15,63150.08%8,52627.32%PQADQ63.11%15,6317,1056,3791,04389116031,209
Bourget PQPQ13,42241.26%5,93518.24%ADQPLQ69.89%7,43313,4227,4871,3632,63219532,532
Brome-Missisquoi PLQPLQ14,18239.85%2,9618.32%ADQPQ71.88%14,1827,23811,2211,0321,91735,590
Chambly PLQADQ18,15438.93%4,70410.09%PQPLQ79.58%11,24013,45018,1541,5272,26546,636
Champlain PQADQ15,87244.81%5,00114.12%PQPLQ76.54%7,63510,87115,8721,03935,417
Chapleau PLQPLQ14,58145.03%6,51020.10%ADQPQ61.97%14,5817,1378,0717741,7556532,383
Charlesbourg PLQADQ17,20743.36%6,36416.04%PLQPQ78.87%10,8439,82817,20783796839,683
Charlevoix PQPQ9,09937.67%1,6636.88%ADQPLQ73.99%6,5419,0997,43652755324,156
Châteauguay PLQPLQ15,27937.42%3,0517.47%ADQPQ73.85%15,27911,20812,2289671,15440,836
Chauveau PLQADQ22,01355.59%13,16433.24%PLQPQ77.52%8,8496,68022,0138001,25539,597
Chicoutimi PQPQ13,96539.97%1,0462.99%PLQADQ76.45%12,91913,9656,1551,09380334,935
Chomedey PLQPLQ18,66754.75%10,73831.49%ADQPQ62.90%18,6675,1807,9296831,23729910334,098
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière ADQADQ24,37858.92%16,73140.44%PQPLQ81.38%7,2927,64724,3788541,20341,374
Crémazie PLQPQ12,38836.00%1700.49%PLQADQ73.84%12,21812,3885,5402,2181,93411234,410
D'Arcy-McGee PLQPLQ18,41084.21%16,94077.49%PVQADQ53.10%18,4107109343381,47021,862
Deux-Montagnes PQADQ12,41536.32%1,1323.31%PQPLQ76.37%8,18311,28312,4157401,44811434,183
Drummond PQADQ15,34938.50%2,3895.99%PQPLQ71.79%9,53012,96015,3491,64538039,864
Dubuc PQPQ10,12037.58%1,7196.38%ADQPLQ73.22%7,07710,1208,40172860226,928
Duplessis PQPQ10,20544.75%3,87316.98%PLQADQ62.94%6,33210,2054,95968962122,806
Fabre PLQPLQ14,61534.86%1,2082.88%ADQPQ73.33%14,61511,22413,4078821,79541,923
Frontenac PLQPLQ10,44041.07%1,6096.33%ADQPQ77.09%10,4405,2648,83139149625,422
Gaspé PQPQ7,66240.96%6403.42%PLQADQ68.04%7,0227,6623,16285818,704
Gatineau PLQPLQ13,60244.95%6,39221.12%PQADQ63.41%13,6027,2106,4478961,95814630,259
Gouin PQPQ11,31837.25%3,40811.22%QSPLQ70.09%5,61211,3183,5407,9101,75010914730,386
Groulx PLQADQ13,63037.45%3,1178.56%PQPLQ75.35%9,89810,51313,6308501,50336,394
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve PQPQ13,01252.71%9,17637.17%ADQPLQ62.18%3,34713,0123,8362,3881,7499725624,685
Hull PLQPLQ12,64342.53%5,52818.59%PQADQ61.26%12,6437,1155,0712,3582,4766729,730
Huntingdon PLQADQ13,11342.76%3,43911.22%PLQPQ70.90%9,6746,92613,11366928130,663
Iberville PLQADQ14,36542.23%5,10315.00%PQPLQ76.13%8,3909,26214,3657761,22434,017
Îles-de-la-Madeleine PQPQ4,82060.39%2,17827.29%PLQADQ76.10%2,6424,8203801397,981
Jacques-Cartier PLQPLQ22,48170.24%18,50857.82%ADQPVQ67.35%22,4811,3523,9734913,54516632,008
Jean-Lesage PLQADQ13,86539.86%3,68010.58%PLQPQ72.65%10,1857,99013,8651,2361,15913121634,782
Jean-Talon PLQPLQ13,73241.96%3,87311.84%PQADQ79.98%13,7329,8596,0561,4631,5189532,723
Jeanne-Mance-Viger PLQPLQ20,71668.00%16,15153.01%ADQPQ63.26%20,7163,6594,56563579010130,466
Johnson PQADQ11,51136.02%1800.56%PQPLQ75.01%7,15711,33111,5117701,18831,957
Joliette PQADQ13,80537.08%7502.01%PQPLQ74.76%7,52713,05513,8051,6931,14937,229
Jonquière PLQPQ12,85139.33%1,2753.90%PLQADQ74.87%11,57612,8516,6348397037132,674
Kamouraska-Témiscouata PLQPLQ9,82639.72%7523.04%ADQPQ72.39%9,8264,8049,07452151524,740
Labelle PQPQ13,96145.42%6,23720.29%ADQPLQ68.98%6,97013,9617,7248941,18930,738
Lac-Saint-Jean PQPQ14,75046.42%5,57517.55%PLQADQ77.32%9,17514,7506,83753647431,772
LaFontaine PLQPLQ16,28162.46%11,52644.22%ADQPQ67.38%16,2813,7154,75555276526,068
La Peltrie PLQADQ21,05551.06%9,88423.97%PLQPQ79.76%11,1717,03321,0557721,20341,234
La Pinière PLQPLQ17,78650.44%9,13225.90%ADQPQ66.51%17,7866,2818,6548601,68435,265
Laporte PLQPLQ13,24940.97%5,11215.81%PQADQ70.92%13,2498,1377,6991,2561,99832,339
La Prairie PLQADQ14,45333.79%1,2853.00%PQPLQ77.50%12,25113,16814,4538181,60517929842,772
L'Assomption PQADQ16,51039.20%2,2235.28%PQPLQ76.16%8,23514,28716,5101,3031,77742,112
Laurier-Dorion PLQPLQ12,06439.66%1,0963.60%PQADQ65.38%12,06410,9682,8742,4311,63927516630,417
Laval-des-Rapides PLQPLQ11,53234.41%1,4944.46%PQADQ69.67%11,53210,0389,3441,1451,45033,509
Laviolette PLQPLQ10,10040.99%3,27413.29%ADQPQ72.59%10,1006,6876,8264684946624,641
Lévis PLQADQ17,38844.14%7,28718.50%PQPLQ79.33%9,92510,10117,3888021,01516339,394
Lotbinière ADQADQ15,47259.22%9,75237.33%PLQPQ78.07%5,7204,30515,47263026,127
Louis-Hébert PLQPLQ14,41034.54%8161.96%ADQPQ81.33%14,41010,42913,5941,3261,73422541,718
Marguerite-Bourgeoys PLQPLQ16,75257.14%11,20538.22%ADQPQ63.13%16,7524,6975,5477171,45415329,320
Marguerite-D'Youville PLQADQ15,53637.07%2,5216.02%PQPLQ82.63%11,40113,01515,5361,95841,910
Marie-Victorin PQPQ11,05539.61%3,12811.21%ADQPLQ68.54%5,97411,0557,9271,4181,32721127,912
Marquette PLQPLQ14,98547.77%8,52527.17%ADQPQ64.37%14,9856,4486,4609462,31322031,372
Maskinongé PLQADQ14,86240.04%4,09511.03%PLQPQ76.33%10,76710,00814,86269978137,117
Masson PQADQ18,80843.83%3,3947.91%PQPLQ74.30%6,05815,41418,8081,0591,56942,908
Matane PLQPQ7,83039.10%2131.06%PLQADQ72.27%7,6177,8303,98035824020,025
Matapédia PQPQ9,04143.70%3,60517.42%ADQPLQ70.39%5,1379,0415,43655152620,691
Mégantic-Compton PLQPLQ8,07132.98%2100.86%ADQPQ73.70%8,0717,0957,86154490424,475
Mercier PQPQ9,42633.35%1,1233.97%QSPLQ69.32%5,6019,4262,3818,3032,39815628,265
Mille-Îles PLQPLQ15,97838.74%4,64811.27%ADQPQ75.93%15,97811,15911,3301,1691,5119641,243
Mirabel PQADQ15,24144.43%3,55010.35%PQPLQ75.27%5,52011,69115,2416201,23334,305
Montmagny-L'Islet PLQADQ10,02243.35%1,1935.16%PLQPQ72.64%8,8293,51210,02231044523,118
Montmorency PLQADQ20,79651.55%11,67228.93%PLQPQ77.99%9,1248,17120,7967721,17215714940,341
Mont-Royal PLQPLQ16,05670.50%13,84960.81%PQADQ54.45%16,0562,2071,8938011,71010822,775
Nelligan PLQPLQ21,45863.82%15,36245.69%ADQPQ64.16%21,4582,9776,0965322,56033,623
Nicolet-Yamaska PQADQ10,83941.18%3,38412.86%PQPLQ77.73%6,7707,45510,8391,12113826,323
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce PLQPLQ14,07761.43%10,47245.70%PVQPQ58.52%14,0772,4251,6491,0913,6056922,916
Orford PLQPLQ13,05033.28%1,2523.19%ADQPQ74.08%13,05011,15811,7981,4041,79839,208
Outremont PLQPLQ11,86147.03%5,93323.52%PQPVQ62.69%11,8615,9282,2362,3032,7251016825,222
Papineau PLQPLQ13,55939.05%4,20612.11%PQADQ64.62%13,5599,3539,1151,0391,65434,720
Pointe-aux-Trembles PQPQ13,78447.30%6,07620.85%ADQPLQ72.92%5,31613,7847,7087631,25731129,139
Pontiac PLQPLQ14,81758.54%10,87442.96%ADQPQ56.53%14,8173,2573,9437292,4986625,310
Portneuf PLQADQ15,49645.92%4,63513.73%PLQPQ77.53%10,8615,66715,4965801,14533,749
Prévost PQADQ15,99939.31%8081.99%PQPLQ72.26%7,92915,19115,9991,57840,697
René-Lévesque PQPQ12,16051.78%5,51823.50%ADQPLQ68.61%3,72312,1606,64242653323,484
Richelieu PQPQ11,41138.03%1,9986.66%ADQPLQ75.11%7,27511,4119,41377898614530,008
Richmond PLQPLQ11,25742.32%3,07811.57%ADQPQ74.52%11,2575,4858,17974680512926,601
Rimouski PQPQ12,92540.58%3,53111.09%ADQPLQ74.26%6,98812,9259,3941,89465131,852
Rivière-du-Loup ADQADQ15,27658.47%7,88630.18%PLQPQ78.27%7,3902,82115,27663926,126
Robert-Baldwin PLQPLQ22,13274.76%18,89063.81%ADQPVQ58.62%22,1321,5813,2425142,13629,605
Roberval PLQPQ13,50641.75%2,3657.31%PLQADQ72.70%11,14113,5066,6381,06532,350
Rosemont PQPQ14,14638.60%4,17511.39%PLQADQ70.86%9,97114,1466,9363,4331,93123136,648
Rousseau PQPQ14,67041.78%1,4104.02%ADQPLQ69.03%5,40214,67013,26078999235,113
Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue PLQPQ9,48133.11%1290.45%PLQADQ68.17%9,3529,4817,6872,11728,637
Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques PQPQ10,50141.34%4,48017.64%PLQQS60.86%6,02110,5012,7333,5962,4609225,403
Saint-François PLQPLQ12,52837.86%2,7408.28%PQADQ73.80%12,5289,7887,8921,1111,77233,091
Saint-Henri-Sainte-Anne PLQPLQ11,91538.49%2,7538.89%PQADQ61.04%11,9159,1625,4222,0372,17924430,959
Saint-Hyacinthe PQADQ13,23335.73%1,3183.56%PQPLQ76.36%9,58411,91513,2331,0341,26737,033
Saint-Jean PLQADQ17,18942.22%5,27312.95%PQPLQ75.03%10,13111,91617,1891,47840,714
Saint-Laurent PLQPLQ19,97067.81%16,54256.17%PQADQ57.87%19,9703,4283,3738561,68114129,449
Saint-Maurice PQADQ9,78837.72%1,2944.99%PQPLQ72.57%6,4878,4949,78879638725,952
Shefford PLQADQ16,64342.11%5,74614.54%PLQPQ73.06%10,8979,28016,6431,3101,17821039,518
Sherbrooke PLQPLQ13,13636.56%1,3323.71%PQADQ74.23%13,13611,8046,4092,2632,20311535,930
Soulanges PLQPLQ10,68936.03%1,4774.98%ADQPQ73.95%10,6897,8219,2124421,38911329,666
Taillon PQPQ14,04035.47%1,4523.67%ADQPLQ71.83%9,10414,04012,5881,8731,97739,582
Taschereau PQPQ12,34037.10%3,1789.56%ADQPLQ70.54%7,07312,3409,1622,7411,8608133,257
Terrebonne PQADQ17,22441.26%2,0644.94%PQPLQ76.51%6,72015,16017,2241,1361,50841,748
Trois-Rivières PLQADQ10,24737.20%2,3858.66%PLQPQ73.49%7,8627,67210,24790773912127,548
Ungava PQPQ4,55541.41%9788.89%PLQADQ46.47%3,5774,5552,36350611,001
Vachon PQPQ11,56034.88%2270.68%ADQPLQ75.20%8,18411,56011,3337551,30933,141
Vanier PLQADQ20,69951.44%10,96627.25%PLQPQ76.36%9,7337,69420,6998591,14910340,237
Vaudreuil PLQPLQ15,46544.20%6,67819.08%ADQPQ72.58%15,4658,2178,7876861,83734,992
Verchères PQPQ13,81141.25%1,3163.93%ADQPLQ78.46%4,75113,81112,4951,0201,40733,484
Verdun PLQPLQ12,20440.94%3,51611.80%PQADQ64.45%12,2048,6885,2391,4301,8688029829,807
Viau PLQPLQ12,91751.92%7,51130.19%PQADQ59.33%12,9175,4064,1571,2311,16924,880
Vimont PLQPLQ14,93635.97%2,0384.91%ADQPQ76.13%14,93611,21512,8988711,60641,526
Westmount-Saint-Louis PLQPLQ13,36867.59%11,03755.80%PVQPQ49.23%13,3681,6461,5548072,3317319,779
  1. including spoilt ballots
  2. All parties with more than 1% of the vote are shown individually. Independent candidates and other minor parties are aggregated separately. Parties are presented in the order shown on EQ data.
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Seats that changed hands

Elections to the National Assembly – seats won/lost by party, 2003–2007
Party2003Gain from (loss to)2007
PLQPQADQ
Liberal 76(6)(22)48
Parti Québécois 456(15)36
Action démocratique 4221541
Total1252815(6)(37)125

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place [19]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
LibPQADQQSPVQ
Liberal 1926348
Parti Québécois 1420236
Action démocratique 182341
Total32424623125
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party [19]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
  Liberal 483245
  Action démocratique 41463242
  Parti Québécois 3642443
  Green 337626
  Québec solidaire 214278
  Independent 4


Resulting composition of the National Assembly (2007) [21]
SourceParty
LibPQADQTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned3725466
Open seats held9514
Open seat held - taken by previous incumbent from another riding11
Byelection losses reversed11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated63238
Open seats gained44
Byelection gains held11
Total483641125

Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests

Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2007)
Riding1st2nd1st vs 2nd
Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue 33.11%32.66%0.45%
Crémazie 36.00%36.51%0.49%
Johnson 36.02%35.46%0.56%
Vachon 34.88%34.20%0.68%
Mégantic-Compton 32.98%32.12%0.86%
Matane 35.42%33.21%1.06%
Louis-Hébert 39.10%38.04%1.96%
Prévost 39.31%37.33%1.99%
Joliette 37.08%35.07%2.01%
Fabre 34.86%31.98%2.88%
Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2007)
Riding1st2nd3rd1st vs 3rd
Mégantic-Compton 32.98%32.12%28.99%3.99%
Orford 33.28%30.09%28.46%4.82%
La Prairie 33.79%30.79%28.64%5.15%
Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue 33.11%32.66%26.84%6.27%
Laval-des-Rapides 34.41%29.96%27.89%6.52%
Fabre 34.86%31.98%26.77%8.09%
Vimont 35.97%31.06%27.01%8.96%
Louis-Hébert 34.54%32.59%25.00%9.54%
Soulanges 36.03%31.05%26.36%9.67%
Marguerite-D'Youville 37.07%31.05%27.20%9.87%

Opinion polls

Polling FirmLast Date of PollingLink Liberal Parti Québécois Action démocratique Québec solidaire Green (PVQ) Other
Angus Reid Strategies March 24, 2007

PDF

312930560
Léger Marketing March 24, 2007

PDF

352926451
CROP March 22, 2007

PDF

342825580
Strategic CounselMarch 21, 2007

HTML

303128560
Strategic CounselMarch 16, 2007

PDF

303226570
Léger MarketingMarch 15, 2007

PDF

333030340
SES March 14–15, 2007

HTML

26241545(26 Unsure)
CROPMarch 13, 2007

PDF

303031441
CROPMarch 8, 2007

PDF

332926660
Léger MarketingMarch 1, 2007

PDF

362925550
Léger MarketingFebruary 24, 2007

PDF

372823660
CROPFebruary 20, 2007 PDF 3532185100
CROPFebruary 15, 2007 HTML 353319580
Léger MarketingFebruary 10, 2007

PDF

363121552
Léger MarketingJanuary 28, 2007 PDF 343224550
CROPJanuary 28, 2007 HTML 373412481
Léger MarketingDecember 5, 2006 PDF 363520760
Environics October, 2006 HTML 315012340
CROPSeptember 24, 2006 HTML 373712491
CROPAugust 28, 2006 HTML 323713792
Léger MarketingJune 25, 2006 PDF 373317670
CROPJune 25, 2006 HTML 323516791
Léger MarketingApril 30, 2006 PDF [ permanent dead link ]293415877
Léger MarketingMarch 12, 2006 PDF 324311680

See also

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References

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Further reading