2011 Canadian federal election in Quebec

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2011 Canadian federal election in Quebec
Flag of Quebec.svg
  2008 May 2, 2011 (2011-05-02) 2015  

All 75 Quebec seats in the House of Commons of Canada
Opinion polls
Registered6,130,307
Turnout3,801,690 (62%) [1]
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Jack Layton, Leaders Tour - Tournee du Chef - Winnipeg Rally (5628700843) (cropped).jpg
Victoria, BC Liberal Town Hall Forum public liberal.jpg
Stephen Harper by Remy Steinegger Infobox.jpg
Leader Jack Layton Michael Ignatieff Stephen Harper
Party New Democratic Liberal Conservative
Leader since January 25, 2003 May 2, 2009 March 20, 2004
Last election1 seats, 12.2%14 seats, 23.8%10 seats, 21.7%
Seats before11411
Seats won5975
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 58Decrease2.svg 7Decrease2.svg 6
Popular vote1,630,865 538 447627 961
Percentage42.9%14.2%16.5%
SwingIncrease2.svg 30.7  pp Decrease2.svg 9.6  pp Decrease2.svg 5.2  pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
  Gilles Duceppe 2011-04-01 (cropped).jpg
Elizabeth May 2a.jpg
Leader Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
Party Bloc Québécois Green
Leader since March 15, 1997 August 27, 2006
Last election49 seats, 38.1%0 seat, 3.5%
Seats before470
Seats won40
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 43Steady2.svg 0
Popular vote891,42580 402
Percentage23.4%2.1%
SwingDecrease2.svg 14.7  pp Decrease2.svg 1.4 pp

Prime Minister before election

Stephen Harper
Conservative

Prime Minister after election

Stephen Harper
Conservative

In the 2011 Canadian federal election, there were 75 members of Parliament elected to the House of Commons from the province of Quebec, making up 24.4% of all members of the House.

Contents

Background

Timeline

Changes in Quebec seats held (2008–2011)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup May 21, 2009 Paul Crête   Bloc Québécois Resigned to run in provincial Rivière-du-Loup by-election.November 9, 2009 Bernard Généreux   Conservative
Hochelaga September 16, 2009 Réal Ménard   Bloc Québécois Resigned to run in Montreal municipal election.November 9, 2009 Daniel Paillé   Bloc Québécois
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia October 22, 2010 Jean-Yves Roy   Bloc Québécois Resigned due to health issues Vacant

Opinion Polling

Predictions

Opinion polling the election campaign Intentions de vote au Quebec (Campagne de 2011, federal).svg
Opinion polling the election campaign
Opinion polling from 2008 to 2011 Intentions de vote au Quebec (2008-2011, federal).svg
Opinion polling from 2008 to 2011

Results

Summary

Quebec summary seat results in the 2011 Canadian federal election [2] [3]
PartyVotesVote %Vote +/-SeatsSeat +/-
New Democratic 1 630 865
42.9%
Increase2.svg 30.7pp
59 / 75(79%)
Increase2.svg 58
Liberal 538 447
14.2%
Decrease2.svg 9.6pp
7 / 75(9%)
Decrease2.svg 7
Conservative 627 961
16.5%
Decrease2.svg 5.2pp
5 / 75(7%)
Decrease2.svg 6
Bloc Québécois 891 425
23.4%
Decrease2.svg 14.7pp
4 / 75(5%)
Decrease2.svg 43
Green 80 402
2.1%
Decrease2.svg 1.4pp
0 / 75(0%)
Steady2.svg 0
Independent 23,819
0.6%
pp
0 / 75(0%)
Decrease2.svg 1
Other8,771
0.2%
pp
0 / 75(0%)
Steady2.svg 0
Total3,801,690
100%
75 / 75(100%)
Increase2.svg 1 [a]

Comparison with national results

Results by party
PartyPopular vote %Seats in caucus
QCNatl. avg.diff.
New Democratic 42.930.6+12.6
59 / 103(57%)
Liberal 14.218.9-4.7
7 / 34(21%)
Conservative 16.539.6-23.1
5 / 166(3%)
Bloc Québécois 23.46.0+17.4
4 / 4(100%)
Green 2.13.9-1.8
0 / 1(0%)
 Total
75 / 308(24%)

New Democratic Party surge

The 2011 election saw the NDP massively increase their support, coming in second place nationally for the first time in their history. The surge in support began in Quebec, a province where the party had only ever won two seats before (Chambly in a 1990 by-election, and Outremont in a 2007 by-election), and only won 12.2% of the vote and a single seat in the previous election. [4] [5] The NDP surprised many observers by surpassing the Bloc in Quebec, which had dominated federal elections in Quebec since its formation in the early 1990s. The NDP surge became the dominant narrative of the last week of the campaign, as other parties turned their attacks on the party. [6] Ruth Ellen Brosseau, the NDP candidate in Berthier—Maskinongé, won despite not running a campaign, barely speaking French at this time and being on holiday in Las Vegas at the time of the election. [7] The NDP's rise in popularity was nicknamed Orange Crush, an allusion to the soft drink with the same name and the party's colour. It was also nicknamed the Orange Wave. [8]

See also

Notes

  1. 1 seat was vacant at the dissolution of Parliament

References

  1. https://www.elections.ca/scripts/ovr2011/default.html
  2. https://www.elections.ca/scripts/ovr2011/default.html
  3. "2011 Canadian Election Results". www.sfu.ca. Retrieved June 14, 2025.
  4. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/chambly-borduas-1.879817
  5. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/mulcair-clinches-outremont-for-ndp-1.730810
  6. https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/surging-ndp-support-changes-campaign-dynamic-1.1101061
  7. Bureau, Andrew Chung Quebec (April 28, 2011). "In French-speaking riding, NDP candidate speaks little French". Toronto Star. Retrieved June 15, 2025.{{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  8. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/ndp-new-democrat-jagmeet-singh-quebec-1.5336302