2025 Canadian federal election in Prince Edward Island

2025 Canadian federal election in Prince Edward Island

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All 4 Prince Edward Island seats in the House of Commons
Registered	123,822
Turnout	97,046 (78.38%) [1]
First party Second party Third party   Leader Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Jagmeet Singh Party Liberal Conservative New Democratic Leader since March 9, 2025 September 10, 2022 October 1, 2017 Last election 4 seats, 46.2% 0 seats, 31.6% 0 seats, 9.2% Seats before 4 0 0 Seats won 4 0 0 Seat change 0 0 0 Popular vote 55,830 35,798 2,417 Percentage 57.5% 36.9% 2.5% Swing 11.3% 5.3% 6.7%
Prime minister before election Mark Carney Liberal Prime minister after election Mark Carney Liberal

In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 4 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Prince Edward Island (1.17% of all members).

2022 electoral redistribution

The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats. Prince Edward Island's seat allocation stayed the same at 4 seats. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Prince Edward Island is 38,583 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 69,265 less people per electoral district than the national average. ^[2]

Timeline

See also: By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament

Predictions

See also: Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	LPC	CPC	NDP	GPC	PPC	Others	Margin of error [a]	Sample size [b]	Polling method [c]	Lead
Narrative Research	August 18, 2024	[3]	35	41	10	13	1	0	± 2.6 pp	300	Telephone	6

Results

Summary

Prince Edward Island summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal election

Party		Votes	Vote %	Vote +/-	Seats	Seat +/-
	Liberal	55,830	57.5%	11.3pp	4 / 4 (100%)	0
	Conservative	35,798	36.9%	5.3pp	0 / 4 (0%)	0
	New Democratic	2,417	2.5%	6.7pp	0 / 4 (0%)	0
	Green	2,158	2.2%	7.4pp	0 / 4 (0%)	0
	People's	439	0.4%	2.8pp	0 / 10 (0%)	0
	Independents	404	0.4%	0.2pp	0 / 4 (0%)	0
Total		97,046	100%	–	4 / 4 (100%)	0

^[1]

Comparison with national results

Results by party

Party		Popular vote %			Seats in caucus
		PE	Natl.	diff.
	Liberal	57.5	43.7	+13.8	4 / 169 (2%)
	Conservative	36.9	41.3	-4.4	0 / 144 (0%)
	New Democratic	2.5	6.3	-3.8	0 / 7 (0%)
	Green	2.2	1.2	+1.0	0 / 1 (0%)
	People's	0.4	0.7	-0.3	no caucus
	Total	–	–	–	4 / 343 (1%)

Notes

1. In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
2. Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
3. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

References

1. Canada, Elections. "Election Night Results - Provinces & Territories". enr.elections.ca.
2. "New House of Commons Seat Allocation" (Press release). Gatineau: Elections Canada. July 8, 2022. Archived from the original on July 8, 2022. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
3. https://narrativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/24-3-Federal-Voting-Intentions-FINAL.pdf<ref name="AC"