2023 Prince Edward Island general election

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2023 Prince Edward Island general election
Flag of Prince Edward Island.svg
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All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout68.5%Decrease2.svg [1]
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Dennis King meets with Erin O'Toole (cropped2).jpg
LIB
 Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
Leader Dennis King Sharon Cameron Peter Bevan-Baker
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal Green
Leader since 9 February 2019 19 November 2022 3 November 2012
Leader's seat Brackley-Hunter River Ran in New Haven-Rocky Point (lost) New Haven-Rocky Point
Last election13 seats, 36.73% [lower-alpha 1] 6 seats, 29.40%8 seats, 30.56%
Seats before1548
Seats won2232
Seat changeIncrease2.svg7Decrease2.svg1Decrease2.svg6
Popular vote41,82812,87616,134
Percentage55.92%17.21%21.57%
SwingIncrease2.svg19.19%Decrease2.svg12.19%Decrease2.svg8.99%
2023 PEI General Election Map.svg
2023 PEI Polls Map.svg
Premier before election

Dennis King
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Dennis King
Progressive Conservative

The 2023 Prince Edward Island general election was held to elect the members of the 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island on 3 April 2023. [2] The election normally required by 2 October under Prince Edward Island's fixed election date legislation was called early by Premier Dennis King at his nomination meeting on 6 March. [2]

Contents

The Progressive Conservatives under incumbent Premier Dennis King won a majority government, gaining a combined seven seats from the Liberal and Green parties. The Liberals won three seats and became the Official Opposition, replacing the Greens who held two of their seats; [3] however, newly acclaimed Liberal leader Sharon Cameron challenged Green leader Peter Bevan-Baker for his own seat and lost, placing third behind Bevan-Baker and the PC candidate. [4] Following the election, Cameron and Bevan-Baker resigned as leaders of their respective parties. [5] [6]

The New Democratic Party ran candidates in all 27 districts, and the Island Party officially registered for the first time since the 2011 election, running candidates in 11 districts. [7] Neither party elected any members to the Legislature. [8] Voter turnout of 68.5% was the province's lowest recorded for a general election since Elections PEI began keeping records in 1966. [1]

Background

Prince Edward Island's fixed election date legislation calls for a general election to be held prior to the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year subsequent to the previous general election, which would have required an election to be held by 2 October. [9] Instead, the election was called early for 3 April.

Timeline

Changes in MLAs

Changes in seats held (2019–2023)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Charlottetown-Winsloe 3 September 2020 Robert Mitchell █  Liberal Resigned from Legislature [21] 2 November 2020 [22] Zack Bell █  PC
Cornwall-Meadowbank 18 August 2021 Heath MacDonald █  Liberal Resigned to run in Malpeque in the 2021 Canadian federal election. [23] 15 November 2021 [24] [25] Mark McLane █  PC

Results

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results [26]
2023 Prince Edward Island Legislative Assembly.svg
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2019 Dissol. 2023Change#%Change
Progressive Conservative Dennis King 27131522+941,82855.92+19.19
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 25882–616,13421.57–8.99
Liberal Sharon Cameron 25643–312,87617.21–12.19
New Democratic Michelle Neill 2700003,3594.49+1.53
Island Cecile Sly (Ahava Kálnássy de Kálnás) [27] 1100004110.55+0.55
  Independent 400001840.25–0.09
Blank and invalid ballots
Total92 27 27 27 0100 0
Registered voters / turnout
Popular vote
PC
 
55.92%
Green
 
21.57%
Liberal
 
17.21%
New Democratic
 
4.49%
Others
 
0.80%
Seats summary
PC
 
81.48%
Liberal
 
11.11%
Green
 
7.41%

Synopsis of results

2023 PEI general election - synopsis of riding results, grouped by federal riding [a 1] [a 2]
Riding 2019 Winning partyTurnout
[a 3] 		Votes [a 4]
PartyVotesShareMargin
#		Margin
%		 PC Green Lib NDP Island IndTotal
Cardigan
Belfast-Murray River  PC PC1,51058.7%99038.5%65.8%1,510420520124––2,574
Georgetown-Pownal  PC PC1,96169.8%1,60957.3%73.0%1,9613523407978–2,810
Mermaid-Stratford  Grn PC1,24545.3%381.4%68.8%1,2451,20725443––2,749
Montague-Kilmuir  PC PC1,84770.2%1,46855.8%66.7%1,8473792713838582,631
Morell-Donagh  PC PC1,89970.6%1,55057.6%68.1%1,89934928211544–2,689
Souris-Elmira  PC PC1,59355.4%83629.1%75.8%1,5937574812916–2,876
Stanhope-Marshfield  PC PC2,20979.6%1,64359.2%65.8%2,209––566––2,775
Stratford-Keppoch  PC PC1,47952.3%63222.4%72.0%1,47984747132––2,829
Malpeque
Borden-Kinkora  PC PC1,71960.1%72425.3%67.7%1,719995–8361–2,858
Brackley-Hunter River  PC PC1,90368.2%1,42050.9%70.2%1,90348332183––2,790
Cornwall-Meadowbank  Lib PC1,75054.8%97530.6%68.4%1,75077561160––3,196
Kensington-Malpeque  PC PC2,29476.6%1,83161.1%70.7%2,29446316967––2,993
New Haven-Rocky Point  Grn Grn1,45742.8%1063.2%75.4%1,3511,4575024949–3,408
Rustico-Emerald  PC PC1,99062.5%1,43144.9%70.8%1,990559532102––3,183
Charlottetown
Charlottetown-Belvedere  Grn PC1,41851.1%77928.1%66.7%1,41863956013325–2,775
Charlottetown-Brighton  Grn PC1,17143.0%30711.3%68.4%1,171864487202––2,724
Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park  PC PC1,66061.9%1,13742.4%63.2%1,66052335212521–2,681
Charlottetown-Victoria Park  Grn Grn1,05242.0%743.0%60.8%9781,05229315032–2,505
Charlottetown-West Royalty  Lib Lib1,20745.1%1656.2%64.2%1,0423011,2076328362,677
Charlottetown-Winsloe  Lib PC1,86160.6%1,30842.6%71.4%1,86155354078–413,073
Egmont
Alberton-Bloomfield  PC PC1,53257.6%63623.9%73.6%1,532132896102––2,662
Evangeline-Miscouche  Lib PC1,38461.7%84137.5%69.4%1,38427154345––2,243
O'Leary-Inverness  Lib Lib89437.2%1566.5%71.2%73872894702––2,406
Summerside-South Drive  Green PC1,37853.3%63924.7%57.7%1,37873939770––2,584
Summerside-Wilmot  Green PC1,65156.7%67023.0%66.8%1,6519812144519–2,910
Tignish-Palmer Road  Lib Lib1,52758.7%58822.6%75.5%939–1,527137––2,603
Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke  Green PC1,32651.2%36214.0%64.9%1,32696421237–492,588
  1. ↑ "2023 Province-Wide Summary". electionspei.ca. Elections PEI. Archived from the original on 19 April 2023. Retrieved 19 April 2023.
  2. ↑ Neatby, Stu (5 April 2023). "P.E.I.'s 2023 election turnout was lowest in decades and there are no easy answers as to why". SaltWire .
  3. ↑ including spoilt ballots
  4. ↑ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = other incumbent renominated
Resulting composition of the 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island
SourceParty
PCLibGrnTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned113216
Open seats held22
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated44
Open seats gained33
Byelection gains held22
Total223227

Seats changing hands

MLAs who lost their seats

PartyNameRidingYear electedSeat held by party sinceDefeated byParty
Green Michele Beaton Mermaid-Stratford 2019 2019 Jenn Redmond Progressive Conservative
Steve Howard Summerside-South Drive 2019 2019 Barb Ramsay
Lynne Lund Summerside-Wilmot 2019 2019 Tyler DesRoches
Trish Altass Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke 2019 2019 Hilton MacLennan

Open seats changing hands

Party in 2019CandidateRetiring incumbentConstituencyDefeated byParty
Green Joanna Morrison Hannah Bell Charlottetown-Belvedere Susie Dillon Progressive Conservative
Janice Harper Ole Hammarlund Charlottetown-Brighton Rob Lantz
Liberal Pat MacLellan Sonny Gallant Evangeline-Miscouche Gilles Arsenault

Incumbent MLAs who did not seek re-election

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the 2023 provincial election (Ole Hammarlund lost a contested nomination for his seat):

Retiring incumbentElectoral districtSubsequent party nomineeElected MLA
  Colin LaVie Progressive Conservative Souris-Elmira Robin Croucher Robin Croucher
  James Aylward Progressive Conservative Stratford-Keppoch Jill Burridge Jill Burridge
  Hannah Bell Green Charlottetown-Belvedere Joanna Morrison Susie Dillon
  Ole Hammarlund Green Charlottetown-Brighton Janice Harper Rob Lantz
  Sonny Gallant Liberal Evangeline-Miscouche Pat MacLellan Gilles Arsenault

Candidates

Cardigan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCGreenLiberalNDPIslandIndependent
4. Belfast-Murray River   Darlene Compton Laverne MacInnesKatherine BrysonMichelle Hodgson  Darlene Compton
2. Georgetown-Pownal   Steven Myers Patrick BrothersAllister VeinotEdith PerryLucy Robbins  Steven Myers
5. Mermaid-Stratford   Jenn Redmond Michele Beaton Gail MacDonaldLawrence Millar Michele Beaton
3. Montague-Kilmuir   Cory Deagle Norma DingwellNick SheppardRobert LethbridgeGary RobbinsAngela Barton  Cory Deagle
7. Morell-Donagh   Sidney MacEwen John Allen MacLeanTerry MacDonaldKevin TrainorChristopher Landry  Sidney MacEwen
1. Souris-Elmira   Robin Croucher Boyd LeardAmber DennisGordon GayAhava Kalnassy de Kalnas Colin LaVie†
8. Stanhope-Marshfield   Bloyce Thompson Marian White Bloyce Thompson
6. Stratford-Keppoch   Jill Burridge Lana Beth BarkhouseGreg ArsenaultOlalekam Faromika James Aylward†

Malpeque

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCGreenLiberalNDPIsland
19. Borden-Kinkora   Jamie Fox Matt MacFarlaneCarole MacFarlanePaul Smitz Jamie Fox
15. Brackley-Hunter River   Dennis King Greg BradleyNicole FordLeah-Jane Hayward Dennis King
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank   Mark McLane Tayte WillowsDon LearyLarry Hale Mark McLane
20. Kensington-Malpeque   Matthew MacKay Hunter GuindonRichard SchroeterMaggie Larocque Matthew MacKay
17. New Haven-Rocky Point Donalda Docherty  Peter Bevan-Baker Sharon Cameron Douglas DahnNeil Emery Peter Bevan-Baker
18. Rustico-Emerald   Brad Trivers Ranald MacFarlaneFlory SandersonDavid Wilson Brad Trivers

Charlottetown

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCGreenLiberalNDPIslandIndependent
11. Charlottetown-Belvedere   Susie Dillon Joanna MorrisonMarcia CarrollAidin MousavianJayne McAskill  Hannah Bell†
13. Charlottetown-Brighton   Rob Lantz Janice HarperSandra Sunil Michelle Neill Ole Hammarlund†
(Lost re-nomination)
9. Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park   Natalie Jameson Adina NaultDellon PaulTristan MitchellCari Barbour Natalie Jameson
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Tim Keizer  Karla Bernard Barb MacLeod Joe Byrne Danni Moher  Karla Bernard
14. Charlottetown-West Royalty Kristi MacKayNick LeClair  Gord McNeilly Simone WebsterBill CannJessica Simmonds  Gord McNeilly
10. Charlottetown-Winsloe   Zack Bell Charles SandersonJudy HughesCampbell WebsterGeorgina Bassett  Zack Bell

Egmont

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCGreenLiberalNDPIslandIndependent
26. Alberton-Bloomfield   Ernie Hudson Ron McConnell Pat Murphy Kester Nurse  Ernie Hudson
24. Evangeline-Miscouche   Gilles Arsenault Jason CharettePat MacLellanCharles Turriff  Sonny Gallant†
25. O'Leary-Inverness Daniel MacDonaldRichard Lush  Robert Henderson Herb Dickieson   Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-South Drive   Barb Ramsay Steve Howard Nancy Beth GuptillKathryn Yule  Steve Howard
21. Summerside-Wilmot   Tyler DesRoches Lynne Lund Don ReidCassie MacKayEriena O'Reilly  Lynne Lund
27. Tignish-Palmer Road April Delaney  Hal Perry Gail Kinch  Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Sherbrooke   Hilton MacLennan Trish Altass Wayne CobbCarol RybinskiWayne Biggar  Trish Altass

Opinion polls

Opinion polling for the 67th provincial election (2023) of Prince Edward Island.svg

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Polling firmDate(s)
conducted		Link PC Green Liberal NDP Sample sizeLead
General election results3 April 202355.921.617.24.574,79234.3
Forum Research31 March 2023 [p 1] 472820442419
Mainstreet Research27 – 28 March 2023 [p 2] 50.421.922.35.496228.1
Mainstreet Research6 – 7 March 2023 [p 3] 58.914.323.23.651535.7
6 March 2023Dissolution of the 66th PEI General Assembly, campaign begins
Narrative Research13 February – 2 March 2023 [p 4] 492219942027
Narrative Research2 – 23 November 2022 [p 5] 492520440024
Narrative Research9 – 16 August 2022 [p 6] 552218430033
Narrative Research4 – 24 May 2022 [p 7] 502120830029
Narrative Research9 – 22 February 2022 [p 8] 661514430051
Narrative Research3 – 28 November 2021 [p 9] 511921860030
Narrative Research9 – 25 August 2021 [p 10] 482817760020
Narrative Research18 – 28 May 2021 [p 11] 532319460030
Narrative Research2 – 16 February 2021 [p 12] 542117430033
Narrative Research11 – 29 November 2020 [p 13] 611819230042
Narrative Research4 – 19 August 2020 [p 14] 482523430123
Narrative Research29 April – 17 May 2020 [p 12] 572222121632
MQO Research3 – 10 March 2020 [p 15] 412924628312
Narrative Research3 – 19 February 2020 [p 16] 452821620717
Narrative Research1 – 22 November 2019 [p 17] 38292666009
Narrative Research1 – 22 August 2019 [p 18] 45371613009
MQO Research31 July – 6 August 2019 [p 19] 40322324008
Narrative Research6 – 23 May 2019 [p 20] 43361733007
General election results 23 April 201936.730.629.43.080,3295.9
Polling firmDate(s)
conducted		LinkSample
size		Lead
PC Green Liberal NDP

Notes

  1. ↑ Includes results from the deferred election in Charlottetown-Hillsborough Park.

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References

  1. 1 2 Yarr, Kevin (4 April 2023). "Low P.E.I. voter turnout 'cynical response to an early election call'". CBC News. Archived from the original on 6 April 2023. Retrieved 6 April 2023.
  2. 1 2 3 MacKay, Cody (6 March 2023). "King makes it official: Prince Edward Island election to be held April 3". CBC News. Archived from the original on 7 March 2023. Retrieved 6 March 2023.
  3. ↑ MacKay, Cody (3 April 2023). "Dennis King promises humility, kindness after winning 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. Retrieved 6 April 2023.
  4. ↑ MacLean, Logan (3 April 2023). "P.E.I. Liberal Leader Sharon Cameron finishes third in New Haven-Rocky Point". Saltwire. Retrieved 6 April 2023.
  5. ↑ MacKay, Cody (6 April 2023). "P.E.I. Liberal Leader Sharon Cameron stepping down". CBC News. Retrieved 6 April 2023.
  6. ↑ "'It's hard on you': Peter Bevan-Baker resigning as leader of P.E.I.'s Green Party". CBC. 17 June 2023. Archived from the original on 19 September 2024. Retrieved 17 July 2023.
  7. ↑ Thibodeau, Wayne (27 March 2023). "Island Party leader says accountability front and centre for new political party". CBC News. Retrieved 5 April 2023.
  8. ↑ Jenkins, Alison (4 April 2023). "P.E.I.'s Island Party claims sliver of popular vote in first showing since 2011". Saltwire. Archived from the original on 4 April 2023. Retrieved 5 April 2023.
  9. ↑ "Elections Act". www.princeedwardisland.ca. 22 December 2017. Archived from the original on 5 August 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  10. ↑ "Wade MacLauchlan to step down as P.E.I. Liberal leader after third-place finish". Global News. Archived from the original on 3 November 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  11. ↑ Davis, Tony (8 May 2019). "P.E.I. Liberal Party names Robert Mitchell interim leader". CBC News. Archived from the original on 18 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  12. ↑ "Tory Leader Dennis King sworn in as 33rd premier of Prince Edward Island". National Post. 9 May 2019. Retrieved 24 September 2020.
  13. ↑ Goodwin, Natalia (17 June 2019). "Premier drops writ for District 9 deferred election". CBC News. Archived from the original on 18 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  14. ↑ Davis, Tony (6 July 2019). "Advance voting opens for P.E.I.'s deferred District 9 election". CBC News . Archived from the original on 1 October 2020. Retrieved 8 July 2019.
  15. ↑ "P.E.I. PC candidate wins provincial seat in deferred election". Global News. Archived from the original on 15 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  16. ↑ "Mitchell stepping down as interim P.E.I. Liberal leader". CBC News. 9 September 2019. Archived from the original on 18 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  17. ↑ Davis, Tony (16 September 2019). "Sonny Gallant named interim leader of P.E.I. Liberal Party". CBC News. Archived from the original on 18 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  18. ↑ "Joe Byrne resigns as leader of P.E.I. NDP". www.theguardian.pe.ca. 2 September 2020. Archived from the original on 3 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  19. ↑ MacLean, Logan. "P.E.I.'s NDP chooses Michelle Neill as new leader at convention attended by Jagmeet Singh | SaltWire". www.saltwire.com. Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 1 May 2022.
  20. ↑ "Sharon Cameron to be acclaimed as leader of P.E.I. Liberals". The Salt Wire. 7 October 2022. Archived from the original on 7 October 2022. Retrieved 7 October 2022.
  21. ↑ Neatby, Stu (3 September 2020). "P.E.I. Liberal MLA Robert Mitchell resigns". www.theguardian.pe.ca. Archived from the original on 4 September 2020. Retrieved 4 September 2020.
  22. ↑ Neatby, Stu. "Zack Bell wins byelection in Charlottetown-Winsloe". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 30 November 2020. Retrieved 23 January 2021.
  23. ↑ Chang, Arturo (18 August 2021). "Heath MacDonald officially resigns as MLA to run in federal election". CBC News. Archived from the original on 5 September 2021. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
  24. ↑ Thibodeau, Wayne (18 October 2021). "Premier Dennis King says timing right for Cornwall-Meadowbank byelection". CBC News. Archived from the original on 19 October 2021. Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  25. ↑ Chang, Arturo (15 November 2021). "PC's Mark McLane unofficial winner of Cornwall-Meadowbank byelection". CBC News. Archived from the original on 16 November 2021. Retrieved 15 November 2021.
  26. ↑ "2023 Election Unofficial Results". Elections PEI. Archived from the original on 13 April 2023. Retrieved 10 April 2023.
  27. ↑ "Registered Political Parties". Elections PEI. Retrieved 11 March 2023.

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "King on track for majority win" (PDF). Forum Research. 2 April 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2023.
  2. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - PEI" (PDF). 1 April 2023. Retrieved 1 April 2023.
  3. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - PEI". 9 March 2023. Archived from the original on 10 March 2023. Retrieved 9 March 2023.
  4. ↑ "PEI: Satisfaction with King government remains strong in PEI". Narrative Research. 1 December 2022. Archived from the original on 7 March 2023. Retrieved 7 March 2023.
  5. ↑ "Satisfaction with King government has declined, but still remains strong in PEI". Narrative Research. 1 December 2022. Archived from the original on 1 December 2022. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  6. ↑ Edmunds, Tal (30 August 2022). "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high and has rebounded after a dip last quarter". Narrative Research. Archived from the original on 30 August 2022. Retrieved 30 August 2022.
  7. ↑ Edmunds, Tal (26 May 2022). "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high but has declined in the past three months". Narrative Research. Archived from the original on 30 August 2022. Retrieved 30 August 2022.
  8. ↑ "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high and on par with three months ago". Narrative Research. 2 March 2022. Archived from the original on 4 March 2022. Retrieved 4 March 2022.
  9. ↑ "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high and on par with three months ago" (PDF). Narrative Research. 30 November 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 30 November 2021. Retrieved 30 November 2021.
  10. ↑ "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high despite decline in the last six months" (PDF). Narrative Research. 22 September 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 23 September 2021. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
  11. ↑ "Satisfaction with PEI's King government remains high" (PDF). Narrative Research. 3 June 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 3 June 2021. Retrieved 4 June 2021.
  12. 1 2 "Support and satisfaction remain high for PEI's King government" (PDF). Narrative Research. 9 March 2021.[ permanent dead link ]
  13. ↑ "Support and satisfaction remain high for PEI's King government" (PDF). Narrative Research. 8 December 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  14. ↑ "Poll" (PDF). Narrative Research. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  15. ↑ "Winter 2020 Provincial Report Prince Edward Island" (PDF). MQO Research. March 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 15 September 2020. Retrieved 13 March 2020.
  16. ↑ "Islanders express continued and climbing levels of satisfaction with PEI government" (PDF). Narrative Research. 12 March 2020.[ permanent dead link ]
  17. ↑ "King's PC government ends the year on a highly satisfied note according to Islanders" (PDF). Narrative Research. 10 December 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 7 January 2022. Retrieved 7 January 2022.
  18. ↑ "Satisfaction with performance of PEI government at 11-year high" (PDF). Narrative Research. 17 September 2019.[ permanent dead link ]
  19. ↑ "King's PCs lead P.E.I. political polling". The Guardian. 21 August 2019. Archived from the original on 23 August 2019. Retrieved 23 August 2019.
  20. ↑ "Support grows for new PC government of Premier Dennis King". Narrative Research. 13 June 2019. Archived from the original on 15 September 2020. Retrieved 14 June 2019.
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