2015 Prince Edward Island general election

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2015 Prince Edward Island general election
Flag of Prince Edward Island.svg
  2011 May 4, 2015 (2015-05-04) 2019  

All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout82.10%Increase2.svg [1]
 First partySecond party
  Wade MacLauchlan in DC (cropped).jpg RobLantz2015.jpg
Leader Wade MacLauchlan Rob Lantz
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since February 21, 2015 February 28, 2015
Leader's seat York-Oyster Bed Ran in Charlottetown-Brighton (lost)
Last election22 seats, 51.39%5 seats, 40.18%
Seats before203
Seats won188
Seat changeDecrease2.svg2Increase2.svg5
Popular vote33,48130,663
Percentage40.83%37.39%
SwingDecrease2.svg10.56pp Decrease2.svg2.79pp

 Third partyFourth party
  Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg MichaelRedmond2015.jpg
Leader Peter Bevan-Baker Michael Redmond
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since November 3, 2012 October 13, 2012
Leader's seat Kellys Cross-Cumberland Ran in Montague-Kilmuir (lost)
Last election0 seats, 4.36%0 seats, 3.16%
Seats before00
Seats won10
Seat changeIncrease2.svg1Steady2.svg
Popular vote8,8578,997
Percentage10.81%10.97%
SwingIncrease2.svg6.45pp Increase2.svg7.81pp

Prince Edward Island Election Map 2015.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via plurality results by each riding.

Premier before election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

Premier after election

Wade MacLauchlan
Liberal

The 2015 Prince Edward Island general election was held on May 4, 2015, to elect members of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island. [2] Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island in 2008, Prince Edward Island elections are usually held on the first Monday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless it is dissolved earlier by the lieutenant governor of Prince Edward Island due to a motion of no confidence, or at the request of the premier. The current government had hinted that an election would be held "before Mother's Day" 2015, and such a dissolution would avoid any conflicts with the next federal election, expected to be held in October 2015.

Contents

The governing Liberals were elected to a third consecutive majority government under Premier Wade MacLauchlan. At the same time, the Progressive Conservatives made slight gains despite party leader Rob Lantz failing to win the election in Charlottetown-Brighton. The Green Party, meanwhile, won its first seat in the legislature, with leader Peter Bevan-Baker elected in Kellys 'Cross-Cumberland. [3] The New Democratic Party was shut out.

Results

1881
LiberalProgressive ConservativeGP
Results of the election by polling division 2015 Prince Edward Island general election - Popular vote by polling division.svg
Results of the election by polling division
Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2011 Dissol. 2015Change#%Change
Liberal Wade MacLauchlan 27222018433,48140.83%10.55%
Progressive Conservative Rob Lantz 27538+330,66337.39%2.77%
Green Peter Bevan-Baker 24001+18,85710.81%+6.45%
New Democratic Michael Redmond 270008,99710.97%+7.81%
  Independent 010
 Vacant3--
Total10527272781,998
Popular vote
Liberal
40.83%
PC
37.39%
New Democratic
10.97%
Green
10.81%
Seats summary
Liberal
66.67%
PC
29.63%
Green
3.70%

Synopsis of results

2015 PEI general election - synopsis of riding results [a 1]
Riding#Federal
Riding
2011 Winning partyTurnout
[a 2]
Votes [a 3]
PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
Lib PC Green NDP Total
 
Alberton-Roseville 26EGM Lib Lib1,56953.7%40313.8%85.6%1,5691,1661882,923
Belfast-Murray River 4CAR Lib PC1,20345.1%1084.0%85.5%1,0951,2031522162,666
Borden-Kinkora 19MPQ Lib PC1,59747.1%44313.1%82.7%1,1541,5975111263,388
Charlottetown-Brighton [a 4] 13CHA Lib Lib1,05439.0%220.8%85.6%1,0541,0323522652,703
Charlottetown-Lewis Point 14CHA Lib Lib1,04034.3%1093.6%79.9%1,0408212449313,036
Charlottetown-Parkdale 11CHA Lib Lib1,16643.7%46717.5%79.9%1,1666995112922,668
Charlottetown-Sherwood 10CHA Lib Lib1,42545.8%39412.7%81.8%1,4251,0312953603,111
Charlottetown-Victoria Park 12CHA Lib Lib95539.4%28911.9%80.7%9556664563482,425
Cornwall-Meadowbank 16MPQ Lib Lib1,44446.3%38812.5%81.5%1,4441,0563772433,120
Evangeline-Miscouche 24EGM Lib Lib1,41962.6%83325.8%85.9%1,4195861251382,268
Georgetown-St. Peters 2CAR PC PC1,44848.0%2789.2%84.8%1,1701,4481452563,019
Kellys Cross-Cumberland 17MPQ Lib Grn2,07754.8%1,03127.2%85.2%1,0466092,077583,790
Kensington-Malpeque 20MPQ Lib PC1,98454.3%95126.0%82.3%1,0331,9843742643,655
Montague-Kilmuir 3CAR Lib Lib1,06041.8%27510.8%82.5%1,0607851065852,536
Morell-Mermaid 7CAR PC PC1,50150.0%38712.9%82.8%1,1141,5011772113,004
O'Leary-Inverness 25EGM Lib Lib1,31048.8%2478.9%81.2%1,3101,0633112,684
Rustico-Emerald 18MPQ Lib PC1,58547.2%43312.9%85.7%1,1521,5853252943,356
Souris-Elmira 1CAR PC PC1,17944.4%2288.6%86.2%9511,1795282,658
Stratford-Kinlock 6CAR PC PC2,15550.3%70216.4%81.4%1,4532,1553303504,288
Summerside-St. Eleanors 22EGM Lib Lib1,24641.2%1484.9%75.6%1,2461,0983213583,023
Summerside-Wilmot 21EGM Lib Lib1,13539.4%301.0%74.8%1,1351,1052853532,878
Tignish-Palmer Road 27EGM PC Lib1,48658.2%66826.1%87.6%1,486818167812,552
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park 8CHA Lib Lib1,35445.7%52817.9%76.6%1,3548262375492,966
Tyne Valley-Linkletter 23EGM Lib Lib1,14743.0%33712.7%77.8%1,1478102404732,670
Vernon River-Stratford 5CAR Lib Lib1,17341.3%83.3%1,1731,1732342582,838
West Royalty-Springvale 15CHA Lib Lib1,38937.6%591.6%82.1%1,3891,3304625163,697
York-Oyster Bed 9MPQ Lib Lib1,93847.7%60014.8%81.1%1,9381,3383474424,065
  1. "Section 4 - Summary of Election Results". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer for the Provincial General Election - May 4, 2015 (PDF). Elections Prince Edward Island. 2015. pp. 37, 40–93.{{cite book}}: |website= ignored (help)
  2. including spoilt ballots
  3. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  4. also an open seat
  = results as certified in a judicial recount
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbent changed allegiance
  = other incumbent renominated
  = tied for first place - settled by coin toss
Resulting composition of the 65th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island
SourceParty
LibPCGrnTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned12315
Incumbent returned on coin toss11
Open seats held415
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated112
Open seats gained33
Incumbent changing affiliation11
Total188127

Results by region

Regional summary of results (2015)
RegionSeats wonVote share (%)Change (pp)
LibPCGrnLibPCGrnNDPLibPCGrnNDPMajor swing
Cardigan 2538.1644.955.4511.44-4.38-4.73+2.13+9.38   6.88
Malpeque 23136.3338.2118.766.69-16.54+0.11+13.95+2.92   15.25
Charlottetown 740.6931.0812.4115.82-13.62-0.08+5.01+8.85   11.24
Egmont 749.0034.976.0110.01-8.01-3.92+3.27+9.18   8.60
Total188140.8337.3910.8110.98-10.55-2.77+6.45+7.82   9.19

Timeline

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Opinion polls

Voting intentions since the 2011 election. PEI voting intentions since the 2011 election.png
Voting intentions since the 2011 election.
Polling FirmLast date of pollingLink Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Corporate Research AssociatesApril 23, 2015 HTML 4435615
Abingdon ResearchApril 20, 2015 PDF 43271218
Corporate Research AssociatesFebruary 28, 2015 PDF 58264120
Corporate Research AssociatesNovember 25, 2014 PDF 5023111500
Corporate Research AssociatesSeptember 1, 2014 PDF 482871600
Corporate Research AssociatesMay 22, 2014 PDF 532332100
Corporate Research AssociatesFebruary 27, 2014 PDF 531772201
Corporate Research AssociatesNovember 27, 2013 PDF 491772601
Corporate Research AssociatesAugust 28, 2013 PDF 422333200
Corporate Research AssociatesMay 28, 2013 PDF 522252101
Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 2, 2013 PDF 511672600
Corporate Research AssociatesDecember 1, 2012 PDF 452852200
Corporate Research AssociatesAugust 31, 2012 PDF 423281800
Corporate Research AssociatesJune 4, 2012 PDF 472681811
Corporate Research AssociatesFebruary 26, 2012 PDF 503351100
Corporate Research AssociatesNovember 29, 2011 PDF 53344900
2011 election October 3, 201151.3840.164.363.160.910.02

Results

Cardigan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCGreenNDP
4. Belfast-Murray River Charlie McGeoghegan
1,095 - 41.1%
Darlene Compton
1,203 - 45.1%
Jordan MacPhee
152 - 5.7%
Alan Hicken
216 - 8.1%
 Charlie McGeoghegan
2. Georgetown-St. Peters Russ Stewart
1,170 - 38.8%
Steven Myers
1,448 - 48.0%
Heather Gallant
145 - 4.8%
Nathan Bushey
256 - 8.5%
 Steven Myers
3. Montague-Kilmuir Allen Roach
1,060 - 41.8%
Andrew Daggett
785 - 31.0%
Jason Furness
106 - 4.2%
Mike Redmond
585 - 23.1%
 Allen Roach
7. Morell-Mermaid Daniel MacDonald
1,114 - 37.1%
Sidney MacEwen
1,501 - 50.0%
Meaghan Lister
177 - 5.9%
Edith Perry
211 - 7.0%
  Olive Crane
1. Souris-Elmira Tommy Kickham
951 - 35.8%
Colin LaVie
1,179 - 44.4%
 Susan Birt
528 - 19.9%
Colin LaVie
6. Stratford-Kinlock David Dunphy
1,453 - 33.9%
James Aylward
2,155 - 50.3%
Samantha Saunders
330 - 7.7%
Chris van Ouwerkerk
350 - 8.2%
James Aylward
5. Vernon River-Stratford* Alan McIsaac *
1,173 - 41.3%
Mary Ellen McInnis*
1,173 - 41.3%
Nicholas Graveline
234 - 8.2%
Kathleen Romans
258 - 9.1%
Alan McIsaac

Malpeque

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCGreenNDP
19. Borden-Kinkora Ramona Roberts
1,154 - 34.1%
Jamie Fox
1,597 - 47.1%
Ranald MacFarlane
511 - 15.1%
Aleida Tweten
126 - 3.7%
George Webster
16. Cornwall-Meadowbank Heath MacDonald
1,444 - 46.3%
Michael Drake
1,056 - 33.8%
Rosalyn Abbott
377 - 12.1%
Jennifer Coughlin
243 - 7.8%
Ron MacKinley
17. Kellys Cross-Cumberland Valerie Docherty
1,046 - 27.6%
Randy Robar
609 - 16.1%
Peter Bevan-Baker
2,077 - 54.8%
Jesse Cousins
58 - 1.5%
Valerie Docherty
20. Kensington-Malpeque Paul Montgomery
1,033 - 28.3%
Matthew MacKay
1,984 - 54.3%
Lynne Lund
374 - 10.2%
Joseph Larkin
264 - 7.2%
Vacant
18. Rustico-Emerald Bertha Campbell
1,152 - 34.3%
Brad Trivers
1,585 - 47.2%
Marianne Janowicz
325 - 9.7%
Leah-Jane Hayward
294 - 8.8%
Carolyn Bertram
9. York-Oyster Bed Wade MacLauchlan
1,938 - 47.7%
Jim "Benson" Carragher
1,338 - 32.9%
Thane Bernard
347 - 8.5%
Gordon Gay
442 - 10.9%
Vacant

Charlottetown

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCGreenNDP
13. Charlottetown-Brighton Jordan Brown
1,054 - 39.0%
Rob Lantz
1,032 - 38.2%
Derrick Biso
352 - 13.0%
Bob MacLean
265 - 9.8%
Vacant
14. Charlottetown-Lewis Point Kathleen Casey
1,040 - 34.3%
Dianne Young
821 - 27.0%
Doug Millington
244 - 8.0%
Gord McNeilly
931 - 30.7%
 Kathleen Casey
11. Charlottetown-Parkdale Doug Currie
1,166 - 43.7%
Lynn MacLaren
699 - 26.2%
Becka Viau
511 - 19.2%
Andrew Watts
292 - 10.9%
 Doug Currie
10. Charlottetown-Sherwood Robert Mitchell
1,425 - 45.8%
Mike Gillis
1,031 - 33.1%
Mitchell Gallant
295 - 9.5%
Karalee McAskill
360 - 11.6%
 Robert Mitchell
12. Charlottetown-Victoria Park Richard Brown
955 - 39.4%
Joey Kitson
666 - 27.5%
Darcie Lanthier
456 - 18.8%
Chris Clay
348 - 14.4%
 Richard Brown
8. Tracadie-Hillsborough Park Buck Watts
1,354 - 45.7%
Darren Creamer
826 - 27.8%
Isaac Williams
237 - 8.0%
Jason Murray
549 - 18.5%
Buck Watts
15. West Royalty-Springvale Bush Dumville
1,389 - 37.6%
Linda Clements
1,330 - 36.0%
Charles Sanderson
462 - 12.5%
Peter Meggs
516 - 14.0%
Bush Dumville

Egmont

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCGreenNDP
26. Alberton-Roseville Pat Murphy
1,569 - 53.7%
John Griffin
1,166 - 39.9%
 Orville Lewis
188 - 6.4%
 Pat Murphy
24. Evangeline-Miscouche Sonny Gallant
1,419 - 62.6%
Debbie Montgomery
586 - 25.8%
Jordan Cameron
125 - 5.5%
Grant Gallant
138 - 6.1%
 Sonny Gallant
25. O'Leary-Inverness Robert Henderson
1,310 - 48.8%
Daniel MacDonald
1,063 - 39.6%
 Billy Mackendrick
311 - 11.6%
 Robert Henderson
22. Summerside-St. Eleanors Tina Mundy
1,246 - 41.2%
Major Stewart
1,098 - 36.3%
Caleb Adams
321 - 10.6%
Olivia Wood
358 - 11.8%
  Gerard Greenan
21. Summerside-Wilmot Janice Sherry
1,135 - 39.4%
Brian Ramsay
1,105 - 38.4%
Donald MacFadzen-Reid
285 - 9.9%
Scott Gaudet
353 - 12.3%
 Janice Sherry
27. Tignish-Palmer Road Hal Perry
1,486 - 58.2%
Joseph Profit
818 - 32.1%
Malcolm Pitre
167 - 6.5%
John A'Hearn
81 - 3.2%
 Hal Perry
23. Tyne Valley-Linkletter Paula Biggar
1,147 - 43.0%
Ryan Williams
810 - 30.3%
Shelagh Young
240 - 9.0%
Jacqueline Tuplin
473 - 17.7%
 Paula Biggar

References

  1. "Saltwire | Prince Edward Island". Archived from the original on September 17, 2019. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  2. "PEI election called for May 4, 2015". Archived from the original on July 6, 2015. Retrieved April 6, 2015.
  3. "Liberals win majority in P.E.I. election". CBC News. May 4, 2015. Archived from the original on March 29, 2016. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  4. "P.E.I. NDP elect Mike Redmond as party leader" . CBC News, October 13, 2012.
  5. "Bevan-Baker acclaimed as P.E.I. Green Party leader". The Guardian . Charlottetown. November 3, 2012. Archived from the original on August 19, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  6. "P.E.I. PC Leader Olive Crane resigns". CBC News. December 5, 2012. Archived from the original on February 26, 2015. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  7. "Olive Crane resigns as P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Archived from the original on September 24, 2015. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  8. "Tories name new P.E.I. Opposition leader". CBC News. January 30, 2013. Archived from the original on September 24, 2015. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  9. "MLA Steven Myers named interim PC leader". CBC News. January 31, 2014. Archived from the original on May 5, 2016. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  10. "Perry to step down as Opposition leader". CBC News. February 11, 2013. Archived from the original on September 24, 2015. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  11. Wright, Teresa (October 3, 2013). "Hal Perry crossing floor to join Liberals". The Guardian. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  12. "Olive Crane kicked out of PC caucus". The Journal Pioneer. October 4, 2013. Archived from the original on October 22, 2013. Retrieved June 13, 2014.
  13. "P.E.I.-Liberals-and-PCs-both-looking-for-leaders". Archived from the original on December 27, 2014. Retrieved December 13, 2014.
  14. "Wade MacLauchlan confirmed as P.E.I. Liberal leader". Archived from the original on February 22, 2015. Retrieved February 22, 2015.
  15. "Experienced faces make up Wade MacLauchlan cabinet". CBC News. February 23, 2015. Archived from the original on February 24, 2015. Retrieved February 25, 2015.
  16. "Legislative Assembly of PEI: Members". Archived from the original on February 4, 2015. Retrieved February 28, 2015.
  17. "Rob Lantz celebrates Progressive Conservative leadership victory". Archived from the original on March 2, 2015. Retrieved February 28, 2015.
  18. "Island Party sitting out election". Archived from the original on July 10, 2015. Retrieved April 12, 2015.
  19. "PEI Votes 2015: Leaders' Debate". Archived from the original on April 29, 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015.
  20. "Leaders met in 2nd TV debate". Archived from the original on May 2, 2015. Retrieved May 1, 2015.
  21. Liberal Alan McIsaac wins seat in coin toss after recount tie Archived 2015-05-22 at the Wayback Machine . CBC News, May 19, 2015.

Further reading