Cardigan (electoral district)

Cardigan

Prince Edward Island electoral district
Cardigan in relation to the other Prince Edward Island ridings
Coordinates:	46°20′38″N62°30′25″W / 46.344°N 62.507°W / 46.344; -62.507
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Lawrence MacAulay Liberal
District created	1966
First contested	1968
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016) [1]	36,615
Electors (2019)	29,665
Area (km²) [1]	2,658
Pop. density (per km²)	13.8
Census division(s)	Kings, Queens
Census subdivision(s)	Stratford, Three Rivers, Souris, Eastern Kings, Central Kings, Souris West, Murray River, Murray Harbour, Morell, St. Peters Bay

Cardigan is a federal electoral district in Prince Edward Island, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1968.

The electoral district was created in 1966 from parts of the ridings of King's and Queen's, with minor modifications to its boundaries since.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after April 22, 2024. It will lose all of its territory in North Shore and the North Shore Fire District, plus everything west of Highway 6 between them to Malpeque. ^[2]

Geography

Under the Representation Order, the geographic boundaries of this riding are described as follows:

Consisting of:

(a) the County of Kings;

(b) that part of the County of Queens comprised of: lots 35, 36, 37, 48, 49, 50, 57, 58, 60 and 62; the Town of Stratford; and

(c) Governors Island and all other islands adjacent to the County of Kings and to the above-mentioned lots.

(See the map of Cardigan riding ^{[ dead link ]}.)

Political geography

2021 election by polling area

In the 2008 election, every poll except two voted Liberal. The only two polls that didn't, voted Conservative. These two polls were centred in the town of Georgetown, Prince Edward Island. ^[3]

Demographics

Canada census – Cardigan community profile

	2021	2016	2011
Population	39,866 (8.9% from 2016)	36,615 (1.7% from 2011)	36,005 (2.7% from 2006)
Land area	2,547.64 km2 (983.65 sq mi)	2,551.09 km2 (984.98 sq mi)	2,550.42 km2 (984.72 sq mi)
Population density	15.6/km2 (40/sq mi)	14.4/km2 (37/sq mi)	14.1/km2 (37/sq mi)
Median age	43.6 (M: 42.8, F: 44.4)	44.2 (M: 43.2, F: 45.0)	42.5 (M: 42.0, F: 43.0)
Private dwellings	19,420 (total)	18,829 (total)	17,538 (total)
Median household income	$77,000	$65,287

Notes: NHS Profile, Statistics Canada
References: 2021 ^[4] 2016 ^[5] 2011 ^[6] earlier ^{[7] [8]}

Visible Minorities and Aboriginals ^[9]

Group	2021 Census		2016 Census
	Population	% of total	Population	% of total
Aboriginal	1,730	4.5	820	2.3
Visible Minority	2,125	5.5	1,220	3.4
All other	34,480	90.0	33,695	94.3
Total	38,335	100.0	35,735	100.0

Population by mother tongue ^[10]

Group	2021 Census		2016 Census		2011 Census
	Population	% of total	Population	% of total	Population	% of total
English	35,375	89.4	33,850	93.2	34,200	95.5
French	550	1.4	505	1.4	560	1.6
English and French	180	0.5	70	0.2	80	0.2
All other	3,445	8.7	1,910	5.2	965	2.7
Total	39,550	100.0	36,335	100.0	35,805	100.0

Mobility over previous five years

Group	2021 Census		2016 Census
	Population	% of total	Population	% of total
At the same address	22,840	62.7	24,095	71.3
In the same constituency	2,815	7.7	3,620	10.7
In the same province	5,820	16.0	3,250	9.6
From another province	3,595	9.9	2,050	6.1
From another country	1,330	3.7	775	2.3
Total aged 5 or over	36,400	100.0	33,790	100.0

Members of parliament

This riding has elected the following members of parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Cardigan Riding created from King's and Queen's
28th	1968–1972		Melvin McQuaid	Progressive Conservative
29th	1972–1974		Daniel J. MacDonald	Liberal
30th	1974–1979
31st	1979–1980		Wilbur MacDonald	Progressive Conservative
32nd	1980–1980		Daniel J. MacDonald	Liberal
	1981–1984		Bennett Campbell
33rd	1984–1988		Pat Binns	Progressive Conservative
34th	1988–1993		Lawrence MacAulay	Liberal
35th	1993–1997
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Cardigan (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	11,175	50.58	+1.23	$47,596.44
	Conservative	Wayne Phelan	6,817	30.85	+1.80	$38,354.38
	New Democratic	Lynne Thiele	2,168	9.81	+3.13	$3,739.79
	Green	Michael MacLean	1,064	4.82	-9.02	$5,906.70
	People's	Kevin Hardy	725	3.28	–	$1,431.55
	Christian Heritage	Fred MacLeod	145	0.66	-0.42	$627.12
Total valid votes/expense limit			21,994	98.66	–	$90,511.54
Total rejected ballots			199	0.89	-0.15
Turnout			22,293	72.71	-2.28
Eligible voters			30,659
	Liberal hold		Swing		-0.24
Source: Elections Canada [11] [12]

2021 federal election redistributed results [13]
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	10,955	50.56
	Conservative	6,697	30.91
	New Democratic	2,117	9.77
	Green	1,042	4.81
	People's	711	3.28
	Others	143	0.66

2019

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	10,939	49.35	−15.68	$42,720.95
	Conservative	Wayne Phelan	6,439	29.05	+12.89	none listed
	Green	Glen Beaton	3,068	13.84	+7.46	$13,490.35
	New Democratic	Lynne Thiele	1,481	6.68	−4.45	$0.00
	Christian Heritage	Christene Squires	240	1.08	−0.23	$278.30
Total valid votes/expense limit			22,167	98.96		$85,990.53
Total rejected ballots			232	1.04	+0.61
Turnout			22,399	74.99	−3.17
Eligible voters			29,869
	Liberal hold		Swing		−14.29
Source: Elections Canada [14]

2015

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	14,621	65.03	+15.40	$57,014.46
	Conservative	Julius Patkai	3,632	16.15	–22.22	$36,428.35
	New Democratic	Billy Cann	2,503	11.13	+0.84	$13,760.96
	Green	Teresa Doyle	1,434	6.38	+4.61	$7,232.74
	Christian Heritage	Christene Squires	295	1.31	–	$2,681.69
Total valid votes/expense limit			22,485	99.57		$170,761.91
Total rejected ballots			96	0.43	–0.08
Turnout			22,581	78.16	-0.13
Eligible voters			28,889
	Liberal hold		Swing		+18.81
Source: Elections Canada [15] [16]

2011

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	10,486	49.63	-3.18	$40,566.83
	Conservative	Michael Currie	8,107	38.37	+8.48	$60,502.86
	New Democratic	Lorne Cudmore	2,164	10.24	+2.11	$1,837.23
	Green	Leslie Stewart	373	1.77	-1.96	$1,714.72
Total valid votes/expense limit			21,130	100.0	–	$69,835.73
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			108	0.51	-0.02
Turnout			21,238	78.29	+8.03
Eligible voters			27,127
	Liberal hold		Swing		-5.83
Sources: [17] [18]

2008

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	10,105	52.81	-3.35	$35,000.12
	Conservative	Sid McMullin	5,661	29.59	-4.09	$29,907.51
	New Democratic	Mike Avery	1,556	8.13	+0.66	$1,316.84
	Independent	Larry McGuire	1,101	5.75	–	none listed
	Green	Emma Daughton	710	3.71	+1.02	$2,546.13
Total valid votes/expense limit			19,133	100.0	–	$67,487
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			101	0.53	-0.03
Turnout			19,234	70.26	-5.07
Eligible voters			27,374
	Liberal hold		Swing		+0.37

2006

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	11,542	56.16	+2.78	$38,353.41
	Conservative	Don Gillis	6,923	33.68	+0.44	$62,756.67
	New Democratic	Edith Perry	1,535	7.47	-2.68	$1,532.80
	Green	Haida Arsenault-Antolick	553	2.69	-0.54	$679.02
Total valid votes/expense limit			20,533	100.0	–	$63,115
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			116	0.56
Turnout			20,649	75.33
Eligible voters			27,411
	Liberal hold		Swing		+1.17

2004

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	11,064	53.38	+6.56	$54,157.07
	Conservative	Peter McQuaid	6,889	33.24	-14.78	$59,824.10
	New Democratic	Dave MacKinnon	2,103	10.15	+5.09	$20,929.08
	Green	Jeremy Stiles	670	3.23	–	$1,315.34
Total valid votes/expense limit			20,726	100.0	–	$61,091
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			137	0.66
Turnout			20,863	76.2
Eligible voters			27,656
	Liberal notional hold		Swing		+10.67
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is based on the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.

2000 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	9,132	46.85
	Progressive Conservative	8,765	44.96
	New Democratic	987	5.06
	Alliance	596	3.06
	Others	14	0.07

2000

v t e 2000 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	8,545	48.06	+3.01
	Progressive Conservative	Kevin MacAdam	8,269	46.51	+2.05
	Alliance	Darrell Hickox	500	2.81
	New Democratic	Deborah Kelly Hawkes	465	2.62	-7.88
Total valid votes			17,779	100.00

1997

v t e 1997 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	7,555	45.05	-16.59
	Progressive Conservative	Dan Hughes	7,456	44.46	+11.79
	New Democratic	Larry Duchesne	1,761	10.50	+4.81
Total valid votes			16,772	100.00

1993

v t e 1993 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	10,115	61.64	+10.02
	Progressive Conservative	Wilbur MacDonald	5,360	32.67	-11.26
	New Democratic	Reg Phelan	934	5.69	+1.23
Total valid votes			16,409	100.00

1988

v t e 1988 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	9,325	51.62	+9.48
	Progressive Conservative	Pat Binns	7,936	43.93	-9.43
	New Democratic	Gertrude Partridge	805	4.46	-0.04
Total valid votes			18,066	100.00

1984

v t e 1984 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Pat Binns	10,566	53.36	+6.44
	Liberal	Bennett Campbell	8,344	42.14	-6.90
	New Democratic	Lorne Cudmore	891	4.50	+0.45
Total valid votes			19,801	100.00

1981 by-election

Canadian federal by-election, 13 April 1981 On the death of Daniel J. MacDonald, 30 September 1980
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Bennett Campbell	8,166	49.04	+0.86
	Progressive Conservative	Wilbur MacDonald	7,813	46.92	+2.02
	New Democratic	Aubrey Cantello	674	4.05	-1.86
Total valid votes			16,653	100.00

1980

v t e 1980 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Daniel J. MacDonald	8,590	48.18	+1.51
	Progressive Conservative	Wilbur MacDonald	8,006	44.90	-3.21
	New Democratic	Aubrey Cantelo	1,054	5.91	+0.69
	Independent	Arthur D. Reddin	180	1.01
Total valid votes			17,830	100.00

1979

v t e 1979 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Wilbur MacDonald	8,219	48.11	+5.98
	Liberal	Daniel J. MacDonald	7,972	46.67	-7.32
	New Democratic	George MacFarlane	892	5.22	+1.94
Total valid votes			17,083	100.00

1974

v t e 1974 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Daniel J. MacDonald	6,958	53.99	+9.45
	Progressive Conservative	Leo James Walsh	5,429	42.13	+0.95
	New Democratic	Martin Gerard Kenny	423	3.28	-10.99
	Independent	A. Neil Harpham	77	0.60
Total valid votes			12,887	100.00

1972

v t e 1972 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Daniel J. MacDonald	5,528	44.54	-4.21
	Progressive Conservative	Alfred Kenneth Fraser	5,111	41.18	-8.35
	New Democratic	Aquinas Ryan	1,771	14.27	+12.51
Total valid votes			12,410	100.00

1968

v t e 1968 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Progressive Conservative	Melvin McQuaid	5,717	49.53
	Liberal	John Mullally	5,623	48.75
	New Democratic	Spurgeon Joseph Hazelden	203	1.76
Total valid votes			11,543	100.00

Student vote results

2011 election

In 2011, a student vote was conducted at participating Canadian schools to parallel the 2011 Canadian federal election results. The vote was designed to educate students and simulate the electoral process for persons who have not yet reached the legal majority. Schools with a large student body that reside in another electoral district had the option to vote for candidates outside of the electoral district where they were physically located. ^[19]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	Lawrence MacAulay	456	35.82
	Conservative	Michael Currie	352	27.65
	New Democratic	Lorne Cudmore	244	19.17
	Green	Leslie Stewart	221	17.36
Total valid votes/expense limit			1,273	100.00

See also

• List of Canadian federal electoral districts
• Historical federal electoral districts of Canada

References

• "Cardigan (electoral district) (Code 11001) Census Profile". 2011 census . Government of Canada - Statistics Canada . Retrieved 3 March 2011.
• Cardigan riding from Elections Canada
• Riding history for Cardigan (1966–) from the Library of Parliament
• Election Financial Reports from Elections Canada

Notes

1. Statistics Canada: 2012
2. "New Federal Electoral Map for Prince Edward Island". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. 23 March 2023. Retrieved 8 March 2024.
3. "Riding « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections".
4. "2021 Community Profiles". 2021 Canadian Census . Statistics Canada. 4 February 2022. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
5. "2016 Community Profiles". 2016 Canadian Census . Statistics Canada. 12 August 2021. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
6. "2011 Community Profiles". 2011 Canadian Census . Statistics Canada. 21 March 2019. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
7. "2006 Community Profiles". 2006 Canadian Census . Statistics Canada. 20 August 2019.
8. "2001 Community Profiles". 2001 Canadian Census . Statistics Canada. 18 July 2021.
9. in private households
10. excluding institutional residents
11. "Election night results". Elections Canada . Retrieved 23 September 2021.
12. "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada . Retrieved 19 July 2022.
13. "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada . Retrieved 9 April 2024.
14. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 26 July 2021.
15. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. 29 February 2016. Retrieved 26 July 2021.
16. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 15 August 2015 at the Wayback Machine
17. Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
18. Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
19. "School by School results". Student Vote Canada. Archived from the original on 6 May 2015. Retrieved 12 June 2013.