Avalon (electoral district)

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Avalon
Flag of Newfoundland and Labrador.svg Newfoundland and Labrador electoral district
Avalon Riding Map 2013.png
Avalon in relation to other Newfoundland and Labrador ridings (2013 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Ken McDonald
Liberal
District created2003
First contested 2004
Last contested 2021
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016) [1] 86,494
Electors (2019)69,131
Area (km²) [2] 6,457.79
Pop. density (per km²)13.4
Census division(s) Division 1
Census subdivision(s) Admirals Beach, Aquaforte, Avondale, Bay Roberts, Bishop's Cove, Branch, Brigus, Bryant's Cove, Cape Broyle, Carbonear, Clarke's Beach, Colinet, Colliers, Conception Bay South, Conception Harbour, Cupids, Division No. 1, Subd. V, Division No. 1, Subd. W, Division No. 1, Subd. X, Division No. 1, Subd. Y, Fermeuse, Ferryland, Fox Harbour, Gaskiers-Point La Haye, Harbour Grace, Harbour Main-Chapel's Cove-Lakeview, Holyrood, Mount Carmel-Mitchells Brook-St. Catherine's, North River, Paradise, Placentia, Point Lance, Port Kirwan, Portugal Cove South, Renews-Cappahayden, Riverhead, South River, Spaniard's Bay, St. Bride's, St. Joseph's, St. Mary's, St. Shott's, St. Vincent's-St. Stephen's-Peter's River, Subdivision 1A, Subdivision 1B, Subdivision 1C, Subdivision 1D, Subdivision 1E, Subdivision 1F, Subdivision 1G, Subdivision 1H, Subdivision 1I, Subdivision 1J, Subdivision 1K, Subdivision 1L, Subdivision 1M, Subdivision 1N, Subdivision 1O, Subdivision 1U, Treppassey, Upper Island Cove, Victoria

Avalon is a federal electoral district on Newfoundland Island in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

Contents

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after April 22, 2024, it will lose the eastern shore of Placentia Bay to Terra Nova—The Peninsulas, gain Salmon Cove from Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, lose the remainder of Paradise to Cape Spear, gain Witless Bay, Bay Bulls and the Southlands and Goulds areas of St. John's from St. John's South—Mount Pearl. [3]

Demographics

According to the 2011 Canadian census; 2013 representation [4]

Ethnic groups: 97.9% White, 1.5% Aboriginal
Languages: 99.3% English
Religions: 95.7% Christian (43.0% Catholic, 30.2% Anglican, 13.5% United Church, 3.5% Pentecostal, 5.4% Other), 4.1% No religion
Median income (2010): $27,528
Average income (2010): $36,436

Geography

The neighbouring ridings are Random—Burin—St. George's to the west and north, and St. John's South—Mount Pearl and St. John's East to the east.

As of the 2013 representation order, the riding of Avalon consists of: [5]

Political geography

Avalon is divided between the Liberal north and the Conservative south. Conservative support is found along the southern coast from the community of Bay Bulls to Southern Harbour. The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace. The Liberals dominate the central and northern parts of the riding. In 2008, the NDP won two polls, one was a mobile poll, and the other contained the community of Hopeall. The Greens also won a poll in Witless Bay.

History

The electoral district was created in 2003 from 57.6% of Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, 21.9% of St. John's West and 20.5% of St. John's East ridings. It consisted of: [6]

The 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution concluded that the electoral boundaries of Avalon should be adjusted. [7] The redefined Avalon had its boundaries legally defined in the 2013 representation order which came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for October 2015. [8] 21% of this riding will be moved into Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, and 3% will be moved into St. John's South—Mount Pearl, and will gain 25% of its new territory from St. John's East. It was given the boundaries described above.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

ParliamentYearsMemberParty
Avalon
Riding created from Bonavista—Trinity—Conception,
St. John's East and St. John's West
38th  2004–2006   John Efford Liberal
39th  2006–2008   Fabian Manning Conservative
40th  2008–2011   Scott Andrews Liberal
41st  2011–2014
 2014–2015   Independent
42nd  2015–2019   Ken McDonald Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Avalon (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 Election Results by Polling Area 2021 Canadian Federal Election in Avalon.svg
2021 Election Results by Polling Area

2021

2021 federal election redistributed results [9]
PartyVote %
  Liberal 17,91650.88
  Conservative 11,63633.04
  New Democratic 5,01914.25
  People's 6431.83
2021 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 18,60850.10+3.84$46,697.12
Conservative Matthew Chapman12,73834.29+3.19$56,179.94
New Democratic Carolyn Davis5,15113.87−3.41$0.00
People's Lainie Stewart6471.74$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit37,14499.27+0.21$110,063.67
Total rejected ballots2730.73–0.22
Turnout37,41753.31–7.06
Registered voters70,189
Liberal hold Swing +0.33
Source: Elections Canada [10] [11]

2019

2019 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 19,12246.26−9.64$63,518.25
Conservative Matthew Chapman12,85531.10+20.00$37,082.47
New Democratic Lea Mary Movelle7,14217.28+2.85none listed
Green Greg Malone 2,2155.36+4.82none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit41,33499.05-0.57$104,436.05
Total rejected ballots3970.95+0.57
Turnout41,73159.33−2.36
Eligible voters70,341
Liberal hold Swing −14.82
Source: Elections Canada [12] [13]

2015

2015 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Ken McDonald 23,52855.90+22.73$70,924.68
Independent Scott Andrews 7,50117.82–26.15$63,334.50
New Democratic Jeannie Baldwin6,07514.43–14.10$70,840.75
Conservative Lorraine E. Barnett4,67011.10–26.00$58,123.54
Green Krista Byrne-Puumala2280.54–0.09$76.49
Strength in Democracy Jennifer McCreath840.20
Total valid votes/expense limit42,086100.00 $208,407.32
Total rejected ballots1620.38  
Turnout42,24862.33  
Eligible voters67,781   
Liberal notional gain from Independent Swing +24.36
Source: Elections Canada [14] [15]
2011 federal election redistributed results [16]
PartyVote %
  Conservative 13,21437.09
  Liberal 11,82033.18
  New Democratic 10,16428.53
  Green 2260.63
 Others2010.56

2011

In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South. He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row. Manning was the Conservative MP for this riding from 2006 to 2008, when he lost to Andrews.

2011 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Scott Andrews 16,00843.97-1.31$71,517.62
Conservative Fabian Manning 14,74940.51+5.35$85,098.25
New Democratic Matthew Martin Fuchs5,15714.16-3.22$3,735.98
Independent Randy Wayne Dawe2760.76$1,060.00
Green Matt Crowder2180.60-1.57$11.96
Total valid votes/expense limit36,408100.0  $85,411.40
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots166 0.45 -0.34
Turnout 36,574 56.77 +4.97
Eligible voters64,424
Liberal hold Swing -3.33
Sources: [17] [18]

2008

2008 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Scott Andrews 14,86645.28+6.70$68,253
Conservative Fabian Manning 11,54235.16-16.39$54,159
New Democratic Randy Wayne Dawe5,70717.38+8.31$25,080
Green Dave Aylward7142.17+1.37$766
Total valid votes/expense limit32,829100.0   $82,453
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots262 0.79 -0.86
Turnout 33,09151.80 -7.81
Eligible voters63,882
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +11.54

2006

2006 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Conservative Fabian Manning 19,13251.55+22.24$71,141
Liberal Bill Morrow14,31838.58-19.76$71,528
New Democratic Eugene Conway3,3659.07-1.91$1,036
Green Shannon Hillier2970.80-0.57none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit37,112100.0  $76,596
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots 623 1.65 +0.59
Turnout37,735 59.61 +9.78
Eligible voters63,303
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +21.00

2004

2004 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal R. John Efford 18,33558.34+12.41$47,245
Conservative Rick Dalton9,21129.31-10.37$50,104
New Democratic Michael Kehoe3,45010.98-3.24$2,472
Green Don C. Ferguson 4301.37$746
Total valid votes/expense limit31,246100.0  $74,947
Total rejected, declined and unmarked ballots3361.06
Turnout31,76249.83
Eligible voters63,745
Liberal notional hold Swing +11.39
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is from the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.
2000 federal election redistributed results
PartyVote %
  Liberal 17,61445.93
  Progressive Conservative 14,41237.58
  New Democratic 5,45414.22
  Alliance 8052.10
 Others660.17

Student vote results

2019

2019 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Kenneth McDonald1,33230.35-24.69
New Democratic Lea Mary Movelle1,29229.44+14.74
Conservative Matthew Chapman1,04523.81+17.03
Green Greg Malone72016.4+12.4
Total Valid Votes4,389100.0
Source: Student Vote Canada [19]

2015

2015 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Ken McDonald63355.04+6.32
Independent Scott Andrews21218.43-30.29
New Democratic Jeannie Baldwin16914.7+3.33
Conservative Lorraine E. Barnett786.78-22.74
Green Krista Byrne-Puumala464-3.86
Strength in Democracy Jennifer McCreath121.04
Total Valid Votes1,150100.0
Source: Student Vote Canada [20]

2011

2011 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Liberal Scott Andrews97248.72
Conservative Fabian Manning58929.52
New Democratic Matthew Martin Fuchs22711.37
Green Matt Crowder1577.86
Independent Randy Wayne Dawe502.5
Total Valid Votes1,995100.0
Source: Student Vote Canada [21]

See also

References

Notes

  1. Statistics Canada: 2017
  2. Statistics Canada: 2017
  3. "New Federal Electoral Map for Newfoundland and Labrador". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. March 23, 2023. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
  4. "NHS Profile, Avalon, Newfoundland and Labrador, 2011". Statistics Canada . May 8, 2013. Retrieved October 22, 2019.
  5. Avalon – Maps Corner – Elections Canada Online
  6. Riding History for Avalon (2003– )
  7. Report – Newfoundland and Labrador
  8. Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
  9. "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada . Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  10. "Election Night Results — Elections Canada". Elections Canada. September 25, 2021. Retrieved September 25, 2021.
  11. "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada . Retrieved July 19, 2022.
  12. "Results Validated by the Returning Officer". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  13. "Final Election Expense Limits for Candidates: 43rd General Election - October 21, 2019". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  14. "October 19, 2015 Election Results — Avalon (Validated results)". Elections Canada. October 21, 2015. Archived from the original on October 26, 2015. Retrieved October 24, 2015.
  15. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  16. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  17. Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
  18. Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
  19. "Student Vote Canada 2019" . Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  20. "Student Vote" . Retrieved September 20, 2020.
  21. "District Results". Student Vote. Archived from the original on May 6, 2015. Retrieved September 20, 2020.

47°17′N53°21′W / 47.29°N 53.35°W / 47.29; -53.35