44th British Columbia general election

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44th British Columbia general election
Flag of British Columbia.svg
  2024 On or before October 21, 2028 (2028-10-21)45th 

All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
47 seats needed for a majority
 
David Eby, BC NDP candidate for Vancouver-Point Grey (54002997713) (cropped).jpg
John Rustad 2016.jpg
Leader David Eby John Rustad
Party New Democratic Conservative
Leader since October 21, 2022 March 31, 2023
Leader's seat Vancouver-Point Grey Nechako Lakes
Last election47 seats, 44.86%44 seats, 43.28%
Current seats4741

 
Jeremy Valeriote.jpg
1BC
Leader Jeremy Valeriote (interim) Dallas Brodie (interim)
Party Green OneBC
Leader sinceJanuary 28, 2025June 9, 2025
Leader's seat West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Vancouver-Quilchena
Last election2 seats, 8.24%New party
Current seats22

Incumbent Premier

David Eby
New Democratic



The 44th British Columbia general election will elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 44th Parliament of the Canadian province of British Columbia. The Constitution Act requires that the election be held no later than October 21, 2028, but it may be called earlier.

Contents

Date of the election

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election. [1] [2] The previous election was held in 2024; the next election is therefore scheduled for October 21, 2028. The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as they see fit (in practice, on the advice of the premier or following a vote of non-confidence). [1] [3]

Background

The 2024 British Columbia general election was held on October 19, 2024. The incumbent New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Premier David Eby, won a narrow majority government, marking their third consecutive term in office. [4] The opposition BC United (formerly the BC Liberals) withdrew shortly before the election and endorsed the Conservative Party, led by John Rustad, who went on to form the official opposition. [5] The Green Party remained steady with two seats, but leader Sonia Furstenau lost her seat. [a] [6] On December 13, the NDP and Greens announced a co-operation agreement. [7]

On January 28, 2025, Furstenau announced her resignation as Green Party leader. Jeremy Valeriote was named interim leader while the party organizes a leadership election for September 2025. [8]

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2024–present)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Vancouver-Quilchena March 7, 2025 Dallas Brodie   Conservative Removed from caucus  Independent
Peace River North March 7, 2025 Jordan Kealy   Conservative Left caucus  Independent
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream March 7, 2025 Tara Armstrong   Conservative Left caucus  Independent
Vancouver-Quilchena June 9, 2025 Dallas Brodie   Independent Formed new party  OneBC
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream June 9, 2025 Tara Armstrong   Independent Formed new party  OneBC

2025

Opinion polling

Overall Polling with a local regression (LOESS) trend line for each party and a monthly average. 44th British Columbia General Election polling.svg
Overall Polling with a local regression (LOESS) trend line for each party and a monthly average.
Opinion polls
Polling firmDates conductedSource NDP Con. Green OneBC Centre Others Margin of errorSample sizePolling methodLead
Mainstreet Research Jun 23–24, 2025 [14] 41%44%7%8%3.2%943Smart IVR3%
Jun 9, 2025Independent MLAs Dallas Brodie and Tara Armstrong form OneBC. [15]
Research Co.Jun 7–9, 2025 [16] 43%42%8%1% [b] 2%3%3.5%803Online1%
LegerMay 23–25, 2025 [17] 45%39%11%5%3.04%1,032Online6%
Liaison StrategiesMay 2–4, 2025 [18] 45%47%7%2%3.45%800IVR2%
Mar 28, 2025Former MLA Karin Kirkpatrick forms CentreBC.
Research Co.Mar 3–5, 2025 [19] 44%42%11%3%3.5%802Online2%
Pallas DataFeb 15, 2025 [20] 48.8%40.7%7.6%2.9%3.8%677IVR8.1%
Leger Jan 24–26, 2025 [21] 44%42%10%4%3.1%1,001Online2%
2024 general election Oct 19, 202444.9%43.3%8.2%3.6%2,107,152Election1.6%

References

Notes
  1. Furstenau was the incumbent MLA for Cowichan Valley but stood in Victoria-Beacon Hill in 2020.
  2. Poll asked about a prospective party with independent MLAs Dallas Brodie, Jordan Kealy, and Tara Armstrong. OneBC was announced after this poll was conducted.
Sources
  1. 1 2 Constitution Act, s. 23.
  2. Shaw, Rob (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  3. Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News .
  4. Larsen, Karin (October 28, 2024). "B.C. lieutenant-governor asks NDP Leader David Eby to form government". CBC News . Retrieved May 2, 2025.
  5. Dickson, Courtney (November 2, 2024). "From the shadows to the spotlight: Conservative surge shakes up B.C. politics". CBC News . Retrieved May 2, 2025.
  6. Kulkarni, Akshay (October 22, 2024). "B.C. Greens mull role of potential kingmaker after tight election". CBC News . Retrieved January 30, 2025.
  7. Larsen, Karin (December 13, 2024). "B.C. NDP and B.C. Greens announce co-operation agreement". CBC News . Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  8. DeRosa, Katie; Kurjata, Andrew (January 28, 2025). "Sonia Furstenau stepping down as B.C. Green Party leader". CBC News . Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  9. Madtha, Rippon (January 28, 2025). "Sonia Furstenau Steps Down as Leader of the BC Greens". BC Green Party. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  10. Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "B.C. Conservative leader kicks Dallas Brodie out of caucus for 'mocking' residential school testimony". CBC News . Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  11. Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "2 MLAs defect from B.C. Conservative Party following Dallas Brodie's ouster". CBC News . Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  12. Page, Mark (June 12, 2025). "Former Conservative MLA Dallas Brodie to lead new B.C. political party". Keremos Review. Black Press Media . Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  13. Johansen, Nicholas (June 12, 2025). "Kelowna MLA part of new BC political party". Castanet. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  14. "Mainstreet Research Survey - British Columbia" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. June 25, 2025. Retrieved June 26, 2025.
  15. DeRosa, Katie (June 13, 2025). "2 MLAs form new B.C. political party that courts social conservatives". CBC News. Retrieved June 14, 2025.
  16. Canseco, Mario (June 16, 2025). "Little Change in British Columbia Politics, Even With New Parties". Research Co. Retrieved June 16, 2025.
  17. "Government of British Columbia Report Card: June 2025" (PDF). Leger. June 12, 2025. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  18. "BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%". Liaison Strategies. May 7, 2025. Retrieved May 7, 2025.
  19. "British Columbia's Political Scene Remains Closely Contested". Research Co. March 11, 2025. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  20. "British Columbia Provincial Voting Intentions" (PDF). Pallas Data. February 18, 2025. Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  21. "Government of British Columbia Report Card January 2025" (PDF). Leger. Leger. February 5, 2025. Retrieved February 6, 2025.