2025 Ontario general election

2025 Ontario general election

←  2022 February 27, 2025 [1] Next  →
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124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	45.40% (1.34pp)[ citation needed ]
First party Second party   Leader Doug Ford Marit Stiles Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since March 10, 2018 February 4, 2023 Leader's seat Etobicoke North Davenport Last election 83 seats, 40.83% 31 seats, 23.74% Seats before 79 28 Seats won 80 27 Seat change 1 1 Popular vote 2,158,452 931,796 Percentage 42.97% 18.55% Swing 2.14pp 5.19pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Bonnie Crombie Mike Schreiner Party Liberal Green Leader since December 2, 2023 November 15, 2009 Leader's seat Ran in Mississauga East—Cooksville (lost) Guelph Last election 8 seats, 23.85% 1 seat, 5.96% Seats before 9 2 Seats won 14 2 Seat change 5 Popular vote 1,504,688 242,822 Percentage 29.95% 4.83% Swing 6.10pp 1.13pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding.
Composition of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario after the election
Premier before election Doug Ford Progressive Conservative Premier after election Doug Ford Progressive Conservative

The 2025 Ontario general election was held on February 27, 2025, to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. ^[2] On January 24, 2025, Premier Doug Ford confirmed that he would be asking the lieutenant governor to dissolve the legislature and call for a snap election. ^[2]

The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC) government, led by Premier Doug Ford since 2018, was seeking re-election to a third consecutive term. The PC's primary opponents were the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Marit Stiles, the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) led by Bonnie Crombie, and the Green Party of Ontario (GPO) led by Mike Schreiner. The Progressive Conservatives led by Doug Ford were reelected with a third consecutive majority government, the first premier to do so since 1959, ^[3] though with a slightly smaller majority than in 2022. ^[4]

The Liberals received over ten percentage points more than the NDP in the popular vote, but received fewer seats. More specifically, the Liberals got about 61% more votes than the NDP, but the NDP got almost twice as many seats. Due to a rise of six percentage points in their portion of the popular vote, the Liberals gained five seats compared to before the election. This increase was enough to regain official party status in the legislature which the party had lost after the 2018 election. However, Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie was defeated in her riding of Mississauga East—Cooksville.

The NDP continued to hold the status of official opposition, despite losing one seat and placing a distant third in the popular vote. ^[5]

The Greens held their two seats, although suffering a slight drop in popularity. Incumbent independent MPP Bobbi Ann Brady held her seat in Haldimand-Norfolk, winning the second-largest margin in the province. ^[6]

Background

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. ^[7] As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election would be held on June 4, 2026. However, it has been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which, at that time, the federal Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre was considered extremely likely to win. ^{[8] [9]} This speculation was fuelled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences. ^{[10] [11] [12] [8]}

On January 23, 2025, multiple news outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27. ^{[13] [14] [15]} This was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24. ^[16] On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day. ^{[17] [2] [18]} The election cost approximately $189 million. ^{[19] [20]}

Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 ^[21] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, ^[22] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. ^{[23] [24]} This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017. ^[25]

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario was allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election. ^[26] As Northern Ontario lost a seat in the federal process, further adjustments would have been needed to maintain their extra provincial representation, which would have resulted in an extra additional riding. ^[27]

Timeline

2022

• June 2: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election. New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath and Liberal leader Steven Del Duca both announced their resignation on election night. ^[28]
• June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition. ^[29]
• August 3: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals. ^{[30] [31]}

2023

• February 4: Marit Stiles was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition. ^{[32] [33] [34]}
• December 2: Bonnie Crombie was elected leader of the Liberals. ^[35]

2025

• January 28: Writs of election were dropped, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.
• February 13: Nominations close.
• February 14: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities. ^[36]
• February 17: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.
• February 27: Election day.

Seat changes

43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2022–2025)

Party		2022	Gain/(loss) due to					2025
			Resignation as MPP	Resignation from caucus	Expulsion	Byelection gain	Byelection hold
	Progressive Conservative	83	(4)	(2)	(1)		3	79
	New Democratic	31	(2)		(2)		1	28
	Liberal	8	(1)			1	1	9
	Green	1				1		2
	Independent	1		2	3			6
Total		124	(7)	–	–	2	5	124

Changes in seats held since June 2, 2022

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Hamilton Centre	August 15, 2022	Andrea Horwath [37] [38]	█  New Democratic	Resignation from legislature. [a 1]	March 16, 2023	Sarah Jama [39]	█  New Democratic
Don Valley North	March 10, 2023	Vincent Ke [40]	█  PC	Resignation from caucus. [a 2]			█  Independent
Kanata—Carleton	March 24, 2023	Merrilee Fullerton [41]	█  PC	Resignation from legislature.	July 27, 2023	Karen McCrimmon [42]	█  Liberal
Algoma—Manitoulin	March 31, 2023	Michael Mantha [43]	█  New Democratic	Expelled from caucus. [a 3]			█  Independent
Scarborough—Guildwood	May 10, 2023	Mitzie Hunter [44]	█  Liberal	Resignation from legislature. [a 4]	July 27, 2023	Andrea Hazell [45]	█  Liberal
Kitchener Centre	July 13, 2023	Laura Mae Lindo [46] [47]	█  New Democratic	Resignation from legislature. [a 5]	November 30, 2023	Aislinn Clancy [48]	█  Green
Mississauga East—Cooksville	September 20, 2023	Kaleed Rasheed [49]	█  PC	Resignation from caucus. [a 6]			█  Independent
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	September 22, 2023	Monte McNaughton [50]	█  PC	Resignation from legislature [a 7]	May 2, 2024	Steve Pinsonneault	█  PC
Hamilton Centre	October 23, 2023	Sarah Jama [51]	█  New Democratic	Expelled from caucus. [a 8]			█  Independent
Milton	January 25, 2024	Parm Gill [52]	█  PC	Resignation from legislature. [a 9]	May 2, 2024	Zee Hamid	█  PC
Carleton	June 28, 2024	Goldie Ghamari [53]	█  PC	Expelled from caucus. [a 10]			█  Independent
Bay of Quinte	August 16, 2024	Todd Smith [54]	█  PC	Resignation from legislature. [a 7]	September 19, 2024	Tyler Allsopp	█  PC

1. to run for Mayor of Hamilton.
2. due to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.
3. over workplace misconduct allegations.
4. to run for Mayor of Toronto.
5. to accept position at the University of Waterloo
6. after contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.
7. to accept position in the private sector
8. over comments made regarding the Gaza war
9. to run in the next federal election
10. after meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

By-election results

Analysis of byelections by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2022)

Riding and winning party			Turnout				Vote share for winning candidate
			%	Change (pp)			%	Change (pp)
Hamilton Centre	█  New Democratic	Hold	21.97	-15.97			54.28	-2.98
Kanata—Carleton	█  Liberal	Gain	35.14	-16.24			34.53	20.44		20.44
Scarborough—Guildwood	█  Liberal	Hold	21.84	-19.79			36.55	-9.75
Kitchener Centre	█  Green	Gain	27.28	-18.94			47.99	35.19		35.19
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	█  Progressive Conservative	Hold	30.25	-17.08			56.85	-1.96
Milton	█  Progressive Conservative	Hold	27.72	-14.99			47.04	3.97		3.97
Bay of Quinte	█  Progressive Conservative	Hold	38.45	-7.46			38.69	-10.61

Candidates

See also: Candidates of the 2025 Ontario general election

Incumbents not standing for re-election

As of the candidate nomination deadline, 12 incumbent MPPs chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution		Date announced
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Rick Byers [55]	September 10, 2024
Carleton		Goldie Ghamari [a 1] [56]	January 31, 2025
Eglinton—Lawrence		Robin Martin [57]	November 1, 2024
Hamilton Mountain		Monique Taylor [58]	September 9, 2024
Mississauga East—Cooksville		Kaleed Rasheed [a 1] [59]	October 11, 2024
Nepean		Lisa MacLeod [60]	September 13, 2024
Ottawa Centre		Joel Harden [58]	March 15, 2024
Parkdale—High Park		Bhutila Karpoche [58]	September 29, 2024
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		John Yakabuski [61]	November 20, 2024
Sault Ste. Marie		Ross Romano [62]	December 12, 2024
Wellington—Halton Hills		Ted Arnott [63]	October 15, 2024
York South—Weston		Michael Ford [64]	January 24, 2025

Campaign

Ford's PCs launched their campaign in Windsor, in front of the Ambassador Bridge. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in Toronto, while Crombie's Liberals launched their campaign in Barrie. Schreiner's Green's launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park. ^[65]

Contests

Candidate contests in the ridings

Candidates nominated	Ridings	Party
		PC	Green	NDP	Lib	NB	Ont	Ind	Ltn	NOTA	Mod	Oth	Totals
3	1	1	1		1								3
4	5	5	5	5	5								20
5	30	30	30	30	30	24		1		1	1	3	150
6	44	44	44	44	43	40	17	9	5	4	4	10	264
7	24	24	24	24	24	24	13	18	2	4	3	8	168
8	17	17	17	17	17	17	11	9	8	4	3	16	136
9	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	2		1	2	27
Total	124	124	124	123	123	108	44	41	17	13	12	39	768

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by new President Donald Trump. ^{[66] [67]} Ford was caught on video saying that on the day of the 2024 U.S. presidential election he was "100% happy" that Trump won, until Trump threatened tariffs on Canada. ^[68]

2025 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms

Issue	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green
Education		Invest an additional $830 million a year to clear the repair backlog within 10 years while keeping up with school maintenance needs. [69] Create a universal School Food Program and use fresh food prepared and grown in Ontario. End the practice of streaming. Invest in Francophone education in French school boards and French immersion programs in the English system. More school transportation funding.		Clearing the backlog in school repairs, supporting students with special needs, and extending OHIP to cover mental health care. [70]
Energy and Environment	Permanently cutting the provincial tax on gas by 5.7 cents per litre and on diesel by 5.3 cents.			Working with Indigenous communities to conserve 30% of natural areas by 2030. End reliance on fossil fuels, invest in low-cost renewables and build climate-friendly transit options. [71]
Healthcare	Investing $1.8 billion more to connect everyone in Ontario to a family doctor and primary care.	Hiring of at least 15,000 nurses over the next three years to ensure safe staffing ratios and end the reliance on private agencies. [72] Expand healthcare in Northern Ontario by hiring 350 doctors, including 200 family physicians and 150 specialists. Establish a Northern Command Centre to manage capacity across the North. Fast-track solutions in the first 100 days—more family health teams, shorter specialist wait times, and flexible care options. Clear the path for 13,000 internationally trained doctors and increase residency spots province-wide. [73]	Guarantee a Family Doctor for all Ontarians by 2029. [74]	Two new hospitals in Huntsville and Bracebridge.
Housing		Create 60,000 new supportive housing units. [75] Double the supply of permanently affordable homes, legalize fourplexes and increase density around transit, and provide funding for non-profit and co-op housing providers. Reintroduce rent control, stopping unethical evictions. Upload shelter funding to the provincial government. [76]	Eliminating the provincial Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers, seniors downsizing, and non-profit home builders. [77] Scrapping Development Charges on new middle-class housing, which can add up to $170,000 on the price of a new home, and replacing them with a Better Communities Fund to ensure that the province invests in and benefits from sustainable municipal growth. [78] Introducing fair, phased-in rent control similar to Manitoba, resolving Landlord-Tenant Board disputes within two months, and establishing the Rental Emergency Support for Tenants (REST) Fund to help vulnerable renters avoid eviction during financial emergencies. [79]	Allowing for the construction of fourplexes and four-storey buildings as of right across the province and sixplexes in cities over 500,000, and midrise buildings of up to 6-11 storeys on transit corridors and main streets. Removing development charges on homes, condos and apartment units under 2,000 square feet that are built within urban boundaries, and creating an Affordable Communities Fund to cover municipalities’ housing infrastructure costs. Removing the Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers. [80]
Agriculture				Immediately increasing funding to expand business risk management programs by $150 million annually. Prioritizing Ontario-grown food by developing local procurement guidelines for public sector purchases, and establishing a fund to increase local processing capacity. Creating an AgTech Innovation Fund. Introducing a provincial program to pay farmers for environmental goods and services by working with organizations such as ALUS (Alternative Land Use Services). Establish an Ontario Foodbelt to protect farmland. [81]
Infrastructure	Investing up to $15 billion more over three years to speed up key capital projects, including widening the QEW between Burlington and St. Catharines. [82] Providing another $5 billion for the Building Ontario Fund, for a total of $8 billion, to invest in housing, long-term care, energy, transportation and municipal infrastructure projects. Increasing the Community Sport and Recreation Fund by $300 million to help build more rinks, arenas, sports centres and other community infrastructure. $56 million to upgrade and repair Highway 174 prior to it being uploaded to the province. [83] $50 million to upgrade rural roads and highways outside the downtown core.
Social assistance		Double ODSP payments. [84] Overhaul WSIB. Expand workers’ health care benefits so they can receive the treatments they need, including mental health care. [85] Create a Monthly Grocery Rebate Forcing large retailers to publicly post when they raise prices more than two per cent in a week. New watchdog to enforce competition laws and keep food prices fair. [86]	Double ODSP payments. [87]
Taxation			Cut the income tax rate for the middle-class. [88] Eliminate sales tax (HST) on home heating and hydro bills.
Transportation	Investing more than $200 billion to build roads, highways, transit and other infrastructure projects while investing over $2.5 billion to train more than one million people for better jobs and bigger paycheques in the skilled trades. Upload the upload Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government. More than $50 million to design and build a new interchange at Highway 416 and Barnsdale Road. $80 million to support the Kanata North Transitway. Taking tolls off Highway 407 East, which runs between Brock Road in Pickering and Highway 115 in Clarington. Legislation to ban use of congestion pricing on all provincial and municipal roadways. [89]		Upload the Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government. [90]
Tariff response	$10 billion in cash-flow support for Ontario employers. [91] $3 billion in payroll tax and premium relief. $120 million to support approximately 18,000 bars and restaurants. $40 million for a new Trade-Impacted Communities Program. $300 million to expand the Ontario Made Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit. $600 million for the Invest Ontario Fund.	Create a Premier’s Task Force on the Economy with business, labour and civil society. [92] Invest in retraining opportunities in post-secondary and the skilled trades. Removing the cap from the Risk Management Program. Promote interprovincial cooperation and break down trade barriers. Launch a Buy Ontario campaign to promote Ontario goods. Direct Ontario government-funded agencies to procure locally. Negotiate a joint federal-provincial income assistance program to support people whose livelihoods are impacted by tariffs. Support Canada’s national tariff response.	Offer a bonus to nurses and doctors who return to Canada from the U.S. Remove the hidden tax on home building and introduce phased-in rent control. Cut the small business tax rate in half, 3.2% to 1.6%, and increase the eligible income threshold. End the Starlink contract with the provincial government. [93]	Immediately create a ‘tariff taskforce’ that works across party, jurisdictional and sectoral lines to defend Ontario workers, jobs and companies in trade negotiations. Create an investment tax credit. Create a Protect Ontario Fund for businesses disproportionately impacted by tariffs. [94]

Party slogans

Party	English	French (translation)
█  PC	"Protect Ontario"	Unofficial: "Protéger l'Ontario" [95]
█  New Democratic	"On Your Side"	"À vos côtés" [95]
█  Liberal	"More For You" [96]	"Plus Pour Vous"
█  Green	"People Before Profits" [97]

Endorsements

Endorsements received by each party

Type	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green
Media		Toronto Star [98] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority
Politicians and public figures	Kevin Ashe, Mayor of Pickering (2022–present) [99] Dave Barton, Mayor of Uxbridge (2022–present) [100] Rob Burton, Mayor of Oakville (2006–present) [101] Patrick Brown, Mayor of Brampton (2018–present) [102] Frank Campion, Mayor of Welland (2014–present) [103] Dan Carter, Mayor of Oshawa (2018–present) [104] Drew Dilkens, Mayor of Windsor (2014–present) [105] Jim Diodati, Mayor of Niagara Falls (2010–present) [103] Adrian Foster, Mayor of Clarington (2010–present) [106] Bill Gordon, Mayor of Midland (2022–present) [107] Tim Houston, Premier of Nova Scotia (2021–present) [108] Gordon Krantz, Mayor of Milton (1980–present) [109] James Leduc, Mayor of Bradford West Gwillimbury (2022–present) [110] Don McIsaac, Mayor of Orillia (2022–present) [111] Peter McCallion, son of Hazel McCallion, former candidate for mayor of Mississauga (2023) [112] Alex Nuttall, Mayor of Barrie (2022–present) [113] Mat Siscoe, Mayor of St. Catharines (2022–present) [103]	Jim Dinn, Leader of the Newfoundland and Labrador New Democratic Party (2023–present) [114] Peter Julian, Member of Parliament for New Westminster—Burnaby (2004–present) [115] Jean Yoon, actress [116]	Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of Canada (2008–2013), candidate for leader of the Liberal Party of Canada (2025) [117] Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister of Canada (2019–2024), Member of Parliament for University—Rosedale (2013–present), candidate for leader of the Liberal Party of Canada (2025) [118] Marc Serre, Member of Parliament for Nickel Belt (2015–present) [119] Viviane Lapointe, Member of Parliament for Sudbury (2021–present) [120]
Unions and business associations	Brick and Allied Craft Union of Canada [121] Carpenters' Regional Council [122] Grain Farmers of Ontario [123] Greater Toronto Sewer & Watermain Contractors Association (GTSWCA) [124] International Brotherhood of Boilermakers (IBB) [125] International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Construction Council of Ontario (IBEW CCO) [126] International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Allied Workers [127] International Union of Operating Engineers Local 793 (IUOE) [128] International Union of Painters and Allied Trades, DC46 [129] Laborers' International Union of North America (LiUNA) [130] Ontario General Contractors Association (OGCA) [131] Ontario Pipe Trades Council (OPTC) [132] Ontario Professional Firefighters Association (OPFFA) [133] Ontario Provincial Police Association (OPPA) [134] Ontario Road Builders' Association (ORBA) [135] Ontario Sheet Metal Workers' & Roofers' Conference (OSMWRC) [136] Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association Local 598 (OPCMIA) [137] Police Association of Ontario (PAO) [134] Residential and Civil Construction Alliance of Ontario (RCCAO) [138] Toronto Police Association (TPA) [134] United Association Local 787, HVACR Workers of Ontario [139] Unifor Local 1285 [140] Unifor Local 29-X [141] Unifor Local 47 [142] Unite Here! Local 75 [143]	Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now Ontario (ACORN) [144] Amalgamated Transit Union Canada (ATU) [145] Brantford and District Labour Council (BDLC) [146] Canadian Labour Congress (CLC) [147] Canadian Office and Professional Employees Union (COPE) Canadian Union of Public Employees Ontario (CUPE) [148] International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAMAW) [149] London and District Labour Council (LDLC) [150] Niagara Regional Labour Council (NRLC) Ontario Federation of Labour (OFL) [151] Ontario Secondary School Teachers' Federation (OSSTF) [152] Ontario Nurses' Association (ONA) [72] [153] Ontario Public Service Employees Union (OPSEU) [154] Sarnia and District Labour Council (SDLC) [155] Sudbury and District Labour Council (SDLC) [156] United Steelworkers [157] ETFO Thames Valley Teacher Local (TVOT) [158] Thunder Bay and District Labour Council (TBDLC) [159] Toronto Elementary Catholic Teachers (TECT) [160] Windsor and District Labour Council (WDLC) [161]

Debates

Date	Time (EST)	Organiser(s)	Moderator	Location	Language	Participants
						PC	NDP	Lib.	Green
February 14, 2025	1:00 p.m.	Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities [162]	Markus Schwabe [163]	North Bay	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 17, 2025	6:30 p.m.	Broadcast Consortium	David Common [164]	Toronto	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 19, 2025	8:00 p.m.	TFO and Radio-Canada [165]	Sandra Padovani and Sébastien St-François	Ottawa	French	Present Mulroney	Present Gélinas	Present Collard	Present Petersen

Results

• 
  Choropleth map of results
• 
  Cartogram view of results

Unofficial Results ^[166]

Party		Leader	Candidates	Seats			Votes
				Won	2022	±	Votes	%	Change (pp)
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Ford	124	80	83	−3	2,158,452	42.97
	New Democratic	Marit Stiles	123	27	31	−4	931,796	18.55
	Liberal	Bonnie Crombie	123	14	8	+6	1,504,688	29.95
	Green	Mike Schreiner	124	2	1	+1	242,822	4.83
	Independent		41	1	1	–	54,278	1.08
	New Blue	Jim Karahalios	108	0	0	–	80,245	1.60
	Ontario Party	Derek Sloan	44	0	0	–	26,262	0.52
	Libertarian	Mark Snow	17	0	0	–	7,684	0.15
	None of the Above	Greg Vezina	13	0	0	–	4,731	0.09
	Communist	Drew Garvie	7	0	0	–	2,294	0.05
	Moderate	Yuri Duboisky	12	0	0	–	2,181	0.04
	Centrist	Mansoor Qureshi	5	0	0	–	1,610	0.03
	Freedom	Paul McKeever	5	0	0	–	1,379	0.03
	Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda	John Kanary	2	0	0	–	1,353	0.03
	Populist	Jim Torma	4	0	0	–	706	0.01
	Ontario Alliance	Joshua E. Eriksen	5	0	0	–	648	0.01
	Northern Ontario	Jacques Ouellette	3	0	0	–	641	0.01
	Progress Party Ontario	Sana Ahmad	2	0	0	–	598	0.01
	Canadians' Choice Party	Bahman Yazdanfar	2	0	0	–	582	0.01
	Special Needs	Lionel Wayne Poizner	2	0	0	–	397	0.01
	Electoral Reform Party	Peter House	2	0	0	–	240	0.00

Seats changing hands

PC to Liberal

• Ajax
• Don Valley North (previous PC member left the party and stood for reelection as an independent)
• Etobicoke—Lakeshore
• Kanata—Carleton (won by Liberals in 2023 by-election)
• Nepean

NDP to PC

• Algoma—Manitoulin (previous NDP member left the party and stood for reelection as an independent)
• Hamilton Mountain

NDP to Liberal

• Toronto—St. Paul's

NDP to Green

• Kitchener Centre (won by Greens in 2023 by-election)

Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.

Summary of the 2025 Ontario Student Vote

Party		Leader	Seats			Votes
			Elected	2022	±	#	%	Change
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Ford	51	17	34	58,189	24.14%	5.45
	New Democratic	Marit Stiles	41	75	34	56,570	23.47%	5.09
	Liberal	Bonnie Crombie	28	28		57,228	23.74%	1.68
	Green	Mike Schreiner	3	4	1	37,489	15.55%	0.44
	Independent		1	0	1	5,362	2.22%	1.32
	New Blue	Jim Karahalios	0	0	0	13,643	5.66%
	Ontario Party	Derek Sloan	0	0	0	5,221	2.17%
	Others		0	0	0	7,341	3.03%
Valid votes						234,807	—	—
Rejected ballots						7,600	—	—
Total votes cast			124	124		242,407	—	—
Source: Archived 2025-02-28 at the Wayback Machine

Opinion polls

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.

Opinion polls conducted during period
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Source	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling type	Lead
2025 election	February 27, 2025	—	42.97	18.55	29.95	4.83	3.70	—	—	—	13.02
Mainstreet Research	February 26, 2025	[p 1]	44	17	30	6	4	±2.7%	1270 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Nanos Research	February 26, 2025	[p 2]	48	15	26	6	4	±3.9%	630	telephone (rolling)/online	22
Forum Research	February 26, 2025	[p 3]	41	20	32	5	3	±4%	1013	IVR	9
Pallas Data	February 26, 2025	[p 4]	46	17	29	5	2	±3.1%	989	IVR	17
Research Co.	February 26, 2025	[p 5]	46	17	30	5	2	±3.9%	701	online	16
Ipsos	February 25, 2025	[p 6]	48	16	28	6	2	± 3.1%	1501	Online	20
Relay Strategies	February 25, 2025	[p 7]	48	16	28	8	—	±3%	756 (1/3)	Online	20
Abacus Data	February 25, 2025	[p 8]	45	16	29	5	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 25, 2025	[p 9]	42	18	31	5	4	±2.5%	1516 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Innovative Research	February 24, 2025	[p 10]	42	18	32	6	2	±4%	917	Online	10
Mainstreet Research	February 24, 2025	[p 11]	42	19	31	5	4	±2.6%	1414 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Leger	February 23, 2025	[p 12]	47	17	28	6	2	±3.09%	1,005	Online	19
Liaison Strategies	February 23, 2025	[p 13]	42	18	32	5	3	±3.45%	805	IVR	10
Mainstreet Research	February 23, 2025	[p 14]	42	19	32	4	4	±2.7%	1335 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Mainstreet Research	February 22, 2025	[p 15]	43	17	30	5	4	±2.8%	1238 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Nanos Research	February 22, 2025	[p 16]	44	20	29	5	3	±3.3%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	15
Mainstreet Research	February 21, 2025	[p 17]	42	17	31	6	4	±2.8%	1245 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Nanos Research	February 21, 2025	[p 18]	43	19	31	6	2	±3.3%	918	telephone (rolling)/online	12
Ipsos	February 20, 2025	[p 19]	46	21	25	4	4	± 4.2%	800	Online	21
Relay Strategies	February 20, 2025	[p 20]	47	18	26	8	—	±3%	975 (1/3)	Online	21
Nanos Research	February 20, 2025	[p 21]	45	17	31	5	2	±3.2%	931	telephone (rolling)/online	14
Mainstreet Research	February 20, 2025	[p 22]	40	19	29	7	5	±2.8%	1243 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Nanos Research	February 19, 2025	[p 23]	44	17	31	7	2	±3.2%	936	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 19, 2025	[p 24]	38	21	29	6	6	±2.7%	1291 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	9
Relay Strategies	February 18, 2025	[p 25]	47	17	27	9	—	±4%	822 (1/3)	Online	20
Nanos Research	February 18, 2025	[p 26]	46	16	30	7	2	±3.2%	929	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 18, 2025	[p 27]	39	21	28	5	6	±2.7%	1281 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Leger	February 17, 2025	[p 28]	48	16	28	5	3	±3.09%	1,002	Online	20
Mainstreet Research	February 17, 2025	[p 29]	41	18	30	5	6	±2.7%	1278 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Probe Research	February 16, 2025	[p 30]	47	17	27	8	1	2.8%	1200	Online	20
Innovative Research	February 16, 2025	[p 31]	45	18	28	7	2	4%	963	Online	17
Relay Strategies	February 16, 2025	[p 32]	47	20	26	8	—	±4%	704 (1/3)	Online	21
Nanos Research	February 16, 2025	[p 33]	46	18	27	7	2	±3.3%	912	telephone (rolling)/online	19
Mainstreet Research	February 16, 2025	[p 34]	41	18	31	6	5	±2.8%	1229 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Abacus Data	February 15, 2025	[p 35]	41	21	28	6	3	±2.8%	1,500	Online	13
Nanos Research	February 15, 2025	[p 36]	45	18	30	5	2	±3.3%	915	telephone (rolling)/online	15
Mainstreet Research	February 15, 2025	[p 37]	43	17	30	6	3	±2.8%	1228 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Mainstreet Research	February 14, 2025	[p 38]	43	19	29	6	3	2.7%	1272 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Nanos Research	February 13, 2025	[p 39]	44	17	31	6	2	±3.2%	900	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	[p 40]	44	17	29	6	4	±2.7%	1294 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	15
Research Co.	February 13, 2025	[p 41]	45	15	31	4	4	±3.9%	702	online	14
Pallas Data	February 12, 2025	[p 42]	44.1	18.9	27.7	4.7	4.6	±2.1%	2,193	IVR	16.4
Nanos Research	February 12, 2025	[p 43]	45	17	29	6	2	±3.2%	938	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 12, 2025	[p 44]	42	17	31	6	4	±2.7%	1314 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Relay Strategies	February 11, 2025	[p 45]	49	19	24	9	—	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	25
Mainstreet Research	February 11, 2025	[p 46]	41	16	32	7	4	±2.7%	1,301 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	9
Relay Strategies	February 10, 2025	[p 47]	50	19	22	9	—	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	28
Mainstreet Research	February 10, 2025	[p 48]	40	19	30	6	4	±2.7%	1,303 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Nanos Research	February 10, 2025	[p 49]	44	17	32	5	2	±3.2%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	12
Relay Strategies	February 9, 2025	[p 50]	51	18	23	8	—	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	28
Leger	February 9, 2025	[p 51]	47	17	26	6	4 [a]	±3.09%	1,004	Online	21
Liaison Strategies	February 9, 2025	[p 52]	41	18	31	6	4	±2.82%	1,201	IVR	10
Nanos Research	February 9, 2025	[p 53]	44	19	31	4	2	±3.2%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 9, 2025	[p 54]	44	18	26	7	4	±2.7%	1,347 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	18
Nanos Research	February 8, 2025	[p 55]	44	20	28	5	3	±3.3%	913	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 8, 2025	[p 56]	41	21	25	7	5	±2.8%	1,187 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	16
Mainstreet Research	February 7, 2025	[p 57]	39	20	28	7	5	±2.5%	1,262 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Abacus Data	February 6, 2025	[p 58]	46	21	24	5	4	±3.1%	2,000	Online	22
Mainstreet Research	February 6, 2025	[p 59]	39	22	29	5	6	±2.5%	1,236 (1/4)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Nanos Research	February 6, 2025	[p 60]	46	16	30	7	2	±3.3%	904	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 5, 2025	[p 61]	42	19	29	5	5	±2.8%	1,236 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2025	[p 62]	45	16	29	5	5	±2.9%	1,162 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	16
Mainstreet Research	February 3, 2025	[p 63]	44	15	30	5	7	±3.0%	1,080 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Angus Reid	February 3, 2025	[p 64]	43	21	26	5	5	±2%	1,760	Online	17
Pallas Data	February 2, 2025	[p 65]	45	21	28	5	2	±3.1%	1,014	IVR	17
Mainstreet Research	February 2, 2025	[p 66]	43	17	29	5	6	—	1,374 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Leger	February 2, 2025	[p 67]	47	17	23	8	4 [b]	±3.09%	1,004	Online	24
Mainstreet Research	February 1, 2025	[p 68]	42	17	29	6	5	—	1,124 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Liaison Strategies	February 1, 2025	[p 69]	43	16	31	5	5	±2.74%	1,274	IVR	12
Mainstreet Research	January 31, 2025	[p 70]	43	19	29	5	4	—	1,247 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Innovative Research	January 31, 2025	[p 71]	49	19	22	9	1	—	857	Online	27
Mainstreet Research	January 30, 2025	[p 72]	38	20	30	6	5	±2.4%	1,644 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	8
Ipsos	January 30, 2025	[p 73]	50	20	24	3	3	± 4.2%	800	Online	26
Mainstreet Research	January 29, 2025	[p 74]	38	22	29	5	6	—	1,460	Smart IVR	9
	January 29, 2025	Election campaign begins
Innovative Research	January 27, 2025	[p 75]	51	18	23	6	2	—	1,286	Online	28
Mainstreet Research	January 26, 2025	[p 76]	36	23	29	6	6	±3.2%	936	Smart IVR	7
Abacus Data	January 26, 2025	[p 77]	47	19	24	7	3	±3.1%	1,021	Online	23
Campaign Research	January 26, 2025	[p 78]	47	18	23	7	5	—	1,611	Online	24
Liaison Strategies	January 23, 2025	[p 79]	39	18	33	5	5	±2.71%	1,307	IVR	6
Yorkville Strategies	January 23, 2025	[p 80]	48	15	25	7	5	±4.0%	600	Online	23
Leger	January 19, 2025	[p 81]	46	19	22	7	6	±3.08%	1,007	Online	24
Liaison Strategies	January 16, 2025	[p 82]	41	19	32	5	4	±2.83%	1,197	IVR	9
Campaign Research	January 15, 2025	[p 83]	47	19	23	7	4	—	1,789	Online	24
Mainstreet Research	January 15, 2025	[p 84]	40	21	30	5	4	±3.2%	943	Smart IVR	10
Liaison Strategies	January 9, 2025	[p 85]	40	21	30	4	5	±2.82%	1,202	IVR	10
Abacus Data	December 4, 2024	[p 86]	43	21	25	6	5	±2.6%	1,500	Online	18
Mainstreet Research	December 2, 2024	[p 87]	42	22	27	6	3	±3.6%	742	Smart IVR	15
Abacus Data	November 5, 2024	[p 88]	42	22	26	7	4	±3.1%	998	Online	16
Pallas Data	October 15, 2024	[p 89]	41.5	21.6	27.7	7.1	2.1	±3.1%	996	IVR	13.8
Abacus Data	October 10, 2024	[p 90]	44	22	24	7	4	±3.1%	997	Online	20
Angus Reid	September 18, 2024	[p 91]	40	25	23	7	4	±3.0%	858	Online	15
Mainstreet Research	September 17, 2024	[p 92]	41	18	30	5	6	±3.5%	764	Smart IVR	11
Abacus Data	August 17, 2024	[p 93]	42	21	26	8	4	±3.057%	1,028	Online	16
Liaison Strategies	August 20, 2024	[p 94]	40	21	27	6	6	±2.71%	1,300	IVR	13
Abacus Data	July 21, 2024	[p 95]	44	19	26	7	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	18
Liaison Strategies	June 27, 2024	[p 96]	39	21	28	7	5	±2.77%	1,245	IVR	11
Abacus Data	June 25, 2024	[p 97]	41	22	25	8	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	16
Pallas Data	June 4, 2024	[p 98]	39.4	22.6	26.5	8.3	3.2	±2.9%	1,136	IVR	12.9
Abacus Data	May 15, 2024	[p 99]	39	22	26	9	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	13
Abacus Data	April 16, 2024	[p 100]	41	21	25	7	5	±3.1%	995	Online	16
Liaison Strategies	April 7, 2024	[p 101]	40	18	30	5	6	±2.74%	1,280	IVR	10
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	[p 102]	41	21	27	7	5	±2.5%	1,500	Online	14
Liaison Strategies	March 9, 2024	[p 103]	39	21	29	5	6	±2.74%	1,283	IVR	10
Angus Reid	March 6, 2024	[p 104]	37	25	27	6	4	±3.0%	777	Online	10
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	[p 105]	41	19	27	8	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	14
Pallas Data	February 11, 2024	[p 106]	34.5	21.6	31.6	7.3	5.0	±2.9%	1,121	IVR	2.9
Liaison Strategies	February 3, 2024	[p 107] [p 108]	38	22	30	5	5	±2.8%	1,236	IVR	8
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	[p 109]	38	23	27	5	6	±3.1%	995	Online	11
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	[p 110]	39	24	27	6	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	12
Mainstreet Research	December 4, 2023	[p 111]	36	19	34	6	5	±3.3%	872	Smart IVR	2
	December 2, 2023	Bonnie Crombie is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Abacus Data	November 28, 2023	[p 112]	42	24	23	7	4	±2.6%	1,500	Online	18
Innovative Research	October 30, 2023	[p 113]	41	26	25	7	2	—	925	Online	15
Abacus Data	October 15, 2023	[p 114]	40	24	24	7	5	±3.7%	700	Online	16
Pallas Data	September 27, 2023	[p 115] [p 116]	33.4	27.4	26.7	6.7	5.8	±3.2%	964	IVR	6
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	[p 117]	38	28	22	7	5	—	656	Online	10
Abacus Data	September 4, 2023	[p 118]	34	26	28	7	5	±2.2%	2,003	Online	6
Pallas Data	August 29, 2023	[p 119]	37.3	25.8	26.9	5.2	4.9	±3.2%	940	IVR	10.4
Abacus Data	August 23, 2023	[p 120]	38	24	25	7	6	±3.1%	1,040	Online	13
Abacus Data	July 25, 2023	[p 121]	41	23	24	7	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	17
Mainstreet Research	June 30, 2023	[p 122] [p 123]	34.7	24.7	25.0	10.7	4.9	±3.1%	993	Smart IVR	9.7
Abacus Data	June 11, 2023	[p 124] [p 125]	36	26	27	6	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	9
Counsel Public Affairs	June 8, 2023	[p 126]	39	23	27	7	4	—	1,323	Online	12
Angus Reid	June 3, 2023	[p 127]	36	27	25	6	6	—	653	Online	9
Angus Reid	March 13, 2023	[p 128]	38	30	20	6	6	±3%	861	Online	8
Abacus Data	March 4, 2023	[p 129]	41	22	28	5	4 [c]	±3.1%	1,000	Online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2023	[p 130]	36.8	19.4	23.3	11.2	9.4	±2.9%	1,166	Smart IVR	13.5
	February 4, 2023	Marit Stiles is declared leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party
Angus Reid	December 3, 2022	[p 131]	37	27	25	6	5	±3%	1,058	Online	10
Mainstreet Research	December 2, 2022	[p 132]	37.3	25.9	24.4	6.6	5.8	±2.9%	1,162	Smart IVR	11.4
Abacus Data	November 5, 2022	[p 133]	38	26	27	5	5 [d]	±3.1%	1,000	Online	11
	August 3, 2022	Steven Del Duca resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party; John Fraser becomes interim leader
	June 28, 2022	Andrea Horwath resigns as leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party; Peter Tabuns becomes interim leader
EKOS	June 20, 2022	[p 134] [p 135]	37.5	23.3	19.2	9.8	10.2 [e]	±2.7%	1,357	Online/Telephone	14.2
2022 election	June 2, 2022	—	40.82	23.74	23.85	5.96	5.62	—	—	—	16.97

Footnotes

1. Previously elected as Progressive Conservative

References

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1. Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
2. Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
3. Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
4. Includes 3% for the New Blue Party.
5. Includes 5.2% for the New Blue Party.

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External links

• Elections Ontario