2025 Ontario general election

Last updated

2025 Ontario general election
Flag of Ontario.svg
←  2022 February 27, 2025 [1] 45th →
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Doug Ford at campaign rally May 2022 (cropped2).jpg Marit Stiles May 6, 2024.jpg
Leader Doug Ford Marit Stiles
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since March 10, 2018 February 4, 2023
Leader's seat Etobicoke North Davenport
Last election83 seats, 40.82%31 seats, 23.74%
Current seats7928
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 35
  Bonnie Crombie Centennial Park Aug 2022 (cropped).jpg Gpo-mike-schreiner-headshot-2021-bricks (cropped).jpg
Leader Bonnie Crombie Mike Schreiner
Party Liberal Green
Leader since December 2, 2023 November 15, 2009
Leader's seatRunning in Mississauga East—Cooksville Guelph
Last election8 seats, 23.85%1 seat, 5.96%
Current seats92
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 54Increase2.svg 61
Incumbent Premier

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative



The 2025 Ontario general election will take place on February 27, 2025, to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. [2] On January 24, 2025, Premier Doug Ford confirmed that he would be asking the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the legislature and call for a snap election. [2]

Contents

The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC) government, led by Premier Doug Ford since 2018, will be seeking re-election to a third consecutive term. The PC's primary opponents are the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) led by Bonnie Crombie and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Marit Stiles.

Background

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election. [3] As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election would be held on June 4, 2026. However, it has been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which the Conservative Party is projected to win. [4] [5] This speculation was fuelled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences. [6] [7] [8] [4]

On January 23, 2025, multiple media outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27. [9] [10] [11] This was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24. [12] On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day. [13] [2] [14]

Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 [15] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, [16] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. [17] [18] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017. [19]

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario has been allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election. [20]

Timeline

2022

2023

2025

Seat changes

43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2022–2025)
Party2022Gain/(loss) due to2025
Resignation
as MPP		Resignation
from caucus		ExpulsionByelection
gain		Byelection
hold
Progressive Conservative 83(4)(2)(1)379
New Democratic 31(2)(2)128
Liberal 8(1)119
Green 112
Independent 1236
Total124(7)––25124
Changes in seats held since June 2, 2022
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Hamilton Centre August 15, 2022 Andrea Horwath [29] [30] █  New Democratic Resignation from legislature. [a 1] March 16, 2023 Sarah Jama [31] █  New Democratic
Don Valley North March 10, 2023 Vincent Ke [32] █  PC Resignation from caucus. [a 2] █  Independent
Kanata—Carleton March 24, 2023 Merrilee Fullerton [33] █  PC Resignation from legislature. July 27, 2023 Karen McCrimmon [34] █  Liberal
Algoma—Manitoulin March 31, 2023 Michael Mantha [35] █  New Democratic Expelled from caucus. [a 3] █  Independent
Scarborough—Guildwood May 10, 2023 Mitzie Hunter [36] █  Liberal Resignation from legislature. [a 4] July 27, 2023 Andrea Hazell [37] █  Liberal
Kitchener Centre July 13, 2023 Laura Mae Lindo [38] [39] █  New Democratic Resignation from legislature. [a 5] November 30, 2023 Aislinn Clancy [40] █  Green
Mississauga East—Cooksville September 20, 2023 Kaleed Rasheed [41] █  PC Resignation from caucus. [a 6] █  Independent
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex September 22, 2023 Monte McNaughton [42] █  PC Resignation from legislature [a 7] May 2, 2024 Steve Pinsonneault █  PC
Hamilton Centre October 23, 2023 Sarah Jama [43] █  New Democratic Expelled from caucus. [a 8] █  Independent
Milton January 25, 2024 Parm Gill [44] █  PC Resignation from legislature. [a 9] May 2, 2024 Zee Hamid █  PC
Carleton June 28, 2024 Goldie Ghamari [45] █  PC Expelled from caucus. [a 10] █  Independent
Bay of Quinte August 16, 2024 Todd Smith [46] █  PC Resignation from legislature. [a 7] September 19, 2024 Tyler Allsopp █  PC
  1. ↑ to run for Mayor of Hamilton.
  2. ↑ due to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.
  3. ↑ over workplace misconduct allegations.
  4. ↑ to run for Mayor of Toronto.
  5. ↑ to accept position at the University of Waterloo
  6. ↑ after contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.
  7. 1 2 to accept position in the private sector
  8. ↑ over comments made regarding the 2023 Israel–Hamas war
  9. ↑ to run in the next federal election
  10. ↑ after meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

Byelection results

Analysis of byelections by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2022)
Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share for winning candidate
 %Change (pp) %Change (pp)
Hamilton Centre █  New Democratic Hold21.97-15.97
 
54.28-2.98
 
Kanata—Carleton █  Liberal Gain35.14-16.24
 
34.5320.4420.44
 
Scarborough—Guildwood █  Liberal Hold21.84-19.79
 
36.55-9.75
 
Kitchener Centre █  Green Gain27.28-18.94
 
47.9935.1935.19
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex █  Progressive Conservative Hold30.25-17.08
 
56.85-1.96
 
Milton █  Progressive Conservative Hold27.72-14.99
 
47.043.973.97
 
Bay of Quinte █  Progressive Conservative Hold38.45-7.46
 
38.69-10.61
 

Candidates

Incumbents not standing for re-election

Electoral districtIncumbent at dissolutionDate announced
Ottawa Centre   Joel Harden [47] March 15, 2024
Hamilton Mountain   Monique Taylor [47] September 9, 2024
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Rick Byers [48] September 10, 2024
Nepean   Lisa MacLeod [49] September 13, 2024
Parkdale—High Park   Bhutila Karpoche [47] September 29, 2024
Mississauga East—Cooksville   Kaleed Rasheed [50] October 11, 2024
Wellington—Halton Hills   Ted Arnott [51] October 15, 2024
Eglinton—Lawrence   Robin Martin [52] November 1, 2024
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke   John Yakabuski [53] November 20, 2024
Sault Ste. Marie   Ross Romano [54] December 12, 2024
York South—Weston   Michael Ford [55] January 24, 2025
Carleton   Goldie Ghamari [a] No announcement
Don Valley North   Vincent Ke [a] No announcement

Campaign

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by new President Donald Trump. [56] [57]

Party slogans

PartyEnglishFrench (translation)
█  PC "Protect Ontario"
█  New Democratic
█  Liberal "More For You" [58] "Plus Pour Vous"
█  Green

Opinion polls

Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions. Opinion polling for the 44th Ontario general election.svg
Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
Polling firmLast date
of polling		Source PC NDP Liberal Green OtherMargin of errorSample sizePolling typeLead
Innovative ResearchJanuary 27, 2025 [p 1] 51182362—1,286Online28
Mainstreet Research January 26, 2025 [p 2] 36232966±3.2%936Smart IVR7
Campaign ResearchJanuary 26, 2025 [p 3] 47182375—1,611Online24
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 23, 2025 [p 4] 39183355±2.71%1,307IVR6
Leger January 19, 2025 [p 5] 46192276±3.08%1,007Online24
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 16, 2025 [p 6] 41193254±2.83%1,197IVR9
Campaign ResearchJanuary 15, 2025 [p 7] 47192374—1,789Online24
Mainstreet Research January 15, 2025 [p 8] 40213054±3.2%943Smart IVR10
Liaison StrategiesJanuary 9, 2025 [p 9] 40213045±2.82%1,202IVR10
Abacus Data December 4, 2024 [p 10] 43212565±2.6%1,500Online18
Mainstreet Research December 2, 2024 [p 11] 42222763±3.6%742Smart IVR15
Abacus Data November 5, 2024 [p 12] 42222674±3.1%998Online16
Pallas DataOctober 15, 2024 [p 13] 41.521.627.77.12.1±3.1%996IVR13.8
Abacus Data October 10, 2024 [p 14] 44222474±3.1%997Online20
Angus Reid September 18, 2024 [p 15] 40252374±3.0%858Online15
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2024 [p 16] 41183056±3.5%764Smart IVR11
Abacus Data August 17, 2024 [p 17] 42212684±3.057%1,028Online16
Liaison StrategiesAugust 20, 2024 [p 18] 40212766±2.71%1,300IVR13
Abacus Data July 21, 2024 [p 19] 44192674±3.1%1,000Online18
Liaison StrategiesJune 27, 2024 [p 20] 39212875±2.77%1,245IVR11
Abacus Data June 25, 2024 [p 21] 41222584±3.1%1,000Online16
Pallas DataJune 4, 2024 [p 22] 39.422.626.58.33.2±2.9%1,136IVR12.9
Abacus Data May 15, 2024 [p 23] 39222694±3.1%1,000Online13
Abacus Data April 16, 2024 [p 24] 41212575±3.1%995Online16
Liaison StrategiesApril 7, 2024 [p 25] 40183056±2.74%1,280IVR10
Abacus Data March 21, 2024 [p 26] 41212775±2.5%1,500Online14
Liaison StrategiesMarch 9, 2024 [p 27] 39212956±2.74%1,283IVR10
Angus Reid March 6, 2024 [p 28] 37252764±3.0%777Online10
Abacus Data February 21, 2024 [p 29] 41192785±3.1%1,000Online14
Pallas DataFebruary 11, 2024 [p 30] 34.521.631.67.35.0±2.9%1,121IVR2.9
Liaison StrategiesFebruary 3, 2024 [p 31] [p 32] 38223055±2.8%1,236IVR8
Abacus Data January 23, 2024 [p 33] 38232756±3.1%995Online11
Abacus Data December 12, 2023 [p 34] 39242764±3.1%1,000Online12
Mainstreet Research December 4, 2023 [p 35] 36193465±3.3%872Smart IVR2
December 2, 2023 Bonnie Crombie is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Abacus Data November 28, 2023 [p 36] 42242374±2.6%1,500Online18
Innovative ResearchOctober 30, 2023 [p 37] 41262572—925Online15
Abacus Data October 15, 2023 [p 38] 40242475±3.7%700Online16
Pallas DataSeptember 27, 2023 [p 39] [p 40] 33.427.426.76.75.8±3.2%964IVR6
Angus Reid September 6, 2023 [p 41] 38282275—656Online10
Abacus Data September 4, 2023 [p 42] 34262875±2.2%2,003Online6
Pallas DataAugust 29, 2023 [p 43] 37.325.826.95.24.9±3.2%940IVR10.4
Abacus Data August 23, 2023 [p 44] 38242576±3.1%1,040Online13
Abacus Data July 25, 2023 [p 45] 41232475±3.1%1,000Online17
Mainstreet Research June 30, 2023 [p 46] [p 47] 34.724.725.010.74.9±3.1%993Smart IVR9.7
Abacus Data June 11, 2023 [p 48] [p 49] 36262764±3.1%1,000Online9
Counsel Public AffairsJune 8, 2023 [p 50] 39232774—1,323Online12
Angus Reid June 3, 2023 [p 51] 36272566—653Online9
Angus Reid March 13, 2023 [p 52] 38302066±3%861Online8
Abacus Data March 4, 2023 [p 53] 41222854±3.1%1,000Online13
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2023 [p 54] 36.819.423.311.29.4±2.9%1,166Smart IVR13.5
February 4, 2023 Marit Stiles is declared leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party
Angus Reid December 3, 2022 [p 55] 37272565±3%1,058Online10
Mainstreet Research December 2, 2022 [p 56] 37.325.924.46.65.8±2.9%1,162Smart IVR11.4
Abacus Data November 5, 2022 [p 57] 38262755±3.1%1,000Online11
August 3, 2022 Steven Del Duca resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party; John Fraser becomes interim leader
June 28, 2022 Andrea Horwath resigns as leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party; Peter Tabuns becomes interim leader
EKOS June 20, 2022 [p 58] [p 59] 37.523.319.29.810.2±2.7%1,357Online/Telephone14.2
2022 election June 2, 2022—40.8223.7423.855.965.62———16.97

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References

  1. ↑ "LIVE UPDATES: Ford's request to dissolve provincial parliament approved ahead of early election call". CP24. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 Talbot, Michae (January 24, 2025). "Premier Doug Ford to call provincial election on Wednesday". CityNews . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  3. ↑ Ferguson, Rob (October 19, 2016). "Ontario moves election date to June 7, 2018". Toronto Star. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
  4. 1 2 Benzie, Robert (May 27, 2024). "Tory insiders say fear of a Pierre Poilievre victory has Doug Ford considering an early election call". Toronto Star . Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  5. ↑ Paikin, Steve (April 15, 2024). "Keep your eyes open for signs of an early election call in Ontario". TVO . Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  6. ↑ D'Mello, Colin (May 27, 2024). "Ontario opposition parties ready for early election call after premier fuels speculation". Global News . Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  7. ↑ "Premier declines to commit to June 2026 Ontario election". CBC News . The Canadian Press. May 24, 2024. Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  8. ↑ Benzie, Robert (May 28, 2024). "Doug Ford was asked about calling on early election. 'Stay tuned,' he says". Toronto Star . Retrieved May 28, 2024.
  9. ↑ D'Mello, Colin; ca, Isaac (January 23, 2025). "Doug Ford plans to call snap Ontario election next week, sources confirm". Global News . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  10. ↑ Stone, Laura; Gray, Jeff (January 23, 2025). "Doug Ford set to call snap election for Feb. 27". The Globe and Mail . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  11. ↑ Casey, Liam; Jones, Allison (January 23, 2025). "Premier to call snap election with Ontarians headed to polls in February". Toronto Sun . The Canadian Press . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  12. ↑ "Premier Doug Ford confirms he will call snap Ontario election next week". Toronto Star . The Canadian Press. January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  13. ↑ "LIVE UPDATES: Ford's request to dissolve provincial parliament approved ahead of early election call". CP24. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  14. ↑ "Ontario Election to be Held on February 27". Ontario Newsroom. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  15. ↑ Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015 , S.O. 2015, c. 31
  16. ↑ as a result of the Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016 , S.O. 2016, c. 33, s. 36
  17. ↑ "Report: Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission". August 8, 2017. Archived from the original on March 19, 2018. Retrieved May 1, 2018.
  18. ↑ Benzie, Robert (August 8, 2017). "Ontario to get 17 new ridings, including a constituency that is largely Indigenous". Toronto Star . Archived from the original on December 6, 2017. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  19. ↑ Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017 , S.O. 2017, c. 18
  20. ↑ Benzie, Robert (August 1, 2024). "Ford government to break with tradition and not adopt federal boundary changes for next election". Toronto Star . Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  21. ↑ Benzie, Robert (June 2, 2022). "Doug Ford trounces the competition as Steven Del Duca and Andrea Horwath resign as party leaders". Toronto Star . Retrieved June 6, 2022.
  22. ↑ "Ontario NDP names Peter Tabuns interim leader". CBC News . The Canadian Press. June 28, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022.
  23. ↑ Jackson, Hannah (July 25, 2022). "Ontario Liberal caucus selects John Fraser to serve as party's interim leader". Global News . Retrieved August 10, 2022.
  24. ↑ "Ontario Liberals Announce New Critic Roles". www.ontarioliberal.ca. Retrieved August 10, 2022.
  25. ↑ "It's a done deal: Marit Stiles will win the NDP leadership uncontested | TVO.org". www.tvo.org. Retrieved December 6, 2022.
  26. ↑ "CityNews". toronto.citynews.ca. January 6, 2023.
  27. ↑ Griffin, Tyler (February 4, 2023). "Ontario NDP officially confirms Marit Stiles as leader by majority vote". CBC News . The Canadian Press . Retrieved February 8, 2023.
  28. ↑ "Bonnie Crombie takes aim at Doug Ford after winning Ontario Liberal leadership". The Globe and Mail. December 2, 2023. Retrieved December 3, 2023.
  29. ↑ Moro, Teviah (July 26, 2022). "'I love this city': Former Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath enters Hamilton mayoral race". Hamilton Spectator . Retrieved July 26, 2022.
  30. ↑ Werner, Kevin (August 15, 2022). "Hamilton mayoral candidate Andrea Horwath officially resigns her Hamilton Centre seat Aug. 15". Hamilton Spectator . Retrieved August 18, 2022.
  31. ↑ Hristova, Bobby (March 16, 2023). "NDP's Sarah Jama elected as next MPP for Hamilton Centre". CBC News . Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  32. ↑ Stone, Laura (March 10, 2023). "Progressive Conservative MPP Vincent Ke leaves caucus after allegations of election interference". The Globe and Mail . Retrieved March 13, 2023.
  33. ↑ "Ontario PC cabinet minister Merrilee Fullerton resigns". CP24 . The Canadian Press. March 24, 2023. Retrieved March 24, 2023.
  34. ↑ Holder, Gord (July 27, 2023). "Karen McCrimmon wins Kanata-Carleton byelection for Ontario Liberals". Ottawa Citizen . Postmedia . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  35. ↑ The Canadian Press (April 1, 2023). "Michael Mantha removed from Ontario NDP caucus amid workplace investigation". CBC News . Archived from the original on April 1, 2023. Retrieved April 1, 2023.
  36. ↑ "Toronto mayoral candidate Mitzie Hunter reveals date she'll resign as MPP". thestar.com. May 2, 2023.
  37. ↑ Nakhavoly, Melissa (July 27, 2023). "Liberal victory in Scarborough-Guildwood byelection". CityNews . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  38. ↑ Maher, Brandon (July 11, 2023). "Lindo steps down as MPP, citing cost of childcare". CityNews 570 . Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  39. ↑ Bueckert, Kate (January 18, 2023). "Kitchener Centre MPP Laura Mae Lindo stepping down to take Ontario university job". CBC News . Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  40. ↑ Bholla, Cheyenne (November 30, 2023). "Aislinn Clancy wins Kitchener Centre". Waterloo Region Record . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  41. ↑ "Ontario MPP Kaleed Rasheed resigns from Ford's cabinet following Greenbelt probe". CBC. September 21, 2023. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  42. ↑ Richmond, Randy (September 22, 2023). "'Rising star' Monte McNaughton, region's top-ranking MPP, quits amid tumult". London Free Press . Retrieved December 1, 2023.
  43. ↑ DeClerq, Katherine (October 23, 2023). "Ontario MPP Sarah Jama censured and removed from NDP caucus over Israel-Gaza comments". CP24 . Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  44. ↑ Crawley, Mike (January 25, 2024). "Ontario PCs' Parm Gill resigns from cabinet to run for Poilievre's Conservatives". CBC News . Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  45. ↑ Rushowy, Kristin (June 28, 2024). "Doug Ford removes MPP Goldie Ghamari from caucus after she met with British far-right figure". Toronto Star . Retrieved June 28, 2024.
  46. ↑ Baldwin, Derek (August 16, 2024). "Bay of Quinte MPP Smith resigns, taking job in private sector". The Intelligencer . Retrieved August 17, 2024.
  47. 1 2 3 Patel, Raisa (September 29, 2024). "Third NDP MPP hopes to swap Queen's Park for Ottawa in the next federal election". Toronto Star . Retrieved September 30, 2024.
  48. ↑ Gowan, Rob (September 10, 2024). "Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound MPP Byers won't seek re-election". Owen Sound Sun Times . Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  49. ↑ Raymond, Ted (September 13, 2024). "Longtime Ottawa MPP Lisa MacLeod announces she won't seek re-election". CTV News Ottawa . Retrieved September 16, 2024.
  50. ↑ D'Mello, Colin; Callan, Isaac (October 11, 2024). "Ex-Ontario minister Kaleed Rasheed not seeking re-election". Global News . Retrieved October 21, 2024.
  51. ↑ "Ontario speaker says he won't run in next provincial election after 34 years in legislature". Toronto. October 15, 2024. Retrieved October 15, 2024.
  52. ↑ "MPP Robin Martin Announces She Will Not Be Running For Re-Election". Robin Martin, MPP. November 1, 2024. Retrieved January 23, 2025.
  53. ↑ Dixon, Anthony (November 20, 2024). "Long-serving Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke MPP John Yakabuski will not seek re-election". Pembroke Daily Observer . Retrieved November 29, 2024.
  54. ↑ Della-Mattia, Elaine (December 12, 2024). "Sault MPP Ross Romano to bid adieu to provincial politics". The Sault Star . Retrieved December 14, 2024.
  55. ↑ "Ontario MPP Michael Ford says he won't run in next provincial election". CBC News . January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  56. ↑ Benzie, Robert; Ferguson, Rob (January 22, 2025). "Doug Ford says a 'clear mandate' from Ontario voters is the best way to deal with Donald Trump". Toronto Star . Retrieved January 24, 2025.
  57. ↑ "Ontario PCs plan to call an early election amid tariff threats | Watch News Videos Online". Global News. Retrieved January 22, 2025.
  58. ↑ Thoms, Randy. "Liberal leader promises "More for You."". Kenora Online. Retrieved September 25, 2024.
  1. 1 2 Previously elected under PC banner

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "Canada this month : Ontario Politics" (PDF). innovativeresearch.ca. January 27, 2025. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  2. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). mainstreetresearch.ca. January 26, 2025. Retrieved January 26, 2025.
  3. ↑ "Ontario provincial polling". Polling Canada. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  4. ↑ Valentin, David (January 27, 2025). "Ford's Lead Down to 6 Points As Campaign Commences". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 27, 2025.
  5. ↑ "Ontario Provincial Politics: January 2025" (PDF). Leger360. January 22, 2025. Retrieved January 22, 2025.
  6. ↑ Valentin, David (January 20, 2025). "Ontario PCs Lead by 9; 1 in 4 Undecided". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 20, 2025.
  7. ↑ "Ontario provincial polling". Polling Canada. Retrieved January 22, 2025.
  8. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). Mainstreet Research . Retrieved January 19, 2025.
  9. ↑ Valentin, David (January 13, 2025). "Ontario PCs Lead by 10 over Ontario Liberals". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved January 13, 2025.
  10. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ontario PCs lead by 18 as Ford government approval rating rebounds". Abacus Data . Retrieved December 9, 2024.
  11. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey- Ontario" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. Retrieved December 9, 2024.
  12. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ontario PC lead down to 16 as Ford Government approval drops". Abacus Data . Retrieved November 9, 2024.
  13. ↑ "Pallas Ontario Poll: PC 41, OLP 28, NDP 22, Green 7". October 23, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  14. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ontario PCs lead by 20 + Opinions on Homeless Encampments and Highway 401". Abacus Data . October 15, 2024. Retrieved October 15, 2024.
  15. ↑ "Ford's PCPO increases vote share despite Ontarians giving it the worst government performance score in Canada". October 3, 2024. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
  16. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. September 19, 2024. Retrieved September 20, 2024.
  17. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ontario PCs lead by 16 as the public describes Premier Ford as friendly, but dishonest". Abacus Data . August 31, 2024. Retrieved September 9, 2024.
  18. ↑ Valentin, David (August 29, 2024). "Ontario PCs Holding Strong as Early Election Speculation Heats Up". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  19. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: LCBO strike seems to have had little impact on Ontario's political opinions. PCs lead Liberals by 18". Abacus Data . July 27, 2024. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
  20. ↑ Valentin, David (July 2, 2024). "Ontario PCs Lead Liberals by 11 - But Gap Would Narrow if Early Election Called". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  21. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ford PCs lead by 16 despite increase in disapproval of the provincial government's performance". Abacus Data . June 30, 2024. Retrieved June 30, 2024.
  22. ↑ "Ontario - Provincial Voting Intentions And Opinions on Alcohol Sales, Early Election, and Strategic Voting" (PDF). Retrieved June 10, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ford PCs lead by 13 over Crombie Liberals". Abacus Data . May 22, 2024. Retrieved May 23, 2024.
  24. ↑ "Abacus Data Ontario Poll: Ford PCs ahead of Crombie Liberals by 16". Abacus Data . April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  25. ↑ Valentin, David (April 11, 2024). "Ford PCs Lead Liberals by 10, 49% of Ontarians Would Abolish Carbon Tax". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  26. ↑ "Ford vs. Poilievre: What Ontarians think plus the latest Ontario politics tracker". Abacus Data . March 25, 2024. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  27. ↑ Valentin, David (March 11, 2024). "Ontario PCs Lead Liberals by 10, Ontarians believe Province is Doing Best on Housing". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
  28. ↑ "Ontario Spotlight: Budget deficit adds to Ford government's challenges, as criticism on top issues mounts from all sides". Angus Reid Institute. April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  29. ↑ "Doug Ford's Tories are surging at the expense of Marit Stiles' New Democrats, poll suggests". Toronto Star . February 26, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  30. ↑ "Ontario - Provincial Voting Intentions And Assessment of the Ford Government" (PDF). www.thetrillium.ca. Pallas Data. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  31. ↑ Valentin, David (February 6, 2024). "Ontario PCs Lead Liberals by 8, No Confidence in the Healthcare system". Liaison Strategies. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  32. ↑ Wilson, Codi (February 6, 2024). "Ford's PC Party has eight-point lead over Liberals but Crombie gaining ground in some areas: poll". CTV News Toronto . Bell Media . Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  33. ↑ "Doug Ford's Tories are ahead, but ominous signs are on the horizon, poll suggests". Toronto Star . January 28, 2024. Retrieved January 28, 2024.
  34. ↑ "Bonnie Crombie is exposing vulnerabilities in Doug Ford's Tories, poll suggests". Toronto Star . December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  35. ↑ Martin, Robert (December 5, 2023). "Mainstreet Ontario, December 2023 Public". Mainstreet Research. Retrieved December 5, 2023.
  36. ↑ Coletto, David (December 1, 2023). "As the Ontario Liberals prepare to announce new leader, Ford PCs open up an 18-point lead over the NDP". Abacus Data . Retrieved December 2, 2023.
  37. ↑ "Canada This Month: Greenbelt Controversy" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. November 10, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  38. ↑ Coletto, David (October 18, 2023). "Ontario PCs rebound despite RCMP investigation starting". Abacus Data . Retrieved October 20, 2023.
  39. ↑ "Provincial Voting Intentions and Ontarians' Opinions on Ontario Liberal Leadership Candidates" (PDF). Village Media. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  40. ↑ Smith Cross, Jessica (October 2, 2023). "Support for Doug Ford's PCs nears all-time low, poll finds". The Trillium. Village Media . Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  41. ↑ "Greenbelt Grief: Ford's personal approval drops to five-year low, but voters still prefer PCPO to opposition options". www.angusreid.org. September 8, 2023.
  42. ↑ Coletto, David (September 6, 2023). "Ford's PCs down 7-points since the end of July as the Greenbelt scandal bites". Abacus Data. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  43. ↑ "Provincial Voting Intentions and Ontarians' Attitudes About Greenbelt Development" (PDF). Village Media. Pallas Data. August 30, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  44. ↑ Coletto, David (August 25, 2023). "Has the Greenbelt scandal hurt the Ford PCs in Ontario?". Abacus Data. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  45. ↑ Benzie, Robert (July 26, 2023). "A bad sign for Doug Ford's future? Majority of Ontarians think his decisions benefit 'friends and supporters,' poll finds". Toronto Star. Retrieved July 26, 2023.
  46. ↑ Fric, Curtis (July 6, 2023). "Ontario Provincial, July 2023 Public". Mainstreet Research. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  47. ↑ "Latest Ontario Polling From Mainstreet!". Twitter. Mainstreet Research. July 6, 2023. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  48. ↑ Benzie, Robert (June 12, 2023). "A front-runner has emerged in the Liberal leadership race, poll finds". Toronto Star. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  49. ↑ Coletto, David (June 13, 2023). "Ford PCs ahead by 9 as Ontario Liberal leadership race kicks off: Abacus Data Poll". Abacus Data. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  50. ↑ Nanji, Sabrina (July 20, 2023). "Exclusive: Crombie is tops, Ford is Teflon". Queen's Park Observer. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  51. ↑ "Provincial Performance: B.C. & Ontario governments face immense, growing criticism over handling of key issues" (PDF). www.angusreid.org.
  52. ↑ "Ontario Spotlight: NDP under Marit Stiles opens up gap over Liberals, but new leader still relatively unknown" (PDF). www.angusreid.org.
  53. ↑ "Ontario Politics: PCs lead by 13 as the public reacts to the story about the Ford family stag-and-doe and wedding". abacusdata.ca. Retrieved March 7, 2023.
  54. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). ipolitics.ca. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  55. ↑ "Angus Reid Ontario Spotlight: Ford government frozen out over key issues of inflation, health care, education". angusreid.org. December 15, 2022. Retrieved December 16, 2022.
  56. ↑ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Ontario" (PDF). ipolitics.ca. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  57. ↑ "Abacus Data | Ford vs. Education Workers: How are Ontarians reacting?". abacusdata.ca. November 6, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  58. ↑ "The 2022 Ontario Election in Review". Ekos Politics. June 27, 2022.
  59. ↑ "Ekos Data Tables" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 7, 2022.
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