2011 Ontario general election

Last updated

2011 Ontario general election
Flag of Ontario.svg
←  2007 October 6, 2011 2014  →
107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
54 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout48.2% (Decrease2.svg4.6pp) [1]
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Dalton McGuinty Crop 2.jpg Tim Hudak 2014 (cropped).jpg Andrea Horwath (cropped).jpg
Leader Dalton McGuinty Tim Hudak Andrea Horwath
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since December 1, 1996 June 27, 2009 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Ottawa South Niagara West—Glanbrook Hamilton Centre
Last election71 seats, 42.25%26 seats, 31.62%10 seats, 16.76%
Seats before702510
Seats won533717
Seat changeDecrease2.svg17Increase2.svg12Increase2.svg7
Popular vote1,625,1021,530,076981,508
Percentage37.65%35.45%22.74%
SwingDecrease2.svg4.60pp Increase2.svg3.83pp Increase2.svg5.98pp
Ontario Election 2011 Riding Results Map.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

Premier after election

Dalton McGuinty
Liberal

The 2011 Ontario general election was held on October 6, 2011, to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as the third party. In the final result, Premier McGuinty's party fell one seat short of winning a majority government.

Contents

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections were now held on fixed dates, namely the first Thursday of October every four years. [2] The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011.

The election saw a then–record low voter turnout of 48.2%, [1] only to be surpassed by the 2022 Ontario general election with 44.06%.

Timeline

2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Party leadership

In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 percent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011.

Campaign

Contests

Candidate contests in the ridings
Candidates nominatedRidingsParty
LibPCNDPGreenFreeLtnIndFCPCommOth [a 1] Totals
4121212121248
5303030303099174150
625252525251814846150
724242424241816151238168
888888553531164
95555554421945
103333323512530
Total10710710710710757513631943655
  1. ↑ Minor political parties fielding fewer than nine candidates are aggregated together.

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral districtIncumbent at dissolution and subsequent nomineeNew MPP
Barrie   Aileen Carroll [7] Karl Walsh  Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Bill Murdoch [8] Bill Walker  Bill Walker
Burlington   Joyce Savoline [9] Jane McKenna  Jane McKenna
Cambridge   Gerry Martiniuk [10] Rob Leone  Rob Leone
Carleton—Mississippi Mills   Norm Sterling [11] Jack MacLaren  Jack MacLaren
Chatham-Kent—Essex   Pat Hoy [12] Paul Watson  Rick Nicholls
Davenport   Tony Ruprecht [13] Cristina Martins   Jonah Schein
Don Valley East   David Caplan [14] Michael Coteau  Michael Coteau
Elgin—Middlesex—London   Steve Peters [15] Lori Baldwin-Sands  Jeff Yurek
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell   Jean-Marc Lalonde [16] Grant Crack  Grant Crack
Kenora—Rainy River   Howard Hampton [17] Sarah Campbell  Sarah Campbell
Nipissing   Monique Smith [18] Catherine Whiting  Vic Fedeli
Pickering—Scarborough East   Wayne Arthurs [19] Tracy MacCharles  Tracy MacCharles
Scarborough—Agincourt   Gerry Phillips [20] Soo Wong  Soo Wong
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Jim Brownell [21] Mark A. Macdonald  Jim McDonell
Timiskaming—Cochrane   David Ramsay [22] Denis Bonin  John Vanthof
Welland   Peter Kormos [23] Cindy Forster  Cindy Forster
Windsor West   Sandra Pupatello [24] Teresa Piruzza  Teresa Piruzza

Results

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011Change#%Change
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 10771705318Decrease2.svg1,625,10237.65%4.7%Decrease2.svg
Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 10726253711Increase2.svg1,530,07635.45%3.8%Increase2.svg
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 1071010177Increase2.svg981,50822.74%5.9%Increase2.svg
Green Mike Schreiner 107––––126,0212.92%5.1%Decrease2.svg
Libertarian Sam Apelbaum 51––––19,4470.45%0.3%Increase2.svg
Family Coalition Phil Lees 31––––9,5240.22%0.6%Decrease2.svg
Freedom Paul McKeever 57––––9,2530.21%0.1%Increase2.svg
Independent  36––––9,0210.21%–
Communist Elizabeth Rowley 9––––1,1620.03%0.01%Decrease2.svg
Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel3––––6760.02%–
Special Needs Danish Ahmed4––––6670.02%0.01%Increase2.svg
Reform Bradley J. Harness4––––6470.01%0.01%Increase2.svg
Paramount Canadians Ranvir Dogra4––––5620.01%–
Confederation of Regions vacant3––––5590.01%–
Socialist Michael Laxer 5––––5190.01%–
People's Political Party Kevin Clarke 4––––386––
Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras3––––366––
Republican Trueman Tuck3––––232––
The Only Party Michael Green3––––188––
Human Rights Marilyn McCormick2––––170––
Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar3––––156––
Paupers John Turmel 2––––140< .01%–
 Vacant2 
Total6551071071074,316,382100%
Source: "40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 1, 2014. Retrieved May 17, 2014.
Popular vote
Liberal
 
37.65%
PC
 
35.45%
New Democratic
 
22.74%
Others
 
4.16%
Seats summary
Liberal
 
49.53%
PC
 
34.58%
New Democratic
 
15.89%

Summary

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011
Party2007Gain from(loss to)2011
LibPCNDP
Liberal 71(11)(7)53
Progressive Conservative 261137
New Democratic 10717
Total10718(11)(7)107

Regional analysis

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)
PartyToronto905 BeltHam/NiagaraCentralEastMidwestSouthwestNorthTotal
   Liberal 171431734453
   Conservative 3310784237
   New Democratic 5142517
Total2218101114111011107

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2011 Ontario general election [a 1]
RidingWinning partyTurnout
[a 2] 		Votes [a 3]
2007 1st
place		VotesShareMargin
#		Margin
%		2nd
place		 Lib PC NDP Green IndOtherTotal
 
Ajax—Pickering LibLib19,60647.34%4,88811.80%PC44.84%19,60614,7185,952843–29941,418
Algoma—Manitoulin LibNDP11,58544.52%4,18816.09%Lib49.43%7,3976,14111,585684–21726,024
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale LibLib21,64843.70%4,5169.12%PC56.45%21,64817,1328,5211,477–76549,543
Barrie LibPC17,52740.66%2,5215.85%Lib46.00%15,00617,5278,1711,909–49743,110
Beaches—East York NDPNDP17,92546.82%4,11210.74%Lib51.64%13,8135,33317,9251,025–18938,285
Bramalea—Gore—Malton LibNDP16,62638.16%2,2775.23%Lib40.71%14,3499,89616,6261,0914911,11943,572
Brampton—Springdale LibLib15,66344.43%2,9098.25%PC40.54%15,66312,7545,378900–56235,257
Brampton West LibLib19,22443.76%4,79010.90%PC38.29%19,22414,4348,3311,432–50943,930
Brant LibLib16,86737.08%1,1062.43%PC48.23%16,86715,76111,00695724464945,484
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCPC19,56747.37%8,67821.01%Lib54.70%10,88919,5676,1332,6541,47858541,306
Burlington PCPC20,06140.41%2,1524.33%Lib54.83%17,90920,0619,3701,129–1,17549,644
Cambridge PCPC15,94737.69%1,9544.62%Lib46.04%13,99315,94710,4141,05627162942,310
Carleton—Mississippi Mills PCPC28,24650.29%9,10216.21%Lib53.50%19,14428,2466,3711,857–54956,167
Chatham-Kent—Essex LibPC15,12141.78%3,4909.64%Lib49.41%11,63115,1218,4151,027––36,194
Davenport LibNDP14,36745.93%1,4144.52%Lib45.59%12,9532,48014,36785525037431,279
Don Valley East LibLib16,35051.08%7,64523.88%PC46.08%16,3508,7055,953702–30032,010
Don Valley West LibLib24,44458.32%11,61727.71%PC50.93%24,44412,8273,621718–30741,917
Dufferin—Caledon PCPC17,83346.95%7,67120.19%Lib47.74%10,16217,8334,2005,540–25037,985
Durham PCPC22,39349.07%8,99919.72%Lib49.74%13,39422,3938,0271,221–59645,631
Eglinton—Lawrence LibLib20,75254.15%7,89520.60%PC51.81%20,75212,8573,76357514623138,324
Elgin—Middlesex—London LibPC19,77147.86%8,69621.05%Lib51.28%11,07519,7719,201981–28341,311
Essex LibNDP17,41737.99%1,3682.98%PC51.38%11,51816,04917,417860––45,844
Etobicoke Centre LibLib21,91651.48%7,96018.70%PC52.62%21,91613,9565,099837–76142,569
Etobicoke—Lakeshore LibLib22,16951.02%9,46421.78%PC50.01%22,16912,7056,7131,16422647143,448
Etobicoke North LibLib12,08148.46%6,00924.10%PC40.15%12,0816,0725,426541–81124,931
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell LibLib17,34543.18%1,3723.42%PC47.81%17,34515,9735,721770–36340,172
Guelph LibLib19,81542.43%7,86116.83%PC50.27%19,81511,95411,1503,23410044446,697
Haldimand—Norfolk PCPC25,20360.81%17,15541.39%NDP53.31%7,08725,2038,048868–24241,448
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCPC22,35245.43%5,83011.85%Lib54.98%16,52222,3528,5171,562–24549,198
Halton PCPC26,22844.47%3,1485.34%Lib45.99%23,08026,2287,7571,28616646458,981
Hamilton Centre NDPNDP20,58661.33%14,72543.87%Lib42.43%5,8614,42120,5861,2492681,18233,567
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDPNDP20,44251.72%10,04525.41%Lib46.26%10,3977,39520,442692–60139,527
Hamilton Mountain LibNDP20,49245.16%5,79812.78%Lib50.45%14,6948,64120,492748–79845,373
Huron—Bruce LibPC19,13842.76%4,47910.01%Lib59.23%14,65919,1389,32977220065644,754
Kenora—Rainy River NDPNDP10,94949.62%2,64211.97%PC45.75%2,2028,30710,949391–21622,065
Kingston and the Islands LibLib21,02848.84%10,78725.06%NDP45.03%21,0289,61010,2411,594–57843,051
Kitchener Centre LibLib15,39239.23%3230.82%PC49.16%15,39215,0697,38593813731739,238
Kitchener—Conestoga LibPC18,01744.18%3,5418.68%Lib46.62%14,47618,0177,1651,121––40,779
Kitchener—Waterloo PCPC21,66543.77%3,8287.73%Lib50.54%17,83721,6658,2501,30831612349,499
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex LibPC19,37945.74%6,95616.42%Lib54.08%12,42319,3798,882987–70142,372
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington PCPC22,45750.12%9,96722.25%Lib50.43%12,49022,4578,1041,754––44,805
Leeds—Grenville PCPC24,31463.60%17,65146.17%Lib50.64%6,66324,3145,8221,319–11138,229
London—Fanshawe LibNDP13,95340.77%4,27512.49%Lib45.82%9,6789,07513,95385219247534,225
London North Centre LibLib19,16743.91%6,53914.98%PC47.87%19,16712,6289,9141,451–49243,652
London West LibLib22,61045.65%8,00716.17%PC53.01%22,61014,60310,7571,194–36149,525
Markham—Unionville LibLib19,57952.58%7,85921.11%PC40.68%19,57911,7204,5751,104–25937,237
Mississauga—Brampton South LibLib15,57946.04%5,29215.64%PC36.43%15,57910,2875,4201,24761669133,840
Mississauga East—Cooksville LibLib15,53545.74%4,23812.48%PC40.50%15,53511,2975,70493419929433,963
Mississauga—Erindale LibLib20,55245.03%4,2589.33%PC43.91%20,55216,2947,768853–17645,643
Mississauga South LibLib20,37550.71%5,87614.62%PC51.25%20,37514,4994,044860–40140,179
Mississauga—Streetsville LibLib18,59151.54%7,93622.00%PC41.46%18,59110,6555,4941,329–036,069
Nepean—Carleton PCPC29,98554.48%15,14127.51%Lib49.91%14,84429,9858,1271,641–44055,037
Newmarket—Aurora PCPC21,42547.24%5,27111.62%Lib49.33%16,15421,4256,5141,256––45,349
Niagara Falls LibLib16,79435.89%4981.06%PC49.44%16,79416,29612,30475923140846,792
Niagara West—Glanbrook PCPC24,91950.95%12,21124.97%Lib54.88%12,70824,9199,0701,372–83748,906
Nickel Belt NDPNDP16,87654.86%9,42530.64%Lib49.55%7,4515,62516,876810––30,762
Nipissing LibPC15,38150.11%6,60621.52%Lib51.86%8,77515,3815,567971––30,694
Northumberland—Quinte West LibPC19,27939.80%7071.46%Lib51.88%18,57219,2798,5891,48315935748,439
Oak Ridges—Markham LibLib28,87844.78%4,9287.64%PC42.70%28,87823,9508,5481,5694841,05764,486
Oakville LibLib21,71148.09%4,58010.14%PC52.70%21,71117,1314,62587849830345,146
Oshawa PCPC16,71942.25%2,4036.07%NDP44.26%6,92116,71914,3161,035–58239,573
Ottawa Centre LibLib23,64646.81%8,93117.68%NDP53.73%23,6469,25714,7152,18430940050,511
Ottawa—Orléans LibLib21,85746.44%2,8546.06%PC52.65%21,85719,0034,979886–33747,062
Ottawa South LibLib21,84248.86%6,89715.43%PC51.19%21,84214,9455,9881,442–49044,707
Ottawa—Vanier LibLib19,61951.51%10,69028.07%PC46.81%19,6198,9297,4661,719–35238,085
Ottawa West—Nepean LibLib18,49241.62%1,0092.27%PC54.02%18,49217,4836,5761,485–39644,432
Oxford PCPC20,65854.87%11,24829.88%Lib49.18%9,41020,6585,8851,336–35937,648
Parkdale—High Park NDPNDP18,36546.20%3,4888.77%Lib51.79%14,8774,66818,3651,32528922839,752
Parry Sound—Muskoka PCPC19,41754.09%12,88035.88%Lib51.79%6,53719,4176,5273,251–16735,899
Perth—Wellington LibPC14,84540.09%2100.57%Lib51.89%14,63514,8455,836918–79137,025
Peterborough LibLib19,43039.93%4,1078.44%PC53.18%19,43015,32312,4601,235–21048,658
Pickering—Scarborough East LibLib18,20146.66%5,16813.25%PC49.69%18,20113,0336,4241,096–25239,006
Prince Edward—Hastings LibPC18,81642.28%3,1307.03%Lib51.74%15,68618,8167,3792,049–57344,503
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCPC27,59470.78%21,36354.80%Lib52.69%6,23127,5944,277574–30938,985
Richmond Hill LibLib18,04246.92%4,27911.13%PC42.49%18,04213,7634,9871,268–39438,454
St. Catharines LibLib17,16640.21%1,7053.99%PC51.00%17,16615,4618,6241,066–37842,695
St. Paul's LibLib25,04858.39%16,07637.48%PC50.41%25,0488,9727,1241,180–57342,897
Sarnia—Lambton PCPC19,57048.32%9,26322.87%NDP51.75%8,81919,57010,3075671,07716040,500
Sault Ste. Marie LibLib16,10954.95%7,07224.12%NDP49.35%16,1093,4779,037519–17229,314
Scarborough—Agincourt LibLib14,90746.85%4,68514.73%PC43.57%14,90710,2225,017722–94831,816
Scarborough Centre LibLib16,14251.43%8,63127.50%PC44.49%16,1427,5116,876558–30131,388
Scarborough—Guildwood LibLib15,60748.93%6,47020.29%PC47.65%15,6079,1376,194413–54331,894
Scarborough—Rouge River LibLib15,23741.87%2,1495.91%NDP42.89%15,2376,83713,088455–77336,390
Scarborough Southwest LibLib14,58544.09%4,18112.64%NDP47.78%14,5857,06110,404777–25033,077
Simcoe—Grey PCPC25,33954.33%14,93532.02%Lib48.12%10,40425,3396,8394,057––46,639
Simcoe North PCPC25,08155.16%14,89032.75%Lib50.98%10,19125,0817,7102,488––45,470
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry LibPC21,46355.25%13,05033.60%Lib51.40%8,41321,4638,021551–39638,844
Sudbury LibLib13,73542.37%5311.64%NDP49.94%13,7354,40013,2048704416432,417
Thornhill PCPC20,97146.71%2,5985.79%Lib45.35%18,37320,9714,024756–77244,896
Thunder Bay—Atikokan LibLib10,31938.97%4381.65%NDP46.61%10,3195,8159,88137986–26,480
Thunder Bay—Superior North LibLib11,76545.00%2,65410.15%NDP48.20%11,7654,5789,111555–13326,142
Timiskaming—Cochrane LibNDP12,63350.12%6,10124.21%Lib50.01%6,5325,33712,633312–39125,205
Timmins—James Bay NDPNDP11,47949.47%2,96412.77%PC46.84%2,8708,51511,479233–10823,205
Toronto Centre LibLib25,23654.94%13,66529.75%NDP48.42%25,2367,18611,5711,123–82045,936
Toronto—Danforth NDPNDP20,06254.01%8,69323.40%Lib49.30%11,3693,48820,0621,354–87537,148
Trinity—Spadina NDPNDP19,87042.36%1,1392.43%Lib43.00%18,7315,42019,8702,415–47046,906
Vaughan LibLib26,17453.02%10,75421.78%PC41.08%26,17415,4205,5946941691,31649,367
Welland NDPNDP19,52744.66%5,47912.53%PC51.64%8,63814,04819,5271,005–50543,723
Wellington—Halton Hills PCPC23,49555.62%12,16128.79%Lib51.11%11,33423,4956,1061,309––42,244
Whitby—Oshawa PCPC24,49948.17%7,51114.77%Lib49.69%16,98824,4997,8651,139–37150,862
Willowdale LibLib21,98450.84%7,45617.24%PC45.40%21,98414,5285,556874–29743,239
Windsor—Tecumseh LibLib15,94642.83%3,7189.99%NDP44.69%15,9467,75112,228830–47637,231
Windsor West LibLib14,12741.31%3,58310.48%NDP41.57%14,1278,47610,5441,051––34,198
York Centre LibLib14,69445.36%3,1889.84%PC45.74%14,69411,5064,57953512795432,395
York—Simcoe PCPC20,42552.78%10,92928.24%Lib42.91%9,49620,4256,6071,479–69038,697
York South—Weston LibLib13,80544.55%7342.37%NDP44.86%13,8053,44113,0714744515130,987
York West LibLib11,45550.49%3,55415.66%NDP39.24%11,4552,7357,90128720310722,688
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  1. ↑ "2011 Ontario General Election". elections.on.ca. Elections Ontario . Retrieved June 20, 2023. Error in EO report re Willowdale corrected: "Alexander Brown for Willowdale". willowdalendp.ca. November 7, 2011. Archived from the original on November 7, 2011. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  2. ↑ including spoilt ballots
  3. ↑ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Comparative analysis for ridings (2011 vs 2007)

Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2007) [a 1]
Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share
 %Change (pp) %Change (pp)
 
Ajax—Pickering  LibHold44.84-4.49
 
47.34-1.74
 
Algoma—Manitoulin  NDPGain49.43-5.06
 
44.527.577.57
 
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale  LibHold56.45-1.67
 
43.702.532.53
 
Barrie  PCGain46.00-5.95
 
40.661.441.44
 
Beaches—East York  NDPHold51.64-2.73
 
46.822.502.5
 
Bramalea—Gore—Malton  NDPGain40.71-2.95
 
38.1625.8225.82
 
Brampton—Springdale  LibHold40.54-2.91
 
44.43-6.24
 
Brampton West  LibHold38.29-5.63
 
43.76-2.43
 
Brant  LibHold48.23-4.46
 
37.08-12.08
 
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound  PCHold54.70-5.25
 
47.370.760.76
 
Burlington  PCHold54.83-4.08
 
40.41-0.93
 
Cambridge  PCHold46.04-3.65
 
37.69-4.01
 
Carleton—Mississippi Mills  PCHold53.50-1.80
 
50.292.462.46
 
Chatham-Kent—Essex  PCGain49.410.600.6
 
41.7813.0813.08
 
Davenport  NDPGain45.59-0.25
 
45.939.449.44
 
Don Valley East  LibHold46.08-5.22
 
51.08-4.55
 
Don Valley West  LibHold50.93-8.27
 
58.327.887.88
 
Dufferin—Caledon  PCHold47.74-4.76
 
46.955.105.1
 
Durham  PCHold49.74-4.61
 
49.072.122.12
 
Eglinton—Lawrence  LibHold51.81-3.82
 
54.1510.9210.92
 
Elgin—Middlesex—London  PCGain51.28-1.81
 
47.8617.4017.4
 
Essex  NDPGain51.382.692.69
 
37.9917.2217.22
 
Etobicoke Centre  LibHold52.62-6.78
 
51.481.411.41
 
Etobicoke—Lakeshore  LibHold50.01-3.61
 
51.025.035.03
 
Etobicoke North  LibHold40.15-5.04
 
48.46-6.39
 
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell  LibHold47.81-4.98
 
43.18-17.33
 
Guelph  LibHold50.27-6.77
 
42.431.521.52
 
Haldimand—Norfolk  PCHold53.31-2.94
 
60.81-0.11
 
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock  PCHold54.98-4.25
 
45.43-4.56
 
Halton  PCHold45.99-5.54
 
44.472.632.63
 
Hamilton Centre  NDPHold42.43-6.20
 
61.3316.6116.61
 
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek  NDPHold46.26-5.10
 
51.7214.0714.07
 
Hamilton Mountain  NDPGain50.45-2.89
 
45.1611.6411.64
 
Huron—Bruce  PCGain59.23-0.57
 
42.7612.2212.22
 
Kenora—Rainy River  NDPHold45.75-0.41
 
49.62-11.00
 
Kingston and the Islands  LibHold45.03-8.93
 
48.841.611.61
 
Kitchener Centre  LibHold49.16-0.42
 
39.23-6.67
 
Kitchener—Conestoga  PCGain46.62-2.63
 
44.187.157.15
 
Kitchener—Waterloo  PCHold50.54-3.08
 
43.772.932.93
 
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex  PCGain54.08-1.10
 
45.749.439.43
 
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington  PCHold50.43-1.65
 
50.129.549.54
 
Leeds—Grenville  PCHold50.64-4.47
 
63.607.367.36
 
London—Fanshawe  NDPGain45.82-2.39
 
40.7714.4514.45
 
London North Centre  LibHold47.87-2.13
 
43.91-3.26
 
London West  LibHold53.01-4.82
 
45.65-6.77
 
Markham—Unionville  LibHold40.680.170.17
 
52.58-6.89
 
Mississauga—Brampton South  LibHold36.43-6.04
 
46.04-7.74
 
Mississauga East—Cooksville  LibHold40.50-6.98
 
45.74-13.19
 
Mississauga—Erindale  LibHold43.91-3.17
 
45.03-2.82
 
Mississauga South  LibHold51.25-2.83
 
50.714.034.03
 
Mississauga—Streetsville  LibHold41.46-4.17
 
51.54-1.01
 
Nepean—Carleton  PCHold49.91-4.71
 
54.484.204.2
 
Newmarket—Aurora  PCHold49.33-5.88
 
47.244.534.53
 
Niagara Falls  LibHold49.44-1.64
 
35.89-11.64
 
Niagara West—Glanbrook  PCHold54.88-3.69
 
50.95-0.10
 
Nickel Belt  NDPHold49.55-4.01
 
54.868.278.27
 
Nipissing  PCGain51.86-4.93
 
50.119.409.4
 
Northumberland—Quinte West  PCGain51.88-3.04
 
39.808.598.59
 
Oak Ridges—Markham  LibHold42.70-5.07
 
44.78-3.43
 
Oakville  LibHold52.70-5.56
 
48.09-1.72
 
Oshawa  PCHold44.26-4.67
 
42.253.233.23
 
Ottawa Centre  LibHold53.73-4.52
 
46.8111.9011.9
 
Ottawa—Orléans  LibHold52.65-5.21
 
46.44-6.42
 
Ottawa South  LibHold51.19-5.41
 
48.86-1.28
 
Ottawa—Vanier  LibHold46.81-4.69
 
51.510.550.55
 
Ottawa West—Nepean  LibHold54.02-3.49
 
41.62-9.02
 
Oxford  PCHold49.18-4.54
 
54.877.607.6
 
Parkdale—High Park  NDPHold51.79-5.65
 
46.201.491.49
 
Parry Sound—Muskoka  PCHold51.79-4.97
 
54.096.876.87
 
Perth—Wellington  PCGain51.89-2.73
 
40.098.298.29
 
Peterborough  LibHold53.18-4.29
 
39.93-7.79
 
Pickering—Scarborough East  LibHold49.69-4.32
 
46.66-1.96
 
Prince Edward—Hastings  PCGain51.74-2.42
 
42.289.469.46
 
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke  PCHold52.69-4.86
 
70.788.448.44
 
Richmond Hill  LibHold42.49-4.74
 
46.92-0.91
 
St. Catharines  LibHold51.00-2.82
 
40.21-7.03
 
St. Paul's  LibHold50.41-5.59
 
58.3910.9610.96
 
Sarnia—Lambton  PCHold51.75-3.45
 
48.3210.1610.16
 
Sault Ste. Marie  LibHold49.35-6.21
 
54.95-5.18
 
Scarborough—Agincourt  LibHold43.57-2.44
 
46.85-11.22
 
Scarborough Centre  LibHold44.49-3.57
 
51.43-2.24
 
Scarborough—Guildwood  LibHold47.65-3.64
 
48.936.416.41
 
Scarborough—Rouge River  LibHold42.891.071.07
 
41.87-23.18
 
Scarborough Southwest  LibHold47.78-1.92
 
44.09-2.06
 
Simcoe—Grey  PCHold48.12-6.75
 
54.333.683.68
 
Simcoe North  PCHold50.98-3.08
 
55.165.345.34
 
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  PCGain51.40-0.41
 
55.2516.5216.52
 
Sudbury  LibHold49.94-1.17
 
42.37-16.40
 
Thornhill  PCHold45.35-6.82
 
46.710.790.79
 
Thunder Bay—Atikokan  LibHold46.61-5.75
 
38.971.281.28
 
Thunder Bay—Superior North  LibHold48.20-5.71
 
45.00-1.78
 
Timiskaming—Cochrane  NDPGain50.01-4.79
 
50.129.579.57
 
Timmins—James Bay  NDPHold46.84-6.92
 
49.47-2.14
 
Toronto Centre  LibHold48.42-1.49
 
54.947.097.09
 
Toronto—Danforth  NDPHold49.30-3.88
 
54.018.168.16
 
Trinity—Spadina  NDPHold43.00-6.64
 
42.361.211.21
 
Vaughan  LibHold41.08-5.23
 
53.02-8.88
 
Welland  NDPHold51.64-3.64
 
44.66-9.27
 
Wellington—Halton Hills  PCHold51.11-6.38
 
55.626.466.46
 
Whitby—Oshawa  PCHold49.69-3.85
 
48.174.164.16
 
Willowdale  LibHold45.40-4.11
 
50.843.123.12
 
Windsor—Tecumseh  LibHold44.690.650.65
 
42.83-6.51
 
Windsor West  LibHold41.570.550.55
 
41.31-8.88
 
York Centre  LibHold45.74-3.33
 
45.36-3.37
 
York—Simcoe  PCHold42.91-6.81
 
52.786.556.55
 
York South—Weston  LibHold44.86-1.48
 
44.551.611.61
 
York West  LibHold39.24-5.21
 
50.49-4.25
 

Maps

Principal races

Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
LibPCNDP
Liberal –401353
Progressive Conservative 34–337
New Democratic 134–17
Total474416107
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
PartiesSeats
█  Liberal █  Progressive Conservative 74
█  Liberal █  New Democratic 26
█  Progressive Conservative █  New Democratic 7
Total107
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
█  Liberal 53477107
█  Progressive Conservative 374426107
█  New Democratic 1716731107
█  Green 11015107
█  Libertarian 33639
█  Independent 11011
█  Northern Ontario Heritage 112
█  Family Coalition 2121
█  Freedom 1818
█  Special Needs 22
█  Communist 11
█  Confederation of Regions 11
█  Socialist 11

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

RidingPartyCandidatesVotesPlaced
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound █  Independent Shane Jolley1,4785th
Oak Ridges—Markham █  Libertarian Karl Boelling1,0574th
Sarnia—Lambton █  Independent Andy Bruziewicz1,0774th

Seats changing hands

There were 18 seats that changed allegiance from the 2007 election.

Resulting composition of the 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario
SourceParty
LibPCNDPTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned4721876
Open seats held64212
Byelection loss reversed11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated6410
Open seats gained538
Total533717107

Opinion polls

Polling FirmDate of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green Type of pollMargin of error
Angus Reid October 4–5, 2011 PDF [usurped] 3733263 Online 3.6%
EKOS October 3–5, 2011 PDF 37.731.523.35.9 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Forum Research October 4, 2011 HTML 3736233 Interactive voice response 3.1%
Angus Reid October 3–4, 2011 PDF [usurped] 3336265 Online 2.1%
Abacus Data October 3–4, 2011 HTML 3734244 Online 3.1%
EKOS October 2–4, 2011 PDF 39.029.723.16.6 Interactive voice response 2.2%
Nanos Research October 2–3, 2011 PDF 40.133.023.22.8 Telephone 4.2%
EKOS October 2–3, 2011 PDF 39.129.124.56.0 Interactive voice response 2.9%
Nanos Research October 1–3, 2011 PDF 37.733.225.82.1 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid September 30 – October 3, 2011 PDF 4131253 Telephone 3.1%
Nanos Research September 30 – October 2, 2011 PDF 35.936.425.71.2 Telephone 3.5%
EKOS September 29 – October 2, 2011 PDF 37.830.622.77.3 Interactive voice response 2.8%
Nanos Research September 29 – October 1, 2011 PDF 36.53426.81.9 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research September 28–30, 2011 PDF 38.035.324.61.8 Telephone 3.5%
Angus Reid September 28–30, 2011 PDF [usurped] 3334266 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 28–29, 2011 PDF [ permanent dead link ‍]3234295 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research September 28–29, 2011 PDF 37.734.425.52.0 Telephone 4.3%
Environics September 26–28, 2011 HTML 3536253 Online
Abacus Data September 23–25, 2011 PDF 3337236 Online 2.9%
EKOS September 21–25, 2011 PDF 34.931.424.77.6 Interactive voice response 2.3%
Forum Research September 22–23, 2011 HTML 3535235 Interactive voice response 0.5%
Angus Reid September 13–15, 2011 HTML [usurped] 3236266 Online 3.1%
Leger Marketing September 12–15, 2011 PDF [ permanent dead link ‍]3336265 Online 3.1%
Abacus Data September 9–12, 2011 HTML 3241206 Online 3.2%
Nanos Research September 10–11, 2011 PDF 38.134.724.32.7 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid September 7–11, 2011 HTML Archived September 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 3837241 Telephone 3.5%
Harris-Decima August 25 – September 4, 2011 HTML 4029246 Telephone 3.8%
Nanos Research August 30 – September 1, 2011 PDF 31.935.422.84.1 Telephone 3.1%
Forum Research August 29–30, 2011 HTML 3035267 Interactive voice response 2.0%
Angus Reid August 25–28, 2011 PDF [usurped] 3138246 Online 3.1%
Nanos Research August 10–13, 2011 PDF 37.642.116.23.4 Telephone 3.4%
Ipsos Reid July 29 – August 4, 2011 HTML Archived October 9, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 3638233 Telephone 4.9%
Forum Research July 27–28, 2011 HTML 2838247 Interactive voice response 2.1%
Ipsos Reid June 7 – July 7, 2011 HTML Archived October 3, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 3142225 Telephone 3.5%
Forum Research June 21–22, 2011 HTML 2641228 Interactive voice response 1.7%
Ipsos Reid May 17 – June 9, 2011 HTML 3440206 Telephone 3.5%
Nanos Research May 14–15, 2011 PDF 3441195 Telephone 4.7%
Nanos Research March 8–11, 2011 PDF 3544164 Telephone 4.9%
Nanos Research January 31 – February 3, 2011 PDF 3943135 Telephone 4.7%
Ipsos Reid January 20, 2011 HTML Archived January 29, 2011, at the Wayback Machine 3538179 Telephone
Ipsos Reid November 18, 2010 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]3241207
Angus Reid September 28, 2010 PDF [usurped] 2941228 Online 3.5%
Ipsos Reid August 21, 2010 HTML 35361811
Ipsos Reid June 19, 2010 HTML 37322011
Nanos Research February 9–10, 2010 PDF 41.437.912.87.9 Telephone 4.9%
Ipsos Reid December 13, 2009 HTML 38341510
Angus Reid December 4, 2009 PDF 27412011
Nanos Research October 24–25, 2009 PDF 36.63517.29.8 Telephone 4.8%
Environics October 2009 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]32371911
Environics June 2009 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]4432158
Environics April 2009 HTML 44291711
Environics January 2009 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]45321211
Environics November 2008 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]35302113
Environics June 2008 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]41311612
Environics March 2008 HTML 38301912
Environics January 2008 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]4534182
Environics November 2007 HTML [ permanent dead link ‍]4431223
Election 2007 October 10, 2007 PDF 42.331.616.88.0

Media endorsements

Liberals

Progressive Conservatives

Did not endorse

Notes

  1. ↑ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario . Retrieved December 15, 2022.

References

  1. 1 2 "Statistical Summary" (PDF). [Elections Ontario]. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 25, 2018. Retrieved March 24, 2018.
  2. ↑ "Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005". Service Ontario e-laws. December 15, 2005. Archived from the original on June 13, 2011. Retrieved May 19, 2008.
  3. ↑ "Robert Benzie and Susan Delacourt. "Ontario cabinet minister to seek federal seat." Toronto Star". Toronto Star . Archived from the original on October 23, 2012. Retrieved September 7, 2017.
  4. ↑ Benzie, Robert (June 4, 2011). "Retiring Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier dead". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on June 7, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  5. ↑ "Elections Ontario - When to Vote". Wemakevotingeasy.ca. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  6. ↑ "Ontario leaders' debate set for Sept. 27". CBC.ca. September 2, 2011. Archived from the original on September 3, 2011. Retrieved September 2, 2011.
  7. ↑ Examiner staff (January 21, 2011). "Aileen Carroll won't seek a second term". The Barrie Examiner. Barrie, ON. Archived from the original on July 22, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  8. ↑ Benzie, Robert (July 5, 2010). "Conservative MPP Bill Murdoch to ride off into the sunset". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  9. ↑ The Canadian Press (February 21, 2011). "MPP Savoline will not seek re-election". The Hamilton Spectator. Hamilton. Archived from the original on July 17, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  10. ↑ Nugget, Carol-Ann (October 14, 2010). "MPP Gerry Martiniuk to retire from provincial politics in 2011". Cambridge Now. Cambridge, ON. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  11. ↑ "Veteran Ontario MPP Norm Sterling loses bitter PC nomination battle " Archived March 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine . Globe and Mail.
  12. ↑ QMI Agency (November 25, 2010). "Hoy won't seek re-election". London Free Press. London, ON. Archived from the original on March 19, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  13. ↑ Liberal backbencher Tony Ruprecht won’t seek re-election Archived October 24, 2012, at the Wayback Machine "Toronto Star"
  14. ↑ Liberal MPP Caplan not running again Archived October 24, 2012, at the Wayback Machine "Toronto Star"
  15. ↑ Chant, Miranda (November 9, 2011). "Elgin-Middlesex-London MPP Calls it Quits". News/Talk 1290 CJBK. London, ON. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  16. ↑ Sherwin, Fred (April 13, 2011). "Veteran MPP calls it a day after 41 years in politics". Orléans Online. Ottawa. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  17. ↑ Robert, Benzie (July 30, 2011). "Former NDP leader Howard Hampton quits". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved July 30, 2011.
  18. ↑ Cramer, Brandi (November 19, 2011). "Smith steps aside: MPP recalls her accomplishments and regrets". North Bay Nugget. North Bay, ON. Archived from the original on July 20, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  19. ↑ "Longtime Pickering politician calls it quits" [ permanent dead link ]. Pickering News Advertiser.
  20. ↑ The Canadian Press (March 25, 2011). "Veteran MPP Gerry Phillips the latest Ontario Liberal not seeking re-election". iPolitics.ca. Archived from the original on July 20, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  21. ↑ CTV staff (November 29, 2010). "Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier retires". CTV Ottawa. Ottawa. Archived from the original on October 22, 2012. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  22. ↑ Blizzard, Christine (January 13, 2011). "MPP David Ramsay won't run again". The Toronto Sun. Toronto. Archived from the original on September 16, 2011. Retrieved June 6, 2011.
  23. ↑ Talaga, Tanya (June 3, 2011). "NDP's Peter Kormos to retire". The Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 3, 2011.
  24. ↑ Benzie, Robert; Rob Ferguson (June 10, 2011). "Liberals lose a star: Sandra Pupatello won't seek re-election". Toronto Star. Toronto. Archived from the original on October 24, 2012. Retrieved June 10, 2011.
  25. ↑ "Simcoe County Breaking News - Simcoe County's Online Newspaper". Simcoe.com. Archived from the original on March 15, 2012. Retrieved April 15, 2019.
  26. ↑ Canada. "Dalton McGuinty's Liberals the best choice for Ontario's challenges". Toronto: The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on October 23, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  27. ↑ "Liberals, despite faults, are the best option". TheSpec. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  28. ↑ Ottawa Citizen October 4, 2011. "Hold your nose and vote Liberal". Ottawacitizen.com. Archived from the original on December 16, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  29. ↑ "Liberals best fit for Sudbury - Point of View - The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CA". The Sudbury Star. October 3, 2011. Archived from the original on September 13, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  30. ↑ "Liberals best choice for Ontario's future". thestar.com. Toronto. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on January 5, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  31. ↑ "Editorial: Liberals offer voters best hope". TheRecord. September 30, 2011. Archived from the original on November 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  32. ↑ The Windsor Star October 1, 2011 (October 1, 2011). "Ontario votes". Windsorstar.com. Archived from the original on December 9, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  33. ↑ "EDITORIAL: Vote for change". BramptonGuardian Article. September 29, 2011. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  34. ↑ "Progressive Conservatives the party to lead Ontario". DurhamRegion Article. September 29, 2011. Archived from the original on October 10, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  35. ↑ "On Thursday, Ontarians should vote Conservative". Nationalpost.com. October 3, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.[ permanent dead link ]
  36. ↑ "Ontario deserves better | Editorial | Opinion". Toronto Sun. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  37. ↑ "Editorial: None of the above | Editorial | Opinion". Ottawa Sun. October 1, 2011. Archived from the original on November 2, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
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