Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)

Last updated
Ottawa South
Flag of Ontario.svg Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South locator map.png
Ottawa South in relation to other Ottawa electoral districts
Provincial electoral district
Legislature Legislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP
 
 
 
John Fraser
Liberal
District created1925
First contested 1926
Last contested 2022
Demographics
Population (2016)121,055
Electors (2018)93,167
Area (km²)73
Pop. density (per km²)1,658.3
Census division(s) Ottawa
Census subdivision(s) Ottawa

Ottawa South (French : Ottawa-Sud) is a provincial electoral district (riding) in the Canadian province of Ontario, in the city of Ottawa.

Contents

History

The district was created in 1925 from part of Ottawa West. Prior to the 1999 election, the provincial district did not have the same borders as the federal district.

Prior to the 1967 redistribution, the riding shared no common area with the present riding. Present day Ottawa South could be found in the riding of Russell prior to 1967.

After having been firmly conservative for the first 60 years, it has been in the hands of the Liberals without interruption since 1987. From 1987 to 2013, it was held by two generations of the McGuinty family–father Dalton Sr. from 1987 to 1990 and son Dalton Jr. from 1990 to 2013. 45°21′N75°38′W / 45.350°N 75.633°W / 45.350; -75.633

Members of the Provincial Parliament

Ottawa South
AssemblyYearsMemberParty
Riding created from Ottawa West
17th  1926–1929   Thomas Birkett Progressive Conservative
18th  1929–1934 Arthur Ellis
19th  1934–1937
20th  1937–1943 George Dunbar
21st  1943–1945
22nd  1945–1948
23rd  1948–1951
24th  1951–1955
25th  1955–1959
26th  1959–1963 Irwin Haskett
27th  1963–1967
28th  1967–1971
29th  1971–1975 Claude Bennett
30th  1975–1977
31st  1977–1981
32nd  1981–1985
33rd  1985–1987
34th  1987–1990   Dalton McGuinty Sr. Liberal
35th  1990–1995 Dalton McGuinty
36th  1995–1999
37th  1999–2003
38th  2003–2007
39th  2007–2011
40th  2011–2013
 2013–2014 John Fraser
41st  2014–2018
42nd  2018–2022
43rd  2022–present

Election results

2022

2022 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal John Fraser 18,28245.14+5.51
New Democratic Morgan Gay9,61923.753.44
Progressive Conservative Edward Dinca9,39023.196.04
Green Nira Dookeran1,8854.65+1.57
New Blue Martin Ince6751.67 
Ontario Party Myles Dear3860.95 
Independent Daniel Thomas1540.38 
Communist Larry Wasslen1090.27+0.05
Total valid votes40,500100.0  
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots279
Turnout40,77942.48
Eligible voters95,361
Liberal hold Swing +4.47
Source(s)
  • "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18.
  • "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. 2022. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.

2018

2018 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal John Fraser 20,77339.63−10.40
Progressive Conservative Karin Howard 15,31929.23-2.63
New Democratic Eleanor Fast14,25027.19+14.82
Green Les Schram1,6183.09−1.26
Libertarian Robert Daigneault3420.65+0.07
Communist Larry Wasslen1140.22−0.08
Total valid votes52,616100.0  
Liberal hold Swing
Source: Elections Ontario [1]

2014

2014 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal John Fraser 23,70849.96+7.70
Progressive Conservative Matt Young15,23532.11−6.84
New Democratic Bronwyn Funiciello5,81712.26−1.93
Green Matt Lakatos-Hayward2,0344.29+1.23
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 2730.58−0.01
Special Needs John Redins2440.51+0.22
Communist Espoir Manirambona1390.29
Total valid votes 47,450 100.0  
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 432 0.91
Turnout 47,882 53.71
Eligible voters 89,150  
Liberal hold Swing +7.27

2013 by-election

Election signs for John Fraser (Liberal), Taylor Howarth (Green), Bronwyn Funiciello (NDP) and Matt Young (PC) Ottawa South 2013 by-election signs.jpg
Election signs for John Fraser (Liberal), Taylor Howarth (Green), Bronwyn Funiciello (NDP) and Matt Young (PC)

Dalton McGuinty resigned the Premiership of Ontario in February 2013, but decided to stay on as MPP of Ottawa South until the next election. McGuinty changed his mind however, and resigned on June 12 amid the "gas plant scandal".

Opinion polls

Polling FirmDate of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green OtherType of pollMargin of error
Forum Research July 31 PDF 3652930 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 30 PDF [ permanent dead link ]35421265 IVR 4.5%
Forum Research July 24 HTML 34481251 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 15 PDF [ permanent dead link ]37381752 IVR 5.1%
Forum Research July 3 HTML 42381743 IVR 5%
Forum Research June 13 HTML 34372242 IVR 4%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, August 1, 2013
Resignation of Dalton McGuinty
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal John Fraser 14,92142.33−6.53$ 95,351.00
Progressive Conservative Matt Young13,64238.70+5.2789,316.00
New Democratic Bronwyn Funiciello5,04214.30+0.9140,274.11
Green Taylor Howarth1,0993.12−0.112,212.50
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 2080.59+0.030.00
Special Needs John Redins1020.29−0.240.00
Independent Daniel Post910.26 0.00
Freedom Dave McGruer850.24 0.00
Pauper John Turmel 580.16 0.00
Total valid votes / expense limit 35,248 100.00 −21.16 $ 104,501.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 216 0.61 +0.12
Turnout 35,464 40.38 −10.81
Eligible voters 87,816   +0.06
Liberal hold Swing −5.90

1926-2011 elections

Map showing the winning party in each polling division shaded by vote percentage in the 2011 election Ottawa South 2011 results by poll map.png
Map showing the winning party in each polling division shaded by vote percentage in the 2011 election
2011 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 21,84248.86−1.28$ 74,137.81
Progressive Conservative Jason MacDonald 14,94533.43+3.7748,914.10
New Democratic Wali Farah5,98813.39+4.0715,509.77
Green James Mihaychuk1,4423.23−4.923,566.26
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 2520.56−0.240.00
Special Needs John Redins2380.53 0.00
Total valid votes44,707 100.00 −6.67 $ 104,477.24
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 222 0.49 −0.29
Turnout44,929 51.19 −5.41
Eligible voters 87,766   +2.88
Liberal hold Swing −2.52
2007 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 24,01550.13−1.30ᴿ$ 68,501.89
Progressive Conservative Richard Raymond14,20629.66−4.24ᴿ80,475.86
New Democratic Edelweiss D'Andrea4,4679.33+0.26ᴿ19,220.39
Green John Ford3,9028.15+4.49 2,069.63
Family Coalition David MacDonald9271.94+0.76 2,294.17
Libertarian Jean-Serge Brisson 3840.80 118.38
Total valid votes/expense limit47,901 100.0   +1.28  $ 92,129.40
Total rejected ballots3800.79 +0.17 
Turnout48,281 56.60 −2.17 
Eligible voters 85,305   +4.52 
Liberal hold Swing 1.47ᴿ
ᴿ Change based in redistributed results.
2003 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 24,64751.70+2.11$ 70,963.18
Progressive Conservative Richard Raymond16,41334.43−7.8075,453.48
New Democratic James McLaren4,3069.03+3.2312,014.97
Green David Chernushenko 1,7413.65+2.072,884.13
Family Coalition John Pacheco5621.18 9,388.75
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,669100.0   +4.11 $ 78,349.44
Total rejected ballots2960.62 −0.16
Turnout47,965 58.77 +1.03
Eligible voters 81,614   +2.12
Liberal hold Swing +4.96
1999 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 22,70749.59−3.76$ 62,090.51
Progressive Conservative Mike Nicholson19,33742.23+12.4120,397.04
New Democratic James McLaren2,6555.80−8.8614,683.16
Green George Brown 7241.58+0.260.00
Independent Meg Carson2430.53 8.09
Natural Law James Hea1210.26−0.580.00
Total valid votes/expense limit45,787 100.0   +58.44 $ 76,725.12
Total rejected ballots3600.78 −0.01
Turnout46,147 57.74 −8.77
Eligible voters 79,922   +82.50
Liberal hold Swing −8.09
Note: Boundaries significantly adjusted.  Percentage change not adjusted to reflected redistribution.
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1987, 1990 and 1995 elections. Ottawasouth1986.PNG
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1987, 1990 and 1995 elections.
1995 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 15,41853.35+7.48$ 38,581.00
Progressive Conservative Linda Thom 8,61829.82+5.3128,456.94
New Democratic Margaret Armstrong4,23514.65−11.2716,082.17
Green Karen Fyson3831.33−0.700.00
Natural Law Wayne Foster2450.85 0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 28,899100.0   −4.26 $ 44,698.00
Total rejected ballots2290.79
Turnout29,128 66.51
Eligible voters43,793
1990 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Dalton McGuinty 13,84545.87−5.01
New Democratic Margaret Armstrong7,82625.93+6.67
Progressive Conservative Darrel Kent 7,39924.51−5.36
Green Stephen Johns6122.03 
Family Coalition David Fitzpatrick5031.67 
Total valid votes 30,185100.0   −3.73
1987 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal Dalton McGuinty, Sr. 15,95250.88+15.53
Progressive Conservative Michael McSweeney9,36529.87−9.54
New Democratic Penina Coopersmith6,03819.26−5.99
Total valid votes 31,355100.0   −4.74
1985 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 12,97139.41−10.56
Liberal Andrew Caddell11,63435.34+6.34
New Democratic John Smart8,31125.25+5.07
Total valid votes 32,916100.0   +8.08
1981 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 15,21849.97+0.60
Liberal Robert Dyck8,83229.00+3.05
New Democratic Chris Chilton6,14620.18−2.80
Independent Ray Turmel2590.85 
Total valid votes30,455 100.0   −9.76
1977 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 16,66249.37+6.22
New Democratic Eileen Scotton8,75925.95−6.48
Liberal Patricia Thorpe7,75422.98−1.45
Independent Michael Holton5741.70 
Total valid votes 33,749100.0   −1.39
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1967, 1971 and 1975 elections Ottawasouth1966.PNG
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1967, 1971 and 1975 elections
1975 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 14,76743.15−8.52
New Democratic Eileen Scotton11,09932.43+7.88
Liberal Patricia Thorpe8,36024.43+0.64
Total valid votes 34,226100.0   −21.02
1971 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Claude Bennett 22,39251.67+4.16
New Democratic Don Francis10,63824.55+15.62
Liberal Ian Kimmerly10,30723.78−19.78
Total valid votes 43,337100.0   +52.84
1967 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 13,47247.51−6.99
Liberal Joseph McDonald12,35143.56+3.40
New Democratic William Hardy2,5318.93+3.59
Total valid votes 28,354100.0   +21.95

1954-1966: Ward 5 (Old Ottawa South, the Glebe) and that part of Wards 4 (Centretown) and 6 (Dalhousie Ward) south of Sparks Street and Wellington Street (West).

1963 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 12,67154.50+2.84
Liberal Joseph McDonald9,33840.16−4.06
New Democratic Peter Hopwood1,2415.34+1.22
Total valid votes 23,250 100.0   −7.54
1959 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative Irwin Haskett 12,98951.66−2.28
Liberal Archibald M. Laidlaw11,11944.22+2.35
Co-operative Commonwealth John Fisher1,0374.12+0.97
Total valid votes 25,145 100.0   −4.15
1955 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 14,15153.94−2.04
Liberal Kenneth Fogarty 10,98441.87+6.88
Co-operative Commonwealth Allen Schroeder8263.15−5.88
Labor–Progressive Daniel Nerenberg2731.04 
Total valid votes 26,234 100.0   −26.23

1933-1954: Capital Ward, Dalhousie Ward, Central Ward, Wellington Ward, that part of Riverdale Ward west of Main Street and that part of Elmdale Ward east of Parkdale Avenue.

1951 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 19,90855.98+0.85
Liberal Kenneth Fogarty 12,44434.99+6.45
Co-operative Commonwealth Melville Fleming3,2129.03−5.95
Total valid votes 35,564 100.0   +3.43
1948 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 18,95555.13−5.79
Liberal William R. Burnett9,81328.54+3.23
Co-operative Commonwealth Milton C. Anderson5,15114.98+1.69
Union of Electors Terrence O'Reilly2790.81 
Socialist Labour William Leckie1850.54+0.06
Total valid votes 34,383 100.0   −11.30
1945 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 23,61660.92+16.87
Liberal George Pushman 9,81325.31−9.24
Co-operative Commonwealth Eugene Forsey 5,15113.29−7.42
Socialist Labour E. Irving1850.48−0.21
Total valid votes 38,765 100.0   +43.87
1943 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Progressive Conservative George H. Dunbar 11,87044.05−6.15
Liberal Leonard L. Coulter9,31134.56−13.08
Co-operative Commonwealth Walter B. Mann5,57920.71 
Socialist Labour Edward A. Irving1850.69−0.11
Total valid votes 26,945 100.0   −22.45
1937 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative George H. Dunbar 17,44350.20+2.64
Liberal John H. Putnam16,55047.63+0.76
Communist Harry Binder4081.17+0.64
Socialist Labour Peter Leckie2760.79 
Independent James C. Sidey690.20 
Total valid votes 34,746 100.0   −2.69
1934 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Conservative Arthur Ellis 16,98347.56
Liberal Percy O. Wilson16,73746.87
Co-operative Commonwealth William Henry Chapman1,5314.29
Communist John Lyons1920.54
Independent Joseph B. O'Reilly1650.46
Independent Duncan McNaughton1000.28
Total valid votes 35,708 100.0  

1925-1933: Dalhousie Ward and Capital Ward

1929 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Conservative Arthur Ellis Acclaimed  
1926 Ontario general election
PartyCandidateVotes%
Conservative Thomas Miles Birkett 9,17162.27
Liberal Robert R. Sparks5,55637.73
Total valid votes 14,727 100.0  

2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
SideVotes%
First Past the Post 30,71865.84
Mixed Member Proportional 15,94134.16
Total valid votes46,659100.0  
Source
"Referendum Statistical Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-06-08.

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the provincial political parties:

PartyAssociation NamePresidentHQ Address Neighbourhood
Green Green Party of Ontario Ottawa South UnknownUnknownUnknown
  Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario Ottawa South Progressive Conservative Association Alan Wilde10 The Masters Drive, Ottawa, ON.Uplands
  Liberal Party of Ontario Ottawa South Provincial Liberal Association Carolyn KroppUnknownUnknown
  Ontario New Democratic Party Ontario New Democrat Party Ottawa South UnknownUnknownUnknown

Sources

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References

  1. "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 8. Retrieved 20 January 2019.