1948 Ontario general election

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1948 Ontario general election
Flag of Ontario.svg
  1945 June 7, 1948 1951  

90 seats in the 23rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
46 seats were needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
  GeorgeDrew.jpg Ted jolliffe 1942.jpg
Leader George Drew Ted Jolliffe
Party Progressive Conservative Co-operative Commonwealth
Leader since December 9, 1938 April 3, 1942
Leader's seat High Park (lost re-election) York South
Last election668
Seats won5321
Seat changeDecrease2.svg13Increase2.svg13
Percentage41.28%26.52%
SwingDecrease2.svg2.97pp Increase2.svg4.11pp

 Third partyFourth party
  Farquhar Oliver.JPG LP
Leader Farquhar Oliver A. A. MacLeod
Party Liberal Labor-Progressive
Leader since May 16, 1947 1945
Leader's seat Grey South Bellwoods
Last election142
Seats won142
Seat change
Percentage29.78%1.00%
SwingIncrease2.svg0.66pp Decrease2.svg1.63pp

Premier before election

George Drew
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

George Drew [a]
Progressive Conservative

The 1948 Ontario general election was held on June 7, 1948, to elect the 90 members of the 23rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario (Members of Provincial Parliament, or "MPPs") of the Province of Ontario. [1]

Contents

The Ontario Progressive Conservative Party, led by George Drew, won a third consecutive term in office, winning a solid majority of seats in the legislature—53, down from 66 in the previous election. Drew unexpectedly lost his seat, and thereafter announced that rather than return to the legislature, he would seek the leadership of the federal Progressive Conservative Party of Canada.

Campaign

The majority of races were three-way contests:

Riding contests, by number of candidates (1948)
CandidatesPCCCFLibL-LLab-PrUE/SCS-LI-PCI-CCFI-LabIndTotal
276114
3615960111183
41818182113272
54443211120
Total908188221553111289

Opinion Polls

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firmLast day
of survey
Source PCO OCCF OLP LPP OtherMESample
Election 1948June 7, 194841.2826.5229.781.001.42
GallupSeptember 1947 [2] 44183512
Election 1945 June 4, 194544.322.429.82.41.1

Outcome

George Drew (right) in the offices of the Ontario Department of Transportation the day after his party's election victory George Drew, Premier of Ontario, in Department of Transportation office after election victory.jpg
George Drew (right) in the offices of the Ontario Department of Transportation the day after his party's election victory

Despite winning a majority, Drew lost his own seat to temperance crusader Bill Temple. Instead of seeking a seat in a by-election, Drew left provincial politics to run for, and win, the leadership of the federal Progressive Conservative Party.

Drew was replaced as Ontario PC leader and premier by Thomas Kennedy on an interim basis, and then by Leslie Frost.

The Ontario Liberal Party, led by Farquhar Oliver, increased its caucus from 11 to 14, but lost the role of official opposition. Only one of the three Liberal-Labour MPPs sitting with the Liberal caucus, James Newman, was re-elected.

The social democratic Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (Ontario Section), led by Ted Jolliffe, formed the official opposition by increasing its caucus from 8 to 21 seats.

Two Toronto seats were won by Labor-Progressive Party MPPs J. B. Salsberg and A.A. MacLeod. The LPP was the official name of the Communist Party of Ontario. The LPP only ran two candidates, Salsberg and MacLeod, in 1948 down from 31 candidates in 1945.

Results

[1] [3]

Elections to the 23rd Parliament of Ontario (1948)
Political partyParty leaderMPPsVotes
Candidates 1945 Dissol. 1948±#%± (pp)
Progressive Conservative George Drew 9066665313Decrease2.svg725,79941.28%2.97Decrease2.svg
Co-operative Commonwealth Ted Jolliffe 81882113Increase2.svg466,27426.52%4.11Increase2.svg
Liberal Farquhar Oliver 88111113Steady2.svg515,79529.34%0.66Increase2.svg
Liberal–Labour 23317,6820.44%
Labor–Progressive A.A. MacLeod 2222Steady2.svg17,6541.00%1.63Decrease2.svg
Union of Electors Ron Gostick 139,2140.52%0.51Increase2.svg
Social Credit 27340.04%
Independent-CCF18,6130.49%New
Independent PC33,3400.19%0.17Increase2.svg
Independent 11,7660.10%0.30Decrease2.svg
Socialist Labour 59130.05%
Independent Labour 12530.01%0.60Decrease2.svg
Vacant
Total2899090901,758,037100.00%
Blank and invalid ballots16,935
Registered voters / turnout2,623,28167.66%5.12Decrease2.svg
Seats and popular vote by party
PartySeatsVotesChange (pp)
  Progressive Conservative
53 / 90
41.28%
-2.97
 
  Co-operative Commonwealth
21 / 90
26.52%
4.114.11
 
  Liberal
13 / 90
29.34%
2.442.44
 
  Labor–Progressive
2 / 90
1.00%
-1.44
 
  Liberal–Labour
1 / 90
0.44%
-1.89
 
 Other
0 / 90
1.42%
-0.25
 

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 1948 Ontario general election [1] [3]
RidingWinning partyTurnout
[a 1]
Votes
Name [a 2] 1945 PartyVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
PCLib/LLCCFLab-PrI-CCFI-PCI-LabIndUE/SCS-LabTotal
 
Addington PCPC6,49753.05%1,89115.44%70.02%6,4974,6061,14312,246
Algoma—Manitoulin PCPC4,90737.93%7515.81%74.89%4,9074,1563,87312,936
Brant LibLib9,55765.56%4,53731.12%63.78%5,0209,55714,577
Brantford PCLib7,01837.58%1,1726.28%73.80%4,8437,0185,84696618,673
Bruce PCLib7,17146.81%6364.15%74.45%6,5357,1711,61415,320
Carleton PCPC9,34361.88%5,97139.55%61.12%9,3433,3722,10028415,099
Cochrane North LibPC3,83836.89%1,25312.04%78.55%3,8382,3212,5851,65910,403
Cochrane South CCFCCF14,19050.91%5,99921.52%72.55%8,1914,30714,1901,18627,874
Dufferin—Simcoe PCPC7,03554.13%2,49919.23%57.91%7,0354,5361,42512,996
Durham PCPC5,85845.39%1,33610.35%71.27%5,8584,5222,52512,905
Elgin PCPC7,71344.58%5923.42%64.40%7,7137,1212,46717,301
Essex North LLCCF7,49736.49%7903.84%67.38%6,3446,7077,49720,548
Essex South PCPC8,35455.46%2,55916.99%66.29%8,3545,79591415,063
Fort William CCFLib6,86035.93%2251.18%73.47%5,5966,8606,63519,091
Glengarry LibPC5,55755.75%1,78817.94%71.63%5,5573,7696429,968
Grenville—Dundas PCPC6,99459.30%3,38528.70%52.91%6,9943,6091,19111,794
Grey North PCPC6,64939.78%3832.29%76.85%6,6496,2663,80116,716
Grey South LibLib7,82261.28%3,89230.49%71.91%3,9307,82276424912,765
Haldimand—Norfolk PCPC9,80546.67%1,7788.46%65.42%9,8058,0273,17521,007
Halton PCPC6,37739.45%1130.70%67.96%6,3776,2643,52416,165
Hamilton East PCCCF10,52842.82%1530.62%69.79%10,3753,68310,52824,586
Hamilton Centre PCCCF10,56142.15%1,6886.74%66.67%8,8735,61910,56125,053
Hamilton—Wentworth PCPC10,54246.42%4,10818.09%69.12%10,5425,7346,43422,710
Hastings East*PCPC5,16354.14%2,04821.48%63.69%5,1633,1151,2589,536
Hastings West PCPC8,50150.85%3,22119.27%61.88%8,5015,2802,93716,718
Huron PCPC7,56650.35%1060.71%75.35%7,5667,46015,026
Huron—Bruce PCPC6,67850.97%2551.95%75.50%6,6786,42313,101
Kenora CCFPC4,29238.82%5795.24%64.20%4,2923,7133,05111,056
Kent East PCLib7,53655.06%1,38510.12%77.18%6,1517,53613,687
Kent West PCPC9,82550.75%2911.50%62.38%9,8259,53419,359
Kingston*PCPC7,36746.42%1,0086.35%67.97%7,3676,3592,14315,869
Lambton East PCPC5,63247.85%5114.34%66.08%5,6325,1211,01811,771
Lambton West PCPC7,76548.90%2,49515.71%66.15%7,7655,2702,84515,880
Lanark PCPC10,07765.43%5,87938.17%67.91%10,0774,1981,12715,402
Leeds PCPC9,01851.94%2,60515.00%74.41%9,0186,4131,93217,363
Lincoln PCPC13,82641.69%3,2979.94%71.26%13,8268,36110,52945033,166
London PCLib12,73040.75%1,0273.29%64.23%11,70312,7306,80331,236
Middlesex North PCPC6,60143.35%1,2558.24%63.62%6,6015,3463,28115,228
Middlesex South PCPC6,95750.74%1,41310.31%68.06%6,9575,5441,20913,710
Muskoka—Ontario PCPC7,19741.42%3061.76%71.15%7,1976,8913,28817,376
Niagara Falls PCLib8,25340.07%4912.38%67.94%4,5828,2537,76220,597
Nipissing LibPC6,90340.01%1,2967.51%68.61%6,9035,6073,6831,06017,253
Northumberland PCPC8,36155.88%3,04720.36%70.94%8,3615,3141,28814,963
Ontario PCCCF11,75842.23%2,7319.81%73.25%9,0277,05811,75827,843
Ottawa East LibLib9,40745.83%1,6307.94%55.25%7,7779,4072,85948520,528
Ottawa South PCPC18,95555.13%9,14226.59%56.58%18,9559,8135,15127918534,383
Oxford PCPC9,40445.81%9414.58%61.71%9,4048,4632,66220,529
Parry Sound LibPC4,34337.57%4393.80%75.55%4,3433,9043,31411,561
Peel PCPC9,07047.25%3,67719.16%65.35%9,0705,3934,73319,196
Perth PCPC10,68645.04%1,0774.54%68.16%10,6869,6093,43223,727
Peterborough PCPC10,25742.89%2,52810.57%73.09%10,2577,7295,92723,913
Port Arthur CCFCCF8,73444.93%2,60213.39%62.77%4,5726,1328,73419,438
Prescott LibPC6,53756.01%2,19318.79%73.85%6,5374,34417961111,671
Prince Edward—Lennox PCLib6,20246.45%550.41%70.16%6,1476,2021,00313,352
Rainy River LLLL3,96956.32%89112.64%65.70%3,0783,9697,047
Renfrew North PCPC5,86444.51%3772.86%72.32%5,8645,4871,82413,175
Renfrew South PCPC6,74454.07%1,74313.97%69.49%6,7445,00172812,473
Russell LibPC5,29241.89%6975.52%58.29%5,2924,5951,6111,13412,632
Sault Ste. Marie CCFCCF6,51441.77%1,4339.19%67.36%5,0814,0006,51415,595
Simcoe Centre PCPC5,79141.73%1,78212.84%67.22%5,7914,0091,8051,76650613,877
Simcoe East PCPC6,37643.17%1,0026.78%71.60%6,3765,3743,01814,768
Stormont LibPC6,72939.96%2501.48%72.01%6,7296,4792,97665516,839
Sudbury CCFPC8,89229.01%2790.91%72.57%8,8926,9495,8218,61337830,653
Temiskaming CCFCCF4,85141.40%5614.79%79.83%4,2902,5764,85111,717
Victoria PCPC8,83059.92%4,17328.32%68.21%8,8304,6571,24914,736
Waterloo North LLLib10,20037.44%1,2504.59%62.20%6,72610,2008,9501,37127,247
Waterloo South PCCCF7,21035.68%7053.49%69.85%6,5056,4957,21020,210
Welland PCLib8,96136.33%110.04%72.48%6,7568,9618,95024,667
Wellington North LibLib7,76453.05%8936.10%71.06%6,8717,76414,635
Wellington South PCPC6,91336.97%6663.56%78.82%6,9136,2475,54118,701
Wentworth CCFCCF13,19046.35%2,3278.18%67.98%10,8634,40513,19028,458
Windsor—Walkerville PCPC7,73041.51%1,4227.64%53.63%7,7304,5856,30818,623
Windsor—Sandwich PCPC10,78153.46%5,21325.85%70.32%10,7813,6245,56819220,165
York East PCCCF21,62842.81%8811.74%63.76%20,7477,77221,62837050,517
York North PCPC10,44439.21%1,9027.14%66.63%10,4447,6538,54226,639
York South PCCCF19,32049.52%4,46511.44%67.97%14,8554,83819,32039,013
York West PCCCF18,62743.41%2,3835.55%69.42%16,2448,04118,62742,912
Beaches PCCCF9,91044.03%4401.96%71.98%9,4703,1269,91022,506
Bellwoods Lab-PrLab-Pr7,76437.17%1,2866.16%69.55%6,4782,2924,3537,76420,887
Bracondale PCCCF7,95645.00%1,1846.70%63.97%6,7722,9527,95617,680
Dovercourt PCCCF12,26248.16%3,03911.93%64.28%9,2233,97812,26225,463
Eglinton PCPC18,76751.62%9,54326.25%69.16%18,7679,2248,36636,357
High Park PCCCF11,56242.24%1,0173.72%74.88%10,5455,26211,56227,369
Parkdale PCCCF11,77839.52%6502.18%68.34%11,1286,90011,77829,806
Riverdale PCCCF12,42947.55%2,1598.26%65.32%10,2703,19512,42924526,139
St. Andrew Lab-PrLab-Pr9,89049.40%4,92624.61%71.22%4,9641,7573,4089,89020,019
St. David PCCCF8,53941.39%6763.28%66.08%7,8633,9088,5392536920,632
St. George PCPC10,16145.23%2,71112.07%61.19%10,1614,8537,45022,464
St. Patrick PCPC6,94644.06%1,59710.13%66.48%6,9463,4695,34915,764
Woodbine PCCCF12,98647.36%2,2928.36%68.97%10,6943,51612,98622227,418
  1. including spoilt ballots
  2. order is as given in EO reports
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = other incumbents renominated
  = campaigned as a Liberal-Labour candidate
  = campaigned as a Social Credit candidate

Analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCLibLLCCFInd-CCF
Progressive Conservative 4318153
Liberal 8513
Liberal–Labour 11
Co-operative Commonwealth 19221
Labor–Progressive 22
Total3045113190
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
  Progressive Conservative 5330790
  Co-operative Commonwealth 211345281
  Liberal 134528288
  Labor–Progressive 22
  Liberal–Labour 112
 Independent-CCF11
  Union of Electors 29213
 Independent PC123
  Socialist Labour 325
  Social Credit 22
  Independent Labour 11
  Independent 11
Resulting composition of the 23rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
SourceParty
PCCCFLibL-LLab-PrTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned40441251
Open seats held415
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated812727
Open seats gained1427
Total5321131290

Seats that changed hands

Elections to the 23rd Parliament of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 1945–1948
Party1943Gain from (loss to)1945
PCCCFLibLbr-PL-L
Progressive Conservative 662(15)7(7)53
Co-operative Commonwealth 815(2)(1)121
Liberal 117(7)1113
Labor–Progressive 22
Liberal–Labour 3(1)(1)1
Total9022(9)3(16)7(9)290

There were 34 seats that changed allegiance in the election.

See also

Notes

  1. While Drew legally continued to be Premier until he assumed leadership of the federal Progressive Conservatives in October 1948, Thomas Laird Kennedy acted as interim Premier until the election of Leslie Frost in May 1949.


References

  1. 1 2 3 "1948 Ontario general election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
  2. "Shifting vote support seen throughout Ontario, Quebec". The Windsor Daily Star. October 8, 1947. p. 12.
  3. 1 2 EO data errors on some riding results and candidate affiliations corrected per "Vote Polled By Candidates In Ontario Constituencies". Ottawa Citizen . June 8, 1948. p. 15.