1995 Ontario general election

Last updated

1995 Ontario general election
Flag of Ontario.svg
←  1990 June 8, 1995 1999  →
130 seats in the 36th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
66 seats needed for a majority
Turnout63.00% (Decrease2.svg1.45pp) [1]
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Mike Harris July 2003 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg Bob Rae, Toronto City Summit Alliance (cropped).jpg
Leader Mike Harris Lyn McLeod Bob Rae
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since May 12, 1990 February 9, 1992 February 7, 1982
Leader's seat Nipissing Fort William York South
Last election203674
Seats won823017
Seat changeIncrease2.svg62Decrease2.svg6Decrease2.svg57
Popular vote1,870,1101,291,326854,163
Percentage44.8%31.1%20.6%
SwingIncrease2.svg21.3pp Decrease2.svg1.3pp Decrease2.svg17.0pp
Ontario Provincial Election 1995 - Results Map.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
Premier before election

Bob Rae
New Democratic

Premier after election

Mike Harris
Progressive Conservative

The 1995 Ontario general election was held on June 8, 1995, to elect members of the 36th Legislative Assembly of the province of Ontario, Canada. The writs for the election were drawn up on April 28, 1995.

Contents

The governing New Democratic Party, led by Premier Bob Rae, was defeated by voters, who were angry with the actions of the Rae government, such as its unpopular hiring quotas and the Social Contract legislation in 1993. [2] These policies caused the NDP to lose much of its base in organized labour, further reducing support for the party. At the 1993 federal election, the NDP tumbled to less than seven percent support, and lost all 11 of its federal seats in Ontario. By the time the writs were drawn up for the 1995 provincial election, it was obvious that the NDP would not be reelected.

Riding name change

Acts were passed in 1991 and 1993, providing for the following name changes to ridings:

Campaign

The Liberal Party under Lyn McLeod had been leading in the polls for most of the period from 1992 to 1995, and were generally favoured to benefit from the swing in support away from the NDP. However, the party hurt its credibility through a series of high-profile policy reversals in the period leading up to the election. The most notable of these occurred when McLeod withdrew Liberal support from the Equality Rights Statute Amendment Act (Bill 167) introduced by the NDP government in 1994, which would have provided same-sex couples with rights and obligations mostly equal to those of opposite-sex common law couples and introduced a form of civil unions. Her decision was seen as cynical and opportunistic in light of the Liberals' earlier rural by-election loss in the socially conservative riding of Victoria—Haliburton. This gave the McLeod Liberals a reputation for "flip-flopping" and inconsistency while offending its socially progressive supporters.

The Progressive Conservative Party, led by Mike Harris, found success with its Common Sense Revolution campaign to cut personal income taxes, social assistance (welfare) rates, and government spending dramatically. Roughly half of his party's seats came from the more affluent regions of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), especially the suburban belt surrounding Metro Toronto, often called the '905' for its telephone area code.

In addition, by presenting himself as a populist, representing "ordinary Ontarians" over "special interests", Harris was able to build Tory support among working-class voters. Although there were regional variations, many working-class voters shifted directly from the NDP to the Tories during the election, enabling the latter to win formerly NDP ridings such as Cambridge and Oshawa.

The televised party leaders' debate is often regarded as the turning point of the campaign. During the event, McLeod further alienated many voters with an overly aggressive performance. Harris used his time to speak directly to the camera to convey his party's Common Sense Revolution platform, virtually ignoring all questions asked of him by Rae and McLeod and avoiding getting caught up in their debate. Since Liberal support was regarded by many political insiders as soft and unsteady, many voters who were previously leaning to the Liberals shifted to the Progressive Conservatives after the debate.

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PCO OLP ONDP OtherMESample
Election 1995June 8, 199544.831.120.63.5
GallupJune 4, 1995 [6] 423520—3.1—
Angus ReidMay 1995 [7] 443420—3.21,000
Angus ReidMay 1995 [7] 413621—3.21,000
May 24, 1995 [8] 3733~25——400
CompasMay 1995 [9] 364021—4.5507
EnvironicsMay 1995 [10] 265217—3—
Election called (April 28, 1995) [11]

During the 35th Parliament of Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PCO OLP ONDP OtherMESample
Angus ReidApril 1995 [11] 284621———
Comquest ResearchMarch 1995 [12] 303436———
Angus ReidJanuary 1995 [13] 27452094.51,007
EnvironicsJune 25, 1992 [14] 284225—3.21,000
EnvironicsMarch 1992 [14] 284323———
EnvironicsJune 1991 [15] 233634———
EnvironicsDecember 30, 1990 [16] 152458—3.21,030
EnvironicsOctober 1990 [17] 182751—3.21,007
Election 1990September 6, 199023.532.437.66.5

Results

Summary

The Ontario Legislature after the 1995 election. Oleg95.PNG
The Ontario Legislature after the 1995 election.

The Progressive Conservatives won a majority while the Liberals finished with less support than they had in the 1990 election. The NDP, despite improving their standing in some Northern Ontario ridings, were heavily defeated, falling to 17 seats and third party status. The New Democrats would remain the third party until 2018 when they returned to Official Opposition status. McLeod and Rae resigned their party leadership posts not long after the campaign. It was also the worst result for an incumbent Ontario governing party up to that time and would remain so until 2018 when the NDP finally surpassed the then-governing Liberals.

One independent candidate was elected: Peter North in the riding of Elgin. North had been elected in 1990 as a New Democrat, but left the NDP and declared his intention to run as a Progressive Conservative. The PC Party did not accept him as a candidate, however.

At least five unregistered parties fielded candidates in this election, appearing on the ballot as independents:

Overall

[1]

Elections to the 36th Parliament of Ontario (1995)
Political partyParty leaderMPPsVotes
Candidates 1990 1995±#±%± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Mike Harris 130208262Increase2.svg1,870,110925,546Increase2.svg44.97%21.46Increase2.svg
Liberal Lyn McLeod 13036306Decrease2.svg1,291,32610,808Decrease2.svg31.05%1.35Decrease2.svg
New Democratic Bob Rae 130741757Decrease2.svg854,163655,343Decrease2.svg20.54%17.03Decrease2.svg
Independent 60–11Increase2.svg33,07719,770Increase2.svg0.80%0.46Increase2.svg
Family Coalition Donald Pennell 55–––61,65749,174Decrease2.svg1.48%1.28Decrease2.svg
Natural Law Ron Parker 68–––18,32618,326Increase2.svg0.44%New
Green Frank de Jong 37–––14,10815,989Decrease2.svg0.34%0.41Decrease2.svg
Libertarian John Shadbolt18–––6,085(18,528Decrease2.svg0.15%0.47Decrease2.svg
Freedom Jack Plant12–––4,5321,483Decrease2.svg0.11%0.04Decrease2.svg
Confederation of Regions 6–––3,97171,902Decrease2.svg0.10%1.79Decrease2.svg
Communist Darrell Rankin 5–––1,015124Decrease2.svg0.02%–
Total6511301304,158,370100.00%
Rejected ballots42,15210,423Decrease2.svg
Voter turnout4,200,522129,868Increase2.svg63.001.45Decrease2.svg
Registered electors6,667,798351,849Increase2.svg
    Seats and popular vote by party
    PartySeatsVotesChange (pp)
    █  Progressive Conservative
    82 / 130
    44.97%
    		21.4621.46
     
    █  Liberal
    30 / 130
    31.05%
    		-1.35
     
    █  New Democratic
    17 / 130
    20.54%
    		-17.03
     
    █  Independent
    1 / 130
    0.80%
    		0.460.46
     
    █  Family Coalition
    0 / 130
    1.48%
    		-1.28
     
    █  Confederation of Regions
    0 / 130
    0.10%
    		-1.79
     
    █ Other
    0 / 130
    1.06%
    		-0.47
     

    Synopsis of results

    Results by riding - 1995 Ontario general election [1]
    RidingWinning partyTurnout
    [a 1]     		Votes [a 2]
    Name [a 3] [a 4] 1990 1st
    place    		VotesShareMargin
    #    		Margin
    %    		2nd
    place    		3rd
    place    		PCLibNDPFCPIndOtherTotal
     
    Algoma NDPNDP6,19044.47%1,58811.41%PCLib64.02%4,6023,1286,190–––13,920
    Algoma—Manitoulin LibLib7,23846.96%2,05413.33%PCNDP59.33%5,1847,2382,991–––15,413
    Beaches—Woodbine NDPNDP10,86242.44%2,93911.48%PCLib67.14%7,9236,15810,862–31933125,593
    Brampton North LibPC20,14849.47%5,34813.13%LibNDP59.17%20,14814,8005,288––49440,730
    Brampton South LibPC21,85949.67%6,62215.05%LibNDP59.78%21,85915,2375,6761,011–22944,012
    Brantford NDPPC13,74541.01%3,3279.93%LibNDP59.90%13,74510,4188,165762–43033,520
    Brant—Haldimand LibPC14,18447.81%3,59512.12%LibNDP61.67%14,18410,5893,0301,340–52729,670
    Bruce LibPC13,68042.70%2,6768.35%LibNDP69.34%13,68011,0044,2692,787–29632,036
    Burlington South PCPC24,83172.56%19,41656.73%LibNDP69.20%24,8315,4153,507470––34,223
    Cambridge NDPPC17,26946.93%5,47214.87%NDPLib59.56%17,2695,60611,7971,690433–36,795
    Carleton PCPC28,34964.96%18,60642.64%LibNDP62.05%28,3499,7434,046942–55843,638
    Carleton East LibLib17,78048.19%4,20911.41%PCNDP60.34%13,57117,7804,783––75836,892
    Chatham—Kent NDPPC10,46136.29%5461.89%LibNDP58.54%10,4619,9157,4441,008––28,828
    Cochrane North NDPNDP6,93545.62%1,98313.04%LibPC58.96%3,3164,9526,935–––15,203
    Cochrane South NDPNDP12,11452.45%5,52723.93%PCLib60.36%6,5874,05812,114–339–23,098
    Cornwall LibLib14,50759.70%6,66927.44%PCNDP55.53%7,83814,5071,719––23624,300
    Don Mills NDPPC14,89753.36%7,29026.11%LibNDP66.09%14,8977,6074,569–36248427,919
    Dovercourt NDPNDP9,04947.23%3,48818.20%LibPC63.22%3,5605,5619,049–26173019,161
    Downsview NDPLib9,14239.48%3601.55%NDPPC63.90%4,4449,1428,782–57221723,157
    Dufferin—Peel PCPC23,23966.00%14,73841.86%LibNDP65.37%23,2398,5013,470–––35,210
    Durham Centre NDPPC25,10758.34%15,29935.55%LibNDP65.02%25,1079,8088,120–––43,035
    Durham East NDPPC24,30361.79%15,78440.13%NDPLib63.79%24,3036,5128,519–––39,334
    Durham West NDPPC29,23254.58%15,25828.49%LibNDP63.83%29,23213,9749,444–904–53,554
    Durham—York NDPPC25,01860.40%16,97040.97%NDPLib63.45%25,0187,5128,048845––41,423
    Eglinton LibPC17,49648.82%4,59212.81%LibNDP73.65%17,49612,9044,597–12372035,840
    Elgin NDPInd12,43637.79%1,7765.40%PCLib61.17%10,6605,8013,445–12,43656532,907
    Essex-Kent NDPLib10,13037.01%1,7466.38%PCNDP58.85%8,38410,1307,8371,022––27,373
    Essex South LibLib14,51354.48%8,78332.97%PCNDP50.91%5,73014,5134,3481,550–49826,639
    Etobicoke—Humber LibPC18,12851.26%4,49412.71%LibNDP73.35%18,12813,6343,100–30819635,366
    Etobicoke—Lakeshore NDPPC14,87945.23%5,80517.65%LibNDP66.55%14,8799,0748,279–18647932,897
    Etobicoke—Rexdale NDPPC9,52136.57%8533.28%NDPLib59.51%9,5217,1738,668–48818826,038
    Etobicoke West PCPC18,34955.30%8,52325.69%LibNDP70.68%18,3499,8264,608––39933,182
    Fort William LibLib15,68157.32%8,56531.31%PCNDP63.29%7,11615,6814,561–––27,358
    Fort York NDPNDP10,76241.02%2,2808.69%LibPC64.86%6,0258,48210,762–26969926,237
    Frontenac—Addington NDPPC12,21138.52%1,9626.19%LibNDP62.52%12,21110,2497,3021,40441612131,703
    Grey—Owen Sound PCPC25,13863.21%16,87642.44%LibNDP65.58%25,1388,2623,4132,08270317039,768
    Guelph NDPPC17,20442.55%5,74514.21%LibNDP66.31%17,20411,45910,2781,03518726540,428
    Halton Centre LibPC30,62161.41%16,64433.38%LibNDP69.06%30,62113,9775,268–––49,866
    Halton North NDPPC19,24760.90%12,67940.12%LibNDP66.58%19,2476,5684,3621,239–18731,603
    Hamilton Centre NDPNDP8,01236.81%6903.17%LibPC54.71%5,7237,3228,012376–33121,764
    Hamilton East NDPLib11,08843.55%4,04615.89%NDPPC57.85%6,26311,0887,042681–38925,463
    Hamilton Mountain NDPPC13,85236.60%1,0282.72%LibNDP64.41%13,85212,8249,8371,329––37,842
    Hamilton West NDPPC13,30140.54%4,03412.29%NDPLib67.00%13,3018,9119,267880–45332,812
    Hastings—Peterborough NDPPC16,18754.17%7,85926.30%NDPLib67.44%16,1874,0568,3281,002–30829,881
    High Park—Swansea NDPPC10,55938.77%1,6606.10%NDPLib70.36%10,5597,1218,899––65427,233
    Huron NDPPC13,34346.16%6,33421.91%LibNDP70.00%13,3437,0096,9271,418207–28,904
    Kenora LibLib9,15253.72%4,05523.80%PCNDP52.02%5,0979,1522,788–––17,037
    Kingston and the Islands NDPLib10,31436.90%1,7436.24%PCNDP61.08%8,57110,3148,052858–15527,950
    Kitchener NDPPC13,37440.15%3,38210.15%LibNDP60.12%13,3749,9926,9982,111835–33,310
    Kitchener—Wilmot NDPPC17,39245.70%7,28619.14%LibNDP59.07%17,39210,1068,1462,415––38,059
    Lake Nipigon NDPNDP5,07942.99%1,61613.68%LibPC54.99%3,2733,4635,079–––11,815
    Lambton NDPPC12,03443.58%4,10914.88%LibNDP64.70%12,0347,9255,0552,184–41727,615
    Lanark—Renfrew PCPC19,95955.79%10,00327.96%LibNDP59.87%19,9599,9563,4557455571,10435,776
    Lawrence LibLib11,78445.88%3,82914.91%PCNDP65.08%7,95511,7845,000––94425,683
    Leeds—Grenville PCPC21,76363.27%12,80837.23%LibNDP63.06%21,7638,9552,316–43892734,399
    Lincoln NDPPC18,70950.68%7,83321.22%LibNDP68.09%18,70910,8765,8001,241–28836,914
    London Centre NDPNDP11,09636.77%1,7325.74%PCLib53.26%9,3647,55911,0961,041–1,11930,179
    London North PCPC23,19552.65%12,08327.43%LibNDP64.73%23,19511,1128,167777–80044,051
    London South NDPPC18,16144.35%7,43218.15%NDPLib61.88%18,16110,69310,72938732365340,946
    Markham PCPC37,31464.81%26,54446.10%LibNDP62.80%37,31410,7707,7791,088–62657,577
    Middlesex NDPPC15,68440.35%5,23613.47%LibNDP64.67%15,68410,4488,7993,481–45838,870
    Mississauga East LibPC16,46852.07%6,42920.33%LibNDP60.38%16,46810,0395,120–––31,627
    Mississauga North LibPC22,09547.76%4,4149.54%LibNDP57.37%22,09517,6815,283––1,20646,265
    Mississauga South PCPC23,11669.76%17,56553.01%LibNDP65.39%23,1165,5513,282–59659033,135
    Mississauga West LibPC26,61446.21%3,3395.80%LibNDP60.33%26,61423,2756,758––95257,599
    Muskoka—Georgian Bay NDPPC17,86451.79%9,76928.32%LibNDP65.50%17,8648,0957,742–38141134,493
    Nepean LibPC17,51049.66%3,93511.16%LibNDP64.97%17,51013,5753,274––90135,260
    Niagara Falls NDPPC12,13243.33%3,84313.73%LibNDP59.48%12,1328,2897,034–18935527,999
    Niagara South NDPPC8,81538.24%1,1815.12%LibNDP60.14%8,8157,6345,376536688–23,049
    Nickel Belt NDPNDP8,00746.54%2,45814.29%LibPC64.70%3,3055,5498,007–22511917,205
    Nipissing PCPC18,72260.48%10,83735.01%LibNDP63.68%18,7227,8854,350–––30,957
    Norfolk NDPPC17,33548.68%7,92222.24%LibNDP64.14%17,3359,4137,893972––35,613
    Northumberland LibPC19,35952.14%6,12616.50%LibNDP67.13%19,35913,2334,539–––37,131
    Oakville South PCPC21,68963.34%13,21038.58%LibNDP71.08%21,6898,4792,9731,103––34,244
    Oakwood NDPLib8,59942.31%9754.80%NDPPC65.74%3,2988,5997,624–30150420,326
    Oriole LibLib11,16443.70%1,0344.05%PCNDP68.39%10,13011,1643,665–24334225,544
    Oshawa NDPPC16,79354.33%8,34326.99%NDPLib57.66%16,7935,6668,450–––30,909
    Ottawa Centre NDPLib11,15039.26%1,7126.03%NDPPC63.88%6,71511,1509,438–17392428,400
    Ottawa East LibLib14,43656.94%9,06835.77%PCNDP53.21%5,36814,4364,818–13659625,354
    Ottawa—Rideau LibPC14,79645.11%1,5234.64%LibNDP61.29%14,79613,2734,138––59032,797
    Ottawa South LibLib15,41853.35%6,80023.53%PCNDP66.51%8,61815,4184,235––62828,899
    Ottawa West LibLib14,51645.48%1,6185.07%PCNDP64.43%12,89814,5163,718–24154431,917
    Oxford NDPPC17,56849.48%8,06722.72%NDPLib64.02%17,5686,5649,5011,061–80935,503
    Parkdale LibLib8,43547.87%2,64014.98%NDPPC64.03%2,8878,4355,795––50517,622
    Parry Sound PCPC15,52365.47%10,70245.14%LibNDP63.57%15,5234,8213,367–––23,711
    Perth NDPPC13,73544.81%5,29017.26%NDPLib62.90%13,7357,7228,445–32642730,655
    Peterborough NDPPC22,73552.66%12,40928.74%LibNDP66.23%22,73510,3267,5812,064–46443,170
    Port Arthur NDPLib14,28148.92%6,79123.26%NDPPC61.91%6,55414,2817,490683182–29,190
    Prescott and Russell LibLib24,80855.68%11,17125.07%PCNDP56.64%13,63724,8084,472–5641,07244,553
    Prince Edward—Lennox—South Hastings NDPPC14,14449.61%6,34622.26%LibNDP60.04%14,1447,7985,996––57128,509
    Quinte LibPC13,96147.28%2,1357.23%LibNDP58.79%13,96111,8263,743–––29,530
    Rainy River NDPNDP4,91239.93%2051.67%PCLib63.98%4,7072,6834,912–––12,302
    Renfrew North LibLib16,04453.32%6,36321.15%PCNDP61.00%9,68116,0442,4831,695–18730,090
    Riverdale NDPNDP10,94846.88%4,60019.70%PCLib64.66%6,3485,44310,948–27334123,353
    St. Andrew—St. Patrick NDPPC13,09240.43%3,67911.36%LibNDP67.16%13,0929,4139,231––64932,385
    St. Catharines LibLib13,76146.53%2,2757.69%PCNDP64.58%11,48613,7613,929245–15329,574
    St. Catharines—Brock NDPPC11,97647.02%4,60318.07%LibNDP62.56%11,9767,3735,521598––25,468
    St. George—St. David LibPC10,66233.87%3371.07%LibNDP70.61%10,66210,3259,672–42439231,475
    Sarnia NDPPC9,26033.81%6342.31%LibNDP61.31%9,2608,6267,4871,642376–27,391
    Sault Ste. Marie NDPNDP15,39243.33%3,72010.47%LibPC62.24%7,69911,67215,392––75735,520
    Scarborough—Agincourt LibLib13,47246.08%2,1357.30%PCNDP61.37%11,33713,4724,112––31329,234
    Scarborough Centre NDPPC12,71745.88%5,55420.04%LibNDP63.35%12,7177,1636,841–64934927,719
    Scarborough East NDPPC19,16655.72%11,95434.75%NDPLib64.69%19,1667,1977,212–27055334,398
    Scarborough—Ellesmere NDPPC13,28247.89%5,37619.38%NDPLib64.95%13,2825,6027,906––94727,737
    Scarborough North LibLib15,50746.08%4,99914.85%PCNDP58.67%10,50815,5076,431369–84033,655
    Scarborough West NDPPC11,77343.13%2,5579.37%NDPLib64.33%11,7735,3269,216–25473027,299
    Simcoe Centre NDPPC29,79058.25%17,72934.67%LibNDP63.06%29,79012,0617,65576928458051,139
    Simcoe East PCPC23,48960.97%14,44537.50%LibNDP66.52%23,4899,0444,849–87626638,524
    Simcoe West PCPC24,34668.24%18,84752.83%LibNDP63.01%24,3465,4994,937894––35,676
    S-D-G & East Grenville PCPC18,88464.69%11,29038.68%LibNDP62.48%18,8847,5942,285––42829,191
    Sudbury NDPLib12,34940.66%3,65112.02%NDPPC62.10%8,09312,3498,698–62960530,374
    Sudbury East NDPNDP11,23637.09%1,6425.42%LibPC62.30%8,6809,59411,236–47331030,293
    Timiskaming LibLib8,64346.78%2,45813.30%PCNDP64.13%6,1858,6432,962––68518,475
    Victoria—Haliburton NDPPC25,26768.42%18,98751.41%LibNDP66.16%25,2676,2804,21037864315136,929
    Waterloo North PCPC25,75759.42%17,02839.29%LibNDP62.32%25,7578,7296,8691,714–27543,344
    Welland-Thorold NDPNDP12,84842.71%4,21814.02%LibPC65.22%8,0898,63012,848––51730,084
    Wellington PCPC21,75366.70%16,04749.20%LibNDP65.00%21,7535,7064,104782–26932,614
    Wentworth East NDPPC15,88844.50%3,60610.10%LibNDP64.56%15,88812,2826,667–863–35,700
    Wentworth North NDPPC21,16555.65%10,77228.32%LibNDP70.97%21,16510,3936,474–––38,032
    Willowdale PCPC18,83453.99%8,96425.70%LibNDP68.94%18,8349,8704,825–71563934,883
    Wilson Heights LibLib12,46844.64%2,6969.65%PCNDP62.76%9,77212,4684,61223110974127,933
    Windsor—Riverside NDPNDP12,34745.70%2,93510.86%LibPC54.02%4,4409,41212,347459–36227,020
    Windsor—Sandwich NDPLib11,94047.12%5,52621.81%NDPPC50.11%5,70411,9406,41461041026325,341
    Windsor—Walkerville NDPLib10,28141.28%3801.53%NDPPC52.54%3,61010,2819,901957–15624,905
    York Centre LibPC37,89748.94%8,74711.30%LibNDP60.80%37,89729,1506,6981,891–1,79277,428
    York East NDPPC12,78941.65%3,26310.63%NDPLib69.59%12,7897,3989,526–74824330,704
    York Mills PCPC18,85263.58%11,53438.90%LibNDP69.31%18,8527,3182,930––55329,653
    York—Mackenzie LibPC25,90458.33%11,93126.86%LibNDP67.21%25,90413,9733,611498–42544,411
    York South NDPNDP10,44241.24%2,71610.73%PCLib69.13%7,7266,02510,44230517065325,321
    Yorkview NDPLib9,24546.97%2,79814.22%NDPPC60.99%3,9899,2456,447–––19,681
    1. ↑ including spoilt ballots
    2. ↑ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
    3. ↑ order is as given in EO reports
    4. ↑ Names are as specified in 1976 Act plus 1990 amendment - EO file has errors
      = open seat
      = turnout is above provincial average
      = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
      = incumbent had switched allegiance
      = incumbency arose from byelection gain
      = previously incumbent in another riding
      = other incumbents renominated
      = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
      = multiple candidates

    Comparative analysis for ridings (1995 vs 1990)

    Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 1990) [a 1]
    Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share
     %Change (pp) %Change (pp)
     
    Algoma NDPHold64.02-1.60
     
    		44.47-14.18
     
    Algoma—Manitoulin LibHold59.33-1.92
     
    		46.968.108.1
     
    Beaches—Woodbine NDPHold67.141.191.19
     
    		42.44-15.91
     
    Brampton North PCGain59.170.820.82
     
    		49.4726.7026.7
     
    Brampton South PCGain59.780.430.43
     
    		49.6721.1721.17
     
    Brantford PCGain59.90-6.81
     
    		41.0132.5432.54
     
    Brant—Haldimand PCGain61.670.490.49
     
    		47.8126.1726.17
     
    Bruce PCGain69.340.420.42
     
    		42.7018.5518.55
     
    Burlington South PCHold69.20-0.28
     
    		72.5620.0220.02
     
    Cambridge PCGain59.56-5.28
     
    		46.9334.6334.63
     
    Carleton PCHold62.05-3.10
     
    		64.9618.0618.06
     
    Carleton East LibHold60.34-3.18
     
    		48.19-5.68
     
    Chatham—Kent PCGain58.54-4.47
     
    		36.2918.2418.24
     
    Cochrane North NDPHold58.96-3.21
     
    		45.625.155.15
     
    Cochrane South NDPHold60.36-2.59
     
    		52.454.834.83
     
    Cornwall LibHold55.53-8.26
     
    		59.7013.1713.17
     
    Don Mills PCGain66.091.851.85
     
    		53.3626.5726.57
     
    Dovercourt NDPHold63.22-3.04
     
    		47.23-7.02
     
    Downsview LibGain63.90-2.18
     
    		39.484.884.88
     
    Dufferin—Peel PCHold65.37-1.20
     
    		66.0031.3431.34
     
    Durham Centre PCGain65.023.793.79
     
    		58.3432.3432.34
     
    Durham East PCGain63.790.360.36
     
    		61.7929.2029.2
     
    Durham West PCGain63.831.471.47
     
    		54.5829.0229.02
     
    Durham—York PCGain63.451.551.55
     
    		60.4030.3430.34
     
    Eglinton PCGain73.653.673.67
     
    		48.8213.3713.37
     
    Elgin IndGain61.17-5.34
     
    		37.79New
    Essex-Kent LibGain58.85-8.67
     
    		37.013.913.91
     
    Essex South LibHold50.91-8.49
     
    		54.4818.4618.46
     
    Etobicoke—Humber PCGain73.353.053.05
     
    		51.2624.8524.85
     
    Etobicoke—Lakeshore PCGain66.550.400.4
     
    		45.2329.9029.9
     
    Etobicoke—Rexdale PCGain59.51-1.91
     
    		36.5724.2224.22
     
    Etobicoke West PCHold70.680.810.81
     
    		55.3014.7414.74
     
    Fort William LibHold63.290.550.55
     
    		57.3212.8812.88
     
    Fort York NDPHold64.861.381.38
     
    		41.02-5.29
     
    Frontenac—Addington PCGain62.52-2.63
     
    		38.5210.3710.37
     
    Grey—Owen Sound PCHold65.580.380.38
     
    		63.2127.1027.1
     
    Guelph PCGain66.31-3.17
     
    		42.5516.9016.9
     
    Halton Centre PCGain69.065.945.94
     
    		61.4129.5329.53
     
    Halton North PCGain66.582.082.08
     
    		60.9033.6433.64
     
    Hamilton Centre NDPHold54.71-5.07
     
    		36.81-18.51
     
    Hamilton East LibGain57.85-3.85
     
    		43.5524.0524.05
     
    Hamilton Mountain PCGain64.41-2.14
     
    		36.6016.1216.12
     
    Hamilton West PCGain67.00-0.90
     
    		40.5427.2327.23
     
    Hastings—Peterborough PCGain67.44-1.32
     
    		54.1717.4517.45
     
    High Park—Swansea PCGain70.365.545.54
     
    		38.7720.3320.33
     
    Huron PCGain70.00-1.47
     
    		46.1614.9814.98
     
    Kenora LibHold52.02-9.66
     
    		53.7213.1713.17
     
    Kingston and the Islands LibGain61.084.094.09
     
    		36.906.726.72
     
    Kitchener PCGain60.12-2.78
     
    		40.1521.8521.85
     
    Kitchener—Wilmot PCGain59.07-1.02
     
    		45.7025.6025.6
     
    Lake Nipigon NDPHold54.99-5.00
     
    		42.99-22.21
     
    Lambton PCGain64.70-3.47
     
    		43.5815.8815.88
     
    Lanark—Renfrew PCHold59.87-0.51
     
    		55.7923.3123.31
     
    Lawrence LibHold65.08-0.60
     
    		45.881.181.18
     
    Leeds—Grenville PCHold63.06-3.12
     
    		63.2714.2014.2
     
    Lincoln PCGain68.090.020.02
     
    		50.6823.1323.13
     
    London Centre NDPHold53.26-12.79
     
    		36.77-14.54
     
    London North PCHold64.73-3.07
     
    		52.6511.3511.35
     
    London South PCGain61.88-3.73
     
    		44.3520.4520.45
     
    Markham PCHold62.80-1.60
     
    		64.8114.8414.84
     
    Middlesex PCGain64.67-4.14
     
    		40.3517.0117.01
     
    Mississauga East PCGain60.38-1.24
     
    		52.0725.9225.92
     
    Mississauga North PCGain57.37-0.40
     
    		47.7623.8723.87
     
    Mississauga South PCHold65.39-0.30
     
    		69.7617.3117.31
     
    Mississauga West PCGain60.330.740.74
     
    		46.2121.1021.1
     
    Muskoka—Georgian Bay PCGain65.50-2.15
     
    		51.7919.9919.99
     
    Nepean PCGain64.972.052.05
     
    		49.6619.1319.13
     
    Niagara Falls PCGain59.48-3.90
     
    		43.3330.3230.32
     
    Niagara South PCGain60.14-4.97
     
    		38.2421.4221.42
     
    Nickel Belt NDPHold64.70-4.37
     
    		46.54-12.00
     
    Nipissing PCHold63.68-6.48
     
    		60.4814.6314.63
     
    Norfolk PCGain64.14-3.81
     
    		48.6820.0120.01
     
    Northumberland PCGain67.130.210.21
     
    		52.1421.6721.67
     
    Oakville South PCHold71.084.364.36
     
    		63.3428.3628.36
     
    Oakwood LibGain65.74-1.94
     
    		42.314.234.23
     
    Oriole LibHold68.392.262.26
     
    		43.701.851.85
     
    Oshawa PCGain57.665.675.67
     
    		54.3340.0840.08
     
    Ottawa Centre LibGain63.88-3.29
     
    		39.260.980.98
     
    Ottawa East LibHold53.21-2.02
     
    		56.94-5.47
     
    Ottawa—Rideau PCGain61.291.331.33
     
    		45.1127.4927.49
     
    Ottawa South LibHold66.51-2.05
     
    		53.357.487.48
     
    Ottawa West LibHold64.43-1.25
     
    		45.483.873.87
     
    Oxford PCGain64.02-3.63
     
    		49.4822.4722.47
     
    Parkdale LibHold64.032.812.81
     
    		47.871.471.47
     
    Parry Sound PCHold63.57-1.52
     
    		65.4721.6921.69
     
    Perth PCGain62.90-3.34
     
    		44.8117.7617.76
     
    Peterborough PCGain66.23-0.42
     
    		52.6631.4531.45
     
    Port Arthur LibGain61.91-0.32
     
    		48.929.779.77
     
    Prescott and Russell LibHold56.64-2.64
     
    		55.68-9.29
     
    Prince Edward—Lennox—South Hastings PCGain60.04-1.41
     
    		49.6119.7119.71
     
    Quinte PCGain58.79-0.63
     
    		47.2827.6627.66
     
    Rainy River NDPHold63.98-2.37
     
    		39.93-21.54
     
    Renfrew North LibHold61.00-4.62
     
    		53.3210.0010
     
    Riverdale NDPHold64.662.212.21
     
    		46.88-15.09
     
    St. Andrew—St. Patrick PCGain67.160.270.27
     
    		40.439.589.58
     
    St. Catharines LibHold64.58-2.19
     
    		46.537.777.77
     
    St. Catharines—Brock PCGain62.56-3.29
     
    		47.0221.6621.66
     
    St. George—St. David PCGain70.615.985.98
     
    		33.8710.4610.46
     
    Sarnia PCGain61.31-3.54
     
    		33.8112.6212.62
     
    Sault Ste. Marie NDPHold62.24-6.01
     
    		43.337.087.08
     
    Scarborough—Agincourt LibHold61.37-2.17
     
    		46.081.771.77
     
    Scarborough Centre PCGain63.35-1.10
     
    		45.8825.0425.04
     
    Scarborough East PCGain64.691.221.22
     
    		55.7225.6725.67
     
    Scarborough—Ellesmere PCGain64.95-1.84
     
    		47.8931.2131.21
     
    Scarborough North LibHold58.670.820.82
     
    		46.081.521.52
     
    Scarborough West PCGain64.33-0.89
     
    		43.1322.5422.54
     
    Simcoe Centre PCGain63.060.600.6
     
    		58.2534.1734.17
     
    Simcoe East PCHold66.52-0.94
     
    		60.9721.3221.32
     
    Simcoe West PCHold63.01-0.83
     
    		68.2431.7531.75
     
    S-D-G & East Grenville PCHold62.48-3.29
     
    		64.6923.8223.82
     
    Sudbury LibGain62.10-4.47
     
    		40.669.889.88
     
    Sudbury East NDPHold62.30-8.56
     
    		37.09-20.91
     
    Timiskaming LibHold64.13-3.44
     
    		46.784.494.49
     
    Victoria—Haliburton PCGain66.16-2.94
     
    		68.4242.7842.78
     
    Waterloo North PCHold62.320.300.3
     
    		59.4222.0022
     
    Welland-Thorold NDPHold65.22-4.58
     
    		42.71-20.92
     
    Wellington PCHold65.00-1.45
     
    		66.7027.0827.08
     
    Wentworth East PCGain64.56-2.26
     
    		44.5028.0628.06
     
    Wentworth North PCGain70.971.331.33
     
    		55.6529.7129.71
     
    Willowdale PCHold68.945.615.61
     
    		53.9918.7918.79
     
    Wilson Heights LibHold62.76-0.23
     
    		44.640.370.37
     
    Windsor—Riverside NDPHold54.02-8.14
     
    		45.70-25.33
     
    Windsor—Sandwich LibGain50.11-8.85
     
    		47.126.826.82
     
    Windsor—Walkerville LibGain52.54-7.20
     
    		41.281.081.08
     
    York Centre PCGain60.80-1.05
     
    		48.9425.1425.14
     
    York East PCGain69.591.571.57
     
    		41.6514.7814.78
     
    York Mills PCHold69.311.011.01
     
    		63.5818.9418.94
     
    York—Mackenzie PCGain67.214.084.08
     
    		58.3324.5224.52
     
    York South NDPHold69.132.332.33
     
    		41.24-25.47
     
    Yorkview LibGain60.99-0.12
     
    		46.975.475.47
     

    Analysis

    Party candidates in 2nd place [1]
    Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
    PCLibNDP
    Progressive Conservative 671582
    Liberal 201030
    New Democratic 71017
    Independent 11
    Total287725130
    Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party [1]
    Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
    █  Progressive Conservative 822820
    █  Liberal 307723
    █  New Democratic 1725871
    █  Independent 12020
    █  Family Coalition 504
    █  Green 1516
    █  Natural Law 1232
    █  Confederation of Regions 5
    █  Libertarian 48
    █  Freedom 44
    █  Communist 3
    Resulting composition of the 36th Legislative Assembly [1]
    SourceParty
    PCLibNDPIndTotal
    Seats retainedIncumbents returned19181754
    Open seats held112
    Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated53962
    Open seats gained729
    Byelection gain held22
    Incumbent changing allegiance11
    Total8230171130

    MPPs elected by region and riding

    Party designations are as follows:

      PC
      Liberal
      NDP

    Byelections

    Due to resignations, five by-elections were held between the 1995 and 1999 elections.

    Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
    LiberalPCNDPOther
    York South
    May 23, 1996    		 Gerard Kennedy
    7,774    		 Rob Davis
    5,093    		 David Miller
    6,656    		David Milne (Ind)
    151
    George Dance (Lbt)
    77
    Kevin Clarke (Ind)
    70    		 Bob Rae
    resigned February 29, 1996
    Oriole
    September 4, 1997    		 David Caplan
    9,954    		 Barbara Greene
    5,163    		Jim Kafieh
    1,700    		Bernadette Michael (Ind)
    132
    Shelly Lipsey (G)
    96    		 Elinor Caplan
    resigned May 5, 1997
    Ottawa West
    September 4, 1997    		 Alex Cullen
    11,438    		Chris Thompson
    7,217    		Katrina Prystupa
    2,573    		 John Turmel (Ind)
    201
    Gene Villeneuve (G)
    96    		 Bob Chiarelli
    resigned May 5, 1997
    Windsor—Riverside
    September 4, 1997    		Gary McNamara
    8,494    		Fran Funero
    3,028    		 Wayne Lessard
    9,308    		Steve Harvey (G)
    329    		 Dave Cooke
    resigned May 5, 1997
    Nickel Belt
    October 1, 1998    		Frank Madigan
    4,173    		Gerry Courtemanche
    3,836    		 Blain Morin
    5,537    		 Floyd Laughren
    resigned February 28, 1998

    See also

    Notes

    1. ↑ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario . Retrieved December 15, 2022.

    References

    1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "1995 general election results". Elections Ontario . Retrieved December 22, 2023.
    2. ↑ Bakan, Abigail (2003). "Ontario: Lessons of the Rise and Fall of Employment Equity Legislation from the Perspective of Rights Advocacy". ResearchGate.
    3. ↑ Representation Amendment Act, 1991 , S.O. 1991, c. 2
    4. ↑ Representation Amendment Act, 1993 , S.O. 1993, c. 6
    5. ↑ Representation Amendment Act, 1993 (No. 2) , S.O. 1993, c. 30
    6. ↑ "Harris confident he'll become premier after today's vote: Poll shows Tories holding lead in final week with NDP in third". The Globe and Mail. June 8, 1995. p. A13.
    7. 1 2 Campbell, Murray; Mittselstaedt, Martin (June 5, 1995). "Harris lays out legislative timetable: Polls suggest Tory majority". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    8. ↑ "Tories ahead in new NDP poll: Liberal Party says it still has the lead". The Globe and Mail. May 16, 1995. p. A8.
    9. ↑ Rusk, James (May 24, 1995). "Tories' rise pleases Rae: Poll indicates sharp Grit fall". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    10. ↑ Rusk, James (May 15, 1995). "Race watchers hope debate will jolt yawners: Many voters delay final choice because they already know which party they don't want". The Globe and Mail. p. A10.
    11. 1 2 Mittelstaedt, Martin (April 29, 1995). "Rae calls June 8 Ontario election: Raucous campaign predicted as parties face quirky voters seeking solutions on jobs, deficit". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
    12. ↑ Rusk, James (April 1, 1995). "NDP hastens to exploit opportunity offered by McLeod". The Globe and Mail. p. A7.
    13. ↑ "Liberals keep lead in polls". The Globe and Mail. January 26, 1995. p. A6.
    14. 1 2 "NDP slumps to third spot, survey shows: Advisers finger auto insurance, Sunday shopping and Martel scandal for slide in popularity". The Globe and Mail. July 7, 1992. p. A6.
    15. ↑ Allen, Gene (September 3, 1991). "Ontario New Democrats take stock". The Globe and Mail. p. A4.
    16. ↑ "NDP support up sharply, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. January 19, 1991. p. A4.
    17. ↑ Allen, Gene (October 24, 1990). "Will hold NDP to its promises, Nixon pledges: Vows Liberals won't be obstructive". The Globe and Mail. p. A8.
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