2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election

Last updated

2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election
Flag of Quebec.svg
  2020 June 9–14, 2025

Leader before election

Marc Tanguay (interim)

Elected Leader

TBD

The 2025 Quebec Liberal Party leadership election will be held from June 9 to 14, 2025, [1] to elect a new leader to replace Dominique Anglade, who announced her resignation on November 7, 2022 amid mounting criticism within the party for her performance in the 2022 Quebec general election and for her subsequent decision to remove Liberal MNA Marie-Claude Nichols from caucus. [2] Anglade had led the party to losses in the election held a month earlier, finishing with only 21 seats and 14% of the popular vote, their lowest seat count since 1956 and their lowest share of the popular vote in their history; while the party remained the official opposition, they fell behind the governing Coalition Avenir Québec and opposition Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire to place fourth in the popular vote. [3] [4]

Contents

Rules and procedures

The race will officially start on January 13, 2025. Candidate registration will be available between the start of the race and April 11. To be registered in the race, candidates would need to collect signatures from 750 party members from at least 70 electoral districts and 12 administrative regions with 350 of those needing to be new members who became ones after May 27, 2024, and to deposit an $40,000 entry fee. The spending limit will be $400,000. The voting period will be between June 9 and 14, 2025, with every members of the party who were members on May 20 being able to vote. Points will be allocated to candidates with 250,000 of them being distributed according to results from electoral districts and 125,000 of them according to the vote of members 25 years old and younger. The candidate who win over 50% of the total amount of points become leader of the party. If no candidates reach this threshold, a second round will be organized between the two candidates who received the most points from the first round. [1] [5] [6]

The requirements to enter the race, the spending limit and timeframes for the start of the race and the election, set in late 2024 and in the spring of 2025, respectively, were announced in October 2023. [7] [8] The precise dates of the start of the race and the voting period and other parts of the procedure were announced in April 2024. [1] [5]

Debates

In April 2024, the party announced that, if over one candidate is running in the race, four debates will be organized between April 12 and June 8, 2025. [5]

Candidates

Declared

CandidateExperienceAnnouncement dateCampaignRef.
Reseau Express Metropolitain (inauguration) 13 - Denis Coderre (3-5 crop).jpg
Denis Coderre
(age 60)
Mayor of Montreal
(2013–2017)
MP for Bourassa
(1997–2013)
June 21, 2024 [9]

Announcement pending

Expressed interest

Potential candidates

Declined

Opinion polling

Leadership polls

Liberal supporters

Polling firmLast date of pollingSample
size
SourceMargin of
error
Pierre ArcandGaétan BarretteFrédéric BeaucheminKarl BlackburnSophie BrochuFrançois-Philippe ChampagneDenis CoderreAlexandre CussonMonsef DerrajiAntoine Dionne CharestAndré FortinBalarama HolnessJoël LightboundCharles MilliardPierre MoreauAndré PratteAlain RayesMarwah RizqyMarc TanguayAntoine TardifOther
Léger Marketing June 3, 2024104 PDF 2%5%12%4%1%6%30%5%Undecided/refused to answer 36%
Léger Marketing February 5, 2024107 PDF 3%27%11%3%10%12%Undecided/refused to answer 33%
Léger Marketing August 21, 202393 PDF 1%0%1%6%2%4%7%28%Undecided/refused to answer 51%
Léger Marketing June 12, 2023112 PDF 2%2%0%5%1%1%6%27%Undecided/refused to answer 55%
Léger Marketing November 6, 2022103 PDF 2%4%4%1%17%1%0%0%4%3%1%Undecided/refused to answer 62%

All Quebecers

Polling firmLast date of pollingSample
size
SourceMargin of
error
Pierre ArcandGaétan BarretteFrédéric BeaucheminKarl BlackburnSophie BrochuFrançois-Philippe ChampagneDenis CoderreAlexandre CussonMonsef DerrajiAntoine Dionne CharestAndré FortinBalarama HolnessJoël LightboundCharles MilliardPierre MoreauAndré PratteAlain RayesMarwah RizqyMarc TanguayAntoine TardifOther
Léger Marketing June 3, 20241,015 PDF ±3.08%2%1%13%2%2%10%7%3%Undecided/refused to answer 62%
Léger Marketing February 5, 20241,032 PDF ±3.05%3%18%4%2%15%4%Undecided/refused to answer 55%
Léger Marketing August 21, 20231,036 PDF ±3.04%2%1%1%3%3%4%11%6%Undecided/refused to answer 70%
Léger Marketing June 12, 20231,042 PDF ±3.03%1%7%1%3%3%1%11%6%Undecided/refused to answer 68%
Léger Marketing November 6, 20221,028 PDF ±3.1%4%2%4%2%9%0%2%2%5%5%1%Undecided/refused to answer 65%

Scenario polls

Frédéric Beauchemin as leader

Polling organisationLast date of pollingSourceSample sizeMoE CAQ QS PQ PLQ PCQ OtherLead
Leger February 5, 2024 PDF 1,032±3.05%2415351311211

Denis Coderre as leader

Polling organisationLast date of pollingSourceSample sizeMoE CAQ QS PQ PLQ PCQ OtherLead
Leger February 5, 2024 PDF 1,032±3.05%23143121938

Marwah Rizqy as leader

Polling organisationLast date of pollingSourceSample sizeMoE CAQ QS PQ PLQ PCQ OtherLead
Leger February 5, 2024 PDF 1,032±3.05%2314341610311

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References

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See also