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57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 44th Manitoba general election will be held on or before October 5, 2027 to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.
Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. [1] As the previous election was held in 2023, the latest possible date for the election is October 5, 2027. [2] The election will be held under first-past-the-post voting.
Affiliation | Assembly members | ||
---|---|---|---|
2023 election results | Current | ||
New Democratic | 34 | 34 | |
Progressive Conservative | 22 | 22 | |
Liberal | 1 | 1 | |
Vacant | 0 | ||
Total members | 57 | 57 | |
Total seats | 57 | 57 |
Voting intentions in Manitoba since the 2023 election | |||||||||||||
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Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | NDP | PC | Liberal | Keystone | Green | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | |
Probe Research | Mar 5-18, 2024 | [p 1] [p 2] | 49% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 12% | |
Probe Research | Nov 22-Dec 1, 2023 | [p 3] [p 4] | 51% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 13% | |
2023 general election | October 3, 2023 | [p 5] | 45.63% | 41.86% | 10.63% | 0.77% | 0.74% | 0.37% | — | — | — | 3.77% | |
Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | Others | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | ||||||
NDP | PC | Liberal | Keystone | Green |
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