Brandon East

Brandon East

Manitoba electoral district
Location in Brandon
Provincial electoral district
Legislature	Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA	Glen Simard New Democratic
District created	1968
First contested	1969
Last contested	2023
Demographics
Population (2016)	23,045
Electors (2019)	14,292
Area (km²)	43
Pop. density (per km²)	535.9
Census subdivision(s)	Brandon

Brandon East (French : Brandon-Est) is a provincial electoral district of Manitoba, Canada. It encompasses the southeastern part of the city of Brandon.

Historical riding

The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the city and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.

Current riding

The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the city of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.

The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Spruce Woods in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.

Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.

Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.

At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal. ^[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third. ^[2]

In the 2018 redistribution, the part of the riding north of the Assiniboine River was moved to Spruce Woods.

Members of the Legislative Assembly

Assembly	Years	Member		Party
Riding created from Brandon
6th	1886–1888		James A. Smart	Liberal
Riding dissolved into Brandon City
Riding re-created from Brandon
29th	1969–1973		Len Evans	New Democratic
30th	1973–1977
31st	1977–1981
32nd	1981–1986
33rd	1986–1988
34th	1988–1990
35th	1990–1995
36th	1995–1999
37th	1999–2003		Drew Caldwell
38th	2003–2007
39th	2007–2011
40th	2011–2016
41st	2016–2019		Len Isleifson	Progressive Conservative
42nd	2019–2023
43rd	2023–present		Glen Simard	New Democratic

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	NDP	PC	Liberal	Green	Other
Probe Research Inc	December 19, 2015	PDF	18	41	38		3
Probe Research Inc	January, 2015	PDF	28	40	26		6

Election results

2023

v t e 2023 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Glen Simard	3,758	55.64	+19.30	$26,633.93
	Progressive Conservative	Len Isleifson	2,691	39.84	-11.16	$35,834.84
	Liberal	Trenton Zazalak	305	4.52	-8.15	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			6,754	99.48	–	$59,632.00
Total rejected and declined ballots			35	0.52	–
Turnout			6,789	46.99	+1.30
Eligible voters			14,449
	New Democratic gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing		+15.23
Source(s) Source: Elections Manitoba [3] [4] [5]

2019

v t e 2019 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Len Isleifson	3,294	51.00	-0.5	$36,318.38
	New Democratic	Lonnie Patterson	2,347	36.34	-0.1	$18,637.37
	Liberal	Kim Longstreet	818	12.66	+0.6	$3,151.46
Total valid votes			6,459	98.93	–
Rejected			70	1.07
Turnout			6,529	45.68
Eligible voters			14,292
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		-0.2
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.

2016

2016 provincial election redistributed results [6]
Party		%
	Progressive Conservative	51.5
	New Democratic	36.4
	Liberal	12.1

v t e 2016 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Len Isleifson	3,669	52.17	13.62	$36,772.89
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	2,534	36.03	-18.92	$12,132.70
	Liberal	Vanessa Hamilton	830	11.80	7.82	$2,810.27
Total valid votes			7,033	–	–
Rejected			117	–
Eligible voters / turnout			13,120	54.50	1.38
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018.

2011

v t e 2011 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,864	54.95	1.00	$14,503.88
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Waddell	2,711	38.55	0.46	$26,300.48
	Liberal	Shaun Cameron	280	3.98	-3.97	$1,479.21
	Green	Vanda Fleury	177	2.52	–	$0.00
Total valid votes			7,032	–	–
Rejected			35	–
Eligible voters / turnout			13,305	53.12	-5.60
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba. "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018.

2007

v t e 2007 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,760	53.95	-8.09	$19,216.70
	Progressive Conservative	Mike Waddell	2,655	38.10	5.46	$26,503.06
	Liberal	Cheryl Burke	554	7.95	3.56	$5,462.24
Total valid votes			6,969	–	–
Rejected			31	–
Eligible voters / turnout			11,921	58.72	6.06
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2003

v t e 2003 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	3,870	62.04	0.76	$14,549.00
	Progressive Conservative	Greg Dinsdale	2,036	32.64	6.30	$13,316.52
	Liberal	Scott Brigden	274	4.39	-1.34	$1,771.36
	Communist	Lisa Gallagher	58	0.93	–	$436.91
Total valid votes			6,238	–	–
Rejected			26	–
Eligible voters / turnout			11,895	52.66	-11.69
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1999

v t e 1999 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Drew Caldwell	4,840	61.28	7.50	$18,137.00
	Progressive Conservative	Marty Snelling	2,080	26.34	-5.58	$25,283.41
	Independent	Don Jessiman	525	6.65	–	$1,040.69
	Liberal	Peter Logan	453	5.74	-8.57	$4,017.07
Total valid votes			7,898	–	–
Rejected			57	–
Eligible voters / turnout			12,362	64.35	1.50
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1995

v t e 1995 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,395	53.78	0.27
	Progressive Conservative	Greg Dinsdale	2,608	31.91	-4.24
	Liberal	Elizabeth "Liz" Roberts	1,169	14.30	3.97
Total valid votes			8,172	–	–
Rejected			22	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			13,037	62.85	-4.67
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1990

1990 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,760	53.51	13.78
	Progressive Conservative	Ron Arnst	3,216	36.16	3.81
	Liberal	Brenda Avionitis	919	10.33	-15.24
Total valid votes			8,895	–	–
Rejected			38	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			13,230	67.52	-7.85
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1988

1988 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	3,512	39.73	-13.14
	Progressive Conservative	Jim Armstrong	2,859	32.35	-8.00
	Liberal	Lois Fjeldsted	2,260	25.57	18.79
	Independent	Garth Shurvell	208	2.35	–
Total valid votes			8,839	–	–
Rejected			16	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			11,749	75.37	8.35
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1986

1986 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,173	52.88	-8.28
	Progressive Conservative	Jim Armstrong	3,184	40.34	7.84
	Liberal	Eileen May McFadden	535	6.78	0.44
Total valid votes			7,892	–	–
Rejected			20	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			11,806	67.02	-3.42
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1981

1981 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,941	61.16	8.25
	Progressive Conservative	Garry Nowazek	2,626	32.50	-7.58
	Liberal	Margaret Workman	512	6.34	-0.66
Total valid votes			8,079	–	–
Rejected			40	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			11,527	70.43	-1.82
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1977

1977 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,217	52.91	1.17
	Progressive Conservative	James Thornborough	3,195	40.09	3.54
	Liberal	James Manishen	558	7.00	-3.73
Total valid votes			7,970	–	–
Rejected			16	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			11,052	72.26	-0.37
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1973

1973 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	4,123	51.74	2.72
	Progressive Conservative	Kenneth John Burgess	2,912	36.55	4.86
	Liberal	Terence "Terry" Penton	855	10.73	-8.56
	Social Credit	John William Gross	78	0.98	–
Total valid votes			7,968	–	–
Rejected			48	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			11,037	72.63	10.81
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1969

1969 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Leonard Evans	3,035	49.02	–
	Progressive Conservative	Emily Lyons	1,962	31.69	–
	Liberal	Don Martin	1,194	19.29	–
Total valid votes			6,191	–	–
Rejected			34	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			10,069	61.82	–
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1888 by-election

Manitoba provincial by-election, February 9, 1888
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	James A. Smart		0.00	–
Total valid votes				–	–
Rejected			N/A	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			N/A	–	–
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1886

1886 Manitoba general election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Liberal	James A. Smart	580	52.68
	Conservative	George Winters	521	47.32
Total valid votes			1,101	–
Rejected			N/A	–
Eligible voters / Turnout			1,884	58.44
Source(s) Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

See also

• List of Manitoba provincial electoral districts
• Canadian provincial electoral districts

References

1. CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
2. Probe Research, December 2015
3. "Summary of Votes Received" (PDF). Elections Manitoba . Retrieved May 4, 2024.
4. "CANDIDATE ELECTION RETURNS GENERAL ELECTION 2023". Elections Manitoba . Retrieved July 24, 2024.
5. "2023 GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATE AND REGISTERED PARTY ELECTION EXPENSE LIMITS - FINAL EXPENSE LIMIT" (PDF). Elections Manitoba . Retrieved May 4, 2024.
6. Marcoux, Jacques (August 27, 2019). "New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds". CBC. Retrieved August 29, 2023.

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