2019 Manitoba general election

2019 Manitoba general election

←  2016 September 10, 2019 2023  →
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	55.04%
First party Second party   Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017 Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73% Seats before 38 12 Seats won 36 18 Seat change 2 6 Popular vote 222,569 150,016 Percentage 46.81% 31.55% Swing 6.27% 5.77%   Third party Fourth party   Leader Dougald Lamont James Beddome Party Liberal Green Leader since October 21, 2017 November 15, 2014 Leader's seat St. Boniface ran in Fort Rouge (lost) Last election 3 seats, 14.46% 0 seats, 5.07% Seats before 4 0 Seats won 3 0 Seat change 1 Popular vote 69,497 30,295 Percentage 14.62% 6.37% Swing 0.22% 1.30%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed to the right.
Premier before election Brian Pallister Progressive Conservative Premier after election Brian Pallister Progressive Conservative

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. ^[1]

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

Background

Date

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. ^[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021. ^[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period. ^[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election. ^[5]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries. ^{[6] [7]}

Timeline

2016

• May 3: Government is sworn in
• May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2017

• January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election.
• January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority.
• June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
• June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues.
• September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba.
• October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.

2018

• March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election.
• March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election. ^[8]
• July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals.
• August 13: Steven Fletcher joins the Manitoba Party. ^[9]
• September 11: Steven Fletcher becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party.
• October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations.
• December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released. ^[10]
• December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election. ^[11]

2019

• April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election. ^[12]
• August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10. ^[4]
• September 10: The election is held.

Movement in seats held

41st Manitoba Legislature - Movement in seats held up to the election (2016-2019)

Party		2016	Gain/(loss) due to					2019
			Resignation as MLA	Expulsion/ Suspension	Switching allegiance	Byelection gain	Byelection hold
	Progressive Conservative	40		(2)				38
	New Democratic	14	(2)	(1)			1	12
	Liberal	3				1		4
	Manitoba First	–			1			1
	Independent	–		3	(1)			2
Total		57	(2)	–	–	1	1	57

Changes in seats held (2016–2019)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Point Douglas	January 9, 2017	Kevin Chief	█  New Democratic	Resignation	June 13, 2017	Bernadette Smith	█  New Democratic
The Maples	January 31, 2017	Mohinder Saran	█  New Democratic	Suspended from caucus			█  Independent
Assiniboia	June 30, 2017	Steven Fletcher	█  PC	Expelled from caucus			█  Independent
	September 11, 2018		█  Independent	Becomes leader of new party			█  Manitoba First
St. Boniface	March 7, 2018	Greg Selinger	█  New Democratic	Resignation	July 17, 2018	Dougald Lamont	█  Liberal
Emerson	October 22, 2018	Cliff Graydon	█  PC	Expelled from caucus			█  Independent

Historical results from 1990 onwards

Graph of Manitoba general election results by share of votes, 1990–2019; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote.

Graph of Manitoba general election results by seats won, 1990–2019; those of independent MNAs are omitted.

Campaign

Riding contests, by number of candidates (2019) ^[13]

Candidates	PC	NDP	Lib	Grn	MFW	M1ST	Comm	Ind	Total
3	13	13	13						39
4	29	29	29	28	1				116
5	10	10	10	10	2	4	2	2	50
6	5	5	5	5	4	2	3	1	30
Total	57	57	57	43	7	6	5	3	235

Results

Elections to the 42nd Manitoba Legislature ^[13]

Party		Leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2016	Dissolution	2019	+/-	Votes	%	+/-
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	57	40	38	36	-4	222,569	46.81	-6.27
	New Democratic	Wab Kinew	57	14	12	18	+4	150,016	31.55	+5.77
	Liberal	Dougald Lamont	57	3	4	3	–	69,497	14.62	+0.22
	Green	James Beddome	43	–	–	–	–	30,295	6.37	+1.30
	Manitoba Forward	Wayne Sturby	7	–	–	–	–	1,339	0.28
	Manitoba First [lower-alpha 1]	Douglas Petrick	6	–	1	–	–	647	0.14	-0.98
	Communist	Darrell Rankin	5	–	–	–	–	214	0.05	-0.02
	Independents		3	–	2	–	–	854	0.18	-0.29
	Vacant				0		–
Valid votes								478,926	99.27
Blank and invalid votes								3,495	0.73
Total			235	57	57	57		482,421	100
Registered voters/turnout								870,137	55.44

Popular vote PC   46.81% New Democratic   31.55% Liberal   14.62% Green   6.37% Others   0.64%

Seat summary PC   63.16% New Democratic   31.58% Liberal   5.26%

Synopsis of results

2019 Manitoba general election - synopsis of riding results [a 1]
Riding [a 2]	2016 (Redist) [a 3]		Winning party						Turnout [a 4]	Votes [a 5]
			Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		PC	NDP	Lib	Grn	Ind	Other	Total
Agassiz		PC		PC	5,700	75.53%	4,736	62.75%	56.05%	5,700	964	463	420	–	–	7,547
Assiniboia		PC		PC	4,108	44.25%	816	8.79%	54.70%	4,108	3,292	1,247	636	–	–	9,283
Borderland		PC		PC	4,886	66.09%	3,660	49.50%	61.86%	4,886	291	1,226	250	740	–	7,393
Brandon East		PC		PC	3,294	51.00%	947	14.66%	45.68%	3,294	2,347	818	–	–	–	6,459
Brandon West		PC		PC	4,311	58.39%	2,554	34.59%	51.27%	4,311	1,757	567	748	–	–	7,383
Burrows		Lib		NDP	2,555	39.70%	874	13.58%	46.08%	1,681	2,555	1,178	–	–	1,022	6,436
Concordia		NDP		NDP	4,305	59.69%	2,010	27.87%	48.46%	2,295	4,305	612	–	–	–	7,212
Dauphin		PC		PC	4,805	50.52%	773	8.13%	58.62%	4,805	4,032	675	–	–	–	9,512
Dawson Trail		PC		PC	4,555	55.41%	2,675	32.54%	57.84%	4,555	1,785	1,880	–	–	–	8,220
Elmwood		NDP		NDP	3,886	48.68%	1,346	16.86%	50.23%	2,540	3,886	746	765	–	45	7,982
Flin Flon		NDP		NDP	3,173	63.19%	1,816	36.17%	33.91%	1,357	3,173	299	192	–	–	5,021
Fort Garry		PC		NDP	4,003	42.35%	996	10.54%	61.69%	3,007	4,003	1,719	723	–	–	9,452
Fort Richmond		PC		PC	3,242	42.15%	879	11.43%	57.38%	3,242	1,708	2,363	379	–	–	7,692
Fort Rouge		NDP		NDP	5,055	51.24%	3,198	32.41%	58.76%	1,857	5,055	1,290	1,580	–	84	9,866
Fort Whyte		PC		PC	5,619	57.19%	3,862	39.30%	60.35%	5,619	1,757	1,731	665	–	54	9,826
Interlake-Gimli		PC		PC	6,165	58.62%	2,687	25.55%	65.56%	6,165	3,478	400	473	–	–	10,516
Keewatinook		Liberal		NDP	1,932	67.08%	1,397	48.51%	21.84%	413	1,932	535	–	–	–	2,880
Kildonan-River East		PC		PC	5,523	51.10%	1,844	17.06%	61.82%	5,523	3,679	1,607	–	–	–	10,809
Kirkfield Park		PC		PC	5,445	50.36%	2,668	24.67%	61.25%	5,445	2,777	1,695	896	–	–	10,813
La Verendrye		PC		PC	5,310	72.79%	4,264	58.45%	55.41%	5,310	1,046	939	–	–	–	7,295
Lac du Bonnet		PC		PC	6,177	65.91%	4,363	46.55%	61.24%	6,177	1,814	1,381	–	–	–	9,372
Lagimodière		PC		PC	5,187	51.78%	2,395	23.91%	62.27%	5,187	2,792	1,481	557	–	–	10,018
Lakeside		PC		PC	6,409	68.24%	4,320	46.00%	59.22%	6,409	2,089	894	–	–	–	9,392
McPhillips		PC		PC	3,359	38.19%	88	1.00%	56.64%	3,359	3,271	1,506	414	–	245	8,795
Midland		PC		PC	6,706	75.01%	5,334	59.66%	59.27%	6,706	1,372	862	–	–	–	8,940
Morden-Winkler		PC		PC	6,109	80.86%	5,305	70.22%	51.19%	6,109	365	277	804	–	–	7,555
Notre Dame		NDP		NDP	3,420	65.01%	2,626	49.91%	40.86%	794	3,420	719	267	–	61	5,261
Point Douglas		NDP		NDP	3,136	62.35%	2,373	47.18%	36.00%	763	3,136	594	414	–	123	5,030
Portage la Prairie		PC		PC	4,502	65.67%	2,994	43.68%	48.64%	4,502	1,508	845	–	–	–	6,855
Radisson		PC		PC	4,527	46.97%	989	10.26%	56.47%	4,527	3,538	1,002	572	–	–	9,639
Red River North		PC		PC	5,569	57.97%	3,180	33.10%	63.96%	5,569	2,389	735	740	–	173	9,606
Riding Mountain		PC		PC	6,126	65.91%	4,156	44.72%	55.72%	6,126	1,970	472	726	–	–	9,294
Riel		PC		PC	4,734	44.75%	990	9.36%	63.24%	4,734	3,744	1,471	630	–	–	10,579
River Heights		Lib		Lib	5,884	53.79%	3,182	29.09%	65.48%	2,702	1,595	5,884	757	–	–	10,938
Roblin		PC		PC	6,203	55.19%	4,180	37.19%	61.83%	6,203	2,023	1,775	1,238	–	–	11,239
Rossmere		PC		PC	4,369	46.91%	751	8.06%	59.62%	4,369	3,618	711	615	–	–	9,313
Seine River		PC		PC	4,372	45.04%	1,847	19.03%	62.12%	4,372	2,525	2,151	659	–	–	9,707
Selkirk		PC		PC	4,872	51.84%	1,543	16.42%	59.25%	4,872	3,329	482	716	–	–	9,399
Southdale		PC		PC	4,493	42.40%	483	4.56%	61.66%	4,493	4,010	1,427	595	–	71	10,596
Springfield-Ritchot		PC		PC	5,670	59.48%	3,688	38.69%	60.56%	5,670	1,982	814	1,066	–	–	9,532
Spruce Woods		PC		PC	5,665	68.06%	4,344	52.19%	56.75%	5,665	1,321	517	820	–	–	8,323
St. Boniface		NDP		Lib	4,152	41.68%	1,177	11.82%	59.78%	1,907	2,975	4,152	845	–	81	9,960
St. James		PC		NDP	4,002	47.25%	1,221	14.42%	55.78%	2,781	4,002	880	806	–	–	8,469
St. Johns		NDP		NDP	3,548	51.88%	1,874	27.40%	47.34%	1,674	3,548	1,111	506	–	–	6,839
St. Vital		PC		NDP	4,092	44.47%	881	9.58%	60.78%	3,211	4,092	1,274	502	62	60	9,201
Steinbach		PC		PC	6,241	81.64%	5,625	73.58%	52.49%	6,241	616	370	418	–	–	7,645
Swan River		PC		PC	5,546	68.87%	3,462	42.99%	54.87%	5,546	2,084	423	–	–	–	8,053
The Maples		NDP		NDP	2,792	39.51%	689	9.75%	53.08%	1,883	2,792	2,103	289	–	–	7,067
The Pas-Kameesak		NDP		NDP	3,180	57.90%	1,844	33.58%	43.04%	1,336	3,180	186	790	–	–	5,492
Thompson		PC		NDP	2,686	54.55%	929	18.87%	37.27%	1,757	2,686	183	298	–	–	4,924
Transcona		PC		NDP	4,030	46.42%	112	1.29%	52.45%	3,918	4,030	734	–	–	–	8,682
Turtle Mountain		PC		PC	6,210	67.48%	4,838	52.57%	57.28%	6,210	1,003	618	1,372	–	–	9,203
Tuxedo		PC		PC	4,645	47.85%	2,358	24.29%	57.90%	4,645	1,921	2,287	793	–	61	9,707
Tyndall Park		NDP		Lib	4,301	54.67%	1,898	24.13%	56.39%	984	2,403	4,301	157	–	22	7,867
Union Station		NDP		NDP	2,913	52.62%	1,876	33.89%	44.06%	950	2,913	1,037	538	–	98	5,536
Waverley		PC		PC	3,267	50.05%	1,400	21.45%	51.95%	3,267	1,867	1,070	324	–	–	6,528
Wolseley		NDP		NDP	4,271	46.03%	931	10.03%	56.96%	838	4,271	778	3,340	52	–	9,279

1. "Results Summary - 42nd General Election" (PDF). electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba . Retrieved February 1, 2023.
2. sorted as per results summary
3. Marcoux, Jacques (August 27, 2019). "New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds". CBC News .
4. including rejected and declined ballots
5. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote in 2019 are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

  = open seat

  = turnout is above provincial average

  = incumbency arose from byelection gain

  = incumbent re-elected in same riding

  = incumbent changed allegiance

  = previously incumbent in another riding

  = other incumbent renominated

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place ^[13]

Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place				Total
		PC	NDP	Liberal	Grn
	Progressive Conservative		30	4	2	36
	New Democratic	14		3	1	18
	Liberal	1	2			8
Total		15	32	7	3	57

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results ^[13]

Parties		Seats
█  Progressive Conservative	█  New Democratic	44
█  Progressive Conservative	█  Liberal	5
█  Progressive Conservative	█  Green	2
█  New Democratic	█  Liberal	5
█  New Democratic	█  Green	1
Total		57

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party ^[13]

Parties		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	Total
	Progressive Conservative	36	15	6			57
	New Democratic	18	32	6	1		57
	Liberal	3	7	32	15		57
	Green		3	12	27	1	43
	Manitoba First					5	5
	Manitoba Forward				1	3	4
	Independent			1		2	3

Seats changing hands

Elections to the 42nd Legislative Assembly of Manitoba – seats won/lost by party, 2016–2019

Party		2016 (Redist)	Gain from (loss to)						2019
			PC		NDP		Lib
	Progressive Conservative	41				(5)			36
	New Democratic	13	5				2	(2)	18
	Liberal	3			2	(2)			3
Total		57	5	–	2	(7)	2	(2)	57

Nine seats changed allegiance in 2019:

PC to NDP Fort Garry St. James St. Vital Thompson Transcona

Liberal to NDP Burrows Keewatinook NDP to Liberal St. Boniface Tyndall Park

Resulting composition of the 42nd Legislative Assembly of Manitoba

Source		Party
		PC	NDP	Lib	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	29	7	1	37
	Seats retained by incumbents from other ridings	5			5
	Open seats held	1	4		5
	Ouster of incumbent changing affiliation	1			1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated		3		3
	Open seats gained		4		4
	Seat gained by incumbent from another riding			1	1
	Byelection gain held			1	1
Total		36	18	3	57

Incumbents not running for reelection

Riding	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee			New MLA
Assiniboia		Steven Fletcher [15] (elected as PC)	none		Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)		James Allum [16]	Mark Wasyliw [17]		Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)		Nic Curry [12]	Cathy Cox		Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)		Flor Marcelino [18]	Uzoma Asagwara		Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley		Rob Altemeyer [19]	Lisa Naylor [20]		Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)		Andrew Swan [21]	Malaya Marcelino		Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook		Judy Klassen [22]	Jason Harper		Ian Bushie

Candidates by riding

• Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

Electoral district	Candidates								Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green
Flin Flon		Theresa Wride 1,294 - 30.7%		Tom Lindsey 2,435 - 57.8%		James Lindsay 270 - 6.6%		Saara Murnick 203 - 4.8%		Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook		Arnold Flett 355 - 13.6%		Ian Bushie 1,723 - 66.1%		Jason Harper 530 - 20.3%				Judy Klassen
Swan River		Rick Wowchuk 5,529 - 69.0%		Shelley Wiggins 2,064 - 25.8%		David Teffaine 417 - 5.2%				Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak		Ron Evans 1,324 - 24.8%		Amanda Lathlin 3,054 - 57.2%		Ken Brandt 178 - 3.3%		Ralph McLean 780 - 14.6%		Amanda Lathlin The Pas
Thompson		Kelly Bindle 1,750 - 35.9%		Danielle Adams 2,651 - 54.4%		Darla Contois 177 - 3.6%		Meagan Jemmett 294 - 6.0%		Kelly Bindle

Westman/Parkland

Electoral district	Candidates								Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green
Agassiz		Eileen Clarke 5,688 - 75.6%		Kelly Legaspi 954 - 12.7%		Hector Swanson 462 - 6.1%		Liz Clayton 417 - 5.5%		Eileen Clarke
Turtle Mountain		Doyle Piwniuk 6,202 - 67.5%		Angie Herrera-Hildebrand 1,003 - 10.9%		Richard Davies 623 - 6.8%		David M. Neufeld 1,356 - 14.8%		Doyle Piwniuk Arthur-Virden
Brandon East		Len Isleifson 3,272 - 51.3%		Lonnie Patterson 2,311 - 36.2%		Kim Longstreet 799 - 12.5%				Len Isleifson
Brandon West		Reg Helwer 4,307 - 58.5%		Nick Brown 1,747 - 23.7%		Sunday Frangi 564 - 7.7%		Robert Brown 744 - 10.1%		Reg Helwer
Dauphin		Brad Michaleski 4,799 - 50.5%		Darcy Scheller 4,022 - 42.4%		Cathy Scofield-Singh 674 - 7.1%				Brad Michaleski
Riding Mountain		Greg Nesbitt 6,117 - 66.1%		Wayne Chacun 1,961 - 21.2%		Jordan Fleury 454 - 4.9%		Mary Lowe 723 - 7.8%		Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods		Cliff Cullen 5,657 - 68.1%		Justin Shannon 1,316 - 15.8%		Jennifer Harcus 515 - 6.2%		Gordon Beddome 816 - 9.8%		Cliff Cullen

Central Manitoba

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Borderland		Josh Guenter 4,885 - 66.1%		Liz Cronk 287 - 3.9%		Loren Braul 1,226 - 16.6%		Ken Henry 250 - 3.4%		Cliff Graydon 739 - 10.0% [23]		Cliff Graydon Emerson
Interlake-Gimli		Derek Johnson 6,199 - 58.8%		Sarah Pinsent 3,472 - 32.9%		Mary Lou Bourgeois 400 - 3.8%		Dwight Harfield 473 - 4.5%				Jeff Wharton‡ Gimli
											Merged District
												Derek Johnson Interlake
Lakeside		Ralph Eichler 6,394 - 68.7%		Dan Rugg 2,054 - 22.1%		Ilsa Regelsky 854 - 9.2%						Ralph Eichler
Midland		Blaine Pedersen 6,700 - 75.0%		Cindy Friesen 1,370 - 15.3%		Julia Sisler 860 - 9.6%						Blaine Pedersen
Morden-Winkler		Cameron Friesen 6,096 - 81.2%		Robin Dalloo 365 - 4.9%		David Mintz 277 - 3.7%		Mike Urichuk 769 - 10.2%				Cameron Friesen
Springfield-Ritchot		Ron Schuler 5,661 - 59.5%		Obasesam Okoi 1,976 - 20.8%		Sara Mirwaldt 813 - 8.5%		Garrett Hawgood 1,065 - 11.2%				Shannon Martin Morris
Portage la Prairie		Ian Wishart 4,489 - 65.5%		Andrew Podolecki 1,521 - 22.2%		Charles Huband 843 - 12.3%						Ian Wishart

Eastman

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Manitoba First
Dawson Trail		Bob Lagassé 4,548 - 55.4%		Echo Asher 1,783 - 21.7%		Robert Rivard 1,874 - 22.8%						Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet		Wayne Ewasko 6,170 - 66.1%		Sidney Klassen 1,793 - 19.2%		Terry Hayward 1,373 - 14.7%						Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye		Dennis Smook 5,305 - 72.8%		Erin McGee 1,052 - 14.4%		Lorena Mitchell 929 - 12.8%						Dennis Smook
Steinbach		Kelvin Goertzen 6,237 - 81.7%		Rob Jessup 614 - 8.0%		LeAmber Kensley 369 - 4.8%		Janine Gibson 417 - 5.5%				Kelvin Goertzen
Red River North		Jeff Wharton 5,566 - 58.0%		Chris Pullen 2,387 - 24.9%		Noel Ngo 732 - 7.6%		Graham Hnatiuk 739 - 7.7%		Jocelyn Burzuik 173 - 1.8%		Ron Schuler St. Paul
Selkirk		Alan Lagimodiere 4,736 - 51.4%		Mitch Obach 3,319 - 35.8%		Philip Olcen 480 - 5.2%		Tony Hill 713 - 7.7%				Alan Lagimodiere

Northwest Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Burrows		Jasmine Brar 1,680 - 26.2%		Diljeet Brar 2,536 - 39.6%		Sarbjit Singh Gill 1,170 - 18.3%				Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.) 1,020 - 15.9%		Cindy Lamoureux‡
Kildonan-River East		Cathy Cox 5,514 - 51.1%		Elliot Macdonald 3,673 - 34.0%		Kathryn Braun 1,602 - 14.8%						Nic Curry Kildonan
											Merged District
												Cathy Cox River East
McPhillips		Shannon Martin 3,307 - 38.3%		Greg McFarlane 3,202 - 37.1%		John Cacayuran 1,476 - 17.1%		Jason Smith 406 - 4.7%		Dave Wheeler (MF) 237 - 2.7%		New Riding
Point Douglas		Michelle Redmond 757 - 15.7%		Bernadette Smith 3,002 - 62.1%		Richard Sanderson 565 - 11.7%		Jenn Kess 398 - 8.2%		Fagie Fainman (CPC-M) 44 - 1.4% Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.) 66 - 0.9%		Bernadette Smith
St. Johns		Ray Larkin 1,665 - 24.2%		Nahanni Fontaine 3,526 - 51.2%		Eddie Calisto-Tavares 1,092 - 15.9%		Joshua McNeil 601 - 8.7%				Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples		Aman Sandhu 1,824 - 25.9%		Mintu Sandhu 2,744 - 39.0%		Amandeep Brar 2,070 - 29.4%		Kiran Gill 405 - 5.8%				Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park		Daljit Kainth 991 - 12.5%		Ted Marcelino 2,447 - 30.9%		Cindy Lamoureux 4,293 - 54.3%		Fleur Mann 154 - 1.9%		Frank Komarniski (CPC-M) 22 - 0.3%		Ted Marcelino

Northeast Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Concordia		Andrew Frank 2,290 - 31.9%		Matt Wiebe 4,284 - 59.7%		Maria Albo 605 - 8.4%						Matt Wiebe
Elmwood		Mayra Dubon 2,533 - 31.9%		Jim Maloway 3,862 - 48.6%		Regan Wolfrom 739 - 9.3%		Nicolas Geddert 763 - 9.6%		German Lombana (CPC-M) 45 - 0.6%		Jim Maloway
Radisson		James Teitsma 4,523 - 47.0%		Raj Sandhu 3,534 - 36.7%		Tanya Hansen Pratt 997 - 10.4%		Carlianne Runions 576 - 6.0%				James Teitsma
Rossmere		Andrew Micklefield 4,362 - 47.0%		Andy Regier 3,608 - 38.8%		Isaiah Oyeleru 707 - 7.6%		Amanda Bazan 613 - 6.6%				Andrew Micklefield
St. Boniface		Megan Hoskins 1,889 - 19.2%		Laurissa Sims 2,939 - 29.9%		Dougald Lamont 4,077 - 41.5%		Jaclyn Jeanson 840 - 8.6%		Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.) 76 - 0.8%		Dougald Lamont
Transcona		Blair Yakimoski 3,914 - 45.1%		Nello Altomare 4,029 - 46.4%		Dylan Bekkering 716 - 8.4%						Blair Yakimoski

West Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Manitoba First
Assiniboia		Scott Johnston 4,102 - 44.2%		Joe McKellep 3,303 - 35.6%		Jeff Anderson 1,224 - 13.4%		John Delaat 631 - 6.8%				Steven Fletcher
Roblin		Myrna Driedger 6,075 - 55.7%		Sophie Brandt-Murenzi 1,886 - 17.3%		Michael Bazak 1,728 - 15.9%		Kevin Nichols 1,209 - 11.1%				Myrna Driedger Charleswood
Kirkfield Park		Scott Fielding 5,435 - 50.3%		Kurt Morton 2,767 - 25.6%		Ernie Nathaniel 1,695 - 15.7%		Dennis Bayomi 901 - 8.3%				Scott Fielding
St. James		Michelle Richard 2,767 - 32.4%		Adrien Sala 4,009 - 46.9%		Bernd Hohne 965 - 11.3%		Jeff Buhse 805 - 9.4%				Scott Johnston‡
Tuxedo		Heather Stefanson 4,587 - 47.7%		Carla Compton 1,919 - 20.0%		Marc Brandson 2,225 - 23.1%		Kristin Lauhn-Jensen 822 - 8.6%		Abby Al-Sahi 60 - 0.6%		Heather Stefanson

Central Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Garry		Nancy Cooke 2,998 - 31.8%		Mark Wasyliw 3,994 - 42.4%		Craig Larkins 1,716 - 18.2%		Casey Fennessy 722 - 7.7%				James Allum Fort Garry-Riverview
Fort Rouge		Edna Nabess 1,854 - 18.9%		Wab Kinew 5,031 - 51.2%		Cyndy Friesen 1,285 - 13.1%		James Beddome 1,579 - 16.1%		Michael McCracken (MF) 54 - 0.5% Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.) 29 - 0.3%		Wab Kinew
Notre Dame		Marsha Street 789 - 15.2%		Malaya Marcelino 3,361 - 64.9%		Donovan Martin 702 - 13.6%		Martha Jo Willard 263 - 5.1%		Andrew Taylor (CPC-M) 32 - 0.6% Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.) 28 - 0.5%		Andrew Swan Minto
River Heights		Susan Boulter 2,276 - 24.4%		Jonathan Niemczak 1,346 - 14.4%		Jon Gerrard 5,038 - 54.0%		Nathan Zahn 661 - 7.1%				Jon Gerrard
Union Station		Tara Fawcett 908 - 18.0%		Uzoma Asagwara 2,635 - 52.2%		Harold Davis 949 - 18.8%		Andrea Shalay 473 - 9.4%		Elsa Cubas (CPC-M) 48 - 1.0% James Yau (MB Fwd.) 32 - 0.6%		Flor Marcelino Logan
Wolseley		Elizabeth Hildebrand 831 - 8.9%		Lisa Naylor 4,253 - 45.6%		Shandi Strong 770 - 8.3%		David Nickarz 3,336 - 35.8%		Eddie Hendrickson 129 - 1.4%		Rob Altemeyer

South Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	PC		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Richmond		Sarah Guillemard 3,241 - 42.2%		George Wong 1,701 - 22.1%		Tanjit Nagra 2,361 - 30.7%		Cameron Proulx 379 - 4.9%				Sarah Guillemard
Fort Whyte		Brian Pallister 5,609 - 57.2%		Beatrice Bruske 1,755 - 17.9%		Darrel Morin 1,729 - 17.6%		Sara Campbell 665 - 6.8%		Jason Holenski (MF) 54 - 0.6%		Brian Pallister
Lagimodière		Andrew Smith 5,182 - 51.8%		Billie Cross 2,789 - 27.9%		Jake Sacher 1,481 - 14.8%		Bob Krul 557 - 5.6%				New Riding
Riel		Rochelle Squires 4,472 - 44.9%		Mike Moyes 3,554 - 35.7%		Neil Johnston 1,352 - 13.6%		Roger Schellenberg 591 - 5.9%				Rochelle Squires
Seine River		Janice Morley-Lecomte 4,363 - 45.1%		Durdana Islam 2,513 - 26.0%		James Bloomfield 2,147 - 22.2%		Bryanne Lamoureux 658 - 6.8%				Janice Morley-Lecomte
Southdale		Audrey Gordon 4,486 - 42.7%		Karen Myshkowsky 3,955 - 37.6%		Spencer Duncanson 1,422 - 13.5%		Katherine Quinton 584 - 5.6%		Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.) 70 - 0.7%		Andrew Smith‡
St. Vital		Colleen Mayer 3,211 - 35.0%		Jamie Moses 4,081 - 44.4%		Jeffrey Anderson 1,271 - 13.8%		Elizabeth Dickson 499 - 5.4%		David Sutherland (MF) 60 - 0.7% Baljeet Sharma 62 - 0.7%		Colleen Mayer
Waverley		Jon Reyes 3,265 - 50.0%		Dashi Zargani 1,865 - 28.6%		Fiona Haftani 1,070 - 16.4%		James Ducas 325 - 5.0%				Jon Reyes St. Norbert

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	Other
Forum Research	September 9, 2019	[p 1]	43	29	17	10	1
Research Co.	September 9, 2019	[p 2]	44	31	16	7	1
Mainstreet Research	September 4, 2019	[p 3]	43.3	34.2	15.1	6.2	1.2
Research Co.	August 29, 2019	[p 4]	46	30	14	8	1
Probe Research Inc	August 24, 2019	[p 5]	40	29	18	10	3
Mainstreet Research	August 19, 2019	[p 6]	42.5	34.7	11.9	9.6	1.4
Converso	August 7, 2019	[p 7]	35.0	21.0	12.0	8.0	1.0
Probe Research Inc	June 17, 2019	[p 8]	42	26	16	14	3
Probe Research Inc	March 24, 2019	[p 9]	42	30	18	7
Mainstreet Research	March 24, 2019	[p 10]	44.8	32.1	13.1	6.7	3.3
Mainstreet Research	January 16, 2019	[p 11]	44.6	28.0	16.8	4.6	6.0
Probe Research Inc	December 6, 2018	[p 12]	44	27	21	5	3
Mainstreet Research	November 5, 2018	[p 13]	42.3	28.7	18.1	6.0	4.9
Probe Research Inc	September 28, 2018	[p 14]	44	25	20	8
Mainstreet Research	July 17, 2018	[p 15]	44.9	29.3	13.6	8.7	3.4
Probe Research Inc	June 19, 2018	[p 16]	42	30	16	11
Mainstreet Research	April 18, 2018	[p 17]	45.6	30.2	13.0	7.8
Probe Research Inc	April 13, 2018	[p 18]	44	28	19	8
Mainstreet Research	January 6, 2018	[p 19]	39.6	36.7	13.3	10.4
Probe Research Inc	December 14, 2017	[p 20]	40	26	25	8
Probe Research Inc	October 10, 2017	[p 21]	36	30	24	8
Probe Research Inc	June 18, 2017	[p 22]	42	30	20	7
Mainstreet Research	April 7, 2017	[p 23]	47	23	19	11
Probe Research Inc	March 28, 2017	[p 24]	43	27	20	8
Probe Research Inc	December 12, 2016	[p 25]	49	24	19	8
Probe Research Inc	September 26, 2016	[p 26]	48	20	26	5
Probe Research Inc	June 16, 2016	[p 27]	46	27	18	8
2016 election	April 19, 2016		53.0	25.7	14.5	5.1	1.7
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link					Other
			PC	NDP	Liberal	Green

Progressive Conservative   NDP   Liberal   Green

Notes

1. Party name changed from Manitoba Party in 2019. ^[14]

References

1. Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine . Retrieved June 24, 2012.
2. Elections Act , CCSM , c. E30, s. 49.1(2)
3. CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
4. Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News .
5. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
6. "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
7. "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
8. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC News . March 21, 2018.
9. "MLA Biographies - Living". Legislative Assembly of Manitoba . Government of Manitoba . Retrieved October 12, 2023.
10. "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
11. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
12. "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
13. "Results Summary - 42nd General Election" (PDF). electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba . Retrieved February 1, 2023.
14. "Political Parties – 2019 Annual Report" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
15. "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News . May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
16. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
17. "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
18. Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
19. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
20. "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
21. "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
22. Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News . Retrieved September 2, 2019.
23. Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.

Opinion poll sources

1. "Manitoba Election".
2. "Progressive Conservatives Remain Ahead of NDP in Manitoba". September 10, 2019.
3. Manitoba PC Government most likely outcomeMainstreet Research Archived October 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
4. "Progressive Conservatives Have Sizeable Advantage in Manitoba". August 30, 2019.
5. "Manitoba Progressive Conservatives holding on to lead: poll - CBC News". CBC. August 31, 2019. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
6. "Manitoba PCS Have the Lead, but Kinew is the Most Popular Leader".
7. "Pollster attributes inaccurate election survey to weight of northern Manitoba numbers - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca".
8. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "Jun 2019: No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: Poll". Winnipeg Free Press.
9. http://www.probe-research.com/documents/190402%20March%202019%20MB%20Omni%20Prov%20Party%20Standings.pdf ^{[ dead link ]}
10. "NDP Make Gains in Manitoba but PCS Still Lead".
11. "Pallister PCS Extend Lead over NDP".
12. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 28, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.
13. "Pallister PCS Maintain Healthy Lead over NDP as Liberals Gain Five".
14. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2018. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
15. "Pallister PCS Still Ahead in Manitoba".
16. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 4, 2018.
17. "Pallister PCS Widen Lead over NDP".
18. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 23, 2018.
19. "New poll suggests Wab Kinew's NDP barely trails Brian Pallister's PCS - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca".
20. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 29, 2017. Retrieved December 28, 2017.
21. Lett, Dan (October 20, 2017). "Oct 2017: Support for Pallister gov't drops after 18 months of cuts, controversy". Winnipeg Free Press.
22. Lett, Dan (July 3, 2017). "Jul 2017: Tories' honeymoon already over". Winnipeg Free Press.
23. "47% Support Pallister PCS, but Low Grades for Healthcare; Carbon Tax".
24. Martin, Nick (April 9, 2017). "Apr 2017: Pallister government's popularity holding firm: Poll". Winnipeg Free Press.
25. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
26. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
27. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.

Further reading

• Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

External links

• Elections Manitoba