2007 Manitoba general election

Last updated

2007 Manitoba general election
Flag of Manitoba.svg
  2003 May 22, 2007 2011  

57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats were needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Gary Doer 2014.jpg Hugh McFadyen.jpg Lee Fehler with Jon Gerrard (cropped).png
Leader Gary Doer Hugh McFadyen Jon Gerrard
Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since March 30, 1988 April 29, 2006 October 17, 1998
Leader's seat Concordia Fort Whyte River Heights
Last election35202
Seats won36192
Seat changeIncrease2.svg1Decrease2.svg1Steady2.svg0
Popular vote200,834158,51151,857
Percentage48.00%37.89%12.39%
SwingDecrease2.svg1.47%Increase2.svg1.70%Decrease2.svg0.80%

Manitoba general election 2007 - Results By Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Gary Doer
New Democratic

Premier after election

Gary Doer
New Democratic

Riding-by-riding results Manitoba elections 2007.png
Riding-by-riding results

The 2007 Manitoba general election was held on May 22, 2007 to elect Members of the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Manitoba, Canada. It was won by the New Democratic Party, which won 36 seats out of 57. The Progressive Conservative Party finished second with nineteen seats. The Liberal Party won two seats. As a result, Premier of Manitoba Gary Doer received a mandate to form a third consecutive majority government, becoming the first Premier of Manitoba to achieve this since Duff Roblin in 1966.

Contents

The election resulted in very few changes from the party standings at the dissolution of the previous legislature. One New Democrat incumbent was defeated by a Progressive Conservative challenger, and one Progressive Conservative incumbent was defeated by a New Democrat. The PCs picked up one seat that was previously held by an independent, and the NDP picked up one seat that was vacant at dissolution. The other 53 seats in the legislature were all retained by their incumbent parties. The popular vote was also very similar, with the New Democrats dropping 1.47% and the Progressive Conservatives gaining 1.70% overall.

Results

[1]

Summary of the May 22, 2007 Manitoba Legislature election results
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2003 Dissol. 2007+/—#%Change
  New Democratic Gary Doer 57353536+1200,83448.00%–1.47%
  Progressive Conservative Hugh McFadyen 56201819–1158,51137.89%+1.70%
  Liberal Jon Gerrard 57222051,85712.39%–0.80%
Green Andrew Basham150005,5861.34%+0.38%
Communist Darrell Rankin 60003670.09%+0.01%
  Independents and no affiliation 50101,2350.30%+0.26%
 Vacant1 
Total196575757420,54056.75% 
Registered Voters740,991 

Vote and seat summaries


Popular vote
New Democratic
48.00%
PC
37.89%
Liberal
12.39%
Others
1.72%
Seats summary
New Democratic
63.16%
PC
33.33%
Liberal
3.51%

Synopsis of results

2007 Manitoba general election – synopsis of riding results [2] [3]
Electoral
division
Winning partyVotes
2003 1st
place
VotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
2nd
place
NDP PC Lib Grn Ind Comm Total
 
Arthur-Virden PCPC4,45164.05%2,31033.24%NDP2,1414,4513576,949
Assiniboia NDPNDP5,17762.21%2,49129.93%PC5,1772,6864598,322
Brandon East NDPNDP3,76053.95%1,10515.86%PC3,7602,6555546,969
Brandon West NDPPC4,73048.04%560.57%NDP4,6744,730398439,845
Burrows NDPNDP3,79070.75%2,78551.99%PC3,7901,0055625,357
Carman PCPC3,84558.45%2,40536.56%NDP1,4403,8451,2936,578
Charleswood PCPC4,46954.61%1,86622.80%NDP2,6034,4691,1118,183
Concordia NDPNDP3,86269.05%2,65347.43%PC3,8621,2093361865,593
Dauphin-Roblin NDPNDP4,21453.64%95712.18%PC4,2143,2573857,856
Elmwood NDPNDP3,87361.51%2,55040.50%PC3,8731,3231,1016,297
Emerson PCPC3,63660.11%2,34038.68%NDP1,2963,6361,1176,049
Flin Flon NDPNDP2,26277.60%1,60955.20%Lib2,2626532,915
Fort Garry NDPNDP4,29152.60%2,19026.84%PC4,2912,1011,5002668,158
Fort Rouge NDPNDP3,82846.97%1,34016.44%Lib3,8281,2022,48851192298,150
Fort Whyte PCPC5,98151.95%2,08618.12%NDP3,8955,9811,63711,513
Gimli NDPNDP5,94658.74%2,49624.66%PC5,9463,45072710,123
Inkster LiberalLiberal3,96257.73%1,60423.37%NDP2,3585433,9626,863
Interlake NDPNDP4,04759.51%1,60223.56%PC4,0472,4453096,801
Kildonan NDPNDP5,01261.63%2,65232.61%PC5,0122,3605562048,132
Kirkfield Park PCNDP4,99749.32%1,13511.20%PC4,9973,8621,27310,132
La Vérendrye NDPNDP4,01851.12%1,04513.30%PC4,0182,9734903797,860
Lac du Bonnet PCPC4,86659.01%2,09325.38%NDP2,7734,8666078,246
Lakeside PCPC4,44856.19%1,81722.95%NDP2,6314,4484883497,916
Lord Roberts NDPNDP4,49958.13%3,13240.47%PC4,4991,3671,2196557,740
Minnedosa PCPC3,79052.79%1,02114.22%NDP2,7693,790268281727,180
Minto NDPNDP3,35563.63%2,19741.67%Lib3,3556581,1581025,273
Morris PCPC4,40456.98%1,88724.41%NDP2,5174,4048087,729
Pembina PCPC5,19277.24%4,23262.96%NDP9605,1925706,722
Point Douglas NDPNDP2,66566.36%2,07451.64%Lib2,665481591213664,016
Portage la Prairie PCPC3,34448.31%4095.91%NDP2,9353,3446436,922
Radisson NDPNDP4,80456.72%1,81621.44%PC4,8042,9886778,469
Riel NDPNDP4,89457.32%2,27426.63%PC4,8942,6201,0248,538
River East PCPC4,36146.85%520.56%NDP4,3094,3616399,309
River Heights LiberalLiberal4,76051.06%2,41925.95%PC1,8432,3414,7603789,322
Rossmere NDPNDP4,83660.71%2,22827.97%PC4,8362,6085227,966
Rupertsland NDPNDP2,09258.45%80722.55%PC2,0921,2852023,579
Russell PCPC4,14158.49%1,76624.94%NDP2,3754,1415647,080
Seine River NDPNDP5,78656.88%2,51124.69%PC5,7863,2751,11110,172
Selkirk NDPNDP4,58455.64%1,63319.82%PC4,5842,9517048,239
Southdale PCNDP5,77251.05%1,27911.31%PC5,7724,4931,04211,307
Springfield PCPC5,16558.46%2,50928.40%NDP2,6565,1651,0148,835
St. Boniface NDPNDP5,09066.04%4,04152.43%Lib5,0909931,049530457,707
St. James NDPNDP4,23155.88%1,88724.92%PC4,2312,3446563407,571
St. Johns NDPNDP4,22368.82%3,20552.23%PC4,2231,0186042916,136
St. Norbert NDPNDP4,04453.74%1,64021.79%PC4,0442,4041,0777,525
St. Vital NDPNDP4,61161.55%2,85738.13%PC4,6111,7547763517,492
Ste. Rose PCPC3,59959.14%1,57725.91%NDP2,0223,5994656,086
Steinbach PCPC6,14482.98%5,50374.32%NDP6416,1443512687,404
Swan River NDPNDP4,52258.40%1,60720.75%PC4,5222,9153067,743
The Maples NDPNDP3,61756.16%1,72226.74%PC3,6171,8959286,440
The Pas NDPNDP3,26268.86%2,24647.41%PC3,2621,0164594,737
Thompson NDPNDP3,03673.90%2,38057.94%Lib3,0364166564,108
Transcona NDPNDP4,56068.74%3,09046.58%PC4,5601,4706046,634
Turtle Mountain PCPC4,31866.10%2,84243.50%NDP1,4764,3187396,533
Tuxedo PCPC3,98247.26%1,39216.52%NDP2,5903,9821,8548,426
Wellington NDPNDP2,33253.96%1,60137.04%Lib2,332567731692 [a 1] 4,322
Wolseley NDPNDP4,03863.88%3,27551.81%Grn4,038715723763826,321
  1. The incumbent Conrad Santos left the NDP shortly before the election and campaigned as an Independent, receiving 183 votes.
  = open seat
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = incumbency arose from a byelection gain
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2003) [2] [3]
Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share [a 1] Swing [a 2]
%Change (pp)%Change (pp)ToChange (pp)
 
Arthur-VirdenPCHold56.79-3.61
 
64.0510.25
 
PC10.66
 
AssiniboiaNDPHold61.851.98
 
62.21-0.84
 
PC-2.74
 
Brandon EastNDPHold58.726.06
 
53.95-8.09
 
PC-6.77
 
Brandon WestPCGain66.806.37
 
48.0413.12
 
PC-13.33
 
BurrowsNDPHold50.12-0.01
 
70.751.74
 
NDP6.41
 
CarmanPCHold53.18-0.96
 
58.456.59
 
PC6.9
 
CharleswoodPCHold59.43-0.81
 
54.616.29
 
PC13.44
 
ConcordiaNDPHold47.420.92
 
69.05-7.62
 
PC-6.56
 
Dauphin-RoblinNDPHold60.46-1.77
 
53.64-0.63
 
PC-3.48
 
ElmwoodNDPHold49.982
 
61.51-4.42
 
PC-2.47
 
EmersonPCHold49.510.97
 
60.110.69
 
PC1.78
 
Flin FlonNDPHold36.25-2.93
 
77.604.39
 
Lib-0.52
 
Fort GarryNDPHold66.062.57
 
52.605.85
 
NDP12.89
 
Fort RougeNDPHold62.297.64
 
46.97-10.67
 
PC-2.85
 
Fort WhytePCHold59.152.54
 
51.95-0.76
 
NDP-3.23
 
GimliNDPHold62.911.19
 
58.742.18
 
NDP2.82
 
InksterLibHold61.450.09
 
57.734.34
 
Lib5.72
 
InterlakeNDPHold56.536.63
 
59.51-4.25
 
PC-5.26
 
KildonanNDPHold58.575.26
 
61.63-8.5
 
PC-11.23
 
Kirkfield ParkNDPGain69.217.77
 
49.3218.26
 
NDP-13.43
 
La VerendryeNDPHold60.067.52
 
51.12-6.95
 
PC-5.11
 
Lac du BonnetPCHold58.52-2
 
59.017.75
 
PC9.74
 
LakesidePCHold57.641.25
 
56.193.23
 
PC4.42
 
Lord RobertsNDPHold55.571.88
 
58.13-3.86
 
PC-2.36
 
MinnedosaPCHold58.992.83
 
52.795.42
 
PC7.02
 
MintoNDPHold50.433.18
 
63.63-5.84
 
Lib-7.27
 
MorrisPCHold54.131.57
 
56.98-0.18
 
NDP-5.01
 
PembinaPCHold44.951.85
 
77.241
 
PC0.48
 
Point DouglasNDPHold40.14-0.1
 
66.36-8.5
 
Lib-4.49
 
Portage la PrairiePCHold57.220.18
 
48.31-1.51
 
NDP-0.59
 
RadissonNDPHold60.246.19
 
56.724.28
 
NDP4.06
 
RielNDPHold63.041.89
 
57.323.29
 
NDP5.22
 
River EastPCHold67.58-0.43
 
46.85-4.44
 
NDP-2.49
 
River HeightsLibHold69.351.92
 
51.062.36
 
Lib3.1
 
RossmereNDPHold61.703.48
 
60.71-4.84
 
PC-3.91
 
RupertslandNDPHold33.505.38
 
58.45-29.07
 
Lib-14.14
 
RussellPCHold60.94-2.4
 
58.496.53
 
PC6.88
 
Seine RiverNDPHold63.253.91
 
56.885.82
 
NDP8.01
 
SelkirkNDPHold59.184.68
 
55.64-7.05
 
NDP2.26
 
SouthdaleNDPGain65.749.78
 
51.0515.01
 
NDP-13.15
 
SpringfieldPCHold56.780.99
 
58.46-2.16
 
NDP-0.63
 
St. BonifaceNDPHold59.567.36
 
66.04-8.29
 
Lib-3.74
 
St. JamesNDPHold59.143.63
 
55.882.2
 
NDP2.29
 
St. JohnsNDPHold51.453.73
 
68.82-3.58
 
Lib-0.33
 
St. NorbertNDPHold65.477.3
 
53.745.06
 
NDP5.49
 
St. VitalNDPHold58.466.3
 
61.55-1.88
 
PC-0.74
 
Ste. RosePCHold50.71-2.02
 
59.142.49
 
PC2.2
 
SteinbachPCHold49.987.99
 
82.988.35
 
PC7.47
 
Swan RiverNDPHold65.225.04
 
58.40-4.84
 
PC-6.46
 
The MaplesNDPHold55.055.94
 
56.16-24.87
 
PC-17.66
 
The PasNDPHold36.63-3.84
 
68.863.25
 
NDP5.62
 
ThompsonNDPHold39.822.28
 
73.90-8.83
 
PC-2.79
 
TransconaNDPHold48.800.26
 
68.74-0.74
 
NDP3.14
 
Turtle MountainPCHold54.39-0.47
 
66.106.08
 
PC6.1
 
TuxedoPCHold60.534.22
 
47.26-5.56
 
NDP-5.47
 
WellingtonNDPHold46.051.58
 
53.96-20.01
 
Lib-10.87
 
WolseleyNDPHold55.282.14
 
63.886.99
 
NDP7.2
 
  1. Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 1986.
  2. Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 1986; negative points to 1986's second-place party being swung to.

Changes in party shares

Share change analysis by party and riding (2007 vs 2003) [2] [3]
Riding Green Liberal NDP PC
%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)
 
Arthur-Virden5.140.83
 
30.81-11.08
 
64.0510.25
 
Assiniboia-1.25
 
5.52-2.53
 
62.21-0.84
 
32.284.63
 
Brandon East7.953.56
 
53.95-8.09
 
38.105.46
 
Brandon West4.04-0.01
 
47.48-13.55
 
48.0413.12
 
Burrows-2.12
 
10.49-11.09
 
70.751.74
 
18.7611.47
 
Carman19.66-7.21
 
21.890.62
 
58.456.59
 
Charleswood13.58-20.58
 
31.8114.29
 
54.616.29
 
Concordia3.333.33
 
6.01-1.21
 
69.05-7.62
 
21.625.51
 
Dauphin-Roblin-2.55
 
4.90-3.15
 
53.64-0.63
 
41.466.33
 
Elmwood17.485.01
 
61.51-4.42
 
21.010.52
 
Emerson18.47-2.87
 
21.432.17
 
60.110.69
 
Flin Flon22.405.42
 
77.604.39
 
-9.81
 
Fort Garry3.263.26
 
18.3911.57
 
52.605.85
 
25.75-19.94
 
Fort Rouge6.271.3
 
30.5313.56
 
46.97-10.67
 
14.75-4.97
 
Fort Whyte14.22-4.94
 
33.835.7
 
51.95-0.76
 
Gimli7.181.28
 
58.742.18
 
34.08-3.46
 
Inkster-1.5
 
57.734.34
 
34.36-7.1
 
7.914.26
 
Interlake4.54-2.02
 
59.51-4.25
 
35.956.27
 
Kildonan2.510.59
 
6.84-6.06
 
61.63-8.5
 
29.0213.96
 
Kirkfield Park12.56-9.65
 
49.3218.26
 
38.12-8.6
 
La Verendrye6.23-1.13
 
51.12-6.95
 
37.823.26
 
Lac du Bonnet7.363.97
 
33.63-11.72
 
59.017.75
 
Lakeside4.414.41
 
6.16-2.03
 
33.24-5.61
 
56.193.23
 
Lord Roberts8.462.17
 
15.751.76
 
58.13-3.86
 
17.660.87
 
Minnedosa3.913.91
 
3.73-0.16
 
38.57-8.63
 
52.795.42
 
Minto-3.82
 
21.968.69
 
63.63-5.84
 
12.480.35
 
Morris10.45-9.67
 
32.579.85
 
56.98-0.18
 
Pembina8.480.28
 
14.280.04
 
77.241
 
Point Douglas5.305.3
 
14.720.48
 
66.36-8.5
 
11.983.21
 
Portage la Prairie9.291.84
 
42.40-0.33
 
48.31-1.51
 
Radisson7.99-0.42
 
56.724.28
 
35.28-3.85
 
Riel11.993.86
 
57.323.29
 
30.69-7.14
 
River East6.863.89
 
46.290.54
 
46.85-4.44
 
River Heights4.051.79
 
51.062.36
 
19.770.03
 
25.11-3.84
 
Rossmere6.551.86
 
60.71-4.84
 
32.742.98
 
Rupertsland5.64-0.79
 
58.45-29.07
 
35.9029.86
 
Russell7.970.71
 
33.55-7.24
 
58.496.53
 
Seine River10.924.38
 
56.885.82
 
32.20-10.2
 
Selkirk8.54-11.56
 
55.64-7.05
 
35.8218.61
 
Southdale9.22-3.71
 
51.0515.01
 
39.74-11.3
 
Springfield11.483.07
 
30.06-0.91
 
58.46-2.16
 
St. Boniface6.886.88
 
13.61-0.82
 
66.04-8.29
 
12.881.65
 
St. James4.494.49
 
8.66-4.32
 
55.882.2
 
30.96-2.38
 
St. Johns4.740.95
 
9.84-2.93
 
68.82-3.58
 
16.596.1
 
St. Norbert-2.7
 
14.313.56
 
53.745.06
 
31.95-5.92
 
St. Vital4.682.11
 
10.360.19
 
61.55-1.88
 
23.41-0.41
 
Ste. Rose7.64-0.58
 
33.22-1.92
 
59.142.49
 
Steinbach3.621.42
 
4.74-3.19
 
8.66-6.59
 
82.988.35
 
Swan River3.95-3.23
 
58.40-4.84
 
37.658.07
 
The Maples14.4114.41
 
56.16-24.87
 
29.4310.46
 
The Pas9.69-7.98
 
68.863.25
 
21.454.73
 
Thompson15.9712.07
 
73.90-8.83
 
10.13-3.25
 
Transcona9.10-7.01
 
68.74-0.74
 
22.167.76
 
Turtle Mountain11.310.04
 
22.59-6.12
 
66.106.08
 
Tuxedo22.000.18
 
30.745.38
 
47.26-5.56
 
Wellington16.911.74
 
53.96-20.01
 
13.123.33
 
Wolseley12.07-7.42
 
11.44-1.08
 
63.886.99
 
11.310.22
 
      = did not field a candidate in 2003

    By-elections since 2007

    Manitoba provincial by-election, March 2, 2010: Concordia
    Resignation of Gary Doer
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
    New Democratic Matt Wiebe 2,06558.90-10.15$20,394.67
    Progressive Conservative Brian Biebrich69419.79-1.82$9,160.24
    Liberal Judi Heppner61317.4811.48$5,750.52
    Green Ellen Young1343.820.50$762.27
    Total valid votes3,506
    Rejected11
    Eligible voters / turnout11,15031.44-15.98
    Source(s)
    Source:
    Manitoba provincial by-election, March 24, 2009: Elmwood
    Resignation of Jim Maloway
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
    New Democratic Bill Blaikie 2,32553.76-7.75$17,603.25
    Progressive Conservative Adrian Schulz91321.110.10$15,919.78
    Liberal Regan Wolfrom87720.282.79$27,106.33
    Green James R. Beddome 2104.86$1,115.73
    Total valid votes4,325
    Rejected14
    Eligible voters / turnout11,90736.44−13.54
    Source(s)
    Source:
    Manitoba provincial by-election, March 24, 2009: The Pas
    Death of Oscar Lathlin
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
    New Democratic Frank Whitehead 2,94975.116.2525,898.41
    Progressive Conservative Edna Nabess72218.39-3.0631,676.75
    Liberal Maurice Berens2556.50-3.199,255.99
    Total valid votes3,926
    Rejected23
    Eligible voters / turnout13,33429.44
    New Democratic hold Swing +4.66
    Source(s)
    Source: "2009 The Pas Byelection Results" (PDF). Elections Manitoba.

    See also

    References

    Further reading