2011 Manitoba general election

2011 Manitoba general election

←  2007 October 4, 2011 (2011-10-04) 2016  →
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	55.77%
First party Second party Third party   Leader Greg Selinger Hugh McFadyen Jon Gerrard Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Liberal Leader since October 17, 2009 April 29, 2006 October 17, 1998 Leader's seat St. Boniface Fort Whyte River Heights Last election 36 seats, 48.00% 19 seats, 37.89% 2 seats, 12.39% Seats won 37 19 1 Seat change 1 1 Popular vote 199,066 188,528 32,420 Percentage 46.16% 43.71% 7.52% Swing 1.84% 5.97% 4.60%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election Greg Selinger New Democratic Premier after election Greg Selinger New Democratic

The 2011 Manitoba general election was held to elect Members of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. It took place on October 4, 2011, due to the new fixed-date election laws. In the outgoing legislature, the New Democratic Party of Manitoba (NDP) held 37 of the 57 seats, the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba (PC Party) held 19 of the 57 seats and the Liberal Party of Manitoba held one of the 57 seats, after Kevin Lamoureux resigned his seat in the riding of Inkster to run as a Liberal candidate in a federal by-election. ^[1]

Following the last census, electoral district boundaries were adjusted. There are 57 electoral districts.

Despite being perceived as a tight race in the run-up to voting, with The Globe and Mail expecting it to be the "closest in more than a decade", ^[2] the NDP won its fourth consecutive term in government, taking 37 seats, an improvement of one from the 2007 election – thus gaining their largest majority ever in the Assembly – whilst the Progressive Conservatives failed to make any gains beyond closing the gap in the popular vote, and not a single incumbent was defeated. ^[3] The PC leader Hugh McFadyen announced shortly thereafter that he would resign his post. Also facing a disappointing result in the election, Liberal leader Jon Gerrard also announced shortly after the election that he would resign his post once the party crowned a new leader in 2013. ^[4]

Party leadership

The Green Party and the NDP have chosen new leaders since the last general election.

On August 27, 2009 Premier Gary Doer, after being Premier of Manitoba for ten years announced his resignation as Premier and leader of the NDP. The following day he was appointed Canada's Ambassador to the United States. ^{[5] [6]}

Three candidates entered the campaign to replace Doer: Steve Ashton, Greg Selinger and Andrew Swan. On September 28, 2009, Swan bowed out of the race and endorsed Selinger. Some pundits believe this was an attempt to stop Steve Ashton from becoming leader. ^[7]

Ashton, first seen as a minor candidate, ended up being a heavy-weight and, gaining momentum, scored big victories in some ridings, however it wasn't enough to convince many MLAs or win union endorsement. Selinger won the leadership election on October 17, 2009 with 65.75% of the ballot. His victory was achieved in large part by being backed by unions and the vast majority of the party elite. ^{[6] [8]}

2009 New Democratic Party of Manitoba leadership election
Candidate	Votes	Percentage
Greg Selinger	1,317	65.75%
Steve Ashton	685	34.20%
Spoiled ballots	1	0.05%
Total	2,003	100.00%

The Green Party elected James Beddome to a two-year term party leader on November 15, 2008, defeating incumbent Andrew Basham and third candidate Shane Nestruck. After his victory, he said that he would work toward running a full slate of candidates in the next provincial election. He was the party's candidate for a by-election in the northeast Winnipeg division of Elmwood in early 2009.

Election summary

Summary of the October 4, 2011 Manitoba Legislature election

Party		Party leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2007	Dissol.	2011	% Change	#	%	% Change
	New Democratic	Greg Selinger	57	36	36	37	+2.78%	199,069	46.16	−1.84
	Progressive Conservative	Hugh McFadyen	57	19	18	19	0.00%	188,535	43.71	+5.97
	Liberal	Jon Gerrard	57	2	1	1	−50.00%	32,418	7.52	−4.60
	Green	James Beddome	32	0	0	0	−	10,886	2.52	+1.18
	Communist	Darrell Rankin	4	0	0	0	−	179	0.04	-0.05
	Independent		1	0	0	0	−	215	0.05	-0.25
	Vacant				2
Total Valid Votes			208	57	57	57	−	431,302	55.77%	-0.98%

Popular vote New Democratic   46.16% PC   43.71% Liberal   7.52% Green   2.52% Others   0.09%

Seat Count New Democratic   64.91% PC   33.33% Liberal   1.75%

Turnout

Of 777,054 registered voters, 55.77% or 433,346 cast votes in the election. ^[9] Although this is slightly lower than the 2007 election, voter turnout in Manitoba has generally declined since the mid-1970s when it reached 78.3% in the 1973 general election. ^[10] About 78,500 voters took advantage of advance polls, more than any previous election. ^[11]

Marginal seats

The following is a list of the ten ridings most narrowly lost by the indicated party in the 2007 election (by percentage of the vote the indicated party lost by).

New boundaries are in effect for the 2011 election, so some ridings not listed may come into place in the next election with population movements.

New Democratic	Progressive Conservative
River East (PC), 0.56% (held) Brandon West (PC), 0.56% (held) Portage la Prairie (PC), 5.91% (held)	Kirkfield Park (NDP), 11.22% (held) Southdale (NDP), 11.30% (held) Dauphin-Roblin (NDP), 12.12% (held) La Verendrye (NDP), 12.47% (won)
Liberal	Green
Fort Rouge (NDP), 16.44% (held)	Wolseley (NDP), 51.82% (held)

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

New Democrats Marilyn Brick, St. Norbert [12] George Hickes, Point Douglas [12] Bonnie Korzeniowski, St. James [13] Diane McGifford, Lord Roberts [14] Doug Martindale, Burrows [15] Rosann Wowchuk, Swan River [16] Bill Blaikie, Elmwood [17] Gerard Jennissen, Flin Flon [18] Progressives Conservatives Rick Borotsik, Brandon West [19] Peter George Dyck, Pembina [20] David Faurschou, Portage la Prairie [21] Gerald Hawranik, Lac du Bonnet [22] Len Derkach, Russell [23] Resigned Liberals Kevin Lamoureux, Inkster

Election campaign

Election signs for the major parties in the riding of The Maples.

Issues

Bipole III

Manitoba Hydro planned an alternative hydro-electric transmission line to Bipole I and II routes running through the Interlake region in Manitoba. Initially it planned a more easterly route to the east of Lake Winnipeg. The NDP ignored the expert opinion of Manitoba Hydro and decided to build the line on the west side of the province at a cost of $4.1 billion. Further, the NDP proposed the creation of a large UNESCO environmental heritage site named Pimachiowin Aki. Just days before his retirement as premier, Doer announced that the government would donate $10 million to the trust fund for UNESCO World Heritage site on the east side of Lake Winnipeg. ^[24] The NDP claimed that an east side Bipole III route would jeopardise the UNESCO site and claimed that a heritage site would benefit First Nations communities more. ^[25] The NDP proposed a longer, more expensive, alternative route through the west of Manitoba to preserve the environmental integrity of the east side. Subject to the Environmental Impact Statement to be completed in June 2011, the construction of the line will begin in the winter of 2012, one year after the election. ^[26]

Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen opposes the western route stating that it would cost $1 billion to $1.75 billion more, it would destroy more trees, 15 out of 16 First Nations believed the Bipole III would be more economically beneficial, and would be more at risk from disasters as the Bipole lines in the Interlake. ^[25] McFadyen promised that if elected he would cancel the western route, and build it down the east side. ^[27] McFadyen also supported the UNESCO site on the east side and claims that Bipole III would not jeopardise the World Heritage Site. ^{[24] [25]}

Liberal leader Jon Gerrard proposed that instead of building the line down the east or west, Manitoba Hydro should put the cable under Lake Winnipeg as proposed by Dr. John Ryan, retired University of Winnipeg professor in 2008. ^[28] In the fall of 2010 Gerrard asked Manitoba Hydro CEO Bob Brennan if he had inquired into the Lake Winnipeg route. Brennan said that he had not. Gerrard promised to build the line through Lake Winnipeg if elected. ^[29]

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	NDP	PC	Liberal	Green	Other
Angus Reid Public Opinion	September 30 – October 2, 2011	[p 1]	46	43	8	3	0
Probe Research Inc	September 21–28, 2011	[p 2]	46	43	7	4
Environics	September 26, 2011	[p 3]	42	45	10
Viewpoints Research	September 14–21, 2011	[p 4]	41	32	5
Probe Research Inc	June 29, 2011	[p 5]	44	44	9		3
Probe Research Inc	March 23, 2011	[p 6]	35	47	14		4
Probe Research Inc	November 25–Dec. 12, 2010	[p 7]	38	42	15		5
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 7–15, 2010	[p 8]	37	46	13	4	1
Probe Research Inc	September 30, 2010	[p 9]	40	42	12		6
Angus Reid Public Opinion	September 21, 2010	[p 10]	34	49	12	4	1
Viewpoints Research	September 15, 2010	[p 11]	39	38	14	8	1
Probe Research Inc	July 3, 2010	[p 12]	41	40	13		6
Angus Reid Public Opinion	June 10, 2010	[p 13]	36	48	12	3	1
Probe Research Inc	March 29, 2010	[p 14]	42	39	11	8	0
Angus Reid Public Opinion	March 18, 2010	[p 15]	37	44	13	3	3
Probe Research Inc	December 2009	[p 16]	47	37	11	4	1
Probe Research Inc	September 2009	[p 17]	45	38	12		5
Probe Research Inc	July 2009	[p 17]	45	36	14		5
Environics	June 2009	[p 18]	43	35	22
Environics	April 2009	[p 18]	49	37	12		2
Probe Research Inc	March 2009	[p 17]	46	36	13		5
Probe Research Inc	December 2008	[p 17]	41	43	10		6
Probe Research Inc	September 2008	[p 17]	43	39	13		5
Probe Research Inc	June 2008	[p 17]	46	36	13		5
Probe Research Inc	March 2008	[p 17]	46	38	13		3
Election 2007	May 22, 2007		48.00%	37.89%	12.39%	1.34%	0.39%
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link					Other
			NDP	PC	Liberal	Green

Leadership approval rating

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Greg Selinger	Hugh McFadyen	Jon Gerrard
Probe Research Inc	July 3, 2010		49	41	35
	Disapproval rating		22	26	29

Candidates by riding

• Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Flin Flon		Clarence Pettersen 1,901 (57.10%)		Darcy Linklater 791 (23.76%)		Thomas Heine 510 (15.31%)		Saara Harvie 110 (3.30%)				Gerard Jennissen
Kewatinook		Eric Robinson 2,043 (56.79%)		Michael Birch 1,389 (38.61%)		Orville Woodford 49 (1.36%)		Philip Green 94 (2.61%)				Eric Robinson
Swan River		Ron Kostyshyn 4,280 (55.81%)		Dave Powell 3,078 (40.14%)		Reynald Cook 264 (3.44%)						Rosann Wowchuk
The Pas		Frank Whitehead 2,995 (73.20%)		Alfred McDonald 959 (23.44%)		Girma Tessema 115 (2.81%)						Frank Whitehead
Thompson		Steve Ashton 2,586 (68.19%)		Anita Campbell 1,068 (28.16%)		Ken Dillen 120 (3.16%)						Steve Ashton

Westman/Parkland

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Agassiz		Amity Sagness 1,058 (17.13%)		Stu Briese 4,390 (71.09%)		Gary Sallows 410 (6.64%)		Kate Storey 317 (5.13%)				New District
Arthur-Virden		Garry Draper 2,274 (30.18%)		Larry Maguire 4,975 (66.03%)		Murray Cliff 286 (3.80%)						Larry Maguire
Brandon East		Drew Caldwell 3,533 (54.77%)		Mike Waddell 2,513 (38.75%)		Shaun Cameron 280 (4.23%)		Vanda Fleury 158 (2.45%)				Drew Caldwell
Brandon West		Jim Murray 4,073 (46.98%)		Reg Helwer 4,219 (48.66%)		George Buri 378 (4.36%)						Rick Borotsik
Dauphin		Stan Struthers 4,470 (54.91%)		Lloyd McKinney 3,351 (41.17%)		Sisay Tessema 123 (1.51%)		Tamela Friesen 196 (2.41%)				New District
Riding Mountain		Albert Parsons 2,604 (34.26%)		Leanne Rowat 4,461 (58.69%)		Carl Hyde 270 (3.55%)		Signe Knutson 266 (3.50%)				New District
Spruce Woods		Cory Szczepanski 1,923 (28.58%)		Cliff Cullen 4,487 (66.69%)		Trenton Zazalak 318 (4.73%)						New District

Central Manitoba

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Emerson		Lorie Fiddler 1,082 (19.76%)		Cliff Graydon 3,983 (72.72%)		Micheline Belliveau 412 (7.52%)						Cliff Graydon
Gimli		Peter Bjornson 5,004 (51.79%)		Jeff Wharton 4,154 (42.99%)		Lawrence Einarsson 195 (2.02%)		Glenda Whiteman 309 (3.20%)				Peter Bjornson
Interlake		Tom Nevakshonoff 3,359 (50.47%)		Steve Lupky 2,899 (43.56%)		Albert Ratt 184 (2.76%)				John Zasitko 213 (3.20%)		Tom Nevakshonoff
Lakeside		Rosemary Hnatiuk 1,956 (25.71%)		Ralph Eichler 5,036 (66.20%)		Jerald Funk 246 (3.23%)		Betty Kehler 369 (4.85%)				Ralph Eichler
Midland		Jacqueline Theroux 1,746 (23.64%)		Blaine Pedersen 5,133 (69.50%)		Leah Jeffers 507 (6.86%)						New District
Morden-Winkler		Aaron McDowell 656 (11.43%)		Cameron Friesen 4,912 (85.56%)		Daniel Woldeyohanis 173 (3.01%)						New District
Morris		Mohamed Alli 1,480 (19.33%)		Mavis Taillieu 5,669 (74.06%)		Janelle Mailhot 506 (6.61%)						Mavis Taillieu
Portage la Prairie		James Kostuchuk 2,689 (39.39%)		Ian Wishart 3,556 (52.24%)		Michelle Cudmore-Armstrong 571 (8.37%)						David Faurschou

Eastman

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Dawson Trail		Ron Lemieux 4,284 (52.51%)		Laurent Tetrault 3,554 (43.56%)		Sandra Hoskins 321 (3.93%)						New District
Lac du Bonnet		Elana Spence 2,853 (36.74%)		Wayne Ewasko 4,266 (54.94%)		Charlett Millen 351 (4.52%)		Dan Green 295 (3.80%)				Vacant
La Verendrye		Maurice Tallaire 1,823 (25.94%)		Dennis Smook 4,480 (63.75%)		Monica Guetre 372 (5.31%)		Janine Gibson 351 (5.00%)				Ron Lemieux
Steinbach		Dally Gutierrez 487 (7.62%)		Kelvin Goertzen 5,469 (85.52%)		Lee Fehler 439 (6.86%)						Kelvin Goertzen
St. Paul		Cynthia Ryan 3,479 (37.40%)		Ron Schuler 5,547 (59.63%)		Ludolf Grollé 276 (2.97%)						New District
Selkirk		Greg Dewar 3,882 (56.35%)		David Bell 2,703 (39.24%)		Marilyn Courchene 304 (4.41%)						Greg Dewar

Northwest Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Burrows		Melanie Wight 3,063 (59.35%)		Rick Negrych 1,314 (25.58%)		Twyla Motkaluk 629 (12.18%)		Garett Peepeetch 124 (2.29%)		Frank Komarniski (CPC-M) 32 (0.61%)		Doug Martindale
Kildonan		Dave Chomiak 4,808 (59.52%)		Darrell Penner 2,880 (35.65%)		Dimitrius Sagriotis 391 (4.83%)						Dave Chomiak
Point Douglas		Kevin Chief 3,806 (73.50%)		John Vernaus 917 (17.95%)		Mary Lou Bourgeois 257 (4.51%)		Teresa Pun 176 (3.32%)		Darrell Rankin (CPC-M) 38 (0.71%)		George Hickes
St. Johns		Gord Mackintosh 4,157 (65.93%)		Ray Larkin 1,405 (22.40%)		Trevor Mueller 348 (5.48%)		Alon Weinberg 392 (6.20%)				Gord Mackintosh
The Maples		Mohinder Saran 3,894 (51.8%)		Jose Tomas 1,943 (25.9%)		Pablito Sarinas 1,395 (18.57%)		John Redekopp 281 (3.73%)				Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park		Ted Marcelino 2,596 (44.93%)		Cris Aglugub 908 (15.79%)		Roldan Sevillano 2,007 (34.94%)		Dean Koshelanyk 237 (4.34%)				New District

Northeast Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Concordia		Matt Wiebe 4,008 (62.72%)		Naseer Warraich 1,803 (28.21%)		Isaiah Oyeleru 237 (3.70%)		Ryan Poirier 308 (4.82%)				Matt Wiebe
Elmwood		Jim Maloway 3,864 (54.14%)		David Hutten 2,399 (33.61%)		Anthony Dratowany 467 (6.54%)		Ray Eskritt 346 (4.84%)				Bill Blaikie
Radisson		Bidhu Jha 5,033 (54.94%)		Desmond Penner 3,588 (39.17%)		Shirley Robert 506 (5.52%)						Bidhu Jha
River East		Kurt Penner 4,512 (43.92%)		Bonnie Mitchelson 5,247 (51.07%)		Christopher Pelda 188 (1.83%)		Kelly Mitchell 274 (2.66%)				Bonnie Mitchelson
Rossmere		Erna Braun 5,392 (56.37%)		Kaur Sidhu 3,430 (35.86%)		Rene Belliveau 356 (3.72%)		Evan Maydaniuk 351 (3.67%)				Erna Braun
St. Boniface		Greg Selinger 5,914 (68.56%)		Frank Clark 1,537 (17.82%)		Brad Gross 606 (7.02%)		Alain Landry 530 (6.14%)				Greg Selinger
Transcona		Daryl Reid 4,488 (57.92%)		Craig Stapon 2,668 (34.43%)		Faye McLeod-Jashyn 551 (7.11%)						Daryl Reid

West Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Assiniboia		Jim Rondeau 5,093 (58.22%)		Susan Auch 3,258 (37.24%)		Moe Bokhari 194 (2.22%)		Anlina Sheng 203 (2.32%)				Jim Rondeau
Charleswood		Paul Beckta 2,597 (30.05%)		Myrna Driedger 4,826 (55.84%)		Matthew Ostrove 751 (8.69%)		Dirk Hoeppner 469 (5.83%)				Myrna Driedger
Kirkfield Park		Sharon Blady 4,900 (46.80%)		Kelly de Groot 4,871 (46.52%)		Syed Bokhari 363 (3.47%)		Alanna Gray 337 (3.22%)				Sharon Blady
St. James		Deanne Crothers 4,411 (49.75%)		Scott Gillingham 3,403 (38.38%)		Gerard Allard 679 (7.66%)		Trevor Vandale 374 (4.22%)				Bonnie Korzeniowski
Tuxedo		Dashi Zargani 2,319 (25.35%)		Heather Stefanson 4,829 (52.79%)		Linda Minuk 1,509 (16.5%)		Donald Benham 491 (5.36%)				Heather Stefanson

Central Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Garry-Riverview		James Allum 5,137 (55.52%)		Ian Rabb 3,054 (33.01%)		Kevin Freedman 663 (7.17%)		Daniel Backé 398 (4.30%)				New District
Fort Rouge		Jennifer Howard 4,493 (51.27%)		Sonny Dominique 1,767 (20.16%)		Paul Hesse 2,026 (23.12%)		Stephen Weedon 477 (5.44%)				Jennifer Howard
Logan		Flor Marcelino 2,943 (58.91%)		Tyrone Krawetz 838 (16.77%)		Joe Chan 845 (16.91%)		Kristen Andrews 324 (6.49%)		David Tymoshchuk (CPC-M) 46 (0.92%)		New District
Minto		Andrew Swan 3,569 (66.26%)		Belinda Squance 830 (15.41%)		Don Woodstock 602 (11.18%)		Harold Dyck 330 (6.13%)		Cheryl-Anne Carr (CPC-M) 55 (1.02%)		Andrew Swan
River Heights		Dan Manning 1,835 (17.76%)		Marty Morantz 3,384 (32.76%)		Jon Gerrard 4,742 (45.91%)		Elizabeth May Cameron 369 (3.57%)				Jon Gerrard
Wolseley		Rob Altemeyer 4,193 (60.68%)		Harpreet Turka 847 (12.26%)		Eric Stewart 506 (7.32%)		James Beddome 1,364 (19.74%)				Rob Altemeyer

South Winnipeg

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Other
Fort Richmond		Kerri Irvin-Ross 4,026 (53.15%)		Shaun McCaffrey 2,908 (38.39%)		Dustin Hiles 369 (4.87%)		Caitlin McIntyre 226 (2.98%)				New District
Fort Whyte		Sunny Dhaliwal 2,655 (29.49%)		Hugh McFadyen 5,594 (62.13%)		Chae Tsai 710 (7.88%)						Hugh McFadyen
Riel		Christine Melnick 5,352 (54.69%)		Rochelle Squires 3,916 (40.01%)		Cheryl Gilarski 480 (4.90%)						Christine Melnick
Seine River		Theresa Oswald 5,500 (52.88%)		Gord Steeves 4,569 (43.93%)		Troy Osiname 295 (2.83%)						Theresa Oswald
Southdale		Erin Selby 5,662 (51.84%)		Judy Eastman 4,898 (44.84%)		Amarjit Singh 327 (2.99%)						Erin Selby
St. Norbert		Dave Gaudreau 3,966 (44.94%)		Karen Velthuys 3,935 (44.58%)		Marcel Laurendeau 883 (10.00%)						Marilyn Brick
St. Vital		Nancy Allan 5,023 (59.80%)		Mike Brown 2,876 (34.24%)		Harry Wolbert 461 (5.48%)						Nancy Allan

By-elections since 2011

v t e Manitoba provincial by-election, April 22, 2015: The Pas
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	New Democratic	Amanda Lathlin	1,557	56.47	-16.74
	Progressive Conservative	Jacob Nasekapow	817	29.63	+6.18
	Liberal	Inez Vystrcil-Spence	369	13.38	+10.56
Total valid votes			2,743	100.00
Rejected and declined votes			14
Turnout			2,757	22.10
Electors on the lists			12,475
	New Democratic hold		Swing

Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Arthur-Virden
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Doyle Piwniuk	3,137	68.20	+2.23
	Liberal	Floyd Buhler	738	16.04	+12.23
	New Democratic	Bob Senff	480	10.43	-19.78
	Green	Kate Storey	245	5.33
Total valid votes			4,600	100.00
Rejected and declined votes			10
Turnout			4,610	33.55
Electors on the lists			13,739
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		-5.00

Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Morris
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Shannon Martin	2,642	69.99	-4.01
	New Democratic	Dean Harder	488	12.93	-6.44
	Liberal	Jeremy Barber	422	11.18	+4.55
	Independent	Ray Shaw	138	3.66	-
	Green	Alain Landry	85	2.25	-
Total valid votes			3,775
Rejected and declined votes			17
Turnout			3,792	27.51
Electors on the lists			13,782
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		+1.21

Manitoba provincial by-election, September 4, 2012 Resignation of Hugh McFadyen : Fort Whyte
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Pallister	3,626	55.14	-6.99
	Liberal	Bob Axworthy	2,069	31.47	+23.59
	New Democratic	Bonny Schmidt	739	11.24	-18.25
	Green	Donnie H.J Benham	113	1.73	+1.73
	Independent	Darrell Ackman	19	0.03	+0.03
Spoiled/rejected votes			10	*	*
turnout			41.64	*	*
Total valid votes			6,576	100.00	[30]

References

1. Lamoureux resigns as MLA, eyes federal run. Winnipeg Free Press, November 1, 2010. Retrieved April 1, 2011.
2. Lambert, Steve (October 4, 2011). "Manitoba election expected to be the closest in more than a decade". The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 5, 2011.
3. "NDP wins another Manitoba election". The Montreal Gazette. October 5, 2011. Retrieved October 5, 2011.^{[ permanent dead link ]}
4. Manitoba Liberal Leader Jon Gerrard Won't Run Again Archived October 22, 2011, at the Wayback Machine . Huffington Post , October 19, 2011.
5. Kevin Engstrom (August 27, 2009). "Premier Gary Doer resigns". Winnipeg Sun . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
6. "Selinger picked as Manitoba's next NDP premier". CBC News. October 17, 2009. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
7. Larry Kusch, Bruce Owen (September 28, 2009). "Swan out, backs Selinger's NDP leadership bid". Winnipeg Free Press . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
8. Dan Lett (October 18, 2009). "Selinger must prove NDP has life after Doer". Winnipeg Free Press . Retrieved November 30, 2010.
9. "Elections Manitoba official results". Electionsmanitoba.ca. Archived from the original on April 25, 2012. Retrieved February 16, 2012.
10. "Voter Turnout in Manitoba: An Ecological Analysis" (PDF). Retrieved February 16, 2012.
11. "Winnipeg Free Press" . Retrieved April 20, 2023– via www.winnipegfreepress.com.
12. "MLA Marilyn Brick won't stand again". CBC News . February 12, 2011.
13. "MLA Korzeniowski won't seek re-election". Winnipeg Free Press. May 11, 2011.
14. "McGifford won't run again". Winnipeg Free Press . February 4, 2011.
15. Longtime member of Manitoba legislature [not] seeking re-election this fall. Winnipeg Free Press, April 1, 2011. Retrieved April 2, 2011.
16. "First female ag minister won't seek re-election". The Manitoba Co-operator. July 4, 2011.
17. "Bill Blaikie leaving political life". CBC News. July 11, 2011.
18. "The Premier had praise for the dedication of our retiring M.L.A." CFAR 590. February 22, 2011. Archived from the original on March 31, 2012. Retrieved August 25, 2011.
19. Bruce Owen (December 15, 2010). "Peter George Dyck leaving politics". Winnipeg Free Press .
20. Don Radford. "Peter George Dyck leaving politics". Winkler Times. Archived from the original on December 21, 2010. Retrieved March 26, 2011.
21. Rob Swyston (March 26, 2011). "MLA David Faurschou stepping down". Winnipeg Sun .
22. Larry Kusch (March 25, 2011). "MLA Hawranik announces resignation". Winnipeg Free Press .
23. Kusch, Larry (February 8, 2011). "Derkach won't seek eighth term in office". Winnipeg Free Press . Retrieved February 21, 2011.
24. "Doer announces $10-M UNESCO trust fund". Winnipeg Free Press . October 13, 2009. Retrieved November 25, 2010.
25. Ethan Cable (November 25, 2009). "West-side line is a $1.4 billion mistake, critics say". The Uniter . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
26. "Bipole III". Manitoba Hydro . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
27. Larry Kusch (November 8, 2010). "McFadyen vows to put end to hydro line down west side". Winnipeg Free Press . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
28. Dr. John Ryan (February 9–11, 2010). "Proposal for a Manitoba Hydro Cable under Lake Winnipeg". Winnipeg Free Press . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
29. Ross Romaniuk (August 3, 2010). "Go under lake: Grit". Winnipeg Sun . Retrieved November 25, 2010.
30. "Official Election Results". Archived from the original on April 7, 2013.

Opinion poll sources

1. http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/2011.10.03_Manitoba_Vote.pdf ^{[ permanent dead link ]}
2. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 5, 2012. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
3. "Manitoba Tories hold slight lead in new Environics opinion poll - Winnipeg Free Press". Archived from the original on September 28, 2011. Retrieved September 26, 2011.
4. "680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader".
5. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 23, 2012. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
6. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 25, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
7. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
8. "Archived copy" (PDF). www.angus-reid.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 17, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
9. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
10. http://www.visioncritical.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/2010.09.21_Politics_MB.pdf ^{[ permanent dead link ]}
11. "680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader".
12. "Archived copy" (PDF). probe-research.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
13. "Archived copy" (PDF). www.visioncritical.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 20, 2011. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
14. http://news.probe-research.com/2010/03/provincial-party-standings-march-2010.html ^{[ permanent dead link ]}
15. "Progressive Conservatives Lead Ruling New Democrats in Manitoba | Vision Critical". www.visioncritical.com. Archived from the original on March 25, 2010. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
16. http://news.probe-research.com/2010/03/provincial-party-standings-march-2010.html/ ^{[ permanent dead link ]}
17. "Probe Research Inc. - Recent Polls". news.probe-research.com. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
18. "Environics.net".

External links

• 2008 Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission - Home
• Probe Research Inc. - Recent Polls
• Elections Manitoba - Home