2011 Manitoba general election

Last updated

2011 Manitoba general election
Flag of Manitoba.svg
  2007 October 4, 2011 (2011-10-04) 2016  

57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.77%
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Greg Selinger 2010 (3x4 crop).jpg Hugh McFadyen.jpg Lee Fehler with Jon Gerrard (cropped).png
Leader Greg Selinger Hugh McFadyen Jon Gerrard
Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since October 17, 2009 April 29, 2006 October 17, 1998
Leader's seat St. Boniface Fort Whyte River Heights
Last election36 seats, 48.00%19 seats, 37.89%2 seats, 12.39%
Seats won37191
Seat changeIncrease2.svg1Steady2.svgDecrease2.svg1
Popular vote199,066188,52832,420
Percentage46.16%43.71%7.52%
SwingDecrease2.svg1.84%Increase2.svg5.97%Decrease2.svg4.60%

Manitoba Election 2011 Results Map.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.

Premier before election

Greg Selinger
New Democratic

Premier after election

Greg Selinger
New Democratic

The 2011 Manitoba general election was held to elect Members of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. It took place on October 4, 2011, due to the new fixed-date election laws. In the outgoing legislature, the New Democratic Party of Manitoba (NDP) held 37 of the 57 seats, the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba (PC Party) held 19 of the 57 seats and the Liberal Party of Manitoba held one of the 57 seats, after Kevin Lamoureux resigned his seat in the riding of Inkster to run as a Liberal candidate in a federal by-election. [1]

Contents

Following the last census, electoral district boundaries were adjusted. There are 57 electoral districts.

Despite being perceived as a tight race in the run-up to voting, with The Globe and Mail expecting it to be the "closest in more than a decade", [2] the NDP won its fourth consecutive term in government, taking 37 seats, an improvement of one from the 2007 election – thus gaining their largest majority ever in the Assembly – whilst the Progressive Conservatives failed to make any gains beyond closing the gap in the popular vote, and not a single incumbent was defeated. [3] The PC leader Hugh McFadyen announced shortly thereafter that he would resign his post. Also facing a disappointing result in the election, Liberal leader Jon Gerrard also announced shortly after the election that he would resign his post once the party crowned a new leader in 2013. [4]

Reorganization of electoral divisions

In 2006, the Electoral Divisions Act was amended to provide for the creation of a permanent commission to determine any necessary redistribution of seats in the Legislative Assembly by the end of 2008, and then every tenth year thereafter. [5] Its final report would take effect upon the dissolution of the relevant Legislature. Following a series of hearings and an interim report, [6] the commission's final report was issued in December 2008, which provided for the following changes: [7]

Abolished ridingsNew ridings
New ridings
Reorganization of ridings
Merger of ridings
Renaming of ridings
  1. from parts of La Vérendrye and Morris
  2. with parts going to Fort Rouge and River Heights

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring
PartyRidingIncumbent
NDP Burrows Doug Martindale [8]
Elmwood Bill Blaikie [9]
Flin Flon Gerard Jennissen [10]
Lord Roberts Diane McGifford [11]
Point Douglas George Hickes [12]
St. James Bonnie Korzeniowski [13]
St. Norbert Marilyn Brick [12]
Swan River Rosann Wowchuk [14]
Progressive Conservative Brandon West Rick Borotsik [15]
Lac du Bonnet Gerald Hawranik [16]
Pembina Peter George Dyck [17]
Portage la Prairie David Faurschou [18]
Russell Len Derkach [19]
Resigned
Liberal Inkster Kevin Lamoureux

Party leaderships

The Green Party and the NDP chose new leaders since the last general election.

On August 27, 2009 Premier Gary Doer, after being Premier of Manitoba for ten years announced his resignation as Premier and leader of the NDP. The following day he was appointed Canada's Ambassador to the United States. [20] [21]

Three candidates entered the campaign to replace Doer: Steve Ashton, Greg Selinger and Andrew Swan. On September 28, 2009, Swan bowed out of the race and endorsed Selinger. Some pundits believe this was an attempt to stop Steve Ashton from becoming leader. [22]

Ashton, first seen as a minor candidate, ended up being a heavy-weight and, gaining momentum, scored big victories in some ridings, however it wasn't enough to convince many MLAs or win union endorsement. Selinger won the leadership election on October 17, 2009 with 65.75% of the ballot. His victory was achieved in large part by being backed by unions and the vast majority of the party elite. [21] [23]

2009 New Democratic Party of Manitoba leadership election
CandidateVotesPercentage
Greg Selinger 1,31765.75%
Steve Ashton 68534.20%
Spoiled ballots10.05%
Total2,003100.00%

The Green Party elected James Beddome to a two-year term party leader on November 15, 2008, defeating incumbent Andrew Basham and third candidate Shane Nestruck. After his victory, he said that he would work toward running a full slate of candidates in the next provincial election. He was the party's candidate for a by-election in the northeast Winnipeg division of Elmwood in early 2009.

Election campaign

Election signs for the major parties in the riding of The Maples. 2011 MB Election signs.png
Election signs for the major parties in the riding of The Maples.

Issues

Bipole III

Manitoba Hydro planned an alternative hydro-electric transmission line to Bipole I and II routes running through the Interlake region in Manitoba. Initially it planned a more easterly route to the east of Lake Winnipeg. The NDP ignored the expert opinion of Manitoba Hydro and decided to build the line on the west side of the province at a cost of $4.1 billion. Further, the NDP proposed the creation of a large UNESCO environmental heritage site named Pimachiowin Aki. Just days before his retirement as premier, Doer announced that the government would donate $10 million to the trust fund for UNESCO World Heritage site on the east side of Lake Winnipeg. [24] The NDP claimed that an east side Bipole III route would jeopardise the UNESCO site and claimed that a heritage site would benefit First Nations communities more. [25] The NDP proposed a longer, more expensive, alternative route through the west of Manitoba to preserve the environmental integrity of the east side. Subject to the Environmental Impact Statement to be completed in June 2011, the construction of the line will begin in the winter of 2012, one year after the election. [26]

Progressive Conservative leader Hugh McFadyen opposes the western route stating that it would cost $1 billion to $1.75 billion more, it would destroy more trees, 15 out of 16 First Nations believed the Bipole III would be more economically beneficial, and would be more at risk from disasters as the Bipole lines in the Interlake. [25] McFadyen promised that if elected he would cancel the western route, and build it down the east side. [27] McFadyen also supported the UNESCO site on the east side and claims that Bipole III would not jeopardise the World Heritage Site. [24] [25]

Liberal leader Jon Gerrard proposed that instead of building the line down the east or west, Manitoba Hydro should put the cable under Lake Winnipeg as proposed by Dr. John Ryan, retired University of Winnipeg professor in 2008. [28] In the fall of 2010 Gerrard asked Manitoba Hydro CEO Bob Brennan if he had inquired into the Lake Winnipeg route. Brennan said that he had not. Gerrard promised to build the line through Lake Winnipeg if elected. [29]

Opinion polls

Polling firmLast date
of polling
Link NDP PC Liberal Green Other
Angus Reid Public Opinion September 30 – October 2, 2011 [p 1] 4643830
Probe Research IncSeptember 21–28, 2011 [p 2] 464374
Environics September 26, 2011 [p 3] 424510
Viewpoints ResearchSeptember 14–21, 2011 [p 4] 41325
Probe Research IncJune 29, 2011 [p 5] 444493
Probe Research IncMarch 23, 2011 [p 6] 3547144
Probe Research IncNovember 25–Dec. 12, 2010 [p 7] 3842155
Angus Reid Public Opinion November 7–15, 2010 [p 8] 37461341
Probe Research IncSeptember 30, 2010 [p 9] 4042126
Angus Reid Public Opinion September 21, 2010 [p 10] 34491241
Viewpoints ResearchSeptember 15, 2010 [p 11] 39381481
Probe Research IncJuly 3, 2010 [p 12] 4140136
Angus Reid Public Opinion June 10, 2010 [p 13] 36481231
Probe Research IncMarch 29, 2010 [p 14] 42391180
Angus Reid Public Opinion March 18, 2010 [p 15] 37441333
Probe Research IncDecember 2009 [p 16] 47371141
Probe Research IncSeptember 2009 [p 17] 4538125
Probe Research IncJuly 2009 [p 17] 4536145
Environics June 2009 [p 18] 433522
Environics April 2009 [p 18] 4937122
Probe Research IncMarch 2009 [p 17] 4636135
Probe Research IncDecember 2008 [p 17] 4143106
Probe Research IncSeptember 2008 [p 17] 4339135
Probe Research IncJune 2008 [p 17] 4636135
Probe Research IncMarch 2008 [p 17] 4638133
Election 2007 May 22, 2007

48.00%

37.89%12.39%1.34%0.39%
Polling firmLast date
of polling
LinkOther
NDP PC Liberal Green

Leadership approval rating

Polling FirmDate of PollingLink Greg Selinger Hugh McFadyen Jon Gerrard
Probe Research IncJuly 3, 2010 494135
Disapproval rating222629


Results

Of 777,054 registered voters, 55.77% or 433,346 cast votes in the election. [30] Although this is slightly lower than the 2007 election, voter turnout in Manitoba has generally declined since the mid-1970s when it reached 78.3% in the 1973 general election. [31] About 78,500 voters took advantage of advance polls, more than any previous election. [32]

Summary of the October 4, 2011 Manitoba Legislature election
PartyParty leaderCandidatesSeatsPopular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011% Change#%% Change
  New Democratic Greg Selinger 57363637+2.78%199,06946.16−1.84
  Progressive Conservative Hugh McFadyen 571918190.00%188,53543.71+5.97
  Liberal Jon Gerrard 57211−50.00%32,4187.52−4.60
Green James Beddome 3200010,8862.52+1.18
Communist Darrell Rankin 40001790.04-0.05
  Independent 10002150.05-0.25
 Vacant2
Total Valid Votes208575757431,30255.77%-0.98%

Vote and seat summaries


Popular vote
New Democratic
46.16%
PC
43.71%
Liberal
7.52%
Green
2.52%
Others
0.09%
Seat Count
New Democratic
64.91%
PC
33.33%
Liberal
1.75%

Synopsis of results

2011 Manitoba general election – synopsis of riding results [33] [34]
Electoral
division
Winning partyVotes
2007 1st
place
VotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
2nd
place
NDP PC Lib Grn Ind Comm Total
 
Agassiz NewPC4,39671.05%3,33253.85%NDP1,0644,3964113166,187
Arthur-Virden PCPC4,98365.97%2,70135.76%NDP2,2824,9832887,553
Assiniboia NDPNDP5,09558.22%1,83720.99%PC5,0953,2581942048,751
Brandon East NDPNDP3,86454.95%1,15316.40%PC3,8642,7112801777,032
Brandon West PCPC4,23148.68%1511.74%NDP4,0804,2313818,692
Burrows NDPNDP3,06359.34%1,74933.88%PC3,0631,314629124325,162
Charleswood PCPC4,83855.83%2,23725.81%NDP2,6014,8387554728,666
Concordia NDPNDP4,00863.06%2,20534.69%PC4,0081,8032373086,356
Dauphin NewNDP4,48354.93%1,12713.81%PC4,4833,3561241998,162
Dawson Trail NewNDP4,29152.55%7379.03%PC4,2913,5543218,166
Elmwood NDPNDP3,86454.61%1,46520.70%PC3,864 [a 1] 2,3994673467,076
Emerson PCPC3,98272.65%2,89852.87%NDP1,0843,9824155,481
Flin Flon NDPNDP1,89057.13%1,09333.04%PC1,8907975101113,308
Fort Garry-Riverview NDPNDP5,14655.55%2,09422.61%PC5,1463,0526663999,263
Fort Richmond NDPNDP4,02653.47%1,11814.85%PC4,0262,9083692267,529
Fort Rouge NDPNDP4,50151.26%2,47028.13%Lib4,5011,7702,0314788,780
Fort Whyte PCPC5,59462.44%2,93932.81%NDP2,6555,5947108,959
Gimli NDPNDP5,01251.52%8028.24%PC5,0124,2101973099,728
Interlake NDPNDP3,37450.46%4717.04%PC3,3742,9031942156,686
Kewatinook NDPNDP2,04357.15%65418.29%PC2,0431,38949943,575
Kildonan NDPNDP4,80859.51%1,92823.86%PC4,8082,8803918,079
Kirkfield Park NDPNDP4,92846.75%210.20%PC4,9284,90736733910,541
La Vérendrye NDPPC4,48764.07%2,65737.94%NDP1,8304,4873513357,003
Lac du Bonnet PCPC4,35054.30%1,26315.77%NDP3,0874,3502842908,011
Lakeside PCPC5,04365.80%3,05839.90%NDP1,9855,0432573797,664
Logan NDPNDP2,98558.75%2,11741.67%Lib2,985840868335535,081
Midland NewPC5,13969.45%3,38945.80%NDP1,7505,1395117,400
Minto NDPNDP3,61566.40%2,78251.10%PC3,615833609331565,444
Morden-Winkler NewPC4,91885.53%4,25974.07%NDP6594,9181735,750
Morris PCPC5,68174.00%4,19454.63%NDP1,4875,6815097,677
Point Douglas NDPNDP3,80673.28%2,88955.62%PC3,806917257176385,194
Portage la Prairie PCPC3,58452.24%88612.91%NDP2,6983,5845796,861
Radisson NDPNDP5,03355.14%1,44515.83%PC5,0333,5885069,127
Riding Mountain NewPC4,46558.47%1,83223.99%NDP2,6334,4652722677,637
Riel NDPNDP5,35254.90%1,43614.73%PC5,3523,9164809,748
River East PCPC5,24751.34%7357.19%NDP4,5125,24718827410,221
River Heights LibLib4,75645.92%1,36713.20%PC1,8433,3894,75637010,358
Rossmere NDPNDP5,39256.59%1,96220.59%PC5,3923,4303563519,529
Seine River NDPNDP5,50053.07%9318.98%PC5,5004,56929510,364
Selkirk NDPNDP4,27956.02%1,27116.64%PC4,2793,0083517,638
Southdale NDPNDP5,66252.01%7647.02%PC5,6624,89832710,887
Spruce Woods PCPC4,49566.65%2,56538.03%NDP1,9304,4953196,744
St. Boniface NDPNDP5,91468.87%4,37750.97%PC5,9141,5376065308,587
St. James NDPNDP4,43249.75%1,01811.43%PC4,4323,4146853778,908
St. Johns NDPNDP4,15765.96%2,75243.67%PC4,1571,4053483926,302
St. Norbert NDPNDP3,96645.15%310.35%PC3,9663,9358838,784
St. Paul PCPC5,55459.59%2,06322.13%NDP3,4915,5542769,321
St. Vital NDPNDP5,02360.08%2,14725.68%PC5,0232,8764618,360
Steinbach PCPC5,46985.49%4,98177.86%NDP4885,4694406,397
Swan River NDPNDP4,28056.15%1,20215.77%PC4,2803,0782647,622
The Maples NDPNDP3,89451.83%1,95125.97%PC3,8941,9431,3952817,513
The Pas NDPNDP2,99573.61%2,03650.04%PC2,9959591154,069
Thompson NDPNDP2,58668.52%1,51840.22%PC2,5861,0681203,774
Transcona NDPNDP4,48858.23%1,82023.61%PC4,4882,6685517,707
Tuxedo PCPC4,83952.74%2,50927.34%NDP2,3304,8391,5164919,176
Tyndall Park LibNDP2,59645.16%58910.25%Lib2,5969082,0072375,748
Wolseley NDPNDP4,22960.73%2,86141.08%Green4,2298505171,3686,964
  1. Jim Maloway had previously been MLA for Elmwood between 1986 and 2008.
  = open seat
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = incumbency arose from a byelection gain
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2007) [33] [34]
Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share [a 1] Swing [a 2]
%Change (pp)%Change (pp)ToChange (pp)
 
AgassizPC46.0171.05
Arthur-VirdenPCHold51.91-4.89
 
65.971.92
 
PC1.26
 
AssiniboiaNDPHold62.000.15
 
58.22-3.99
 
PC-4.47
 
Brandon EastNDPHold53.12-5.60
 
54.951.00
 
NDP0.27
 
Brandon WestPCHold59.79-7.02
 
48.680.63
 
PC0.58
 
BurrowsNDPHold47.08-3.03
 
59.34-11.41
 
PC-9.05
 
CharleswoodPCHold61.091.66
 
55.831.21
 
PC1.51
 
ConcordiaNDPHold49.792.37
 
63.06-5.99
 
PC-6.37
 
DauphinNDP62.0954.93
Dawson TrailNDP58.1852.55
ElmwoodNDPHold52.562.58
 
54.61-6.90
 
PC-9.90
 
EmersonPCHold44.42-5.09
 
72.6512.54
 
PC7.09
 
Flin FlonNDPHold35.34-0.91
 
57.13-20.46
 
Lib-6.74
 
Fort Garry-RiverviewNDPHold65.069.49
 
55.55-2.57
 
PC-8.93
 
Fort RichmondNDPHold62.91-3.15
 
53.470.87
 
PC-6.00
 
Fort RougeNDPHold61.22-1.07
 
51.264.29
 
NDP5.85
 
Fort WhytePCHold61.912.76
 
62.4410.49
 
PC7.34
 
GimliNDPHold65.983.07
 
51.52-7.22
 
PC-8.21
 
InterlakeNDPHold53.36-3.17
 
50.46-9.04
 
PC-8.26
 
KewatinookNDPHold35.682.18
 
57.15-1.31
 
PC-2.13
 
KildonanNDPHold54.97-3.60
 
59.51-2.12
 
PC-4.37
 
Kirkfield ParkNDPHold68.97-0.24
 
46.75-2.57
 
PC-5.50
 
La VerendryePCGain53.61-6.45
 
64.0726.25
 
PC-25.62
 
Lac du BonnetPCHold58.04-0.48
 
54.30-4.71
 
NDP-4.81
 
LakesidePCHold57.12-0.52
 
65.809.61
 
PC8.47
 
LoganNDPHold48.041.99
 
58.754.79
 
NDP2.31
 
MidlandPC51.3569.45
MintoNDPHold46.43-4.00
 
66.402.78
 
NDP6.78
 
Morden-WinklerPC40.7885.53
MorrisPCHold50.69-3.44
 
74.0017.02
 
PC15.11
 
Point DouglasNDPHold44.043.90
 
73.286.92
 
NDP8.34
 
Portage la PrairiePCHold50.99-6.23
 
52.243.93
 
PC3.50
 
RadissonNDPHold61.481.24
 
55.14-1.58
 
PC-2.81
 
Riding MountainPC54.0158.47
RielNDPHold64.141.10
 
54.90-2.42
 
PC-5.95
 
River EastPCHold67.00-0.57
 
51.344.49
 
PC3.32
 
River HeightsLiberalHold72.513.16
 
45.92-5.15
 
PC-6.38
 
RossmereNDPHold60.07-1.63
 
56.59-4.12
 
PC-3.69
 
Seine RiverNDPHold70.827.56
 
53.07-3.81
 
PC-7.85
 
SelkirkNDPHold54.77-4.41
 
56.020.38
 
PC-1.59
 
SouthdaleNDPHold70.134.39
 
52.010.96
 
PC-2.15
 
Spruce WoodsPCHold48.64-5.75
 
66.650.56
 
NDP-2.73
 
St. BonifaceNDPHold59.50-0.06
 
68.872.83
 
NDP4.69
 
St. JamesNDPHold62.022.89
 
49.75-6.13
 
PC-6.75
 
St. JohnsNDPHold48.34-3.11
 
65.96-2.86
 
PC-4.28
 
St. NorbertNDPHold64.25-1.22
 
45.15-8.59
 
PC-10.72
 
St. PaulPCHold58.281.50
 
59.591.13
 
NDP-3.13
 
St. VitalNDPHold60.351.89
 
60.08-1.46
 
PC-6.23
 
SteinbachPCHold49.66-0.32
 
85.492.51
 
PC1.77
 
Swan RiverNDPHold59.66-5.56
 
56.15-2.25
 
PC-2.49
 
The MaplesNDPHold54.91-0.14
 
51.83-4.33
 
PC-0.39
 
The PasNDPHold30.40-6.23
 
73.614.74
 
NDP1.31
 
ThompsonNDPHold36.72-3.10
 
68.52-5.38
 
NDP3.70
 
TransconaNDPHold51.242.44
 
58.23-10.50
 
PC-11.48
 
TuxedoPCHold62.311.78
 
52.745.48
 
PC5.41
 
Tyndall ParkNDPGain51.50-9.95
 
45.1610.81
 
NDP-16.81
 
WolseleyNDPHold55.600.32
 
60.73-3.16
 
Green-5.36
 
  1. Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2007.
  2. Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2007; negative points to 2007's second-place party being swung to.

Changes in party shares

Share change analysis by party and riding (2011 vs 2007) [33] [34]
Riding Green Liberal NDP PC
%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)%Change (pp)
 
Agassiz5.11New6.64New17.20New71.05New
Arthur-Virden3.81-1.32
 
30.21-0.60
 
65.971.92
 
Assiniboia2.332.33
 
2.22-3.30
 
58.22-3.99
 
37.234.95
 
Brandon East2.522.52
 
3.98-3.97
 
54.951.00
 
38.550.46
 
Brandon West4.380.34
 
46.94-0.54
 
48.680.63
 
Burrows2.402.40
 
12.191.69
 
59.34-11.41
 
25.466.69
 
Charleswood5.455.45
 
8.71-4.86
 
30.01-1.80
 
55.831.21
 
Concordia4.851.52
 
3.73-2.28
 
63.06-5.99
 
28.376.75
 
Dauphin2.44New1.52New54.93New41.12New
Dawson TrailNew3.93New52.55New43.52New
Elmwood4.894.89
 
6.60-10.88
 
54.61-6.90
 
33.9012.89
 
Emerson7.57-10.89
 
19.78-1.65
 
72.6512.54
 
Flin Flon3.363.36
 
15.42-6.98
 
57.13-20.46
 
24.0924.09
 
Fort Garry-Riverview4.31-4.16
 
7.19-8.56
 
55.55-2.57
 
32.9515.29
 
Fort Richmond3.00-0.26
 
4.90-13.49
 
53.470.87
 
38.6212.87
 
Fort Rouge5.44-0.83
 
23.13-7.40
 
51.264.29
 
20.165.41
 
Fort Whyte7.92-6.29
 
29.64-4.20
 
62.4410.49
 
Gimli3.183.18
 
2.03-5.16
 
51.52-7.22
 
43.289.20
 
Interlake2.90-1.64
 
50.46-9.04
 
43.427.47
 
Kewatinook2.632.63
 
1.37-4.27
 
57.15-1.31
 
38.852.95
 
Kildonan-2.51
 
4.84-2.00
 
59.51-2.12
 
35.656.63
 
Kirkfield Park3.223.22
 
3.48-9.08
 
46.75-2.57
 
46.558.43
 
La Verendrye4.784.78
 
5.01-1.22
 
26.13-24.99
 
64.0726.25
 
Lac du Bonnet3.623.62
 
3.55-3.82
 
38.534.91
 
54.30-4.71
 
Lakeside4.950.54
 
3.35-2.81
 
25.90-7.34
 
65.809.61
 
Logan6.596.59
 
17.080.17
 
58.754.79
 
16.533.41
 
MidlandNew6.91New23.65New69.45New
Minto6.086.08
 
11.19-10.77
 
66.402.78
 
15.302.82
 
Morden-WinklerNew3.01New11.46New85.53New
Morris6.63-3.82
 
19.37-13.20
 
74.0017.02
 
Point Douglas3.39-1.92
 
4.95-9.77
 
73.286.92
 
17.655.68
 
Portage la Prairie8.44-0.85
 
39.32-3.08
 
52.243.93
 
Radisson5.54-2.45
 
55.14-1.58
 
39.314.03
 
Riding Mountain3.50New3.56New34.48New58.47New
Riel4.92-7.07
 
54.90-2.42
 
40.179.49
 
River East2.682.68
 
1.84-5.02
 
44.14-2.14
 
51.344.49
 
River Heights3.57-0.48
 
45.92-5.15
 
17.79-1.98
 
32.727.61
 
Rossmere3.683.68
 
3.74-2.82
 
56.59-4.12
 
36.003.26
 
Seine River2.85-8.08
 
53.07-3.81
 
44.0911.89
 
Selkirk4.60-3.95
 
56.020.38
 
39.383.56
 
Southdale3.00-6.21
 
52.010.96
 
44.995.25
 
Spruce Woods4.73-6.58
 
28.626.03
 
66.650.56
 
St. Boniface6.17-0.70
 
7.06-6.55
 
68.872.83
 
17.905.01
 
St. James4.23-0.26
 
7.69-0.97
 
49.75-6.13
 
38.337.36
 
St. Johns6.221.48
 
5.52-4.32
 
65.96-2.86
 
22.295.70
 
St. Norbert10.05-4.26
 
45.15-8.59
 
44.8012.85
 
St. Paul2.96-8.52
 
37.457.39
 
59.591.13
 
St. Vital-4.68
 
5.51-4.84
 
60.08-1.46
 
34.4010.99
 
Steinbach-3.62
 
6.882.14
 
7.63-1.03
 
85.492.51
 
Swan River3.46-0.49
 
56.15-2.25
 
40.382.74
 
The Maples3.743.74
 
18.574.16
 
51.83-4.33
 
25.86-3.56
 
The Pas2.83-6.86
 
73.614.74
 
23.572.12
 
Thompson3.18-12.79
 
68.52-5.38
 
28.3018.17
 
Transcona7.15-1.96
 
58.23-10.50
 
34.6212.46
 
Tuxedo5.355.35
 
16.52-5.48
 
25.39-5.35
 
52.745.48
 
Tyndall Park4.124.12
 
34.92-22.81
 
45.1610.81
 
15.807.88
 
Wolseley19.647.57
 
7.42-4.01
 
60.73-3.16
 
12.210.89
 
      = did not field a candidate in 2007

    By-elections since 2011

    Manitoba provincial by-election, April 22, 2015: The Pas
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
    New Democratic Amanda Lathlin 1,55756.47-16.74
      Progressive Conservative Jacob Nasekapow81729.63+6.18
    Liberal Inez Vystrcil-Spence36913.38+10.56
    Total valid votes2,743100.00
    Rejected and declined votes14
    Turnout2,75722.10
    Electors on the lists12,475
    New Democratic hold Swing
    Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Arthur-Virden
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
      Progressive Conservative Doyle Piwniuk 3,13768.20+2.23
    Liberal Floyd Buhler73816.04+12.23
    New Democratic Bob Senff48010.43-19.78
    Green Kate Storey2455.33
    Total valid votes4,600100.00
    Rejected and declined votes10
    Turnout4,61033.55
    Electors on the lists13,739
    Progressive Conservative hold Swing -5.00
    Manitoba provincial by-election, January 28, 2014: Morris
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
      Progressive Conservative Shannon Martin 2,64269.99-4.01
    New Democratic Dean Harder48812.93-6.44
    Liberal Jeremy Barber42211.18+4.55
     IndependentRay Shaw1383.66-
    Green Alain Landry852.25-
    Total valid votes3,775
    Rejected and declined votes17
    Turnout3,79227.51
    Electors on the lists13,782
    Progressive Conservative hold Swing +1.21
    Manitoba provincial by-election, September 4, 2012
    Resignation of Hugh McFadyen : Fort Whyte
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%
    Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 3,62655.14-6.99
    Liberal Bob Axworthy2,06931.47+23.59
    New Democratic Bonny Schmidt73911.24-18.25
    Green Donnie H.J Benham1131.73+1.73
    Independent Darrell Ackman190.03+0.03
    Spoiled/rejected votes10
    turnout41.64
    Total valid votes6,576100.00 [35]

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