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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 New Brunswick general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 21, 2024, according to the Legislative Assembly Act of 2017 which states that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October. [3]
On March 30, 2022, Kris Austin and Michelle Conroy announced their departures from the People's Alliance to join the Progressive Conservatives. Austin said that the result of the 2020 provincial election, when the party lost one of its three seats, had prompted him to undertake some “soul-searching”, but that he believed he had changed politics in New Brunswick. [4] Both Austin and Conroy stated that they believed they could better represent their ridings from within government. [5]
Premier and Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs expressed excitement about his party's new MLAs, but reiterated the party's support for official bilingualism when questioned about the People's Alliance's previous stances on the issue. The acceptance of MLAs who had expressed anti-bilingual opinions was criticized by the Acadian Society of New Brunswick, an organization promoting the rights of francophones in the province, when their president Alexandre Cédric Doucet said that he was happy to see the Alliance dissolve, but that it was "a sad day" for the Progressive Conservatives. [5]
The Chief Electoral Officer of New Brunswick confirmed that the Peoples Alliance of New Brunswick would be deregistered as a provincial party on March 31, 2022. [6] In April 2022, interim leader Rick DeSaulniers and party announced plans to re-register as a party. [7] Elections New Brunswick confirmed the party was re-registered in May 2022. [8]
Affiliation | Assembly members | ||
---|---|---|---|
2020 election results | Current | ||
Progressive Conservative | 27 | 28 | |
Liberal | 17 | 16 | |
Green | 3 | 3 | |
People's Alliance | 2 | 0 | |
Independent | 0 | 1 | |
Vacant | 1 | ||
Total members | 49 | 48 | |
Total seats | 49 | 49 |
Changes in seats held (2020–present) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | August 17, 2021 | Jake Stewart | █ PC | Resigned to run in Miramichi—Grand Lake in the 2021 federal election; elected. | June 20, 2022 | Mike Dawson | █ PC |
Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Lisa Harris | █ Liberal | Resigned to run in Miramichi—Grand Lake in the 2021 federal election; defeated. | Réjean Savoie | █ PC | ||
Fredericton-Grand Lake | March 30, 2022 | Kris Austin | █ People's Allnc. | Changed affiliation, resigning as People's Alliance leader and announcing his intention to deregister the party. | █ PC | ||
Miramichi | Michelle Conroy | █ People's Allnc. | Changed affiliation. | █ PC | |||
Fredericton West-Hanwell | October 16, 2022 | Dominic Cardy | █ PC | Expelled from the PC caucus having resigned his ministerial role. | █ Independent | ||
Dieppe | October 21, 2022 | Roger Melanson | █ Liberal | Resigned to head to the private sector. | April 24, 2023 | Richard Losier | █ Liberal |
Restigouche-Chaleur | November 27, 2022 | Daniel Guitard | █ Liberal | Resigned to run for Mayor of Belle-Baie in 2022 elections; elected. | Marco LeBlanc | █ Liberal | |
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | November 27, 2022 | Denis Landry | █ Liberal | Resigned to run for Mayor of Hautes-Terres in 2022 elections; elected. | Susan Holt | █ Liberal | |
Saint John Harbour | February 8, 2024 [9] | Arlene Dunn | █ PC | Resigned. |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | PC | Liberal | Green | PA | NDP | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Narrative Research | February 22, 2024 | [p 1] | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 8 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 6 |
Narrative Research | November 27, 2023 | [p 2] | 35 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 13 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 6 |
Narrative Research | August 21, 2023 | [p 3] | 36 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 8 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 2 |
Narrative Research | May 17, 2023 | [p 4] | 34 | 34 | 19 | 2 | 10 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone | 0 |
Narrative Research | February 25, 2023 | [p 5] | 37 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 9 | ±4.6 pp | 450 | telephone | 2 |
Leger | December 23, 2022 | [p 6] | 22 | 40 | 15 | 9 | 12 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | online | 18 |
Narrative Research | November 27, 2022 | [p 7] | 30 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 10 | ±4.0 pp | 611 | telephone | 9 |
Narrative Research | August 24, 2022 | [p 8] | 30 | 41 | 14 | 5 | 11 | ±4.2 pp | 525 | telephone | 11 |
Susan Holt is elected leader of the Liberal Party (August 6, 2022) | |||||||||||
Angus Reid | June 13, 2022 | [p 9] | 31 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ±6.0 pp | 247 | online | 5 |
Narrative Research | May 19, 2022 | [p 10] | 34 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 9 | ±4.0 pp | 607 | telephone | 0 |
Nanos Research | April 11, 2022 | [p 11] | 36.6 | 38.8 | 14.2 | 1.2 | 8.6 | ±4.8 pp | 423 | online/telephone | 2.2 |
Both People's Alliance MLAs join the Progressive Conservatives, with Kris Austin announcing intention to de-register the party (March 30, 2022) | |||||||||||
Angus Reid | March 15, 2022 | [p 12] | 31 | 32 | 15 | 13 | 9 | ±6.0 pp | 251 | online | 1 |
Narrative Research | February 27, 2022 | [p 13] | 34 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.2 pp | 545 | telephone | 3 |
Angus Reid | January 10, 2022 | [p 14] | 26 | 37 | 16 | 10 | 8 | ±7.0 pp | 216 | online | 11 |
MQO Research | December 14, 2021 | [p 15] | 29 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
Narrative Research | November 24, 2021 | [p 16] | 28 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone | 10 |
Stratcom | November 6, 2021 | [p 17] | 20.5 | 39.8 | 17.9 | 12.0 | - | ±2.8 pp | 1,184 | IVR | 19.3 |
Angus Reid | October 3, 2021 | [p 18] | 31 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 13 | ±2.0 pp | 265 | online | 0 |
Narrative Research | August 17, 2021 | [p 19] | 33 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 11 | ±2.0 pp | 604 | telephone | 4 |
Angus Reid | June 7, 2021 | [p 20] | 36 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 248 | online | 5 |
Narrative Research | May 31, 2021 | [p 21] | 39 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 8 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 11 |
MQO Research | March 18, 2021 | [p 22] | 38 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 6 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
Narrative Research | February 17, 2021 | [p 23] | 35 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
Narrative Research | November 22, 2020 | [p 24] | 41 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 13 |
Kevin Vickers resigns as Liberal Party leader; MLA for Dieppe Roger Melanson becomes interim leader (September 14, 2020) | |||||||||||
Election 2020 | September 14, 2020 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.4 | 15.2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | — | — | 4.9 | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling | Link | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | |||||
PC | Liberal | Green | PA | NDP |
The following sitting MLAs have announced that they would not seek re-election:
Legend
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Restigouche West | Gilles LePage [20] | Myriam Cormier [21] | Gilles LePage | |||||||||||
Restigouche East | Guy Arseneault [20] | Guy Arseneault Campbellton-Dalhousie | ||||||||||||
Belle-Baie-Belledune | Marco LeBlanc [20] | Marco LeBlanc Restigouche-Chaleur | ||||||||||||
Bathurst | René Legacy [20] | Robert Kryszko [21] | René Legacy Bathurst West-Beresford | |||||||||||
Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit | Susan Holt # Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore | |||||||||||||
Caraquet | Isabelle Thériault [20] | Isabelle Thériault | ||||||||||||
Shippagan-Les-Îles | Eric Mallet [20] | Eric Mallet Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou | ||||||||||||
Tracadie | Keith Chiasson [20] | Serge Brideau [21] | Keith Chiasson Tracadie-Sheila |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Réjean Savoie [22] | Sam Johnston [23] | Réjean Savoie | |||||||||||
Miramichi East | Michelle Conroy [24] | Veronique Arsenault [25] | Michelle Conroy Miramichi | |||||||||||
Miramichi West | Mike Dawson [26] | Mark Hambrook [27] | Mike Dawson Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Kent North | Carl Cosby [28] | Kevin Arseneau [21] | Kevin Arseneau | |||||||||||
Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent | Benoît Bourque [20] | Benoît Bourque Kent South | ||||||||||||
Shediac Bay-Dieppe | Robert Gauvin [20] | Chantal Landry [21] | Robert Gauvin | |||||||||||
Shediac-Cap-Acadie | Jacques LeBlanc [20] | Jean Bourgeois [21] | Jacques LeBlanc Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé | |||||||||||
Tantramar | Megan Mitton [21] | Megan Mitton Memramcook-Tantramar | ||||||||||||
Dieppe-Memramcook | Richard Losier [20] | Jacques Giguère [21] | Richard Losier Dieppe | |||||||||||
Moncton East | Alexandre Cédric Doucet [29] | Daniel Allain† [14] | ||||||||||||
Moncton Centre | Rob McKee [20] | Rob McKee | ||||||||||||
Moncton South | Greg Turner [30] | Claire Johnson [20] | Greg Turner Moncton South | |||||||||||
Merged district | ||||||||||||||
Sherry Wilson # Moncton Southwest | ||||||||||||||
Moncton Northwest | Ernie Steeves [31] | Ana Santana [21] | Ernie Steeves | |||||||||||
Champdoré-Irishtown | Lyne Chantal Boudreau [32] | New district | ||||||||||||
Riverview | Sarah Lord [33] | Bruce Fitch† | ||||||||||||
Albert-Riverview | Sherry Wilson [34] | Dave Gauthro [20] | Mike Holland † [12] Albert | |||||||||||
Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills | Don Monahan [35] | Brian Boucher [21] | Ross Wetmore† [10] Gagetown-Petitcodiac |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Sussex-Three Rivers | Tammy Scott-Wallace [26] | Tammy Scott-Wallace Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | ||||||||||||
Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins | Faytene Grasseschi [36] | Nomination convention 11 May [37] | Laura Myers [21] | Gary Crossman † [11] Hampton | ||||||||||
Quispamsis | Blaine Higgs [38] | Alex White [39] | Blaine Higgs | |||||||||||
Rothesay | Ted Flemming [26] | Alyson Townsend [40] | Zara MacKay-Boyce [21] | Ted Flemming | ||||||||||
Saint John East | David Alston [41] | Gerald Irish [21] | Glen Savoie | |||||||||||
Saint John Portland-Simonds | Nomination convention 8 May [37] | Trevor Holder† Portland-Simonds | ||||||||||||
Saint John Harbour | David Hickey [20] | Mariah Darling [21] | Vacant | |||||||||||
Saint John West-Lancaster | Joanna Killen [21] | Dorothy Shephard† Saint John Lancaster | ||||||||||||
Kings Centre | Bill Oliver [26] | Bruce Dryer [21] | Bill Oliver | |||||||||||
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville | Patty Borthwick [20] | Andrea Anderson-Mason Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | ||||||||||||
Saint Croix | Kathy Bockus [42] | Troy Lyons [43] | Kathy Bockus |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Oromocto-Sunbury | Mary Wilson [26] | Nomination convention 16 May [37] | Tim Thompson [21] | Mary Wilson Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | ||||||||||
Fredericton-Grand Lake | Kris Austin [26] | Ken Washburn [21] | Kris Austin | |||||||||||
Fredericton-Lincoln | David Coon [21] | New district | ||||||||||||
Fredericton South-Silverwood | Susan Holt [44] | Simon Ouellette [21] | New district | |||||||||||
Fredericton North | Jill Green [45] | Luke Randall [20] | Anthea Plummer [21] | Glen Davis [46] | Jill Green | |||||||||
Fredericton-York | Ryan Cullins [26] | Tanya Whitney [20] | Pam Allen-LeBlanc [21] | Michael Broderick [47] | Ryan Cullins | |||||||||
Hanwell-New Maryland | Judy Wilson-Shee [48] | Susan Jonah [21] | New district | |||||||||||
Carleton-York | Richard Ames [49] | Chris Duffie [50] | Burt Folkins [21] | Richard Ames |
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Progressive Conservatives | Liberal | Green | PANB | NDP | Other | |||||||||
Woodstock-Hartland | Bill Hogan [26] | Bill Hogan Carleton | ||||||||||||
Carleton-Victoria | Margaret Johnson [26] | Margaret Johnson | ||||||||||||
Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin | Chuck Chiasson [20] | Chuck Chiasson Victoria-La Vallée | ||||||||||||
Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières | Roger Quimper [51] | Jean-Claude D'Amours [20] | Jean-Claude D'Amours Edmundston-Madawaska Centre | |||||||||||
Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | Nomination convention 11 May [52] | Francine Landry [20] | Francine Landry |
The Parti Acadien was a political party in New Brunswick, Canada in the 1970s and 1980s. The party was founded in 1972 by Acadians who were upset over poorer living conditions in predominantly francophone areas of the province versus those areas dominated by anglophones. The economy of New Brunswick was concentrated in the cities of Fredericton, Saint John and Moncton, while the eastern and northern parts of New Brunswick, predominantly Francophone, was relatively poorer as a result of an economy based primarily on entrenched and seasonal commercial fishing and lumber industries.
The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick is a centre-right conservative political party in the Canadian province of New Brunswick. The party has its origins in the pre-Canadian confederation Conservative Party that opposed the granting of responsible government to the colony. It has historically followed the Red Tory tradition. The Progressive Conservative Party currently leads the provincial government since 2018 under Premier Blaine Higgs.
The New Brunswick Confederation of Regions Party was a political party in the Province of New Brunswick, Canada. It was the only branch of the Confederation of Regions Party of Canada to win any seats. It held official status in the Legislative Assembly between 1991 and 1995, before losing all its seats in the following election.
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Blaine Myron Higgs is a Canadian politician who is the 34th and current premier of New Brunswick since 2018 and leader of the New Brunswick Progressive Conservative Party since 2016.
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The New Brunswick Liberal Association held a leadership convention on August 6, 2022, in Fredericton, New Brunswick, as a result of Kevin Vickers' announcement on September 14, 2020, that he was resigning as party leader. Vickers resignation followed the outcome of the 2020 New Brunswick general election which saw the Progressive Conservative party, under Blaine Higgs, form a majority government and the Liberal Party lose three seats. The deadline for candidates to file their intention to run for the leadership was June 15, 2022. Voting by party members for the leadership occurred at a free in-person convention as well as remotely via phone and internet connected device and used a ranked ballot system.