2020 New Brunswick general election

Last updated

2020 New Brunswick general election
Flag of New Brunswick.svg
  2018 September 14, 2020 2024  

49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout66.14% (Decrease2.svg 1.20 pp) [ citation needed ]
 First partySecond party
  Blaine Higgs at COVID-19 announcement (49667487992) (cropped).jpg Kevin Vickers.jpg
Leader Blaine Higgs Kevin Vickers
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since October 22, 2016 April 24, 2019
Leader's seat Quispamsis Ran in Miramichi (lost)
Last election22 seats, 31.89%21 seats, 37.80%
Seats before2020
Seats won2717
Seat changeIncrease2.svg7Decrease2.svg3
Popular vote147,790129,025
Percentage39.34%34.35%
SwingIncrease2.svg7.45%Decrease2.svg3.45%

 Third partyFourth party
  David Coon Cropped.jpg KrisAustin.jpg
Leader David Coon Kris Austin
Party Green People's Alliance
Leader since September 22, 2012 June 5, 2010
Leader's seat Fredericton South Fredericton-Grand Lake
Last election3 seats, 11.88%3 seats, 12.58%
Seats before33
Seats won32
Seat changeSteady2.svgDecrease2.svg1
Popular vote57,25234,526
Percentage15.24%9.19%
SwingIncrease2.svg3.36%Decrease2.svg3.39%

New Brunswick general election 2020 - Results by Riding.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are determined by popular vote for each riding.

Premier before election

Blaine Higgs
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Blaine Higgs
Progressive Conservative

The 2020 New Brunswick general election was held on September 14, 2020, to elect members of the 60th New Brunswick Legislature. The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick, led by Blaine Higgs, won a majority government.

Contents

The writs of election were issued by Lieutenant Governor Brenda Murphy on August 17, 2020, after a request was made by Premier Blaine Higgs to dissolve the legislature.

The election was scheduled to take place on October 17, 2022, as determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Legislative Assembly Act, which requires a general election to be held every four years on the third Monday in October. [1] However, Premier Higgs called a snap election after negotiations failed with the other parties that would have avoided an election until the fixed date in 2022 or the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. [2]

At 8:55 p.m. ADT, CBC News declared a Progressive Conservative majority government. [3]

Background

Aftermath of the 2018 election

The 2018 provincial election resulted in no party winning a majority of seats in the legislature for the first time since the 1920 provincial election. On election night, Blaine Higgs claimed victory for the Progressive Conservative Party, saying his team had received a mandate from New Brunswickers; however, Liberal Party leader and incumbent premier Brian Gallant stated his intention to remain in office with a minority government by securing support on a vote-by-vote basis. [4] Over the following days, Lieutenant Governor Jocelyne Roy-Vienneau met with both leaders and gave permission to Gallant to continue in office and attempt to seek the confidence of the Legislative Assembly; [5] while Higgs was told that if Gallant was unable to secure the confidence of the Assembly, Higgs would be called on to form government. [6]

After the election, both Kris Austin of the People's Alliance and David Coon of the Green Party were noncommittal in their support. [7] [8] Gallant pursued a partnership with the Green Party and ruled out any arrangement with the Progressive Conservative Party or People's Alliance because Gallant did not believe that they shared the Liberal Party’s “values”. [9] Higgs initially ruled out any formal agreements with other parties, but later said that a four-year agreement would be ideal for stability. [10] On September 28, 2018, Austin agreed to support a Progressive Conservative minority government on a "bill-by-bill basis" for eighteen months, though no formal agreement was made. [11]

On November 2, 2018, the Progressive Conservatives introduced a motion of no confidence in the Legislative Assembly, resulting in a 25–23 vote against the Liberals. Subsequently, Gallant resigned as Premier and recommended to the Lieutenant Governor that Higgs be given the opportunity to form government. [12] Higgs' minority government was sworn into office on November 9, 2018. [13]

On November 15, 2018, Gallant announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party. [14] He was succeeded by Kevin Vickers on April 24, 2019. [15]

Speculation of an early election

The PC minority government's seat total dropped to 20 after the death of MLA Greg Thompson on September 10, 2019 and the resignation of Deputy Premier Robert Gauvin on February 14, 2020. [16] Gauvin's resignation came after the PC government announced health reforms, including the nightly closure of six hospital emergency rooms across the province as a cost reduction measure. [16] Despite the Progressive Conservatives quickly backtracking on their proposals, the Liberals and the Greens said that they would not support the government at the next confidence vote, while the People's Alliance specifically did not rule out a vote of non-confidence. [16] [17] [18] The next confidence vote was scheduled for March 20, 2020 to approve the PC government's proposed budget for the upcoming fiscal year; [19] however, by that time, the People's Alliance decided to continue supporting the government and Green MLAs were allowed to vote freely on the budget. [19] Furthermore, after COVID-19 was declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020, all parties decided to co-operate with each other—thus, avoiding a spring election. [20]

By the summer, however, COVID-19 cases had stayed low for several weeks and Premier Blaine Higgs began to hint at the possibility of a fall election, arguing that stability was required for the next phase of the pandemic and economic recovery. [21] The Progressive Conservatives carried out candidate riding nominations on August 8, 2020, continuing speculation of when an election might be called. [22] On the following Monday, Higgs made an offer to the opposition parties to avoid an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic; [21] negotiations ultimately failed, however, and a snap election was called on August 17, 2020. [2]

Summary of seat changes

Changes in seats held (2018–2020)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Saint Croix 10 September 2019 Greg Thompson   PC Death
Shediac Bay-Dieppe 7 October 2019 Brian Gallant   Liberal Resignation
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou 14 February 2020 Robert Gauvin   PC Left the party  Independent

    Results

    Summary of the 2020 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election [a 1]
    Nouveau-Brunswick Assemblee legislative 2020 2020.svg
    PartyLeaderCandidatesVotesSeats
    #± %Change (pp) 2018 2020±
    Progressive Conservative Blaine Higgs 49147,79026,490Increase2.svg39.347.457.45
     
    22
    27 / 49
    5Increase2.svg
    Liberal Kevin Vickers 49129,02514,766Decrease2.svg34.35-3.46
     
    21
    17 / 49
    4Decrease2.svg
    Green David Coon 4757,25212,066Increase2.svg15.243.363.36
     
    3
    3 / 49
    Steady2.svg
    People's Alliance Kris Austin 3634,52613,334Decrease2.svg9.19-3.39
     
    3
    2 / 49
    1Decrease2.svg
    New Democratic Mackenzie Thomason [a 2] 336,22012,819Decrease2.svg1.66-3.35
     
    Independent 96852,136Decrease2.svg0.18-0.56
    KISS Gerald Bourque4139227Decrease2.svg0.04-0.06
    Total227375,637100.00%
    Rejected ballots1,266146Increase2.svg
    Turnout376,9034,872Decrease2.svg66.14%1.29Increase2.svg
    Registered voters569,86218,809Decrease2.svg
    1. "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 18–21. ISBN   978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
    2. Interim leader

    Synopsis of results

    2020 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results [a 1]
    RidingWinning partyTurnout
    [a 2]
    Votes
    2018 1st placeVotesShareMargin
    #
    Margin
    %
    2nd place PC Lib Green PA NDP KISS IndTotal
     
    Albert  PC PC5,04062.35%3,98449.28% Green63.2%5,0409211,056977908,084
    Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore  Lib Lib4,16363.76%2,59539.75% PC60.6%1,5684,1637986,529
    Bathurst West-Beresford  Lib Lib3,73055.84%1,74526.12% PC61.2%1,9853,7309656,680
    Campbellton-Dalhousie  Lib Lib4,54065.20%3,17145.54% PC63.6%1,3694,5401,0546,963
    Caraquet  Lib Lib5,92872.27%4,63856.54% Green75.1%9855,9281,2908,203
    Carleton  PC PC3,53647.87%1,62722.03% PA65.1%3,5361,2395811,90980417,386
    Carleton-Victoria  Lib PC3,33045.22%3915.31% Lib63.5%3,3302,9393726101137,364
    Carleton-York  PC PC4,75057.83%3,22639.27% PA66.5%4,7509408901,5241108,214
    Dieppe  Lib Lib4,56460.16%2,88438.02% PC66.0%1,6804,5641,1422007,586
    Edmundston-Madawaska Centre  Lib Lib5,23674.47%3,85654.84% PC62.7%1,3805,2364157,031
    Fredericton North  Lib PC3,22741.13%7639.72% Green66.3%3,2271,4642,4645911007,846
    Fredericton South  Green Green4,21354.01%1,87123.98% PC67.4%2,3428954,2132341177,801
    Fredericton West-Hanwell  PC PC4,72652.88%2,98133.36% Green70.5%4,7261,5101,7458251318,937
    Fredericton-Grand Lake  PA PA3,75946.42%1,28015.81% PC69.0%2,4797491,0053,75987188,097
    Fredericton-York  PA PC3,73042.41%1,62018.42% Green69.0%3,7308722,1101,99168248,795
    Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West  PC PC4,74066.47%4,01456.29% Lib61.8%4,7407266866882917,131
    Gagetown-Petitcodiac  PC PC4,77359.09%3,47042.96% PA67.3%4,7738671,0031,3031318,077
    Hampton  PC PC4,35160.52%3,26745.44% Lib60.2%4,3511,0848166872517,189
    Kent North  Green Green4,02147.47%1,08812.84% Lib68.3%1,3632,9334,0211548,471
    Kent South  Lib Lib5,14855.22%2,33125.01% PC73.9%2,8175,1489962431189,322
    Kings Centre  PC PC4,58361.54%3,57748.03% Green64.9%4,5839111,0066932547,447
    Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston  Lib Lib4,58366.54%2,82040.94% PC61.1%1,7634,5835426,888
    Memramcook-Tantramar  Green Green3,42541.61%5236.35% Lib67.1%1,6782,9023,425192348,231
    Miramichi  PA PA3,52745.11%1,28816.47% Lib70.9%1,5082,2393983,52792547,818
    Miramichi Bay-Neguac  Lib Lib3,56143.56%8109.91% PC67.7%2,7513,5618258981398,174
    Moncton Centre  Lib Lib2,44838.91%72311.49% Green58.4%1,6422,4481,7253081686,291
    Moncton East  Lib PC3,52545.17%7669.82% Lib62.3%3,5252,7599893781537,804
    Moncton Northwest  PC PC4,11151.50%1,66320.83% Lib62.6%4,1112,4487024932297,983
    Moncton South  Lib PC2,73442.09%76811.82% Lib57.9%2,7341,9661,2453312206,496
    Moncton Southwest  PC PC3,67952.13%2,11830.01% Lib57.8%3,6791,5619276672247,058
    New Maryland-Sunbury  PC PC5,34257.76%3,87941.94% Green67.7%5,3421,0481,4631,2541419,248
    Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton  PC PC3,37444.25%1,30217.08% Lib61.9%3,3742,0721,3067451277,624
    Portland-Simonds  PC PC3,17055.10%1,51626.35% Lib52.1%3,1701,6544832821645,753
    Quispamsis  PC PC5,69768.11%4,47253.46% Lib68.7%5,6971,2255284145018,365
    Restigouche West  Lib Lib5,02262.15%3,26740.43% Green70.2%1,2475,0221,755568,080
    Restigouche-Chaleur  Lib Lib3,82355.66%1,92728.06% Green61.8%1,1493,8231,8966,868
    Riverview  PC PC4,69560.08%3,41443.69% Lib65.0%4,6951,2818007782617,815
    Rothesay  PC PC4,26561.28%2,80240.26% Lib62.3%4,2651,4637194131006,960
    Saint Croix  PC PC3,57045.18%1,02412.96% PA64.7%3,5704011,2382,5461477,902
    Saint John East  PC PC3,50756.36%1,86830.02% Lib55.2%3,5071,6393944342486,222
    Saint John Harbour  Lib PC2,18141.40%95718.17% Green48.2%2,1811,2071,2241863091615,268
    Saint John Lancaster  PC PC3,56054.24%2,08931.83% Lib62.7%3,5601,4719383942016,564
    Shediac Bay-Dieppe  Lib Lib5,83960.14%2,86829.54% PC70.2%2,9715,839 [a 3] 3715289,709
    Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé  Lib Lib4,94953.67%2,49627.07% Green70.0%1,8204,9492,4539,222
    Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou  PC Lib6,83483.78%6,12075.03% PC74.1%7146,8346098,157
    Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin  PC PC3,88747.97%1,61919.98% PA71.9%3,8871,7602,2681888,103
    Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins  PC PC4,36656.29%3,04539.26% PA63.9%4,3669719691,3211297,756
    Tracadie-Sheila  Lib Lib6,17569.55%4,11646.36% PC74.6%2,0596,1756458,879
    Victoria-La Vallée  Lib Lib4,36560.24%2,29431.66% PC64.4%2,0714,365426292927,246
    1. "Summary of Votes Received by Candidate". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 7–16. ISBN   978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
    2. "Recapitulation". Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 (PDF). Elections New Brunswick. pp. 18–21. ISBN   978-1-4605-2631-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 19, 2024. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
    3. Robert Gauvin was previously elected as the PC MLA for Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou.
      = Francophone-majority constituency
      = Open seat
      = Turnout is above provincial average
      = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = Incumbent had switched allegiance
      = Previously incumbent in another riding
      = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
      = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
      = Other incumbents renominated
      = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
      = Multiple candidates

    Incumbent MLAs who were defeated

    PartyNameRidingYear electedSeat held by party sinceDefeated byParty
    Liberal Monique LeBlanc Moncton East 2014 2014 Daniel Allain Progressive Conservative
    Stephen Horsman Fredericton North 2014 2014 Jill Green
    Andrew Harvey Carleton-Victoria 2014 2014 Margaret Johnson
    People's Alliance Rick DeSaulniers Fredericton-York 2018 2018 Ryan Cullins

    Results by region

    Party nameNorthernMiramichiSoutheasternSouthernCapital RegionUpper River ValleyTotal
      Progressive
    Conservative
    Seats017116227
    Popular vote18.35%33.81%37.92%57.46%45.03%33.63%39.34%
      Liberal Seats815317
    Popular vote66.63%31.38%36.19%16.66%14.35%51.13%34.35%
      Green Seats213
    Popular vote14.93%5.08%18.26%11.76%22.83%6.50%15.24%
      People's Alliance Seats112
    Popular vote0.00%27.78%5.39%10.53%16.41%7.83%9.19%
      New Democratic Seats
    Popular vote0.00%1.74%1.99%3.26%1.32%0.54%1.66%
     OtherSeats
    Popular vote0.09%0.22%0.25%0.34%0.06%0.37%0.22%
    Total seats8314118549

    Detailed analysis

    Position attained in seats contested
    PartySeatsSecondThirdFourth
    Liberal 171796
    Progressive Conservative 27148
    Green 312248
    People's Alliance 26718
    New Democratic 15
    Other2
      Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
      PartiesSeats
        Progressive Conservative   Liberal 26
        Progressive Conservative   Green 8
        Progressive Conservative   People's Alliance 7
        Liberal   Green 7
        People's Alliance   Liberal 1
      Total49

      Campaign

      Election call and initial reaction

      At his election announcement, Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs blamed the Liberals for the failure of negotiations that would have avoided an election until 2022 or the end of the pandemic. [23] In response, Liberal leader Kevin Vickers and Green Party leader David Coon criticized Higgs for calling an election during a pandemic. [23] Vickers insisted that the negotiations would have given unlimited power to Higgs and the PCs, and an election should have been held after the end of the pandemic. [23] Meanwhile, People's Alliance leader Kris Austin asked New Brunswickers to vote for his party to ensure accountability of the next government by electing another minority legislature. [2] [23]

      Impact of COVID-19

      From the outset of the campaign, Higgs was asked about the potential impact of COVID-19 on the election. [2] He initially caused confusion when he said that he would be able to suspend the election, if necessary, [2] even though New Brunswick's Chief Electoral Officer Kim Poffenroth said that an election could not be stopped after it had been called. [2] Additionally, Higgs suggested that he could turn to the COVID-19 emergency order declared by the province under the Emergency Measures Act (EMA), despite the fact that election timelines are exempt from the EMA. [2] However, he remained firm that he did not intend to suspend the election. [2] Higgs also shared that, because of COVID-19, PC candidates were instructed to avoid door-to-door campaigning and mailbox flyers during the election. [2] [23]

      Candidate controversies

      Roland Michaud, PC candidate in Victoria-La Vallée, was ordered to withdraw from the election by Blaine Higgs after a transphobic meme posted on Michaud's Facebook page became public; [24] Michaud chose to remain and run as an independent. [25] He remained on the ballot with his original affiliation because the papers had already been printed, as did other repudiated candidates.

      John Wayne Gardner, Liberal candidate in Saint Croix, was ousted by party leader Kevin Vickers after an anti-LGBTQ2I tweet from 2017 came to light; Gardner announced later the same day that he would continue to run as an independent. [26]

      Louis Bérubé, PC candidate in Restigouche West, was allowed to remain as party candidate after transphobic social media comments mentioned in a 2016 Acadie Nouvelle story [27] resurfaced. [28] The party cited Bérubé's earlier apologies for his comments and his successful vetting before running for the Green Party in the 2019 election as reasons for his retention.

      Heathere Collins, PANB candidate in Memramcook-Tantramar, was dropped by party leader Kris Austin after 2019 anti-Muslim Tweets came to light. [29] The candidate, whose Elections NB registration disagreed with her Twitter account about how to spell her first name, remained in the election.

      Opinion polls

      Voting Intentions in New Brunswick since the 2018 Election

      NB election 2020.svg

      Polling firmLast day of pollingLink PC Liberal PA Green NDP
      Election 2020September 14, 2020 HTML 39.3434.359.1915.241.66
      Forum Research Inc.September 13, 2020 HTML 37308214
      Mainstreet ResearchSeptember 12, 2020 HTML 37307214
      EKOSSeptember 12, 2020 HTML 323210184
      Oraclepoll ResearchSeptember 3, 2020 PDF 42332186
      MQO ResearchAugust 30, 2020 HTML 43275176
      Mainstreet ResearchAugust 27, 2020 PDF 38327194
      Leger/Acadie NouvelleAugust 26, 2020 PDF 40327136
      Narrative ResearchAugust 23, 2020 HTML 44332147
      Angus ReidMay 24, 2020 HTML 392613174
      Narrative ResearchMay 20, 2020 HTML 48303155
      Innovative Research GroupMay 7, 2020 PDF 333761310
      Narrative ResearchMarch 12, 2020 HTML 39284208
      MQO ResearchFebruary 27, 2020 PDF 37314214
      Narrative ResearchNovember 22, 2019 HTML 37313217
      Narrative ResearchAugust 23, 2019 PDF [ permanent dead link ]36298186
      Narrative ResearchJune 13, 2019 HTML 42256188
      MQO ResearchMay 6, 2019 PDF 40305203
      24 April 2019 Kevin Vickers becomes leader of the Liberal Party
      Corporate Research AssociatesFebruary 19, 2019 PDF 42299146
      MQO ResearchFebruary 10, 2019 PDF 46328113
      Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 15, 2019 HTML 40.227.312.4154.5
      Corporate Research AssociatesNovember 24, 2018 PDF Archived 2018-12-15 at the Wayback Machine 303512176
      9 November 2018 Blaine Higgs is sworn in as Premier of New Brunswick leading a PC minority government, following the resignation of Brian Gallant and his Liberal minority government.
      MQO ResearchNovember 5, 2018 PDF 362911213
      2 November 2018Premier Brian Gallant's Liberal minority government loses a non-confidence vote
      Mainstreet ResearchNovember 2, 2018 HTML 33.733.712.715.73
      Election 2018 September 24, 2018 HTML 31.8937.8012.5811.885.01

      Candidates

      Retiring incumbents

      The following sitting MLAs have announced that they would not seek re-election:

      Legend

      NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick [35]

      Northern

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Restigouche West Louis Bérubé
      1247
      15.4%
      Gilles LePage
      5022
      62.2%
      Charles Thériault
      1755
      21.7%
      Travis Pollock (KISS)
      56
      0.7%
      Gilles LePage
      Campbellton-Dalhousie Charles D. Stewart
      1369
      19.7%
      Guy H. Arseneault
      4540
      65.2%
      Marie-Christine Allard
      1054
      15.1%
      Guy Arseneault
      Restigouche-Chaleur Louis Robichaud
      1149
      16.7%
      Daniel Guitard
      3823
      55.7%
      Marie Larivière
      1896
      27.6%
      Daniel Guitard
      Bathurst West-Beresford Anne Bard-Lavigne
      1985
      29.7%
      René Legacy
      3730
      55.8%
      Pierre Duguay-Boudreau
      965
      14.4%
      Brian Kenny [36]
      Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore Amanda Keast
      1568
      24.0%
      Denis Landry
      4163
      63.8%
      Robert Kryzsko
      798
      12.2%
      Denis Landry
      Caraquet Kevin J. Haché
      985
      12.0%
      Isabelle Thériault
      5928
      72.3%
      Marie-Christine Haché
      1290
      15.7%
      Isabelle Thériault
      Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou Jean-Gérard Chiasson
      714
      8.8%
      Eric Mallet
      6834
      83.8%
      Marie Leclerc
      609
      7.5%
      Robert Gauvin#
      Tracadie-Sheila Diane Carey
      2059
      23.2%
      Keith Chiasson
      6175
      69.5%
      Chris LeBlanc
      645
      7.3%
      Keith Chiasson

      Miramichi

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Miramichi Bay-Neguac Robert Trevors
      2751
      33.7%
      Lisa Harris
      3561
      43.6%
      Curtis Bartibogue
      825
      10.1%
      Thomas L'Huillier
      898
      11.0%
      Douglas Mullin
      139
      1.7%
      Lisa Harris
      Miramichi Charles Barry
      1508
      19.3%
      Kevin Vickers
      2239
      28.6%
      Joshua Shaddick
      398
      5.1%
      Michelle Conroy
      3527
      45.1%
      Eileen Clancy Teslenko
      92
      1.2%
      Tristan Sutherland (Ind.)
      54
      0.7%
      Michelle Conroy
      Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin Jake Stewart
      3887
      48.0%
      Josh McCormack
      1760
      21.7%
      Art O'Donnell
      2268
      28.0%
      Glenna Hanley
      188
      2.3%
      Jake Stewart

      Southeastern

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Kent North Stephen Robertson
      1363
      16.1%
      Bertrand LeBlanc
      2933
      34.6%
      Kevin Arseneau
      4021
      47.5%
      Roger Richard (Ind.)
      154
      1.8%
      Kevin Arseneau
      Kent South Raymond (Bou) Duplessis
      2817
      30.2%
      Benoit Bourque
      5148
      55.2%
      Eva P. Rehak
      996
      10.7%
      Lisa Godin
      243
      2.6%
      Sue Shedd
      118
      1.3%
      Benoît Bourque
      Shediac Bay-Dieppe Mathieu Gérald Caissie
      2971
      30.6%
      Robert Gauvin
      5839
      60.1%
      Phillip Coombes
      371
      3.8%
      Delphine Daigle
      528
      5.4%
      Vacant
      Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé Marie-Paule Martin
      1820
      19.7%
      Jacques LeBlanc
      4949
      53.7%
      Gilles Cormier
      2453
      26.6%
      Jacques LeBlanc
      Memramcook-Tantramar Carole Duguay
      1678
      20.4%
      Maxime Bourgeois
      2902
      35.3%
      Megan Mitton
      3425
      41.6%
      Heathere Collins [lower-alpha 1]
      192
      2.3%
      Jefferson George Wright (Ind.)
      34
      0.4%
      Megan Mitton
      Dieppe Patricia Arsenault
      1680
      22.1%
      Roger Melanson
      4564
      60.2%
      Mélyssa Boudreau
      1142
      15.1%
      Pamela Boudreau
      200
      2.6%
      Roger Melanson
      Moncton East Daniel Allain
      3525
      45.2%
      Monique LeBlanc
      2759
      35.4%
      Phylomène Zangio
      989
      12.7%
      Michel Norman Guitare
      378
      4.8%
      Christopher Wanamaker
      153
      2.0%
      Monique LeBlanc
      Moncton Centre Jean Poirier
      1642
      26.1%
      Rob McKee
      2448
      38.9%
      Carole Chan
      1725
      27.4%
      Aaron Richter
      308
      4.9%
      James Caldwell
      168
      2.7%
      Rob McKee
      Moncton South Greg Turner
      2734
      42.1%
      Tyson Milner
      1966
      30.3%
      Josephine Watson
      1245
      19.2%
      Marilyn Crossman-Riel
      331
      5.1%
      Rebecca Rogers
      220
      3.4%
      Cathy Rogers [37]
      Moncton Northwest Ernie Steeves
      4111
      51.5%
      Mark Black
      2448
      30.7%
      Laura Sanderson
      702
      8.8%
      Shawn Soucoup
      493
      6.2%
      Cyprien Okana
      229
      2.9%
      Ernie Steeves
      Moncton Southwest Sherry Wilson
      3679
      52.1%
      René Ephestion
      1561
      22.1%
      Claire Kelly
      927
      13.1%
      Susan Matthews
      667
      9.5%
      Juliana McIntosh
      224
      3.2%
      Sherry Wilson
      Riverview R. Bruce Fitch
      4695
      60.1%
      Heath Johnson
      1281
      16.4%
      Rachel Pletz
      800
      10.2%
      Troy Berteit
      778
      10.0%
      John Nuttall
      261
      3.3%
      R. Bruce Fitch
      Albert Mike Holland
      5040
      62.3%
      Kelley Nagle
      921
      11.4%
      Jenny O'Neill
      1056
      13.1%
      Sharon Buchanan
      977
      12.1%
      James Wilson (Ind.)
      90
      1.1%
      Mike Holland
      Gagetown-Petitcodiac Ross Wetmore
      4773
      59.1%
      John (Jake) Urquhart
      867
      10.7%
      Marilyn Merritt-Gray
      1003
      12.4%
      Craig Dykeman
      1303
      16.1%
      Ryan Jewkes
      131
      1.6%
      Ross Wetmore

      Southern

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins Tammy Scott-Wallace
      4366
      56.3%
      Cully Robinson
      971
      12.5%
      Tim Thompson
      969
      12.5%
      Jim Bedford
      1321
      17.0%
      Jonas Lanz
      129
      1.7%
      Bruce Northrup [38]
      Hampton Gary E. Crossman
      4351
      60.5%
      Carley Parish
      1084
      15.1%
      John Carl Sabine
      816
      11.4%
      Sharon Bradley-Munn
      687
      9.6%
      Alex White
      251
      3.5%
      Gary Crossman
      Quispamsis Blaine M. Higgs
      5697
      68.1%
      Robert Hunt
      1225
      14.6%
      Addison Fach
      528
      6.3%
      Sara Hall
      414
      4.9%
      Caitlin Grogan
      501
      6.0%
      Blaine Higgs
      Rothesay Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming
      4265
      61.3%
      Jason Hickey
      1463
      21.0%
      Ann McAllister
      719
      10.3%
      Mike Griffin
      413
      5.9%
      Neville (NB) Barnett (Ind.)
      44
      0.6%
      Liz Kramer (Ind.)
      56
      0.6%
      Ted Flemming
      Saint John East Glen Savoie
      3507
      56.4%
      Phil Comeau
      1639
      26.3%
      Gerald Irish
      394
      6.3%
      Patrick Kemp
      434
      7.0%
      Josh Floyd
      248
      4.0%
      Glen Savoie
      Portland-Simonds Trevor A. Holder
      3170
      55.1%
      Tim Jones
      1654
      28.8%
      Stefan Warner
      483
      8.4%
      Darella (Lindsay) Jackson
      282
      4.9%
      Erik Heinze-Milne
      164
      2.9%
      Trevor Holder
      Saint John Harbour Arlene Dunn
      2181
      41.4%
      Alice (Ms McKim) McKim
      1207
      22.9%
      Brent Harris
      1224
      23.2%
      Tony Gunn
      186
      3.5%
      Courtney Pyrke
      309
      5.9%
      Mike (Dok) Cyr (Ind.)
      47
      0.9%
      Arty Watson (Ind.)
      114
      2.2%
      Gerry Lowe [39]
      Saint John Lancaster K. Dorothy Shephard
      3560
      54.2%
      Sharon Teare
      1471
      22.4%
      Joanna Killen
      938
      14.3%
      Paul Seelye
      394
      6.0%
      Don Durant
      201
      3.1%
      Dorothy Shephard
      Kings Centre Bill Oliver
      4583
      61.5%
      Paul Adams
      911
      12.2%
      Bruce Dryer
      1006
      13.5%
      William Edgett
      693
      9.3%
      Margaret Anderson Kilfoil
      254
      3.4%
      Bill Oliver
      Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West Andrea Anderson-Mason
      4740
      66.5%
      Tony Mann
      726
      10.2%
      Lois P. Mitchell
      686
      9.6%
      Vincent P. Edgett
      688
      9.6%
      Sharon R. Greenlaw
      291
      4.1%
      Andrea Anderson-Mason
      Saint Croix Kathy Bockus
      3570
      45.2%
      John Wayne Gardner [lower-alpha 1]
      401
      5.1%
      Kim Reeder
      1238
      15.7%
      Rod Cumberland
      2546
      32.2%
      Brad McKinney
      147
      1.9%
      Vacant

      Capital Region

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton Mary E. Wilson
      3374
      44.3%
      Steven Burns
      2072
      27.2%
      Gail Costello
      1306
      17.1%
      Craig Rector
      745
      9.8%
      Natasha M. Akhtar
      127
      1.7%
      Mary E. Wilson
      Fredericton-Grand Lake Roy Wiggins
      2479
      30.6%
      Eldon Hunter
      749
      9.3%
      Ken Washburn
      1005
      12.4%
      Kris Austin
      3759
      46.4%
      Greg Cook
      87
      1.1%
      Grenville Woollacott (KISS)
      18
      0.2%
      Kris Austin
      New Maryland-Sunbury Jeff Carr
      5342
      57.8%
      Chris Pelkey
      1048
      11.3%
      Jen Smith
      1463
      15.8%
      Morris Shannon
      1254
      13.6%
      Chris Thompson
      141
      1.5%
      Jeff Carr
      Fredericton South Brian MacKinnon
      2342
      30.0%
      Nicole Picot
      895
      11.5%
      David Coon
      4213
      54.0%
      Wendell Betts
      234
      3.0%
      Geoffrey Noseworthy
      117
      1.5%
      David Coon
      Fredericton North Jill Green
      3227
      41.1%
      Stephen Horsman
      1464
      18.7%
      Luke Randall
      2464
      31.4%
      Allen Price
      591
      7.5%
      Mackenzie Thomason
      100
      1.3%
      Stephen Horsman
      Fredericton-York Ryan Cullins
      3730
      42.4%
      Randy McKeen
      872
      9.9%
      Melissa Fraser
      2110
      24.0%
      Rick DeSaulniers
      1991
      22.6%
      Steven J. LaForest
      68
      0.8%
      Gerald Bourque (KISS)
      24
      0.3%
      Rick DeSaulniers
      Fredericton West-Hanwell Dominic Cardy
      4726
      52.9%
      Chris Duffie
      1510
      16.9%
      Susan Jonah
      1745
      19.5%
      Mel Keeling
      825
      9.2%
      Armand Cormier
      131
      1.5%
      Dominic Cardy
      Carleton-York Richard Ames
      4750
      57.8%
      Robert Kitchen
      940
      11.4%
      Louise Comeau
      890
      10.8%
      Gary Lemmon
      1524
      18.6%
      Jarrett Oldenburg
      110
      1.3%
      Carl Urquhart [40]

      Upper River Valley

      Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
      Progressive ConservativesLiberalGreenPANBNDPOther
      Carleton Bill Hogan
      3536
      47.9%
      Theresa Blackburn
      1239
      16.8%
      Greg Crouse
      581
      7.9%
      Graham Gill
      1909
      25.8%
      Shawn Oldenburg
      80
      1.1%
      Andy Walton (KISS)
      41
      0.6%
      Stewart Fairgrieve [41]
      Carleton-Victoria Margaret Johnson
      3330
      45.2%
      Andrew Harvey
      2939
      39.9%
      Rowan Patrick Miller
      372
      5.1%
      Terry Leigh Sisson
      610
      8.3%
      Meriet Gray Miller
      113
      1.5%
      Andrew Harvey
      Victoria-La Vallée Roland Michaud [lower-alpha 1]
      2071
      28.6%
      Chuck Chiasson
      4365
      60.2%
      Nathanaël Denis Lavoie
      426
      5.9%
      André Jobin
      292
      4.0%
      Danny Zolondek (Ind.)
      92
      1.3%
      Chuck Chiasson
      Edmundston-Madawaska Centre Joanne Bérubé Gagné
      1380
      19.6%
      Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours
      5236
      74.5%
      Marco Morency
      415
      5.9%
      Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours
      Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston Marie-Eve Castonguay
      1763
      25.6%
      Francine Landry
      4583
      66.5%
      Marie-Soleil Lussier
      542
      7.9%
      Francine Landry

      Notes

      1. 1 2 3 Candidate was publicly repudiated by his or her party but chose to remain in the election. Because ballot papers had already been printed candidate retained his or her original listed affiliation.

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      Further reading