2016 Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick leadership election

2016 Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick leadership election

Date	October 22, 2016
Convention	Aitken Centre, Fredericton, New Brunswick
Resigning leader	David Alward
Won by	Blaine Higgs
Ballots	3
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The Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick held a leadership election on October 22, 2016, in Fredericton, New Brunswick, to elect a new leader for the party. The position had been held in an interim capacity by Bruce Fitch since former leader David Alward's resignation on September 23, 2014, following his government's defeat in the 2014 provincial election to the Liberals led by Brian Gallant.

The front-runner for the leadership election was Blaine Higgs, a former Minister of Finance and Irving Oil executive serving in the provincial legislature for Quispamsis. His main competitor was Mel Norton, the outgoing Mayor of Saint John. Higgs won the leadership election with 1,563 votes, or 57.2 percent of the votes cast on the third ballot. After securing leadership for the party, Higgs would go on to defeat Gallant in the 2018 provincial election and serve as premier through one re-election until his defeat in his 2024 provincial re-election, after which he resigned as leader. The next leadership election is scheduled to be held in 2026, one decade after this one.

Background

On September 23, 2014, then-Progressive Conservative leader David Alward announced his resignation after his party's government was defeated by the Liberal Party led by Brian Gallant in the 2014 provincial election, which had been held the previous day. ^{[1] [2]}

Interest in leadership came almost immediately after Alward's announcement. The following day, Brian Macdonald, the legislative member for Fredericton West-Hanwell made a proposal to serve as interim leader, though he was disinterested in seeking leadership. ^[3] Don Desserud, a political scientist at the University of Prince Edward Island, considered Trevor Holder as being a strong leadership candidate. ^[4] It was scheduled for an interim leader to be appointed within weeks, with a leadership convention being held at an unspecified date in the future. ^[5]

Declared candidates

• Brian Macdonald, MLA for Fredericton West-Hanwell

Candidacy declared: January 21, 2016. ^{[6] [7]}

Endorsements: Peter MacKay, Noël Kinsella, Jody Carr, Jeff Carr, Jack Carr, Carl Urquhart

• Blaine Higgs, MLA for Quispamsis (2010–2024), Minister of Finance (2010–2014)

Candidacy declared: March 17, 2016. ^[8]

Endorsements: Bill Oliver, Sherry Wilson, Brian Keirstead, Rob Moore, Ernie Steeves

• Monica Barley, Moncton lawyer

Candidacy declared: April 15, 2016. ^[9]

Endorsements: Claude Williams, Ted Flemming

• Mike Allen, MP for Tobique—Mactaquac (2006–2015)

Candidacy declared: April 21, 2016. ^[10]

Endorsements: Kirk MacDonald, Richard Bragdon, Pam Lynch

• Mel Norton, Mayor of Saint John, New Brunswick (2012–2016)

Candidacy declared: May 4, 2016. ^[11]

Endorsements: Gary Crossman, Dorothy Shephard, Trevor Holder, Glen Savoie, Ross Wetmore, Rodney Weston.

• Jake Stewart, MLA for Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin (2010–2021)

Candidacy declared: May 26, 2016. ^[12]

Endorsements: Jim Parrott

• Jean Dubé, MLA for Campbellton (2001–2003), MP for Madawaska—Restigouche (1997–2000)

Candidacy declared: June 27, 2016. ^[13]

Chose not to endorse: Bruce Fitch, Madeleine Dubé, Bruce Northrup, Stewart Fairgrieve ^[14]

Declined candidates

• Madeleine Dubé, MLA for Edmundston-Saint Basile, former Health Minister, Education Minister, and Social Development Minister ^[6]
• Ted Flemming, MLA for Rothesay, former Health Minister (2012–2014) ^[6]

Process

All members who have paid the $40 membership fee were eligible to vote on October 22 at the Aitken Centre or at one of several satellite locations around the province. ^[13] The election used a one member, one vote process. Balloting continued until one candidate received 50% + 1 of ballots cast. A maximum of four candidates were allowed to proceed to the second ballot. As there was no victor on the second ballot, the lowest placed candidate was dropped from the third and subsequent ballots until one candidate received the required level of support. ^[15]

Election results

Up to four candidates with more than 15% is required to move to the second ballot; more than 50% of the vote is required to win the election. ^[16]

Legend

  = Eliminated from next round

  = Winner

2016 PCNB leadership ballot [17] [18]
Candidate		First ballot		Second ballot			Third ballot
		Votes	%	Votes	%	+/-	Votes	%	+/-
	Blaine Higgs	1,228	22.37	1,417	34.56	+12.19	1,563	57.21	+22.65
	Mel Norton	1,078	19.64	993	24.22	+4.58	1,169	42.79	+18.57
	Monica Barley	948	17.27	861	21.00	+3.73	Endorsed Norton
	Mike Allen	892	16.25	829	20.22	+3.97	Endorsed Higgs
	Jake Stewart	700	12.75	Endorsed Barley
	Brian Macdonald	605	11.02
	Jean F. Dubé	39	0.71	Endorsed Higgs

Timeline

• September 22, 2014 – Provincial election results in the defeat of Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservative government after a single term.
• September 23, 2014 – Alward announces his resignation as party leader. ^[19]
• October 18, 2014 – Bruce Fitch is chosen by the party caucus to serve as interim leader. ^[20]
• January 21, 2016 – Brian Macdonald announces his candidacy for leader.
• January 30, 2016 – Party executive meets and sets October 22, 2016 as the date for the leadership convention and announces that the convention will be held at the Aitken Centre in Fredericton. ^[21]
• March 17, 2016 – Blaine Higgs announces his candidacy for leader.
• April 15, 2016 – Monica Barley announces her candidacy for leader.
• April 21, 2016 – Mike Allen announces his candidacy for leader.
• May 4, 2016 – Mel Norton announces his candidacy for leader.
• May 26, 2016 – Jake Stewart, MLA for Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin announces his candidacy for leader.
• July 27, 2016 – Jean F. Dubé announces his candidacy for leader.
• August 26, 2016 – Due to the large number of candidates the party executive modifies the rules so that only a maximum of four candidates will be permitted to proceed to the second ballot, if one is required.
• October 22, 2016 – Leadership convention is held, Blaine Higgs is elected leader after three ballots.

Notes

1. "David Alward concedes election, resigns as Tory leader". CBC News . September 23, 2014. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
2. Weese, Bryn (September 24, 2014). "New Brunswick PC leader resigns after loss to Liberals". The Sault Star . QMI press agency. p. 6. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
3. Staples, Michael (September 24, 2014). "Macdonald wouldn't turn down chance to serve as interim leader". The Daily Gleaner . p. A5. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
4. Donkin, Karissa (September 24, 2014). "Tory-Liberal split not necessarily bad for Saint John: experts". Telegraph-Journal . p. B3. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
5. Scott-Wallace, Tammy (September 30, 2014). "Back to basics for MLA Bruce Northrup". Kings County Record . p. A3. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
6. "First contender enters leadership race for N.B. Progressive Conservatives". Metro. Canadian Press. January 21, 2016. Archived from the original on January 29, 2016. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
7. "Brian Macdonald launches Progressive Conservative leadership bid". CBC News. January 21, 2016. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
8. "Blaine Higgs enters race for PC leadership". CBC News. March 17, 2016. Retrieved March 18, 2016.
9. "Monica Barley launches Progressive Conservative leadership bid". CBC News. April 15, 2016. Retrieved April 21, 2016.
10. "Ex-MP Mike Allen joins Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News. April 21, 2016. Retrieved April 21, 2016.
11. "Mel Norton adds name to list of PC leadership candidates". CBC News. May 4, 2016. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
12. "Jake Stewart jumps into crowded race for PC leadership". CBC News. May 26, 2016. Retrieved May 30, 2016.
13. "PC leadership race swells to 7 candidates". CBC News. June 27, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
14. Huras, Adam (October 18, 2016). "MLA backs Blaine Higgs". Telegraph-Journal . p. A1. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
15. "Progressive Conservatives shorten leadership ballot process". CBC News. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
16. Morris, Chris (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs leads Tory race, poll suggests". Telegraph-Journal . p. A1. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
17. McHardie, Daniel (October 22, 2016). "Blaine Higgs wins New Brunswick Progressive Conservative leadership race". CBC News . Retrieved June 17, 2024.
18. Morries, Chris; Huras, Adam; Scott-Wallace, Tammy (October 24, 2016). "Ex-finance minister vows to do politics differently". The Daily Gleaner . p. A1. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
19. "David Alward concedes election, resigns as Tory leader". CBC News. September 23, 2014. Retrieved January 30, 2016.
20. "Bruce Fitch named interim N.B. Progressive-Conservative leader". CBC News. October 18, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2016.
21. "N.B. Progressive Conservatives to choose new leader in October". CTV News. January 30, 2016. Archived from the original on January 31, 2016. Retrieved January 30, 2016.