1995 New Brunswick general election

Last updated

1995 New Brunswick general election
Flag of New Brunswick.svg
  1991 September 11, 1995 1999  

55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
28 seats needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
  Frank McKenna2.jpg
PC
Leader Frank McKenna Bernard Valcourt
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since19851995
Leader's seat Miramichi-Bay du Vin Edmundston
Last election463
Seats won486
Seat changeIncrease2.svg2Increase2.svg3
Popular vote201,150120,247
Percentage51.63%30.87%
SwingIncrease2.svg4.52%Increase2.svg10.17%

 Third partyFourth party
 
NDP
CoR
Leader Elizabeth Weir Greg Hargrove
Party New Democratic Confederation of Regions
Leader since19881995
Leader's seat Saint John Harbour Mactaquac (lost re-election)
Last election18
Seats won10
Seat changeSteady2.svgDecrease2.svg8
Popular vote37,57927,684
Percentage9.65%7.11%
SwingDecrease2.svg1.13%Decrease2.svg14.09%

Nb1995.PNG
Map of New Brunswick's ridings coloured in based on the winning parties and their popular vote

Premier before election

Frank McKenna
Liberal

Premier after election

Frank McKenna
Liberal

Rendition of party representation in the 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.
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Liberals (48)
Progressive Conservatives (6)
New Democrats (1) Nb-seating-1995.png
Rendition of party representation in the 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.
  Liberals (48)
  Progressive Conservatives (6)
  New Democrats (1)

The 1995 New Brunswick general election was held on September 11, 1995, to elect 55 members to the 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

Contents

The Liberals were again victorious. McKenna's personal popularity allowed the Liberals to maintain a large majority while the Tories managed only 6 seats, while the CoR lost all theirs. The combined PC-CoR vote exceeded that of the Liberals in an additional 10 ridings (Albert, Fundy Isles, Kings East, Mactaquac, Petitcodiac, Saint John-Fundy, Southwest Miramichi, Victoria-Tobique, Western Charlotte and Woodstock).

Also of note, there were 55 ridings in this election, as opposed to 58 in previous elections. It was the first time boundaries were redrawn in New Brunswick since 1974.

Background

Valcourt, a popular politician from Edmundston, had served as an MP from 1984 to 1993, and served in the cabinets of Prime Ministers Brian Mulroney and Kim Campbell. The New Brunswick Tories had been in shambles for the better part of a decade. They were shut out of the legislature in 1987, and won only three seats and third place in 1991. The internal meltdown of the CoR party had left them much room on the right, and polls showed that there would be a competitive race.

The election marked the debut of Bernard Valcourt as a provincial politician, and as leader of a reinvigorated Progressive Conservative Party. Frank McKenna sought a third term for his Liberal government, while the Confederation of Regions (CoR) party struggled to survive after considerable internal strife. Elizabeth Weir tried to expand her New Democratic Party's foothold in the legislature.

Opinion polls

Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firmLast day
of survey
Source NBLA NBPC NBNDP CoR OtherMESample
Election 1995September 11, 199551.6330.879.657.110.75
OmnifactsSeptember 4, 1995 [1] 6621944.5498
Corporate Research AssociatesAugust 1995 [2] 641256
OmnifactsAugust 1995 [3] 5615.94.61.4614
Election 1991 September 23, 199147.1120.6910.7821.180.24

Results

PartyParty Leader# of
candidates
SeatsPopular Vote
1991 Dissolution Elected% Change#%Change
  Liberal Frank McKenna 55464248+4.3%201,15051.63%+4.52%
  Progressive Conservative Bernard Valcourt 55366+100%120,24730.87%+10.17%
  New Democratic Elizabeth Weir 55111-37,5799.65%-1.13%
Confederation of Regions Greg Hargrove 36860-100%27,6847.11%-14.09%
  Natural Law Christopher Collrin 17*---1,2670.33%*
  Independents 8-2--1,6350.42%+0.21%
 Vacant1 
Total226585855-5.45%389,562100%-5.65%

* Natural Law did not contest the 1991 election.

Popular vote
Liberal
51.63%
PC
30.87%
New Democratic
9.65%
Conf. of Regions
7.11%
Others
0.74%
Seats summary
Liberal
87.27%
PC
10.91%
New Democratic
1.82%

Candidates

Many new and changed districts were used for the first time in this election as a result of an electoral redistribution.

Legend

Northern New Brunswick

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
1. Restigouche West Jean Paul Savoie 3,745Luc LeBrun 3,230Wendy Martin 200Marcelle Lamontagne (Natural Law) 93Jean-Paul Savoie
2. Campbellton Edmond Blanchard 4,831Florent Jim Levesque 1,207Louis Renaud 425Harold I. Hargrove (CoR) 368
Laurent Maltais (Natural Law) 93
Edmond Blanchard
3. Dalhousie-Restigouche East Carolle de Ste. Croix 4,006Gail Walsh 743Aurèle Ferlatte 2,753Charles Gendron Stewart (Ind.) 220
Chris Jensen (Natural Law) 81
Allan Maher
merged district
Rayburn Doucett
4. Nigadoo-Chaleur Albert Doucet 4,421Maxime Lejeune 2,555Ulric DeGrâce 662Francine Richard (Natural Law) 126Albert Doucet
5. Bathurst Marcelle Mersereau 4,956Graham Wiseman 695Kim Power 824William Parker (Natural Law) 88Marcelle Mersereau
6. Nepisiguit Alban Landry 3,715Anne-Marie Gammon 1,953Normand Savoie 690Andie Haché (Natural Law) 87 Frank Branch
7. Caraquet Bernard Thériault 4,367Bernard Haché 1,804Jean-Marie Nadeau 1,792Marc Boulay (Natural Law) 68Bernard Thériault
8. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou Jean-Camille DeGrâce 4,124 Paul Robichaud 4,096Daniel Brindle 222Gilles Godin 56 Jean Gauvin
9. Centre-Péninsule Denis Landry 3,448Roland Mallais 2,749Pierre Cousineau 373new district
10. Tracadie-Sheila George McLaughlin 3,803Elvy Robichaud 4,214Aldoria Noël 172Elvy Robichaud

Eastern New Brunswick

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
11. Miramichi Bay Danny Gay 3,504Jim Gordon 3,334Mary M. Parker 237Allison Furlotte (CoR) 91Danny Gay
12. Miramichi-Bay du Vin Frank McKenna 5,089Scott Hickey 2,114Debbie McGraw 617Brian E. Farrah (Natural Law) 92Frank McKenna
merged district
Reg MacDonald
13. Miramichi Centre John McKay 4,081Paul Dawson 3,803Terry Carter 353John McKay
14. Southwest Miramichi Reg MacDonald* 3,227Andy Dawson 2,326Allan Goodfellow 337Gerald Stewart (CoR) 1,055
Gayer Holmes (Ind.) 147
Brent Taylor
15. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac Kenneth Johnson 3,530Hermel Mazerolle 2,728Charles Richard 493new district
16. Kent Alan Graham 4,318Stéphane Comeau 903John LaBossiere 522Percy R. Beers (CoR) 387Alan Graham
merged district
Conrad Landry
17. Kent South Camille Thériault 6,313Charles Ryan 1,774Clifford Meunier 740Camille Thériault
18. Shediac-Cap-Pélé Bernard Richard 6,963Jean-Claude Bourque 1,006John Gagnon 543Bernard Richard

Southeastern New Brunswick

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPCoROther
19. Tantramar Marilyn Trenholme 3,414Eric Wheeler 654Berkeley Fleming 844Julia Stevens 553Marilyn Trenholme Counsell
20. Dieppe-Memramcook Greg O'Donnell 6,639 Bernard Lord 2,181Bernice Butler 577Robert Henry 177Greg O'Donnell
21. Moncton East Ray Frenette 4,466Brian Donaghy 1,302Gérard Snow 854Gerry Fullerton 604Ray Frenette
22. Moncton South Jim Lockyer 4,332Bob Leighton 1,236Blair McInnis 577Don Freeman 861James E. Lockyer
23. Moncton North Gene Devereux 4,333Marc LeBlanc 1,139Mark Robar 608Cyril Flanagan 945Michael Boucher (Natural Law) 40vacant
24. Moncton Crescent Kenneth R. MacLeod 3,832Barbara Winsor 1,489Richard Hay 426Dean Ryder 1,017Richard Mullins 227new district
25. Petitcodiac Hollis Steeves 2,398Charles Harmer 1,650Jennifer Stairs 310Tom Taylor 1,673 Dennis Cochrane
26. Riverview Al Kavanaugh 4,090Scott MacGregor 1,712David Bailie 317Doug Roper 1,436 Gordon Wilden*
27. Albert Harry Doyle 2,871 Wayne Steeves 1,964Elizabeth Venart 353Doug Duff 1,350 Beverly Brine
28. Kings East LeRoy Armstrong 3,074 Hazen Myers 3,030Brian Stone 325 Gordon Willden* 548Brian A. Chown (Ind.) 193Hazen Myers

Greater Saint John & Fundy Coast

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPCoROther
29. Hampton-Belleisle Georgie Day* 3,310Ronald Hatfield 2,837Shirley Short 870Ben Macaulay 456Neil Dickie (Natural Law) 69new district
30. Kennebecasis Peter LeBlanc 3,279John van Kralingen 2,069Elizabeth Thompson 1,522Bob Ross 471new district
31. Saint John-Fundy Stuart Jamieson 2,447 Rodney Weston 2,263Aubrey Fougere 968Bernard Toole 224Phyllis Johnston (Natural Law) 49Stuart Jamieson
32. Saint John-Kings Laureen Jarrett 3,176Bill Artiss 2,561 Pam Coates 825 Gary Ewart (Ind.) 497
Allison Pring (Natural Law) 60
new district
33. Saint John Champlain Roly MacIntyre 2,222 Lisa Keenan 1,547Paula Tippett 1,888Christina Green 200George Jenkins†
34. Saint John Harbour Robert A. Higgins 1,813Lloyd Betts 702 Elizabeth Weir 2,901Roland Griffith 137Janice MacMillan (Natural Law) 52 John Mooney
merged district
Elizabeth Weir
35. Saint John Portland Leo McAdam 2,454 Trevor Holder 2,113Greg Barry 1,507Terry Van Duzee 209Leo McAdam
merged district
Shirley Dysart
36. Saint John Lancaster Jane Barry 2,954 Norm McFarlane 2,673Kenneth Wilcox 1,030Peter Whitebone 215Richard Gerrior (Ind.) 188
Christopher Collrin (Natural Law) 49
Jane Barry
37. Grand Bay-Westfield Edward Kelly 1,583 Milt Sherwood 2,332Julie Dingwell 1,471Colby Fraser 527new district
38. Charlotte Sheldon Lee 3,645Sharon Tucker 1,269Eugene Dugas 124Lynn Mason 107Teresa James (Ind.) 54Sheldon Lee
merged district
Eric Allaby
39. Fundy Isles Eric Allaby* 1,201Bob Jackson 1,111Bill Barteau 77John Cunningham 171new district
40. Western Charlotte Ann Breault 3,076Ken Stevens 1,752John Alexander 257 Tony Huntjens 1,590 Reid Hurley
merged district
Ann Breault

Greater Fredericton

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPCoROther
41. Oromocto-Gagetown Vaughn Blaney* 3,537 Jody Carr 1,861Sandra Burtt 390 Ab Rector 914Ab Rector
42. Grand Lake Doug Tyler* 3,743Stephen McCready 2,177Danny Young 420Connie Webber 1,501new district
43. Fredericton North Jim Wilson 4,235 Walter Brown 1,778Elaine Perkins 1,074Ross Ingram 1,569 Ed Allen
44. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak Greg Byrne 3,241Brent Bishop 1,464Patricia Kennedy 929Nancy Curtis 857new district
45. Fredericton South Russ King 4,141David Peterson 1,980Dick Grant 1,042Dave O'Brien 776Jeanne Geldart (Natural Law) 108Russ King
46. New Maryland Joan Kingston 3,719Robert Penney 1,759Eric Keating 636 Max White* 1,873new district
47. York John Flynn 3,632Martin MacMullin 1,815Mary van Gaal 546Stephen Little 1,350Patricia Carlson (Natural Law) 56 Danny Cameron
48. Mactaquac David Olmstead 3,106Donald Parent 2,131Thomas Steep 505 Greg Hargrove 1,755Greg Hargrove

Upper Saint John River Valley

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalPCNDPOther
49. Woodstock Bruce Smith 3,306 Fred Hanson 3,058David Kennedy 530Lynn Avery (CoR) 687Bruce Smith
50. Carleton Butch Green 3,216 Dale Graham 4,016Deanna Grant 220David Kilcollins (CoR) 438 Allison DeLong
merged district
Dale Graham
51. Victoria-Tobique Larry Kennedy 2,845 Greg Inman 2,838Leslie Ferguson 114Kevin Jensen (CoR) 592
Carter Edgar (Ind.) 109
Larry Kennedy
52. Grand Falls Region Paul Duffie 4,583Jean-Guy Laforest 2,301André Faust 264Paul Duffie
53. Madawaska-la-Vallée Gérald Clavette 2,908 Percy Mockler 3,964Jean-Marie St. Onge 118Gérald Clavette
merged district
Percy Mockler
54. Edmundston Roland Beaulieu 2,803 Bernard Valcourt 4,215Maureen Michaud 102Roland Beaulieu
55. Madawaska-les-Lacs Georges Corriveau 3,085 Jeannot Volpé 4,060John Nowlan 103Georges Corriveau

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References

  1. "Poll predicts victory for N.B. Grits". The Globe and Mail. September 6, 1995. p. N7.
  2. McIllroy, Anne (August 13, 1995). "Miles in front of the pack, McKenna still runs scared". The Ottawa Citizen. p. A5.
  3. Cox, Kevin (August 12, 1995). "McKenna set to call vote for Sept. 11: Liberals' tough management line leaves Tories scrambling to come from behind". The Globe and Mail. p. A8.