2024 Saskatchewan general election

Last updated

2024 Saskatchewan general election
Flag of Saskatchewan.svg
  2020 October 28, 2024 2028  

61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout56.77% Increase2.svg 3.91%
 First partySecond party
 
Scott Moe at US EPA (cropped).jpg
Carla at desk (3x4).jpg
Leader Scott Moe Carla Beck
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 June 26, 2022
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Regina Lakeview
Last election48 seats, 61.12%13 seats, 31.82%
Seats before4214
Seats won3427
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 14Increase2.svg 14
Popular vote244,037188,373
Percentage52.24%40.33%
SwingDecrease2.svg 8.88 ppIncrease2.svg 8.49 pp

45th Saskatchewan general election map.png
Riding map based on new boundaries

Premier before election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

Premier after election

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan

The 2024 Saskatchewan general election was held on October 28, 2024, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.

Contents

The incumbent Saskatchewan Party government, led by Premier Scott Moe since 2018, sought re-election to a fifth consecutive term. The Saskatchewan Party's primary opponent, the Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Carla Beck, sought to lead the NDP to its first government since 2007. This was the first general election to feature the Saskatchewan United Party (SUP).

The Saskatchewan Party won enough seats to form its fifth consecutive majority government, claiming the majority of rural ridings. Its majority was reduced from eleven seats to three by a resurgent NDP—which achieved its best electoral performance since 2007 by taking every seat in Regina and all but one in Saskatoon. The SUP lost its only seat, which had been held by party founder Nadine Wilson. The results underscored the urban–rural divide between the two parties' constituencies. [1] [2] [3]

Background

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to the Legislative Assembly Act, 2007, "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020". [4] [5] Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election". [6] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025. [6] The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Legislative summary

Summary of the 29th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan

PartyLeaderSeats
2020 At dissolution
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 4842
New Democratic Carla Beck 1314
Saskatchewan United Jon Hromek 1
Independent 3
Vacant1
Total6161

List of registered provincial political parties in Saskatchewan

Party [7] Leader [8]
Buffalo Phillip Zajac [9]
Green Naomi Hunter
New Democratic Carla Beck
Progress Teunis Peters (i)
Progressive Conservative Rose Marie Buscholl (i)
Saskatchewan Scott Moe
Saskatchewan United Jon Hromek

Redistricting

The Saskatchewan Provincial Boundaries Commission drew a new map for Saskatchewan, as required by the Constituency Boundaries Act, 1993, [10] [11] which was subsequently ratified by the Saskatchewan Legislature. [12] The Legislative Assembly continued to consist of 61 members.

The following changes took effect:

AbolishedNew
Renaming of constituencies
Abolition of constituencies
Drawn from other constituencies
Division of constituencies
Reorganization of constituencies

Campaign

Health care, education, and the economy have been considered to be among the top issues heading into the election, with the incumbent Saskatchewan Party and Saskatchewan NDP focusing primarily on these issues. [13]

The province's health care system has been affected by staffing shortages, especially in rural areas of the province, which CUPE credited primarily to the Saskatchewan Health Authority's reliance on part-time workers as opposed to full-time positions. This has led to significant increases in vacancies and service disruptions since 2019. [14] In early-October 2024, the emergency room of Saskatoon's Royal University Hospital operated at 350% capacity after other nearby facilities were unable to take patients in, causing it to run out of beds, stretchers, and oxygen. [15] [16] [17] The Saskatchewan Party touted its effort to recruit nursing graduates, and internationally-trained nurses from countries such as the Philippines. [18] It also stated that it would offer at-home screening kits for HPV, and a refundable tax credit of up to $10,000 for fertility treatment. [19] Carla Beck stated that the NDP would invest $1.1 billion into critical front line services over the next four years, and focus on improving working conditions to achieve employee retention. [18] Beck criticized Scott Moe during the leaders' debate for not making any specific funding commitments for health care in his party's platform. [20]

The Saskatchewan Teachers' Federation (STF) has been in a labour dispute with the provincial government since May 2023, citing a lack of action on issues such as classroom size and complexity. [21] [22] After rotating strikes since January 2024, the STF enacted an indefinite work-to-rule beginning in April 2024. [23] [24] [20] The Saskatchewan Party and NDP both pledged to place increased funding into education, with the Sask Party planning to spend $156 million on infrastructure and $336 million on classroom sizes and complexity, and the NDP planning to increase the education budget by $2 billion over four years to fund classroom size and complexity, infrastructure, and special needs programs. Beck also promised a new high school in White City, and the implementation of a healthy food program. [25] [26]

On October 17, expanding upon the Parents' Bill of Rights introduced in 2023, Moe announced that his "first order of business" after reelection would be to immediately enact rules requiring school students to use the changing rooms that correspond to their biological sex. The Saskatchewan Party stated that it had "received calls and correspondence" regarding a October 16 report from the Western Standard, which detailed a complaint from the parent of a rural school student who had seen two trans girls using the girls' changing room. The Canadian Press reported that a parent of the two students was one of the NDP's candidates. [27] [28] [29] The proposal was not in the platform published by the Saskatchewan Party, and faced criticism from the NDP, STF, and LGBT rights advocates for harming the safety of transgender students. Regina Douglas Park MLA Nicole Sarauer stated that "no leader, community, political or otherwise, should aid in anyway to the outing or othering of children." Saskatchewan Party officials denied it was directly involved with the outing, [30] [31] [32] and Moe later claimed he was unaware of the two children, and that "I never once spoke to any of the individuals, nor will I, nor should anyone." [27] In November 2024, Moe walked back his declaration and stated that he had misspoke, saying that his first order of business would be to form a cabinet, and that the Minister of Education would enter into a consulting phase on policies with school boards following municipal and school board elections. [33]

On the economic front, Moe stated that he would reduce personal income taxes, expand the tuition rebate offered in its graduate retention program, remove the carbon tax on heating oil, and establish new tax credits and rebates for first-time homeowners and families with children involved in the arts or sports. Beck stated that she would balance the province's budget within four years and cut $58 million in "Saskatchewan Party waste" within her first year of office. Beck also stated that she would suspend the provincial gas tax for six months, end the PST for groceries and children's clothing, and establish an accountability commission to investigate issues such as cost overruns on government projects. [34] [35] [20] [36]

Jon Hromek launched the Saskatchewan United Party's campaign on October 2, 2024, describing it as a "true conservative option", and hoping to have at least two candidates elected to the Legislative Assembly. [37] [38] Its platform focused on goals such as cutting the provincial sales tax, ending the fuel tax, lowering property taxes for homeowners over 65, reviewing the royalty framework for potash, privatization of health care, a commitment to coal and natural gas energy and the suspension of green energy projects, removing "ideology" and "indoctrination" from school curricula (including gender identity and the climate crisis), and proposals to prohibit transgender women from occupying women-only spaces or competing in women's sports. [38] [39] It was suggested that the Saskatchewan United Party could potentially split the right-wing vote with the Saskatchewan Party, although Scott Moe downplayed these concerns. [40] [39] [41]

On October 22, it was reported that the front window of the office of Saskatchewan Party candidate Rahul Singh had been vandalized, with damage resembling small bullet holes. The party initially claimed that the vandalism was the result of a gun attack. The Regina Police Service stated that it had investigated a report of mischief reported on the evening of October 21, and that there was no evidence that firearms were involved. [42] [43]

The NDP has received endorsements from multiple current and former Saskatchewan Party members and MLAs, including from Speaker Randy Weekes. [44]

Timeline

29th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan - Movement in seats held up to the election (2020-2024)
Party2020Gain/(loss) due to2024
Died in
Office
Leaves
caucus
Resignation
as MLA
Removed
from caucus
Switching
allegiance
Byelection
gain
Byelection
hold
Saskatchewan 48(1)(3)(3)(1)1142
New Democratic 13(2)2114
Saskatchewan United 11
Independent 31(1)3
Vacant15(3)(2)1
Total6161
Changes in seats held (2020–2024)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Athabasca August 10, 2021 Buckley Belanger   New Democratic Resignation [45] February 15, 2022 Jim Lemaigre [46]   Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Rivers September 30, 2021 Nadine Wilson   Saskatchewan Resigned from caucus [47]   Independent
November 30, 2022  Independent Designated as Sask United leader  Sask. United
Saskatoon Meewasin July 1, 2022 Ryan Meili   New Democratic Resignation [48] September 26, 2022 Nathaniel Teed   New Democratic
Regina Coronation Park February 10, 2023 Mark Docherty   Saskatchewan Resignation [49] August 10, 2023 Noor Burki [50]   New Democratic
Lumsden-Morse March 10, 2023 Lyle Stewart   Saskatchewan Resignation [51] August 10, 2023 Blaine McLeod [50]   Saskatchewan
Regina Walsh Acres March 28, 2023 Derek Meyers   Saskatchewan Died in office [52] [53] August 10, 2023 Jared Clarke [50]   New Democratic
Cut Knife-Turtleford November 17, 2023 Ryan Domotor   Saskatchewan Removed from caucus  Independent
Moose Jaw Wakamow January 30, 2024 Greg Lawrence   Saskatchewan Resigned from caucus  Independent
Biggar-Sask Valley May 15, 2024 Randy Weekes   Saskatchewan Resigned from party, but remained as Speaker [54] [55]   Independent
Saskatoon Northwest June 10, 2024 Gordon Wyant   Saskatchewan Resignation [56]  Vacant

2020

2022

2023

2024

Candidates

Nominations closed on October 12.

Candidates by Party

PartyLeader [64] Candidates
Saskatchewan Scott Moe 61
New Democratic Carla Beck 61
Green Naomi Hunter58
Saskatchewan United Jon Hromek 31
Buffalo Philip Zajac16
Progressive Conservative Rose Marie Buscholl11
Progress Teunis Peters3
Independent2
Candidate contests [65]
Candidates
nominated
ConstituenciesParty
SaskNDPGreenSUPBuffPCProgIndTotals
3181818161154
427272726165421108
51515151513961175
611111116
Total6161615831161132243

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents
Affiliation [a 1] MLAConstituencyHeld office
since
 Sask Steven Bonk [66] Moosomin 2016
Fred Bradshaw [67] Carrot River Valley 2007
Dustin Duncan [68] Weyburn-Big Muddy 2006
Ken Francis [69] Kindersley 2018
Marv Friesen [70] Saskatoon Riversdale 2020
Gary Grewal [71] Regina Northeast 2020
Joe Hargrave [72] Prince Albert Carlton 2016
Donna Harpauer [68] Humboldt-Watrous [a 2] 1999
Delbert Kirsch [67] Batoche 2003
Don McMorris [68] Indian Head-Milestone 1999
Don Morgan [67] Saskatoon Southeast 2003
Hugh Nerlien [70] Kelvington-Wadena 2016
Greg Ottenbreit [69] Yorkton 2007
Dana Skoropad [67] Arm River 2020
 NDP Jennifer Bowes [73] Saskatoon University 2020
Doyle Vermette [74] Cumberland 2008
 Independent Ryan Domotor [a 3] [75] Cut Knife-Turtleford 2020
Greg Lawrence [a 3] [76] Moose Jaw Wakamow 2011
Failed to secure renomination
 Sask Terry Dennis [77] [78] Canora-Pelly 2016
 Independent Randy Weekes [a 3] [a] [b] [79] Biggar-Sask Valley [a 4] 1999
  1. At dissolution
  2. Previously MLA for Watrous (1999-2003)
  3. 1 2 3 Previously elected under the Saskatchewan Party banner
  4. Previously MLA for Biggar (2003-2016) and Redberry Lake (1999-2003)

Candidates by riding

Candidates in bold represent cabinet members and the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly . Party leaders are italicized. The symbol † indicates incumbent MLAs who are not running again. The symbol ‡ indicates incumbent MLAs who are running again in a different district.

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPSUPBuffaloGreen
Athabasca Jim Lemaigre [80] Leroy Laliberte [81] Raven Reid [82] Jim Lemaigre
Cut Knife-Turtleford James Thorsteinson [83] Clayton Poole [84] Steve Gessner [85] Holly Ennis [82] Ryan Domotor
Lloydminster Colleen Young [80] Adam Tremblay [86] Joshua Bloom [85] Patrick McNally [82] Colleen Young
Meadow Lake Jeremy Harrison [80] Miles Nachbaur [87] Denis Allchurch [88] Candice Turner [82] Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook Scott Moe [80] Mark Thunderchild [89] Cody Lockhart [85] Janice Dongworth [82] Scott Moe
The Battlefords Jeremy Cockrill [80] Tom Kroczynski [84] Dale Richarson [90] Sara Piotrofsky [82] Jeremy Cockrill

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPSUPGreenOther
Batoche Darlene Rowden [91] Trina Miller [92] Erin Nicole Spencer [85] Hamish Graham [82] Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly Sean Wilson [93] Wynn Fedorchuk [94] Casimira Rimando [82] Niall Schofield (Buff.) [90] Terry Dennis
Carrot River Valley Terri Bromm [80] CJ Binkley [84] Shauna Stanley Seymour [85] Liam Becker Lau [82] Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland Gregory Seib [95] Jordan McPhail [84] Siwichis Bird-Paddy [82] Nasser Dean Chalifoux (Ind.) [96] Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena Chris Beaudry [97] Lorne Schroeder [98] Clint Gottinger [85] Gillian Halyk [82] Hugh Nerlien
Melfort Todd Goudy [80] Melanie Dyck [84] Dave Moore [99] Tristan St. Germain [82] Todd Goudy
Prince Albert Carlton Kevin Kasun [100] Carolyn Brost Strom [84] Denneil Carpenter [85] Andrew Muirhead [82] Joe Hargrave
Prince Albert Northcote Alana Ross [80] Nicole Rancourt [84] Terri Davis [101] Jarren Jones [82] Alana Ross
Saskatchewan Rivers Eric Schmalz [80] Doug Racine [84] Nadine Wilson [61] Alesha Bruce [82] Bernard Lalonde (P.C.) [102] Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPSUPBuffaloGreenOther
Dakota-Arm River Barret Kropf [103] Jordan Wiens [84] Darren Ebenal [85] Joseph Reynolds [82] Raymond L. Carrick (P.C.) [104] Dana Skoropad
Arm River
Humboldt-Watrous Racquel Hilbert [105] Kevin Fallis [84] Carrie Ann Hradecki [106] Megan Christianson [96] Sharon Thibault [82] Rose Buscholl (P.C.) [107] Donna Harpauer
Kindersley-Biggar Kim Gartner [108] Cindy Hoppe [84] Jeff Wortman [90] Darcy Robilliard [82] Wade Sira (Ind.) [99] Ken Francis
Kindersley
Martensville-Blairmore Jamie Martens [109] Tammy Pike [84] Brittney Ricottone [82] Terry Jenson
Martensville-Warman
Rosetown-Delisle Jim Reiter [80] Brenda Edel [84] Sean Muirhead [82] Jim Reiter
Rosetown-Elrose
Warman Terry Jenson [80] Erica Baerwald [84] Andrea Early [85] Mark Friesen [99] Adriana Hackl Pinno [82] Randy Weekes
Biggar-Sask Valley

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPGreenOther
Cypress Hills Doug Steele [80] Clare McNab [84] Doug Wilson (Buff.) [90] Doug Steele
Lumsden-Morse Blaine McLeod [91] Chauntel Baudu [110] Isaiah Hunter [82] Jon Hromek (SUP) [61] Blaine McLeod
Megan Torrie (P.C.) [111]
Moose Jaw North Tim McLeod [80] Cheantelle Fisher [84] Kimberly Epp [82] Tim McLeod
Moose Jaw Wakamow Megan Patterson [91] Melissa Patterson [84] Michael Gardiner [82] Greg Lawrence
Swift Current Everett Hindley [80] Jay Kimball [84] George Watson [82] Constance P Maffenbeier (Buff.) [90] Everett Hindley
Wood River David Marit [80] Mike Topola [84] Melvin Pylychuk [82] Clint Arnason (P.C.) [112] Dave Marit
Todd McIntyre (SUP) [85]

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPSUPBuffaloGreen
Cannington Daryl Harrison [80] Dianne Twietmeyer [84] Barbara Helfrick [99] Michelle Krieger [91] Natalie Lund-Clysdale [82] Daryl Harrison
Estevan-Big Muddy Lori Carr [80] Phil Smith [84] Andrew Cey [85] Phillip Zajac [91] Billy Patterson [82] Lori Carr
Estevan
Last Mountain-Touchwood Travis Keisig [80] Thera Nordal [98] Gene Unruh [85] Elvin Mandziak [99] Travis Keisig
Melville-Saltcoats Warren Kaeding [80] Karen Hovind [84] Curtis Brooks [85] Frank Serfas [99] Micah Mang [82] Warren Kaeding
Moosomin-Montmartre Kevin Weedmark [113] Chris Ball [84] Adam Erickson [85] Otis Ayre [90] Remi Rheault [82] Steven Bonk
Moosomin
Weyburn-Bengough Michael Weger [114] Seth Lendrum [84] Rose McInnes [85] Andrew Shanaida [90] North Hunter [82] Dustin Duncan
Weyburn-Big Muddy
White City-Qu'appelle Brad Crassweller [115] Grady Birns [84] Darcy Thiele [85] Don McMorris
Indian Head-Milestone
Yorkton David Chan [116] Lenore Pinder [84] Doug Forster [85] Timothy Kasprick [96] Valerie Brooks [82] Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon East

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPSUPGreenProgress
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood Lisa Lambert [80] Keith Jorgenson [84] Morgan McAdam [82] Lisa Lambert
Saskatoon Eastview Francis Kreiser [117] Matt Love [84] Brad McAvoy [85] Kendra Anderson [82] Matt Love
Saskatoon Nutana Mumtaz Naseeb [118] Erika Ritchie [84] Whitney Greenleaf [82] Erika Ritchie
Saskatoon Silverspring Paul Merriman [80] Hugh Gordon [84] Jackie Hanson [82] Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland
Saskatoon Southeast John Owojori [119] Brittney Senger [84] Greg Brkich [88] Mohammad Abushar [82] Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge Bronwyn Eyre [80] Darcy Warrington [84] Cheryl Mazil [82] Jahangir J Valiani [120] Bronwyn Eyre
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota
Saskatoon University-Sutherland Ghislaine McLeod [121] Tajinder Grewal [84] Dawne Badrock [85] Felipe Guerra [82] Jennifer Bowes
Saskatoon University
Saskatoon Willowgrove Ken Cheveldayoff [80] Alana Wakula [84] William Hughes [85] Tawe Morin [82] Ken Cheveldayoff

Saskatoon West

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPGreenBuffalo
Saskatoon Centre Dale Hrynuik [122] Betty Nippi-Albright [84] Darry Michelle [82] Betty Nippi-Albright
Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis Parminder Singh [123] Don McBean [84] Shane Caellaigh [82] Vacant
Saskatoon Northwest
Saskatoon Fairview Zahid Sandhu [124] Vicki Mowat [84] Phoenix Neault [82] Tony Ollenberger [90] Vicki Mowat
Saskatoon Meewasin Maureen Alice Torr [125] Nathaniel Teed [84] Jacklin Andrews [82] Nathaniel Teed
Saskatoon Riversdale Olu Fakoyejo [126] Kim Breckner [84] Naomi Hunter [82] Marv Friesen
Saskatoon Westview David Buckingham [80] April ChiefCalf [84] Jupiter Neault [82] David Buckingham

Regina

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
SaskatchewanNDPGreenPCOther
Regina Coronation Park Riaz Ahmad [127] Noor Burki [84] Maria Krznar [82] Olasehinde Ben Adebayo [128] Noor Burki
Regina Douglas Park Ken Grey [129] Nicole Sarauer [84] Victor Lau [82] Nicole Sarauer
Regina Elphinstone-Centre Caesar Khan [130] Meara Conway [84] Jim Elliott [82] Nathan Bruce (Prog.) [99] Meara Conway
Pamela Carpenter (SUP) [85]
Regina Lakeview Sarah Wright [131] Carla Beck [84] Heather MacNeill [82] Victor Teece [132] Carla Beck
Regina Mount Royal Jaspreet Mander [133] Trent Wotherspoon [84] Regina Demyen [82] Trent Wotherspoon
Regina Rosemont
Regina Northeast Rahul Singh [134] Jacqueline Roy [84] Anthony Thomas Majore [82] Kate Tremblay (Prog.) [135] Gary Grewal
Regina Pasqua Muhammad Fiaz [80] Bhajan Brar [84] Ekaterina Cabylis [82] Justin Parnell [136] Shannon Chapple (Buff.) [90] Muhammad Fiaz
Regina Rochdale Laura Ross [91] Joan Pratchler [84] Irene Browatzke [82] Laura Ross
Regina South Albert Khushdil (Lucky) Mehrok [91] Aleana Young [84] Leonie Williams [82] David Teece [137] Aleana Young
Regina University
Regina University Gene Makowsky [80] Sally Housser [84] Cedar Park [82] Corie Rempel [138] Gene Makowsky
Regina Gardiner Park
Regina Walsh Acres Liaqat Ali [139] Jared Clarke [84] Dianna Holigroski [82] Bonnie Farrell (SUP) [99] Jared Clarke
Regina Wascana Plains Christine Tell [80] Brent Blakley [84] Bo Chen [82] Larry Buchinski [140] Dustin Plett (SUP) [85] Christine Tell

    Opinion polls

    2024 Saskatchewan election polls.svg

    Results

    Although public opinion polling in the latter half of the campaign suggested that the NDP was leading the Saskatchewan Party in popular support, it remained unclear whether this would translate into a majority government, as their lead was based entirely on being ahead in Regina and Saskatoon while remaining ten points or more behind in the province's more rural districts. [142]

    Taking nearly all rural ridings and two in Saskatoon (Saskatoon Willowgrove, and Martensville-Blairmore—which includes the Blairmore neighbourhood of Saskatoon), the Saskatchewan Party won enough seats to form its fifth consecutive majority government. If the Saskatchewan Party completes a full four years in office, it will be the second-longest streak of party control in Saskatchewan, exceeded only by the Liberal governments of 1905–1929. [143] [1] [2] [3] The NDP reduced the Saskatchewan Party's majority from eleven seats at dissolution to three, taking all of Regina and all but two ridings in Saskatoon. Only one Saskatoon-based Saskatchewan Party MLA, Ken Cheveldayoff, won re-election. [144]

    The NDP achieved upset victories over several long-standing Saskatchewan Party MLAs and ministers, including Bronwyn Eyre, Gene Makowsky, Paul Merriman, Laura Ross, and Christine Tell.The NDP also reclaimed the far northern seat of Athabasca, a party stronghold which the party had unexpectedly lost to the Saskatchewan Party in a 2022 by-election, but did not otherwise make any new gains in the province's rural districts. [145] The Saskatchewan United Party failed to win any seats, and lost its sole seat—held by party founder and former leader Nadine Wilson in the Saskatchewan Rivers riding—to the Saskatchewan Party candidate Eric Schmalz. [146]

    Of the 32,476 mail-in ballots requested, only 20,417 had been returned by October 30. The remaining 12,059 must be received by November 7 (two days before the Final Count) in order to be validly entered into the total result. [147] There may yet be judicial recounts: under Saskatchewan law, they may only be requested by a candidate, and only if there is a tie or where the margin of victory is less than the number of rejected ballots and others objected to. [147]

    Synopsis of results

    2024 Saskatchewan general election - synopsis of riding results [148]
    Riding [a 1] Winning partyTurnout
    [a 2]
    Votes
    2020 1st placeVotesShareMargin
    #
    Margin
    %
    2nd place3rd place Sask NDP SUP Grn PC Buff SPP IndTotal
     
    Athabasca  NDP NDP1,82362.80%78827.14% Sask Green %1,0351,823452,903
    Batoche  Sask Sask4,41561.20%2,20530.57% NDP SUP %4,4152,2104501397,214
    Cannington  Sask Sask6,15773.68%5,03460.24% NDP Buff %6,1571,1234241035498,356
    Canora-Pelly  Sask Sask5,22771.07%3,47647.26% NDP Buff %5,2271,7511542237,355
    Carrot River Valley  Sask Sask4,85767.12%3,46247.84% NDP SUP %4,8571,3958441407,236
    Cumberland  NDP NDP2,28955.10%64715.58% Sask Green %1,6422,289173504,154
    Cut Knife-Turtleford  Sask Sask5,59771.27%4,06151.71% NDP SUP %5,5971,5365661547,853
    Cypress Hills  Sask Sask5,80774.76%4,34155.88% NDP Buff %5,8071,4664957,768
    Dakota-Arm River New Sask5,02757.45%2,91333.29% NDP SUP %5,0272,1141,074924438,750
    Estevan-Big Muddy New Sask5,27769.97%4,30457.07% NDP Buff %5,277973453847557,542
    Humboldt-Watrous  Sask Sask5,27158.66%3,04133.85% NDP PC %5,2712,230600127660978,985
    Kelvington-Wadena  Sask Sask5,01565.07%3,27942.55% NDP SUP %5,0151,7368311257,707
    Kindersley-Biggar New Sask5,74976.83%4,52660.48% NDP Ind %5,7491,2231151062907,483
    Last Mountain-Touchwood  Sask Sask4,14453.08%1,64321.05% NDP SUP %4,1442,5011,107557,807
    Lloydminster  Sask Sask3,49777.04%2,76961.00% NDP SUP %3,497728276384,539
    Lumsden-Morse  Sask Sask4,77455.06%2,61730.18% NDP SUP %4,7742,1571,371613088,671
    Martensville-Blairmore New Sask4,61759.93%1,68821.91% NDP Green %4,6172,9291587,704
    Meadow Lake  Sask Sask4,10262.34%2,03530.93% NDP SUP %4,1022,0673041076,580
    Melfort  Sask Sask5,79673.90%4,22053.81% NDP SUP %5,7961,576379927,843
    Melville-Saltcoats  Sask Sask5,18265.55%3,23740.95% NDP SUP %5,1821,94562086727,905
    Moose Jaw North  Sask Sask4,57859.31%1,58420.52% NDP Green %4,5782,9941477,719
    Moose Jaw Wakamow  Sask Sask3,81955.02%92513.33% NDP Green %3,8192,8942286,941
    Moosomin-Montmartre  Sask Sask5,29166.10%3,38042.22% NDP SUP %5,2911,911609122728,005
    Prince Albert Carlton  Sask Sask3,16651.08%4447.16% NDP SUP %3,1662,722241696,198
    Prince Albert Northcote  Sask Sask2,89247.77%1332.20% NDP SUP %2,8922,7593021016,054
    Regina Coronation Park  Sask NDP3,92652.73%1,09214.67% Sask PC %2,8343,9262724147,446
    Regina Douglas Park  NDP NDP4,19965.55%2,19634.28% Sask Green %2,0034,1992046,406
    Regina Elphinstone-Centre  NDP NDP3,26861.08%1,85134.60% Sask SUP %1,4173,2683101561995,350
    Regina Lakeview  NDP NDP6,26070.42%4,04845.53% Sask PC %2,2126,2601702488,890
    Regina Mount Royal New NDP5,41961.25%2,16424.46% Sask Green %3,2555,4191748,848
    Regina Northeast  Sask NDP3,66050.73%5077.03% Sask SPP %3,1533,6601492537,215
    Regina Pasqua  Sask NDP3,81452.35%1,00513.79% Sask PC %2,8093,814132441907,286
    Regina Rochdale  Sask NDP5,04653.44%8168.64% Sask Green %4,2305,0461679,443
    Regina South Albert New NDP5,10864.73%2,77335.14% Sask PC %2,3355,1081313177,891
    Regina University  NDP NDP4,08152.20%6558.38% Sask PC %3,4264,081782337,818
    Regina Walsh Acres  Sask NDP4,70056.99%1,62719.73% Sask SUP %3,0734,7003521228,247
    Regina Wascana Plains  Sask NDP4,69648.58%5936.13% Sask SUP %4,1034,696414983569,667
    Rosetown-Delisle New Sask5,96570.74%3,73044.24% NDP Green %5,9652,2352328,432
    Rosthern-Shellbrook  Sask Sask5,27964.18%3,45341.98% NDP SUP %5,2791,8261,031898,225
    Saskatchewan Rivers  Sask Sask3,94553.68%1,87625.53% NDP SUP %3,9452,069824874247,349
    Saskatoon Centre  NDP NDP3,79461.24%1,60325.88% Sask Green %2,1913,7942106,195
    Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis  Sask NDP4,72151.49%5596.10% Sask Green %4,1624,7212859,168
    Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood  Sask NDP4,62157.67%1,35916.96% Sask Green %3,2624,6211308,013
    Saskatoon Eastview  NDP NDP5,39259.42%2,03022.37% Sask SUP %3,3625,3921961259,075
    Saskatoon Fairview  NDP NDP4,12156.54%1,35818.63% Sask Green %2,7634,1212441617,289
    Saskatoon Meewasin  NDP NDP4,61759.20%1,67721.50% Sask Green %2,9404,6172427,799
    Saskatoon Nutana  NDP NDP6,16374.21%4,20750.66% Sask Green %1,9566,1631868,305
    Saskatoon Riversdale  Sask NDP3,62460.43%1,50625.11% Sask Green %2,1183,6242555,997
    Saskatoon Silverspring New NDP4,43551.43%4365.06% Sask Green %3,9994,4351908,624
    Saskatoon Southeast  Sask NDP4,92150.53%4294.41% Sask SUP %4,4924,9212161099,738
    Saskatoon Stonebridge New NDP4,17754.30%84110.93% Sask Green %3,3364,17796847,693
    Saskatoon University-Sutherland New NDP3,96055.92%1,29818.33% Sask SUP %2,6623,9603121477,081
    Saskatoon Westview  Sask NDP3,57649.56%741.03% Sask Green %3,5023,5761387,216
    Saskatoon Willowgrove  Sask Sask4,89549.02%1361.36% NDP SUP %4,8954,759251809,985
    Swift Current  Sask Sask4,84966.42%2,71237.15% NDP Buff %4,8492,137982167,300
    The Battlefords  Sask Sask4,35259.40%1,63322.29% NDP Green %4,3522,7191401157,326
    Warman New Sask5,92765.56%3,64140.28% NDP SUP %5,9272,286650521259,040
    Weyburn-Bengough New Sask5,78566.76%4,21048.59% NDP SUP %5,7851,5751,092119948,665
    White City-Qu'appelle New Sask5,29855.76%1,70517.94% NDP SUP %5,2983,5936119,502
    Wood River  Sask Sask5,70068.26%4,15149.71% NDP PC %5,7001,549495545538,351
    Yorkton  Sask Sask3,51351.79%1,23918.27% NDP SUP %3,5132,274818136426,783
    1. sorted as per results summary
    2. including rejected and declined ballots
      = Open seat
      = Turnout is above provincial average
      = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
      = Incumbent had switched allegiance
      = Previously incumbent in another riding
      = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
      = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
      = Other incumbents renominated
      = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
      = Multiple candidates

    Summary analysis

    Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party [148]
    Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
      Saskatchewan 3427
      New Democratic 2734
      Saskatchewan United 274
      Green 202810
      Progressive Conservative 74
      Buffalo 546
      Progress 12
      Independent 11

    Opinion poll sources

    1. "NDP holds narrow lead over Saskatchewan Party on eve of SK election". Forum Research . October 28, 2024. Retrieved October 28, 2024.
    2. Canseco, Mario (October 28, 2024). "Late Surge Gives Saskatchewan Its Closest Election Since 2003". Research Co.
    3. "SK NDP Leads Saskatchewan Party, 49% to 46%". Liaison Strategies. October 26, 2024.
    4. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Saskatchewan" (PDF). Mainstreet Research . October 25, 2024. Retrieved October 26, 2024.
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    6. "Saskatchewan Provincial Polling, October 9-24, 2024 – Cardinal Research".
    7. "Ruling Party Stays Ahead of Opposition NDP in Saskatchewan". Research Co. October 11, 2024. Retrieved October 11, 2024.
    8. "CUPE Saskatchewan - Election Survey -" (PDF). Janet Brown Opinion Research. September 16, 2024. Retrieved October 16, 2024.
    9. "Mainstreet Research Survey - Saskatchewan" (PDF). Mainstreet Research . September 19, 2024. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
    10. Davenport, Cole (September 25, 2024). "Sask. Party, NDP entering tight race in fall election, new poll says". CTV News Regina. Bell Media . Retrieved September 30, 2024.
    11. "Election 2024: Saskatchewan Party maintains lead over the opposition NDP, but the gap is narrowing". Angus Reid Institute . August 22, 2024. Archived from the original on August 22, 2024. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
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    Notes

    1. Currently Speaker of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.
    2. The Biggar-Sask Valley constituency was eliminated following redistribution, prompting Weekes, then a Saskatchewan Party MLA, to seek the party's nomination in Kindersley-Biggar, which includes a portion of the former Biggar-Sask Valley constituency. Weekes later left the Saskatchewan Party after losing the nomination.

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