Milton (federal electoral district)

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Milton
Flag of Ontario.svg Ontario electoral district
Milton, riding 2015.svg
Milton in relation to nearby electoral districts in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Adam van Koeverden
Liberal
District created 2013
District abolished 2023
First contested 2015
Last contested 2021
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2021) [1] 136,993
Electors (2021)88,998
Area (km²) [1] 447.36
Pop. density (per km²)306.2
Census division(s) Halton
Census subdivision(s) Burlington, Milton

Milton is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that consists of the town of Milton and part of Burlington which has a population growing much faster than the Ontario average. It was created by the 2012 federal redistribution and previously part of Halton. Redistributed results showed that Conservative Lisa Raitt won the area easily in 2011, although her vote share dropped in the 2015 election and the Liberals took the riding in 2019. Since 2019 it has been represented by Liberal Adam van Koeverden.

Contents

Profile

The riding (electoral district) in its current form consists of the part of Burlington north of Dundas Street and Highway 407 and the town of Milton. [2] The eponymous town, which makes up much of the riding's area, is a quickly-growing settlement which dates back to the 1820s. [2] [3] [4] According to the 2016 census, the population of the riding grew over six times as much as the Ontario average between 2011 and 2016, from 88,065 to 114,093 (a 29.6% increase compared to the provincial average of 4.6%). [5] Over a third of the riding's population are immigrants. In 2015, the median income in the riding was $42,779, up from $41,801 in 2010. [5] [6] The median age in the district is 36, below the Ontario average of 41. [5]

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census; 2013 representation [7]

Languages: 56.3% English, 9.4% Urdu, 4% Arabic, 2.3% Spanish, 1.8% Punjabi, 1.5% Tagalog, 1.3% Polish, 1.2% Portuguese, 1.1% French, 1.1% Hindi, 1.1% Mandarin
Religions: 48.4% Christian (27.9% Catholic, 3.1% Christian Orthodox, 2.6% Anglican, 2% United Church, 1.4% Pentecostal, 1.1% Presbyterian), 22.6% Muslim, 19.4% No religion, 5.9% Hindu, 2.4% Sikh
Median income (2020): $46,000
Average income (2020): $60,000

Ethnicity groups: White: 45.3%, South Asian: 27.6%, Black: 5.7%, Arab: 5.6%, Filipino: 3.9%, Chinese: 2.8%, Latin American: 2.5%, West Asian: 1.3%, Southeast Asian: 1%

Ethnic origins: Pakistani 11.9%, English 11.5%, Indian 10.6%, Scottish 9.6%, Irish 9.2%, Canadian 8.9%, Italian 5.8%, German 4.7%, Filipino 4%, Portuguese 3.9%

History

Lisa Raitt Lisa Raitt - 2017 (36917974502) (cropped)2.jpg
Lisa Raitt
Adam van Koeverden Adam Van Koeverden.jpg
Adam van Koeverden

The district was first proposed as part of the 2012 redistribution. It was initially proposed to consist of Milton, the rural northern part of Burlington, and some small suburban areas of Burlington. [8] There was some concern that the growth of Milton would cause it to be seriously underrepresented by 2031. [9] Before the public meetings were scheduled to be held, the commission redrew the districts in the area and the district would now be split. Burlington NorthMilton South would consist of southern Milton and a few more suburban neighbourhoods in Burlington. In the north, it would be combined with Halton Hills to form Halton HillsMilton. [10]

In February 2013, the district was reverted to the original proposal, but with the northern suburbs of Burlington excluded. [11] This proposal ended up being approved. [12] The area of this district was previously part of Halton and had a population of 88,065, 17% below the provincial average. [11] [13] [14]

In the 2011 election, Conservative MP Lisa Raitt won Halton by about 29% of the vote, and when redistributed, she won Milton by 31%. [15] [16] In the 2015 election, her margin of victory over the Liberal candidate declined to 5%. [17] Shortly after the election, in which the Conservatives lost government, Prime Minister Stephen Harper resigned as party leader; his interim replacement Rona Ambrose appointed Raitt to the Shadow Cabinet as Finance critic. [18] After Raitt spent time outside of the shadow cabinet during her leadership bid, the new full-time leader Andrew Scheer appointed her to be Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party in 2017. [19] [20]

In January 2019, the Liberals nominated former Olympian Adam van Koeverden to run in the riding. [21] A riding poll was released in the lead-up to the election showing a tight race, and it was expected that it would turn out that way on election night. [22] Despite this, van Koeverden won the riding's seat in Parliament against Raitt by 15% of the vote and won a majority of votes in the riding. This was one of only two ridings in the country Liberals picked up from the Conservatives in the 2019 election. [23] [24] After the completion of the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution process, the electoral constituency of Milton was subdivided into two distinct districts: Burlington North-Milton West and Milton East-Halton Hills South. These new delineations and electoral boundaries will become operational for any federal general election called subsequent to April 22, 2024 until the next electoral redistribution. [25]

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

ParliamentYearsMemberParty
Milton
Riding created from Halton
42nd  2015–2019   Lisa Raitt Conservative
43rd  2019–2021   Adam van Koeverden Liberal
44th  2021–present
Riding dissolved into Burlington North—Milton West and
Milton East—Halton Hills South

Election results

Graph of election results in Milton (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Adam van Koeverden 28,50351.5-0.2$77,539.79
Conservative Nadeem Akbar18,31333.1-3.0$99,542.76
New Democratic Muhammad Riaz Sahi4,9258.9+2.4$1,399.74
People's Shibli Haddad2,3654.3+3.3$5,677.08
Green Chris Kowalchuk1,2802.3-2.3$0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit55,38699.4$117,559.81
Total rejected ballots3250.6
Turnout55,71162.6
Eligible voters88,998
Liberal hold Swing -0.2
Source: Elections Canada [26]
2019 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Liberal Adam van Koeverden 30,88251.70+11.26$109,480.90
Conservative Lisa Raitt 21,56436.10-9.28$79,176.58
New Democratic Farina Hassan3,8516.50-4.38none listed
Green Eleanor Hayward2,7694.60+2.31$11,179.13
People's Percy Dastur6131.00-none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit59,679100.0  
Total rejected ballots379
Turnout60,05870.81
Eligible voters84,806
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +10.27
Source: Elections Canada [27] [28]
2015 Canadian federal election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%Expenditures
Conservative Lisa Raitt 22,37845.38-9.67$102,240.41
Liberal Azim Rizvee19,94040.44+16.26$120,826.89
New Democratic Alex Anabusi5,36610.88-5.65$6,027.16
Green Mini Batra1,1312.29-1.58$2,700.16
Libertarian Chris Jewell4931.00$2,322.98
Total valid votes/Expense limit49,308100.00 $204,958.27
Total rejected ballots2100.42
Turnout49,51869.01
Eligible voters71,754
Conservative hold Swing -12.96
Source: Elections Canada [29] [30] [17]
2011 federal election redistributed results [16]
PartyVote %
  Conservative 18,63155.05
  Liberal 8,18324.18
  New Democratic 5,59316.53
  Green 1,3113.87
 Others1260.37

See also

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References

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  3. "Census Profile, 2016 Census". statcan.gc.ca. Statistics Canada. 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2020.
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43°30′43″N79°53′10″W / 43.512°N 79.886°W / 43.512; -79.886