Bay of Quinte (federal electoral district)

For the provincial districts, see Bay of Quinte (provincial electoral district) and Quinte (electoral district).

Bay of Quinte

Ontario electoral district
Bay of Quinte in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Ryan Williams Conservative
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016) [1]	109,735
Electors (2021)	94,197
Area (km²) [2]	1,621.34
Pop. density (per km²)	67.7
Census division(s)	Hastings, Prince Edward
Census subdivision(s)	Belleville, Prince Edward, Quinte West

Bay of Quinte (French : Baie de Quinte) is a federal electoral district in central Ontario, Canada, centred on the Bay of Quinte.

Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. ^[3] It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%). ^[4]

Geography

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and that part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census ^[5]

Languages: 90.6% English, 2.3% French
Religions: 53.5% Christian (18.2% Catholic, 10.3% United Church, 6.7% Anglican, 1.6% Presbyterian, 1.6% Baptist, 1.3% Pentecostal, 13.8% Other), 43.5% None
Median income: $39,200 (2020)
Average income: $49,160 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Bay of Quinte (2011−2021)

Panethnic group	2021 [6]		2016 [7]		2011 [8]
	Pop.	%	Pop.	%	Pop.	%
European [lower-alpha 1]	101,070	88.85%	98,140	91.6%	99,690	93.16%
Indigenous	5,640	4.96%	4,830	4.51%	3,945	3.69%
South Asian	2,180	1.92%	870	0.81%	680	0.64%
African	1,445	1.27%	845	0.79%	835	0.78%
East Asian [lower-alpha 2]	1,095	0.96%	930	0.87%	910	0.85%
Southeast Asian [lower-alpha 3]	880	0.77%	630	0.59%	345	0.32%
Latin American	665	0.58%	385	0.36%	205	0.19%
Middle Eastern [lower-alpha 4]	315	0.28%	205	0.19%	210	0.2%
Other/multiracial [lower-alpha 5]	465	0.41%	310	0.29%	180	0.17%
Total responses	113,755	98.05%	107,140	97.64%	107,010	97.74%
Total population	116,016	100%	109,735	100%	109,488	100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years	Member		Party
Bay of Quinte Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West and Prince Edward—Hastings
42nd	2015–2019		Neil Ellis	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present		Ryan Williams	Conservative

Election results

Graph of election results in Bay of Quinte (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Ryan Williams	25,479	41.3	+4.5	$93,825.48
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	22,542	36.5	-2.6	$99,915.72
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,284	15.0	-1.0	$10,138.56
	People's	Janine LeClerc	3,045	4.9	+2.9	$4,474.11
	Green	Erica Charlton	1,350	2.2	-3.9	$6,273.82
Total valid votes			61,700
Total rejected ballots			405
Turnout			62,105	64.95
Eligible voters			95,615
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+5.6
Source: Elections Canada [9]

2021 federal election redistributed results [10]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	23,671	40.59
	Liberal	21,590	37.02
	New Democratic	8,897	15.25
	People's	2,878	4.93
	Green	1,286	2.20

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	24,099	39.16	-11.58	$96,721.36
	Conservative	Tim Durkin	22,650	36.80	+2.53	$55,922.84
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,851	16.01	+3.87	none listed
	Green	Danny Celovsky	3,740	6.08	+3.86	$592.37
	People's	Paul Bordonaro	1,207	1.96		none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			61,547	99.25
Total rejected ballots			464	0.75	+0.38
Turnout			62,011	65.83	-2.30
Eligible voters			94,197
	Liberal hold		Swing		-7.05
Source: Elections Canada [11] [12]

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	29,281	50.74	+29.86	$118,473.86
	Conservative	Jodie Jenkins	19,781	34.27	−17.53	$109,092.53
	New Democratic	Terry Cassidy	7,001	12.13	−10.88	$21,205.50
	Green	Rachel Nelems	1,278	2.21	−1.56	–
	Independent	Trueman Tuck	372	0.64	–	$4,425.20
Total valid votes/expense limit			57,713	99.64		$221,051.99
Total rejected ballots			211	0.36	–
Turnout			57,924	68.13	–
Eligible voters			85,021
	Liberal notional gain from Conservative		Swing		+23.69
Source: Elections Canada [13] [14]

2011 federal election redistributed results [15]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,906	51.81
	New Democratic	11,508	23.01
	Liberal	10,441	20.88
	Green	1,886	3.77
	Others	265	0.53

Notes

1. Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
2. Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
3. Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
4. Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
5. Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

References

1. Statistics Canada: 2017
2. Statistics Canada: 2017
3. Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
4. Final Report – Ontario
5. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Bay of Quinte [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
6. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
7. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
8. Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 25, 2023.
9. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada . Retrieved October 1, 2021.
10. "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada . Retrieved April 9, 2024.
11. "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
12. "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved May 5, 2021.
13. Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bay of Quinte, 30 September 2015
14. Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
15. Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

44°04′44″N77°17′42″W / 44.079°N 77.295°W / 44.079; -77.295