Canadian federal election results in Midwestern Ontario

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This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Midwestern Ontario, which is roughly from Woodstock to Milton, and from Lake Erie to Goderich.

Contents

Regional profile

Before the late 1950s, Midwestern Ontario had not leaned towards either the Progressive Conservatives (Tories) or the Liberals (Grits) on a regular basis as there was wide variation in each party's results from election to election. Since the late 1950s, however, it has been a primarily conservative-voting area. Even when the Liberals won every federal election except one from 1963 to 1980 inclusive, the Progressive Conservatives usually won the majority of seats in this region, and in the 1979 Progressive Conservative election plurality, the only seat the Tories did not win was won by the New Democrats (NDP). The NDP usually claimed one seat from the mid-1960s until the 1993 election, usually in the riding of Brant.

Vote splitting allowed the Liberals to win all of the seats in Midwestern Ontario from 1993 to 2000 in their province-wide sweeps, although one seat was lost to the Conservative Party (which replaced the Progressive Conservatives) in a 2003 by-election. The Conservatives picked up four more seats in the 2004 election, another in the 2006 election, and four more in 2008, leaving Guelph as the only non-Conservative seat in the region from 2008 to 2015. In the 2015 Liberal majority government win, the Conservatives still took one more seat in the area than the Liberals as they swept the rural areas.

The Conservatives are weaker in the larger cities of Kitchener-Waterloo and Guelph, partly because they have prominent universities (University of Waterloo, University of Guelph, Wilfrid Laurier University) with large student populations. The Liberals retained three of the four ridings in those cities by significant margins in 2006 despite the Conservatives forming the government, and won four of the five seats available there in the 2015 election, the exceptions in both elections being the partially rural Kitchener-Conestoga riding, although both wins in the riding were only narrow victories for the Conservatives. Even in the 2008 election victory by the Conservatives, the ridings of Kitchener Centre and Kitchener-Waterloo were only won by the Conservatives by less than 300 votes. The riding of the more suburban city of Cambridge has generally leaned Conservative dating back decades whereas the riding of Brant-Brantford has switched from being strongly NDP to Liberal to Conservative in the last three decades.

In 2019 the Greens were able to gain over 25 percent of the vote in two urban ridings, Guelph and Kitchener Centre. However, the Liberals held both seats by over a 10% margin.

2015

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeNDPLiberalGreenLibertarianOther
Brantford—Brant Phil McColeman
25,874
40.89%
Marc Laferriere
15,715
24.84%
Danielle Takacs
19,422
30.70%
Kevin Brandt
1,582
2.50%
Rob Ferguson
515
0.81%
The Engineer Turmel (Ind.)
164
0.26%
Phil McColeman
Brant
Cambridge Gary Goodyear
20,613
38.65%
Bobbi Stewart
7,397
13.87%
Bryan May
23,024
43.17%
Michele Braniff
1,723
3.23%
Manuel Couto (M-L)
108 0.20%
Gary Goodyear
Lee Sperduti (Ind.)
474 0.89%
Guelph Gloria Kovach
18,407
26.35%
Andrew Seagram
8,392
12.01%
Lloyd Longfield
34,303
49.10%
Gord Miller
7,909
11.32%
Alexander Fekri
520
0.74%
Tristan Dineen (Comm.)
144 0.21%
Frank Valeriote
Kornelis Klevering (Mar.)
193 0.28%
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley
24,714
44.14%
John Harris
7,625
13.62%
Joan Mouland
20,487
36.59%
Wayne Ettinger
1,857
3.32%
Leslie Bory (Ind.) [lower-alpha 1]
151 0.27%
Diane Finley
Dave Bylsma (CHP)
884 1.58%
Dustin Wakeford (Ind.)
272 0.49%
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb
26,174
44.94%
Gerard Creces
7,544
12.95%
Allan Thompson
23,129
39.71%
Jutta Splettstoesser
1,398
2.40%
Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth
15,872
30.36%
Susan Cadell
8,680
16.60%
Raj Saini
25,504
48.78%
Nicholas Wendler
1,597
3.05%
Slavko Miladinovic
515
0.99%
Julian Ichim (M-L)
112
0.21%
Stephen Woodworth
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht
20,649
43.29%
James Villeneuve
4,653
9.75%
Tim Louis
20,398
42.76%
Bob Jonkman
1,314
2.75%
Richard Hodgson
685
1.44%
Harold Albrecht
Kitchener South—Hespeler Marian Gagné
17,544
36.68%
Lorne Bruce
7,440
15.56%
Marwan Tabbara
20,215
42.27%
David Weber
1,767
3.69%
Nathan Lajeunesse
772
1.61%
Elaine Baetz (M-L)
91
0.19%
New District
Oxford Dave MacKenzie
25,966
45.67%
Zoe Kunschner
9,406
16.55%
Don McKay
18,299
32.19%
Mike Farlow
2,004
3.53%
Melody Ann Aldred (CHP)
1,175
2.07%
Dave MacKenzie
Perth Wellington John Nater
22,255
42.92%
Ethan Rabidoux
7,756
14.96%
Stephen McCotter
19,480
37.57%
Nicole Ramsdale
1,347
2.60%
Irma DeVries (CHP)
794 1.53%
Gary Schellenberger
Roger Fuhr (NA)
219 0.42%
Waterloo Peter Braid
19,318
32.28%
Diane Freeman
8,928
14.92%
Bardish Chagger
29,752
49.71%
Richard Walsh
1,713
2.86%
Emma Hawley-Yan (Animal All.)
138
0.23%
Peter Braid
Kitchener—Waterloo
Wellington—Halton Hills Michael Chong
32,482
50.90%
Anne Gajerski-Cauley
5,321
8.34%
Don Trant
23,279
36.48%
Brent Allan Bouteiller
2,547
3.99%
Harvey Edward Anstey (CAP)
183
0.29%
Michael Chong

2011

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeLiberalNDPGreenOther
Brant Phil McColeman
28,045
48.90%
Lloyd St. Amand
10,780
18.80%
Marc Laferriere
16,351
28.51%
Nora Fueten
1,858
3.24%
Leslie Bory (Ind.)
174 0.30%
Phil McColeman
Martin Sitko (Ind.)
138 0.24%
Cambridge Gary Goodyear
29,394
53.40%
Bryan May
8,285
15.05%
Susan Galvao
15,238
27.68%
Jacques Malette
1,978
3.59%
Manuel Couto (M-L)
153
0.28%
Gary Goodyear
Guelph Marty Burke
19,352
32.79%
Frank Valeriote
25,588
43.35%
Bobbi Stewart
9,880
16.74%
John Lawson
3,619
6.13%
Phillip Bender (Libert.)
192 0.33%
Frank Valeriote
Drew Garvie (Comm.)
104 0.18%
Kornelis Klevering (Mar.)
170 0.29%
Karen Levenson (AAEVP)
116 0.20%
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley
25,655
50.94%
Bob Speller
12,549
24.92%
Ian Nichols
10,062
19.98%
Anne Faulkner
1,665
3.31%
Steven Elgersma (CHP)
435
0.86%
Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb
29,255
54.95%
Charlie Bagnato
8,784
16.50%
Grant Robertson
13,493
25.34%
Eric Shelley
1,455
2.73%
Dennis Valenta (Ind.)
254
0.48%
Ben Lobb
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth
21,119
42.40%
Karen Redman
15,592
31.30%
Peter Thurley
10,742
21.57%
Byron Williston
1,972
3.96%
Mark Corbiere (M-L)
92 0.18%
Stephen Woodworth
Alan Rimmer (Ind.)
199 0.40%
Martin Suter (Comm.)
93 0.19%
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht
28,902
54.12%
Robert Rosehart
10,653
19.95%
Lorne Bruce
11,655
21.84%
Albert Ashley
2,184
4.09%
Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo Peter Braid
27,039
40.85%
Andrew Telegdi
24,895
37.62%
Bill Brown
10,606
16.03%
Cathy MacLellan
3,148
4.77%
Julian Ichim (M-L)
66 0.10%
Peter Braid
Steven Bradley Scott (Pirate)
245 0.37%
Richard Walsh-Bowers (Ind.)
174 0.26%
Oxford Dave MacKenzie
27,973
58.90%
Tim Lobzun
4,521
9.52%
Paul Arsenault
12,164
25.61%
Mike Farlow
2,058
4.33%
John Markus (CHP)
776
1.63%
Dave MacKenzie
Perth Wellington Gary Schellenberger
25,281
54.48%
Bob McTavish
8,341
17.98%
Ellen Papenburg
9,861
21.25%
John Cowling
2,112
4.55%
Irma N DeVries (CHP)
806
1.74%
Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills Michael Chong
35,132
63.70%
Barry Peters
9,034
16.38%
Anastasia Zavarella
7,146
12.96%
Brent Bouteiller
3,527
6.39%
Jeffrey Streutker (CHP)
316
0.57%
Michael Chong

2008

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeLiberalNDPGreenOther
Brant Phil McColeman
22,736
41.95%
Lloyd St. Amand
17,943
33.11%
Brian Van Tilborg
9,331
17.22%
Nora Fueten
3,814
7.04%
John G. Gots (CHP)
371
0.68%
Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge Gary Goodyear
24,895
48.63%
Gord Zeilstra
11,977
23.39%
Max Lombardi
10,044
19.62%
Scott Cosman
4,279
8.36%
Gary Goodyear
Guelph Gloria Kovach
17,186
29.18%
Frank Valeriote
18,974
32.22%
Tom King
9,713
16.49%
Mike Nagy
12,454
21.15%
Philip Bender (Libert.)
159 0.27%
Vacant
Manuel Couto (M-L)
29 0.05%
Drew Garvie (Comm.)
77 0.13%
Kornelis Klevering (Mar.)
166 0.28%
Karen Levenson (AAEVP)
73 0.12%
John Turmel (Ind.)
58 0.10%
Haldimand—Norfolk Diane Finley
19,657
40.83%
Eric Hoskins
15,577
32.35%
Ian Nichols
5,549
11.53%
Stephana Johnston
2,041
4.24%
Steven Elgersma (CHP)
501 1.04%
Diane Finley
Gary McHale (Ind.)
4,821 10.01%
Huron—Bruce Ben Lobb
22,182
44.77%
Greg McClinchey
16,336
32.97%
Tony McQuail
7,426
14.99%
Glen Smith
2,617
5.28%
Dave Joslin (CHP)
747 1.51%
Paul Steckle
Dennis Valenta (Ind.)
242 0.49%
Kitchener Centre Stephen Woodworth
16,480
36.70%
Karen Redman
16,141
35.94%
Oz Cole-Arnal
8,122
18.09%
John Bithell
3,823
8.51%
Amanda Lamka (Ind.)
215 0.48%
Karen Redman
Martin Suter (Comm.)
127 0.28%
Kitchener—Conestoga Harold Albrecht
23,525
49.32%
Orlando Da Silva
11,876
24.90%
Rod McNeil
7,173
15.04%
Jamie Kropf
5,124
10.74%
Harold Albrecht
Kitchener—Waterloo Peter Braid
21,830
36.06%
Andrew Telegdi
21,813
36.03%
Cindy Jacobsen
8,915
14.73%
Cathy MacLellan
7,326
12.10%
Mark Corbiere (Ind.)
107 0.18%
Andrew Telegdi
Jason Cousineau (Libert.)
333 0.55%
Kyle James Huntingdon (CAP)
105 0.17%
Ramon Portillo (Comm.)
105 0.17%
Oxford Dave MacKenzie
23,330
52.68%
Martha Dennis
8,586
19.39%
Diane Abbott
7,982
18.02%
Cathy Mott
3,355
7.58%
Shaun MacDonald (CHP)
1,036
2.34%
Dave MacKenzie
Perth Wellington Gary Ralph Schellenberger
20,765
48.09%
Sandra Gardiner
10,225
23.68%
Kerry McManus
7,334
16.98%
John Cowling
3,874
8.97%
Irma DeVries (CHP)
898 2.08%
Gary Schellenberger
Julian Ichim (M-L)
84 0.19%
Wellington—
Halton Hills
Michael Chong
29,191
57.63%
Bruce Bowser
11,312
22.33%
Noel Duignan
4,747
9.37%
Brent Bouteiller
4,987
9.85%
Jeffrey Streutker (CHP)
414
0.82%
Michael Chong

2006

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenChristian HeritageOther
Brant Lloyd St. Amand
22,077
36.95%
Phil McColeman
21,495
35.97%
Lynn Bowering
12,713
21.28%
Adam King
2,729
4.57%
John H. Wubs
526
0.88%
John C. Turmel (Ind.)
213
0.36%
Lloyd St. Amand
Cambridge Janko Peric
19,419
33.61%
Gary Goodyear
25,337
43.85%
Donna Reid
9,794
16.95%
Gareth White
3,017
5.22%
David M. Pelly (CAP)
217
0.38%
Gary Goodyear
Guelph Brenda Chamberlain
23,662
38.39%
Brent Barr
18,342
29.76%
Phil Allt
13,561
22.00%
Mike Nagy
5,376
8.72%
Peter Ellis
538
0.87%
Manuel Couto (M–L)
45 0.07%
Brenda Chamberlain
Scott Gilbert (Comm.)
111 0.18%
Haldimand—Norfolk Bob Speller
18,363
34.29%
Diane Finley
25,885
48.33%
Valya Roberts
6,858
12.80%
Carolyn Van Nort
1,894
3.54%
Steven Elgersma
559
1.04%
Diane Finley
Huron—Bruce Paul Steckle
21,260
39.84%
Ben Lobb
20,289
38.02%
Grant Robertson
8,696
16.30%
Victoria Serda
1,829
3.43%
Dave Joslin
1,019
1.91%
Dennis Valenta (Ind.)
270
0.51%
Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre Karen Redman
21,714
43.26%
Steven Cage
16,131
32.14%
Richard Walsh-Bowers
9,253
18.43%
Tony Maas
2,822
5.62%
Martin Suter (Comm.)
274
0.55%
Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga Lynn Myers
19,246
38.48%
Harold Glenn Albrecht
20,615
41.22%
Len Carter
7,445
14.89%
Kristine Yvonne Stapleton
2,706
5.41%
Lynn Myers
Kitchener—Waterloo Andrew Telegdi
31,136
46.85%
Ajmer Mandur
18,817
28.31%
Edwin Laryea
11,889
17.89%
Pauline Richards
4,298
6.47%
Julian Ichim (M–L)
144 0.22%
Andrew Telegdi
Ciprian Mihalcea (Ind.)
173 0.26%
Oxford Greig Mordue
13,961
28.08%
Dave MacKenzie
23,140
46.55%
Zoé Kunschner
8,639
17.38%
Ronnee Sykes
1,566
3.15%
John Markus
1,434
2.88%
James Bender (Mar.)
771 1.55%
Dave MacKenzie
Kaye Sargent (Libert.)
204 0.41%
Perth Wellington David Cunningham
12,301
25.79%
Gary Schellenberger
22,004
46.14%
Keith Dinicol
8,876
18.61%
John Day Cowling
3,117
6.54%
Irma DeVries
1,396
2.93%
Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills Rod Finnie
16,065
29.17%
Michael Chong
27,907
50.67%
Noel Paul Duignan
6,785
12.32%
Brent Bouteiller
3,362
6.10%
Carol Ann Krusky
606
1.10%
Mike Wisniewski (Ind.)
355
0.64%
Michael Chong

2004

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenChristian HeritageOther
Brant Lloyd St. Amand
20,455
38.05%
Greg Martin
17,792
33.10%
Lynn Bowering
11,826
22.00%
Helen-Anne Embry
2,738
5.09%
Barra L. Gots
570
1.06%
John C. Turmel (Ind.)
373
0.69%
Jane Stewart
Cambridge Janko Peric
18,899
36.65%
Gary Goodyear
19,123
37.09%
Gary Price
10,392
20.15%
Gareth M. White
2,506
4.86%
John G. Gots
395
0.77%
Alex W. Gryc (Ind.)
114 0.22%
Janko Peric
John Oprea (Ind.)
134 0.26%
Guelph Brenda Chamberlain
23,442
44.61%
Jon Dearden
13,721
26.11%
Phil Allt
10,527
20.03%
Mike Nagy
3,866
7.36%
Peter Ellis
634
1.21%
Manuel Couto (M-L)
66 0.13%
Brenda Chamberlain
Lyne Rivard (Mar.)
291 0.55%
Haldimand—Norfolk Bob Speller
19,336
38.84%
Diane Finley
20,981
42.15%
Carrie Sinkowski
7,143
14.35%
Colin Jones
1,703
3.42%
Steven Elgersma
617
1.24%
Bob Speller
Huron—Bruce Paul Steckle
25,538
49.79%
Barb Fisher
15,930
31.06%
Grant Robertson
6,707
13.08%
Dave Vasey
1,518
2.96%
Dave Joslin
958
1.87%
Glen Smith (Mar.)
638
1.24%
Paul Steckle
Kitchener Centre Karen Redman
21,264
47.13%
Thomas Ichim
12,412
27.51%
Richard Walsh-Bowers
8,717
19.32%
Karol Vesely
2,450
5.43%
Mark Corbiere (Ind.)
277
0.61%
Karen Redman
Kitchener—Conestoga Lynn Myers
17,819
42.29%
Frank Luellau
14,903
35.37%
Len Carter
6,623
15.72%
Kris Stapleton
2,793
6.63%
Lynn Myers
Kitchener—Waterloo Andrew Telegdi
28,015
48.12%
Steve Strauss
17,155
29.47%
Edwin Laryea
9,267
15.92%
Pauline Richards
3,277
5.63%
Frank Ellis
379
0.65%
Ciprian Mihalcea (Ind.)
124
0.21%
Andrew Telegdi
Oxford Murray Coulter
14,011
30.52%
Dave Mackenzie
20,606
44.89%
Zoé Dorcas Kunschner
6,673
14.54%
Irene Tietz
1,951
4.25%
Leslie Bartley
1,534
3.34%
James Bender (Mar.)
794 1.73%
John Finlay
Alex Kreider (CAP)
108 0.24%
Kaye Sargent (Libert.)
226 0.49%
Perth Wellington Brian Innes
15,032
33.42%
Gary Ralph Schellenberger
18,879
41.97%
Robert Roth
7,027
15.62%
John Cowling
2,770
6.16%
Irma Nicolette Devries
1,273
2.83%
Gary Schellenberger
Wellington—Halton Hills Bruce Hood
19,173
38.21%
Mike Chong
21,479
42.81%
Noel Duignan
5,974
11.91%
Brent Bouteiller
2,725
5.43%
Pat Woode
826
1.65%
new district

Notes

    1. Bory is leader of The Maple Party [1] which was ineligible to be on the ballot; he chose to be listed as an Independent.

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    This page lists results of Canadian federal elections in Southwestern Ontario.

    This page shows results of Canadian federal elections in Edmonton and the surrounding area.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">Results of the 2008 Canadian federal election</span> Results of the 40th Canadian federal election

    The 40th Canadian federal election was held on October 14, 2008.

    <span class="mw-page-title-main">Results of the 2011 Canadian federal election</span> Results of the 41st Canadian federal election

    The 41st Canadian federal election was held on May 2, 2011. It resulted in a Conservative majority government under the leadership of Prime Minister Stephen Harper. It was the third consecutive election win for Harper, and with 166 of 308 seats, giving them a majority government for the first time in their eight-year history. It was also the first right-of-centre majority government since the Progressive Conservatives won their last majority in 1988. The Conservative Party won 39.62% of the popular vote, an increase of 1.96%, and posted a net gain of 24 seats in the House of Commons.

    References

    1. Pearce, Daniel R. (4 September 2015). "Independent candidate leads own party". Simcoe Reformer. Canoe Sun Media Community Newspapers. Retrieved 22 September 2015.