Canadian federal election results in Brampton, Mississauga and Oakville

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This suburban area had leaned Progressive Conservative from 1979 until 1993 when it swung hard to the Liberals primarily due to the rapid growth of the Greater Toronto Area and high immigrant populations, just like the suburbs to the north of Toronto. After winning just one seat (Mississauga East) in 1988, the Liberals swept every seat in this region from 1993 to 2006. The new Conservative Party (replacing the Progressive Conservatives) won their first seats in the area in 2008, picking up Oakville and Mississauga—Erindale before sweeping the region when they formed a majority government in 2011. However, the Liberals swept the region in 2015, and again in 2019. In the 2021 Canadian federal election, the Liberals swept the region again, winning all seats with significant margins - allowing them a strong 160 seat minority.

Contents

In 2004, the Liberals won a majority of the vote in every Mississauga and Oakville-based seat, while winning just under 50% in each of the three Brampton-based seats. Their strongest riding was Mississauga East—Cooksville (57%), while their weakest seat was Brampton West (45%). In 2006, the Liberals won a majority of the votes in just three seats, with their strongest seat this time being Mississauga—Brampton South (54%) with their weakest seat being Oakville (43%), which they won by fewer than 800 votes. In 2008, the strongest Liberal seat was again Mississauga East—Cooksville, the only seat in the region where they won a majority of the vote (50%). In 2011 they were shut out of the region, but nearly won Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing it by fewer than 700 votes. In 2015, 2019 and 2021 Canadian federal elections, the Liberals won all ridings in Mississauga, Brampton, and Oakville.

The Conservatives came within 5 points of winning Brampton West, their best seat in 2004, thanks to star candidate Tony Clement. In 2006, their strongest seat was Oakville, which they nearly won. Oakville remained the Conservatives' best seat in 2008 and 2011. When they swept the region in 2011, Oakville was the only riding where they won a majority of the vote (54%). Thanks to a three-way vote split, the Conservatives still won Bramalea—Gore—Malton with just 34% of the vote.

The NDP has traditionally been very weak in the region. Thanks to a strong candidacy of Jagmeet Singh, the NDP placed second in Bramalea—Gore—Malton in 2011, with 33.5% of the vote, losing the riding by fewer than 600 votes.

2015

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeNDPLiberalGreenOther
Brampton Centre Bal Gosal
13,345
33.67%
Rosemary Keenan
5,993
15.12%
Ramesh Sangha
19,277
48.64%
Saul Marquard T. Bottcher
844
2.13%
Frank Chilelli (M-L)
173
0.44%
New District
Brampton East Naval Bajaj
10,642
23.54%
Harbaljit Singh Kahlon
10,400
23.01%
Raj Grewal
23,652
52.32%
Kyle Lacroix
512
1.13%
Bal Gosal
Bramalea—Gore—Malton
Brampton North Parm Gill
15,888
32.99%
Martin Singh
7,946
16.50%
Ruby Sahota
23,297
48.37%
Pauline Thornham
915
1.90%
Harinderpal Hundal (Comm.)
120
0.25%
Parm Gill
Brampton—Springdale
Brampton South Kyle Seeback
15,929
35.04%
Amarjit Sangha
4,843
10.65%
Sonia Sidhu
23,681
52.09%
Shaun Hatton
1,011
2.22%
New District
Brampton West Ninder Thind
13,068
30.11%
Adaoma Patterson
5,400
12.44%
Kamal Khera
24,256
55.89%
Karthika Gobinath
674
1.55%
Kyle Seeback
Mississauga Centre Julius Tiangson
17,431
33.62%
Farheen Khan
4,920
9.49%
Omar Alghabra
28,372
54.72%
Linh Nguyen
1,129
2.18%
New District
Mississauga East—Cooksville Wladyslaw Lizon
18,353
35.35%
Ali Naqvi
4,481
8.63%
Peter Fonseca
28,154
54.23%
Jaymini Bhikha
766
1.48%
Tim Sullivan (M-L)
163
0.31%
Wladyslaw Lizon
Mississauga—Erin Mills Bob Dechert
21,716
39.24%
Michelle Bilek
5,206
9.41%
Iqra Khalid
27,520
49.72%
Andrew Roblin
905
1.64%
Bob Dechert
Mississauga—Erindale
Mississauga—Lakeshore Stella Ambler
24,435
41.22%
Eric Guerbilsky
4,735
7.99%
Sven Spengemann
28,279
47.71%
Ariana Burgener
1,397
2.36%
Dagmar Sullivan (M-L)
111 0.19%
Stella Ambler
Mississauga South
Paul Woodworth (Libert.)
316 0.53%
Mississauga—Malton Jagdish Grewal [lower-alpha 1]
11,701
26.44%
Dianne Douglas
5,450
12.31%
Navdeep Bains
26,165
59.12%
Heather Mercer
737
1.67%
Naresh Tharani (Ind.)
203
0.46%
Eve Adams§
Mississauga—Brampton South
Mississauga—Streetsville Brad Butt
22,621
40.40%
Fayaz Karim
5,040
9.00%
Gagan Sikand
26,792
47.84%
Chris Hill
1,293
2.31%
Yegor Tarazevich (CHP)
253
0.45%
Brad Butt
Oakville Terence Young
27,497
42.50%
Che Marville
3,830
5.92%
John Oliver
31,956
49.39%
David Doel
1,420
2.19%
Terence Young
Oakville North—Burlington Effie Triantafilopoulos
26,342
43.33%
Janice Best
4,405
7.25%
Pam Damoff
28,415
46.74%
Adnan Shahbaz
968
1.59%
David Clement (Libert.)
666
1.10%
Lisa Raitt
Halton
  1. Jagdish Grewal was expelled by the Conservative Party on 6 October; because no changes could be made to the list of confirmed candidates after 28 September, he was still listed as the Conservative candidate on the ballot. [1]

2011

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeLiberalNDPGreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Bal Gosal
19,907
34.44%
Gurbax S. Malhi
16,402
28.38%
Jagmeet Singh
19,368
33.51%
John R.A. Moulton
1,748
3.02%
Frank Chilelli (M-L)
371
0.64%
Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Parm Gill
24,618
48.26%
Ruby Dhalla
14,221
27.88%
Manijit Grewal
10,022
19.65%
Mark Hoffberg
1,926
3.78%
Elizabeth Rowley (Comm.)
219
0.43%
Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Kyle Seeback
28,320
44.75%
Andrew Kania
22,128
34.97%
Jagtar Shergill
11,225
17.74%
Avtaar Soor
1,224
1.93%
Theodore Koum Njoh (Ind.)
387
0.61%
Andrew Kania
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Eve Adams
23,632
44.72%
Navdeep Bains
18,579
35.16%
Jim Glavan
9,465
17.91%
Benjamin Jonathon Ullysses Stone
1,044
1.98%
Tim Sullivan (M-L)
127
0.24%
Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Wladyslaw Lizon
18,796
39.97%
Peter Fonseca
18,120
38.53%
Waseem Ahmed
8,836
18.79%
Jaymini Bhikha
1,032
2.19%
Pierre Chénier (M-L)
241
0.51%
Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale Robert Dechert
29,793
46.95%
Omar Alghabra
21,541
33.95%
Michelle Bilek
10,327
16.27%
John Fraser
1,694
2.67%
Dagmar Sullivan (M-L)
99
0.16%
Bob Dechert
Mississauga South Stella Ambler
22,991
46.48%
Paul Szabo
18,393
37.18%
Farah Kalbouneh
6,354
12.85%
Paul Simas
1,532
3.10%
Richard Barrett (Ind.)
194
0.39%
Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Brad Butt
22,104
43.86%
Bonnie Crombie
18,651
37.01%
Aijaz Naqvi
7,834
15.55%
Chris Hill
1,802
3.58%
Bonnie Crombie
Oakville Terence Young
30,068
51.65%
Max Khan
17,890
30.73%
James Ede
8,117
13.94%
Andrew Chlobowski
2,140
3.68%
Terence Young

2008

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
ConservativeLiberalNDPGreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Stella Ambler
18,353
37.13%
Gurbax S. Malhi
22,272
45.06%
Jash Puniya
5,945
12.03%
Mark Pajot
2,551
5.16%
Frank Chilelli (M-L)
309
0.63%
Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Parm Gill
17,804
39.33%
Ruby Dhalla
18,577
41.04%
Mani Singh
5,238
11.57%
Dave Finlay
3,516
7.77%
Dimitrios Kabitsis (Comm.)
135
0.30%
Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Kyle Seeback
21,515
39.90%
Andrew Kania
21,746
40.33%
Jagtar Shergill
7,334
13.60%
Patti Chmelyk
3,329
6.17%
Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—
Brampton South
Salma Ataullahjan
14,664
32.96%
Navdeep Bains
21,220
47.69%
Karan Pandher
5,268
11.84%
Grace Yogaretnam
2,947
6.62%
Tim Sullivan (M-L)
395
0.89%
Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Melissa Bhagat
13,277
32.56%
Albina Guarnieri
20,457
50.16%
Satish Balasunderam
4,632
11.36%
Jaymini Bhikha
2,138
5.24%
Pierre Chénier (M-L)
277
0.68%
Albina Guarnieri
Mississauga—Erindale Bob Dechert
23,863
42.71%
Omar Alghabra
23,466
42.00%
Mustafa Rizvi
4,774
8.55%
Richard Pietro
3,636
6.51%
Dagmar Sullivan (M-L)
129
0.23%
Omar Alghabra
Mississauga South Hugh Arrison
18,366
39.59%
Paul Szabo
20,518
44.22%
Matt Turner
4,104
8.85%
Richard Laushway
3,407
7.34%
Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan
16,985
35.80%
Bonnie Crombie
21,710
45.76%
Keith Pinto
4,710
9.93%
Otto Casanova
3,179
6.70%
Ralph Bunag (Ind.)
426 0.90%
Wajid Khan
Viktor Spanovic (Ind.)
431 0.91%
Oakville Terence Young
26,011
46.98%
M.A. Bonnie Brown
20,528
37.08%
Michelle Bilek
4,143
7.48%
Blake Poland
4,681
8.46%
Bonnie Brown

2006

edit
Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Gurbax S. Malhi
25,348
50.68%
John Sprovieri
16,367
32.73%
Cesar Martello
6,343
12.68%
Ernst Braendli
1,721
3.44%
Frank Chilelli (M-L)
233
0.47%
Gurbax Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Ruby Dhalla
22,294
47.34%
Sam Hundal
14,492
30.77%
Anna Mather
8,345
17.72%
Ian Raymond Chiocchio
1,853
3.93%
Upali Jinadasa Wannaku Rallage (Comm.)
110
0.23%
Ruby Dhalla
Brampton West Colleen Beaumier
27,988
49.12%
Bal Gosal
20,345
35.70%
Jagtar Singh Shergill
6,310
11.07%
Jaipaul Massey-Singh
2,340
4.11%
Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—Brampton South Navdeep Bains
27,370
53.94%
Arnjeet Sangha
15,605
30.75%
Nirvan Balkissoon
5,521
10.88%
Grace Yogaretnam
1,927
3.80%
Tim Sullivan (M-L)
319
0.63%
Navdeep Bains
Mississauga East—Cooksville Albina Guarnieri
23,530
51.65%
Carl DeFaria
14,326
31.45%
Jim Gill
5,180
11.37%
Rich Pietro
1,393
3.06%
Pierre Chénier (M-L)
164 0.36%
Albina Guarnieri
Mohamed Elrofaie (Ind.)
496 1.09%
Sally Wong (CHP)
467 1.03%
Mississauga—Erindale Omar Alghabra
26,852
44.81%
Bob Dechert
23,524
39.26%
Rupinder Brar
6,644
11.09%
Adam Hunter
2,613
4.36%
Ronnie Amyotte (Ind.)
289
0.48%
Carolyn Parrish
Mississauga South Paul Szabo
23,018
44.17%
Phil Green
20,888
40.09%
Mark de Pelham
5,607
10.76%
Brendan Tarry
2,393
4.59%
Paul D.J. McMurray (CAP)
129 0.25%
Paul Szabo
Dagmar Sullivan (M-L)
74 0.14%
Mississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan
23,913
45.95%
Raminder Gill
18,121
34.82%
James Caron
6,929
13.31%
Otto Casanova
2,334
4.48%
Peter Creighton (PC)
747
1.44%
Wajid Khan
Oakville M. A. Bonnie Brown
25,892
43.35%
Terence Young
25,148
42.10%
Tina Agrell
5,815
9.74%
Laura Domsy
2,872
4.81%
Bonnie Brown

2004

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
LiberalConservativeNDPGreenOther
Bramalea—Gore—Malton Gurbax S. Malhi
20,394
49.54%
Raminder Gill
12,594
30.59%
Fernando Miranda
6,113
14.85%
Sharleen McDowall
1,832
4.45%
Frank Chilelli (M-L)
237
0.58%
Gurbax S. Malhi
Brampton—Springdale Ruby Dhalla @
19,385
47.73%
Sam Hundal1
11,182
27.53%
Kathy Pounder
8,038
19.79%
Nick Hudson
1,927
4.74%
Gurdev Singh Mattu (Comm.)
86
0.21%
Sarkis Assadourian
Brampton West Colleen Beaumier
21,254
45.30%
Tony Clement
18,768
40.00%
Chris Moise
4,920
10.49%
Sanjeev Goel
1,603
3.42%
Tom Bose (Ind.)
371
0.79%
Colleen Beaumier
Mississauga—Brampton South Navdeep Bains
24,753
57.16%
Parvinder Sandhu
10,433
24.09%
Larry Taylor
6,411
14.80%
Paul Simas
1,525
3.52%
David Gershuny (M-L)
185
0.43%
new district
Mississauga East—Cooksville Albina Guarnieri
22,435
56.70%
Riina DeFaria
10,299
26.03%
Jim Gill
4,619
11.67%
Jason Robert Hinchliffe
1,167
2.95%
Pierre Chénier (M-L)
154 0.39%
Albina Guarnieri
Andrew Seitz (Ind.)
114 0.29%
Sally Wong (CHP)
778 1.97%
Mississauga—Erindale Carolyn Parrish
28,246
54.37%
Bob Dechert
16,600
31.95%
Simon Black
5,104
9.82%
Jeff Brownridge
1,855
3.57%
David Greig (M-L)
145
0.28%
Carolyn Parrish
merged district
Steve Mahoney§
Mississauga South Paul John Mark Szabo
24,628
51.67%
Phil Green
16,027
33.62%
Michael James Culkin
5,004
10.50%
Neeraj Jain
1,899
3.98%
Dagmar Sullivan (M-L)
107
0.22%
Paul Szabo
Mississauga—Streetsville Wajid Khan
22,768
50.56%
Nina Tangri
14,287
31.73%
Manjinder Rai
4,266
9.47%
Otto Casanova
2,415
5.36%
Peter Gibson Creighton (PC)
1,293
2.87%
new district
Oakville M.A. Bonnie Brown
28,729
52.01%
Rick Byers
19,524
35.35%
Alison Myrden
4,027
7.29%
Tania Orton
2,861
5.18%
Zeshan Shahbaz (CAP)
95
0.17%
Bonnie Brown

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References

  1. Thibedeau, Hannah (7 October 2015). "Expelled Conservative Jagdish Grewal says he's not homophobic". CBC News. CBC/Radio-Canada. Retrieved 8 October 2015.

Notes