Available in | English |
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Founded | 2017 |
Country of origin | Canada |
Founder(s) | Philippe J. Fournier |
URL | 338canada 338canada |
338Canada is a Canadian political forecasting and commentary website that was founded in 2017. The website provides projections for Canadian elections, as well as French and American presidential elections.
338Canada was founded by Philippe J. Fournier in 2017 as an electoral statistics and projections website. [1] In 2020 and 2024, the site produced projections for the 2020 United States presidential election and the 2024 United States presidential election. [2] [3] In 2025, the site gives the Conservative Party of Canada a >99% chance to win the 2025 Canadian federal election. [4] Fournier called the 2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election a "disaster for the Liberals." [5]
The site creates federal projections, as well as projections for province-level ridings. [6] Overall, the site has a 89.7% projection rate across 17 total provincial and federal elections, with the most accurate projection being in the 2024 Nova Scotia general election. [7] [8]
Scott A. Brison is a former Canadian politician from Nova Scotia. Brison served as the Member of Parliament (MP) for the riding of Kings-Hants from the 1997 federal election until July 2000, then from November 2000 to February 2019. He was the first openly gay MP to sit as a member of the Progressive Conservative Party. In 2003, just days after the Progressive Conservatives and the more socially conservative Canadian Alliance voted to merge into the Conservative Party of Canada, Brison crossed the floor to join the Liberal Party.
Robert Lorne Stanfield was a Canadian politician who served as the 17th premier of Nova Scotia from 1956 to 1967 and the leader of the Official Opposition and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada from 1967 to 1976.
Justin Pierre James Trudeau is a Canadian politician who has been the 23rd and current prime minister of Canada since 2015 and the leader of the Liberal Party since 2013.
Rodger Trueman Cuzner is a Canadian politician and diplomat who currently serves as a Senator for Nova Scotia in the Senate of Canada. He previously served as the Member of Parliament in the House of Commons of Canada for the riding of Cape Breton—Canso and its predecessor, Bras d'Or—Cape Breton, from 2000 to 2019. For most of 2003, he served as Parliamentary Secretary to the Prime Minister under Jean Chrétien, and served as Parliamentary Secretary for Employment, Workforce Development and Labour in the Justin Trudeau government. Between 2020 and 2023, Cuzner served as the Consul General of Canada to the United States (Boston).
Richmond Centre is a provincial electoral district for the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia, Canada. Located in the central portion of the city of Richmond, the riding was created in 1988, and elected its first member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) at the 1991 provincial election. It was split into Richmond North Centre and Richmond South Centre following the 2015 British Columbia electoral redistribution.
Robert Lawrence Chisholm is a former trade unionist and politician from Nova Scotia, Canada. He represented the Halifax Atlantic riding in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly from 1991 to 2003. He succeeded Alexa McDonough as leader of the Nova Scotia New Democratic Party (NDP) in 1996. He served as the leader of the Official Opposition in the Nova Scotia Legislature from 1998 to 1999. He subsequently founded a consulting firm, was co-chair of the 2010–11 United Way of Halifax Region campaign, and sat on the Board of Governors of Dalhousie University. On May 2, 2011, Chisholm was elected as the Member of Parliament for the Dartmouth—Cole Harbour riding in Nova Scotia. As a member of the Official Opposition, he served as the Critic for Fisheries and Oceans and Deputy Critic for Employment Insurance until his defeat in the 2015 election.
The New Democratic Party is a federal political party in Canada. Widely described as social democratic, the party sits at the centre-left to left-wing of the Canadian political spectrum, with the party generally sitting to the left of the Liberal Party. The party was founded in 1961 by the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) and the Canadian Labour Congress (CLC).
Peter Ross Landry is a retired Canadian police officer and politician.
The 2015 Canadian federal election was held on October 19, 2015, to elect the 338 members of the House of Commons of the 42nd Parliament of Canada.
Kenneth Joseph McDonald is a Canadian politician who has been the member of Parliament (MP) for the riding of Avalon since 2015, and the former mayor of Conception Bay South, the second largest municipality in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador.
Sean Simon Andrew Fraser is a Canadian politician who served in many cabinet positions in Justin Trudeau's cabinet from 2015 to 2024. Previously, he had served as the minister of immigration, refugees and citizenship from October 26, 2021, to July 26, 2023. A member of the Liberal Party, Fraser has represented the riding of Central Nova in the House of Commons since 2015.
François-Philippe Champagne is a Canadian politician who has been Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry since 2021. He was formerly the Minister of Foreign Affairs from 2019 to 2021. He was elected to represent the riding of Saint-Maurice—Champlain in the House of Commons in the 2015 election for the Liberal Party. He became Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry on January 12, 2021, after a cabinet reshuffle.
Richmond-Bridgeport is a provincial electoral district for the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia, Canada.
Mainstreet Research is a Canadian market research and polling firm with headquarters in Toronto, and offices in Montreal and Ottawa. The company was founded in 2010 by Quito Maggi, who currently serves as its president. Mainstreet Research conducts regular Canadian national, regional, and municipal public polling and private market and public opinion research. Their data is reported by various media organizations. In a comparison of polling results with election results, Mainstreet was ranked fourth in Canada by polling analyst Philippe J. Fournier.
Jaime Battiste is a Canadian politician who was elected to represent the riding of Sydney—Victoria in the House of Commons of Canada as a member of the Liberal Party in the 2019 Canadian federal election. He is the first Mi'kmaw Member of Parliament in Canada.
Karina Gould is a Canadian politician who has been the leader of the Government in the House of Commons since July 26, 2023. A member of the Liberal Party, she has served as member of Parliament (MP) for the riding of Burlington in the House of Commons since October 19, 2015. Gould was first appointed to Cabinet on February 1, 2017, as the minister of Democratic Institutions, serving in the role until she was appointed as the minister of International Development on November 20, 2019, and has since then served in two other portfolios. Gould is the youngest woman to serve as a Cabinet minister in Canadian history, and the first woman to give birth while serving as a federal minister. Gould went on maternity leave in January 2024 and was temporarily replaced as House Leader by Steven MacKinnon; she returned to the position in July 2024.
The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act, which requires federal elections to be held on the third Monday in October in the fourth calendar year after the polling day of the previous election. In addition to the statutory fixed election date provisions, Canada has a constitutional requirement specified in both section 50 of the Constitution Act, 1867 and section 4 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms that elections for the House of Commons must be called no more than five years after the writs for the preceding election are returned.
Trevor Boudreau is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly in the 2021 Nova Scotia general election. He represents the riding of Richmond as a member of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia.
By-elections to the 44th Canadian Parliament may be held to fill vacancies in the House of Commons of Canada between the 2021 federal election and the 2025 federal election. The 44th Canadian Parliament has existed since 2021 with the membership of its House of Commons having been determined by the results of the 44th Canadian federal election held on September 20, 2021. The Liberal Party of Canada has a minority government during this Parliament, supported by the New Democratic Party in a confidence-and-supply agreement. The Conservative Party of Canada forms the Official Opposition.
A political crisis emerged in Canada after Chrystia Freeland, the minister of finance and deputy prime minister, resigned from Cabinet on 16 December 2024. The events "sent shockwaves" through Canadian politics, leading to calls for Trudeau to resign. On 6 January 2025, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his pending resignation as leader of the Liberal Party and as the Prime Minister of Canada. He also asked the governor-general to prorogue Parliament until March.