338Canada

Last updated
338Canada
Available inEnglish
Founded2017
Country of originCanada
Founder(s) Philippe J. Fournier
URL 338canada.com
338canada.ca

338Canada is a Canadian political forecasting and commentary website that was founded in 2017. The website provides projections for Canadian elections, as well as French and American presidential elections.

Contents

History

338Canada was founded by Philippe J. Fournier in 2017 as an electoral statistics and projections website. [1] In 2020 and 2024, the site produced projections for the 2020 United States presidential election and the 2024 United States presidential election. [2] [3] In 2025, the site gives the Conservative Party of Canada a >99% chance to win the 2025 Canadian federal election. [4] Fournier called the 2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election a "disaster for the Liberals." [5]

Projections

The site creates federal projections, as well as projections for province-level ridings. [6] Overall, the site has a 89.7% projection rate across 17 total provincial and federal elections, with the most accurate projection being in the 2024 Nova Scotia general election. [7] [8]

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References

  1. "Philippe J. Fournier". POLITICO. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  2. "A final 338Canada U.S. election projection: Where the race will be won or lost". Maclean's. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  3. "Donald Trump's potential path to victory: 338Canada". Maclean’s. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  4. "'Trudeau can't go on like this': Why Canada's PM is under growing pressure to quit". The Times of India. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  5. "Canada's Trudeau to stay in office after special election 'disaster'". Reuters. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  6. "Richmond ridings projected by 338Canada.com". Richmond News. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  7. "Federal polls show Conservative wave sweeping much of Nova Scotia". PNI Atlantic News. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
  8. "The Record So Far". 338Canada. Retrieved 15 January 2025.