Opinion polling for the next Japanese general election

In the run up to the Next Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 27 October 2024, to the present day.

Pollsters

The following table shows the pollsters who conduct opinion polls in Japan:

Pollster	Database
ANN	https://www.tv-asahi.co.jp/hst/poll/
Asahi	https://www.asahi.com/yoron/database/
Jiji Press	https://www.jiji.co.jp/service/yoron/
JNN	https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/list/search?fulltext=JNN世論調査
Kyodo News [a]	https://www.chunichi.co.jp/digican/shuin2024_yoron
Mainichi	https://mainichi.jp/opinion-research
SSRC	https://ssrc.jp/research/
NHK	https://www.nhk.or.jp/senkyo/shijiritsu/
Nikkei	https://vdata.nikkei.com/newsgraphics/cabinet-approval-rating/
TV Tokyo	https://txbiz.tv-tokyo.co.jp/search/detail?search_word=テレ東･日経世論調査
Sankei	https://www.sankei.com/politics/poll/
FNN	https://www.fnn.jp/subcategory/opinion_poll
Senkyo.com	https://go2senkyo.com/research/
Yomiuri	https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/election/yoron-chosa/
NNN	https://www.ntv.co.jp/yoron/

Party identification

2025

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP	CDP	DPFP	Ishin	Komei	Reiwa	JCP	DIY	CPJ	SDP	Others	No party	Und./ no ans.	Lead
7–9 Feb	NHK [1]	1,212	31.3	9.2	6.8	3.2	3.5	2.1	2.2	0.5	1	0.8	0.2 [b]	32.8	6.5	1.5
1–2 Feb	JNN [2]	1,010	24.7	6.4	8.1	3.1	3.4	4.2	1.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.4	41.9	4.6	17.2
25–26 Jan	ANN [3]	1,030	35.3	10.9	9.3	4.6	3.8	4.5	3.1	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.8	22.5	3	12.8
25–26 Jan	Kyodo News [4]	1,064	29.6	10.7	14.4	5.4	4.4	4.6	3.7	1.4	1.3	0.6	0.8 [c]	19.3	3.8	10.3
24–26 Jan	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [5] [6]	946	33	10	14	6	3	4	2	1	1	0	–	20	6	13
18–19 Jan	Asahi [7]	1,103	23	7	12	3	4	3	3	1	0	0	–	37	7	14
18–19 Jan	Sankei/FNN [8] [9]	1,005	29.4	10.1	7.2	2.5	2.8	3.5	2.2	0.8	1.1	0.3	–	37	3.1	7.6
18–19 Jan	Mainichi/SSRC [10]	2,042	20	11	15	5	2	4	2	1	2	0	–	38	–	18
17–19 Jan	Yomiuri/NNN [11] [12]	1,015	28	5	13	3	4	4	2	1	1	0	–	34	4	6
11–13 Jan	NHK [13]	1,211	30.5	8.1	6.4	3.6	2.7	2.1	1.3	0.3	1.1	0.3	0.3 [d]	37.8	5.4	7.3
10–13 Jan	Jiji Press [14]	1,180	17.3	5.1	6.6	2.8	3.6	1.7	1.4	0.3	0.5	0.3	–	57.3	3.1	40
11–12 Jan	Senkyo.com/JX [15]	996	26.8	17	5.7	4.8	4.1	3.2	6	0.7	1.8	0.7	0.1 [e]	29	–	2.2
4–5 Jan	JNN [16]	1,018	26.2	8.2	11	2.5	3.2	3.6	2.1	1.2	0.8	0.4	–	37.4	3.4	11.2

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP	CDP	DPFP	Ishin	Komei	Reiwa	JCP	DIY	CPJ	SDP	Others	No party	Und./ no ans.	Lead
20–22 Dec	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [17] [18]	774	32	9	14	5	3	3	3	1	1	1	–	24	3	8
14–15 Dec	Senkyo.com/JX [19]	996	26.8	17.2	5.7	4.8	2.9	1.8	3.8	1	2.5	1.3	0.2 [f]	31.9	–	5.1
14–15 Dec	Asahi [20]	1,049	24	9	11	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	35	7	11
14–15 Dec	Sankei/FNN [21] [22]	1,020	28.1	9	11.3	3.2	2.4	2.8	3.5	0.7	0.5	0.6	–	36.9	1	8.8
14–15 Dec	Mainichi/SSRC [23]	2,045	20	11	13	5	2	4	2	1	2	0	–	38	2	18
14–15 Dec	Kyodo News [24]	1,056	29.1	11.3	12.6	5	2.3	5	2.7	1.8	2.1	0.6	1.2 [g]	22.5	3.8	6.6
13–15 Dec	Yomiuri/NNN [25] [26]	1,018	24	8	12	4	5	3	2	0	0	0	–	36	4	12
6–9 Dec	Jiji Press [27]	1,152	19.1	6.7	5.7	2.5	4.3	1.6	1.5	0.6	0.6	0.4	–	54.6	2.4	35.5
6–9 Dec	NHK [28]	1,224	28.7	8.7	7.9	3.4	2.5	1.6	2.7	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.1	35.6	6.7	6.9
7–8 Dec	ANN [29]	1,017	35.2	13.9	10.6	5.2	2.4	2.4	3.2	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.9	19.8	4.1	15.4
30 Nov – 1 Dec	JNN [30]	1,003	28.2	8.5	8.8	4	3.3	2.9	2.2	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.6	35.6	4	7.4
1 Dec	Hirofumi Yoshimura and Seiji Maehara succeed Nobuyuki Baba as leaders of Ishin. [31]
23–24 Nov	Mainichi/SSRC [32]	1,919	21	12	13	5	3	4	2	1	2	1	–	38	–	17
16–17 Nov	Kyodo News [33]	1,021	30.5	15.1	9	4.4	3.9	6.9	2.5	2.5	1.6	0.3	0.6 [h]	20.9	1.8	9.6
16–17 Nov	Senkyo.com/JX [34]	1,003	26.9	16.0	5.6	4.3	4.2	2.5	5.1	1.0	1.7	0.9	–	31.9	–	5.0
15–17 Nov	NHK [35]	1,213	30.1	11.4	7.4	3.6	3.8	1.4	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.5	0.2	31.6	6.1	1.5
15–17 Nov	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37]	800	30	16	11	5	4	4	5	2	1	1	–	19	2	11
11–12 Nov	Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39]	1,054	30	11	10	3	3	4	2	1	1	0	–	30	4	Tie
11 Nov	The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
8–11 Nov	Jiji Press [40]	1,190	20	7.5	5.5	2.6	4.1	1.6	1.1	0.5	0.8	0.3	–	52.7	3.3	32.7
9–10 Nov	ANN [41]	1,025	36.6	15.8	8.9	4.1	4.8	2.8	3.7	1	1.4	0.4	0.6	15.8	4.2	20.8
9 Nov	Tetsuo Saito succeeds Keiichi Ishii as President of Komeito. [42]
2–3 Nov	Asahi [43]	980	26	13	10	2	3	3	2	1	1	0	–	29	10	3
2–3 Nov	Sankei/FNN [44] [45]	1,012	25.8	13.7	10.1	5.3	3.7	2.8	3.5	3	1.6	0.4	–	28.3	1.8	2.5
1–2 Nov	JNN [46]	1,020	24.6	12.8	9.1	4.0	3.7	3.6	2.5	0.9	0.2	0.8	0.2	31.8	5.8	7.2
28–29 Oct	Yomiuri/NNN [47] [48]	1,068	25	14	7	5	4	4	3	2	1	1	–	31	3	6
28–29 Oct	Kyodo News [49]	1,063	31.8	20.3	9.8	5.3	3.4	6.7	2.1	1.7	1.7	0.6	–	15	1.6	11.5
27 Oct	Election results	53.84% [i]	26.7	21.2	11.3	9.4	10.9	7	6.2	3.4	2.1	1.7	–	–	–	5.5

Voting intention (party vote)

2025

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP	CDP	DPFP	Ishin	Komei	Reiwa	JCP	DIY	CPJ	SDP	Others	None/Und.	No ans.	Lead
25–26 Jan	Kyodo News [4]	1,064	26	12.9	14.9	5.8	3.8	4.4	4.1	1	1.4	0.3	0.4 [j]	25		1
24–26 Jan	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [5] [6]	946	32	13	15	8	3	5	3	2	2	1	–	11	8	17
18–19 Jan	Asahi [7]	1,103	25	15	15	8	6	6	3	1	1	2	2	16	–	9
18–19 Jan	Mainichi/SSRC [10]	2,042	17	14	16	6	2	4	2	1	2	0	1	35	–	18
11–12 Jan	Senkyo.com/JX [15]	996	27	21.2	8.8	8	4.5	4.2	7	1.3	2.2	0.8	2 [k]	12.9	–	5.8

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP	CDP	DPFP	Ishin	Komei	Reiwa	JCP	DIY	CPJ	SDP	Others	None/Und.	No ans.	Lead
14–15 Dec	Senkyo.com/JX [19]	996	23.8	22.7	10.3	9.1	4.5	2.7	5.3	1.5	2	1.5	1.3 [l]	15.2	–	1.1
16–17 Nov	Senkyo.com/JX [34]	1,003	26.3	21.0	10.8	7.8	5.3	2.7	6.4	1.9	2.6	0.7	2.1 [m]	12.5	–	5.3
27 Oct	Election results	53.84% [i]	26.7	21.2	11.3	9.4	10.9	7	6.2	3.4	2.1	1.7	–	–	–	5.5

Preferred coalition

2025

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP–Komei–led coalition		CDP–led coalition [n]	Other	Und./ no ans.
18–19 Jan	Asahi [7]	1,103	34		51	–	15
17–19 Jan	Yomiuri/NNN [11] [12]	1,015	41		40	–	19

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	LDP–Komei–led coalition		CDP–led coalition [o]	Other	Und./ no ans.
13–15 Dec	Yomiuri/NNN [25] [26]	1,018	41		41	–	18
15–17 Nov	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37]	800	42 [p]		13 [q]	31 [r]	14
11–12 Nov	Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39]	1,054	44		37	–	19
8–11 Nov	Jiji Press [40]	1,190	40.7		32.7	–	26.6
9–10 Nov	ANN [41]	1,025	50		34	–	17
2–3 Nov	Asahi [43]	980	43		32	–	25
1–2 Nov	JNN [46]	1,020	44		41	–	15
28–29 Oct	Yomiuri/NNN [47] [48]	1,068	43		40	–	17
28–29 Oct	Kyodo News [49]	1,063	37.4 [s]		24.6	31.6 [t]	6.4

Preferred prime minister

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Ishiba LDP	Noda CDP	Tamaki DPFP	Baba Ishin	Saito Komei	Yamamoto Reiwa	Tamura JCP	Others	NOT/ UD/NA
9–10 Nov	ANN [41]	1,025	37	15	9	1	1	5	1	20	13
2–3 Nov	Sankei/FNN [44] [45]	1,012	46.1	17.4	10.2	2.7	–	–	–	–	23.6
1–2 Nov	JNN [46]	1,020	50	35	–	–	–	–	–	–	15

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

2025

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Prime Minister	Approve	Disapprove	Und. / no answer	Lead
7–9 Feb	NHK [1]	1,212	Shigeru Ishiba	43.8	34.6	21.6	9.2
1–2 Feb	JNN [2]	1,010		37.1	59.7	3.2	22.6
21–27 Jan	Morning Consult	N/A		24.6	54	21.4	29.4
25–26 Jan	ANN [3]	1,030		36.2	41.3	22.5	5.1
25–26 Jan	Kyodo News [4]	1,064		35.7	49.2	15.1	13.5
24–26 Jan	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [5] [6]	946		43	50	7	7
18–19 Jan	Asahi [7]	1,103		33	51	16	18
18–19 Jan	Sankei/FNN [8] [9]	1,005		43.5	48.7	7.8	5.2
18–19 Jan	Mainichi/SSRC [10]	2,042		28	53	19	25
17–19 Jan	Yomiuri/NNN [11] [12]	1,015		40	46	14	6
11–13 Jan	NHK [13]	1,211		38.7	39.8	21.5	1.1
10–13 Jan	Jiji Press [14]	1,180		28.2	40.3	31.5	8.8
11–12 Jan	Senkyo.com/JX [15]	996		36 [u]	33.9 [v]	30.1	2.1
2–8 Jan	Morning Consult	N/A		24.5	54	21.5	29.5
4–5 Jan	JNN [16]	1,018		41.4	55.2	3.4	13.8

2024

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	Sample size	Prime Minister	Approve	Disapprove	Und. / no answer	Lead
20–22 Dec	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [17] [18]	774	Shigeru Ishiba	41	51	8	10
14–15 Dec	Senkyo.com/JX [19]	996		34.4 [w]	35.9 [x]	29.7	1.5
14–15 Dec	Asahi [20]	1,049		36	43	21	7
14–15 Dec	Sankei/FNN [21] [22]	1,020		45.9	47.7	6.4	1.8
14–15 Dec	Mainichi/SSRC [23]	2,045		30	53	17	23
14–15 Dec	Kyodo News [24]	1,056		36.5	43.1	20.4	6.6
13–15 Dec	Yomiuri/NNN [25] [26]	1,018		39	48	13	9
6–9 Dec	Jiji Press [27]	1,152		26.8	41.3	31.9	9.4
6–9 Dec	NHK [28]	1,224		37.7	38.3	24	0.6
7–8 Dec	ANN [29]	1,017		38.5	39.8	21.6	1.3
26 Nov – 2 Dec	Morning Consult	N/A		24.4	53.5	22.1	29.1
30 Nov – 1 Dec	JNN [30]	1,003		42.1	52.4	5.5	10.3
23–24 Nov	Mainichi/SSRC [32]	1,919		31	50	20	19
16–17 Nov	Kyodo News [33]	1,021		40	38.8	21.2	1.2
16–17 Nov	Senkyo.com/JX [34]	1,003		39.7 [y]	29.9 [z]	30.5	9.8
15–17 Nov	NHK [35]	1,213		40.8	37	22.2	3.8
15–17 Nov	Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37]	800		46	46	8	Tie
11–12 Nov	Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39]	1,054		43	42	15	1
11 Nov	The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed.
8–11 Nov	Jiji Press [40]	1,190	Shigeru Ishiba	28.7	38.3	33	5.3
9–10 Nov	ANN [41]	1,025		38.3	37.3	24.4	1
29 Oct – 4 Nov	Morning Consult	N/A		23	53.4	23.6	29.8
2–3 Nov	Asahi [43]	980		34	47	19	13
2–3 Nov	Sankei/FNN [44] [45]	1,012		43.8	49.8	6.4	6
1–2 Nov	JNN [46]	1,020		38.9	57.3	3.8	18.4
28–29 Oct	Yomiuri/NNN [47] [48]	1,068		34	51	15	17
28–29 Oct	Kyodo News [49]	1,063		32.1	52.2	15.7	20.1

See also

• Opinion polling for the 2024 Japanese general election
• Opinion polling for the 2021 Japanese general election

Notes

1. Database from Chunichi Shimbun.
2. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%
3. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 0.5%
4. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.2%
5. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%
6. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%
7. The Collaborative Party: 0.4%; Others: 0.8%
8. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 0.4%
9. Election turnout.
10. The Collaborative Party: 0.1%; Others: 0.3%
11. The Collaborative Party: 0.2%; Others: 1.8%
12. The Collaborative Party: 0.3%; Others: 1.0%
13. The Collaborative Party: 0.7%; Others: 1.4%
14. Some polls refer it as "Opposition–led coalition".
15. Some polls refer it as "Opposition–led coalition".
16. "Opposition parties cooperating with the LDP–Komeito government on each policy basis": 42%
17. "A coalition government between the opposition parties": 13%
18. "A coalition government between the LDP–Komeito and opposition parties": 30%; Others: 1%
19. LDP–Komei coalition: 18.1%; LDP–Komei–Ishin coalition: 19.3%
20. "A new framework through political realignment": 31.5%; Others: 0.1%
21. Strongly approve: 10.5%; Approve on balance: 25.5%
22. Disapprove on balance: 15.4%; Completely disapprove: 18.5%
23. Strongly approve: 10%; Approve on balance: 24.4%
24. Disapprove on balance: 15.9%; Completely disapprove: 20.0%
25. Strongly approve: 10%; Approve on balance: 29.7%
26. Disapprove on balance: 13.3%; Completely disapprove: 16.6%

References

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