Graphical summary
In the run up to the Next Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 27 October 2024, to the present day.
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | DPFP | Ishin | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | DIY | CPJ | SDP | Others | No party | Und./ no ans. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–15 Dec | go2senkyo/JX | 996 | 26.8 | 17.2 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 [a] | 31.9 | – | 5.1 |
| 14–15 Dec | Asahi | 1,049 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 7 | 11 |
| 14–15 Dec | Sankei/FNN | 1,020 | 28.1 | 9 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | – | 36.9 | 1 | 8.8 |
| 14–15 Dec | Mainichi/SSRC | 2,045 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | – | 38 | 5 | 18 |
| 14–15 Dec | Kyodo News | 1,056 | 29.1 | 11.3 | 12.6 | 5 | 2.3 | 5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 [b] | 22.5 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| 13–15 Dec | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,018 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | – | – | – | – | 36 | 6 | 12 |
| 6–9 Dec | Jiji Press | 1,152 | 19.1 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | 54.6 | 2.4 | 35.5 |
| 6–9 Dec | NHK | 1,224 | 28.7 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 35.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 |
| 7–8 Dec | ANN | 1,017 | 35.2 | 13.9 | 10.6 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 19.8 | 4.1 | 15.4 |
| 1 Dec | Hirofumi Yoshimura and Seiji Maehara succeed Nobuyuki Baba as leaders of Ishin. | |||||||||||||||
| 30 Nov – 1 Dec | JNN | 1,003 | 28.2 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 35.6 | 4 | 7.4 |
| 23–24 Nov | Mainichi/SSRC | 1,919 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | 38 | – | 17 |
| 16–17 Nov | Kyodo News | 1,021 | 30.5 | 15.1 | 9 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 [c] | 20.9 | 2.2 | 9.6 |
| 16–17 Nov | go2senkyo/JX | 1,003 | 26.9 | 16.0 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | – | 31.9 | – | 5.0 |
| 15–17 Nov | NHK | 1,213 | 30.1 | 11.4 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 31.6 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| 15–17 Nov | Nikkei/TV Tokyo | 800 | 30 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 19 | 2 | 11 |
| 11–12 Nov | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,054 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 30 | 4 | Tie |
| 11 Nov | The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed. | |||||||||||||||
| 8–11 Nov | Jiji Press | 1,190 | 20 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | – | 52.7 | 3.3 | 32.7 |
| 9–10 Nov | ANN | 1,025 | 36.6 | 15.8 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 20.8 |
| 9 Nov | Tetsuo Saito succeeds Keiichi Ishii as President of Komeito. | |||||||||||||||
| 2–3 Nov | Asahi | 980 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 29 | 10 | 3 |
| 2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN | 1,012 | 25.8 | 13.7 | 10.1 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | – | 28.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1–2 Nov | JNN | 1,020 | 24.6 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 31.8 | 5.8 | 7.2 |
| 28–29 Oct | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,068 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 31 | 3 | 6 |
| 28–29 Oct | Kyodo News | 1,063 | 31.8 | 20.3 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | – | 15 | 1.6 | 11.5 |
| 27 Oct | Election results | 53.84% [d] | 26.7 | 21.2 | 11.3 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 5.5 |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | DPFP | Ishin | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | DIY | CPJ | SDP | Others | None/Und. | No ans. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–15 Dec | go2senkyo/JX | 996 | 23.8 | 22.7 | 10.3 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 [e] | 15.2 | – | 1.1 |
| 16–17 Nov | go2senkyo/JX | 1,003 | 26.3 | 21.0 | 10.8 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 [f] | 12.5 | – | 5.3 |
| 27 Oct | Election results | 53.84% [d] | 26.7 | 21.2 | 11.3 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 5.5 |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP–Komei coalition | CDP–led coalition [g] | Other | Und./ no ans. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–15 Dec 2024 | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,018 | 41 | 41 | – | 18 | |
| 15–17 Nov 2024 | Nikkei/TV Tokyo | 800 | 42 [h] | 13 [i] | 31 [j] | 14 | |
| 11–12 Nov 2024 | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,054 | 44 | 37 | – | 19 | |
| 8–11 Nov 2024 | Jiji Press | 1,190 | 40.7 | 32.7 | – | 26.6 | |
| 9–10 Nov 2024 | ANN | 1,025 | 50 | 34 | – | 17 | |
| 2–3 Nov 2024 | Asahi | 980 | 43 | 32 | – | 25 | |
| 1–2 Nov 2024 | JNN | 1,020 | 44 | 41 | – | 15 | |
| 28–29 Oct 2024 | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,068 | 43 | 40 | – | 17 | |
| 28–29 Oct 2024 | Kyodo News | 1,063 | 18.1 | 24.6 | 31.5 [k] | 25.8 | |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Ishiba LDP | Noda CDP | Tamaki DPFP | Baba Ishin | Saito Komei | Yamamoto Reiwa | Tamura JCP | Others | NOT/ UD/NA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–10 Nov 2024 | ANN | 1,025 | 37 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 13 |
| 2–3 Nov 2024 | Sankei/FNN | 1,012 | 46.1 | 17.4 | 10.2 | 2.7 | – | – | – | – | 23.6 |
| 1–2 Nov 2024 | JNN | 1,020 | 50 | 35 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15 |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Prime Minister | Approve | Disapprove | Und. / no answer | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–15 Dec | go2senkyo/JX | 996 | Shigeru Ishiba | 34.4 [l] | 35.9 [m] | 29.7 | 1.5 |
| 14–15 Dec | Asahi | 1,049 | 36 | 43 | 21 | 7 | |
| 14–15 Dec | Sankei/FNN | 1,020 | 45.9 | 47.7 | 6.4 | 1.8 | |
| 14–15 Dec | Mainichi/SSRC | 2,045 | 30 | 53 | 17 | 23 | |
| 14–15 Dec | Kyodo News | 1,056 | 36.5 | 43.1 | 20.4 | 6.6 | |
| 13–15 Dec | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,018 | 39 | 48 | 13 | 9 | |
| 6–9 Dec | Jiji Press | 1,152 | 26.8 | 41.3 | 31.9 | 9.4 | |
| 6–9 Dec | NHK | 1,224 | 37.7 | 38.3 | 24 | 0.6 | |
| 7–8 Dec | ANN | 1,017 | 38.5 | 39.8 | 21.6 | 1.3 | |
| 30 Nov – 1 Dec | JNN | 1,003 | 42.1 | 52.4 | 5.5 | 10.3 | |
| 26 Nov – 2 Dec | Morning Consult | N/A | 24.4 | 53.5 | 22.1 | 29.1 | |
| 23–24 Nov | Mainichi/SSRC | 1,919 | 31 | 50 | 20 | 19 | |
| 16–17 Nov | Kyodo News | 1,021 | 40 | 38.8 | 21.2 | 1.2 | |
| 16–17 Nov | go2senkyo/JX | 1,003 | 39.7 [n] | 29.9 [o] | 30.5 | 9.8 | |
| 15–17 Nov | NHK | 1,213 | 40.8 | 37 | 22.2 | 3.8 | |
| 15–17 Nov | Nikkei/TV Tokyo | 800 | 46 | 46 | 8 | Tie | |
| 11–12 Nov | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,054 | 43 | 42 | 15 | 1 | |
| 11 Nov | The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed. | ||||||
| 8–11 Nov | Jiji Press | 1,190 | Shigeru Ishiba | 28.7 | 38.3 | 33 | 5.3 |
| 9–10 Nov | ANN | 1,025 | 38.3 | 37.3 | 24.4 | 1 | |
| 29 Oct – 4 Nov | Morning Consult | N/A | 23 | 53.4 | 23.6 | 29.8 | |
| 2–3 Nov | Asahi | 980 | 34 | 47 | 19 | 13 | |
| 2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN | 1,012 | 43.8 | 49.8 | 6.4 | 6 | |
| 1–2 Nov | JNN | 1,020 | 38.9 | 57.3 | 3.8 | 18.4 | |
| 28–29 Oct | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,068 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 17 | |
| 28–29 Oct | Kyodo News | 1,063 | 32.1 | 52.2 | 15.7 | 20.1 | |
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