In the run up to the next Japanese general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 27 October 2024, to the present day.
The following table shows the pollsters who conduct opinion polls in Japan:
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Mirai | Others | No party | Und./ no ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29–31 Aug | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [1] [2] | 955 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | – | 20 | 5 | 8 |
23–24 Aug | Sankei/FNN [3] [4] | 1,022 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 4 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.8 | 30.7 | 3.3 | 8.5 |
23–24 Aug | ANN [5] | 1,012 | 29.7 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 3 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 20.7 | 2.6 | 9 |
23–24 Aug | Mainichi/SSRC [6] | 2,046 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | – | 38 | 1 | 21 |
23–24 Aug | Kyodo News [7] | 1,056 | 22.5 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 10.4 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 11.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 0.8 [d] | 14.6 | 3 | 7.9 |
22–24 Aug | Yomiuri/NNN [8] [9] | 991 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | – | 32 | 2 | 9 |
16–17 Aug | Asahi [10] | 1,211 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 4 | 15 |
16–17 Aug | Senkyo.com/JX [11] | 1,000 | 28 | 14.3 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1 | – | 25.1 | – | 2.9 |
9–11 Aug | NHK [12] | 1,137 | 29.4 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 6.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 29.6 | 5.5 | 0.2 |
8–11 Aug | Jiji Press [13] | 1,138 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | – | 50 | 2.3 | 34.3 |
8 Aug | Fumitake Fujita succeed Seiji Maehara as co-leader of Ishin. [14] | ||||||||||||||||
2–3 Aug | JNN [15] | 1,003 | 20.4 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 33.2 | 4 | 12.8 |
26–27 Jul | Sankei/FNN [16] [17] | 1,030 | 21 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 13.9 | 4 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 27.3 | 3.4 | 6.3 |
26–27 Jul | Asahi [18] | 1,250 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 10 |
26–27 Jul | ANN [19] | 1,020 | 31.6 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 10.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 16.6 | 4.1 | 15 |
26–27 Jul | Mainichi/SSRC [20] | 2,045 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | – | 33 | – | 14 |
25–27 Jul | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [21] [22] | 937 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | – | 17 | 5 | 7 |
21–22 Jul | Kyodo News [23] | 1,049 | 20.7 | 10.8 | 5.2 | 15.1 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 11.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 [e] | 12.3 | 2.6 | 8.4 |
21–22 Jul | Yomiuri/NNN [24] [25] | 1,043 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 5 | 10 |
20 Jul | HoC election | 58.51% [f] | 21.6 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 12.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 12.5 | 5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 | – | 8.7 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Others | No party | Und./ no ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11–14 Jul | Jiji Press [26] | 1,180 | 16.4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | 54.9 | 5.7 | 38.5 |
12–13 Jul | Senkyo.com/JX [27] | 991 | 30.8 | 15.3 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 [g] | 26.1 | 0.3 | 4.7 |
11–13 Jul | NHK [h] [28] | 1,913 | 24 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 3 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 33.7 | 8.6 | 9.7 |
5–6 Jul | ANN [29] | 1,048 | 30.2 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 [i] | 19.8 | 5.2 | 10.4 |
5–6 Jul | Kyodo News [h] [30] | 1,253 | 21.9 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 18.2 | 9.6 | 3.7 |
5–6 Jul | JNN [31] | 1,010 | 20.8 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 40 | 5.2 | 19.2 |
4–6 Jul | NHK [h] [32] | 1,913 | 28.1 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.6 [j] | 30.1 | 10.4 | 2 |
3–4 Jul | Asahi [33] | 11,164 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | ||||||
28–29 Jun | Kyodo News [h] [34] | 1,254 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 4.3 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 [k] | 19.6 | 9.5 | 5.9 |
28–29 Jun | Mainichi/SSRC [35] | 2,050 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | – | 42 | 3 | 23 |
27–29 Jun | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37] | 775 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 9 |
27–29 Jun | Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39] | 1,061 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 6 | 20 |
27–29 Jun | NHK [h] [40] | 1,816 | 27 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 32.4 | 10.8 | 5.4 |
21–22 Jun | ANN [41] | 1,031 | 31.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.3 [l] | 23.7 | 5.2 | 7.4 |
21–22 Jun | Kyodo News [42] | 1,050 | 29.7 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 [m] | 21.1 | 3.4 | 8.6 |
13–16 Jun | Jiji Press [43] | 1,162 | 18.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | – | 58.2 | 4.2 | 39.3 |
14–15 Jun | Sankei/FNN [44] [45] | 1,027 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 36.7 | 6.5 | 12 |
14–15 Jun | Asahi [46] | 1,256 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 8 | 17 |
14–15 Jun | Senkyo.com/JX [47] | 990 | 29.4 | 13.7 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.3 [n] | 33.3 | 0.3 | 3.9 |
14–15 Jun | Kyodo News [48] | 1,049 | 27.7 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.2 [o] | 27.6 | 2 | 0.1 |
7–8 Jun | ANN [49] | 1,025 | 32.2 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 | 25.8 | 3.7 | 6.4 |
6–8 Jun | NHK [50] | 1,201 | 31.6 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 [p] | 37.8 | 6.1 | 6.2 |
31 May – 1 Jun | JNN [51] | 1,056 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 42.2 | 4.2 | 17.9 |
24–25 May | Kyodo News [52] | 1,064 | 28.4 | 12.1 | 6.5 | 14.1 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.2 [q] | 19.4 | 2.7 | 9 |
23–25 May | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [53] [54] | 892 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | – | 27 | 4 | 1 |
16–19 May | Jiji Press [55] | 1,176 | 17.2 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | – | 58.5 | 3.5 | 41.3 |
17–18 May | Sankei/FNN [56] [57] | 1,025 | 24.8 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 37.2 | 6.4 | 12.4 |
17–18 May | Asahi [58] | 1,209 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | – | 40 | 8 | 16 |
17–18 May | Senkyo.com/JX [59] | 986 | 27 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 7.4 | 4 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 [r] | 32.3 | – | 5.3 |
17–18 May | Kyodo News [60] | 1,064 | 25 | 12.1 | 4.9 | 13.2 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 [s] | 21.2 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
17–18 May | Mainichi/SSRC [61] | 2,045 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – | 42 | 2 | 26 |
16–18 May | Yomiuri/NNN [62] [63] | 1,072 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 41 | 4 | 16 |
10–11 May | ANN [64] | 1,016 | 33.8 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 24.6 | 3 | 9.2 |
9–11 May | NHK [65] | 1,216 | 26.4 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 38.2 | 6.1 | 11.8 |
3–4 May | JNN [66] | 1,026 | 23.5 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 10.2 | 4 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 36.7 | 6.9 | 13.2 |
19–21 Apr | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [67] [68] | 799 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | 25 | 4 | 6 |
19–20 Apr | Sankei/FNN [69] [70] | 1,015 | 22.9 | 7.6 | 2.8 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 39.4 | 3.6 | 16.5 |
19–20 Apr | Asahi [71] | 1,240 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 14 |
19–20 Apr | ANN [72] | 1,030 | 34.8 | 11 | 3.4 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 21.7 | 3.8 | 13.1 |
11–14 Apr | Jiji Press [73] | 1,140 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | 58.2 | 3.5 | 40.8 |
12–13 Apr | Senkyo.com/JX [74] | 995 | 27.7 | 12.9 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.1 [t] | 33 | – | 5.3 |
12–13 Apr | Kyodo News [75] | 1,051 | 25.8 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 18.4 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 [u] | 20.1 | 2.7 | 5.7 |
12–13 Apr | Mainichi/SSRC [76] | 2,040 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 41 | 3 | 23 |
11–13 Apr | Yomiuri/NNN [77] [78] | 1,026 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 37 | 4 | 9 |
11–13 Apr | NHK [79] | 1,120 | 29.7 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 [v] | 36.9 | 6.6 | 7.2 |
5–6 Apr | JNN [80] | 1,031 | 23.9 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 39.7 | 2.5 | 15.8 |
22–23 Mar | Sankei/FNN [81] [82] | 1,013 | 20.8 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.4 | – | 40.6 | 4.4 | 19.8 |
22–23 Mar | ANN [83] | 1,025 | 29.4 | 11.8 | 5.7 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1 | 22.9 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
22–23 Mar | Kyodo News [84] | 1,046 | 27.7 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 7 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 [w] | 23 | 2.8 | 4.7 |
21–23 Mar | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [85] [86] | 847 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 22 | 4 | 10 |
15–16 Mar | Senkyo.com/JX [87] | 998 | 26.7 | 14.2 | 3.3 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | – | 31.4 | – | 4.7 |
15–16 Mar | Asahi [88] | 1,137 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 38 | 9 | 15 |
15–16 Mar | Mainichi/SSRC [89] | 2,047 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 39 | 1 | 20 |
14–16 Mar | Yomiuri/NNN [90] [91] | 1,023 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 40 | 5 | 14 |
7–10 Mar | Jiji Press [92] | 1,186 | 17.9 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | – | 54.8 | 4.3 | 36.9 |
7–9 Mar | NHK [93] | 1,225 | 29.2 | 7.5 | 3 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 35.7 | 6 | 6.5 |
1–2 Mar | JNN [94] | 1,027 | 25.6 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 39 | 4.9 | 13.4 |
22–23 Feb | Sankei/FNN [95] [96] | 1,028 | 26.4 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | – | 35.3 | 4.1 | 8.9 |
22–23 Feb | ANN [97] | 1,034 | 33.2 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 11.5 |
21–23 Feb | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [98] [99] | 847 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – | 21 | 5 | 9 |
15–16 Feb | Senkyo.com/JX [100] | 1,004 | 27.5 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 [x] | 31.8 | – | 4.3 |
15–16 Feb | Asahi [101] | 1,111 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 36 | 9 | 11 |
15–16 Feb | Kyodo News [102] | 1,063 | 30.6 | 10.4 | 7.6 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 [y] | 18.5 | 5.3 | 12.1 |
15–16 Feb | Mainichi/SSRC [103] | 2,043 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 39 | 4 | 21 |
14–16 Feb | Yomiuri/NNN [104] [105] | 1,033 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 4 | 13 |
7–9 Feb | NHK [106] | 1,212 | 31.3 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.2 [z] | 32.8 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
6–9 Feb | Jiji Press [107] | 1,126 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 2 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | – | 56 | 3.4 | 38.1 |
1–2 Feb | JNN [108] | 1,010 | 24.7 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 41.9 | 4.6 | 17.2 |
25–26 Jan | ANN [109] | 1,030 | 35.3 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 22.5 | 3 | 12.8 |
25–26 Jan | Kyodo News [110] | 1,064 | 29.6 | 10.7 | 5.4 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 [aa] | 19.3 | 3.8 | 10.3 |
24–26 Jan | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [111] [112] | 946 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 20 | 6 | 13 |
18–19 Jan | Sankei/FNN [113] [114] | 1,005 | 29.4 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | – | 37 | 3.1 | 7.6 |
18–19 Jan | Asahi [115] | 1,103 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 37 | 7 | 14 |
18–19 Jan | Mainichi/SSRC [116] | 2,042 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | 38 | – | 18 |
17–19 Jan | Yomiuri/NNN [117] [118] | 1,015 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 34 | 4 | 6 |
11–13 Jan | NHK [119] | 1,211 | 30.5 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 [ab] | 37.8 | 5.4 | 7.3 |
10–13 Jan | Jiji Press [120] | 1,180 | 17.3 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | – | 57.3 | 3.1 | 40 |
11–12 Jan | Senkyo.com/JX [121] | 996 | 26.8 | 17 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 [ac] | 29 | – | 2.2 |
4–5 Jan | JNN [122] | 1,018 | 26.2 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 11 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | – | 37.4 | 3.4 | 11.2 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Others | No party | Und./ no ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–22 Dec | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [123] [124] | 774 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | 24 | 3 | 8 |
14–15 Dec | Senkyo.com/JX [125] | 996 | 26.8 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 [ad] | 31.9 | – | 5.1 |
14–15 Dec | Sankei/FNN [126] [127] | 1,020 | 28.1 | 9 | 3.2 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | – | 36.9 | 1 | 8.8 |
14–15 Dec | Asahi [128] | 1,049 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 7 | 11 |
14–15 Dec | Kyodo News [129] | 1,056 | 29.1 | 11.3 | 5 | 12.6 | 2.3 | 5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 [ae] | 22.5 | 3.8 | 6.6 |
14–15 Dec | Mainichi/SSRC [130] | 2,045 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | 38 | 2 | 18 |
13–15 Dec | Yomiuri/NNN [131] [132] | 1,018 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 36 | 4 | 12 |
6–9 Dec | Jiji Press [133] | 1,152 | 19.1 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | 54.6 | 2.4 | 35.5 |
6–9 Dec | NHK [134] | 1,224 | 28.7 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 35.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 |
7–8 Dec | ANN [135] | 1,017 | 35.2 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 10.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 19.8 | 4.1 | 15.4 |
30 Nov – 1 Dec | JNN [136] | 1,003 | 28.2 | 8.5 | 4 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 35.6 | 4 | 7.4 |
1 Dec | Hirofumi Yoshimura and Seiji Maehara succeed Nobuyuki Baba as co-leaders of Ishin. [137] | |||||||||||||||
23–24 Nov | Mainichi/SSRC [138] | 1,919 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | 38 | – | 17 |
16–17 Nov | Kyodo News [139] | 1,021 | 30.5 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 9 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 [af] | 20.9 | 1.8 | 9.6 |
16–17 Nov | Senkyo.com/JX [140] | 1,003 | 26.9 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | – | 31.9 | – | 5.0 |
15–17 Nov | NHK [141] | 1,213 | 30.1 | 11.4 | 3.6 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 31.6 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
15–17 Nov | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [142] [143] | 800 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 19 | 2 | 11 |
11–12 Nov | Yomiuri/NNN [144] [145] | 1,054 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 30 | 4 | Tie |
11 Nov | The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed. | |||||||||||||||
8–11 Nov | Jiji Press [146] | 1,190 | 20 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | – | 52.7 | 3.3 | 32.7 |
9–10 Nov | ANN [147] | 1,025 | 36.6 | 15.8 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 20.8 |
9 Nov | Tetsuo Saito succeeds Keiichi Ishii as President of Komeito. [148] | |||||||||||||||
2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN [149] [150] | 1,012 | 25.8 | 13.7 | 5.3 | 10.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | – | 28.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
2–3 Nov | Asahi [151] | 980 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 29 | 10 | 3 |
1–2 Nov | JNN [152] | 1,020 | 24.6 | 12.8 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 31.8 | 5.8 | 7.2 |
28–29 Oct | Yomiuri/NNN [153] [154] | 1,068 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 31 | 3 | 6 |
28–29 Oct | Kyodo News [155] | 1,063 | 31.8 | 20.3 | 5.3 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | – | 15 | 1.6 | 11.5 |
27 Oct | Election results | 53.84% [f] | 26.7 | 21.2 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 10.9 | 7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | 5.5 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Mirai | Others | None/Und. | No ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16–17 Aug | Senkyo.com/JX [11] | 1,000 | 28.2 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 2.1 | 9.6 | – | 12.4 |
20 Jul | HoC election | 58.51% [f] | 21.6 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 12.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 12.5 | 5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 | – | 8.7 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Others | None/Und. | No ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12–13 Jul | Senkyo.com/JX [27] | 991 | 28.6 | 19.5 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 8.9 | – | 9.1 |
5–6 Jul | ANN [29] | 1,048 | 23.6 | 11 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 [ag] | 19 | 14.9 | 4.6 |
5–6 Jul | Kyodo News [h] [30] | 1,253 | 18.2 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 6.8 | 5 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 40.8 [ah] | 0.8 | 22.6 |
5–6 Jul | JNN [31] | 1,010 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 6 | |
28–29 Jun | Kyodo News [h] [34] | 1,254 | 17.9 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 [ai] | 44.4 [aj] | 1 | 24.5 |
28–29 Jun | Mainichi/SSRC [35] | 2,050 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 37 | – | 19 |
27–29 Jun | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37] | 775 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 12 | 8 | 17 |
27–29 Jun | Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39] | 1,061 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 1 |
26–27 Jun | Agricultural News [156] | 35 | 13.5 | 1 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 30.7 | 0.7 | 4.3 | |
21–22 Jun | ANN [41] | 1,031 | 22 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 [ak] | 37.3 [al] | 15.3 | |
21–22 Jun | Kyodo News [42] | 1,050 | 26.7 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 10.6 | 5.1 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 [am] | 23.7 | 3 | |
13–16 Jun | Jiji Press [43] | 1,162 | 24.5 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 6 | 4 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | – | 42.8 | 18.3 | |
14–15 Jun | Sankei/FNN [44] [45] | 1,027 | 24.5 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 36.4 [an] | 11.9 | |
14–15 Jun | Asahi [46] | 1,256 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 5 | |
14–15 Jun | Senkyo.com/JX [47] | 990 | 30.4 | 18.8 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 [ao] | 14.1 | – | 11.6 |
14–15 Jun | Kyodo News [48] | 1,049 | 25.9 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.3 [ap] | 28.4 | 2.5 | |
7–8 Jun | ANN [49] | 1,025 | 26.2 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1 | 36.4 [aq] | 10.2 | |
24–25 May | Kyodo News [52] | 1,064 | 28.6 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 14.3 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.7 [ar] | 19.4 | 9.2 | |
23–25 May | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [53] [54] | 892 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | – | 14 | 8 | 12 |
16–19 May | Jiji Press [55] | 1,176 | 19.7 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | – | 42.2 | 22.5 | |
17–18 May | Sankei/FNN [56] [57] | 1,025 | 23.5 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 37.4 [as] | 13.9 | |
17–18 May | Asahi [58] | 1,209 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | |
17–18 May | Senkyo.com/JX [59] | 986 | 25.8 | 19.2 | 6 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 3 | 6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 2.1 [at] | 15.4 | – | 6.6 |
17–18 May | Kyodo News [60] | 1,064 | 20.2 | 14.2 | 6 | 12.4 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 [au] | 26.2 | 6 | |
17–18 May | Mainichi/SSRC [61] | 2,045 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | – | 40 | – | 25 |
16–18 May | Yomiuri/NNN [62] [63] | 1,072 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 22 | 5 | 4 |
10–11 May | ANN [64] | 1,016 | 25.8 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 4 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | 37.6 [av] | 11.8 | |
3–4 May | JNN [66] | 1,026 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | |
19–21 Apr | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [67] [68] | 799 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | – | 12 | 7 | 14 |
19–20 Apr | Sankei/FNN [69] [70] | 1,015 | 23.7 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 13.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 37.8 [aw] | 14.1 | |
19–20 Apr | Asahi [71] | 1,240 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 4 | |
19–20 Apr | ANN [72] | 1,030 | 27.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 11.8 | 3.5 | 3 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 32.9 [ax] | 5.7 | |
11–14 Apr | Jiji Press [157] | 1,140 | 20.6 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | – | 41.3 | 20.7 | |
12–13 Apr | Senkyo.com/JX [74] | 995 | 25.3 | 16.6 | 7.9 | 11.6 | 5 | 4.5 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3.5 [ay] | 14.8 | – | 8.7 |
12–13 Apr | Kyodo News [75] | 1,051 | 24.6 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 18.5 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | – | 26 | 1.4 | |
12–13 Apr | Mainichi/SSRC [76] | 2,040 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | – | 38 | – | 22 |
11–13 Apr | Yomiuri/NNN [77] [78] | 1,026 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | – | 19 | 7 | 8 |
22–23 Mar | Sankei/FNN [81] [82] | 1,013 | 19.3 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 12 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | – | 44.2 [az] | 24.9 | |
22–23 Mar | ANN [83] | 1,025 | 24.1 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 35.7 [ba] | 11.6 | |
22–23 Mar | Kyodo News [84] | 1,046 | 24.3 | 12.5 | 6.4 | 13.4 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 [bb] | 25.4 | 1.1 | |
21–23 Mar | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [85] [86] | 847 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
15–16 Mar | Senkyo.com/JX [87] | 998 | 23.7 | 20.6 | 6.2 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.4 [bc] | 14.2 | – | 3.1 |
15–16 Mar | Asahi [88] | 1,137 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 5 | |
15–16 Mar | Mainichi/SSRC [89] | 2,047 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38 | – | 21 |
14–16 Mar | Yomiuri/NNN [90] [91] | 1,023 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | – | 20 | 6 | 5 |
22–23 Feb | ANN [97] | 1,034 | 23.6 | 10.7 | 6.2 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 34.4 [bd] | 10.8 | |
21–23 Feb | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [98] [99] | 847 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 [be] | 10 | 9 | 15 |
15–16 Feb | Senkyo.com/JX [100] | 1,004 | 25.7 | 20.8 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 [bf] | 14.5 | – | 4.9 |
15–16 Feb | Asahi [101] | 1,111 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | |
15–16 Feb | Kyodo News [102] | 1,063 | 24.9 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 [bg] | 28.7 | 3.8 | |
15–16 Feb | Mainichi/SSRC [103] | 2,043 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | – | 38 | 3 | 22 |
6–9 Feb | Jiji Press [158] | 1,126 | 22 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | – | 40.2 | 18.2 | |
25–26 Jan | Kyodo News [110] | 1,064 | 26 | 12.9 | 5.8 | 14.9 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 [bh] | 25 | 1 | |
24–26 Jan | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [111] [112] | 946 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – | 11 | 8 | 17 |
18–19 Jan | Asahi [115] | 1,103 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | |
18–19 Jan | Mainichi/SSRC [116] | 2,042 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | – | 18 |
11–12 Jan | Senkyo.com/JX [121] | 996 | 27 | 21.2 | 8 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 2 [bi] | 12.9 | – | 5.8 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Komei | Reiwa | JCP | Sansei | CPJ | SDP | Others | None/Und. | No ans. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14–15 Dec | Senkyo.com/JX [125] | 996 | 23.8 | 22.7 | 9.1 | 10.3 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 [bj] | 15.2 | – | 1.1 |
16–17 Nov | Senkyo.com/JX [140] | 1,003 | 26.3 | 21.0 | 7.8 | 10.8 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 [bk] | 12.5 | – | 5.3 |
27 Oct | Election results | 53.84% [f] | 26.7 | 21.2 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 10.9 | 7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0 [bl] | – | 5.5 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Government | Opposition | Others | None/Und. | No ans. | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5–6 Jul | Kyodo News [h] [30] | 1,253 | 20.5 | 36.6 | – | 41.8 | 1.1 | 5.2 | ||||||||
28–29 Jun | Kyodo News [h] [34] | 1,254 | 19.9 | 32.6 | – | 46.3 | 1.2 | 13.7 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP–Komei–led coalition | LDP–Komei with other parties | CDP–led coalition [bm] | Others | Und./ no ans. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29–31 Aug | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [1] [2] | 955 | 34 [bn] | 28 [bo] | 23 | – | 15 | |||
23–24 Aug | Sankei/FNN [3] [4] | 1,022 | 14.3 | 48.3 [bp] | 33.1 | – | 4.3 | |||
9–11 Aug | NHK [12] | 1,137 | 43.7 [bq] | 25.5 | 18.1 | 0.6 | 12 | |||
8–11 Aug | Jiji Press [159] | 1,138 | 16.4 | 35.8 [br] | 20.9 | – | 26.9 | |||
2–3 Aug | JNN [15] | 1,003 | 39 | – | 49 | – | 12 | |||
26–27 Jul | Sankei/FNN [16] [17] | 1,030 | 13.9 | 46.3 [bs] | 34.1 | – | 5.7 | |||
26–27 Jul | Asahi [18] | 1,250 | 56 | 21 | – | |||||
26–27 Jul | ANN [19] | 1,020 | 44 | – | 38 | – | 18 | |||
25–27 Jul | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [21] [22] | 937 | 31 [bt] | 29 [bu] | 24 | – | 16 | |||
21–22 Jul | Kyodo News [23] | 1,049 | 13.1 | 28 | 17.5 | 36.3 [bv] | 5.1 | |||
21–22 Jul | Yomiuri/NNN [24] [25] | 1,043 | 35 | – | 47 | – | 18 | |||
5–6 Jul | Kyodo News [h] [30] | 1,253 | 15 | 31.2 | 17.6 | 29.8 [bw] | 6.4 | |||
5–6 Jul | JNN [bx] [31] | 1,010 | 36 | – | 55 | – | 9 | |||
28–29 Jun | Kyodo News [h] [34] | 1,254 | 17.1 | 30.7 | 16 | 30.1 [by] | 6.1 | |||
27–29 Jun | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37] | 775 | 32 [bz] | 25 [ca] | 25 | 2 | 17 | |||
13–16 Jun | Jiji Press [bx] [160] | 1,162 | 37.3 | – | 34.3 | – | 28.4 | |||
14–15 Jun | Sankei/FNN [44] [45] | 1,027 | 17.4 | 41.9 [cb] | 32.6 | – | 8.1 | |||
14–15 Jun | Asahi [46] | 1,256 | 33 | – | 51 | – | 16 | |||
7–8 Jun | ANN [49] | 1,025 | 44 | – | 40 | – | 16 | |||
31 May – 1 Jun | JNN [51] | 1,056 | 43 | – | 41 | – | 16 | |||
23–25 May | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [53] [54] | 892 | 33 [cc] | 26 [cd] | 22 | 2 | 17 | |||
16–19 May | Jiji Press [161] | 1,176 | 20 | 28.2 [ce] | 21.4 | – | 30.4 | |||
17–18 May | Sankei/FNN [cf] [56] [57] | 1,025 | 38 | – | 53.7 | – | 8.3 | |||
17–18 May | Asahi [58] | 1,209 | 17 | 49 | 22 | – | 12 | |||
16–18 May | Yomiuri/NNN [62] [63] | 1,072 | 36 | – | 48 | – | 15 | |||
10–11 May | ANN [64] | 1,016 | 43 | – | 41 | – | 16 | |||
3–4 May | JNN [bx] [66] | 1,026 | 39 | – | 49 | – | 12 | |||
19–20 Apr | Sankei/FNN [69] [70] | 1,015 | 13.9 | 48.3 | 30.2 | – | 7.6 | |||
19–20 Apr | ANN [72] | 1,030 | 43 | – | 40 | – | 17 | |||
12–13 Apr | Mainichi/SSRC [76] [162] | 2,040 | 9 | 25 [cg] | 22 | 10 | 34 | |||
11–13 Apr | Yomiuri/NNN [77] [78] | 1,026 | 40 | – | 42 | – | 18 | |||
5–6 Apr | JNN [80] | 1,031 | 20 | 38 | 29 | – | 13 | |||
14–16 Mar | Yomiuri/NNN [90] [91] | 1,023 | 36 | – | 46 | – | 18 | |||
18–19 Jan | Asahi [115] | 1,103 | 34 | – | 51 | – | 15 | |||
17–19 Jan | Yomiuri/NNN [117] [118] | 1,015 | 41 | – | 40 | – | 19 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP–Komei–led coalition | LDP–Komei with other parties | CDP–led coalition [ch] | Others | Und./ no ans. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13–15 Dec | Yomiuri/NNN [131] [132] | 1,018 | 41 | – | 41 | – | 18 | |||
15–17 Nov | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [142] [143] | 800 | 72 [ci] | 30 | 13 | 1 | 14 | |||
11–12 Nov | Yomiuri/NNN [144] [145] | 1,054 | 44 | – | 37 | – | 19 | |||
8–11 Nov | Jiji Press [146] | 1,190 | 40.7 | – | 32.7 | – | 26.6 | |||
9–10 Nov | ANN [147] | 1,025 | 50 | – | 34 | – | 17 | |||
2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN [149] [150] | 1,012 | 30.5 | 30.2 | 31.1 | – | 8.2 | |||
2–3 Nov | Asahi [151] | 980 | 43 | – | 32 | – | 25 | |||
1–2 Nov | JNN [152] | 1,020 | 44 | – | 41 | – | 15 | |||
28–29 Oct | Yomiuri/NNN [153] [154] | 1,068 | 43 | – | 40 | – | 17 | |||
28–29 Oct | Kyodo News [155] | 1,063 | 18.1 | 19.3 | 24.6 | 31.6 [cj] | 6.4 |
(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Liberal Democratic Party supporters)
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | LDP | CDP | Ishin | DPFP | Others | NOT/ UD/NA | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shigeru Ishiba | Sanae Takaichi | Shinjirō Koizumi | Yoshimasa Hayashi | Takayuki Kobayashi | Toshimitsu Motegi | Yōko Kamikawa | Taro Kono | Katsunobu Katō | Yoshihiko Noda | Seiji Maehara | Yuichiro Tamaki | |||||
29–31 Aug | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [1] [2] | 955 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | – | 4 | – | 4 | – | 7 | 4 [ck] | 20 |
23–24 Aug | Sankei/FNN [3] [4] | 1,022 (227) | 14.4 (29) | 23 (17) | 20.9 (24.9) | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 2.3 [cl] | 26.7 (29.1) |
23–24 Aug | ANN [5] | 1,012 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | – | – | – | 16 | 13 |
23–24 Aug | Mainichi/SSRC [6] | 2,046 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | – | – | – | – | 4 | – | 6 | 2 [cm] | 40 |
23–24 Aug | Kyodo News [7] | 1,056 | 13.1 | 24.5 | 20.1 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 9.4 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 0.2 | 16.1 |
22–24 Aug | Yomiuri/NNN [8] [9] | 991 | 14 | 24 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | – | – | – | 1 [cn] | 23 [co] |
8–11 Aug | Jiji Press [163] | 1,138 (179) | 11.3 (24.6) | 15.9 (19.6) | 14.6 (21.2) | 2.1 | – | – | – | 3.3 | – | 2.8 | – | 5.7 | – | 44.3 (34.6) |
2–3 Aug | JNN [15] | 1,003 | 11.1 | 16.7 | 20.4 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 18.1 | 10.5 |
26–27 Jul | Sankei/FNN [16] [17] | 1,030 | 9.4 | 22.4 | 16 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 6.8 | – | 26.9 [cp] |
26–27 Jul | ANN [19] | 1,020 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | – | – | – | 10 | 16 |
26–27 Jul | Mainichi/SSRC [20] | 2,045 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | – | – | – | – | 5 | – | 8 | 3 [cq] | 37 [cr] |
25–27 Jul | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [21] [22] | 937 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | – | 5 | 1 | 9 | 5 [cs] | 21 |
21–22 Jul | Yomiuri/NNN [24] [25] | 1,043 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | – | – | – | 2 [ct] | 25 [cu] |
14–15 Jun | Sankei/FNN [44] [45] | 1,027 | 7.9 | 16.4 | 20.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 4.1 | – | 33.4 [cv] |
24–25 May | Kyodo News [52] | 1,064 | 7.3 | 21.5 | 15.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 9.3 | 0.6 | 21.7 |
17–18 May | Sankei/FNN [56] [57] | 1,025 | 7.7 | 18.9 | 15.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 0.6 | 5.9 | – | 33.8 [cw] |
17–18 May | Asahi [58] | 1,209 | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | 12 | – | 53 [cx] |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Ishiba LDP | Noda CDP | Baba Ishin | Tamaki DPFP | Saito Komei | Yamamoto Reiwa | Tamura JCP | Others | NOT/ UD/NA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9–10 Nov | ANN [147] | 1,025 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 13 |
2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN [149] [150] | 1,012 | 46.1 | 17.4 | 2.7 | 10.2 | – | – | – | – | 23.6 |
1–2 Nov | JNN [152] | 1,020 | 50 | 35 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Prime Minister | Approve | Disapprove | Und. / no answer | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29–31 Aug | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [1] [2] | 955 | Shigeru Ishiba | 42 | 53 | 5 | 11 |
23–24 Aug | Sankei/FNN [3] [4] | 1,022 | 38.8 | 57.1 | 4.1 | 18.3 | |
23–24 Aug | ANN [5] | 1,012 | 34.1 | 46.9 | 19 | 12.8 | |
23–24 Aug | Mainichi/SSRC [6] | 2,046 | 33 | 53 | 14 | 20 | |
23–24 Aug | Kyodo News [7] | 1,056 | 35.4 | 49.8 | 14.8 | 14.4 | |
22–24 Aug | Yomiuri/NNN [8] [9] | 991 | 39 | 50 | 11 | 11 | |
16–17 Aug | Asahi [10] | 1,211 | 36 | 50 | 14 | 14 | |
16–17 Aug | Senkyo.com/JX [11] | 1,000 | 45.8 [cy] | 32.8 [cz] | 21.4 | 13 | |
9–11 Aug | NHK [12] | 1,137 | 38.1 | 45.2 | 16.7 | 7.1 | |
8–11 Aug | Jiji Press [13] | 1,138 | 27.3 | 49.6 | 23.1 | 22.3 | |
2–3 Aug | JNN [15] | 1,003 | 36.8 | 60.5 | 2.7 | 23.7 | |
26–27 Jul | Sankei/FNN [16] [17] | 1,030 | 34.6 | 60.3 | 5.1 | 25.7 | |
26–27 Jul | Asahi [18] | 1,250 | 29 | 56 | 15 | 27 | |
26–27 Jul | ANN [19] | 1,020 | 31.6 | 50.2 | 18.2 | 18.6 | |
26–27 Jul | Mainichi/SSRC [20] | 2,045 | 29 | 59 | 13 | 30 | |
25–27 Jul | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [21] [22] | 937 | 32 | 61 | 7 | 29 | |
21–22 Jul | Kyodo News [23] | 1,049 | 22.9 | 65.8 | 11.3 | 42.9 | |
21–22 Jul | Yomiuri/NNN [24] [25] | 1,043 | 22 | 67 | 11 | 45 | |
20 Jul | 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election | ||||||
11–14 Jul | Jiji Press [26] | 1,180 | Shigeru Ishiba | 20.8 | 55.0 | 24.2 | 30.8 |
12–13 Jul | Senkyo.com/JX [27] | 991 | 35.5 [da] | 39.4 [db] | 25 | 3.9 | |
11–13 Jul | NHK [h] [28] | 1,913 | 30.7 | 52.5 | 16.8 | 21.8 | |
4–10 Jul | Morning Consult | N/A | 23.3 | 61.7 | 15 | 38.4 | |
5–6 Jul | ANN [29] | 1,048 | 29.1 | 51 | 19.9 | 21.9 | |
5–6 Jul | Kyodo News [h] [30] | 1,253 | 25.4 | 62.6 | 12 | 37.2 | |
5–6 Jul | JNN [31] | 1,010 | 32.8 | 63.6 | 3.6 | 30.8 | |
4–6 Jul | NHK [h] [32] | 1,913 | 30.9 | 50.3 | 18.8 | 19.4 | |
3–4 Jul | Asahi [33] | 11,164 | 24 | 57 | 19 | 33 | |
28–29 Jun | Kyodo News [h] [34] | 1,254 | 32.4 | 57.8 | 9.8 | 25.4 | |
28–29 Jun | Mainichi/SSRC [35] | 2,050 | 24 | 61 | 15 | 37 | |
27–29 Jun | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [36] [37] | 775 | 37 | 57 | 6 | 20 | |
27–29 Jun | Yomiuri/NNN [38] [39] | 1,061 | 32 | 53 | 15 | 21 | |
27–29 Jun | NHK [h] [40] | 1,816 | 33.8 | 46 | 20.2 | 12.2 | |
26–27 Jun | Agricultural News [156] | 47.7 | 52 | 0.3 | 4.3 | ||
21–22 Jun | ANN [41] | 1,031 | 29.1 | 49.6 | 21.3 | 20.5 | |
21–22 Jun | Kyodo News [42] | 1,050 | 32.5 | 50.9 | 16.6 | 18.4 | |
13–16 Jun | Jiji Press [160] | 1,162 | 27 | 48.4 | 24.6 | 21.4 | |
14–15 Jun | Sankei/FNN [44] [45] | 1,027 | 38.2 | 57.4 | 4.4 | 19.2 | |
14–15 Jun | Asahi [46] | 1,256 | 32 | 52 | 16 | 20 | |
14–15 Jun | Senkyo.com/JX [47] | 990 | 38.3 [dc] | 38.6 [dd] | 23 | 0.3 | |
14–15 Jun | Kyodo News [48] | 1,049 | 37 | 48.4 | 14.6 | 11.4 | |
3–9 Jun | Morning Consult | N/A | 22.5 | 63.2 | 14.3 | 40.7 | |
7–8 Jun | ANN [49] | 1,025 | 34.4 | 46.4 | 19.2 | 12 | |
6–8 Jun | NHK [50] | 1,201 | 39.1 | 41.8 | 19.2 | 2.7 | |
31 May – 1 Jun | JNN [51] | 1,056 | 34.6 | 62 | 3.4 | 27.4 | |
24–25 May | Kyodo News [52] | 1,064 | 31.7 | 52.6 | 15.7 | 20.9 | |
23–25 May | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [53] [54] | 892 | 34 | 60 | 6 | 26 | |
16–19 May | Jiji Press [55] | 1,176 | 20.9 | 52.9 | 26.2 | 26.7 | |
17–18 May | Sankei/FNN [56] [57] | 1,025 | 32.9 | 61 | 6.1 | 28.1 | |
17–18 May | Asahi [58] | 1,209 | 33 | 56 | 11 | 23 | |
17–18 May | Senkyo.com/JX [59] | 986 | 33.1 [de] | 39.3 [df] | 27.5 | 6.2 | |
17–18 May | Kyodo News [60] | 1,064 | 27.4 | 55.1 | 17.5 | 27.7 | |
17–18 May | Mainichi/SSRC [61] | 2,045 | 22 | 62 | 16 | 40 | |
16–18 May | Yomiuri/NNN [62] [63] | 1,072 | 31 | 56 | 13 | 25 | |
10–11 May | ANN [64] | 1,016 | 27.6 | 48.7 | 23.8 | 21.1 | |
9–11 May | NHK [65] | 1,216 | 33.4 | 48.1 | 18.5 | 14.7 | |
2–8 May | Morning Consult | N/A | 20.4 | 63.9 | 15.7 | 43.5 | |
3–4 May | JNN [66] | 1,026 | 33.3 | 62.1 | 4.6 | 28.8 | |
19–21 Apr | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [67] [68] | 799 | 33 | 60 | 6 | 27 | |
19–20 Apr | Sankei/FNN [69] [70] | 1,015 | 33.3 | 61.5 | 5.1 | 28.2 | |
19–20 Apr | Asahi [71] | 1,240 | 30 | 56 | 14 | 26 | |
19–20 Apr | ANN [72] | 1,030 | 31.4 | 47.4 | 21.2 | 16 | |
11–14 Apr | Jiji Press [73] | 1,140 | 23.1 | 51.2 | 25.7 | 25.5 | |
12–13 Apr | Senkyo.com/JX [74] | 995 | 31.4 [dg] | 39 [dh] | 29.5 | 7.6 | |
12–13 Apr | Kyodo News [75] | 1,051 | 32.6 | 53.8 | 13.6 | 21.2 | |
12–13 Apr | Mainichi/SSRC [76] | 2,040 | 24 | 61 | 15 | 37 | |
11–13 Apr | Yomiuri/NNN [77] [78] | 1,026 | 31 | 54 | 15 | 23 | |
11–13 Apr | NHK [79] | 1,120 | 35.3 | 45.2 | 19.6 | 9.9 | |
1–7 Apr | Morning Consult | N/A | 18.8 | 66.1 | 15.1 | 47.3 | |
5–6 Apr | JNN [80] | 1,031 | 30.6 | 66.1 | 3.3 | 35.5 | |
22–23 Mar | Sankei/FNN [81] [82] | 1,013 | 30.4 | 63 | 6.6 | 32,6 | |
22–23 Mar | ANN [83] | 1,025 | 29.2 | 52.2 | 18.5 | 23 | |
22–23 Mar | Kyodo News [84] | 1,046 | 27.6 | 57.8 | 14.6 | 30.2 | |
21–23 Mar | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [85] [86] | 847 | 35 | 59 | 6 | 24 | |
15–16 Mar | Senkyo.com/JX [87] | 998 | 30 [di] | 43.9 [dj] | 26 | 13.9 | |
15–16 Mar | Asahi [88] | 1,137 | 26 | 59 | 15 | 33 | |
15–16 Mar | Mainichi/SSRC [89] | 2,047 | 23 | 64 | 13 | 41 | |
14–16 Mar | Yomiuri/NNN [90] [91] | 1,023 | 31 | 58 | 11 | 27 | |
7–10 Mar | Jiji Press [92] | 1,186 | 27.9 | 44.1 | 28 | 16.2 | |
7–9 Mar | NHK [93] | 1,225 | 36.2 | 44.8 | 19 | 8.6 | |
27 Feb – 5 Mar | Morning Consult | N/A | 24.6 | 56.8 | 18.6 | 32.2 | |
1–2 Mar | JNN [94] | 1,027 | 38.4 | 57.7 | 3.9 | 19.3 | |
22–23 Feb | Sankei/FNN [95] [96] | 1,028 | 44.3 | 50.1 | 5.6 | 5.8 | |
22–23 Feb | ANN [97] | 1,034 | 37.5 | 41.1 | 21.3 | 3.6 | |
21–23 Feb | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [98] [99] | 847 | 40 | 52 | 8 | 12 | |
15–16 Feb | Senkyo.com/JX [100] | 1,004 | 40.6 [dk] | 31.1 [dl] | 28.4 | 9.5 | |
15–16 Feb | Asahi [101] | 1,111 | 40 | 44 | 16 | 4 | |
15–16 Feb | Kyodo News [102] | 1,063 | 39.6 | 41.8 | 18.6 | 2.2 | |
15–16 Feb | Mainichi/SSRC [103] | 2,043 | 30 | 54 | 16 | 24 | |
14–16 Feb | Yomiuri/NNN [104] [105] | 1,033 | 39 | 43 | 18 | 4 | |
7–9 Feb | NHK [106] | 1,212 | 43.8 | 34.6 | 21.6 | 9.2 | |
6–9 Feb | Jiji Press [107] | 1,126 | 28.5 | 40.1 | 31.4 | 8.6 | |
1–2 Feb | JNN [108] | 1,010 | 37.1 | 59.7 | 3.2 | 22.6 | |
21–27 Jan | Morning Consult | N/A | 24.6 | 54 | 21.4 | 29.4 | |
25–26 Jan | ANN [109] | 1,030 | 36.2 | 41.3 | 22.5 | 5.1 | |
25–26 Jan | Kyodo News [110] | 1,064 | 35.7 | 49.2 | 15.1 | 13.5 | |
24–26 Jan | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [111] [112] | 946 | 43 | 50 | 7 | 7 | |
18–19 Jan | Sankei/FNN [113] [114] | 1,005 | 43.5 | 48.7 | 7.8 | 5.2 | |
18–19 Jan | Asahi [115] | 1,103 | 33 | 51 | 16 | 18 | |
18–19 Jan | Mainichi/SSRC [116] | 2,042 | 28 | 53 | 19 | 25 | |
17–19 Jan | Yomiuri/NNN [117] [118] | 1,015 | 40 | 46 | 14 | 6 | |
11–13 Jan | NHK [119] | 1,211 | 38.7 | 39.8 | 21.5 | 1.1 | |
10–13 Jan | Jiji Press [120] | 1,180 | 28.2 | 40.3 | 31.5 | 8.8 | |
11–12 Jan | Senkyo.com/JX [121] | 996 | 36 [dm] | 33.9 [dn] | 30.1 | 2.1 | |
2–8 Jan | Morning Consult | N/A | 24.5 | 54 | 21.5 | 29.5 | |
4–5 Jan | JNN [122] | 1,018 | 41.4 | 55.2 | 3.4 | 13.8 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Prime Minister | Approve | Disapprove | Und. / no answer | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–22 Dec | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [123] [124] | 774 | Shigeru Ishiba | 41 | 51 | 8 | 10 |
14–15 Dec | Senkyo.com/JX [125] | 996 | 34.4 [do] | 35.9 [dp] | 29.7 | 1.5 | |
14–15 Dec | Sankei/FNN [126] [127] | 1,020 | 45.9 | 47.7 | 6.4 | 1.8 | |
14–15 Dec | Asahi [128] | 1,049 | 36 | 43 | 21 | 7 | |
14–15 Dec | Mainichi/SSRC [130] | 2,045 | 30 | 53 | 17 | 23 | |
14–15 Dec | Kyodo News [129] | 1,056 | 36.5 | 43.1 | 20.4 | 6.6 | |
13–15 Dec | Yomiuri/NNN [131] [132] | 1,018 | 39 | 48 | 13 | 9 | |
6–9 Dec | Jiji Press [133] | 1,152 | 26.8 | 41.3 | 31.9 | 9.4 | |
6–9 Dec | NHK [134] | 1,224 | 37.7 | 38.3 | 24 | 0.6 | |
7–8 Dec | ANN [135] | 1,017 | 38.5 | 39.8 | 21.6 | 1.3 | |
26 Nov – 2 Dec | Morning Consult | N/A | 24.4 | 53.5 | 22.1 | 29.1 | |
30 Nov – 1 Dec | JNN [136] | 1,003 | 42.1 | 52.4 | 5.5 | 10.3 | |
23–24 Nov | Mainichi/SSRC [138] | 1,919 | 31 | 50 | 20 | 19 | |
16–17 Nov | Kyodo News [139] | 1,021 | 40 | 38.8 | 21.2 | 1.2 | |
16–17 Nov | Senkyo.com/JX [140] | 1,003 | 39.7 [dq] | 29.9 [dr] | 30.5 | 9.8 | |
15–17 Nov | NHK [141] | 1,213 | 40.8 | 37 | 22.2 | 3.8 | |
15–17 Nov | Nikkei/TV Tokyo [142] [143] | 800 | 46 | 46 | 8 | Tie | |
11–12 Nov | Yomiuri/NNN [144] [145] | 1,054 | 43 | 42 | 15 | 1 | |
11 Nov | The Second Ishiba Cabinet is formed. | ||||||
8–11 Nov | Jiji Press [146] | 1,190 | Shigeru Ishiba | 28.7 | 38.3 | 33 | 5.3 |
9–10 Nov | ANN [147] | 1,025 | 38.3 | 37.3 | 24.4 | 1 | |
29 Oct – 4 Nov | Morning Consult | N/A | 23 | 53.4 | 23.6 | 29.8 | |
2–3 Nov | Sankei/FNN [149] [150] | 1,012 | 43.8 | 49.8 | 6.4 | 6 | |
2–3 Nov | Asahi [151] | 980 | 34 | 47 | 19 | 13 | |
1–2 Nov | JNN [152] | 1,020 | 38.9 | 57.3 | 3.8 | 18.4 | |
28–29 Oct | Yomiuri/NNN [153] [154] | 1,068 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 17 | |
28–29 Oct | Kyodo News [155] | 1,063 | 32.1 | 52.2 | 15.7 | 20.1 |