Opinion polling for the 2025 Polish presidential election

Last updated

During the months leading up to the 2025 Polish presidential election (whose first round occurred on 18 May, and whose second round will occur on 1 June), various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 28 June 2020, to the present day. The 2025 presidential election was held on 18 May 2025, with the second round on 1 June 2025. [1]

Polling aggregations

The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations.

First round

Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Trzaskowski
PO
Nawrocki
PiS
Mentzen
Confederation
Braun
KKP
Hołownia
PL2050
Zandberg
Razem
Biejat
NL
Stanowski
ind.
Senyszyn
SLD
Jakubiak
WR
Others /
don't know
Lead
ewybory.eu Election result31.3629.5414.816.344.994.864.231.241.090.770.771.82
14–16 May 202531.626.012.34.36.55.15.41.81.41.54.15.6
10–13 May 202532.326.012.14.06.55.15.41.71.41.23.16.3
3–9 May 202532.023.613.64.37.35.45.91.41.01.24.38.4
26 Apr–2 May 202532.625.113.12.47.04.54.91.80.71.46.57.5
19–25 Apr 202532.026.513.42.15.84.04.91.61.21.27.35.5
10–16 Apr 202532.924.915.82.66.43.83.81.70.51.16.58.0
5–11 Apr 202535.224.217.93.15.13.12.21.20.30.67.111.0
29 Mar–4 Apr 202536.422.217.62.17.62.72.80.60.50.57.014.2
22–28 Mar 202534.423.717.51.15.41.93.60.00.01.411.010.7
15–21 Mar 202535.623.119.01.54.72.62.32.10.10.98.112.5
8–14 Mar 202535.423.019.21.95.72.32.31.50.00.78.012.4
1–7 Mar 202535.422.718.01.96.02.73.71.20.01.17.312.7
22–28 Feb 202533.822.717.21.07.41.63.20.00.02.210.111.1
15–21 Feb 202534.024.915.32.15.62.02.30.00.01.28.88.1
8–14 Feb 202534.224.014.21.56.51.93.00.00.02.19.610.2
1–7 Feb 202537.323.98.91.76.81.15.00.00.01.214.113.4
25–31 Jan 202534.624.512.61.67.11.53.50.00.01.413.210.1
18–24 Jan 202535.525.213.22.77.51.53.30.00.21.39.610.3
11–17 Jan 202534.625.511.50.07.91.83.30.00.01.612.39.1
4–10 Jan 202532.426.812.60.06.61.23.50.00.01.715.25.6
21–27 Dec 202436.027.59.90.010.20.06.00.00.01.58.98.5
14–20 Dec 202436.624.711.60.08.50.03.60.00.01.913.111.9
7–13 Dec 202439.429.510.00.09.30.04.00.00.01.66.29.9
30 Nov–6 Dec 202436.930.37.30.07.90.04.80.00.00.512.36.6
23–29 Nov 202438.721.111.40.09.30.05.80.00.02.511.217.6


Second round – Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski

Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Lead
ewybory.eu Election result50.8949.111.78
24–30 May 202549.750.30.6
18–23 May 202550.050.0Tie
10–16 May 202546.153.97.8
3–9 May 202543.756.312.6
26 Apr–2 May 202544.455.611.2
19–25 Apr 202545.654.48.8
12–18 Apr 202545.954.18.2
5–11 Apr 202544.355.711.4
29 Mar–4 Apr 202540.859.218.4
22–28 Mar 202542.757.314.6
15–21 Mar 202542.357.715.4
8–14 Mar 202542.757.314.6
1–7 Mar 202544.155.911.8
22–28 Feb 202543.556.513
15–21 Feb 202544.155.911.8

Daily average

Polling Aggregator/LinkDate Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Lead
ewybory.eu Election result50.8949.111.78
30 May50.149.90.2
29 May49.850.20.4
28 May49.750.30.6
27 May49.950.10.2
26 May49.450.61.2
25 May49.350.71.4
24 May49.750.30.6
23 May49.750.30.6
22 May50.649.41.2
21 May50.549.51
20 May50.549.51
19 May51.148.92.2

First round

LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round. First Round Polish 2025 Presidential Polling.svg
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, first round.
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Hołownia
PL2050
Biejat
NL
Zandberg
Razem
Mentzen
Confederation
Braun
KKP
Jakubiak
WR
Stanowski
ind.
Woch
BS
Senyszyn
SLD
Maciak
RDiP
Bartoszewicz
ind.
OthersDon't knowLead
2025 presidential election [2] Election result19,603,78429.5431.364.994.234.8614.816.340.771.240.091.090.190.491.82
Ipsos (2nd late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [3] [4] [5] 19 May 202529.731.24.94.14.814.56.30.81.30.11.40.40.51.5
Ipsos (late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [6] 19 May 202529.131.14.94.15.214.86.30.81.30.11.40.40.52.0
OGB (exit poll) / TV Republika [7] [8] 18 May 202592,108 [9] 29.831.64.74.46.014.05.40.71.30.11.30.20.51.8
Ipsos (exit poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [10] [11] [12] 18 May 202529.130.84.84.15.215.46.20.81.30.11.30.40.51.7
OGB 16 May 20251,00028.6832.894.724.304.4514.215.871.731.380.051.040.260.421.004.21
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 14–15 May 20251,002252976712422020134
IBRiS / Polsat News 13–15 May 20251,00025.331.16.25.74.610.83.51.41.50.21.90.20.47.15.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 May 20251,50026.631.57.56.74.411.74.12.01.82.41.34.9
IPSOS / TVP Info 13–15 May 20251,000242865613522011164
Pollster / "SE.pl" 13–15 May 20251,69726.934.26.44.95.413.14.30.91.70.21.20.20.67.3
Research Partner 13–14 May 20251,08024.832.48.15.64.411.82.60.92.11.00.75.57.6
Opinia24 / RMF FM 12–14 May 20251,00325.029.76.16.05.510.55.41.51.70.01.30.70.56.24.7
CBOS 5–14 May 20252,08127.532.76.24.95.713.74.41.50.90.11.60.20.55.2
IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 20251,07226.432.65.36.03.410.82.71.01.60.21.50.20.28.06.2
IBRiS / "RZ" 11–12 May 20251,07325.232.37.95.54.111.22.50.92.40.11.00.00.56.47.1
IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 10–11 May 20251,06723.631.58.66.35.412.62.61.11.60.00.90.40.35.17.9
ewybory.eu 22 Apr – 11 May 202514,81530.1633.245.993.604.5413.363.971.092.080.131.510.080.243.08
OGB 7–10 May 20251,00030.4136.454.203.754.7812.313.661.191.586.04
IBRiS / "Polityka" 7–10 May 20252,00021.633.77.15.85.611.83.41.11.20.21.20.20.86.312.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–8 May 20251,07722.7032.268.365.527.2113.585.300.892.031.420.070.669.56
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 May 20251,00023.233.27.56.13.713.63.51.21.61.25.210.0
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 6–7 May 20251,012253156514431020126
Opinia24 / "Newsweek" 5–7 May 20251,0012530765134155
United Surveys / WP.pl 28–29 Apr 20251,00024.731.68.05.64.312.82.01.52.51.06.026.9
Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 20251,00725337461541211118
IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 25–26 Apr 20251,07025.633.26.15.13.211.51.41.61.10.01.20.00.29.87.6
CBOS 22–24 Apr 20251,001273144416212<0.510174
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 2025263264515412116
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 20251,00027.631.77.16.44.411.31.01.31.40.01.40.20.35.94.1
Pollster / TV Republika 17–18 Apr 20251,00725338351551328
IBRiS / "Polityka" 16–17 Apr 20251,06724.930.47.34.33.312.91.30.92.00.90.20.411.25.5
IBRiS / Polsat News 16–17 Apr 20251,00025.630.86.65.63.612.41.31.21.30.01.00.20.49.95.2
Pollster / "SE.pl" 15–16 Apr 20251,0032434835164131110
Opinia24 14–16 Apr 20251,00221.634.16.13.24.312.93.01.62.40.00.60.20.50.39.312.5
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Apr 20251,00022287461541310186
OGB 09–14 Apr 20251,00129.5635.533.441.871.7720.434.671.195.97
Research Partner 11–13 Apr 20251,08022.734.86.73.44.215.82.03.96.412.1
United Surveys / WP.pl 12 Apr 20251,00025.533.59.16.31.313.41.61.10.47.88.0
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 2025223352515421011011
CBOS 7–9 Apr 20251,0002533425173110<0.5<0.5178
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Apr 20251,00020.131.55.81.52.714.73.51.02.40.00.40.20.71.1 [a] 14.511.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 20251,00020.138.37.12.71.818.81.11.60.08.518.2
Opinia24 / ZET 2–6 Apr 20251,0002336733153101713
IBRiS / "Rz" 4–5 Apr 20251,06822.636.28.32.62.117.42.10.80.67.213.6
Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Mar–1 Apr 20251,007233583419310.260.400.421.1212
Research Partner / Business Insider 21–24 Mar 202522.235.55.72.92.217.02.23.58.813.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 20251,00025.333.25.04.41.518.02.30.60.98.87.9
Opinia24 17–21 Mar 20251,00020.436.34.62.32.318.01.90.82.22.29.015.9
CBOS 17–20 Mar 20251,0032334423212121711
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 13–16 Mar 20251,00025.936.45.42.62.518.10.50.92.25.410.5
IPSOS / TVP Info 11–13 Mar 20251,0002136623172120915
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Mar 20251,00019.532.05.71.81.218.93.00.61.40.00.21.5 [b] 14.312.5
Social Changes / wPolsce24 8–10 Mar 20252335732164217712
Opinia24 / More in Common 4–10 Mar 20251,148233873118311515
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Mar 20251,00027.135.93.62.13.119.41.10.90.06.88.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–9 Mar 20251,01521378322232215
CBOS 3–6 Mar 20251,0002335523212110712
IBRiS / "Polityka" 4–5 Mar 20251,00022.335.76.95.32.415.01.71.21.49.113.4
SW Research / Wprost 25–26 Feb 202580916.533.67.91.82.618.92.92.22.81.09.914.7
Research Partner / Wprost 21–24 Feb 20251,05024.733.77.23.01.416.81.88.29.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–24 Feb 20251,00025.734.17.14.41.016.20.62.71.60.00.0 [c] 6.58.4
Ipsos / Liberté! 19–21 Feb 20251,000253262315213187
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19–21 Feb 20251,00026.535.26.23.31.415.70.41.00.59.98.7
Opinia24 17–21 Feb 20251,00124.134.94.222.713.62.11.71.32.710.810.8
CBOS 17–20 Feb 20251,0022534522173130000 [d] 79
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Feb 2025651243372215313099
Social Changes / wPolsce24 Feb 20252438861111131614
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Feb 20251,00021.730.94.72.12.016.82.81.60.00.53.0 [e] 14.09.2
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–10 Feb 20251,077253582216325210
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Feb 20251,00025.336.76.65.01.79.81.51.62.90.58.411.4
IBRiS / Onet 31 Jan–2 Feb 20251,06823.937.36.85.01.18.91.71.23.011.013.4
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,000243273215314001 [f] 78
Research Partner 24–27 Jan 20251,06024.634.18.32.11.213.11.94.410.39.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Jan 20251,00025.037.86.05.61.29.72.01.42.90.00.10.00.2 [g] 8.112.8
Opinia24 20–24 Jan 20251,00022.135.36.82.21.513.22.90.90.22.2 [h] 12.713.2
IBRiS / Polityka 17–24 Jan 20251,00027.138.96.44.20.98.91.41.22.58.511.8
OGB 21–23 Jan 20251,00031.7335.515.353.140.5215.683.372.132.573.78
SW Research / Wprost 20–21 Jan 202517.032.96.93.42.713.12.21.10.11.11.8 [i] 17.715.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 16–19 Jan 20251,00028.935.08.95.00.711.52.21.30.00.0 [j] 6.46.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,00427371132143111 [k] 10
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Jan 20251,000223292210203 [l] 1510
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 20251,00029.034.26.74.61.513.01.20.00.2 [m] 9.65.2
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 20251,00022.629.87.23.90.413.21.40.55.6 [n] 15.67.2
CBOS 7–8 Jan 20251,000313563212201 [o] 74
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 20241,00028.836.210.25.810.11.37.67.4
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19–21 Dec 20241,00026.235.710.16.19.61.60.0 [p] 10.89.5
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec 202422358514301 [q] 1213
Opinia24 / RMF FM Dec 20241,00023.338.67.42.610.71.36.69.515.3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Dec 20241,00528.7041.9610.673.2612.682.7313.26
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 20241,00030.336.97.94.87.30.512.36.6
SW Research / Wprost Nov 202413.138.68.511.83.724.225.5
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 202426419128415

Hypothetical polling

Hypothetical polling before confirmed candidates
Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Błaszczak
PiS
Bocheński
PiS
Czarnek
PiS
Jaki
PiS
Morawiecki
PiS
Nawrocki
PiS
Witek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Trzaskowski
PO
Tusk
PO
Hołownia
PL2050
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
NL
Dziemianowicz-Bąk
NL
Biejat
Razem/NL
Zandberg
Razem
Bosak
Confederation
Mentzen
Confederation
Jakubiak
WR
OthersDon't knowLead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 20241,01521351041141514
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 20241,00024.540.49.27.510.72.25.515.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 20241,00027.835.810.95.19.910.58.0
28.932.312.06.79.810.33.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Nov 20241,00027.234.810.66.510.72.28.07.6
27.529.410.58.511.52.010.61.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Oct 20241,00026.639.411.45.99.37.412.8
26.025.515.18.513.011.90.5
IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita 11–12 Oct 20241,07122.234.210.27.78.63.7 [r] 13.412.0
IBRiS / Onet 10 Sep 20241,00026.433.08.84.98.44.1 [s] 14.36.6
23.832.98.64.98.17.6 [t] 14.09.1
17.234.88.84.99.27.3 [u] 17.717.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jul 20241,00027.632.411.27.915.65.34.8
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 26–28 Jul 20241,00029.334.810.18.47.92.07.45.5
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 20241,00027331171396
28321161584
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Jun 20241,00024.829.213.62.66.67.1 [v] 16.14.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 May 20241,00025.629.210.23.47.98.2 [w] 15.53.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 May 20241,00025.529.613.84.49.317.44.1
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–7 Apr 20241,00022.429.017.13.33.84.78.6 [x] 11.26.6
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 22–26 Feb 20241,0002526164103 [y] 91
United Surveys / WP.pl 23–25 Feb 20241,00025.930.823.14.58.07.74.9
Pollster / SE.pl 11 Feb 20241,06020.9232.5325.215.452.657.665.58 [z] 7.32
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–11 Feb 20241,00024.322.224.81.31.96.59.0 [aa] 10.00.5
IBRiS / Radio Zet 9–10 Feb 20241,07016.128.324.05.2 [ab] 26.44.3
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 Jan 20241,07024.925.824.64.33.58.08.90.9
Pollster / SE.pl 17 Dec 20231,0332730205183
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 8–10 Dec 20231,0002.69.91.224.50.911.91.22.72.21.633.1 [ac] 6.612.6
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Nov 202329.934.611.76.37.21.5 [ad] 8.94.7
21.425.616.78.68.08.011.74.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 20231,00019.033.813.44.58.318.3 [ae] 2.714.8

Second round

LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round. Head-to-Head Polish 2025 Presidential Polling.svg
LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish presidential election, second round.
Opinion polling for the 2025 Polish presidential election - second round.svg

Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowAbstainLead
2025 presidential election [13] Election result20,844,16350.8949.111.78
Ipsos (2nd late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [14] 2 June 202551492
Ipsos (late poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [14] 1 June 202550.749.31.4
OGB (exit poll) / TV Republika [15] 1 June 2025100,56749.8350.170.34
Ipsos (exit poll) / TVP, TVN24, Polsat News [16] [17] [18] 1 June 202549.750.30.6
AtlasIntel 27–30 May 20252,59647.447.61.40.90.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–30 May 20251,80047.747.350.4
Social Changes / wnet.fm [19]
Top to bottom:
75%, 71%, 64% turnout scenarios
28–29 May 20251,06050.949.11.8
49.9550.050.10
50.549.51.0
OGB / “WP.pl” 28–29 May 20251,00050.6349.371.26
Pollster / “SE.pl” 28–29 May 20251,03945.6047.976.432.37
IBRiS / Polsat News 27–29 May 20251,00048.149.12.81
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 27–29 May 20251,50046.347.43.61.1
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 26–29 May 20251,000484931
Research Partner / ARIADNA 27–28 May 20251,08046.145.88.10.3
IPSOS / “OKO.press” 27–28 May 20251,000474851
IBRiS / Onet 26–28 May 20251,09046.047.76.31.7
CBOS 26–28 May 20251,00049.750.30.6
Opinia24 / RMF FM 25–27 May 20251,00045.947.56.61.6
United Surveys / “WP.pl” 25–26 May 20251,00045.047.47.62.4
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 23–26 May 20251,021485113
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 May 2025464751
Pollster / “SE.pl” 25 May 20251,01143.6145.710.692.09
IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 25 May 20251,07044.945.79.40.8
OGB 22–24 May 20258004845.56.52.5
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 20–22 May 20251,00047476Tie
Opinia24 19–21 May 2025624474582
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 18 May 20254446102
OGB (1st round exit poll) / TV Republika [20] 18 May 202592,108 [9] 38.047.214.89.2
OGB 16 May 202580051.548.53
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 14–15 May 20251,002454873
IPSOS / TVP Info 13–15 May 20251,000454964
IBRiS / Polsat News 13–15 May 20251,00037.650.25.46.812.6
United Surveys / “WP.pl” 13–15 May 20251,50043.856.212.4
AtlasIntel 11–14 May 20251,82745.246.58.31.3
Opinia24 / RMF FM 12–14 May 20251,00344.448.57.14.1
IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 20251,07236.353.95.34.617.6
IBRiS / "RZ" 11–12 May 20251,07338.453.97.715.5
ewybory.eu 22 Apr–11 May 202514,81545.4348.645.933.21
IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 10–11 May 20251,06736.655.63.14.719.0
IBRiS / "Polityka" 7–10 May 20252,00037.754.57.816.8
Pollster / “SE.pl” 7-8 May 20251,077455510
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 May 20251,00039.157.73.218.6
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 6–7 May 20251,012415099
Opinia24 / "Newsweek" 5–7 May 20251,001455328
United Surveys / WP.pl 28–29 Apr 20251,00039.553.37.213.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 20251,00746548
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 2025455146
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 20251,00040.250.59.310.3
IBRiS / Polsat News 16–17 Apr 20251,00040.948.15.45.67.2
Pollster / “SE.pl” 15–16 Apr 20251,003455510
Opinia24 14–16 Apr 20251,00241.652.4610.8
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Apr 20251,000435077
OGB 9–14 Apr 20251,00149.350.71.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 12 Apr 20251,00038.055.76.317.7
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Apr 20253844186
CBOS 7–9 Apr 20251,000445248
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Apr 20251,00035.142.510.511.97.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 20251,00033.656.110.322.5
Opinia24 / ZET 2–6 Apr 20251,0004252610
Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Mar – 1 Apr 20251,007435714
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 20251,00038.952.28.913.3
Opinia24 17–21 Mar 20251,00037.652.410.014.8
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 13–16 Mar 20251,00037.950.811.312.9
IPSOS / TVP Info 11–13 Mar 20251,0003952813
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Mar 20251,00036.252.111.715.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Mar 20251,00040.851.77.510.9
Research Partner / Wprost 21–24 Feb 20251,050394813.19
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–24 Feb 20251,00041.952.85.310.9
Ipsos / Liberté! 19–21 Feb 20251,0004047107
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Feb 20256514049109
Social Changes / wPolsce24 Feb 2025365010414
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Feb 20251,00037.350.612.113.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Feb 20251,00037.351.36.35.114.0
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,000445612
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Jan 20251,00039.949.610.59.7
Opinia24 20–24 Jan 20251,00035.252.412.417.2
OGB 21–23 Jan 20251,00050.649.41.2
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 16–19 Jan 20251,00037.548.26.47.810.7
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,00446548
IPSOS / TVP Info 14–16 Jan 20251,000294216913
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 20251,00044.550.35.25.8
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 20251,00038.747.913.39.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 20241,00035.956.26.51.420.3
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec 2024344212128
Opinia24 / RMF FM Dec 20241,00034.148.917.014.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 20241,00041.250.36.12.49.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 20241,015425816
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 20244152711
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 20241,00033.755.96.83.622.2
IBRiS / "Rz" 22–23 Nov 20241,06826.249.712.311.823.5
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 20241,00036.449.9913.813.61
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 20241,00037.655.86.618.2

Hypothetical polling

Hypothetical polling

Mentzen v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mentzen
Confederation
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowAbstainLead
Opinia24 / RMF FM 12–14 May 20251,00342.951.75.48.8
IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 20251,07234.353.15.96.718.8
IBRiS / "RZ" 11–12 May 20251,07333.353.513.220.2
IBRiS / Polskie Radio 24 10–11 May 20251,06731.755.56.06.823.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 20251,007435714
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 20251,00042.852.64.69.8
IBRiS / Polsat News 16–17 Apr 20251,00034.048.617.414.6
Pollster / “SE.pl” 15–16 Apr 20251,00345548
United Surveys / WP.pl 12 Apr 20251,00033.756.59.822.8
CBOS 7–9 Apr 20251,000475134
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Apr 20251,00033.243.29.414.210.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 20251,00038.552.98.614.4
Opinia24 / ZET 2–6 Apr 20251,000435077
Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Mar – 1 Apr 20251,007455510
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 20251,00040.852.66.611.8
Opinia24 17–21 Mar 20251,00042.150.67.38.5
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 13–16 Mar 20251,00037.347.415.310.1
Research Partner / Wprost 21-24 Feb 20251,05038.946.914.28.0
SW Research / Wprost 21–24 Feb 20251,00040.146.97.06.06.8
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,00046548
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,004435714

Hołownia v. Mentzen

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Mentzen
Confederation
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,00054468

Hołownia v. Nawrocki

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Nawrocki
PiS
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,000564412
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,00454468
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 20241,015584216

Hołownia v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowLead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 20251,007376326
Pollster / “SE.pl” 15–16 Apr 20251,003386224
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,000356530
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,004346632
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 20241,015336734
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 20241,00029.551.618.922.1

Mentzen v. Nawrocki

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Mentzen
Confederation
Nawrocki
PiS
Don't knowLead
Opinia24 / ZET 23–29 Jan 20251,00047536
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 20251,00447536
Hypothetical polling with different PiS candidate

Czarnek v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowLead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 20241,00035.250.915.915.7

Jaki v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jaki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowLead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 20241,00039491210

Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Morawiecki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowLead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 20241,00038481410
Pollster 15 Jun 2024386224

PiS candidate v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't knowLead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 20241,00039.258.52.319.3
IPSOS / PO 3 Jul 20243653817
Hypothetical polling with Radosław Sikorski as KO candidate

Nawrocki v. Sikorski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't knowLead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 20241,00036.346.716.910.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 20241,00038.354.17.615.8

Czarnek v. Sikorski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't knowLead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 20241,00035.346.518.311.2

PiS candidate v. Sikorski

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't knowLead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 20241,00042.454.92.712.5

Campaign policy proposal polls

Proposed restriction on the 800+ programme for Ukrainian immigrants

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeApproveDisapproveDon't know/NeutralNet approval
24-25 Jan 2025IBRiS / “Rzeczpospolita [21] 1,071888.85.679.2

Proposal of sending Polish soldiers to Ukraine

Date(s)
conducted
Polling firm/LinkSample sizeApproveDisapproveDon't know/NeutralNet approval
7–9 Mar 2025Pollster / "SE.pl" [22] 1,015266212-36

See also

Notes

  1. Romuald Starosielec  [ Wikidata ] (RNP) – 0.0, Paweł Tanajno (PL!SP) – 0.0
  2. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.0
  3. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.0
  4. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.), Dawid Jackiewicz (ind.), Dominika Jasińska  [ Wikidata ] (ind.), Wiesław Lewicki (NK), Wojciech Papis  [ Wikidata ] (B  [ Wikidata ]), Aldona Skirgiełło (SRP), Romuald Starosielec  [ Wikidata ] (RNP), Paweł Tanajno (PL!SP), Krzysztof Tołwiński (Front) – 0
  5. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.2
  6. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0
  7. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.2, Katarzyna Cichos (ind.) – 0.0, Wiesław Lewicki (NK) – 0.0
  8. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.0
  9. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.9, Katarzyna Cichos (ind.) – 0.9
  10. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.0
  11. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 1
  12. Katarzyna Cichos (ind.) – 2, Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 1
  13. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.2
  14. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 1.0
  15. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0
  16. Piotr Szumlewicz (ind.) – 0.0
  17. Romuald Starosielec  [ Wikidata ] (RNP) – 0
  18. Paulina Matysiak (Razem) – 3.7
  19. Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 4.1
  20. Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.6
  21. Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.3
  22. Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 7.1
  23. Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 8.2
  24. Beata Szydło (PiS) – 8.6
  25. Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
  26. Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
  27. Beata Szydło (PiS) – 9.0
  28. Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 0.2
  29. Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
  30. Joanna Scheuring-Wielgus (NL) – 1.5
  31. Beata Szydło (PiS) – 7.7

References

  1. "Marszałek Sejmu ogłosił datę wyborów prezydenckich" [Marshal of the Sejm announced the presidential election day]. Polska Agencja Prasowa (in Polish). 8 January 2025. Archived from the original on 12 January 2025. Retrieved 13 January 2025.
  2. "Wybory Prezydenta Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2025 r." [The Election of the President of the Republic of Poland 2025]. Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza (in English and Polish). 18 May 2025. Retrieved 19 May 2025.
  3. "PKW podała wyniki z 99 proc. komisji; według late poll Trzaskowski z przewagą nad Nawrockim" [PKW reported results from 99 percent of commissions; according to late poll, Trzaskowski with advantage over Nawrocki]. TVP Polonia (in Polish). 19 May 2025. Archived from the original on 22 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  4. "Wybory prezydenckie 2025. Rafał Trzaskowski komentuje. "Idziemy po zwycięstwo"" [Presidential election 2025. Rafał Trzaskowski comments. "We are going for victory"]. TVN24 (in Polish). 18 May 2025. Archived from the original on 19 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  5. Białczyk, Piotr (19 May 2025). "Wybory prezydenckie 2025. Najnowsze wyniki badania late poll" [Presidential election 2025. Newest late poll results]. Polsat News (in Polish). Archived from the original on 20 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  6. Głowacki, Witold (19 May 2025). "Sondaż late poll. Wyniki niemal identyczne jak w exit poll" [Late poll. Results almost identical to exit poll]. OKO.press (in Polish). Archived from the original on 19 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  7. "Poznaliśmy WYNIKI SONDAŻOWE I TURY" [We know the POLL RESULTS OF THE 1ST ROUND]. Telewizja Republika (in Polish). 18 May 2025. Archived from the original on 18 May 2025. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  8. Święcicki, Mateusz (18 May 2025). "Tak sondaże fałszowały rzeczywistość! Poparcie dla Nawrockiego i Mentzena zaniżone nawet o kilka procent: O godzinie 21 zakończyło się głosowanie w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich. Zaraz po tym Telewizja Republika zaprezentowała wyniki badania exit poll, które przeprowadziła dla niej sondażownia OGB. Pokazują one, jak bardzo w ostatnich dniach kampanii zaniżane było poparcie dla Karola Nawrockiego i Sławomira Mentzena w sondażach przedwyborczych" [This is how the polls falsified reality! Support for Nawrocki and Mentzen underestimated by up to a few per cent: At 9 p.m., voting in the first round of the presidential election ended. Immediately afterwards, Telewizja Republika presented the results of the exit poll conducted for it by the OGB pollster. They show how support for Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen was underestimated in pre-election polls in the final days of the campaign.]. niezależna.pl (in Polish). Archived from the original on 18 May 2025. Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  9. 1 2 OGB [@OGB_PL] (18 May 2025). "92108 ankiet zebraliśmy podczas badania Exit Poll, to największe badanie polityczne w Polsce w historii. Dla telewizji Republika pytaliśmy także o II turę, wybory do Sejmu, poparcia dla rządu[,] i o najważniejsze tematy kampanii. Dziękujemy za współpracę podczas badania" [92108 polls were collected during the Exit Poll, the largest political survey in Poland ever. For TV Republika we also asked about the second round, elections to the Sejm, support for the government, and the most important campaign themes. Thank you for your cooperation during the survey] (Tweet) (in Polish). Archived from the original on 20 May 2025. Retrieved 19 May 2025 via Twitter.
  10. "Exit Poll: Trzaskowski z wyraźnym poparciem kobiet, Nawrocki silny wśród mężczyzn" [Exit Poll: Trzaskowski with clear support among women, Nawrocki strong among men]. Telewizja Polska (in Polish). 18 May 2025. Archived from the original on 21 May 2025. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  11. "Wybory prezydenckie 2025. Wyniki exit poll z godziny 21" [Presidential election 2025. Exit poll results from 9 p.m.]. TVN24 (in Polish). 18 May 2025. Archived from the original on 18 May 2025. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  12. Skrzypiński, Dawid (18 May 2025). "Wyniki wyborów prezydenckich 2025. Exit poll. Minimalna różnica w I turze" [Presidential election 2025 results. Exit poll. Minimal difference in the first round]. Polsat News (in Polish). Archived from the original on 18 May 2025. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  13. "Wybory Prezydenta Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2025 r." [The Election of the President of the Republic of Poland 2025]. Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza (in English and Polish). 1 June 2025. Retrieved 2 June 2025.
  14. 1 2 Kowalska, Anna S.; Szczerbiak, Agata; Zagner, Agnieszka; Żelazińska, Aleksandra (2 June 2025). "Oficjalne dane PKW: Karol Nawrocki wygrywa wybory prezydenckie w Polsce" [Official PKW data: Karol Nawrocki wins Polish presidential election]. Polityka (in Polish). Archived from the original on 2 June 2025. Retrieved 2 June 2025.
  15. "Rafał Trzaskowski 50,17 proc., Karol Nawrocki 49,83 proc. w II turze wyborów - exit poll OGB" [Rafał Trzaskowski 50.17%, Karol Nawrocki 49.83% in second round of elections - OGB exit poll]. Biznes PAP (in Polish). 1 June 2025. Archived from the original on 2 June 2025. Retrieved 2 June 2025.
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  17. "Wybory prezydenckie 2025. Kto wygrywa w sondażu exit poll? Wyniki" [2025 presidential election. Who wins in the exit poll? Results]. TVN24 (in Polish). 1 June 2025. Archived from the original on 1 June 2025. Retrieved 2 June 2025.
  18. Białczyk, Piotr (1 June 2025). "Wyniki exit poll. Tak głosowali mieszkańcy miast i wsi" [Exit poll results. That's how residents of cities and villages voted]. Polsat News (in Polish). Archived from the original on 2 June 2025. Retrieved 2 June 2025.
  19. "Sondaż dla Radia Wnet: frekwencja rozstrzygnie wynik wyborów" [Radio Wnet poll: turnout will determine the outcome of the election]. Radio Wnet (in Polish). 30 May 2025. Archived from the original on 30 May 2025. Retrieved 30 May 2025.
  20. "Prognoza wyników II tury. Jest jedna niewiadoma!" [Second round result forecast. There is one unknown!]. Telewizja Republika (in Polish). 18 May 2025. Archived from the original on 18 May 2025. Retrieved 18 May 2025.
  21. "Trzaskowski postuluje ograniczenia w 800 plus dla Ukraińców. Oto co sądzą Polacy [SONDAŻ]" [Trzaskowski calls for restrictions on 800 plus for Ukrainians. Here's what Poles think [POLL]]. BUSINESS INSIDER (in Polish). Polska Agencja Prasowa. 28 January 2025. Archived from the original on 29 January 2025. Retrieved 29 January 2025.
  22. Sieńkowski, Dawid (26 March 2025). "Polscy żołnierze na Ukrainie? Najnowszy sondaż nie pozostawia złudzeń" [Polish soldiers in Ukraine? The latest poll leaves no illusions]. Do Rzeczy (in Polish). Archived from the original on 26 March 2025. Retrieved 26 March 2025.