2028 Queensland state election

Last updated

2028 Queensland state election
Flag of Queensland.svg
  2024 28 October 20282032 

All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly
47 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  David Crisafulli 2024.jpg Steven Miles official portrait (cropped).jpg
Leader David Crisafulli Steven Miles
Party Liberal National Labor
Leader since12 November 2020 15 December 2023
Leader's seat Broadwater Murrumba
Last election52 seats, 41.52%36 seats, 32.56%
Current seats5236
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 11

  Robbie Katter with hat at lookout (crop).jpg Greens placeholder-01.png
Leader Robbie Katter No leader
Party Katter's Australian Greens
Leader since2 February 2015
Leader's seat Traeger
Last election3 seats, 2.44%1 seat, 9.89%
Current seats31
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 44Increase2.svg 46

Incumbent Premier

David Crisafulli
Liberal National



The 2028 Queensland state election will be held on or before 28 October 2028 [1] to elect the 59th Parliament of Queensland and its 93 seats. The Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) will conduct the election.

Contents

The incumbent Liberal National majority government, led by Premier David Crisafulli, will seek a second four-year term in government. They will be challenged by the Queensland Labor Party, led by Leader of the Opposition and former Premier Steven Miles. It is expected that the Queensland Greens, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Katter's Australian Party, and other minor parties and independents will contest the election.

Queensland has compulsory voting, with preferential instant runoff voting in single-member seats.

Background

At the 2024 Queensland state election, the Liberal National Party of Queensland (LNP), led by David Crisafulli, ended nine years in Opposition by securing a decisive victory. The LNP won 52 seats, compared to Labor's 36. The Greens, who previously held two seats, lost South Brisbane but managed to retain Maiwar. Katter's Australian Party (KAP), led by Robbie Katter, held onto its three seats, while Pauline Hanson's One Nation lost Mirani following the defection of Stephen Andrew to the KAP. Andrew, however, was defeated by the LNP in Mirani during the election. [2] [3]

Date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in October, though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier. Additionally, Section 19B, Paragraph 3 of the Constitution of Queensland 2001 states that “The Governor may at any time, by proclamation, order the polling day for an ordinary general election to be postponed to a Saturday not more than 35 days after the normal polling day (the postponed polling day)" if there are exceptional circumstances and if both the premier, and the Leader of the Opposition agrees to its postponement. Examples of exceptional circumstances listed in the constitution includes "An election for members of the House of Representatives or the Senate of the Commonwealth Parliament is to be held on the normal polling day or "A natural disaster has affected such a wide area of the State that the conduct of an election on the normal polling day would be impracticable. [1]

Opinion polling

Voting intention

DateFirmSample
size
Margin
of error
Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP OTH LNP ALP
Jul–Aug 2025Resolve [4] 869±3.2%34%32%10%8%1%14%
4–9 Jul 2025DemosAU [5] [6] 1,027±3.6%40%28%13%12%7%55%45%
17–25 Mar 2025RedBridge [7] 1,50744%27%12%10%7%56.5%43.5%
Jan–Apr 2025Resolve [8] 934±3.2%45%22%12%8%1%12%
10–14 Feb 2025DemosAU [9] [10] 1,004±4.2%40%30%12%10%8%56%44%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 41.5%32.6%9.9%8.0%2.4%5.6%53.8%46.2%

Preferred Premier and satisfaction

Preferred Premier

DatePolling firmSamplePreferred Premier
Crisafulli Miles Don't know
Jul–Aug 2025Resolve [4] 86940%25%35%
Jan–Apr 2025Resolve [8] 93444%22%34%

Satisfaction ratings

DatePolling firmSample Crisafulli Miles
SatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNetSatisfiedDissatisfiedDon't KnowNet
Jul–Aug 2025Resolve [4] 869+20%–1%
17–25 March 2025RedBridge Group [7] 1,50746%17%37%+29%22%41%37%–19%

See also

References

  1. 1 2 "Constitution of Queensland 2001". www.legislation.qld.gov.au. Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  2. Smee, Ben (26 October 2024). "David Crisafulli has narrowly won the Queensland election but the real fight has only just begun". The Guardian. ISSN   0261-3077 . Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  3. "David Crisafulli sworn in as Queensland premier — as it happened". ABC News. 27 October 2024. Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  4. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (21 August 2025). "'Serious hit': LNP support falls from post-election high". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 21 August 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  5. "Queensland State and Federal Voting Intention July 04-09 2025". DemosAU. 10 July 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  6. "Crisafulli and Albanese enjoy honeymoon periods". DemosAU. 14 July 2025. Archived from the original on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  7. 1 2 "King David: Premier Crisafulli now the most popular leader in Australia". The Courier-Mail. 31 March 2025. Retrieved 31 March 2025.
  8. 1 2 Atfield, Cameron (21 April 2025). "Crisafulli flies high, while Miles – and Dutton – lag". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 23 July 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  9. "Queensland State Voting Intention Poll". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  10. "New Queensland poll shows modest improvement for Federal Labor". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.