Opinion polling for the 2028 Queensland state election

Last updated

In the lead-up to the 2028 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Contents

Voting intention

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] 81840%27%12%16%N/aN/a5%56%44%
Nov – Dec 2025Resolve [2] [3] [a] 80333%30%11%9%2%8%8%51.1%48.9%
29 Nov 2025The LNP defeats the KAP in the Hinchinbrook by-election
13 – 20 Oct 2025DemosAU [4] [5] [6] 1,00637%29%12%14%N/aN/a8%54%46%
Sep – Oct 2025Resolve [7] [8] [a] 86833%32%10%9%1%7%7%49.3%50.7%
Jul – Aug 2025Resolve [9] [10] [a] 86934%32%10%8%1%8%6%49.5%50.5%
4 – 9 Jul 2025DemosAU [11] [12] 1,02740%28%13%12%N/aN/a7%55%45%
17 – 25 Mar 2025RedBridge/Accent [13] 1,50744%27%12%10%N/aN/a7%56.5%43.5%
Jan – Apr 2025Resolve [14] 93445%22%12%8%1%7%5%60%40%
10 – 14 Feb 2025DemosAU [15] [16] 1,00440%30%12%10%N/aN/a8%56%44%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 41.5%32.6%9.9%8.0%2.4%1.7%3.9%53.8%46.2%

Approval polling

Preferred premier

DateFirmSample
size		Party leadersNet
Crisafulli Miles Don't know
Nov–Dec 2025Resolve [2] [3] 80335%34%31%+1
13–20 Oct 2025DemosAU [4] [5] [6] 1,00644%32%24%+12
Sep–Oct 2025Resolve [7] 86839%22%39%+17
Jul–Aug 2025Resolve [9] 86940%25%35%+15
Jan–Apr 2025Resolve [14] 93444%22%34%+22

Satisfaction ratings

DateFirmSample
size		 Crisafulli Miles
Pos.Neg.DKNetPos.Neg.DKNet
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] 81854%30%16%+24%28%54%18%–26%
Nov–Dec 2025Resolve [2] [3] 803N/aN/aN/a+16%N/aN/aN/a+5%
Sep–Oct 2025Resolve [7] 868N/aN/aN/a+17%N/aN/aN/a–2%
Jul–Aug 2025Resolve [9] 869N/aN/aN/a+20%N/aN/aN/a–1%
17–25 Mar 2025RedBridge/Accent [13] 1,50746%17%37%+29%22%41%37%–19%

Sub-state results

Inner Brisbane

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] N/a31%42%16%8%N/aN/a3%41%59%
Oct 2025RedBridge/Accent [17] [18] N/a38%34%14%N/aN/aN/a14%46%54%

Outer Brisbane

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] N/a37%29%14%16%N/aN/a4%53%47%

South East Queensland

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
13–20 Oct 2025DemosAU [4] [5] [6] N/a39%29%11%13%N/aN/a8%55%45%
Oct 2025RedBridge/Accent [17] [18] 1,01336%35%13%11%N/aN/a5%48%52%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 40.4%35.9%12.1%6.1%——5.5%50.3%49.7%

Provincial cities

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] N/a44%24%8%19%N/aN/a5%61%39%

Regional Queensland

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
13–20 Oct 2025DemosAU [4] [5] [6] N/a38%25%7%21%N/aN/a9%60%40%

Rural communities

DateFirmSample
size		Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent [1] N/a23%24%10%16%N/aN/a7%61%39%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Two-party preferred result estimated by Kevin Bonham.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "RedBridge Group and Accent Research Queensland state poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 10 December 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 December 2025. Retrieved 27 December 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (9 December 2025). "Voters warming to Miles as Crisafulli's popularity continues to slip". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 9 December 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025.
  3. 1 2 3 Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (9 December 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 30 Grn 11 ON 9 KAP 2 IND 8* other 8 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 9 December 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025– via Twitter.
  4. 1 2 3 4 "Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 6 November 2025. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "LNP maintains clear lead over Labor in Queensland – new poll". DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original on 29 October 2025. Retrieved 29 October 2025.
  6. 1 2 3 4 Johnson, Hayden (27 October 2025). "Qld voters deliver verdict on Crisafulli government". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 27 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025.
  7. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (15 October 2025). "Miles sheds support but major parties neck and neck". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 15 October 2025. Retrieved 15 October 2025.
  8. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (16 October 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 32 Grn 10 ON 9 IND 7* KAP 1 other 7 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 27 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025– via Twitter.
  9. 1 2 3 Dennien, Matt (21 August 2025). "'Serious hit': LNP support falls from post-election high". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 21 August 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  10. ↑ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (21 August 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 34 (-11) ALP 32 (+10) Grn 10 (-2) ON 8 (-) IND 8* (+1) KAP 1 (-) other 6 (+1) (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 27 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025– via Twitter.
  11. ↑ "Queensland State and Federal Voting Intention July 04-09 2025". DemosAU. 10 July 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  12. ↑ "Crisafulli and Albanese enjoy honeymoon periods". DemosAU. 14 July 2025. Archived from the original on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  13. 1 2 Johnson, Hayden (31 March 2025). "King David: Premier Crisafulli now the most popular leader in Australia". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 19 October 2025. Retrieved 19 October 2025.
  14. 1 2 Atfield, Cameron (21 April 2025). "Crisafulli flies high, while Miles – and Dutton – lag". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 23 July 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  15. ↑ "Queensland State Voting Intention Poll". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  16. ↑ "New Queensland poll shows modest improvement for Federal Labor". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  17. 1 2 Johnson, Hayden; O'Malley, Brendan (19 October 2025). "Exclusive Redbridge-Accent polling reveals Premier David Crisafulli's fail to win over SEQ voters". The Courier Mail. Archived from the original on 19 October 2025. Retrieved 19 October 2025.
  18. 1 2 Bowe, William (20 October 2025). "Queensland: polls, Hinchinbrook by-election and redistribution latest". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 20 October 2025. Retrieved 20 October 2025.
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